3,217 results on '"CERTAINTY"'
Search Results
2. Zur phänomenologischen Orientierung in der Psychologie: Alexandre Métraux im Gespräch mit Alexander NicolaiWendt.
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Métraux, Alexandre and Wendt, Alexander Nicolai
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HISTORY of psychology , *PSYCHOLOGICAL research , *INTELLECTUAL history , *PHENOMENOLOGY , *CERTAINTY , *PLAINS , *PSYCHOLOGY - Abstract
What is the influence of phenomenological thinking in psychology? An answer to this question requires both considering the complex history of psychology as a discipline and the phenomenological movement. The dialogue tries to find an appropriate perspective, in which the background of the so-called phenomenological orientation in psychology is discussed. From intellectual history, the conversation moves to the more fundamental, systematic plain of the contribution phenomenology can make to psychology. It is emphasised that phenomenology provides an elaborated approach especially for the description of the world of experience. However, it needs to be supplemented because phenomenal analyses alone cannot fully meet the subject area of psychology. The conversation ends with a look at possible additions to psychological research. The approaches of phenomenology, for example, by Shaun Gallagher, prove to be not unproblematic. Jan Smedslund's psycho-logic, which examines the redundancy of psychological theory formation with real-world certainties, is mentioned as an alternative. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
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3. Regularity and certainty in Hume's treatise: a Humean response to Husserl.
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Rocknak, Stefanie
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CERTAINTY ,BOOK industry exhibitions ,PSYCHOLOGY ,EMPIRICAL research ,THEORY of knowledge - Abstract
According to Husserl, Hume's empirical method was deeply flawed—like all empiricists, Hume did not, and could not adequately justify his method, much less his findings (PRP 113–114, LI 115–117, 406). Instead, Hume gives us a "circular" and "irrational" "psychological explanation" of "mediate judgments of fact," i.e. of inductive inferences (LI, 117). Yet Husserl was certain that he could justify both his own method and his own findings with an appeal to the phenomenological, pre-theoretical, pre-naturalistic "epoché" (I1 §§59–60). However, whether or not Husserl's notion of an epoché is justified, or even viable, is not our focus here. Rather, our issue is with Hume, particularly: How could Hume have responded? In this paper, I show that in Book I of the Treatise, Hume did—however implicitly—appeal to a "pre-theoretical" notion of belief, which meets Husserl's demands for a pre-theoretical grounding, i.e. a justificatory grounding. And so, his method is, at least in this respect, justified. But this belief is by no means "prenaturalistic." Rather, it is a function of empirical data. In particular, it is a product of the "constant and coherent" impressions that seem to naturally obtain of experience. As a result, Hume's method, which, in agreement with Husserl, we may characterize as psychology, does admit of a certain degree of regularity, but an empirical regularity. And according to Hume, contra Husserl's complaints, this is the best that we can hope for; regularity will have to suffice, not certainty. However, it must be noted up front that this justification is implicit—Hume is not nearly as forthright as he could have been. Thus, making his position more explicit is the task of this paper. I am not presenting my own position, where I offer my own arguments. Instead, I present textual evidence, contextualized with ample explication. It is my hope that by doing so, Hume may more effectively make his case. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2021
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4. The Interactive Effects of Ambivalence and Certainty on Political Opinion Stability
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Andrew Luttrell, Richard E. Petty, and Pablo Briñol
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attitude stability ,certainty ,ambivalence ,attitude strength ,public opinion ,Psychology ,BF1-990 - Abstract
Some political attitudes and opinions shift and fluctuate over time whereas others remain fairly stable. Prior research on attitude strength has documented several features of attitudes that predict their temporal stability. The present analysis focuses on two of them: attitudinal ambivalence and certainty. Each of these variables has received mixed support for its relationship with attitude stability. A recent set of studies, however, has addressed this link by showing that ambivalence and certainty interact to predict stability. Because those studies relied exclusively on college student samples and considered issues that may have been especially likely to evince change over time, the present analysis aimed to replicate the original findings in a sample of registered Florida voters with an important politically relevant issue: abortion. Results of these analyses replicated the previous findings and support the generalizability of the ambivalence × certainty interaction on attitude stability to a sample of registered voters reporting their attitudes toward abortion. Implications for public opinion and the psychology of political attitudes are discussed.
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- 2020
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5. The Relationship Between Children’s Approximate Number Certainty and Symbolic Mathematics
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Carolyn Baer and Darko Odic
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number sense ,symbolic mathematics ,certainty ,metacognition ,Psychology ,BF1-990 ,Mathematics ,QA1-939 - Abstract
Why do some children excel in mathematics while others struggle? A large body of work has shown positive correlations between children’s Approximate Number System (ANS) and school-taught symbolic mathematical skills, but the mechanism explaining this link remains unknown. One potential mediator of this relationship might be children’s numerical metacognition: children’s ability to evaluate how sure or unsure they are in understanding and manipulating numbers. While previous work has shown that children’s math abilities are uniquely predicted by symbolic numerical metacognition, we focus on the extent to which children’s non-symbolic/ANS numerical metacognition, in particular sensitivity to certainty, might be predictive of math ability, and might mediate the relationship between the ANS and symbolic math. A total of 72 children aged 4–6 years completed measures of ANS precision, ANS metacognition sensitivity, and the Test of Early Mathematical Ability (TEMA-3). Our results replicate many established findings in the literature, including the correlation between ANS precision and the TEMA-3, particularly on the Informal subtype questions. However, we did not find that ANS metacognition sensitivity was related to TEMA-3 performance, nor that it mediated the relationship between the ANS and the TEMA-3. These findings suggest either that metacognitive calibration may play a larger role than metacognitive sensitivity, or that metacognitive differences in the non-symbolic number perception do not robustly contribute to symbolic math performance.
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- 2020
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6. Parent-Child Physical Resemblance as Cues of Man’s Paternity
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Barbara Dolinska
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parent-child resemblance ,fatherhood ,paternity ,certainty ,probability ,Psychology ,BF1-990 - Abstract
The article presents the hypothesis that in the formation of judgements about a man’s biological fatherhood based on similarity of physical characteristics, people may take into consideration not only the similarity of father to child, but also of mother to child. The objective of the experiment was to conduct an initial investigation of that assumption. In the experiment, participants were presented with descriptions in which information was manipulated concerning the similarity of child to mother vs. to father vs. to neither of them. A total of 312 students of both sexes took participation in the experiment, having agreed to take part in a short psychological study immediately after classes were over. They were asked to read some short stories and to give their opinion as to whether the man described is the biological father of the child. It turned out that in conditions where the child’s appearance was dissimilar to both of the parents, the participants doubted the biological parenthood of the father. In conditions where the child was similar to the mother, the certainty of participants that the man was the biological father was as high as in conditions where the story indicated that the child was similar to him. The results thus suggest that information about a child’s similarity to its mother may, in some situations, be significant in the formulation of judgements on the biological fatherhood of a man.
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- 2019
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7. From Rumors to Facts, and Facts to Rumors: The Role of Certainty Decay in Consumer Communications.
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Dubois, David, Rucker, Derek D, and Tormala, Zakary L
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WORD-of-mouth communication ,RUMOR ,METACOGNITION ,CERTAINTY ,CONSUMER research ,INTERPERSONAL communication ,PSYCHOLOGY - Abstract
How does a rumor come to be believed as a fact as it spreads across a chain of consumers?? This research proposes that because consumers' certainty about their beliefs (e.g., attitudes, opinions) is less salient than the beliefs themselves, certainty information is more susceptible to being lost in communication. Consistent with this idea, the current studies reveal that though consumers transmit their core beliefs when they communicate with one another, they often fail to transmit their certainty or uncertainty about those beliefs. Thus, a belief originally associated with high uncertainty (certainty) tends to lose this uncertainty (certainty) across communications. The authors demonstrate that increasing the salience of consumers' uncertainty/certainty when communicating or receiving information can improve uncertainty/certainty communication, and they investigate the consequences for rumor management and word-of-mouth communications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2011
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8. The Effect of Regulatory Depletion on Attitude Certainty.
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Wan, Echo Wen, Rucker, Derek D, Tormala, Zakary L, and Clarkson, Joshua J
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CONSUMER attitudes ,CERTAINTY ,SELF-control ,ADVERTISING effectiveness ,CONSUMER behavior ,HUMAN information processing ,PSYCHOLOGY - Abstract
This research explores how regulatory depletion affects consumers' responses to advertising. Initial forays into this area suggest that the depletion of self-regulatory resources is irrelevant when advertisement arguments are strong or consumers are highly motivated to process. In contrast to these conclusions, the authors contend that depletion has important but previously hidden effects in such contexts. That is, although attitudes are equivalent in valence and extremity, consumers are more certain of their attitudes when they form them under conditions of depletion than nondepletion. The authors propose that this effect occurs because feeling depleted induces the perception of having engaged in thorough information processing. As a consequence of greater attitude certainty, depleted consumers' attitudes exert greater influence on their purchase behavior. Three experiments, using different products and ad exposure times, confirm these hypotheses. Experiment 3 demonstrates the potential to vary consumers' naive beliefs about the relationship between depletion and thoroughness of processing, and this variation moderates the effect of depletion on attitude certainty. The authors discuss the theoretical contributions and implications for marketing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2010
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9. Rethinking delusions: A selective review of delusion research through a computational lens
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Nicholas M. Singletary, Seth Baker, Brandon K. Ashinoff, and Guillermo Horga
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Psychosis ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Schizophrenia (object-oriented programming) ,Inference ,Certainty ,medicine.disease ,Article ,Delusions ,030227 psychiatry ,03 medical and health sciences ,Psychiatry and Mental health ,0302 clinical medicine ,Psychotic Disorders ,Delusion ,Argument ,Causal inference ,medicine ,Selection (linguistics) ,Humans ,medicine.symptom ,Psychology ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery ,Biological Psychiatry ,media_common ,Cognitive psychology - Abstract
Delusions are rigid beliefs held with high certainty despite contradictory evidence. Notwithstanding decades of research, we still have a limited understanding of the computational and neurobiological alterations giving rise to delusions. In this review, we highlight a selection of recent work in computational psychiatry aimed at developing quantitative models of inference and its alterations, with the goal of providing an explanatory account for the form of delusional beliefs in psychosis. First, we assess and evaluate the experimental paradigms most often used to study inferential alterations in delusions. Based on our review of the literature and theoretical considerations, we contend that classic draws-to-decision paradigms are not well-suited to isolate inferential processes, further arguing that the commonly cited ‘jumping-to-conclusion’ bias may reflect neither delusion-specific nor inferential alterations. Second, we discuss several enhancements to standard paradigms that show promise in more effectively isolating inferential processes and delusion-related alterations therein. We further draw on our recent work to build an argument for a specific failure mode for delusions consisting of prior overweighting in high-level causal inferences about partially observable hidden states. Finally, we assess plausible neurobiological implementations for this candidate failure mode of delusional beliefs and outline promising future directions in this area.
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- 2022
10. In case of doubt for the speculation? When people falsely remember facts in the news as being uncertain
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Hauke S. Meyerhoff, Ann-Kathrin Brand, and Annika Scholl
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media_common.quotation_subject ,Uncertainty ,Assertion ,Recognition, Psychology ,Experimental and Cognitive Psychology ,Mistake ,Context (language use) ,Certainty ,Neglect ,Reading ,Developmental Neuroscience ,Mental Recall ,Humans ,Natural (music) ,Cues ,Content (Freudian dream analysis) ,Speculation ,Psychology ,General Psychology ,Cognitive psychology ,media_common - Abstract
Modern media report news remarkably fast, often before the information is confirmed. This general tendency is even more pronounced in times of an increasing demand for information, such as during pressing natural phenomena or the pandemic spreading of diseases. Yet, even if early reports correctly identify their content as speculative (rather than factual), recipients may not adequately consider the preliminary nature of such information. Theories on language processing suggest that understanding a speculation requires its reconstruction as a factual assertion first-which can later be erroneously remembered. This would lead to a bias to remember and treat speculations as if they were factual, rather than falling for the reverse mistake. In six experiments, however, we demonstrate the opposite pattern. Participants read news headlines with explanations for distinct events either in form of a fact or a speculation (as still being investigated). Both kinds of framings increased participants' belief in the correctness of the respective explanations to an equal extent (relative to receiving no explanation). Importantly, however, this effect was not mainly driven by a neglect of uncertainty cues (as present in speculations). In contrast, our memory experiments (recognition and cued recall) revealed a reverse distortion: a bias to falsely remember and treat a presented "fact" as if it were merely speculative. Based on these surprising results, we outline new theoretical accounts on the processing of (un)certainty cues which incorporate their broader context. Particularly, we propose that facts in the news might be remembered differently once they are presented among speculations. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2022 APA, all rights reserved).
- Published
- 2022
11. Development and Validation of the Certainty About Mental States Questionnaire (CAMSQ): A Self-Report Measure of Mentalizing Oneself and Others
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Leon P. Wendt, Johannes Zimmermann, and Sascha Müller
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validation ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Testkonstruktion ,Measure (physics) ,discrepancy effects ,Selbsteinschätzung ,Certainty ,self-report ,Psychische Gesundheit ,Mentalisierung ,Clinical Psychology ,personality functioning ,Validierung ,Mentalization ,mentalizing ,Persönlichkeitsstörung ,test development ,personality disorders ,Psychology ,Self report ,Applied Psychology ,media_common ,Cognitive psychology - Abstract
The Certainty About Mental States Questionnaire (CAMSQ) is a self-report measure of the perceived capacity to understand mental states of the self and others (i.e., mentalizing). In two studies (total N = 1828), we developed the CAMSQ in both English and German as a two-dimensional measure of Self- and Other-Certainty, investigated associations with other measures of mentalizing, and explored relationships to personality functioning and mental health. The CAMSQ performed well in terms of convergent and discriminant validity, internal consistency, test-retest reliability, and measurement invariance across the United States and Germany. The present research indicates that the CAMSQ assesses maladaptive forms of having too little or too much certainty about mental states (consistent with hypomentalizing and hypermentalizing). A psychologically adaptive profile of perceived mentalizing capacity appears to be characterized by high Self-Certainty that exceeds Other-Certainty, suggesting that imbalances between Self-Certainty and Other-Certainty (Other-Self-Discrepancy) play an important role within personality pathology.
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- 2023
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12. Misplaced Certainty and the Quest for Simplicity
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Okten, Irmak Olcaysoy
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FOS: Psychology ,Social Psychology ,motivation ,black and white thinking ,Psychology ,Social and Behavioral Sciences ,uncertainty ,simplicity ,categorization ,person perception ,certainty - Abstract
We will investigate whether misplaced certainty (certainty about things that are unknowable to the majority) leads to simplistic perceptions.
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- 2023
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13. FALSE EYEWITNESS.
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STARR, DOUGLAS
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RELIABILITY of eyewitness identification , *WITNESSES , *FALSE testimony , *MEMORY , *CONFIRMATION & disconfirmation , *CERTAINTY , *JUDGMENT (Psychology) , *PSYCHOLOGY - Abstract
The article looks at research by psychologist Gary Wells into the phenomenon of false eyewitness testimony in criminal investigation and trials, with particular focus on reliability, accuracy, and changeability of memory evidence. Topics discussed include the effect of confirmatory feedback on the certainty of recall, the use and construction of police suspect lineups, and a comparison of relative and absolute judgment.
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- 2012
14. ¿Qué tipo de información usan las personas con esquizofrenia en situaciones sociales ambiguas?
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Vanessa Acuña, Rebecca Elliot, Natalia Zambrano, Rocío Maldonado, Alvaro Cavieres, and Patricio Limarí
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media_common.quotation_subject ,Schizophrenia (object-oriented programming) ,Emotions ,Esquizofrenia ,Age and gender ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Social knowledge ,Humans ,Emotional expression ,General Environmental Science ,media_common ,Social perception ,Certainty ,Object (philosophy) ,Social cognition ,Preference ,Teoría de la mente ,030227 psychiatry ,Facial Expression ,Psychiatry and Mental health ,Social Perception ,Feeling ,Theory of mind ,Schizophrenia ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Conocimiento social ,Psychology ,Cognición social ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery ,Cognitive psychology - Abstract
Background and objectives: Rather than focusing on the extensively studied social perception and recognition impairments in people with schizophrenia, this study focuses on the type of social information considered relevant by people with schizophrenia, and how they use it to arrive at conclusions about social situations. Methods: Participants included 50 outpatients with schizophrenia from the Hospital del Salvador at Valparaíso, Chile, and 50 healthy comparators matched by age and gender. Subjects completed the Social Information Preference Test (SIPT), which presents scenes depicting ambiguous social situations with faces, thoughts, and facts about the scene hidden from view. Participants were required to select a limited number of these items and then choose between possible interpretations of the scene (positive, neutral, or negative). Additionally, they are asked to provide a feeling of certainty in their answers, using a 7-point visual analogue scale. Results: People with schizophrenia, as well as controls had a strong preference for knowing the thoughts of the characters. Both groups were least likely to choose emotional expressions. Patients were significantly less likely to choose object/information than controls. Both groups showed a high certainty in their responses and no tendency to choose negative interpretations. Limitations: compensated clinical status of the patients may have influenced the results. Conclusions: The results of this study suggest that, despite difficulties perceiving clues about the mental state of others, people with schizophrenia use this information to make sense of social situations, and apparently, they do not have problems in understanding social interactions. RESUMEN Objetivos: En lugar de los impedimentos en la percepción social, ampliamente estudiada en personas con esquizofrenia, centramos nuestra investigación en el tipo de información social considerada relevante por las personas con esquizofrenia y cómo la usan para llegar a conclusiones sobre situaciones sociales. Métodos: Se incluyó a 50 pacientes ambulatorios con esquizofrenia del Hospital del Salvador en Valparaíso, Chile, y 50 comparadores sanos, emparejados por edad y sexo. Los sujetos completaron la Prueba de Preferencia de Información Social (SIPT), que presenta escenas con situaciones sociales ambiguas en las que rostros, pensamientos y hechos sobre la escena están ocultos a la vista. Los participantes deben seleccionar un pequeño número de estos elementos y luego elegir entre posibles interpretaciones (positiva, neutral o negativa). Además, se les pide que proporcionen una sensación de certeza en sus respuestas, utilizando una escala analógica visual de 7 puntos. Resultados: Tanto las personas con esquizofrenia como los comparadores mostraron una fuerte preferencia por conocer los pensamientos de los personajes. La opción menos preferida por ambos grupos fue las expresiones emocionales, mientras que los pacientes escogieron menos objeto/información que los controles. Ambos grupos mostraron una alta certeza en sus respuestas y no se observó una tendencia a elegir interpretaciones negativas. Limitaciones: el estado clínico compensado de los pacientes puede haber influido en los resultados. Conclusiones: Los resultados de este estudio indican que, a pesar de las dificultades para percibir pistas sobre el estado mental de los demás, las personas con esquizofrenia usan esta información para dar sentido a las situaciones sociales y, aparentemente, no presentan problemas para comprender las interacciones sociales.
- Published
- 2022
15. Career decision-making in unemployed Portuguese adults: Test of the social cognitive model of career self-management
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Cátia Marques, Joana Soares, Maria do Céu Taveira, Íris M. Oliveira, Robert W. Lent, and Bárbara Cardoso
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Adult ,Social Psychology ,media_common.quotation_subject ,PsycINFO ,Career decision-making ,Social support ,Cognition ,Social cognitive career theory ,Humans ,Outcome expectations ,media_common ,Career self-management model ,Self-management ,Career Choice ,Portugal ,Self-Management ,Conscientiousness ,General Medicine ,Certainty ,Neuroticism ,Self Efficacy ,Test (assessment) ,Psychiatry and Mental health ,Clinical Psychology ,Self-efficacy ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,Social cognitive theory - Abstract
Most research applications of the social cognitive model of career self-management (CSM; Lent & Brown, 2013) to career exploration and decision-making have involved U.S. college students. To extend research on the model, we tested its fit to the data in a sample of 345 unemployed adult workers in Portugal. Participants completed measures of career decision self-efficacy, outcome expectations, social support, conscientiousness, neuroticism, exploration goals, decisional stress, and career choice certainty. The model test yielded good overall fit to the data and accounted for significant variance in goals, stress, and choice certainty. When compared with prior findings, the results suggest that the CSM model may offer explanatory utility relative to the making of initial as well as subsequent career decisions and across national boundaries. Implications of the findings for the social cognitive model as well as for future research and practice are considered. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).
- Published
- 2022
16. Implementation of Response Latency Measures.
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MacLachlan, James, Czepiel, John, and LaBarbera, Priscilla
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REACTION time ,HUMAN behavior research ,LATENT functions (Social sciences) ,MARKETING research ,THEORY of knowledge ,SURVEYS ,TELEPHONE surveys ,MARKETING strategy ,SOCIAL surveys ,RESPONSE rates ,INTERVIEWING ,RESPONDENTS ,CERTAINTY ,PSYCHOLOGY - Abstract
Response latency, which is the amount of time a respondent deliberates before answering a question, can serve as an indicator of the respondent's certainty. This research demonstrates that latency can be measured unobtrusively in telephone interviewing by means of automatic equipment. Latency is found to be a robust measure in that it was not appreciably influenced by the serial position of questions. There is an inverse relationship between latency and probability that a question is answered correctly, as latency sharply differentiates subjects giving correct answers from those giving incorrect answers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1979
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17. The Cost of Certainty.
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Goodman, David M., Goodman, Katie Lynn, and Shieh, Sophia
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CERTAINTY , *COST , *PSYCHOLOGY - Abstract
Setting the stage for the "Psychology and the Other" special issue, this introductory article lays out the complex relationship between certainty and uncertainty and points to the critical importance of nourishing conversations that respect the human need for grounding and definition while also inviting movement to and beyond our boundaries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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18. Existential threat as a challenge for individual and collective engagement: Climate change and the motivation to act
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Eva Jonas and Janine Stollberg
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Motivation ,Climate Change ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Emotions ,Anxiety ,Anger ,Certainty ,Ingroups and outgroups ,Existentialism ,Fundamental human needs ,Direct action ,Action (philosophy) ,Guilt ,medicine ,Humans ,medicine.symptom ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,General Psychology ,media_common - Abstract
The global climate crisis can be perceived as a threat to existential human needs like control, certainty, and personal existence. These threat appraisals elicit an affective state of individual anxiety - one of the strongest motivators of individual pro-environmental behavior and collective policies and activism. Direct action against a threat is associated with other affective approach-motivated states that help to overcome anxiety: Recent findings show collective emotions of anger, guilt, and 'being moved' increase collective engagement but also show a positive relationship between positive activation and individual behavior. Climate threat furthermore promotes palliative responses, such as ingroup defense, identification with nature, or salient common humanity. Here, collective responses seem to reduce anxiety, and when combined with pro-environmental norms, even promote pro-environmental action.
- Published
- 2021
19. Chasing Certainty After Cardiac Arrest
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Marianne Boenink, Mayli Mertens, Janine Astrid van Til, Eline Bouwers-Beens, Philosophy, TechMed Centre, and Health Technology & Services Research
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Decision support system ,Postanoxic coma ,PROGNOSIS ,PREDICTION ,media_common.quotation_subject ,UT-Hybrid-D ,Outcome (game theory) ,law.invention ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,law ,medicine ,Performativity ,Moral dilemma ,media_common ,HYPOTHERMIA ,Clinical dilemma ,Health professionals ,RESUSCITATION ,Health Policy ,SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,Technological innovation ,PERFORMANCE ,Certainty ,medicine.disease ,cEEG ,Intensive care unit ,Decision support ,Dilemma ,Psychiatry and Mental health ,Neurology ,LETTING DIE ,RELIABILITY ,Prognostic uncertainty ,Medical emergency ,Psychology ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery - Abstract
When information on a coma patient’s expected outcome is uncertain, a moral dilemma arises in clinical practice: if life-sustaining treatment is continued, the patient may survive with unacceptably poor neurological prospects, but if withdrawn a patient who could have recovered may die. Continuous electroencephalogram-monitoring (cEEG) is expected to substantially improve neuroprognostication for patients in coma after cardiac arrest. This raises expectations that decisions whether or not to withdraw will become easier. This paper investigates that expectation, exploring cEEG’s impacts when it becomes part of a socio-technical network in an Intensive Care Unit (ICU). Based on observations in two ICUs in the Netherlands and one in the USA that had cEEG implemented for research, we interviewed 25 family members, healthcare professionals, and surviving patients. The analysis focuses on (a) the way patient outcomes are constructed, (b) the kind of decision support these outcomes provide, and (c) how cEEG affects communication between professionals and relatives. We argue that cEEG can take away or decrease the intensity of the dilemma in some cases, while increasing uncertainty for others. It also raises new concerns. Since its actual impacts furthermore hinge on how cEEG is designed and implemented, we end with recommendations for ensuring responsible development and implementation.
- Published
- 2021
20. Identification of Misconceptions in Science Learning During the Covid-19 Pandemic Using the CRI (Certainty of Response Index) Method for Primary school Students
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Elisa Prezilia Dewi and Fitria Wulandari
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Identification (information) ,Documentation ,Data collection ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Pandemic ,Mathematics education ,LB1501 Primary Education ,Certainty ,Science learning ,Psychology ,Test (assessment) ,media_common - Abstract
This research aims to identify the science misconceptions of elementary school students using CRI (Certainty of Response Index), as well as to describe the factors of students' misconceptions at Primary school Muhammadiyah 8 Tulangan. This research uses the descriptive qualitative method. The subjects used in this study were class V, totaling 26 students. Data collection techniques using the test, interviews, and documentation. Based on the results obtained from the research as a whole, the highest misconception is about the concept of the effect of temperature on changes in the shape of objects by 44.70%, the concept of temperature and heat by 39.42%, and the lowest misconception is about the concept of object properties by 32.04%. From the results of research using the CRI (Certainty of Response Index) method, several factors cause misconceptions, namely from the students themselves who come from the initial concept and students wrong intuition, then misconceptions from the teacher, as well as incomplete book explanations. So it can be concluded that science learning during the covid-19 pandemic caused misconceptions for students of Primary school Muhammadiyah 8 Tulangan. Keywords: Misconceptions; Material Temperature and Heat; CRI (Certainty of Response Index) method
- Published
- 2021
21. Examining Rules in Friends with Benefits Relationships
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Mark A. Generous, Paul A. Mongeau, Lisa J. van Raalte, and Lori A. Bednarchik
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Casual ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Exploratory research ,Computer-assisted web interviewing ,Certainty ,Romance ,Relational dialectics ,Friendship ,Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous) ,Thematic analysis ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,General Psychology ,media_common - Abstract
Establishing communicative and behavioral boundaries in romantic relationships provides partners with a greater sense of relational stability and certainty. For romantic relationships, these boundaries, such as sexual exclusivity, are relatively straightforward. For casual sex relationships, however, the relational rules are less stable and certain. This exploratory study examined rules in friends with benefits relationships (FWBRs) for 109 college students in the USA. Responses to open-ended questions were collected through an online questionnaire, and data were qualitatively analyzed through an inductive thematic analysis. The data were structured into communication rules, sexual rules, and relational definition rules. Results provide overlap and extension of previous work investigating rules in FWBRs. Notably, participants reported sexual exclusivity as an important rule. Additionally, potentially competing discourses in FWBR rules were best understood through the lens of relational dialectics. Findings reflect a tension in terms of relational work, as partners struggle with maintaining their sexual and friendship relationship while not falling into the “territory” of romantic relationships.
- Published
- 2021
22. From anticipation to behavioral intention: Insights into human processing of multiple retrieval cues in road traffic
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Greta Bollenbach, Kristin Mühl, Martin Baumann, Mirjam Lanzer, and Marie Aepfelbacher
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Process (engineering) ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Perspective (graphical) ,Transportation ,Certainty ,Anticipation (artificial intelligence) ,SAFER ,Automotive Engineering ,Psychology ,Road traffic ,Applied Psychology ,Civil and Structural Engineering ,Cognitive psychology ,media_common - Abstract
Anticipation in road traffic enables safer and more comfortable driving. Anticipatory driving is achieved through effective retrieval of prior driving-relevant knowledge using mental models and appropriate cues. Knowing when and which retrieval cues have a critical impact on the anticipation process and how information compatibility affects anticipation can be the basis for supporting people in anticipating and appropriate behavior in road traffic. For generating in-depth insights into the processing of retrieval cues, a video-based experimental study was conducted combining specific compatible and incompatible retrieval cues in urban driving scenarios. From a driver's perspective, participants were asked to anticipate in a two-step approach (measuring low and high certainty anticipation) whether a vehicle ahead would enter their lane or turn onto another street due to a lane blockage ahead. Further, they choose their preferred behavioral intention (accelerate, decelerate or maintain speed). In general, drivers strived for coherent situation representation, and in this process, multiple retrieval cues influenced anticipation in different ways. Participants were more likely to be consistent in their anticipation response. That is, they tend to follow their first intention (equivalent low and high certainty anticipation for either lane change or turn) even in the presence of incompatible stimuli. Inconsistent compared to consistent anticipation responses, however, led to reduced subjective confidence, and in part to increased criticality. Not only anticipation but also intended behavior was influenced by retrieval cues. In accordance, the anticipation of others' behaviors can be considered a predictor of specific intended behavior in road traffic.
- Published
- 2021
23. Lowering the Boom: A Brief for Penal Leniency
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Benjamin S. Yost
- Subjects
Punishment ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Less invasive ,Certainty ,Boom ,Course of action ,Philosophy ,Argument ,Philosophy of law ,Psychology ,Law ,Sentence ,media_common ,Law and economics - Abstract
This paper advocates for a general policy of penal leniency: judges should often sentence offenders to a punishment less severe than initially preferred. The argument’s keystone is the relatively uncontroversial Minimal Invasion Principle (MIP). MIP says that when more than one course of action satisfies a state’s legitimate aim, only the least invasive is permissibly pursued. I contend that MIP applies in two common sentencing situations. In the first, all sentences within a statutorily specified range are equally proportionate. Here MIP applies directly. In the second, judges reasonably believe that one of the sentences within the range is the most proportionate, but can’t identify it with any certainty. In these cases of sentencing uncertainty, judges must be indifferent between their preferred sentence and a softer one, and this indifference triggers MIP. MIP thus frequently mandates some degree of leniency. I conclude with some comments on statistical uncertainty.
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- 2021
24. Attitudes and attitude certainty guiding pro‐social behaviour as a function of perceived elaboration
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Richard E. Petty, David Santos, Borja Paredes, Pablo Briñol, Blanca Requero, Lorena Ortega Moreno, and UAM. Departamento de Psicología Social y Metodología
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Social Psychology ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Prosocial behaviour ,Attitude certainty ,Certainty ,Psicología ,Prosocial behavior ,Attitudes ,Perceived elaboration ,Function (engineering) ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,Elaboration ,media_common - Abstract
This research examined the effect of perceived elaboration on the relationship between attitudes and prosocial behaviour. Study 1 revealed that group fusion was more predictive of pro-group behaviour (donation to in-group members) when perceived elaboration was high rather than low. In Study 2, attitudes toward helping were more likely to guide prosocial behaviour (helping others in a learning task) for participants who reported higher levels of perceived elaboration. Studies 3 and 4 manipulated perceptions of elaboration, demonstrating that attitudes guided subsequent hiring decisions (Study 3) and an actual behavioural choice in a natural setting (Study 4), and that this link was stronger for those participants induced to believe that they engaged in high (vs. low) elaboration. Furthermore, Studies 2 and 4 revealed that the effects of perceived elaboration on attitude-behaviour correspondence were mediated by attitude certainty. The present research reveals that prosocial behaviour can be facilitated by taking into consideration meta-cognitive processes that accompany evaluation (perceived elaboration and attitude certainty), Research was supported by the Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación y Universidades, Gobierno de España (ES) [PSI2017-83303-C2-1-P]
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- 2021
25. Discounting Small Probabilities Solves the Intrapersonal Addition Paradox
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Petra Kosonen
- Subjects
Philosophy ,Discounting ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Certainty ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,Intrapersonal communication ,media_common - Abstract
Nebel argues for the Repugnant Conclusion via the “Intrapersonal Repugnant Conclusion,” on which certainty of a mediocre life is better for individuals than a sufficiently small chance of an excell...
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- 2021
26. International students’ knowledge and emotions related to academic integrity at Canadian postsecondary institutions
- Author
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Loie Gervais, Brenda M. Stoesz, Lisa Vogt, and Hafizat Sanni-Anibire
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Canada ,Higher education ,International student ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Emotions ,Duplicate submission ,Academic integrity ,Theory and practice of education ,Education ,Misconduct ,Survey methodology ,Institution ,Contract cheating ,LB5-3640 ,media_common ,Medical education ,Postsecondary institution ,business.industry ,Academic misconduct ,Certainty ,Feeling ,Original Article ,Psychology ,business ,Social Sciences (miscellaneous) - Abstract
This study investigated the knowledge of academic integrity and associated emotions of a small sample of international students studying at Canadian postsecondary institutions (n = 60) using survey methodology. Depending on the survey item, 25–60 participants provided responses. Many respondents appeared knowledgeable about academic integrity and misconduct and reported that expectations in their home countries and in Canada were similar. There was, however, disagreement on the concept of duplicate submission/self-plagiarism, indicating an important gap in educating students about specific aspects of policy in postsecondary education in Canada. In addition, more than a third of respondents provided neutral responses to a situation involving contract cheating, suggesting a lack of certainty in how to respond when witnessing peers’ engagement in outsourcing academic work. Many respondents reported feeling confident upon reading the academic integrity and misconduct policies of their Canadian postsecondary institution, although nearly one third indicated feeling fearful, anxious, and/or confused. These negative feelings were associated with reduced knowledge of academic integrity and misconduct. Future research should further explore the experiences and emotions of international students related to academic integrity and misconduct to better understand the successes and challenges that they face in their postsecondary studies in Canada. Our findings have important implications for the delivery of academic integrity education, enhancing supports and resources, and refining academic integrity policies and procedures to improve the experience of students who come from abroad to study in Canada.
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- 2021
27. Confidence and Capital Raising
- Author
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Winifred Huang, Xingjie Wei, and Silvio Vismara
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Attractiveness ,Economics and Econometrics ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Strategy and Management ,Confidence ,Settore SECS-P/09 - Finanza Aziendale ,ICOs ,Alternative finance ,0502 economics and business ,Marketing ,Business and International Management ,Association (psychology) ,Capital raising ,Initial coin offerings ,media_common ,040101 forestry ,050208 finance ,Psychological research ,05 social sciences ,04 agricultural and veterinary sciences ,Certainty ,Raising (linguistics) ,Capital (economics) ,0401 agriculture, forestry, and fisheries ,Estimation methods ,Psychology ,Finance - Abstract
We investigate whether the confidence of management teams, defined as the certainty about handling what one desires to do, affects the capacity of firms to raise external capital. Drawing on psychology research, we run an experiment in which participants are asked to assess the confidence of the management teams of 515 initial coin offerings (ICOs) by appraising their pictures. Controlling for venture and offering characteristics, we find a positive association between confidence and the fundraising amount. The results are robust to alternative estimation methods and other visual traits such as attractiveness and intelligence. Our study highlights the importance of using images as a channel to communicate with prospective investors in alternative finance.
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- 2022
28. Cognitive Processes: Certainty vs Chance
- Author
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Zloteanu, Mircea
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bias ,accuracy ,likelihood ,decision-making ,deception detection ,Social and Behavioral Sciences ,veracity ,FOS: Psychology ,deception ,chance ,null result ,equivalence test ,bayesian ,Psychology ,confidence ,judgment ,uncertainty ,cognitive processes ,certainty - Abstract
Deception detection study concerned with how framing a question impacts veracity judgements
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- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. A Grounded Theory on Filipino Parents’ Acceptance of Their Trans Women Children
- Author
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Adelaida C. Gines and Angeli T. Austria
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Nonprobability sampling ,Gender identity ,Feeling ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Psychology (miscellaneous) ,Industrial and organizational psychology ,Certainty ,Psychology ,Applied Psychology ,Grounded theory ,Education ,media_common ,Developmental psychology - Abstract
This grounded theory investigated acceptance from the experiences of 28 Filipino parents whose children are self-identified trans women. Parent participants were recruited via snowball and purposive sampling techniques. Data were collected using in-depth interviews and reflective journals. Parents believe that trans women are God’s creation who manifest the thoughts, feelings, and actions of a woman and who are good natured and self-driven, genetically determined with unchangeable quality, visible in the community and need protection. Parents view themselves as stewards of the God-given gift with the role of protecting the safety and future of their trans women children despite having feelings of certainty and uncertainty. A strengths-based and child-centered process towards supportive environment for trans women’s gender identity was developed describing distinct processes in the pre-acceptance, acceptance, and post-acceptance phases. Parents have offered some alternative ways that strengthened their adaptation to effectively co-exist and maintain a healthy relationship with their trans women children.
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- 2021
30. An Investigation of Pakistani University Students’ Socioeconomic Classes, Gender and Dimensions in Epistemological Beliefs: Dependencies and Interlinks probed by Structural Equation Modeling Approach
- Author
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Hafeez ur Rehman, Rashid Ahmad, Rafaquat Ali, and Furrukh Bashir
- Subjects
Persistence (psychology) ,Variable (computer science) ,media_common.quotation_subject ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Survey research ,Certainty ,Psychology ,Socioeconomic status ,Structural equation modeling ,General Environmental Science ,media_common ,Epistemology - Abstract
Epistemological beliefs impact all aspects of students’ academic and learning behaviours. The different dimensions of epistemological beliefs comprise structure, source, certainty, ability to learns and speed to learn. The students’ naive and inadequate epistemological beliefs can have negative impacts on their regulation of learning, self-efficacy, interest in study, academic performance and persistence in studies. Likewise, the socioeconomic background can explain various differences in students’ beliefs. Epistemological beliefs have social and cultural underpinnings as well. For these reasons, the researchers examined the impact of university students’ socioeconomic classes on their epistemological beliefs. In survey research design, the data were collected from university students in an online survey. The structural equation modeling approach was chosen to detect significant regression paths in the model. The lower and upper lower socioeconomic classes were found to have significant impact on students’ epistemological beliefs. The variable gender did not appear to make significant contribution to students’ epistemological beliefs. The naive beliefs can severely impact university students’ academic behaviour, therefore epistemological beliefs of students from lower and upper lower socioeconomic backgrounds should be challenged and improved.
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- 2021
31. Sentence reductions for a guilty plea: The impact of the revised guideline on rates of pleas and ‘cracked trials’
- Author
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Jose Pina-Sánchez and Julian V. Roberts
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Plea ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Law ,Guideline ,Criminal procedure ,Certainty ,Psychology ,Guilty plea ,Sentence ,media_common - Abstract
In 2017, the Sentencing Council introduced a revised guideline for plea-based sentence reductions. The revisions were designed to provide greater certainty and to accelerate the timing of guilty pleas. Late pleas resulting in ‘cracked trials’ have long been a problem in the court system. The guideline was not intended to change the rate of defendants who plead guilty, but rather to increase the percentage of pleas entered early in the criminal process. This brief article reports findings from an analysis of data from the Crown Court before and after the introduction of the revised sentencing guideline. Findings reveal that the overall guilty plea remained stable over the period 2014–2019. The guideline appears to have had no effect on the timing of guilty pleas entered, and in fact the percentage of ‘cracked’ trials rose in the post-guideline period.
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- 2021
32. Contextual features for implementing epistemic modality in a common sense and in terms of gender
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Serhii Yevhenovych Maksimov and Nataliia Holubenko
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Modality (human–computer interaction) ,genetic structures ,LC8-6691 ,Continuous sampling ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Subject (philosophy) ,Gender ,Common sense ,Epistemic modality ,Certainty ,Subjective type of modality ,Means of expression ,Special aspects of education ,Education ,Formal implementation ,Expression (architecture) ,otorhinolaryngologic diseases ,Meaning (existential) ,Psychology ,psychological phenomena and processes ,media_common ,Cognitive psychology - Abstract
The subject of this research is epistemic modality, which is referred to a subjective type of modality in a common sense and in terms of gender; it is considered as the connection between a subject and an attribute. The purpose of this research is to study epistemic modality and its contextual features in a common sense and in terms of gender. The objectives of this article require application of several methods such as comparative analysis and text analysis. The methods favour the fact that the conclusions concerning the means of epistemic modality expression are maximally reliable. The method of continuous sampling was used to accumulate actual materials in terms of the gender approach. In the course of this study, the different types of epistemic modality such as epistemic modality of certainty / uncertainty, epistemic modality expressing the meaning of opinion – assumption, doubtful evaluation.
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- 2021
33. Textbooks of doubt, tested: the effect of a denialist framing on adolescents’ certainty about climate change
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K.C. Busch
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Cultural cognition ,business.industry ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Climate change ,Certainty ,Education ,Environmental education ,Framing (construction) ,Perception ,Phenomenon ,business ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,media_common - Abstract
In US school settings and materials, climate change is often framed as an uncertain phenomenon. However, the effect of such denialist representations on youth’s perceptions of climate change has no...
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- 2021
34. GRADE guidelines 32: GRADE offers guidance on choosing targets of GRADE certainty of evidence ratings
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Rebecca L. Morgan, Holger J. Schünemann, Reed A C Siemieniuk, Tahira Devji, Gregory Traversy, Bram Rochwerg, Behnam Sadeghirad, Monica Hultcrantz, Paul E. Alexander, Ariel Izcovich, Robin Christensen, Linan Zeng, Mohammad Hassan Murad, Romina Brignardello-Petersen, Nancy Santesso, and Gordon H. Guyatt
- Subjects
Evidence-based medicine ,Target of certainty of evidence rating ,Epidemiology ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Applied psychology ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Humans ,GRADE Approach ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Point estimation ,Health technology assessment ,media_common ,Contextualization ,Health technology ,Certainty ,Confidence interval ,GRADE ,Harm ,Practice Guidelines as Topic ,Systematic review ,Thresholds ,Construct (philosophy) ,Psychology ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery ,Systematic Reviews as Topic - Abstract
Objective To provide practical principles and examples to help GRADE users make optimal choices regarding their ratings of certainty of evidence using a minimally or partially contextualized approach. Study Design and Setting Based on the GRADE clarification of certainty of evidence in 2017, a project group within the GRADE Working Group conducted iterative discussions and presentations at GRADE Working Group meetings to refine this construct and produce practical guidance. Results Systematic review and health technology assessment authors need to clarify what it is in which they are rating their certainty of evidence (i.e., the target of their certainty rating). The decision depends on the degree of contextualization (partially or minimally contextualized), thresholds (null, small, moderate or large effect threshold), and where the point estimate lies in relation to the chosen threshold(s). When the 95% confidence interval crosses multiple possible thresholds (i.e., including both large benefit and large harm), it is not worthwhile for authors to determine the target of certainty rating. Conclusion GRADE provides practical principles to help systematic review and health technology assessment authors specify the target of their certainty of evidence rating.
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- 2021
35. GRADE notes: How to use GRADE when there is 'no' evidence? A case study of the expert evidence approach
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Paul Monagle, Sheila J. Hanson, Robby Nieuwlaat, Holger J. Schünemann, Carlos A. Cuello Garcia, Reem A. Mustafa, Meha Bhatt, Payal M. Patel, Wojtek Wiercioch, John J. Riva, John Wiernikowski, Sara K. Vesely, and Fiona Newall
- Subjects
Panel survey ,Medical education ,Evidence-Based Medicine ,Evidence-based practice ,Epidemiology ,business.industry ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Evidence-based medicine ,Certainty ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Systematic review ,Trustworthiness ,Health care ,Humans ,GRADE Approach ,030212 general & internal medicine ,business ,Psychology ,Venous thromboembolism ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery ,media_common - Abstract
Objectives One essential requirement of trustworthy guidelines is that they should be based on systematic reviews of the best available evidence. The GRADE Working Group has provided guidance for evaluating the certainty of evidence based on several domains. However, for many clinical questions, published evidence may be limited, too indirect or simply not exist. In this brief report (GRADE notes), we describe our method of developing evidence-based recommendations when publisheddirect evidence was lacking. Study Design and Setting When direct published literature was absent, an expert evidence survey was administered to panel members about their unpublished observations and case series. Focus was on collecting data about cases and outcome, not panel opinions. Results Out of 26 questions prioritized by the panel for pediatric venous thromboembolism, 12 had no, very limited, or very low certainty of evidence to inform them. The panel survey was administered for these questions. Conclusions Areas of sparse evidence often reflect key questions that are critical to address in clinical practice guidelines due to the uncertainty among health care providers. The expert evidence approach used in this study is one method for panels totransparently deal with the lack of published evidence to directly inform recommendations.
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- 2021
36. How the mere desire for certainty can lead to a preference for men in authority (particularly among political liberals)
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Cristina Cabras, Conrad Baldner, Antonio Pierro, and Daniela Di Santo
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leadership ,gender stereotypes ,need for cognitive closure ,sexism ,Social Psychology ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Certainty ,Preference ,Politics ,Lead (geology) ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,media_common - Published
- 2021
37. An empirical bioethical examination of Norwegian and British doctors' views of responsibility and (de)prioritization in healthcare
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Anne-Marie Nussberger, Julian Savulescu, Dominic Wilkinson, Jim A. C. Everett, Hannah Maslen, and Berit Bringedal
- Subjects
Prioritization ,Health (social science) ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Norwegian ,decision making ,Physicians ,Health care ,Humans ,Moral responsibility ,UK ,Prospective Studies ,media_common ,health priorities/ethics ,business.industry ,Norway ,Health Policy ,Bioethics ,Original Articles ,Public relations ,Certainty ,language.human_language ,Philosophy ,language ,Normative ,Original Article ,Ill health ,Health Facilities ,business ,Psychology ,Delivery of Health Care ,attitude of health personnel ,healthcare rationing/ethics - Abstract
In a world with limited resources, allocation of resources to certain individuals and conditions inevitably means fewer resources allocated to other individuals and conditions. Should a patient's personal responsibility be relevant to decisions re- garding allocation? In this project we combine the normative and the descriptive, conducting an empirical bioethical examination of how both Norwegian and British doctors think about principles of responsibility in allocating scarce healthcare re- sources. A large proportion of doctors in both countries supported including re- sponsibility for illness in prioritization decisions. This finding was more prominent in zero‐sum scenarios where allocation to one patient means that another patient is denied treatment. There was most support for incorporating prospective responsi- bility (through patient contracts), and low support for integrating responsibility into co‐payments (i.e. through requiring responsible patients to pay part of the costs of treatment). Finally, some behaviours were considered more appropriate grounds for deprioritization (smoking, alcohol, drug use)—potentially because of the certainty of impact and direct link to ill health. In zero‐sum situations, prognosis also influenced prioritization (but did not outweigh responsibility). Ethical implications are discussed. We argue that the role that responsibility constructs appear to play in doctors' decisions indicates a needs for more nuanced—and clear—policy. Such policy should account for the distinctions we draw between responsibility‐sensitive and prog- nostic justifications for deprioritization.
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- 2021
38. Why are world religions so concerned with sexual behavior?
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Jordan W. Moon
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Male ,Sexual Behavior ,media_common.quotation_subject ,education ,Morals ,050105 experimental psychology ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Cultural Evolution ,SAFER ,Humans ,0501 psychology and cognitive sciences ,Mating ,Sociocultural evolution ,Parental investment ,General Psychology ,Alloparenting ,media_common ,Parenting ,05 social sciences ,Certainty ,Morality ,humanities ,Religion ,Mate choice ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery - Abstract
Many religions emphasize the importance of sexual morality. This article argues mating strategies are central to understanding religion. I highlight the reproductive-religiosity model, which suggests that religious behavior is partly motivated by preferences for restricted mating strategies. I then discuss how religion can lead to reproductive benefits. Specifically, religions can make parenting a relatively safer strategy by increasing paternal certainty, which drives men toward parental investment, and alloparenting, which reduces offspring mortality rates. Next, I discuss the social implications of reproductive-religiosity, including mate selection and trust. Finally, I discuss the potential role of mating strategies in the evolution and cultural evolution of religion and discuss future directions for developing an approach to religion rooted in mating interests.
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- 2021
39. The Effect of First-Hand and Second-Hand Knowledge on Perceived Group Homogeneity and Certainty About Stereotype-Based Inferences
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Thalia H. Vrantsidis and William A. Cunningham
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Social Psychology ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Homogeneity (statistics) ,05 social sciences ,Developmental and Educational Psychology ,050109 social psychology ,0501 psychology and cognitive sciences ,Certainty ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,050105 experimental psychology ,media_common - Abstract
Stereotypes are often used to make inferences about others, yet can lead to problematic consequences, which get exacerbated when people are more confident in these inferences. The current research examines whether biases in people's first-hand and second-hand information about groups make groups appear overly homogeneous, leading to more confident inferences about group members. Supporting this, across two studies, groups appeared more homogeneous when people lacked first-hand information from personal experience with a group, as well as when stereotypes were based on second-hand information from the media or other people. However, only second-hand information increased confidence about group members, as lacking first-hand information reduced confidence about what groups and group members were like. Biases in homogeneity also had greater impact for typical rather than atypical group members. Thus, people may be especially confident in stereotype-based inferences when stereotypes are based on second-hand information and when group members appear typical of their group.
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- 2021
40. Certainty and uncertainty of the future changes planning and sunk costs
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London Aman, Anneke A. Duin, Brandy Schmidt, and A. David Redish
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Matching (statistics) ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Decision Making ,Foraging ,Within person ,Uncertainty ,Marginal value theorem ,Certainty ,Article ,Rats ,Task (project management) ,Behavioral Neuroscience ,Reward ,Animals ,Neuroeconomics ,Psychology ,Sunk costs ,media_common ,Cognitive psychology - Abstract
Many foraging experiments have found that subjects are suboptimal in foraging tasks, waiting out delays longer than they should given the reward structure of the environment. Additionally, theories of decision-making suggest that actions arise from interactions between multiple decision-making systems and that these systems should depend on the availability of information about the future. To explore suboptimal behavior on foraging tasks and how varying the amount of future information changed behavior, we ran rats on two matching neuroeconomic foraging tasks, Known Delay (KD) and Randomized Delay (RD), with the only difference between them being the certainty of the cost of future opportunities. Rats' decision-making strategies differed significantly based on the amount of future certainty. Rats on both tasks still showed suboptimality in decision-making through a sensitivity to sunk costs; however, rats on KD showed significantly less sensitivity to sunk costs than rats on RD. Additionally, on neither task did the rats account for travel and postreward lingering times as heavily as prereward foraging times providing evidence problematic for the Marginal Value Theorem model of foraging behavior. This suggests that while future certainty reduced decision-making errors, more complex decision-making processes unaffected by future certainty were involved and likely produced these decision-making errors within subjects on these foraging tasks. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).
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- 2021
41. O RENDIMENTO ESCOLAR DA CRIANÇA E DO ADOLESCENTE VÍTIMAS DE VIOLÊNCIA DOMÉSTICA
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Sileno Marcos Araújo Ortin, Aline Gabriela de Souza, Tiago Moreno Lopes Roberto, and Caroline Pazini Lima Trevizan
- Subjects
Power (social and political) ,media_common.quotation_subject ,education ,Impunity ,Domestic violence ,Fundamental rights ,Context (language use) ,Neutrality ,Certainty ,Inefficiency ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,media_common - Abstract
This study aims to address the concept of domestic violence against children and adolescents and their performance in school learning through evaluative parameters and, in addition, describe how these types of violence can influence the change in the behavior of children and adolescents. It is intended to identify the most “common” types of domestic violence and their consequences, thus observing how a conflicting family environment directly affects the child's mind in a large proportion, contributing to school failure. The violence suffered by a child at home and its aggravating factors in the classroom, with the aim of showing and alerting, so that educators come out of neutrality when they realize that a student is being a victim of violence, maintaining a respectful and trusting relationship with the child. children and adolescents and to seek affective measures to ensure fundamental rights. The factors that contribute to this practice being observed and maintained, among which we highlight: the power and gender relations prevalent in societies, the characteristics of the aggressor and the victim, cultural issues, absence of safe mechanisms and conflicts, fear to denounce the inefficiency of the assistance agencies and the certainty of impunity among others. This data collection intends to analyze practical experiences that are part of the context to be studied. A semi-structured questionnaire will be used as a data collection instrument to be applied with teachers and students of the school unit.
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- 2021
42. Words matter: How privacy concerns and conspiracy theories spread on twitter
- Author
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Giandomenico Di Domenico, Marco Visentin, Annamaria Tuan, and Visentin Marco, Tuan Annamaria, Di Domenico Giandomenico
- Subjects
Marketing ,conspiracy theory, consumer privacy, contact‐tracing apps, privacy concerns, Twitter, virality ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,business.industry ,media_common.quotation_subject ,conspiracy theory ,Twitter ,Internet privacy ,privacy concerns ,PsycINFO ,Certainty ,Style (sociolinguistics) ,virality ,consumer privacy ,contact-tracing apps ,Consumer privacy ,Social media ,Affect (linguistics) ,Psychology ,business ,Set (psychology) ,Applied Psychology ,media_common - Abstract
The use of contact-tracing apps to curb the spreading of the COVID-19 pandemic has stimulated social media debates on consumers' privacy concerns about the use and storage of sensitive data and on conspiracy theories positing that these apps are part of plans against individuals' freedom. By analyzing the type of language of tweets, we found which words, linguistic style, and emotions conveyed by tweets are more likely to be associated with consumers' privacy concerns and conspiracy theories and how they affect virality. To do so, we analyze a set of 5615 tweets related to the Italian tracing app "Immuni". Results suggest that consumers' privacy concerns and conspiracy theories belong to different domains and exert different effects on the virality of tweets. Furthermore, the characteristics of the text (namely, complexity, certainty and emotions) cue different Twitter users' behaviors. This study helps researchers and managers to infer the psychological mechanisms that lead people to spread tweets about privacy concerns and conspiracy theories as well as how these texts impact the user who receives it. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved)
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- 2021
43. Women's employment transitions: The influence of her, his, and joint gender ideologies
- Author
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Torsten Lietzmann and Daniela Grunow
- Subjects
Essentialism ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Perspective (graphical) ,Certainty ,language.human_language ,Unit (housing) ,Social security ,German ,Doing gender ,language ,Demographic economics ,Ideology ,Psychology ,Demography ,media_common - Abstract
Background: Research suggests that women’s employment decisions are influenced by not only their own gender ideologies but also their partners’. This paper is the first study examining the role of a couple’s joint gender ideology on the female partner’s employment transitions, specifically her work hours and employment breaks. Objective: The authors seek to advance research on the effects of gender ideologies on paid work transitions conceptually, arguing that a couple’s (dis)agreement on gender ideologies may be important. Methods: The authors use data from the German panel study Labour Market and Social Security (PASS) and logistic regression models estimating the probability of reducing work hours or taking an employment break between two successive panel waves. Results: Women’s gender ideologies impact their likelihood of reducing work hours and taking an employment break. The more egalitarian women are, the less likely they are to reduce their labor market participation. The male partner’s gender ideology initially appears irrelevant. However, when considering the couple as a unit, the authors find a couple effect of joint ideology: Women are more likely to reduce their work hours when both partners believe in gender essentialism as opposed to other couple-ideology constellations. For women’s employment breaks, findings also point to a couple-ideology effect, though with less statistical certainty. Conclusions: The couple perspective shows that his gender ideology matters only in relation to hers. Contribution: Introducing the couple perspective reveals that individual ideology measures provide a skewed picture of how gender ideologies actually work in couples to influence the gender division of paid work.
- Published
- 2021
44. 2020. COVID-19 and Its Ghosts at Our Doorsteps: Transformations, Opportunities and Limits
- Author
-
Valeria Pulcini
- Subjects
Subjectivity ,Value (ethics) ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Closeness ,Certainty ,Psychiatry and Mental health ,Clinical Psychology ,Surprise ,Aesthetics ,Isolation (psychology) ,Psychoanalytic theory ,Consciousness ,Psychology ,media_common - Abstract
The critical and dark period we are still experiencing is shared by everyone in the world. The pandemic in fact burst into private, social and working lives of all human beings. In telling a year-long story, my intent is to share what happened in my subjective reality, and my work as an analyst in Italy. The unsettling storm in the beginning, the vortex of changes in the setting, and the inner earthquake of questions and uncertainties, are feelings and experiences that are likely to recall analogies, memories or nightmares. My therapeutic work, at the time, focused on the pondered yet unthought processing and transformation of the sessions, in a dance between an ancient certainty and a new uncertainty, yet to experiment. In the ancient certainty lies the therapeutic dyad with its own subjectivity, story, and the need to be empathic and affective witnesses when it’s the hardest. In the uncertainty of the new, I have discovered the capability and the fear of losing myself, searching for an opening to be with my patients again, in the various paths, in similarities and differences, in shared pain and surprise. It is not over yet, but the light of the great thinkers and the closeness and support of my psychoanalytic community, have given me strength and hope in bearing the weight of these moments, and in keeping my consciousness and conscience awake for the reconstruction of the value of the interhuman world.
- Published
- 2021
45. Challenges in applying the GRADE approach in public health guidelines and systematic reviews: a concept article from the GRADE Public Health Group
- Author
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Gordon H. Guyatt, Miloslav Klugar, Holger J. Schünemann, Elie A. Akl, Lee Yee Chong, Miranda W. Langendam, Rebecca L. Morgan, Zuleika Saz-Parkinson, Beth Shaw, Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi, Olivia Crane, Reem A. Mustafa, Leslie Choi, Stefan K. Lhachimi, Eva Rehfuess, Michele Hilton Boon, Jesús López-Alcalde, Bradley C. Johnston, Hilary Thomson, Epidemiology and Data Science, APH - Methodology, and APH - Quality of Care
- Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty ,Epidemiology ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Guidelines as Topic ,Guidelines ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,GRADE Approach ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Social determinants of health ,Social determinants ,Nonrandomized studies ,Health policy ,media_common ,Public health ,Medical education ,Evidence-Based Medicine ,Guideline ,Certainty ,Grade Related Papers ,3. Good health ,GRADE ,Systematic review ,Thematic analysis ,Psychology ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery ,Systematic Reviews as Topic - Abstract
Background and Objective This article explores the need for conceptual advances and practical guidance in the application of the GRADE approach within public health contexts. Methods We convened an expert workshop and conducted a scoping review to identify challenges experienced by GRADE users in public health contexts. We developed this concept article through thematic analysis and an iterative process of consultation and discussion conducted with members electronically and at three GRADE Working Group meetings. Results Five priority issues can pose challenges for public health guideline developers and systematic reviewers when applying GRADE: (1) incorporating the perspectives of diverse stakeholders; (2) selecting and prioritizing health and “nonhealth” outcomes; (3) interpreting outcomes and identifying a threshold for decision-making; (4) assessing certainty of evidence from diverse sources, including nonrandomized studies; and (5) addressing implications for decision makers, including concerns about conditional recommendations. We illustrate these challenges with examples from public health guidelines and systematic reviews, identifying gaps where conceptual advances may facilitate the consistent application or further development of the methodology and provide solutions. Conclusion The GRADE Public Health Group will respond to these challenges with solutions that are coherent with existing guidance and can be consistently implemented across public health decision-making contexts. post-print 456 KB
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- 2021
46. Analyzing the paradigmatic cases of two persons with a disorder of consciousness: reflections on the legal and ethical perspectives
- Author
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Davide Torri, Davide Sattin, Lino Panzeri, and Mario Picozzi
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Health (social science) ,Consciousness ,Medical philosophy. Medical ethics ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Impartiality ,0603 philosophy, ethics and religion ,Morals ,Theresa Marie Schiavo ,Reconstruction of self-expression ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Humans ,Relationship between law and ethics ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Relation (history of concept) ,media_common ,Reciprocity (international relations) ,Disorders of consciousness ,Vegetative state ,R723-726 ,Eluana Englaro ,Time of care ,Health Policy ,Perspective (graphical) ,Reproducibility of Results ,06 humanities and the arts ,Certainty ,United States ,Epistemology ,Dilemma ,Issues, ethics and legal aspects ,Italy ,Philosophy of medicine ,Female ,060301 applied ethics ,Psychology ,Research Article - Abstract
Background Media have increasingly reported on the difficulties associated with end-of-life decision-making in patients with Disorders of Consciousness (DOC), contextualizing such dilemma in detailed accounts of the patient’s life. Two of the first stories debated in the scientific community were those related to the cases of two women, one American, the other Italian, who captured attention of millions of people in the first years of this third millennium. Methods Much has been written about the challenges of surrogate decision-making for patients in DOC, but less has been written comparing these challenges across legal systems and cultures. In our paper, we propose a systematic analysis of the final legal documents written by the American and Italian Courts in relation to the two cases, developing our discussion around three areas: the level of certainty/reliability of diagnosis and prognosis, the reconstruction of self-expression, time of illness and time of care. They are examples of the typical issues discussed by legal authors and allow us to understand the link and the difference between the legal and ethical perspectives. Results The legal approach to the two cases has some common elements: the need to be certain about the diagnosis and prognosis and the fact that the clinical criteria are necessary in determining the most appropriate treatments, although these criteria are not sufficient unless they are supplemented by the patient’s will. The issue of relations takes on importance both from a legal and an ethical point of view, but from two different perspectives. While ethics safeguards relationships by guaranteeing their differences and makes them reconcilable, law safeguards relationships by guaranteeing the cold forms of respect, equality, impartiality, symmetry, reciprocity, and irreversibility. In this perspective, the link between the time of care and the decision of the family members assumes importance. Conclusions The most interesting point that emerges from our analysis is the issue of relationships and how they affect decisions, both from a legal and ethical point of view. For this reason, during the patients’ hospitalization, it is necessary to identify ways in which they might give their opinion about the moral issues underlying their choices.
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- 2021
47. Interpretation, confidence and application of the standardised terms: Identified, Probable, Possible, Exclude and Insufficient in forensic odontology identification
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Jane Taylor, Kim Colyvas, Denice Higgins, Sher-Lin Chiam, and Mark Page
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media_common.quotation_subject ,Interpretation (philosophy) ,Forensic Medicine ,Certainty ,Confidence interval ,Pathology and Forensic Medicine ,Term (time) ,Forensic identification ,Identification (information) ,Scale (social sciences) ,Humans ,Grading (education) ,Psychology ,Forensic Dentistry ,Cognitive psychology ,media_common - Abstract
Forensic odontology identification scales are used to express certainty of identifications of deceased persons. These standardized scales are assumed to convey unambiguous expert opinions and facilitate communication between forensic odontologists and end users. However, to date no studies have investigated how the experts interpret and use these scales. Forensic odontology identification scales are used to express certainty of identifications of deceased persons. These standardized scales are assumed to convey unambiguous expert opinions and facilitate communication between forensic odontologists and end users. However, to date no studies have investigated how the experts interpret and use these scales. This paper aims to examine the interpretation of the DVISYS forensic identification scale and choices of the levels in the scale subsequent to, and derived from, comparison of pairs of dental radiographs by extending the analysis of the data collected in the study by Page and Lain et. al. 2017. The studied variables: self-reported confidence, forced binary decision of match and non-match, choice of level in the DVISYS scale (Identified, Probable, Possible, Insufficient and Exclude) were further analysed in this study using mixed models for relationships between the choices of level in the identification scale and the fundamental beliefs of likelihood of identification. The results of this further analysis showed that the reported confidence of the decisions was correlated to the difficulty of cases, and as confidence decreased the use of less definitive terms ('Probable', 'Possible' and 'Insufficient') increased. 'Probable' and 'Possible' were used mainly in underlying beliefs below that of 'Identified' whereas 'Insufficient' was used mainly to convey a sublevel of 'Exclude'. The use of 'Insufficient' in this study was not consistent with the prescribed definition of the term. The participants of the original study were not aware of the difficulty grading of the cases nor were required to grade them, however the reported confidence was systematically correlated to difficulty. Furthermore, indicated confidence level was correlated with choice of level on the scale in general, but the interpretation of the definition and application of the terms varied. The findings reported here contribute to the foundational knowledge of factors governing the interpretation and application of the DVISYS forensic odontology identification scale and suggest that this scale may need to be modified.
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- 2021
48. Gifted Students’ Beliefs about Knowledge and Learning
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Oktay Kizkapan and Oguzhan Nacaroglu
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Science ,Knowledge level ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Context (language use) ,Theory and practice of education ,Certainty ,Associative learning ,Alternative assessment ,Content analysis ,Concept learning ,Mathematics education ,Psychology ,LB5-3640 ,Sentence ,media_common - Abstract
Epistemological beliefs can be defined shortly as beliefs about the source, certainty, organization of knowledge, and beliefs on ability and speed of learning. Word association tests (WAT) are practical alternative assessment and evaluation tools that can reveal students' thoughts on different concepts. In this regard, this research aims to investigate the gifted students' beliefs about "knowledge" and "learning" concepts by using WAT. Phenomenology design was utilized in the research. The study was carried out with 118 gifted students studying at Science and Art Center in Turkey's Central East Anatolia Region in the 2018-2019 academic year. The word association test was used as a data collection tool. In this context, participants were given the concepts "knowledge" and "learning" and asked to write their associations about these concepts. They were then asked to make a sentence about each concept. Deductive content analysis was used to analyze the data. The research findings revealed that most students have sophisticated epistemological beliefs in specific knowledge, simple knowledge, source of knowledge, and quick learning dimensions. However, it has been found that the number of students in the sophisticated and naive categories of innate ability dimension is approximately equal.
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- 2021
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49. The lived experience of uncertainty in everyday life with MS
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Marianne Schmidt, Lasse Skovgaard, Karen la Cour, Jeanet Lemche, Nina Nissen, Anders Guldhammer Skjerbæk, Egon Stenager, Inge Gjerrild Søgaard, and Camilla Møhring Reestorff
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Male ,Multiple Sclerosis ,medicine.medical_treatment ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Applied psychology ,Face (sociological concept) ,everyday life ,multiple sclerosis ,Temporalities ,disease progression ,Adaptation, Psychological ,medicine ,Humans ,Longitudinal Studies ,Everyday life ,uncertainty ,Qualitative Research ,media_common ,Rehabilitation ,Lived experience ,Disease progression ,Uncertainty ,Certainty ,Embodied cognition ,Bodily surveillance ,symptom fluctuation ,Disease Progression ,Female ,Psychology ,control - Abstract
Purpose: This article examines how issues of control, certainty, and uncertainty are experienced and managed in everyday life with multiple sclerosis (MS) and explores the ways in which people living with MS make sense of these experiences. Materials and methods: Qualitative interviews with 23 women and men diagnosed with MS and four relatives were carried out in Denmark. Drawing on the notion of “phenomenological uncertainty,” a thematic approach was used to analyse the interview data. Results: Three themes characterise participants’ experience of uncertainty: the body and issues of control; symptom fluctuations and disease progression; understanding and interpreting embodied MS experiences. Shared, between the themes, is a focus on the body and multi-faceted bodily aspects of uncertainty across diverse temporalities. Conclusion: Phenomenological uncertainty shapes and pervades the everyday lived experience of MS in the present and future. Gaining a sense of control and certainty in the face of daily uncertainty demands ongoing self-surveillance, and the evaluation and reconciliation of fluctuating MS symptom expressions and disease progression with personal needs, abilities, and management strategies.IMPLICATIONS FOR REHABILITATION Rehabilitation professionals and physicians should consider the lived experience of uncertainty in everyday life with MS in all their contacts with people living with MS. The multi-faceted uncertainties experienced by people living with MS should be actively acknowledged and incorporated in discussions of MS rehabilitation options and when integrating MS guideline content into activities-of-daily-living advice. Discussions of MS medical treatment options should actively consider and integrate the multi-faceted uncertainties experienced by people living with MS.
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- 2022
50. Paradoxical Knowing and Strategic Ambiguity
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Olcaysoy Okten, Irmak
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FOS: Psychology ,Ambiguity ,Social Psychology ,Attitudes ,Psychology ,Person Perception ,Certainty ,Social and Behavioral Sciences ,Paradoxical Knowing ,Strategic - Abstract
We examine the relationship between chronic paradoxical knowing (PK) and the tendency to report that others' clearly positive or negative behaviors are ambiguous. Further, we test whether the tendency to ambiguate evaluations has a strategic value -to preserve one's epistemic status.
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- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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