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Children of individuals with bipolar disorder (bipolar offspring) are at increased risk for developing mood disorders, but strategies to predict mood episodes are unavailable. In this study, we used support vector machine (SVM) to characterize the potential of proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy ( 1 H-MRS) in predicting the first mood episode in youth bipolar offspring. From a longitudinal neuroimaging study, 19 at-risk youth who developed their first mood episode (converters), and 19 without mood episodes during follow-up (non-converters) were selected and matched for age, sex and follow-up time. Baseline 1 H-MRS data were obtained from anterior cingulate cortex (ACC) and bilateral ventrolateral prefrontal cortex (VLPFC). Glutamate (Glu), myo-inositol (mI), choline (Cho), N-acetyl aspartate (NAA), and phosphocreatine plus creatine (PCr + Cr) levels were calculated. SVM with a linear kernel was adopted to classify converters and non-converters based on their baseline metabolites. SVM allowed the significant classification of converters and non-converters across all regions for Cho (accuracy = 76.0%), but not for other metabolites. Considering all metabolites within each region, SVM allowed the significant classification of converters and non-converters for left VLPFC (accuracy = 76.5%), but not for right VLPFC or ACC. The combined mI, PCr + Cr, and Cho from left VLPFC achieved the highest accuracy differentiating converters from non-converters (79.0%). Our findings from this exploratory study suggested that 1 H-MRS levels of mI, Cho, and PCr + Cr from left VLPFC might be useful to predict the development of first mood episode in youth bipolar offspring using machine learning. Future studies that prospectively examine and validate these metabolites as predictors of mood episodes in high-risk individuals are necessary.

Objectives: To evaluate the clinical and neurochemical effects of 12-week fish oil, a source of omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids ( n -3 PUFAs), in depressed adolescents with a family history of bipolar I disorder. Methods: Adolescents with a current Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition, Text Revision diagnosis of Major Depressive Disorder or Depressive Disorder not otherwise specified, a Childhood Depression Rating Scale-Revised (CDRS-R) Version raw score of ≥40, and at least one biological parent with bipolar I disorder were randomized to double-blind treatment with fish oil (2100 mg/day) or placebo for 12 weeks. The primary outcome measure was change in CDRS-R total score, and secondary outcomes measures were change in manic symptoms (Young Mania Rating Scale), global symptom and functioning measures (Clinical Global Impression-Severity [CGI-S] /CGI Improvement [CGI-I], Children's Global Assessment Scale, and Child Behavior Checklist), safety and laboratory measures, and anterior cingulate cortex (ACC) and bilateral ventrolateral prefrontal cortex neurometabolite concentrations using proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy at 4 T. Results: Fifty-six patients were randomized, and 42 completed the 12-week trial (placebo: n  = 21; fish oil, n  = 21). Subjects randomized to fish oil, but not placebo, exhibited a significant baseline to endpoint increase in erythrocyte n -3 PUFAs. Reductions in CDRS-R scores did not differ between treatment groups ( p  = 0.15), and similar remission ( p  = 0.58) and response ( p  = 0.77) rates were observed. Fish oil produced a significantly greater decrease in CGI-S ( p  = 0.0042) and CGI-I ( p  = 0.036) scores compared with placebo. Baseline to endpoint change in ACC creatine ( p  = 0.004) and ACC choline (Cho) ( p  = 0.024) differed significantly between groups. Baseline ACC Cho levels were inversely correlated with baseline and baseline to endpoint change in CDRS-R scores, and baseline to endpoint change in ACC Cho correlated with baseline-endpoint change in CDRS-R scores and n -3 PUFA. There were no group differences in safety and tolerability ratings or laboratory measures. Conclusions: Fish oil monotherapy was not superior to placebo for reducing depressive symptoms in high-risk youth as assessed by the CDRS-R, but was safe and well tolerated and superior to placebo on clinician ratings of global symptom improvement. Associations among ACC Cho levels, depression symptom severity, and n -3 PUFA warrant additional investigation.