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Happy Halloween from Hotline! With less than a week to go until Election Day, we've entered the witching hour where wins become losses, and losses become wins. As we've https://go2.nationaljournal.com/NTU2LVlFRS05NjkAAAGWgjlAssYcjmZdDN8w31BmxDGlHM5AUfeovLcKLZM6rmhO-8fY2aRn8E973GfJnGgv7B2Wcfs=, [...]

Republicans are poised to win the majority. The Senate map looks largely the same as the campaign season nears its end, and Republicans' chances of winning the majority stay strong. [...]

The more things change, the more they stay the same. Do not adjust your television sets:While the messaging may be quite familiar, Democrats' messenger is different in the waning days [...]

GOP candidates are igniting the culture wars. Republicans are hammering Democrats on transgender issues in the closing weeks of the campaign, hoping the culture war over women's sport participation, bathrooms, [...]

RACE FOR THE HOUSE:HMP Cuts Ads in Sign of Confidence The Democratic-aligned House Majority PAC 'is slashing millions in TV ad reservations in the final weeks'mostly out of confidence because [...]

Wooing Republicans could win Harris the White House. Vice President Kamala Harris went into the Fox den last night for her most contentious interview since securing the nomination. While the [...]

It's anyone's game in the race for the House. Summer volatility at the top of the ticket has not necessarily affected the race for the House. All cycle, Democratic and [...]

A Republican majority looks likely after November's election. Despite a change at the top of the ticket and the momentum behind Vice President Kamala Harris's substitute campaign, the battle for [...]

Entering the homestretch, Democrats need to net just four seats to flip the House. Wresting control of the House from Republicans might be Democrats' best election bet heading into the [...]

RACE FOR THE HOUSE:NRCC Expands Ad Reservation The NRCC 'is adding more than $1.5 million to its ad reservations as it plays both offense and defense in its bid to [...]

Harris sets the tone for the future. A month ago yesterday, PresidentBidenstepped down and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harrisas his successor. Tonight, the most frantic month in Democratic politics in [...]

Stars power the DNC. A little more than a month ago, Democrats were dreading the prospect of coming to Chicago and renominating President Biden. Stars were scant, the mood was [...]

The successful GOP primary season closes. Last night's perfunctory GOP primary in Wisconsin filled in the last blank space on Republicans' Senate battlefield. Real estate executive Eric Hovde (R) cruised [...]

Activists believe Kamala Harris can make the case for abortion access in a way that Biden could not. If this past weekend was any indication, Democrats are going to spend [...]

The remaining questions after President Biden dropped out. President Biden's earth-shattering decision to step aside might have answered one big question, but it has birthed dozens of others. Here are [...]

This week's confab comes as the nation is on the edge. For the first time in eight years, a major political party will convene in-person to approve their party platform [...]

The president is running out the clock and letting the Democratic fever break. Nearly two weeks after President Biden's disastrous debate performance, Democrats are at an impasse. The floodgates of [...]

DEMOCRATS:Biden Digs In As Democrats Mull Calling Him to Step Aside President Biden rebuked calls for him to step aside in a letter to House Democrats on Monday, writing 'that [...]

PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE:Hillary Clinton, Other Dems, Prep Biden Hillary Clinton, 'the only person to have debated both' President Biden and former President Trump, offered her advice ahead of the two men's [...]

STATE OF THE STATES:Abortion-Rights Advocates Push to Expand Access in Red States 'A‚Çïbortion-rights advocates have a plan to undo dozens of longstanding restrictions in some of the country's more conservative [...]

BATTLE FOR THE SENATE:Vulnerable Democrats Hold Back on Climate Vulnerable Democrats have distanced themselves from the climate policies they once pushed through just two years ago as they downplay legislation [...]

Loyalty is not just another word in the dictionary for former President Trump, and Rep. Bob Good (R-VA 05) could find that out the hard way in his primary tonight [...]

BATTLE FOR THE SENATE:Republicans Rally Around Convicted Trump Nearly all Republican Senate candidates https://go2.nationaljournal.com/NTU2LVlFRS05NjkAAAGTbky1YRzQoUfRttnpGcksRJeh0Z0d-4MvJq3vWmc09xdmgMbQ05zJkV8Hcvoey8lRq3dMbEI= former President Trump's claims that the prosecution and the verdict were politically motivated'except for former Maryland [...]

BATTLE FOR THE SENATE:Democratic Majority Relies on Split-Ticket Voting 'Democrats' chances of hanging on to control of the Senate next year hinge on at least two Democratic senators pulling off [...]

AD ROUNDUP:Challengers Release Bipartisan-Focused Ads Former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan (R) 'is insisting' that 'Republicans can't take his vote for granted in the Senate' in his second ad of the [...]

It's the beginning of the end for former President Trump's hush-money trial as closing arguments started today. Trump could very well become the first former president convicted of a felony [...]

BATTLE FOR THE SENATE:Rick Scott Rolls Into Leadership Race Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL) entered the race to replace Minority Leader Mitch McConnell as GOP leader. Scott joins Minority Whip John [...]

BATTLE FOR THE SENATE:Busting Up the Filibuster Vulnerable Democrats are floating changes to the filibuster rules to protect abortion access 'if Democrats retain control of the chamber.' * ON WISCONSIN.Sen. [...]

In the immediate aftermath of the 2016 election, progressives like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY 14) notched surprising victories over entrenched incumbents as the Democratic electorate seemed more open to a [...]

DISPATCH FROM MARYLAND:Old Bay Battle Reaches End The last few days in the Senate primary are a nail-biter, where despite Rep. David Trone (D-06) spending over $60 million of his [...]

BATTLE FOR THE SENATE:Money Doesn't Paper Over Problems Republicans recruited wealthy self-funders to flip the Senate, but the strategy 'risks elevating untested candidates who might not be prepared for the [...]

Republicans are chafing at their coverage. Republicans are banking on deep-pocketed political outsiders to flip the Senate, betting that voters will reward contrasts with 'career politicians' in the Democratic Party. [...]

Takeaways from the quarterly fundraising reports. Today Hotline published its quarterly fundraising charts for https://go2.nationaljournal.com/NTU2LVlFRS05NjkAAAGShn0DDWCX5oZOtWHBl8mZdP_qcMH_Qij-GEbVkcLERpSZ0T_pPlGFH_0lyjZsa4e24Kz8ytI= and https://go2.nationaljournal.com/NTU2LVlFRS05NjkAAAGShn0DDLHH8ZgMfuXLcdCi_M46GAhVxr6qvUvVQWHcnV0BPfemfT8b-RWd0DDJQ6t1gHYUOZc= campaigns and committees. The 30,000 foot takeaway from the presidential and congressional fundraising [...]

Republicans remain in the driver's seat as matchups are set. Republicans have multiple paths back to power in the Senate, while Democrats' margin for error continues to shrink. The top [...]

A powerful pro-Israel PAC endorsed challenges to two incumbents. The powerful Democratic Majority for Israel PAC backed challengers to two progressive lawmakers Wednesday, escalating the tensions within the Democratic Party [...]

Preparing for election weeks rather than election night. Nearly a month has passed since voters went to the primary polls in California, and at least one race is still up [...]

The closing weeks of the GOP primary have turned ugly. Tonight the bruising battle for the GOP Senate nomination in Ohio reaches its conclusion. The race will determine the challenger [...]

CALIFORNIA:The Path to Power Runs Through Southern California Rep. Adam Schiff (D-30) is all but certain to be the next senator from California. Along with Sen. Alex Padilla (D), both [...]

All alternative routes are (mostly) closed. Former President Trump's 30-point win was more dominant than nearly any open race performance in the history of the Iowa caucuses. He performed like [...]

RACE FOR THE HOUSE:Kevin McCarthy Keeps the Checkbook Open The rumors of Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA 20) walking away from the GOP money race appear to be greatly exaggerated'for now. [...]

Beneath the topline takeaways, there were some good omens for Republicans last week. Last week's elections were full of encouraging signs for Democrats. As we recapped in the latest episode [...]

The last few days have been the embodiment of the https://go2.nationaljournal.com/NTU2LVlFRS05NjkAAAGPWRh5XjsJb3lpj_eENvI65SUg3J_jMoGVMPXxZQswxGBeyXzrHhTfwg3cVnH2vNJyFbttE_g= dichotomy for Democrats. The week started off with the dire New York Times /Siena College https://go2.nationaljournal.com/NTU2LVlFRS05NjkAAAGPWRh5XUgptx0pCM_mC-qKtChSMey2IoZQAc9jG4JLmzubo7MtQEOrQrLAbBFMIaH-WcO6uu0= that found President [...]

Lessons from the off-year elections. Democrats scored wins across the board in Tuesday's off-year elections, headlined by the reelection of Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear (D) and voters in Ohio codifying [...]

Examining the increasingly diverse makeup of Congress. This is the most diverse Congress in history. While still lagging behind the demographic makeup of the country as a whole, more women [...]

The new speaker needs to talk with his checkbook. Rep. Mike Johnson (R-LA 04) yesterday did what no other Republican leader could:ended the weeks-long chaos that halted normal business in [...]

The race for the gavel drags into its second week. Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA 20) was ousted from the speakership a week ago. After seven days of wheeling, dealing, and [...]

Democrats need to defy political gravity again to keep their narrow majority. Democrats next year will be hard-pressed to hold their slim majority in the Senate, playing defense in 23 [...]

GOP infighting can only go so far. Democrats are following strategist James Carville's https://go2.nationaljournal.com/NTU2LVlFRS05NjkAAAGOn3gy1xc5XzL3qOeY4aYDPTuM56U_RbrVhwl7Lu0vaHYtsfiXRdI2mbyu5TTWFsAox4E0HnI= of scandal as House Republicans imploded over the ouster of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy:when your opponent [...]

What's next for the raucous caucus. The beginning of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy's https://go2.nationaljournal.com/NTU2LVlFRS05NjkAAAGOmlHKbh3XyxN8qOvf0K5eEO-uv8h2XiEKNRrXTbEYFSgh0XBrtitHJmiRm5Kgk_koi2QBE7U= began early on the night of Nov. 8, 2022 when it became rapidly apparent that the [...]

Despite some hiccups, and a https://go2.nationaljournal.com/NTU2LVlFRS05NjkAAAGOkAwfnLyzwIko-jIpk-ZiW8eBhGlvkQc7sWhkpNN97wvUBzVLDvZnOIWqo4UsjHaX4nctYz4=, Speaker Kevin McCarthy averted a government shutdown over the weekend. The House passed a bipartisan 45-day continuing resolution to keep the government funded at [...]