9 results on '"Ma, Hsi-Yen"'
Search Results
2. Assessment of Storm‐Associated Precipitation and Its Extremes Using Observational Data Sets and Climate Model Short‐Range Hindcasts.
- Author
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Wu, Wen‐Ying, Ma, Hsi‐Yen, Lafferty, David Conway, Feng, Zhe, Ullrich, Paul, Tang, Qi, Golaz, Jean‐Christophe, Galea, Daniel, and Lee, Hsiang‐He
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC models ,MESOSCALE convective complexes ,CYCLONES ,STORMS ,ATMOSPHERIC rivers ,TROPICAL cyclones - Abstract
Heavy precipitation, often associated with weather phenomena such as tropical cyclones, extratropical cyclones (ETCs), atmospheric rivers (ARs), and mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), can cause significant socio‐economic loss. In this study, we apply atmospheric feature trackers to quantify the contributions of these storm types in observational data sets and climate model short‐range hindcasts. We generate a global hourly storm data set at 0.25° spatial resolution covering 2006–2020, based on the tracking results from TempestExtremes and Python FLEXible object TRacKeR. Our analyses show that these four storm types account for 67% of global annual mean precipitation and 82% of top 1% precipitation extremes, with MCSs mainly over the tropics, and ARs and ETCs over the midlatitudes. The percentage of precipitation contributions from these storms also show strong seasonality over many geographical locations. We further apply the tracking results to the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) short‐range hindcasts and evaluate how well these storms are simulated. The evaluation show that E3SM, with ∼1° resolution, significantly underestimates storm‐associated precipitation totals and extremes, especially for MCSs in the tropics. Our analysis also suggests that model fails to capture the correct mean diurnal phases and amplitude of MCS precipitation. This phenomenon‐based approach provides a better understanding of precipitation characteristics and can lead to enhanced model evaluation by revealing underlying problems in model physics related to precipitation processes associated with the heavy‐precipitating storms. Plain Language Summary: Earth system models are immensely useful for understanding how the climate system works. However, it is important to recognize that they have limitations including wet or dry precipitation biases caused by complicated factors. On the other hand, different storm types contribute to regional precipitation differently under varying conditions. Attributing precipitation to sourced storm types is a new approach to understanding model precipitation biases. Here we build a new data set to study precipitation from several storm types including tropical cyclones, extratropical cyclones, atmospheric rivers, and mesoscales convection systems. We find that these four storm types explain 67% of global mean precipitation and 82% of extreme precipitation. We also demonstrate the application of this tool for understanding biases in modeled precipitation. The future application of this new tool will shed light on the causes of modeled precipitation biases and underlying model problems. Key Points: A global observational database for tracking four major heavy‐rain storm systems is established for the 2006–2020These four storm systems contribute to over 67% of global annual mean precipitation and over 80% of top 1% precipitation extremesClimate model short‐range hindcasts underestimate the storm‐associated precipitation, especially for heavy precipitation extremes [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Diurnal cycle of precipitation over the tropics and central United States: intercomparison of general circulation models.
- Author
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Tao, Cheng, Xie, Shaocheng, Ma, Hsi‐Yen, Bechtold, Peter, Cui, Zeyu, Vaillancourt, Paul A., Van Weverberg, Kwinten, Wang, Yi‐Chi, Wong, May, Yang, Jing, Zhang, Guang J., Choi, In‐Jin, Tang, Shuaiqi, Wei, Jiangfeng, Wu, Wen‐Ying, Zhang, Meng, Neelin, J. David, and Zeng, Xubin
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CLIMATE change models ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,NUMERICAL weather forecasting ,BOUNDARY layer (Aerodynamics) ,RAINFALL ,GENERAL circulation model - Abstract
Diurnal precipitation is a fundamental mode of variability that climate models have difficulty in accurately simulating. Here the diurnal cycle of precipitation (DCP) in participating climate models from the Global Energy and Water Exchanges' DCP project is evaluated over the tropics and central United States. Common model biases such as excessive precipitation over the tropics, too frequent light‐to‐moderate rain, and the failure to capture propagating convection in the central United States still exist. Over the central United States, the issues of too weak rainfall intensity in climate runs is well improved in their hindcast runs with initial conditions from numerical weather prediction analyses. But the improvement is minimal over the central Amazon. Incorporating the role of the large‐scale environment in convective triggering processes helps resolve the phase‐locking issue in many models where precipitation often incorrectly peaks near noon due to maximum insolation over land. Allowing air parcels to be lifted above the boundary layer improves the simulation of nocturnal precipitation which is often associated with the propagation of mesoscale systems. Including convective memory in cumulus parameterizations acts to suppress light‐to‐moderate rain and promote intense rainfall; however, it also weakens the diurnal variability. Simply increasing model resolution (with cumulus parameterizations still used) cannot fully resolve the biases of low‐resolution climate models in DCP. The hierarchy modeling framework from this study is useful for identifying the missing physics in models and testing new development of model convective processes over different convective regimes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. On the Connection between Continental-Scale Land Surface Processes and the Tropical Climate in a Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere–Land System
- Author
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Ma, Hsi-Yen, Mechoso, C. Roberto, Xue, Yongkang, Xiao, Heng, Neelin, J. David, and Ji, Xuan
- Published
- 2013
5. Sensitivity of Global Tropical Climate to Land Surface Processes : Mean State and Interannual Variability
- Author
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Ma, Hsi-Yen, Xiao, Heng, Mechoso, C. Roberto, and Xue, Yongkang
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- 2013
6. On the Correspondence between Short- and Long-Time-Scale Systematic Errors in CAM4/CAM5 for the Year of Tropical Convection
- Author
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Xie, Shaocheng, Ma, Hsi-Yen, Boyle, James S., Klein, Stephen A., and Zhang, Yuying
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- 2012
7. Superior Daily and Sub‐Daily Precipitation Statistics for Intense and Long‐Lived Storms in Global Storm‐Resolving Models.
- Author
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Ma, Hsi‐Yen, Klein, Stephen A., Lee, Jiwoo, Ahn, Min‐Seop, Tao, Cheng, and Gleckler, Peter J.
- Subjects
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THUNDERSTORMS , *STATISTICS - Abstract
Daily and sub‐daily precipitation statistics are investigated from three global model ensembles: (a) global storm‐resolving models (GSRMs) with typical horizontal resolutions of ∼4 km, (b) "high"‐resolution global models with typical resolutions of ∼50 km and (c) "standard"‐resolution global models with typical resolutions of ∼100 km. Compared to two satellite rainfall datasets, GSRMs convincingly exhibit superior performance for statistics of heavier rain rate events including their diurnal cycle, spatial propagation and the amount contributed by intense precipitation, but not for statistics of weaker or shorter duration precipitation. Both high‐ and standard‐resolution models fail to simulate the correct phase and amplitude of diurnal cycle of precipitation and the propagating convection in the Central US, but high‐resolution models show relative improvement in the distribution of precipitation frequency and amount, especially for intense precipitation. Plain Language Summary: With the increasing in computation power in recent years, global storm‐resolving models (GSRMs), which have ultra‐high horizontal resolutions of 1–5 km and are capable of simulating convective storms directly, are now feasible to produce simulations beyond a month. In this study, we investigated how well these GSRMs simulate daily and sub‐daily precipitation statistics, and compared their performance with coarser‐resolution models (∼25–500 km). We demonstrated that these ultra‐high‐resolution global models outperform coarser‐resolution models in various aspects, such as the diurnal cycle of precipitation, the tropical precipitation intensity distribution of more intense events, and the propagating convection in the Central US. Key Points: Daily and sub‐daily precipitation statistics from global storm‐resolving models (GSRMs) and coarser resolution global models are compared to observationsGSRMs show superior performance for statistics of more intense precipitation events including their diurnal cycle and spatial propagationGSRMs are not superior for statistics of weaker or shorter duration precipitation [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
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8. Improved Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in E3SM With a Revised Convective Triggering Function.
- Author
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Xie, Shaocheng, Wang, Yi‐Chi, Lin, Wuyin, Ma, Hsi‐Yen, Tang, Qi, Tang, Shuaiqi, Zheng, Xue, Golaz, Jean‐Christophe, Zhang, Guang J., and Zhang, Minghua
- Subjects
CIRCADIAN rhythms ,METEOROLOGICAL precipitation ,MADDEN-Julian oscillation ,BOUNDARY layer (Aerodynamics) ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,POTENTIAL energy - Abstract
We revise the convective triggering function in Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Atmosphere Model version 1 (EAMv1) by introducing a dynamic constraint on the initiation of convection that emulates the collective dynamical effects to prevent convection from being triggered too frequently and allowing air parcels to launch above the boundary layer to capture nocturnal elevated convection. The former is referred to as the dynamic Convective Available Potential Energy (dCAPE) trigger and the latter as the Unrestricted Launch Level (ULL) trigger. Compared to the original trigger in EAMv1 that initiates convection whenever CAPE is larger than a threshold, the revised trigger substantially improves the simulated diurnal cycle of precipitation over both midlatitude and tropical lands. The nocturnal peak of precipitation and the eastward propagation of convection downstream of the Rockies and over the adjacent Great Plains are much better captured than those in the default model. The overall impact on mean precipitation is minor with some notable improvements over the Indo‐Western Pacific, subtropical Pacific and Atlantic, and South America. In general, the dCAPE trigger helps to better capture late afternoon rainfall peak, while ULL is key to capturing nocturnal elevated convection and the eastward propagation of convection. The dCAPE trigger also primarily contributes to the considerable reduction of convective precipitation over subtropical regions and the frequency of light‐to‐moderate precipitation occurrence. However, no clear improvement is seen in intense convection and the amplitude of diurnal precipitation. Key Points: A new trigger with a dynamic constraint on convection onset and the capability to detect moist instability above BL is tested in E3SMThe new trigger has minor impact on the mean state, but it leads to a substantial improvement in the diurnal cycle of precipitationThe dynamic constraint suppresses daytime convection, while the unrestricted launch level is key to capturing nocturnal elevated convection [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
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9. Evaluating the Bias of South China Sea Summer Monsoon Precipitation Associated with Fast Physical Processes Using a Climate Model Hindcast Approach.
- Author
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Chen, Wei-Ting, Wu, Chien-Ming, and Ma, Hsi-Yen
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC models ,METEOROLOGICAL precipitation ,GENERAL circulation model ,CIRCADIAN rhythms ,MONSOONS ,DISCRIMINATION (Sociology) ,SUMMER - Abstract
The present study aims to identify the precipitation bias associated with the interactions among fast physical processes in the Community Atmospheric Model, version 5 (CAM5), during the abrupt onset of the South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon, a key precursor of the overall East Asia summer monsoon (EASM). The multiyear hindcast approach is utilized to obtain the well-constrained synoptic-scale horizontal circulation each year during the onset period from the years 1998 to 2012. In the pre-onset period, the ocean precipitation over the SCS is insufficiently suppressed in CAM5 hindcasts and thus weaker land–ocean precipitation contrasts. This is associated with the weaker and shallower convection simulated over the surrounding land, producing weaker local circulation within the SCS basin. In the post-onset period, rainfall of the organized convection over the Philippine coastal ocean is underestimated in the hindcasts, with overestimated upper-level heating. These biases are further elaborated as the underrepresentation of the convection diurnal cycle and coastal convection systems, as well as the issue of precipitation sensitivity to environmental moisture during the SCS onset period. The biases identified in hindcasts are consistent with the general bias of the EASM in the climate simulation of CAM5. The current results highlight that the appropriate representation of land–ocean–convection interactions over coastal areas can potentially improve the simulation of seasonal transition over the monsoon regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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