1. Plasma level of soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) predicts long-term mortality after first acute alcohol-induced pancreatitis.
- Author
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Aronen A, Aittoniemi J, Huttunen R, Nikkola A, Nikkola J, Limnell O, Nordback I, Sand J, and Laukkarinen J
- Subjects
- Adult, Aged, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Multivariate Analysis, Pancreatitis, Alcoholic diagnosis, Pancreatitis, Alcoholic mortality, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, ROC Curve, Recurrence, Survival Analysis, Biomarkers blood, Pancreatitis, Alcoholic blood, Receptors, Urokinase Plasminogen Activator blood, Severity of Illness Index
- Abstract
Background: Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is a biomarker associated with inflammatory and certain malignancies. Earlier we have shown that plasma suPAR (P-suPAR) predicts severity of acute alcohol-induced pancreatitis (AAP) on admission. Our aim was to investigate whether P-suPAR levels predict AAP recurrences or mortality during long-term follow-up after first AAP., Methods: Eighty-three patients (median age 47.5, range 25-71 years) suffering their first AAP during 2001-2005 were recruited and followed prospectively for 9 years with a median follow-up time of 7.0 (range 0.3-9.8) years. P-suPAR was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) from the samples taken at follow-up visits. Survival was registered in November 2014., Results: P-suPAR level on admission or after recovery of the first AAP did not predict the recurrence of AAP. However, higher P-suPAR measured after recovery of first AAP (3.6 vs. 2.9 ng/mL) predicted mortality during follow-up period (hazard ratio 1.48, p = .008). Cut-off value for P-suPAR indicating a higher risk for 10-year mortality resulted a value of ≥3.4 ng/mL. When adjusted for other covariates, P-suPAR above cut-off level retained its statistical significance as an independent factor., Conclusions: P-suPAR level on admission or after recovery of the first AAP does not predict the recurrence of AAP during long-term follow-up. However, P-suPAR ≥3.4 mg/mL measured after recovery from first AAP is associated with an increased risk of 10-year mortality as an independent factor. This can be used to detect patients with highest risk after AAP, in order to focus the preventive healthcare actions., (Copyright © 2018. Published by Elsevier B.V.)
- Published
- 2019
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