1. Assessing uncertainties in crop and pasture ensemble model simulations of productivity and N
- Author
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Fiona, Ehrhardt, Jean-François, Soussana, Gianni, Bellocchi, Peter, Grace, Russel, McAuliffe, Sylvie, Recous, Renáta, Sándor, Pete, Smith, Val, Snow, Massimiliano, de Antoni Migliorati, Bruno, Basso, Arti, Bhatia, Lorenzo, Brilli, Jordi, Doltra, Christopher D, Dorich, Luca, Doro, Nuala, Fitton, Sandro J, Giacomini, Brian, Grant, Matthew T, Harrison, Stephanie K, Jones, Miko U F, Kirschbaum, Katja, Klumpp, Patricia, Laville, Joël, Léonard, Mark, Liebig, Mark, Lieffering, Raphaël, Martin, Raia S, Massad, Elizabeth, Meier, Lutz, Merbold, Andrew D, Moore, Vasileios, Myrgiotis, Paul, Newton, Elizabeth, Pattey, Susanne, Rolinski, Joanna, Sharp, Ward N, Smith, Lianhai, Wu, and Qing, Zhang
- Subjects
Crops, Agricultural ,Nitrous Oxide ,Uncertainty ,Agriculture ,Computer Simulation ,Models, Biological ,Food Supply - Abstract
Simulation models are extensively used to predict agricultural productivity and greenhouse gas emissions. However, the uncertainties of (reduced) model ensemble simulations have not been assessed systematically for variables affecting food security and climate change mitigation, within multi-species agricultural contexts. We report an international model comparison and benchmarking exercise, showing the potential of multi-model ensembles to predict productivity and nitrous oxide (N
- Published
- 2017