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Objective Evaluate the effect of subcutaneous interferon β-1a (sc IFN β-1a) versus placebo on the evolution of T1-weighted MRI lesions and central brain atrophy in in patients with a first clinical demyelinating event (FCDE). Methods Post hoc analysis of baseline-to-24 month MRI data from patients with an FCDE who received sc IFN β-1a 44 μg once- (qw) or three-times-weekly (tiw), or placebo, in REFLEX. Patients were grouped according to treatment regimen or conversion to clinically definite MS (CDMS) status. The intensity of new lesions on unenhanced T1-weighted images was classified as T1 iso- or hypo-intense (black holes) and percentage ventricular volume change (PVVC) was assessed throughout the study. Results In patients not converting to CDMS, sc IFN β-1a tiw or qw, versus placebo, reduced the overall number of new lesions (P P = 0.005) and new T1 iso-intense lesions (P P = 0.002) after 24 months; only sc IFN β-1a tiw was associated with fewer T1 hypo-intense lesions versus placebo (P P Conclusions In patients with an FCDE, treatment with sc IFN β-1a tiw for 24 months reduced the number of new lesions evolving into black holes.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Demyelinating lesions in the anterior visual pathways represent an underestimated marker of disease dissemination in patients with MS. We prospectively investigated whether a dedicated high-resolution MR imaging technique, the 3D-T2-STIR-ZOOMit, improves demyelinating lesion detection compared with the current clinical standard sequence, the 2D-T2-STIR. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 3T MR imaging of the anterior visual pathways (optic nerves, chiasm, and tracts) was performed using 3D-T2-STIR-ZOOMit and 2D-T2-STIR, in patients with MS and healthy controls. Two experienced neuroradiologists assessed, independently, demyelinating lesions using both sequences separately. 3D-T2-STIR-ZOOMit scan-rescan reproducibility was tested in 12 patients. The Cohen κ was used for interrater agreement, and the intraclass correlation coefficient for reproducibility. Between-sequence detection differences and the effects of location and previous acute optic neuritis were assessed using a binomial mixed-effects model. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients with MS with (n = 19) or without (n = 29) past optic neuritis and 19 healthy controls were evaluated. Readers' agreement was strong (3D-T2-STIR-ZOOMit: 0.85; 2D-T2-STIR: 0.90). The 3D-T2-STIR-ZOOMit scan-rescan intraclass correlation coefficient was 0.97 (95% CI, 0.96–0.98; P < .001), indicating excellent reproducibility. Overall, 3D-T2-STIR-ZOOMit detected more than twice the demyelinating lesions (n = 89) than 2D-T2-STIR (n = 43) (OR = 2.7; 95% CI, 1.7–4.1; P < .001). In the intracranial anterior visual pathway segments, 33 of the 36 demyelinating lesions (91.7%) detected by 3D-T2-STIR-ZOOMit were not disclosed by 2D-T2-STIR. 3D-T2-STIR-ZOOMit increased detection of demyelinating lesion probability by 1.8-fold in patients with past optic neuritis (OR = 1.8; 95% CI, 1.2–3.1; P = .01) and 5.9-fold in patients without past optic neuritis (OR = 5.9; 95% CI, 2.5–13.8; P < .001). No false-positive demyelinating lesions were detected in healthy controls. CONCLUSIONS: Dedicated 3D-T2-STIR-ZOOMit images improved substantially the detection of MS disease dissemination in the anterior visual pathways, particularly in the intracranial segments and in patients without past optic neuritis.

Background and purpose The importance of upper limb function in multiple sclerosis (MS) is increasingly recognized, especially for the evaluation of patients with progressive MS with reduced mobility. Two sensor-engineered gloves, able to measure quantitatively the timing of finger opposition movements, were previously used to assess upper limb disability in MS. The aims of the present study were: (1) to confirm the association between glove-derived variables and standard measures of MS disability in a larger cohort; (2) to assess the correlation with quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and quality of life (QoL) measures; and (3) to determine if the glove-derived variables offer advantages over the standard measure for assessing upper limb function in MS, namely, the Nine-Hole Peg Test (9HPT). Methods Sixty-five patients with MS, stable on disease-modifying treatment, were evaluated at baseline using the glove, and through clinical examination (Expanded Disability Status Scale, Symbol Digit Modalities Test, Timed 25-Foot Walk Test and 9HPT), MRI evaluation and QoL questionnaires. Correlations between the glove-derived variables and clinical, MRI and QoL variables were assessed using Spearman's rank correlation coefficient analysis. Results Glove-derived variables significantly differed between patients with relapsing-remitting and those with progressive MS, with similar or slightly higher correlations of the 9HPT with clinical variables. We found greater correlations of the QoL physical component with glove-derived variables than with the 9HPT, and a significant correlation of its mental component with the glove-derived variables but not with the 9HPT. Conclusion The study results, confirming previous findings and showing advantages over the 9HPT, encourage the investigation of sensitivity to change in glove-derived variables in a longitudinal setting.

Background: Neuroimaging studies have used magnetic resonance imaging-derived methods to assess brain volume loss in multiple sclerosis (MS) as a reliable measure of diffuse tissue damage. Methods: In the CLARITY study ( ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00213135), the effect of 2 years’ treatment with cladribine tablets on annualized percentage brain volume change (PBVC/y) was evaluated in patients with relapsing MS (RMS). Results: Compared with placebo (–0.70% ± 0.79), PBVC/y was reduced in patients treated with cladribine tablets 3.5 mg/kg (–0.56% ± 0.68, p = 0.010) and 5.25 mg/kg (–0.57% ± 0.72, p = 0.019). After adjusting for treatment group, PBVC/y showed a significant correlation with the cumulative probability of disability progression (HR = 0.67, 95% CI = 0.571, 0.787; p Conclusions: Cladribine tablets given annually for 2 years in short-duration courses in patients with RMS in the CLARITY study significantly reduced brain atrophy in comparison with placebo treatment, with residual rates in treated patients being close to the physiological rates.

Background: The pandemic of the new type of corona virus infection 2019 [Covid-19] also affect people with Multiple Sclerosis (pwMS). Currently, the accumulating information on the effects of the infection regarding the & nbsp;& nbsp;demographic and clinical characteristics of the disease, as well as outcomes within different DMTs & cedil; enable us to have better practices on the management of the Covid-19 infection in pwMS. Objective: To investigate the incidence of coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) and to reveal the relationship between the demographic-clinical and therapeutic features and the outcome of Covid-19 infection in a multi- center national cohort of pwMS.& nbsp; Methods: The Turkish Neurological Society-MS Study Group in association with the Italian MuSC-19 Study Group initiated this study. A web-based electronic Case Report Form (eCRF) of Study-MuSC-19 were used to collect the data. The demographic data and MS histories of the patients were obtained from the file tracking forms of the relevant clinics.& nbsp; Results: 309 MS patients with confirmed Covid-19 infection were included in this study. Two hundred nineteen (219) were females (70.9%). The mean age was 36.9, ranging from 18 to 66, 194 of them (62.8%) were under 40. The clinical phenotype was relapsing-remitting in 277 (89.6%) and progressive in 32 (10.4%). Disease duration ranged from 0.2 years to 31.4 years. The median EDSS was 1.5, ranging from 0 to 8.5. The EDSS score was

Background and purpose While impaired cognitive performance is common in multiple sclerosis (MS), it has been largely underdiagnosed. Here a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) screening algorithm is proposed to identify patients at highest risk of cognitive impairment. The objective was to examine whether assessment of lesion burden together with whole brain atrophy on MRI improves our ability to identify cognitively impaired MS patients. Methods Of the 1253 patients enrolled in the study, 1052 patients with all cognitive, volumetric MRI and clinical data available were included in the analysis. Brain MRI and neuropsychological assessment with the Brief International Cognitive Assessment for Multiple Sclerosis were performed. Multivariable logistic regression and individual prediction analysis were used to investigate the associations between MRI markers and cognitive impairment. The results of the primary analysis were validated at two subsequent time points (months 12 and 24). Results The prevalence of cognitive impairment was greater in patients with low brain parenchymal fraction (BPF) ( 3.5 ml) than in patients with high BPF (>0.85) and low T2-LV (

Background and purpose There is debate as to whether the apparent rebound after fingolimod discontinuation is related to the discontinuation itself or whether it is due to the natural course of highly active multiple sclerosis (MS). Our aim was to survey the prevalence of severe reactivation and rebound after discontinuation of fingolimod in a cohort of Italian patients with MS. Methods Patients with relapsing-remitting MS who were treated with fingolimod for at least 6 months and who stopped treatment for reasons that were unrelated to inefficacy were included in the analysis. Results A total of 100 patients who had discontinued fingolimod were included in the study. Fourteen patients (14%) had a relapse within 3 months after fingolimod discontinuation, and an additional 12 (12%) had a relapse within 6 months. According to this study's criteria, 10 patients (10%) had a severe reactivation. Amongst these patients, five (5%) had a reactivation that was considered to be a rebound. Conclusions The present study showed that more than 26% of patients are at risk of having a relapse within 6 months after fingolimod discontinuation. Nevertheless, the risk of severe reactivations and rebound is lower than has been previously described.

Highlights • This paper shows that DMD boys could be grouped into classes sharing trajectories. • Using analysis accounting for trajectory classes, the variation was strongly reduced. • Reducing unexplained variation could help to improve DMD clinical trial design., High variability in patients' changes in 6 minute walk distance (6MWD) over time has complicated clinical trials of treatment efficacy in Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). We assessed whether boys with DMD could be grouped into classes that shared similar ambulatory function trajectories as measured by 6MWD. Ambulatory boys aged 5 years or older with genetically confirmed DMD who were enrolled in a natural history study at 11 care centers throughout Italy were included. For each boy, standardized assessments of 6MWD were available at annual intervals spanning 3 years. Trajectories of 6MWD vs. age and trajectories of 6MWD vs. time from enrollment were examined using latent class analysis. A total of 96 boys were included. At enrollment, the mean age was 8.3 years (mean 6MWD: 374 meters). After accounting for age, baseline 6MWD, and steroid use, four latent trajectory classes were identified as explaining 3-year 6MWD outcomes significantly better than a single average trajectory. Patient trajectories of 6MWD change from enrollment were categorized as having fast decline (n = 25), moderate decline (n = 19), stable function (n = 37), and improving function (n = 15) during the 3-year follow-up. After accounting for trajectory classes, the standard deviation of variation in 6MWD was reduced by approximately 40%. The natural history of ambulatory function in DMD may be composed of distinct trajectory classes. The extent to which trajectories are associated with novel and established prognostic factors warrants further study. Reducing unexplained variation in patient outcomes could help to further improve DMD clinical trial design and analysis.

Background The treatment effects in multiple sclerosis (MS) clinical trials are often estimated by monitoring disease activity by the count of “active” plaques on T2-weighted or gadolinium (Gd)-enhanced T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Objective To evaluate the relationship between the treatment effects estimated on T2-weighted or Gd-enhanced T1-weighted MRI. Methods Data were extracted from published randomized clinical trials in relapsing-remitting MS with frequent MRI, reporting both active T2 and Gd-enhancing lesions. A regression analysis was performed between the treatment effects estimated on the two different MRI endpoints. Results A strong association was found between the treatment effect on Gd-enhancing lesions and on active T2 lesions (R2 = 0.93), and the treatment effect estimates were almost the same (slope = 0.96). Conclusion Defining either active T2 or Gd-enhancing lesions as MRI endpoint seems to be not crucial for monitoring MRI activity in MS clinical trials. The choice of the best MRI endpoint should be based on different considerations (e.g., sensitivity, reproducibility, time for assessment, safety, and patients’ comfort). Further monitoring active T2 lesions could allow less expensive trials, without requiring injection of Gd-based contrast agents.

Background: The impact of new asymptomatic spinal cord lesions (a-SL) in multiple sclerosis (MS) course is poorly characterized. Objective: The objective of this research paper is to assess the prognostic value of a-SL in predicting MS course. Methods: Relapsing–remitting MS patients who received serial MRI (brain and spinal) at baseline (t1) and within 12 to 36 months (t2) during clinical stability, and had a follow-up (t2–t3) ⩾24 months were included. Relapses and disability progression were evaluated between t2 and t3. Results: Of 413 consecutive screened MS patients, 103 patients (65 females, median age 43 years) were included. After a median t1–t2 interval of 17 (IQR 13–26) months, 25.2% and 43.7% patients had ⩾1 new a-SL (a-SL+) and asymptomatic brain lesions (a-BL+), respectively. Relapse risk between t2 and t3 (median interval: 42 (IQR 32–57.5) months) was significantly increased in a-SL+ and/or a-BL+ vs a-BL– and a-SL– (HR = 2.31, 95% CI = 1.13–4.72, p = 0.02). No differences in the risk of disability progression were found in a-SL+ and/or a-BL+ vs a-SL- and a-BL–. Conclusion: a-SL occur in one-quarter of clinically stable RRMS, and combined with a-BL contribute significantly in predicting future disease course.

Objectives – The present study was planned to investigate the relationship between the plasma lipid profile and disease activity in patients with a first clinical episode suggestive of multiple sclerosis (MS). Material and methods – Eighteen consecutive out-patients underwent a monthly brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), blood sample and neurological assessment over 6 months. Blood samples were used to evaluate total cholesterol and triglyceride levels as well as their lipoprotein fractions. Plasma total apolipoprotein E concentration was also determined. Results – We found a significant correlation between the mean number of enhancing lesions and the mean plasma level of both total and low density lipoprotein cholesterol. The total plasma cholesterol level increased on average by 4.4 mg/dl for each enhancing lesion. Conclusion – Our preliminary data suggest a potential role of plasma cholesterol level as a biological marker of disease activity after a first demyelinating event. Further studies need, however, to be designed to determine whether the plasma cholesterol level is of practical use in monitoring the disease course.

The gold standard for measuring treatment effects is the randomized controlled trial. In patients with multiple sclerosis (MS), trial durations are typically 2-3 years, and the long-term effects of drugs for MS can only be assessed through trial extensions or observational studies that take advantage of data from registries or large single-centre databases. The main limitation of observational studies is an unavoidable selection bias that is introduced through nonrandom assignment of the intervention. Propensity score methods can mitigate this bias by balancing the groups with respect to baseline covariates, but this approach cannot correct for unmeasurable confounding factors. Extensions of clinical trials are free from selection biases because of the initial randomization, but they can only provide an assessment of early versus delayed treatment effects. Here, we discuss these methodological issues and analyse how they have been managed in studies of the long-term effects of IFN-β in patients with MS.

Background and purpose No subgroups of patients with higher treatment effects have been clearly detected in multiple sclerosis (MS). The aim of the present work was to evaluate whether there are subgroups of relapsing−remitting MS (RRMS) patients who are more responsive to treatments. Methods All published randomized clinical trials in RRMS reporting a subgroup analysis of treatment effect were collected. Two main outcomes, the annualized relapse rate (ARR) and the disability progression, were studied. The treatment effect in each subgroup was reported as a relative effect (RE), defined as the treatment effect in the subgroup relative to the overall effect. A meta-analysis was run to compare the RE between subgroups. Results Six trials (6693 RRMS patients) were included. Treatment effects on ARR were significantly higher in younger than in older subjects (RE = 0.83 vs. RE = 1.30, P

Background: Brain volume loss occurs in patients with relapsing–remitting MS. Fingolimod reduced brain volume loss in three phase 3 studies. Objective: To evaluate whether the effect of fingolimod on disability progression was mediated by its effects on MRI lesions, relapses or brain volume loss, and the extent of this effect. Methods: Patients (992/1272; 78%) from the FTY720 Research Evaluating Effects of Daily Oral Therapy in Multiple Sclerosis (FREEDOMS) study were analyzed. Month-24 percentage brain volume change, month-12 MRI-active lesions and relapse were assessed. The Prentice criteria were used to test surrogate marker validity. The proportion of treatment effect on disability progression explained by each marker was calculated. Results: Two-year disability progression was associated with active T2 lesions (OR = 1.24; p = 0.001) and more relapses during year 1 (OR = 2.90; p < 0.001) and lower percentage brain volume change over two years (OR = 0.78; p < 0.001). Treatment effect on active T2 lesions, relapses and percentage brain volume change explained 46%, 60% and 23% of the fingolimod effect on disability. Multivariate analysis showed the number of relapses during year 1 (OR = 2.62; p < 0.001) and yearly percentage brain volume change over two years (OR = 0.85; p = 0.009) were independent predictors of disability progression, together explaining 73% of fingolimod effect on disability. Conclusions: The treatment effect on relapses and, to a lesser extent, brain volume loss were both predictors of treatment effect on disability; combining these predictors better explained the effect on disability than either factor alone.

Recent studies showed that rituximab, a chimeric anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody, reduces antibody levels and ameliorates neuropathy in two thirds of patients with neuropathy and anti-myelin-associated glycoprotein (MAG) monoclonal IgM.1–3 Few data are available on the long-term effects of this therapy.4 We report on the long-term follow-up of rituximab responders with anti-MAG polyneuropathy. ### Methods. Ten patients with anti-MAG polyneuropathy responding to rituximab, 375 mg/sq for four consecutive weekly infusions, were prospectively studied for 36 months. The effects of the initial treatment in 13 patients and the type of assessment were previously described.3 The baseline clinical and laboratory data of the 10 responding patients are reported in the table. All but one patient (no. 1) had an IgM monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance and a symptom duration of up to 2 years. Three patients had not been previously treated for the neuropathy, whereas seven were unresponsive to immune or cytostatic therapies. We considered as responders patients who improved at month 12 by at least one point in two clinical scales including MRC sumscore (appendix e-1 on the Neurology ® Web site at www.neurology.org), INCAT Disability Scale (appendix e-2), and INCAT sensory sumscore (ISS) …

In this study we assessed the safety, efficacy and cost-effectiveness of the use of triple dose gadolinium-DTPA (Gd) in serial monthly brain MRI of patients with multiple sclerosis, such as could be selected for clinical trials. The number of enhancing lesions, the number of new enhancing lesions and the number of active scans were used to evaluate the sensitivity of the contrast-enhanced MRI to disease activity. The dose of Gd, and the effect of introducing a delay between the contrast injection and the scan were both appraised. Every 4 weeks for 3 months, and in two separate sessions, scans were obtained from 40 patients with relapsing-remitting or secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, 5 min (early) and 20 min (delayed) after a standard dose (0.1 mmol/kg) or triple dose (0.3 mmol/kg) Gd injection. There were 435 enhancing lesions (242 of which were new) on the early standard dose scans, 479 (263 new) on the delayed standard dose, 772 (365 new) on the early triple dose and 827 (404 new) on the delayed triple dose. There were 109 scans revealing active disease on the early standard dose scans, 112 on the delayed standard dose, 119 on the early triple dose and 120 on the delayed triple dose. Statistical simulations indicated that the sample sizes needed for both cross-over and parallel-group trials with similar powers are lower if serial monthly triple dose MRI is used. No side-effects were reported and no significant changes in blood test parameters were found throughout the study. This study shows that the serial use of triple dose Gd is safe, and that it increases the sensitivity of serial monthly enhanced MRI in detecting multiple sclerosis activity significantly. Its use should enable preliminary trials of experimental therapies for multiple sclerosis to be conducted in small patient populations, over a short period of time.

Background: The increasing number of effective therapies to treat multiple sclerosis (MS) raises ethical concerns for the use of placebo in clinical trials, suggesting that new clinical trial design strategies are needed. Objectives: To evaluate time to first relapse as an endpoint for MS clinical trials. Methods: A recently-developed model fitting the distribution of time to first relapse in MS was used for simulations estimating the sample sizes of trials using this as an outcome, and for comparison with the size of trials using the annualized relapse rate (ARR) as the primary outcome. Results: Trials based on time to first relapse were feasible, requiring sample sizes that were similar or even smaller than if the study was based on ARR instead. In the case of low ARR (0.4 relapses/year), as is expected in future trials, the 1-year trials designed to detect a treatment effect of 30%, with 90% power, require fewer patients when based on time to first relapse (470 patients/arm) than if based on ARR (540 patients/arm). Conclusions: Our simulations show that time to first relapse is not less powerful than ARR in MS trials; thus, this measure would be a potentially useful primary outcome offering the advantage of an ethically sound design, as the patients randomized to placebo can then switch to the active drug, once they relapse. A potential drawback is the loss of information for other endpoints collected at fixed time points.

Background: Haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) has been tried in the last 15 years as a therapeutic option in patients with poor-prognosis autoimmune disease who do not respond to conventional treatments. Worldwide, more than 600 patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) have been treated with HSCT, most of them having been recruited in small, single-centre, phase 1–2 uncontrolled trials. Clinical and magnetic resonance imaging outcomes from case series reports or Registry-based analyses suggest that a major response is achieved in most patients; quality and duration of response are better in patients transplanted during the relapsing–remitting phase than in those in the secondary progressive stage. Objectives: An interdisciplinary group of neurologists and haematologists has been formed, following two international meetings supported by the European and American Blood and Marrow Transplantation Societies, for the purpose of discussing a controlled clinical trial, to be designed within the new scenarios of evolving MS treatments. Conclusions: Objectives of the trial, patient selection, transplant technology and outcome assessment were extensively discussed. The outcome of this process is summarized in the present paper, with the goal of establishing the background and advancing the development of a prospective, randomized, controlled multicentre trial to assess the clinical efficacy of HSCT for the treatment of highly active MS.

Background: In clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), the role of quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in detecting prognostic markers is still debated. Objective: To evaluate measures of diffuse brain damage (such as brain atrophy and the ratio of N-acetylaspartate to creatine (NAA/Cr)) in patients with CIS, in addition to focal lesions, as predictors of 1-year disease evolution. Methods: 49 patients with CIS underwent MRI scans to quantify T2-lesions (T2-L) and gadolinium-enhanced lesion (GEL) number at baseline and after 1 year. Along with 25 healthy volunteers, they also underwent combined MRI/magnetic resonance spectroscopy examination to measure normalized brain volumes (NBVs) and NAA/Cr. Occurrence of relapses and new T2-L was recorded over 1 year to assess disease evolution. Results: Occurrence of relapses and/or new T2-L over 1 year divided patients with CIS into ‘active’ and ‘stable’ groups. Active patients had lower baseline NAA/Cr and NBV. Baseline T2-L number, GEL, NAA/Cr and NBV predicted subsequent disease activity. Multivariable logistic regression models showed that both ‘focal damage’ (based on T2-L number and GEL) and ‘diffuse damage’ (based on NBV and NAA/Cr) models predicted disease activity at 1 year with great sensitivity, specificity and accuracy. This was best when the four MRI measures were combined (80% sensitivity, 89% specificity, 83% accuracy). Conclusions: Quantitative MRI measures of diffuse tissue damage such as brain atrophy and NAA/Cr, in addition to measures of focal demyelinating lesions, may predict short-term disease evolution in patients with CIS, particularly when used in combination. If confirmed in larger studies, these findings may have important clinical and therapeutic implications.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Reliable markers to monitor PPMS are still needed. We investigated whether conventional and DTI measures of thalamic damage are predictive of long-term disability accumulation in PPMS. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Brain conventional and DTI scans were obtained at baseline and after a mean follow-up of 15 months in 54 patients with PPMS and 8 healthy controls. Patients were reassessed clinically after 5 years. At baseline and follow-up, measures of lesion load, brain atrophy, and NTV were obtained. MD and FA histograms of the NAWM, the whole GM without the thalami, and the thalami were obtained. A multivariate analysis evaluated the predictors of long-term neurologic deterioration. RESULTS: At follow-up, 35 patients showed disability worsening. At baseline, compared with healthy controls, patients with PPMS had lower NTV (P < .001) and thalamic FA (P = .002) and higher thalamic (P = .002) and whole GM without the thalami (P = .005) MD. During follow-up, the change of thalamic FA was higher in PPMS versus healthy controls (P = .01). Baseline NTV and thalamic DTI quantities differed significantly between patients with PPMS with and without thalamic lesions. Baseline thalamic quantities were significantly correlated with the extent of brain T2 lesions and the severity of NAWM damage. The multivariate model included average NAWM MD (OR = 1.46, P = .005) and FA thalamic change (OR = 0.84, P = .02) as independent predictors of EDSS score deterioration (Nagelkerke R(2) = 0.55). CONCLUSIONS: Short-term accrual of thalamic damage and the severity of NAWM involvement predict the long-term accumulation of disability in PPMS.

Objective: In multiple sclerosis (MS), the aim of therapies is to prevent the accumulation of irreversible disability. This is difficult to assess given the short time course of clinical trials. MRI markers and relapses are often used as surrogate of disability in MS studies, but their validity remains controversial. We sought to validate, at the individual patient level, MRI lesions and relapses as surrogates for disability progression over the course of MS trials. Methods: Individual patient data from a large, placebo-controlled trial of interferon β-1a in relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) were analyzed. The Prentice criteria were applied to evaluate surrogacy of 1-year MRI active lesions and relapses for disability worsening (Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS]) over the 2-year follow-up. Results: All Prentice criteria were satisfied. Treatment reduced by 31% the odds of having EDSS worsening over 2 years, reducing the mean number of MRI lesions by 61% and the mean number of relapses by 36% over 1 year. Both 1-year MRI lesion activity and relapses, when considered independently, accounted for more than 60% of the treatment effect on 2-year EDSS worsening. A combination of 1-year MRI lesion activity and relapses explained 100% of the treatment effect on EDSS worsening over 2 years. Conclusions: A combined measure of 1-year changes in MRI lesions and relapses after interferon therapy fully estimated the corresponding effect on 2-year EDSS worsening. This short-term combined measure appears to be a surrogate for disability progression over a longer term when evaluating the effect of interferon in RRMS.

1477-0970 (Electronic) 1352-4585 (Linking) Journal Article; This study was performed to assess the temporal evolution of damage within lesions and the normal-appearing white matter, measured using frequent magnetization transfer (MT) MRI, in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). The relationship of MT ratio (MTR) changes with measures of lesion burden, and the sample sizes needed to demonstrate a treatment effect on MTR metrics in placebo-controlled MS trials were also investigated. Bimonthly brain conventional and MT MRI scans were acquired from 42 patients with RRMS enrolled in the placebo arm of a 14-month, double-blind trial. Longitudinal MRI changes were evaluated using a random effect linear model accounting for repeated measures, and adjusted for centre effects. The Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score remained stable over the study period. A weak, but not statistically significant, decrease over time was detected for normal-appearing brain tissue (NABT) average MTR (-0.02% per visit; p = 0.14), and MTR peak height (-0.15 per visit; p = 0.17), while average lesion MTR showed a significant decrease over the study period (-0.07% per visit; p = 0.03). At each visit, all MTR variables were significantly correlated with T2 lesion volume (LV) (average coefficients of correlation ranging from -0.54 to -0.28, and p-values from

Objective: To evaluate whether the effects on potential surrogate endpoints, such as MRI markers and relapses, observed in trials of experimental treatments are able to predict the effects of these treatments on disability progression as defined in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) trials. Methods: We used a pooled analysis of all the published randomized controlled clinical trials in RRMS reporting data on Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) worsening and relapses or MRI lesions or both. We extracted data on relapses, MRI lesions, and the proportion of progressing patients. A regression analysis weighted on trial size and duration was performed to study the relationship between the treatment effect observed in each trial on relapses and MRI lesions and the observed treatment effect on EDSS worsening. Results: A set of 19 randomized double-blind controlled trials in RRMS were identified, for a total of 44 arms, 25 contrasts, and 10,009 patients. A significant correlation was found between the effect of treatments on relapses and the effect of treatments on EDSS worsening: the adjusted R 2 value of the weighted regression was 0.71. The correlation between the treatment effect on MRI lesions and EDSS worsening was slightly weaker ( R 2 = 0.57) but significant. Conclusions: These findings support the use of commonly used surrogate markers of EDSS worsening as endpoints in multiple sclerosis clinical trials. Further research is warranted to validate surrogate endpoints at the individual level rather than at the trial level, to draw important conclusions in the management of the individual patient.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the efficacy, tolerability, and safety of IV methylprednisolone (IV MP) vs oral methylprednisolone (oMP) at equivalent high doses in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) experiencing a recent relapse.METHODS: Patients with a clinical relapse within the previous 2 weeks and at least 1 gadolinium (Gd)-enhancing lesion on a screening brain MRI scan were included. Forty patients with MS were randomized to receive either 1 g/day for 5 days of oMP (20 patients) or 1 g/day for 5 days of IV MP (20 patients). Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and brain MRI (dual-echo and postcontrast T1-weighted scans) were assessed at baseline and at weeks 1 and 4. The study primary research question (endpoint) was to compare the efficacy of the 2 treatment routes in reducing the number of Gd-enhancing lesions after 1 week from treatment initiation. Secondary outcomes were safety, tolerability, and clinical efficacy profiles of the 2 routes of administration.RESULTS: The 2 groups showed a reduction of Gd-enhancing lesions over time (p = 0.002 for oMP and p = 0.001 for IV MP) with a "non-inferiority effect" between the 2 routes of administration at week 1. Both groups showed an improvement of EDSS over time (p < 0.001) without between-group difference at week 4. Both treatments were well-tolerated and adverse events were minimal and occurred similarly in the 2 treatment arms.CONCLUSIONS: Oral methylprednisolone (oMP) is as effective as IV methylprednisolone in reducing gadolinium-enhancing lesions in patients with MS soon after an acute relapse with similar clinical, safety, and tolerability profiles. This study provides class III evidence that 1 g oMP x 5 days is not inferior to 1 g IV MP x 5 days in reducing the number of gadolinium-enhancing lesions over a period of 1 week (mean difference in lesion reduction comparing IV MP to oMP is -20%, 95% confidence interval -48% to + 5%).

Reliable prognostic markers of primary progressive (PP) multiple sclerosis evolution are still needed. Diffusion tensor (DT) MRI can quantify normal-appearing white matter (NAWM) and grey matter (GM) damage in multiple sclerosis patients. We investigated whether conventional and DT-MRI-derived measures can predict the long-term clinical evolution of PP multiple sclerosis. In 54 PP multiple sclerosis patients, conventional and DT-MRI scans of the brain and T-1-weighted scans of the cervical cord were acquired at baseline and after a median follow-up of 15 months. Another clinical evaluation was performed, 56 months after baseline, in 52 patients. Measures of lesion load, brain and cord atrophy were obtained. Histograms of the mean diffusivity (MD) and fractional anisotropy (FA) values from the NAWM and GM were analysed. At follow-up, 35 patients (65%) experienced a confirmed disability progression. Baseline expanded disability status scale score and average GM MD were independent predictors of subsequent clinical deterioration in a multivariable model (Nagelkerke R-2: 0.44; discriminating ability: 81%). A lower level of disability and a more severe GM damage identify PP multiple sclerosis patients with an increased risk of disease progression over the subsequent 5 years. These data may be relevant to select patients for future exploratory phase II trials.

This study aimed at evaluating the influence of a different slice orientation on brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) lesion load in multiple sclerosis (MS). Fifteen MS patients were scanned obtaining both axial and sagittal conventional spin echo (24 slices; TR 2400, TE 30/80) brain MRI. The total lesion load (TLL) was assessed twice for each scan, using a semi-automated local thresholding technique and the same marked hardcopies. The mean TLL was 22734 mm3 for axial and 22003 mm3 for sagittal scans. The mean intra-observer coefficient of variation (COV) was 4.65% for the axial acquisitions and 4.52% for the sagittal acquisitions. This difference was not statistically significant (one-way ANOVA, P> 0.1). The lesion load was significantly higher from axial MRI as compared to the intra-observer variability (two-way ANOVA, P =0.01), but the fluctuations around this average difference between axial and sagittal scan TLL were significantly large (test for interaction, P < 0.00I). Our data indicate that the use of sagittal conventional MRI scans does not seem to be worthwhile for the quantitative assessment of lesion load in MS patients.

Objective: To define the nature and the temporal evolution of neuronal/ axonal injury in patients at the earliest clinical stage of multiple sclerosis (MS), using whole brain N-acetylaspartate (WBNAA) proton MR spectroscopy (H-1-MRS). Methods: Thirty-five patients at presentation with clinically isolated syndromes (CIS) and MRI evidence of disease dissemination in space were studied. The following scans of the brain were acquired within 3 months from the onset of the disease and after 12 months: 1) dual-echo; 2) WBNAA H-1-MRS; 3) pre- and postcontrast T1-weighted. The same scans were obtained in 12 age-matched healthy subjects, without contrast administration. In patients, conventional MRI scans were also repeated 3 months after the first scanning session, to assess the presence of early disease dissemination in time (DIT). Results: Over the study period, 24 patients showed MRI evidence of disease DIT, thus fulfilling the criteria for a diagnosis of MS. The average WBNAA amount was lower in CIS patients than in controls both at baseline (13.7 vs 16.9 mM, p < 0.001) and at 1-year follow-up (12.6 vs 16.2 mM, p < 0.001), but the average yearly percentage change of WBNAA did not differ between the two groups. No MRI or H-1-MRS quantities were significantly associated with the disease DIT over the study period. Conclusion: Irreversible brain damage associated with axonal dysfunction occurs at a very early stage in patients with clinically isolated syndromes, but it does not seem to be related with the disease evolution in the subsequent short-term period.

Little is known about the temporal evolution of gray matter damage occurring early in the course of multiple sclerosis (MS). The authors investigated the evolution of gray matter volume loss in 117 patients with relapsing-remitting MS, scanned monthly for a 9-month period. Time-trend analysis revealed a decrease of gray matter volumes over the study period (p < 0.001). This study shows that gray matter damage in relapsing-remitting MS evolves markedly over a short period of observation.

The 6 min walk test (6MWT) has been recently chosen as the primary outcome measure in several international multicenter clinical trials in Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) ambulant patients. The aim of the study was to assess the spectrum of changes at 3 years in the individual measures, their correlation with steroid treatment and with age and 6MWT values at baseline. 96 patients from 11 centers were assessed at baseline and 1, 2 and 3 years after baseline. Three boys (3%) lost the ability to perform the test within 12 months, another 13 between 12 and 24 months (14%) and other 11 between 24 and 36 months (12%). The 6MWT showed an average overall decline of −15.8 (SD 77.3) meters in the first year, of −58.9 (SD 125.7) in the second year and −104.22 (SD 146.2) in the third year. The changes were significantly different in the two baseline age groups and according to the baseline 6MWT values (below and above 350 m) (test for interaction, p

The authors estimated the sample sizes needed for exploratory trials of MS assessing the efficacy of new treatments in reducing the number of new enhancing lesions vs those of interferon-beta or glatiramer acetate. The sample sizes per arm ranged from 868 (effect: 20%) to 94 (effect: 50%) for patients with relapsing-remitting MS and from 2,484 (effect: 20%) to 361 (effect: 50%) for patients with secondary progressive MS. In MS, exploratory trials of new vs available therapies require large numbers of patients, even when MR end-points are used.

In this study, we evaluated the intra- and interobserver variabilities in measuring lesion load of brain MRI abnormalities present on proton-density scans from patients with MS, using using both manual outlining or a semiautomated local thresholding technique (LTT). We also evaluated how these variabilities were affected by the use of standard rules for lesion load measurements, training, and different measurement strategies. The intraobserver variabilities obtained after establishing rules for lesion load measurements and training were not significantly different from those obtained before any consensus among the observers, both for manual outlining and for the LTT. On the contrary, the interobserver variabilities obtained with manual outlining or the LTT were significantly reduced when rules for lesion load measurements were used. For manual outlining, the intraobserver variability did not significantly change when the measurements were performed after an experienced radiologist identified lesions or when using adjacent slices and the corresponding T2-weighted images as reference for lesion identification. On the contrary, for the LTT, the intraobserver variability was significantly reduced by the use of the radiologic marking. The interobserver variabilities for both manual outlining and the LTT were reduced compared with the free condition when these measurement strategies were used. Our findings demonstrate that both lesion identification and outlining are important sources of variation for MRI lesion load measurements in MS and that there are simple strategies to reduce such variation that might be useful when planning clinical trials.

Six minute walk test (6MWT), timed items and North Star Ambulatory Assessment (NSAA) are increasingly used as possible outcome measures in clinical trials in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD). Longitudinal data have previously been reported following changes in their scores over a 12 month period. The aim of the study was to assess 6MWT and NSAA in a cohort of 119 ambulant DMD boys over 24 months in order to establish the spectrum of possible changes over a longer period of time. The study is a longitudinal multicentric cohort study. 119 ambulant DMD patients were assessed using 6MWT, NSAA at baseline 12 and 24 months. Clinical data including age and steroid treatment were collected. During the 24 months of the study, we observed a progressive decline in both measures that was more obvious in the second year. Not all the DMD boys in our cohort showed a decline as young boys showed some improvement in their 6MWT and NSAA scores up to the age of 7. Fifteen patients (12.6%) lost the ability to walk independently: 2/15 by the end of the first year and the other 13 in the second year. Another 22 patients (21.1%) were still able to walk independently but were unable to get up from supine (8/22 at baseline, 4 at 12 months, 10 at 24 months). Four children also lost the ability to perform the 6MWT (2 at 12 months and the other 2 at 24 months). This study provides longitudinal data of NSAA and 6MWT over a 24 month period. These data can be useful when designing a clinical trial.

Contrast enhancement found on MRI of patients with MS demonstrates areas of blood–brain barrier damage and inflammation. Contrast enhanced MRI shows evidence of disease activity five to 10 times more frequently than is indicated by clinically apparent relapse. However, the frequency of enhancement differs significantly among the different clinical MS phenotypes. It is much lower in patients with primary progressive MS (PPMS) than in those with secondary progressive MS (SPMS).1 Enhancement frequency is highest in relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS).2,3⇓ These differences in enhancement frequency among the clinical MS phenotypes has been interpreted as an indication that different mechanisms are responsible for disease evolution in the different phases or manifestations of the disease. However, recent experimental work has shown that clinical and pathologic manifestations of autoimmune demyelination are age dependent.4 This suggests that increasing age might also be responsible for the reduced frequency of enhancement seen in patients with PPMS or SPMS, who are typically older than those with RRMS. To address whether increasing age …

To the Editor: Filippi et al.1 discussed strategies intended to improve the precision of measurement of the lesion load in MRI scans of MS patients. One technique, the use of a common set of rules to identify and outline lesions, reduced the “proportional variation (PV)” between observers to between 30% and 50%. Based on this result, they suggested that this technique may be useful in clinical trials. They did not furnish any estimate of the effect of this improved precision on the sensitivity of a clinical trial and provided insufficient information to allow readers to make such an assessment. Filippi et al.1 referenced two articles that study other methods intended to improve the precision of lesion load measurements.2,3 We believe both these papers have the same oversight, but Grimaud et al.3 did provide sufficient information to make an assessment of the effect of their method on the sensitivity of clinical trials. By our calculations (below), the effect is much less than the impression given by the article. The statistical significance of the results derived from a clinical trial is usually expressed by a “ p value,” where p < 0.05 is usually considered statistically significant. The technique of calculating the p value depends on the type of data available, the assumptions that can safely be made, and the statistical technique to be employed in the data analysis. As an illustrative example, consider the question of whether the mean measured lesion loads of two treatment arms from a randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial are significantly different. We can calculate a p value from the means and corresponding standard errors using Student’s t -test. Provided the patients can be viewed as a random sample from a designated population, the standard errors of the means are equal to …

Background: Autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) has been recently utilized with encouraging results in patients with poorly controlled MS. Objective: To determine in severe cases of MS the effect of ASCT on gadolinium (Gd)-enhanced MRI and to obtain information on clinical course and safety. Methods: In a cooperative study, 10 patients with rapidly evolving secondary progressive MS were transplanted, after BEAM conditioning regimen (carmustine, etoposide, cytosine-arabinoside, and melphalan), with unmanipulated autologous peripheral blood SC mobilized with high-dose cyclophosphamide (CY; 4 g/m 2 ) and granulocyte-colony-stimulating factor. Triple-dose Gd-enhanced scans were performed monthly for a pretreatment period of 3 months and compared with serial monthly Gd-enhanced MRI for the following 6 months and then once every 3 months. Results: The median follow-up is now 15 months (range 4 to 30 months). The number of Gd-enhancing lesions decreased immediately after mobilization with CY and finally dropped to zero in all cases after the conditioning regimen. The number of new T2-weighted positive lesions paralleled data obtained for Gd-enhanced MRI. Clinically, patients improved slightly or remained stable. Conclusion: These results demonstrate that the therapeutic sequence CY–BEAM–ASCT has the capacity to completely suppress MR-enhancing activity, an effect that is sustained with time. The final impact of this procedure on disease course remains to be established.