1. Predicting mood decline following temporal lobe epilepsy surgery in adults.
- Author
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Doherty C, Nowacki AS, Pat McAndrews M, McDonald CR, Reyes A, Kim MS, Hamberger M, Najm I, Bingaman W, Jehi L, and Busch RM
- Subjects
- Adult, Affect, Age Factors, Clinical Decision Rules, Cognition, Comorbidity, Depression psychology, Depressive Disorder, Major psychology, Drug Resistant Epilepsy epidemiology, Drug Resistant Epilepsy psychology, Epilepsy, Temporal Lobe epidemiology, Epilepsy, Temporal Lobe psychology, Female, Functional Laterality, Humans, Male, Malformations of Cortical Development epidemiology, Marital Status, Mental Disorders epidemiology, Middle Aged, Postoperative Complications psychology, Risk Factors, Anterior Temporal Lobectomy, Depression epidemiology, Depressive Disorder, Major epidemiology, Drug Resistant Epilepsy surgery, Epilepsy, Temporal Lobe surgery, Postoperative Complications epidemiology
- Abstract
Objective: To develop a model to predict the probability of mood decline in adults following temporal lobe resection for the treatment of pharmacoresistant epilepsy., Methods: Variable selection was performed on 492 patients from the Cleveland Clinic using best subsets regression. After completing variable selection, a subset of variables was requested from four epilepsy surgery centers across North America (n = 100). All data were combined to develop a final model to predict postoperative mood decline (N = 592). Internal validation with bootstrap resampling was performed. A clinically significant increase in depressive symptoms was defined as a 15% increase in Beck Depression Inventory-Second Edition score and a postoperative raw score > 11., Results: Fourteen percent of patients in the Cleveland Clinic cohort and 22% of patients in the external cohort experienced clinically significant increases in depressive symptoms following surgery. The final prediction model included six predictor variables: psychiatric history, resection side, relationship status, verbal fluency score, age at preoperative testing, and presence/absence of malformation of cortical development on magnetic resonance imaging. The model had an optimism-adjusted c-statistic of .70 and good calibration, with slight probability overestimation in higher risk patients., Significance: Clinicians can utilize our nomogram via a paper tool or online calculator to estimate the risk of postoperative mood decline for individual patients prior to temporal lobe epilepsy surgery., (© 2021 International League Against Epilepsy.)
- Published
- 2021
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