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A combination of "environmental factors" in the U.S. has led to an increased demand for health care professionals. However, there has been a significant decrease in the number of U.S. medical graduates selecting careers in family medicine and general internal medicine, thus driving demand for international medical graduates. At the heart of our national workforce policy needs to be good domestic and foreign policies, such as self-sufficiency approaches that include strategies to incentivize rural and underserved practice for U.S. medical graduates.

Almost 60,000 Indian physicians practice in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia--a workforce equal to 10 percent of the physicians in India and the largest émigré physician workforce in the world. I traveled to India to interview leaders in medical education, health policy, and public health, to better characterize and understand Indian physician emigration. A changing political and policy environment in India is raising new questions about what might be done to keep more of India's physicians at home.

Background: There has been substantial immigration of physicians to developed countries, much of it coming from lower-income countries. Although the recipient nations and the immigrating physicians benefit from this migration, less developed countries lose important health capabilities as a result of the loss of physicians., Methods: Data on the countries of origin, based on countries of medical education, of international medical graduates practicing in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia were obtained from sources in the respective countries and analyzed separately and in aggregate. With the use of World Health Organization data, I computed an emigration factor for the countries of origin of the immigrant physicians to provide a relative measure of the number of physicians lost by emigration., Results: International medical graduates constitute between 23 and 28 percent of physicians in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia, and lower-income countries supply between 40 and 75 percent of these international medical graduates. India, the Philippines, and Pakistan are the leading sources of international medical graduates. The United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia draw a substantial number of physicians from South Africa, and the United States draws very heavily from the Philippines. Nine of the 20 countries with the highest emigration factors are in sub-Saharan Africa or the Caribbean., Conclusions: Reliance on international medical graduates in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia is reducing the supply of physicians in many lower-income countries., (Copyright 2005 Massachusetts Medical Society.)

The challenge of building new medical schools or expanding the class size of current ones is a lengthy and costly enterprise. That reality argues for the creation of a national vision about how to proceed and what to prioritize, a vision that could serve as a map for public and private officials considering further investment in medical education. A national commission funded by one or several health philanthropies is suggested as an expeditious vehicle to focus this discussion and move the debate forward. Instructive educational innovations in osteopathic and nursing education are suggested as germane to the deliberations of a national commission, as are creative means of student funding.

Managed care has been growing and likely will increase market share. This movement will require fundamental alterations in the number and specialty distribution of physicians. Under current production, future supply does not appear well-matched with requirements. Although the adequacy of generalist supply is of concern, the oversupply of specialists is the overriding problem. Neither reducing the number of first-year residents nor increasing the generalist output alone would bring both generalist and specialist supply within requirement ranges. Combining an increase in generalist production to 50% with a reduction in first-year residents to 110% of the number of U.S. medical graduates would minimize the projected specialty surplus while maintaining generalist supply within the requirement range.

The health care delivery system in the United States is in transition. Increasingly managed care plans are gaining in predominance. The proliferation of managed care systems will have an impact on the demand and requirements for physicians. This paper attempts to project and estimate requirements for physicians in 2000 and 2020, assuming that the health care system will continue to be dominated by managed care. The projections are then compared to forecasts of physician supply under two separate physician production scenarios. The authors discuss the adequacy of the future physician workforce to provide services required by a health care system dominated by managed care.

Objective: Because of the size and growth of the international medical graduate (IMG) contribution to graduate medical education (GME) in the United States, and subsequently to the US physician workforce, it is essential to understand the demographics and patterns of IMG training and practice as well as the routes of entry into the United States., Data Sources: Published data from the American Medical Association, the American Osteopathic Association, and the Association of American Medical Colleges; tabular runs of county-level data contained on the Bureau of Health Professions' Area Resource File., Results: The majority of IMGs who participate in GME in the United States ultimately enter US practices. A significant proportion of exchange visitors eventually enter into permanent practice in the United States, contrary to the intent of the J-1 visa-based GME training as an international educational exchange program. International medical graduates gravitate toward initial residency programs in internal medicine and pediatrics, many of which have unfilled positions; however, IMGs subspecialize at a disproportionately high rate, reducing their net contribution to the generalist pool. Patterns of ultimate practice location of IMGs parallel the patterns of US medical graduates (USMGs)., Conclusions: In recent years, participation of IMGs in GME and practice has increased significantly. Most IMGs in GME are not exchange visitors, but are either permanent residents or US citizens. Patterns of specialization and location of IMGs ultimately mirror those of USMGs. National IMG policy must be examined in light of the projected surplus of physicians in the United States. The best option for long-term control of the number of physicians in practice, USMG or IMG, is a system of specifying the number of GME positions nationally.

Profiles American physician Richard Perry. Professional experience; Length of medical practice; View on the medical profession.