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Purpose: Radical prostatectomy, external beam radiotherapy and brachytherapy are accepted treatments for localized prostate cancer. However, it is unknown if survival differences exist among treatments. We analyzed the survival of patients treated with these modalities according to contemporary standards. Materials and Methods: A total of 10,429 consecutive patients with localized prostate cancer treated with radical prostatectomy (6,485), external beam radiotherapy (2,264) or brachytherapy (1,680) were identified. Multivariable regression analyses were used to model the disease (biopsy grade, clinical stage, prostate specific antigen) and patient specific (age, ethnicity, comorbidity) parameters for overall survival and prostate cancer specific mortality. Propensity score analysis was used to adjust for differences in observed background characteristics. Results: The adjusted 10-year overall survival after radical prostatectomy, external beam radiotherapy and brachytherapy was 88.9%, 82.6% and 81.7%, respectively. Adjusted 10-year prostate cancer specific mortality was 1.8%, 2.9% and 2.3%, respectively. Using propensity score analysis, external beam radiotherapy was associated with decreased overall survival (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.4–1.9, p <0.001) and increased prostate cancer specific mortality (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.0–2.3, p = 0.041) compared to radical prostatectomy. Brachytherapy was associated with decreased overall survival (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.4–2.1, p <0.001) but not prostate cancer specific mortality (HR 1.3, 95% CI 0.7–2.4, p = 0.5) compared to radical prostatectomy. Conclusions: After adjusting for major confounders, radical prostatectomy was associated with a small but statistically significant improvement in overall and cancer specific survival. These survival differences may arise from an imbalance of confounders, differences in treatment related mortality and/or improved cancer control when radical prostatectomy is performed as initial therapy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: Long-term prostate cancer specific mortality after radical prostatectomy is poorly defined in the era of widespread screening. An understanding of the treated natural history of screen detected cancers and the pathological risk factors for prostate cancer specific mortality are needed for treatment decision making. Materials and Methods: Using Fine and Gray competing risk regression analysis we modeled clinical and pathological data, and followup information on 11,521 patients treated with radical prostatectomy at a total of 4 academic centers from 1987 to 2005 to predict prostate cancer specific mortality. The model was validated on 12,389 patients treated at a separate institution during the same period. Median followup in the modeling and validation cohorts was 56 and 96 months, respectively. Results: The overall 15-year prostate cancer specific mortality rate was 7%. Primary and secondary Gleason grade 4–5 (each p <0.001), seminal vesicle invasion (p <0.001) and surgery year (p = 0.002) were significant predictors of prostate cancer specific mortality. A nomogram predicting 15-year prostate cancer specific mortality based on standard pathological parameters was accurate and discriminating with an externally validated concordance index of 0.92. When stratified by patient age at diagnosis, the 15-year prostate cancer specific mortality rate for pathological Gleason score 6 or less, 3 + 4, 4 + 3 and 8–10 was 0.2% to 1.2%, 4.2% to 6.5%, 6.6% to 11% and 26% to 37%, respectively. The 15-year prostate cancer specific mortality risk was 0.8% to 1.5%, 2.9% to 10%, 15% to 27% and 22% to 30% for organ confined cancer, extraprostatic extension, seminal vesicle invasion and lymph node metastasis, respectively. Only 3 of 9,557 patients with organ confined, pathological Gleason score 6 or less cancer died of prostate cancer. Conclusions: Poorly differentiated cancer and seminal vesicle invasion are the prime determinants of prostate cancer specific mortality after radical prostatectomy. The prostate cancer specific mortality risk can be predicted with remarkable accuracy after the pathological features of prostate cancer are known. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Purpose: Positive surgical margins increase the risk of biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy by 2 to 4-fold. The risk of biochemical recurrence may be influenced by the anatomical location and extent of positive surgical margins. In a multicenter study we analyzed the predictive usefulness of several subclassifications of positive surgical margins. Materials and Methods: The clinical information and followup data of 7,160 patients treated with radical prostatectomy alone at 1 of 3 institutions between 1995 and 2006 were modeled using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for biochemical recurrence. Positive surgical margins were analyzed as solitary vs multiple, focal vs extensive and apical location vs other. The usefulness of these subclassifications was assessed by the improvement in predictive accuracy of nomograms containing these parameters compared to one in which the surgical margin was modeled simply as positive vs negative. Results: The 7-year progression-free probability was 60% in patients with positive surgical margins. A positive surgical margin was significantly associated with biochemical recurrence (HR 2.3, p <0.001) after adjusting for age, prostate specific antigen, pathological Gleason score, pathological stage and year of surgery. An increased risk of biochemical recurrence was associated with multiple vs solitary positive surgical margins (adjusted HR 1.4, p = 0.002) and extensive vs focal positive surgical margins (adjusted HR 1.3, p = 0.004) on multivariable analysis. However, neither parameter improved the predictive accuracy of a nomogram compared to one in which surgical margin status was modeled as positive vs negative (concordance index 0.851 vs 0.850 vs 0.850). Conclusions: The number and extent of positive surgical margin significantly influence the risk of biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy. However, the empirical prognostic usefulness of subclassifications of positive surgical margins is limited. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Purpose: Accurate categorization of high risk prostate cancer cases remains elusive. Various schemes based on clincopathological criteria have been proposed to stratify cases by presumed recurrence risk. We determined whether survival outcomes are dependent on the specific definition. Materials and Methods: The study population included men who underwent radical prostatectomy from 1987 to 1995 (708) and 1996 to 2007 (3,351). Patients who received adjuvant therapy or had no postoperative prostate specific antigen were excluded from analysis. High risk patients were identified based on 6 commonly used definitions. Biochemical failure was defined as a prostate specific antigen of 0.4 ng/ml or greater and increasing or initiation of salvage therapy. Estimates of biochemical relapse-free survival were generated with the Kaplan-Meier method. Hazard ratios for disease recurrence were estimated using Cox proportional hazards analysis. Results: High risk patients determined by the 6 definitions demonstrated a 2.7 to 5.3-fold increased hazard of biochemical relapse, and 5 and 10-year biochemical relapse-free survival rates were 36% to 58% and 25% to 43%, respectively. When stratified by date of treatment high risk patients from 1987 to 1995 generally had worse biochemical relapse-free survival compared to those treated after 1996. Within each era the variation in biochemical relapse-free survival among various high risk definitions was not substantial. Conclusions: Biochemical relapse-free survival after radical prostatectomy does not vary substantially based on the specific definition of high risk prostate cancer. There is a trend toward improved biochemical relapse-free survival in patients treated more recently, perhaps reflecting stage migration or changes in surgical technique. The data suggest that high risk prostate cancer may represent a relatively homogeneous population. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Purpose: A significant proportion of patients with prostate cancer with Gleason score 6 disease at biopsy is upgraded to Gleason score 7 or higher after radical prostatectomy, increasing the risk of adverse outcome. We identified clinical and pathological parameters that predict pathological upgrading in this population. Materials and Methods: A total of 268 patients with biopsy Gleason score 6 prostate cancer who underwent biopsy and radical prostatectomy between October 1999 and January 2007 were included in the study. Pretreatment characteristics were used to identify predictors of pathological upgrading. Upgrading significance was established by comparing radical prostatectomy pathology between cases that were and were not upgraded. Results: A total of 134 patients (50%) were upgraded postoperatively to Gleason score 7 or higher. Preoperative prostate specific antigen greater than 5.0 ng/ml (p = 0.036), prostate weight 60 gm or less (p = 0.004) and more cancer volume at biopsy, defined by cancer involving greater than 5% of the biopsy tissue (p = 0.002), greater than 1 biopsy core (p <0.001) or greater than 10% of any core (p = 0.014), were associated with pathological upgrading. Upgraded patients were more likely to have extraprostatic extension and positive surgical margins at radical prostatectomy (p <0.001 and 0.001, respectively). Conclusions: Prostate specific antigen, prostate volume and biopsy cancer volume predict clinically significant upgrading in patients diagnosed with Gleason score 6 disease. These parameters may be valuable in the pretreatment risk assessment of this patient population. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]