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Background: Bilateral THAs performed in the same patient should not be considered independent observations, neither biologically nor statistically. As a result, when surgical results are reviewed, it is common to analyze only the first of the two hips, assuming that the first, and not the second hip of a staged bilateral THA, better resembles unilateral THAs. This assumption has not been empirically justified.Question/purposes (1) In patients with staged bilateral THA, is the first or second hip more similar to a unilateral THA in terms of age at surgery, presence of any preoperative Charlson comorbidity, and risk of postoperative reoperation? (2) Should the date of a first or second hip surgery of a staged bilateral THA be used as a starting point for patient survival to better resemble patients with unilateral THA?, Methods: We identified 68,357 THAs due to osteoarthritis in 63,613 patients from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register (SHAR) in 1999-2015. Of those THAs, 14,780 concerned the first hip of a staged bilateral procedure performed between 1999 and 2004; 28,542 were unilaterals from 2004 to 2008, and 25,035 concerned the second hip of a staged bilateral procedure performed 2008 to 2015. We excluded patients who underwent one-stage bilateral THAs. We used different inclusion periods to distinguish unilateral procedures from the first and second hips from staged bilateral procedures because sufficiently long set-up and follow-up periods were needed before and after each period to identify possible contralateral THAs. This introduced potential period confounding, meaning that possible group differences might not be distinguished from unrelated outcome differences over time. We investigated if such time trends existed. It did not for age and reoperation rates, but it did for comorbidity and patient survival. Our primary study endpoint was whether patients with unilateral THAs were more similar to patients with a first hip of a staged bilateral THA, or to patients with their second hip operated. We used Student's t-test to compare mean age at surgery. The proportion of patients with at least one presurgery Charlson comorbidity were compared by 95% bootstrap confidence intervals, after subtracting the yearly time-trend to avoid period confounding. Postoperative risks of reoperation were compared by log-rank tests of Kaplan-Meier curves and by comparing 5-year reoperation rates by pair-wise 95% CIs. Our secondary study endpoint was to compare patient survival for patients with a unilateral THA, a first hip of a staged bilateral THA, or a second hip of a staged bilateral THA. We evaluated this by relative 5-year survival, comparing patients of each group with the general Swedish population of the same age, sex, and year of birth. This way, possible survival differences would be less likely explained by period confounding., Results: Patients undergoing unilateral THA were older than those undergoing a first hip of a staged bilateral THA (70 ± 10 versus 66 ± 9 years, mean difference of 4; p < .001), but they were not different from patients undergoing the second hip of a staged bilateral THA (70 ± 9 years, mean difference of 0; p = 0.74). The period-adjusted proportion of patients with unilateral THA and presurgery comorbidity (Charlson index > 0) was 20% (95% CI: 19.8-20.7). This was no different from patients with a second hip from a staged bilateral THA (20%; 19.7-20.6), but higher compared to patients with a first hip of a staged bilateral THA (15%; 14.5-15.4). For reoperation rates, the log-rank tests showed no difference between unilateral THAs and the second hips of staged bilateral THAs ((Equation is included in full-text article.)). Such difference was found for unilaterals compared with the first hips of staged bilateral THAs ((Equation is included in full-text article.)). The Kaplan-Meier estimate of reoperation rates at 5 years after surgery were also no different for the unilateral THAs compared with the second hips of staged bilateral THAs (3% [95% CI 2.8 to 3.2] for both groups). It was lower (2% [95% CI 1.8 to 2.3]) for a first hip of a staged bilateral THA. For the secondary outcome, the relative 5-year survival differed for all groups. It was 105% (95% CI 104.9 to 105.9) for patients with unilateral THA, 107% (95% CI 106.3 to 107.4) for patients with a second hip from a staged bilateral THA and 109% (95% CI 108.8 to 109.5) for patients with a first hip of a staged bilateral THA. Patients with only a first hip of a planned staged bilateral THA who did not survive long enough to undergo their second THA were classified as unilaterals. The rank-order of survival curves are therefore by design ("immortal time bias"). We conclude, however, that survival for patients with unilateral THA more closely resembles the survival of patients with a second hip of a staged bilateral THA, compared with the first., Conclusions: Our findings, which are based on observational register data, challenge the common practice in epidemiologic studies of analyzing only the first hip of a staged bilateral THA. We recommend analyzing the second THA in a patient who has undergone staged bilateral THA rather than the first because the second procedure better resembles unilateral THA., Level of Evidence: Level III, therapeutic study.

Background: Although the use of thromboprophylaxis is well established, there is no consensus on the preferred thromboprophylaxis regimen after THA; large, population-based studies offer an opportunity to examine this problem in a robust way that can complement results from randomized trials., Questions/purposes: Using data from a large national registry, we asked: (1) Is there any difference between low-molecular weight heparin (LMWH) and new oral anticoagulants in preventing symptomatic deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE), after THA? (2) Are there any differences in safety parameters, such as bleeding, reoperations and mortality, between LMWH and new oral anticoagulants?, Methods: Between 2008 and 2012, 78,066 THAs were performed in Sweden. This study evaluated 32,663 (42%) of them, selected through the merger of several national registries. These patients underwent unilateral THA due to primary osteoarthritis. They had not experienced any venous thromboembolic events 5 years before the index operation and were not prescribed potent antithrombotic agents, of any type, in the 6 months before the index operation. Additionally, their postoperative thromboprophylaxis was confirmed in a national registry by purchase of prescribed medications. We divided the cohort into two groups: those patients who received new oral anticoagulants (5752, 18%) and those who received LMWH (26,881, 82%) as postoperative thromboprophylaxis. Our primary endpoints were the frequencies of symptomatic DVT and symptomatic PE within 3 months of surgery. Our secondary comparison was a between-group comparison of bleeding (by way of diagnostic coding), reoperation, and mortality within 3 months of surgery. Odds ratios (OR) are presented with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) as pooled results for the two groups after adjustment for duration of thromboprophylaxis (short or extended for at least 28 days), year of the index operation, Elixhauser comorbidity index, sex, age and previous treatment with platelet aggregation inhibitors., Results: The risk of symptomatic DVT was lower in the group that received new oral anticoagulants than the group that received LMWH (0.3% versus 0.6%, OR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.27-0.76; p = 0.026). The risk of symptomatic PE was lower in the group that received new oral anticoagulants than the group that received LMWH (0.1% versus 0.4%, OR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.16-0.69; p = 0.005). There was no difference in the risk of bleeding (by way of diagnostic coding) (OR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.82-1.28; p = 0.688), reoperation (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.71-1.44; p = 0.860) or mortality (OR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.31-1.88; p = 0.883) between groups., Conclusions: New oral anticoagulants were associated with a lower risk of symptomatic DVT and symptomatic PE in this large, registry study, and we observed no differences in the risk of bleeding, reoperation, or death between the groups. Although we were able to control for a number of potential confounding variables, we cannot ascertain the indications that drove the prescription decisions in this setting, and there were important between-group differences in terms of duration of thromboprophylaxis (new oral anticoagulants generally were used for a longer period of time after surgery). Future studies, preferably large randomized trials with pragmatic inclusion criteria, to analyze symptomatic DVT, symptomatic PE and death are needed to confirm or refute our findings., Level of Evidence: Level III, therapeutic study.

Background: Neurological conditions such as Parkinson's disease are commonly accepted as a risk factor for an increased likelihood of undergoing revision surgery or death after THA. However, the available evidence for an association between Parkinson's disease and serious complications or poorer patient-reported outcomes after THA is limited and contradictory., Questions/purposes: (1) Do patients with a preoperative diagnosis of Parkinson's disease have an increased risk of death after elective THA compared with a matched control group of patients? (2) After matching for patient- and surgery-related factors, do revision rates differ between the patients with Parkinson's disease and the matched control group? (3) Are there any differences in patient-reported outcome measures for patients with Parkinson's disease compared with the matched control group?, Methods: Data were derived from a merged database with information from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register and administrative health databases. We identified all patients with Parkinson's disease who underwent THA for primary osteoarthritis between January 1, 1999 and December 31, 2012 (n = 490 after exclusion criteria applied). A control group was generated through exact one-to-one matching for age, sex, Charlson comorbidity index, surgical approach, and fixation method. Risk of death and revision were compared between the groups using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank testing. Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs), routinely recorded as EQ-5D, EQ VAS, and pain VAS, were measured at the preoperative visit and at 1-year postoperatively; mean absolute values for PROM scores and change in scores over time were compared between the two groups., Results: The risk of death did not differ at 90 days (control group risk = 0.61%; 95% CI = 0.00-1.3; Parkinson's disease group risk = 0.62%; 95% CI = 0.00-1.31; p = 0.998) or 1 year (control group = 2.11%; 95% CI = 0.81-3.39; Parkinson's disease group = 2.56%, 95% CI = 1.12-3.97; p = 0.670). At 9 years, the risk of death was increased for patients with Parkinson's disease (control group = 28.05%; 95% CI = 22.29-33.38; Parkinson's disease group = 54.35%; 95% CI = 46.72-60.88; p < 0.001). The risk of revision did not differ at 90 days (control group = 0.41%; 95% CI = 0.00-0.98; Parkinson's disease group = 1.03%; 95% CI = 0.13-1.92; p = 0.256). At 1 year, the risk of revision was higher for patients with Parkinson's disease (control group = 0.41%; 95% CI = 0.00-0.98; Parkinson's disease group = 2.10%; 95% CIs = 0.80-3.38; p = 0.021). This difference was more pronounced at 9 years (control group = 1.75%; 95% CI = 0.11-3.36; Parkinson's disease group = 5.44%; 95% CI = 2.89-7.91; p = 0.001) when using the Kaplan-Meier method. There was no difference between the control and Parkinson's disease groups for level of pain relief at 1 year postoperatively (mean reduction in pain VAS score for control group = 48.85, SD = 20.46; Parkinson's disease group = 47.18, SD = 23.96; p = 0.510). Mean change in scores for quality of life and overall health from preoperative measures to 1 year postoperatively were smaller for patients in the Parkinson's disease group compared with controls (mean change in EQ-5D scores for control group = 0.42, SD = 0.32; Parkinson's disease group = 0.30, SD = 0.37; p 0.003; mean change in EQ VAS scores for control group = 20.94, SD = 23.63; Parkinson's disease = 15.04, SD = 23.00; p = 0.027)., Conclusions: Parkinson's disease is associated with an increased revision risk but not with short-term mortality rates relevant to assessing risk versus benefit before undergoing THR. The traditional reluctance to perform THR in patients with Parkinson's disease may be too conservative given that the higher long-term risk of death is more likely due to the progressive neurological disorder and not THR itself, and patients with Parkinson's disease report comparable outcomes to controls. Further research on outcomes in THR for patients with other neurological conditions is needed to better address the broader assumptions underlying this traditional teaching.Level of Evidence Level III, therapeutic study.

Background: Health care on equal terms is a cornerstone of the Swedish health care system. Total hip arthroplasty (THA) is considered a success story in Sweden with low frequency of reoperations and restored health-related quality of life (HRQoL). Administratively, health care in Sweden is locally self-governed by 21 counties. In this longitudinal nation-wide observational study we assessed the possible geographical variations in 1-year follow-up patient-reported outcomes (PROs): EQ-5D index, EQ VAS, Pain VAS and Satisfaction VAS., Methods: Study population consisted of 36,235 Swedish THA patients, operated during 2008 to 2012 due to hip osteoarthritis. Individual data came from Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register, Statistics Sweden and National Board of Health and Welfare. We used descriptive statistics together with multivariable regression analysis to analyse the data., Results: We observed county level differences in both preoperative and postoperative PROs. The results showed that the differences observed in preoperative PROs could not fully explain the differences observed in postoperative PROs, even after adjustment for patient demographics (age, sex, BMI, Elixhauser comorbidity index, marital status, educational level and disposable income). This indicates that other factors might influence the outcome after THA., Conclusion: Likely, structural and process differences such as indication for surgery have an influence on PROs after surgery. Standardization of care at hospital levels may decrease geographical variations in postoperative HRQoL. Remaining differences will then possibly be associated to patient demographics.

Background and purpose - The hip-related timeline of patients following a total hip arthroplasty (THA) can vary. Ideally patients will live their life without need for further surgery; however, some will undergo replacement on the contralateral hip and/or reoperations. We analyzed the probability of mortality and further hip-related surgery on the same or contralateral hip. Patients and methods - We performed a multi-state survival analysis on a prospectively followed cohort of 133,654 Swedish patients undergoing an elective THA between 1999 and 2012. The study used longitudinally collected information from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register and administrative databases. The analysis considered the patients' sex, age, prosthesis type, surgical approach, diagnosis, comorbidities, education, and civil status. Results - During the study period patients were twice as likely to have their contralateral hip replaced than to die. However, with passing time, probabilities converged and for a patient who only had 1 non-revised THA at 10 years, there was an equal chance of receiving a second THA and dying (24%). It was 8 times more likely that the second hip would become operated with a primary THA than that the first hip would be revised. Multivariable regression analysis reinforced the influence of age at operation, sex, diagnosis, comorbidity, and socioeconomic status influencing state transition. Interpretation - Multi-state analysis can provide a comprehensive model of further states and transition probabilities after an elective THA. Information regarding the lifetime risk for bilateral surgery, revision, and death can be of value when discussing the future possible outcomes with patients, in healthcare planning, and for the healthcare economy.

Background and purpose - Several studies have reported on the influence of various factors on patient-reported outcomes (PROs) after total hip arthroplasty (THA), but very few have focused on the experience of the surgeon. We investigated any association between surgeons' experience and PROs 1 year after primary THA. Patients and methods - Patient characteristics and surgical data at 10 hospitals in western Sweden were linked with PROs (EQ-5D-3L, Satisfaction Visual Analogue Scale (VAS), Pain VAS). These data were retrieved from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register (SHAR). The surgeon's level of experience was divided into 4 subgroups related to experience: < 8 years, 8-15 years, and >15 years of clinical practice after specialist certificate. If no specialist certificate was obtained the surgery was classified as a trainee surgery. Surgeons with >15 years' experience as an orthopedic specialist were used as reference group in the analyses. Results - 8,158 primary THAs due to osteoarthritis were identified. We identified the surgeons' level of experience in 8,116 THAs. Data from SHAR on pre- and postoperative PROs and satisfaction at 1 year were available for 6,713 THAs. We observed a statistically significant difference among the 4 groups of surgeons regarding mean patient age, ASA classification, Charnley classification, diagnosis, and fixation technique. At 1-year follow-up, there were no statistically significant differences in Pain VAS, EQ-5D index, or EQ VAS among the subgroups of orthopedic specialists. Patients operated on by orthopedic trainees reported less satisfaction with the result of the surgery compared with the reference group. Interpretation - These findings indicate that patients can expect similar health improvements, pain reduction, and satisfaction 1 year after a primary THA operation irrespective of years in practice after specialty certification as an orthopedic surgeon.

Background: Hip replacements are successful in restoring mobility, reducing pain, and improving quality of life. However, the association between THA and the potential for increased life expectancy (as expressed by mortality rate) is less clear, and any such association could well be influenced by diagnosis and patient-related, socioeconomic, and surgical factors, which have not been well studied., Questions/purposes: (1) After controlling for birth year and sex, are Swedish patients who underwent THA likely to survive longer than individuals in the general population? (2) After controlling for relevant patient-related, socioeconomic/demographic factors and surgical factors, does relative survival differ across the various diagnoses for which THAs were performed in Sweden?, Methods: Data from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register, linked to administrative health databases, were used for this study. We identified 131,808 patients who underwent THA between January 1, 1999, and December 31, 2012. Of these, 21,755 had died by the end of followup. Patient- and surgery-specific data in combination with socioeconomic data were available for analysis. We compared patient survival (relative survival) with age- and sex-matched survival data in the entire Swedish population according to Statistics Sweden. We used multivariable modeling proceeded with a Cox proportional hazards model in transformed time., Results: Patients undergoing elective THA had a slightly improved survival rate compared with the general population for approximately 10 years after surgery. At 1 year after surgery, the survival in patients undergoing THA was 1% better than the expected survival (r = 1.01; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.02; p < 0.001); at 5 years, this increased to 3% (r = 1.03; 95% CI, 1.03-1.03; p < 0.001); at 10 years, the difference was 2% (r = 1.02; 95% CI, 1.02-1.03; p < 0.001); and by 12 years, there was no difference between patients undergoing THA and the general population (r = 1.01; 95% CI, 0.99-1.02; p = 0.13). Using the diagnosis of primary osteoarthritis as a reference, hip arthroplasties performed for sequelae of childhood hip diseases had a similar survival rate (hazard ratio [HR], 1.02; 95% CI, 0.88-1.18; p = 0.77). Patients undergoing surgery for osteonecrosis of the femoral head (HR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.60-1.79; p < 0.001), inflammatory arthritis (HR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.38-1.61; p < 0.001), and secondary osteoarthritis (HR, 2.46; 95% CI, 2.03-2.99; p < 0.001) all had poorer relative survival. Comorbidities and the Elixhauser comorbidity index had a negative association with relative survival. Level of achieved education (middle level of education: HR, 0.90, 95% CI, 0.87-0.93, p < 0.001; high level: 0.76, 95% CI, 0.73-0.80, p < 0.001) and marital status (single status: HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.28-1.38; p < 0.001) were also negatively associated with survival., Conclusions: Whereas it has been known that in most patients, THA improves quality of life, this study demonstrates that it also is associated with a slightly increased life expectancy that lasts for approximately 10 years after surgery, especially among patients whose diagnosis was primary osteoarthritis. This adds further proof of a health-economic value for this surgical intervention. The reasons for the increase in relative survival are unknown but are probably multifactorial., Level of Evidence: Level III, therapeutic study.

Rationale, Aims and Objectives: Clinicians considering improvements in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) after total hip replacement (THR) must account for multiple pieces of information. Evidence-based decisions are important to best assess the effect of THR on HRQoL. This work aims at constructing a shared decision-making tool that helps clinicians assessing the future benefits of THR by offering predictions of 1-year postoperative HRQoL of THR patients., Methods: We used data from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register. Data from 2008 were used as training set and data from 2009 to 2012 as validation set. We adopted two approaches. First, we assumed a continuous distribution for the EQ-5D index and modelled the postoperative EQ-5D index with regression models. Second, we modelled the five dimensions of the EQ-5D and weighted together the predictions using the UK Time Trade-Off value set. As predictors, we used preoperative EQ-5D dimensions and the EQ-5D index, EQ visual analogue scale, visual analogue scale pain, Charnley classification, age, gender, body mass index, American Society of Anesthesiologists, surgical approach and prosthesis type. Additionally, the tested algorithms were combined in a single predictive tool by stacking., Results: Best predictive power was obtained by the multivariate adaptive regression splines (R 2  = 0.158). However, this was not significantly better than the predictive power of linear regressions (R 2  = 0.157). The stacked model had a predictive power of 17%., Conclusions: Successful implementation of a shared decision-making tool that can aid clinicians and patients in understanding expected improvement in HRQoL following THR would require higher predictive power than we achieved. For a shared decision-making tool to succeed, further variables, such as socioeconomics, need to be considered., (© 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)

Purpose: We investigated if patient-reported outcomes (PROMs) one year after total hip replacement (THR) can predict the risk of re-operation using data from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register., Methods: A total of 75,899 patients with THR due to osteoarthritis operated in 2002-2014 were included. We used Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression to investigate the relationship between one-year post-operative PROMs and risk of re-operation (all types of further hip surgery). The predictive power of the model and post-operative PROMs were evaluated by concordance index (C)., Results: Kaplan-Meier estimates for not being re-operated at eight years was 95.5% (95%CI; 95.3-95.8). Cox regression analyses showed that all PROMs, except for EQ-VAS, were associated with re-operation. The full model had a concordance index of 0.68. Satisfaction (C = 0.65) and pain (C = 0.65) in isolation had the highest predictive power., Conclusions: Worse PROMs predicted higher risk of re-operation. Therefore, we believe PROMs may be helpful in identifying patients at risk for re-operation and timely address their problems.

Objective: To compare the lifetime risk of total hip replacement (THR) surgery for osteoarthritis (OA) between countries, and over time., Methods: Data on primary THR procedures performed for OA in 2003 and 2013 were extracted from national arthroplasty registries in Australia, Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. Life tables and population data were also obtained for each country. Lifetime risk of THR was calculated for 2003 and 2013 using registry, life table, and population data., Results: In 2003, lifetime risk of THR ranged from 8.7% (Denmark) to 15.9% (Norway) for females, and from 6.3% (Denmark) to 8.6% (Finland) for males. With the exception of females in Norway (where lifetime risk started and remained high), lifetime risk of THR increased significantly for both sexes in all countries from 2003 to 2013. In 2013, lifetime risk of THR was as high as 1 in 7 women in Norway, and 1 in 10 men in Finland. Females consistently demonstrated the highest lifetime risk of THR at both time points. Notably, lifetime risk for females in Norway was approximately double the risk for males in 2003 (females 15.9% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 15.6-16.1], males 6.9% [95% CI 6.7-7.1]), and 2013 (females 16.0% [95% CI 15.8-16.3], males 8.3% [95% CI 8.1-8.5])., Conclusion: Using representative, population-based data, this study found statistically significant increases in the lifetime risk of THR in 5 countries over a 10-year period, and substantial between-sex differences. These multinational risk estimates can inform resource planning for OA service delivery., (© 2017, American College of Rheumatology.)

The influence of comorbidities and worse physical status on mortality following total hip replacement (THR) leads to the idea that patient-reported health status may also be a predictor of mortality. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between patient-reported health status before THR and the risk of dying up to 5 years post-operatively. For these analyses, we used register data on 42,862 THR patients with primary hip osteoarthritis operated between 2008 and 2012. The relative survival ratio was calculated by dividing the observed survival in the patient group by age- and sex-adjusted expected survival of the general population. Pre-operative responses to the five EQ-5D-3L (EuroQol Group) dimensions along with age, sex, education status, year of surgery, and hospital type were used as independent variables. Results shown that, as a group, THR patients had a better survival than the general population. Broken down by the five EQ-5D-3L dimensions we observed differentiated survival patters. For all dimensions, those reporting extreme problems had higher mortality than those reporting moderate or no problems. In conclusion, worse health status according to the EQ-5-3L before THR is associated with higher mortality up to five years after surgery. EQ-5D-3L responses may be useful in a multifactorial individualized risk assessment before THR., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Background and purpose - In Sweden, less than 5% of patients who undergo total hip arthroplasty (THA) have revision. Younger patients have an increased risk of revision. New prosthetic designs are being introduced in order to improve outcomes further. We investigated whether the introductory phase of new cup designs would increase the revision rate. Patients and methods - All THAs and first-time cup revisions performed from 1993 through 2011 were identified in the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register. The 15 types of cups used in more than 500 operations and inserted in more than 50 cases in each hospital (n = 52,903) were selected. All cups were given an order number, based on the order in which the cup had been inserted at each hospital. The influence of order number on the risk of revision was analyzed in a regression model, which was adjusted for potentially confounding demographic and surgical data. Revision within 2 years for all reasons (n = 940) was used as primary endpoint. Changes in the risk of revision based on the order number were analyzed using a spline. Results - The order number of the cup had no influence on the risk of early revision (p ≥ 0.7). Categorizing the order number using cutoff values obtained from the splines did not result in any statistically significant changes in risk of revision (p ≥ 0.2). Interpretation - We did not find any increased risk of early revision during the implementation phase of new cup designs. This finding is unexpected, and partly conflicts with data from other registries. The structured and stepwise introduction of new prosthesis designs, facilitated by the annual feedback from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register, may partly explain this discrepancy.

Background: Comorbidities influence surgical outcomes and therefore need to be included in risk adjustment when predicting patient-reported outcomes. However, there is no consensus on how best to use the available data about comorbidities in registry-based predictive models., Questions/purposes: The purposes of this study were (1) to determine whether the International Classification of Diseases, 10(th) Revision (ICD-10)-based comorbidity measures (Elixhauser, Charlson, and Royal College of Surgeons Charlson) offer added value in explaining patients' health-related quality of life (HRQoL), pain, and satisfaction after total hip arthroplasty (THA) when preoperative HRQoL, pain, and Charnley classification were known; and (2) to determine the ideal timeframe for recording the different diagnoses that serves as the basis for comorbidity measure calculations., Methods: There were 22,263 patients who had undergone THA with complete pre- and postoperative patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) included in the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register between 2002 and 2007. The three comorbidity indices were calculated with ICD-10 codes identified in the Swedish National Patient Register from 1, 2, and 5 years before the patient underwent THA. The impact of the comorbidity indices on the PROM scores (EQ-5D index, EQ visual analog scale [VAS], pain VAS, and satisfaction VAS) was modeled with linear regression where the 1-year patient postoperative outcome score was the dependent variable and independent variables included patient preoperative Charnley classification, preoperative HRQoL and pain, and comorbidity indices. The partial R(2) value indicated how much each variable uniquely contributed to the predictive capacity of the model., Results: The ICD-10-based comorbidity measures added little predictive value to the models for each of the outcomes of interest (EQ-5D index, EQ VAS, pain VAS, and satisfaction VAS). Charnley classification and the preoperative scores were the strongest predictors of both measures of postoperative HRQoL, of postoperative pain, and postoperative satisfaction with outcomes from surgery. Of all the predictors considered, only the Charnley classification was associated with all outcomes, irrespective of the timeframe considered. For each of the outcomes considered, there was a gradual increase in the models' predictive power with the length of the timeframe considered for calculating the comorbidity measures., Conclusions: For predicting outcomes 1 year after THA, we found that there was no added value in ICD-10-based comorbidity measures if patient Charnley classification and preoperative HRQoL and pain measures were known., Level of Evidence: Level III, therapeutic study.

Purpose: Patient-reported health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL) measures such as the EuroQol 5 dimension (EQ-5D) index are commonplace when assessing healthcare providers or efficiency of medical techniques. HRQoL measures are generally bounded, and the magnitude of possible improvement depends on the pre-treatment HRQoL value. This paper aimed to assess and illustrated the possibility of modelling the relationship between pre- and post-treatment HRQoL measures with piecewise linear splines., Methods: The method was illustrated using a longitudinal dataset of 36,625 patients with one EQ-5D index before and one a year after total hip arthroplasty. We considered four models: intercept only model, single line regression, and segmented regression with 1 and 2 change points. The post-operative EQ-5D index served as the outcome, while the preoperative EQ-5D index was the predictor., Results: We found that a two-line regression best described the data with the lines meeting at 0.159 on the preoperative EQ-5D index scale. In the low preoperative group (with an initial preoperative index from -0.594 to 0.159), the predicted post-operative scores ranged from 0.368 to 0.765, with post-operative scores increasing 0.528 points for each unit in the preoperative score. In the high preoperative group (initial range from 0.159 to 1), the predicted post-operative scores ranged from 0.765 to 0.855, increasing 0.106 points for each unit in the preoperative score., Conclusions: Piecewise linear regression is a straightforward approach to analyse baseline and follow-up HRQoL measures such as the EQ-5D index. It can provide a reasonable approximation of the shape of the underlying relationship where the threshold and slopes prove informative and meaningful.

Background: Age, sex, and medical comorbidities may be associated with differences in patient-reported outcome scores after THA. Highest level of education may be a surrogate for socioeconomic status, but the degree to which this is associated with patient-reported outcomes after THA is not known., Questions/purposes: We investigated the national Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register for the association of education attainment on patient-reported outcomes 1 year after THA; specifically, we evaluated level of education attainment against health-related quality of life (HRQoL), pain reduction, and satisfaction with treatment 1 year after THA., Methods: All THAs for osteoarthritis performed from 2005 through 2007 with complete patient-reported outcome measures (representing 49% of the THAs performed for this diagnosis) were selected from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register. These cases were merged with national databases containing education attainment, marital status, and comorbidities (n = 11,464; mean age of patients, 64 years). The patient-reported outcome measure protocol included the HRQoL measure EuroQol five-dimension scale (EQ-5D), a VAS for pain, the Charnley classification survey, and a VAS addressing THA satisfaction. Linear regression analyses determined the association of preoperative patient factors with patient-reported outcomes., Results: High education attainment was associated with higher HRQoL (EQ-5D index ß(high) = 0.03 ± 0.01; EQ VAS ß(high) = 2.6 ± 0.5) after THA, whereas those with low and medium education were at risk for lower HRQoL. High education was associated with less pain after treatment (ß(high) = -3.3 ± 0.05). Individuals with low or medium education were at risk for less satisfaction with THA (p < 0.001)., Conclusions: Our results suggest clinicians should support patients with low and medium education to a greater extent. Identification of patients who will benefit most from THA and educating those at risk for poorer outcomes, like patients with low and medium education, ultimately may improve patient satisfaction, HRQoL, pain, and the cost utility of THA., Level of Evidence: Level III, therapeutic study. See the Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Background and Purpose: The continuously increasing demand for joint replacement surgery in the past decades imposes higher constraints on the budgets of hospitals and healthcare providers. We undertook an analysis of historical trends in total hip replacement performed in Sweden between 1968 and 2012 in order to provide projections of future demand., Data and Methods: We obtained data on total hip replacements registered every year and on the evolution of the Swedish population between 1968 and 2012. We assumed the existence of a maximum incidence. So we adopted a regression framework that assumes the existence of an upper limit of total hip replacement incidence., Results: We found that the incidence of total hip replacement will continue to increase until a projected upper incidence level of about 400 total hip replacements per 10(5) Swedish residents aged 40 years and older will be reached around the year 2107. In 2020, the estimated incidence of total hip replacement will be 341 (95% prediction interval (PI): 302-375) and in 2030 it will be 358 (PI: 317-396). Using official forecasted population growth data, about 18,000 operations would be expected to be performed in 2020 and 20,000 would be expected to be performed in 2030., Interpretation: Growing incidence, population growth, and increasing life expectancy will probably result in increased demand for hip replacement surgery. Our findings could serve as a basis for decision making.