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Background: Multiple sclerosis patients experience 3–6 times more seizures than the general population, but observations vary among studies. Seizure risk in disease-modifying therapy recipients remains unknown. Objective: The objective of this study was to compare seizure risk in multiple sclerosis patients receiving disease-modifying therapy versus placebo. Methods: MEDLINE(OVID), Embase, CINAHL, and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched from database inception until August 2021. Phase 2–3 randomized, placebo-controlled trials reporting efficacy and safety data for disease-modifying therapies were included. Network meta-analysis followed Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, using Bayesian random effects model for individual and pooled (by drug target) therapies. Main outcome was loge seizure risk ratios [95% credible intervals]. Sensitivity analysis included meta-analysis of non-zero-event studies. Results: A total of 1993 citations and 331 full-texts were screened. Fifty-six included studies (29,388 patients—disease-modifying therapy = 18,909; placebo = 10,479) reported 60 seizures (therapy = 41; placebo = 19). No individual therapy was associated with altered seizure risk ratio. Exceptions were daclizumab (−17.90 [−65.31; −0.65]) and rituximab (−24.86 [−82.71; −1.37]) trending toward lower risk ratio; cladribine (25.78 [0.94; 4.65]) and pegylated interferon-beta-1a (25.40 [0.78; 85.47]) trended toward higher risk ratio. Observations had wide credible intervals. Sensitivity analysis of 16 non-zero-event studies revealed no difference in risk ratio for pooled therapies (l0.32 [−0.94; 0.29]) Conclusion: No evidence of association was found between disease-modifying therapy and seizure risk—this informs seizure management in multiple sclerosis patients.

Background: In the absence of evidence from randomised controlled trials, observational data can be used to emulate clinical trials and guide clinical decisions. Observational studies are, however, susceptible to confounding and bias. Among the used techniques to reduce indication bias are propensity score matching and marginal structural models. Objective: To use the comparative effectiveness of fingolimod vs natalizumab to compare the results obtained with propensity score matching and marginal structural models. Methods: Patients with clinically isolated syndrome or relapsing remitting MS who were treated with either fingolimod or natalizumab were identified in the MSBase registry. Patients were propensity score matched, and inverse probability of treatment weighted at six monthly intervals, using the following variables: age, sex, disability, MS duration, MS course, prior relapses, and prior therapies. Studied outcomes were cumulative hazard of relapse, disability accumulation, and disability improvement. Results: 4608 patients (1659 natalizumab, 2949 fingolimod) fulfilled inclusion criteria, and were propensity score matched or repeatedly reweighed with marginal structural models. Natalizumab treatment was associated with a lower probability of relapse (PS matching: HR 0.67 [95% CI 0.62-0.80]; marginal structural model: 0.71 [0.62-0.80]), and higher probability of disability improvement (PS matching: 1.21 [1.02 -1.43]; marginal structural model 1.43 1.19 -1.72]). There was no evidence of a difference in the magnitude of effect between the two methods. Conclusions: The relative effectiveness of two therapies can be efficiently compared by either marginal structural models or propensity score matching when applied in clearly defined clinical contexts and in sufficiently powered cohorts.

© 2022Background: Patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) who experience relapses on a first-line therapy (interferon, glatiramer acetate, dimethyl fumarate, or teriflunomide; collectively, “BRACETD”) often switch to another therapy, including natalizumab or fingolimod. Here we compare the effectiveness of switching from a first-line therapy to natalizumab or fingolimod after ≥1 relapse. Methods: Data collected prospectively in the MSBase Registry, a global, longitudinal, observational registry, were extracted on February 6, 2018. Included patients were adults with RRMS with ≥1 relapse on BRACETD therapy in the year before switching to natalizumab or fingolimod. Included patients received natalizumab or fingolimod for ≥3 months after the switch. Results: Following 1:1 propensity score matching, 1000 natalizumab patients were matched to 1000 fingolimod patients. Mean (standard deviation) follow-up time was 3.02 (2.06) years after switching to natalizumab and 2.58 (1.64) years after switching to fingolimod. Natalizumab recipients had significantly lower annualized relapse rate (relative risk=0.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59–0.74), lower risk of first relapse (hazard ratio [HR]=0.69; 95% CI, 0.60–0.80), and higher confirmed disability improvement (HR=1.27; 95% CI, 1.03–1.57) than fingolimod recipients. No difference in confirmed disability worsening was observed. Conclusions: Patients with RRMS switching from BRACETD demonstrated better outcomes with natalizumab than with fingolimod.

Background: effectiveness of cladribine tablets, an oral disease-modifying treatment (DMT) for multiple sclerosis (MS), was established in clinical trials and confirmed with real-world experience. Objectives: use real-world data to compare treatment patterns and clinical outcomes in people with MS (pwMS) treated with cladribine tablets versus other oral DMTs. Methods: retrospective treatment comparisons were based on data from the international MSBase registry. Eligible pwMS started treatment with cladribine, fingolimod, dimethyl fumarate, or teriflunomide tablets from 2018 to mid-2021 and were censored at treatment discontinuation/switch, death, loss to follow-up, pregnancy, or study period end. Treatment persistence was evaluated as time to discontinuation/switch; relapse outcomes included time to first relapse and annualized relapse rate (ARR). Results: cohorts included 633 pwMS receiving cladribine tablets, 1195 receiving fingolimod, 912 receiving dimethyl fumarate, and 735 receiving teriflunomide. Individuals treated with fingolimod, dimethyl fumarate, or teriflunomide switched treatment significantly more quickly than matched cladribine tablet cohorts (adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 4.00 (2.54-6.32), 7.04 (4.16-11.93), and 6.52 (3.79-11.22), respectively). Cladribine tablet cohorts had significantly longer time-to-treatment discontinuation, time to first relapse, and lower ARR, compared with other oral DMT cohorts. Conclusion: cladribine tablets were associated with a significantly greater real-world treatment persistence and more favorable relapse outcomes than all oral DMT comparators., Financial support for this study was provided entirely by a contract with EMD Serono Research & Development Institute, Inc., Billerica, MA, USA, an affiliate of Merck KGaA (CrossRef Funder ID: 10.13039/100004755). The funding agreement ensured the authors’ independence in designing the study, interpreting the data, writing, and publishing the report. The following authors are employed by the sponsor: NT and SLW.

Background and purpose: This study assessed the effect of patient characteristics on the response to disease-modifying therapy (DMT) in multiple sclerosis (MS).Methods: We extracted data from 61,810 patients from 135 centers across 35 countries from the MSBase registry. The selection criteria were: clinically isolated syndrome or definite MS, follow -up >= 1 year, and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score >= 3, with >= 1 score recorded per year. Marginal structural models with interaction terms were used to compare the hazards of 12 -month confirmed worsening and improvement of disability, and the incidence of relapses between treated and untreated patients stratified by their characteristics.Results: Among 24,344 patients with relapsing MS, those on DMTs experienced 48% reduction in relapse incidence (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.52, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.45- 0.60), 46% lower risk of disability worsening (HR = 0.54, 95% CI = 0.41- 0.71), and 32% greater chance of disability improvement (HR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.09- 1.59). The effect of DMTs on EDSS worsening and improvement and the risk of relapses was attenuated with more severe disability. The magnitude of the effect of DMT on suppressing relapses declined with higher prior relapse rate and prior cerebral magnetic resonance imaging activity. We did not find any evidence for the effect of age on the effectiveness of DMT. After inclusion of 1985 participants with progressive MS, the effect of DMT on disability mostly depended on MS phenotype, whereas its effect on relapses was driven mainly by prior relapse activity.Conclusions: DMT is generally most effective among patients with lower disability and in relapsing MS phenotypes. There is no evidence of attenuation of the effect of DMT with age. This study was financially supported by the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (1129189, 1140766, 1080518) We thank the patients and their carers who have agreed to participate in the global MSBase cohort study. The MSBase Foundation is a not-for-profit organization that receives support from Roche, Merck, Biogen, Novartis, Bayer-Schering, Sanofi-Genzyme, and Teva. The study was conducted separately and apart from the guidance of the sponsors. Open access publishing facilitated by The University of Melbourne, as part of the Wiley - The University of Melbourne agreement via the Council of Australian University Librarians.

Background: The added value of neurofilament light chain levels in serum (sNfL) to the concept of no evidence of disease activity-3 (NEDA-3) has not yet been investigated in detail. Objective: To assess whether combination of sNfL with NEDA-3 status improves identification of patients at higher risk of disease activity during the following year. Methods: We analyzed 369 blood samples from 155 early relapsing-remitting MS patients on interferon beta-1a. We compared disease activity, including the rate of brain volume loss in subgroups defined by NEDA-3 status and high or low sNfL (> 90th or Results: In patients with disease activity (EDA-3), those with higher sNFL had higher odds of EDA-3 in the following year than those with low sNFL (86.5% vs 57.9%; OR = 4.25, 95% CI: [2.02, 8.95]; p = 0.0001) and greater whole brain volume loss during the following year (β = −0.36%; 95% CI = [−0.60, −0.13]; p = 0.002). Accordingly, NEDA-3 patients with high sNfL showed numerically higher disease activity (EDA-3) in the following year compared with those with low sNfL (57.1% vs 31.1%). Conclusion: sNfL improves the ability to identify patients at higher risk of future disease activity, beyond their NEDA-3 status. Measurement of sNfL may assist clinicians in decision-making by providing more sensitive prognostic information.

Background: Timely initiation of disease modifying therapy is crucial for managing multiple sclerosis (MS). Objective: We aimed to validate a previously published predictive model of individual treatment response using a non-overlapping cohort from the Middle East. Methods: We interrogated the MSBase registry for patients who were not included in the initial model development. These patients had relapsing MS or clinically isolated syndrome, a recorded date of disease onset, disability and dates of disease modifying therapy, with sufficient follow-up pre- and post-baseline. Baseline was the visit at which a new disease modifying therapy was initiated, and which served as the start of the predicted period. The original models were used to translate clinical information into three principal components and to predict probability of relapses, disability worsening or improvement, conversion to secondary progressive MS and treatment discontinuation as well as changes in the area under disability-time curve (ΔAUC). Prediction accuracy was assessed using the criteria published previously. Results: The models performed well for predicting the risk of disability worsening and improvement (accuracy: 81%–96%) and performed moderately well for predicting the risk of relapses (accuracy: 73%–91%). The predictions for ΔAUC and risk of treatment discontinuation were suboptimal (accuracy Conclusion: The previously published models are generalisable to patients with a broad range of baseline characteristics in different geographic regions.

Background: Disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) are used to treat people with relapsing-onset multiple sclerosis (ROMS), but our knowledge is largely limited to their short-term effects. Objective: To determine (1) the impact of national-level DMT subsidy policy on DMT use and health outcomes in people with MS (PwMS) and (2) the long-term effects of DMT on disability and quality of life (QoL; 5-level EQ-5D version (EQ-5D-5L) utility value). Methods: This observational cohort study compared Australian and New Zealand populations with different levels of DMT availability 10–20 years post-ROMS diagnosis. Between-country differences were assessed using standardised differences. Associations were assessed with multivariable linear regression models. Results: We recruited 328 Australians and 256 New Zealanders. The Australian cohort had longer DMT treatment duration, greater proportion of disease course treated and shorter duration between diagnosis and starting DMT. The Australian cohort had lower median Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) (3.5 vs 4.0) and Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score (MSSS) (3.05 vs 3.71) and higher QoL (0.71 vs 0.65). In multivariable models, between-country differences in disability and QoL were largely attributed to differential use of DMT. Conclusions: This study provides evidence for the impact of national-level DMT policy on disability outcomes in PwMS. Where DMTs are more accessible, PwMS experienced less disability progression and improved QoL 10–20 years post-diagnosis.

Background and purpose The prevention of disability over the long term is the main treatment goal in multiple sclerosis (MS); however, randomized clinical trials evaluate only short-term treatment effects on disability. This study aimed to define criteria for 6-month confirmed disability progression events of MS with a high probability of resulting in sustained long-term disability worsening. Methods In total, 14,802 6-month confirmed disability progression events were identified in 8741 patients from the global MSBase registry. For each 6-month confirmed progression event (13,321 in the development and 1481 in the validation cohort), a sustained progression score was calculated based on the demographic and clinical characteristics at the time of progression that were predictive of long-term disability worsening. The score was externally validated in the Cladribine Tablets Treating Multiple Sclerosis Orally (CLARITY) trial. Results The score was based on age, sex, MS phenotype, relapse activity, disability score and its change from baseline, number of affected functional system domains and worsening in six of the domains. In the internal validation cohort, a 61% lower chance of improvement was estimated with each unit increase in the score (hazard ratio 0.39, 95% confidence interval 0.29-0.52; discriminatory index 0.89). The proportions of progression events sustained at 5 years stratified by the score were 1: 72%; 2: 88%; 3: 94%; 4: 100%. The results of the CLARITY trial were confirmed for reduction of disability progression that was >88% likely to be sustained (events with score >1.5). Conclusions Clinicodemographic characteristics of 6-month confirmed disability progression events identify those at high risk of sustained long-term disability. This knowledge will allow future trials to better assess the effect of therapy on long-term disability accrual. NHMRC [1129189, 1157717, 1140766]; Merck; Biogen; Novartis; Roche; Bayer; Schering; Sanofi Genzyme; Teva Pharmaceutical Industries

Background: Patients with relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis commonly switch between disease-modifying therapies (DMTs). Identifying predictors of relapse when switching could improve outcomes. Objective: To determine predictors of relapse hazard when switching to cladribine. Methods: Data of patients who switched to cladribine, grouped by prior disease-modifying therapy (pDMT; interferon-β/glatiramer acetate, dimethyl fumarate, teriflunomide, fingolimod or natalizumab (NTZ)), were extracted from the MSBase Registry. Predictors of relapse hazard during the treatment gap and the first year of cladribine therapy were determined. Results: Of 513 patients, 22 relapsed during the treatment gap, and 38 within 1 year of starting cladribine. Relapse in the year before pDMT cessation predicted treatment gap relapse hazard (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.03–5.71). After multivariable adjustment, relapse hazard on cladribine was predicted by relapse before pDMT cessation (HR = 2.00, 95% CI = 1.01–4.02), treatment gap relapse (HR = 6.18, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.65–14.41), switch from NTZ (HR compared to injectable therapies 4.08, 95% CI = 1.35–12.33) and age at cladribine start (HR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.91–0.99). Conclusion: Relapse during or prior to the treatment gap, and younger age, are of prognostic relevance in the year after switching to cladribine. Switching from NTZ is also independently associated with greater relapse hazard.

BackgroundIntramuscular injections of botulinum toxin A (BTX-A) have been used in the treatment of sleep bruxism (SB) however controlled trials are limited and the optimal injection strategy and dose is not known.MethodsThis double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, cross-over study evaluated the efficacy and safety of BTX-A in participants with SB. Average bruxism events per hour of sleep (Bruxism Index, BI) was calculated using surface electromyography. Participants with BI >5 were included and randomised by order of injection (active or placebo with the opposite 20 weeks later) and into one of three differing treatment groups: bilateral masseter (60 units(U)), bilateral masseter and temporalis (90U) and bilateral masseter, temporalis and medial pterygoid muscles (120U). Change in BI and subjective measures of headache, pain, and bruxism at 4 and 12 weeks was calculated following intervention, and differences between treatment groups analysed.Results41 participants were recruited, 35 randomised and data from 22 participants (14 female) were analysed. BI was significantly lower at 4 weeks after active treatment when compared with placebo (mean=−1.66, p=0.003), not sustained at 12 weeks. The difference was greater with higher doses injected and among those with greater baseline BI. There was no difference in subjective measures at any time point. Five participants injected had mild, transient side effects.DiscussionTargeted BTX-A injection is a safe and effective treatment for SB. A greater benefit may be achieved by administering BTX-A into more muscles and at higher total doses and among those with higher baseline BI.Trial registration numberACTRN12618001430224.

IntroductionIn 2015/2016, annual national expenditure on neurological conditions exceeded $A3 billion. However, a comprehensive study of the Australian neurological workforce and supply/demand dynamics has not previously been undertaken.MethodsCurrent neurological workforce was defined using neurologist survey and other sources. Workforce supply modelling used ordinary differential equations to simulate neurologist influx and attrition. Demand for neurology care was estimated by reference to literature regarding incidence and prevalence of selected conditions. Differences in supply versus demand for neurological workforce were calculated. Potential interventions to increase workforce were simulated and effects on supply versus demand estimated.ResultsModelling of the workforce from 2020 to 2034 predicted an increase in neurologist number from 620 to 89. We estimated a 2034 capacity of 638 024 Initial and 1 269 112 Review encounters annually, and deficits against demand estimated as 197 137 and 881 755, respectively. These deficits were proportionately greater in regional Australia, which has 31% of Australia’s population (Australian Bureau of Statistics) but is served by only 4.1% of its neurologists as determined by our 2020 survey of Australia and New Zealand Association of Neurologists members. Nationally, simulated additions to the neurology workforce had some effect on the review encounter supply deficit (37.4%), but in Regional Australia, this impact was only 17.2%.InterpretationModelling of the neurologist workforce in Australia for 2020–2034 demonstrates a significant shortfall of supply relative to current and projected demand. Interventions to increase neurologist workforce may attenuate this shortfall but will not eliminate it. Thus, additional interventions are needed, including improved efficiency and additional use of support staff.

Interferon-β, a disease-modifying therapy (DMT) for MS, may be associated with less severe COVID-19 in people with MS.Among 5,568 patients (83.4% confirmed COVID-19), interferon-treated patients had lower risk of severe COVID-19 compared to untreated, but not to glatiramer-acetate, dimethyl-fumarate, or pooled other DMTs.In comparison to other DMTs, we did not find evidence of protective effects of interferon-β on the severity of COVID-19, though compared to the untreated, the course of COVID19 was milder among those on interferon-β. This study does not support the use of interferon-β as a treatment to reduce COVID-19 severity in MS.

A circulating biomarker has potential to provide more accurate information for glioma progression post treatment, however no such biomarker is currently available. We aimed to discover a microRNA serum biomarker for longitudinal monitoring of glioma patients. A prospectively collected cohort of 91 glioma patients and 17 healthy controls underwent pre and post-operative serum miRNA profiling using Nanostring®. Differentially expressed miRNAs were discovered using a machine learning random forest analysis. Candidate miRNAs were then assessed by droplet digital PCR in 11 patients with multiple follow up samples and compared to tumor volume based on magnetic resonance imaging. A 9-gene miRNA signature was identified that could distinguish between glioma and healthy controls with 99.8% accuracy. Two miRNAs miR-223 and miR-320e, best demonstrated dynamic changes that correlated closely with tumor volume in LGG and GBM respectively. Importantly, miRNA levels did not increase in two cases of pseudo-progression, indicating the potential utility of this test in guiding treatment decisions. We identified a highly accurate 9-miRNA signature associated with glioma serum. Additionally, we observed dynamic changes in specific miRNAs correlating with tumor volume over long-term follow up. These results support a large prospective validation study of serum miRNA biomarkers in glioma.

Background/objective: Observational clinical data from cladribine-treated patients with relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis (MS) were recorded in the Australian MS registry powered by the MSBase registry platform (5-year follow-up) and analysed to complement information from the pivotal cladribine clinical trials in MS. Methods: A cohort of 90 cladribine-treated patients with follow-up data reported by treating physicians and recorded in the Australian MSBase registry (database lock February 2016) were examined. Clinical data included Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores, relapses and other disease-modifying drugs (DMDs) administered before and after cladribine treatment. Results: Mean age on starting cladribine was 47 years; mean age at MS onset was 34 years, and median baseline EDSS score was 5.25. Disability trajectories in patients with sufficient follow-up suggested an overall increasing trend prior to cladribine treatment which was reduced during the 2-year post-treatment. Approximately 80% of patients were EDSS progression-free, 65% remained relapse-free after 2 years and median time to next DMD was 1.7 years. Conclusion: These observational data suggest a disease-modifying effect in this cohort of relapsing MS patients characterised by older and more disabled patients. Since these data represent a single-arm cohort, clinical trials and larger comparative post-marketing studies are needed to validate and extend these findings.

Background and Objectives Certain demographic and clinical characteristics, including the use of some disease-modifying therapies (DMTs), are associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection severity in people with multiple sclerosis (MS). Comprehensive exploration of these relationships in large international samples is needed.Methods Clinician-reported demographic/clinical data from 27 countries were aggregated into a data set of 5,648 patients with suspected/confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). COVID-19 severity outcomes (hospitalization, admission to intensive care unit [ICU], requiring artificial ventilation, and death) were assessed using multilevel mixed-effects ordered probit and logistic regression, adjusted for age, sex, disability, and MS phenotype. DMTs were individually compared with glatiramer acetate, and anti-CD20 DMTs with pooled other DMTs and with natalizumab.Results Of 5,648 patients, 922 (16.6%) with suspected and 4,646 (83.4%) with confirmed COVID-19 were included. Male sex, older age, progressive MS, and higher disability were associated with more severe COVID-19. Compared with glatiramer acetate, ocrelizumab and rituximab were associated with higher probabilities of hospitalization (4% [95% CI 1–7] and 7% [95% CI 4–11]), ICU/artificial ventilation (2% [95% CI 0–4] and 4% [95% CI 2–6]), and death (1% [95% CI 0–2] and 2% [95% CI 1–4]) (predicted marginal effects). Untreated patients had 5% (95% CI 2–8), 3% (95% CI 1–5), and 1% (95% CI 0–3) higher probabilities of the 3 respective levels of COVID-19 severity than glatiramer acetate. Compared with pooled other DMTs and with natalizumab, the associations of ocrelizumab and rituximab with COVID-19 severity were also more pronounced. All associations persisted/enhanced on restriction to confirmed COVID-19.Discussion Analyzing the largest international real-world data set of people with MS with suspected/confirmed COVID-19 confirms that the use of anti-CD20 medication (both ocrelizumab and rituximab), as well as male sex, older age, progressive MS, and higher disability are associated with more severe course of COVID-19. BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Certain demographic and clinical characteristics, including the use of some disease-modifying therapies (DMTs), are associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection severity in people with multiple sclerosis (MS). Comprehensive exploration of these relationships in large international samples is needed. METHODS: Clinician-reported demographic/clinical data from 27 countries were aggregated into a data set of 5,648 patients with suspected/confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). COVID-19 severity outcomes (hospitalization, admission to intensive care unit [ICU], requiring artificial ventilation, and death) were assessed using multilevel mixed-effects ordered probit and logistic regression, adjusted for age, sex, disability, and MS phenotype. DMTs were individually compared with glatiramer acetate, and anti-CD20 DMTs with pooled other DMTs and with natalizumab. RESULTS: Of 5,648 patients, 922 (16.6%) with suspected and 4,646 (83.4%) with confirmed COVID-19 were included. Male sex, older age, progressive MS, and higher disability were associated with more severe COVID-19. Compared with glatiramer acetate, ocrelizumab and rituximab were associated with higher probabilities of hospitalization (4% [95% CI 1-7] and 7% [95% CI 4-11]), ICU/artificial ventilation (2% [95% CI 0-4] and 4% [95% CI 2-6]), and death (1% [95% CI 0-2] and 2% [95% CI 1-4]) (predicted marginal effects). Untreated patients had 5% (95% CI 2-8), 3% (95% CI 1-5), and 1% (95% CI 0-3) higher probabilities of the 3 respective levels of COVID-19 severity than glatiramer acetate. Compared with pooled other DMTs and with natalizumab, the associations of ocrelizumab and rituximab with COVID-19 severity were also more pronounced. All associations persisted/enhanced on restriction to confirmed COVID-19. DISCUSSION: Analyzing the largest international real-world data set of people with MS with suspected/confirmed COVID-19 confirms that the use of anti-CD20 medication (both ocrelizumab and rituximab), as well as male sex, older age, progressive MS, and higher disability are associated with more severe course of COVID-19.

Purpose Psychogenic non-epileptic seizures (PNES) and epileptic seizures (ES) are often difficult to differentiate, leading to incorrect or delayed diagnosis. The aim of the study was to determine whether patients of these two diagnostic groups possess different personality profiles, and whether they could be used to efficiently screen for PNES in clinical settings. Methods Collection of data was conducted on 305 patients who completed the NEO-Five Factor Inventory questionnaire during a Video EEG Monitoring admission to the Royal Melbourne Hospital between 2002–2017. Personality differences were investigated using Bayesian linear mixed effects models, with receiver operating characteristic curve analysis computed to evaluate diagnostic accuracy. Results The ‘openness to experience’ domain (BF10 = 21.55, d = −0.43 [95% CI −0.71, −0.17]) and the ‘aesthetic interest’ facet (B10 = 7.98, d = −0.39 [95% CI −0.66, −0.12]) were the only personality factors demonstrating strong evidence for a group difference, with patients with PNES having higher scores compared to the ES group. ES patients had lower scores on these measures compared to the normal population, while PNES patients did not. Both openness to experience and aesthetic interest showed poor sensitivities (53%, 46% respectively) and specificities (69%, 46% respectively) for classifying PNES and ES patients. Conclusion While openness and aesthetic interests differ greatly between PNES and ES groups, low sensitivity and specificity suggests their use is limited in a clinical setting. Nevertheless, these findings open up new avenues of research using modern personality models to further understand patients with epilepsy and related presentations.

Susac syndrome (SuS) is an inflammatory condition of the brain, eye and ear. Diagnosis can be challenging, and misdiagnosis is common.This is a retrospective review of the medical records of 32 adult patients from an Australasian cohort of SuS patients.An alternative diagnosis prior to SuS was made in 30 patients (94%) with seven patients receiving two or more diagnoses. The median time to diagnosis of SuS was 3 months (range 0.5-100 months). The commonest misdiagnoses were migraine in 10 patients (31%), cerebral vasculitis in six (19%), multiple sclerosis in five (16%) and stroke in five (16%). Twenty-two patients were treated for alternative diagnoses, 10 of whom had further clinical manifestations prior to SuS diagnosis. At presentation seven patients (22%) met criteria for definite SuS, 19 (59%) for probable SuS and six (19%) for possible SuS. Six patients (19%) presented with brain-eye-ear involvement, 14 with brain-ear (44%), six with brain-eye (19%) and six (19%) with only brain involvement. In patients with the complete triad of symptoms the median delay to diagnosis was 3 months (range 1-9 months) compared to 5.25 months (range 0.5-100 months) for patients with encephalopathy and ocular symptoms at presentation.Susac syndrome patients are frequently misdiagnosed at initial presentation, despite many having symptoms or radiological features that are red flags for the diagnosis. Delayed diagnosis can lead to patient morbidity. The varied ways in which SuS can present, and clinician failure to consider or recognize SuS, appear to be the main factors leading to misdiagnosis.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has precipitated expansion of telemedicine in outpatient management of chronic diseases including multiple sclerosis (MS). Studies conducted pre-pandemic, when telehealth was an alternative to in-person consultations, represent a different setting to current practice. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of telehealth on MS outpatient care in a tertiary metropolitan hospital in Melbourne, Australia during the COVID-19 pandemic.From March-December 2020, patients and clinicians in the MS outpatient clinic were surveyed regarding their attitudes towards telehealth. Scores on the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) from telehealth and face-to-face appointments during the study period were compared to scores from face-to-face consultations before and after this period. Medical records were reviewed to compare management decisions made during telehealth versus face-to-face consultations. Diagnoses and treatment of MS relapses were compared to 2019.Telehealth was used in 73% of outpatient appointments. Patient satisfaction was generally high. Patients and clinicians preferred face-to-face consultations but were willing to use telehealth longer term. Overall, there were no significant delays in identifying patients experiencing disability worsening via telehealth, but EDSS increase was recorded in more face-to-face than telehealth appointments particularly for those with lower baseline disability. Disease-modifying therapy commencement rates were similar, but symptomatic therapy initiation and investigation requests occurred more frequently in face-to-face visits. Comparable numbers of MS relapses were diagnosed and treated with corticosteroids in 2019 and 2020.Patient satisfaction with telehealth was high, but both clinicians and patients preferred in-person appointments. Telehealth implementation did not lead to high rates of undetected disability worsening or undiagnosed acute relapses, but telehealth-based EDSS assessment may underestimate lower scores. Treatment inertia may affect some management decisions during telehealth consultations. Telehealth will likely play a role in outpatient settings beyond the COVID-19 pandemic with further studies on its long-term impact on clinical outcomes required.

Background: Natalizumab and fingolimod were the first preparations recommended for disease breakthrough in priorly treated relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Of three published head-to-head studies two showed that natalizumab is the more effective to prevent relapses and EDSS worsening. Methods: By re-analyzing original published results from MSBase, France, and Denmark using uniform meth-odologies, we aimed at identifying the effects of differences in methodology, in the MS-populations, and at re-evaluating the differences in effectiveness between the two drugs. We gained access to copies of the individual amended databases and pooled all data. We used uniform inclusion/ exclusion criteria and statistical methods with Inverse Probability Treatment Weighting. Results: The pooled analyses comprised 968 natalizumab-and 1479 fingolimod treated patients. The on-treatment natalizumab/fingolimod relapse rate ratio was 0.77 (p=0.004). The hazard ratio (HR) for a first relapse was 0.82 (p=0.030), and the HR for sustained EDSS improvement was 1.4 (p=0.009). There were modest differences between each of the original published studies and the replication study, but the conclusions of the three original studies remained unchanged: in two of them natalizumab was more effective, but in the third there was no difference between natalizumab and fingolimod. Conclusion: The results were largely invariant to the epidemiological and statistical methods but differed between the MS populations. Generally, the advantage of natalizumab was confirmed. BiogenBiogen; NovartisNovartis; MerckMerck & Company; RocheRoche Holding; Teva; Sanofi GenzymeSanofi-AventisGenzyme Corporation; NHMRCNational Health and Medical Research Council of Australia [1140766,1129789, 1157717]; French State; Agence Nationale de la Recherche-French National Research Agency (ANR)European Commission [ANR-10-COHO-002]; Eugene Devic EDMUS Foundation; ARSEP Foundation

International audience; Objective: To explore the associations of patient and disease characteristics with the duration of therapeutic lag for relapses and disability progression.Background: Therapeutic lag represents the delay from initiation of therapy to attainment of full treatment effect. Understanding the determinants of therapeutic lag provides valuable information for personalised choice of therapy in multiple sclerosis (MS).Design/Methods: Data from MSBase, a multinational MS registry, and OFSEP, the French national registry, were used. Patients diagnosed with MS, minimum 1-year exposure to MS treatment, minimum 3-year pre-treatment follow up and yearly review were included in the analysis. By studying incidence of relapses and 6-month confirmed disability progression, the duration of therapeutic lag was calculated by identifying the first local minimum of the first derivative after treatment start in subgroups stratified by patient and disease characteristics. Pairwise analyses of univariate predictors were performed. Combinations of determinants that consistently drove differences in therapeutic lag in pair by pair analyses were included in the final model.Results: Baseline EDSS, ARR and sex were associated with duration of therapeutic lag on disability progression in univariate and pairwise bivariable analyses. In the final model, therapeutic lag was 27.8 weeks shorter in females with ARR6 compared to those with EDSS>=6 (26.6, 18.2–34.9 vs 54.3, 47.2–61.5). Baseline EDSS, ARR, sex and MS phenotype were associated with duration of therapeutic lag on relapses in univariate analyses. Pairwise bivariable analyses of the pairs of determinants suggested ependently associated with therapeutic lag. In the final model, therapeutic lag was shortest in those with RRMS and EDSS

Background: methodological challenges limit the use of brain atrophy and lesion burden measures in the followup of multiple sclerosis (MS) patients on clinical routine datasets. Objective: to determine the feasibility of T2-FLAIR-only measures of lateral ventricular volume (LVV) and salient central lesion volume (SCLV), as markers of disability progression (DP) in MS. Methods: a total of 3,228 MS patients from 9 MSBase centers in 5 countries were enrolled. Of those, 2,875 (218 with clinically isolated syndrome, 2,231 with relapsing-remitting and 426 with progressive disease subtype) fulfilled inclusion and exclusion criteria. Patients were scanned on either 1.5 T or 3 T MRI scanners, and 5,750 brain scans were collected at index and on average after 42.3 months at post-index. Demographic and clinical data were collected from the MSBase registry. LVV and SCLV were measured on clinical routine T2-FLAIR images. Results: longitudinal LVV and SCLV analyses were successful in 96% of the scans. 57% of patients had scanner related changes over the follow-up. After correcting for age, sex, disease duration, disability, disease-modifying therapy and LVV at index, and follow-up time, MS patients with DP (n = 671) had significantly greater absolute LVV change compared to stable (n = 1,501) or disability improved (DI, n = 248) MS patients (2.0 mL vs. 1.4 mL vs. 1.1 mL, respectively, ANCOVA p < 0.001, post-hoc pair-wise DP vs. Stable p = 0.003; and DP vs. DI, p = 0.002). Similar ANCOVA model was also significant for SCLV (p = 0.03). Conclusions: LVV-based atrophy and SCLV-based lesion outcomes are feasible on clinically acquired T2-FLAIR scans in a multicenter fashion and are associated with DP over mid-term., Novartis; Genzyme-Sanofi; Biogen; Merck; Genentech; Abbvie; Bayer AG; Celgene/ BMS; Mallinckrodt Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; WebMD Global; Teva; BioCSL; Almirall; Roche; Generica; Deva; Nerve Research Foundation; Multiple Sclerosis Research Australia; Keystone Heart; Bristol Myers Squibb; EMD Serono; V-WAVE Medical; Mapi Pharma; Protembis

In this consensus statement, we provide updated recommendations on multiple sclerosis (MS) management during the COVID-19 crisis and the post-pandemic period applicable to neurology services around the world. Statements/recommendations were generated based on available literature and the experience of 13 MS expert panelists using a modified Delphi approach online. The statements/recommendations give advice regarding implementation of telemedicine; use of disease-modifying therapies and management of MS relapses during the pandemic; management of people with MS at highest risk from COVID-19; management of radiological monitoring; use of remote pharmacovigilance; impact on MS research; implications for lowest income settings, and other key issues.

Highlights • Covid-19 pandemic can have implications for MS and neuroimmunology patients and potentially their adherence to disease modifying therapies (DMTs). • A large proportion of patients receiving DMT's for their MS expressed some degree of concern regarding the COVID-19 pandemic and their therapy in one MS centre in Australia. • The level of concern in most patients was at most mild however. • Patients ascribed similar concern to the risk of a relapse of their disease compared to the risk of contracting COVID-19, perhaps underscoring a willingness to continue their DMT despite the pandemic., Objective: Patients with Multiple Sclerosis (MS) and on disease modifying therapies (DMTs) that can be immunosuppressive or immunomodulatory form a special group where risk of continuation of DMT needs to be taken into account with risk of contracting Covid-19. This concept can pose a degree of anxiety for patients as well as neurologists. We aimed to evaluate patient perspectives regarding the use of Natalizumab and anti-CD20 therapies (Rituximab and Ocrelizumab) in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: cross-sectional study conducted via voluntary survey filled in by patients with MS and related disorders receiving their infusional treatment in one MS centre in Australia, exploring their concerns regarding their therapy, their therapy and COVID-19, precautions undertaken in response to the pandemic, and factors impacting their decision-making. Results: 170 patients completed the survey. Of patients on Natalizumab, the majority had either no or mild concern regarding their DMT and COVID-19, and of patients on B-cell depleting therapies, again, the majority had no or mild concern, though a slightly higher proportion had a moderate level of concern. Asked to delineate their concerns, an increased risk of contracting COVID-19 was more commonly conveyed than MS-specific factors or poor outcomes pertaining to COVID-19 if contracted, by patients in both groups. Conversely, being invited to specifically consider the possibility of contracting COVID-19 or experience a relapse of MS, almost half of the cohort rated both of equal of concern. More than half of the cohort were self-isolating more stringently than general government advice and government-related resources followed by information provided by patient's neurologist where the commonest means of information to guide decision making. Conclusions: Whilst a large proportion of patients had some concern regarding the impact of their DMT on COVID-19, whether on their risk of contracting COVID-19 or a theoretical risk for more severe disease, the overall level of concern in most cases was at most mild. Patients on B-cell depleting therapies were more inclined to express a higher level of concern. A similar concern was ascribed to a risk of a relapse or worsening MS symptoms compared to the risk of contracting COVID-19. Such attitudes may underscore a willingness of patients to continue their DMT where benefits outweigh risks during future phases of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Objective To examine the prognostic value of CSF abnormalities in seropositive autoimmune encephalitis (AE). Methods We retrospectively studied 57 cases of seropositive AE. Primary outcomes were mortality and modified Rankin Scale, while secondary outcomes were first line treatment failure, ICU admission and relapse. Regression analysis was performed. Results CSF white cell count (WCC) was higher in the NMDAR group, while elevated protein was more common amongst other subtypes. We found an association between WCC >5 cells/mm3 and treatment failure (OR 16.0, p = 0.006)), and between WCC >20 cells/mm3 and ICU admission (OR 19.3, p = 0.026). Conclusions Different subsets of AE have characteristic CSF abnormalities, which may aid recognition during early evaluation. CSF WCC had prognostic significance in our study.

Made available in DSpace on 2020-12-12T02:15:20Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 2020-09-01 Multiple Sclerosis International Federation Background: We need high-quality data to assess the determinants for COVID-19 severity in people with MS (PwMS). Several studies have recently emerged but there is great benefit in aligning data collection efforts at a global scale. Objectives: Our mission is to scale-up COVID-19 data collection efforts and provide the MS community with data-driven insights as soon as possible. Methods: Numerous stakeholders were brought together. Small dedicated interdisciplinary task forces were created to speed-up the formulation of the study design and work plan. First step was to agree upon a COVID-19 MS core data set. Second, we worked on providing a user-friendly and rapid pipeline to share COVID-19 data at a global scale. Results: The COVID-19 MS core data set was agreed within 48 hours. To date, 23 data collection partners are involved and the first data imports have been performed successfully. Data processing and analysis is an on-going process. Conclusions: We reached a consensus on a core data set and established data sharing processes with multiple partners to address an urgent need for information to guide clinical practice. First results show that partners are motivated to share data to attain the ultimate joint goal: better understand the effect of COVID-19 in PwMS. Biomedical Research Institute and Data Science Institute Hasselt University Department of Medical Informatics University Medical Center Göttingen MS International Federation ESAT-STADIUS KU Leuven Biomedical Research Institute and Data Science Institute Hasselt University Diepenbeek Belgium/ESAT-STADIUS KU Leuven Clinical Outcomes Research (CORe) Unit The University of Melbourne Department of Neurology CHU Pontchaillou Neuroepidemiology Unit Melbourne School of Population Global Health The University of Melbourne Department of Computer Science and Leuven.AI KU Leuven QMENTA Department of Clinical Neuroscience Swedish MS Registry iConquerMS People-Powered Research Network Accelerated Cure Project for MS NeuroTransData Study Group NeuroTransData MS Forschungs- und Projektentwicklungs-gGmbH UK MS Register COViMS St Louis USA/ Division of Biostatistics Washington University in St. Louis COViMS USA/National Multiple Sclerosis Society Neurology Department Hospital Universitario de CEMIC MSBase Registry Department of Neuroscience Central Clinical School Monash University The Australian MS Longitudinal Study (AMSLS) Menzies Institute for Medical Research University of Tasmania Bulgarian SmartMS COVID-19 Dataset LEOSS Department of Neurology Katholisches Klinikum Bochum Brazilian Multiple Sclerosis Association (ABEM) Cleveland Clinic MS COVID-19 Registry Mellen MS Center Cleveland Clinic Icometrix – Icompanion OptimiseMS Preventive Neurology Unit Queen Mary University of London The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry Department of Neurology University Hospital Rigshospitalet Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) Faculdade de Medicina Botucatu/REDONE – Brazilian Registry of Multiple Sclerosis and Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorders RELACOEM Mental Health Area EMA MS and Demyelinating Diseases Hospital Británico de Buenos Aires – EMA Department of Neurology Strasbourg University Hospital COVISEP Institute of Experimental Neurology Ospedale San Raffaele Melbourne MS Centre Department of Neurology Royal Melbourne Hospital Institut du Cerveau ICM APHP – Hôpital Pitié Salpêtrière Sorbonne University Menzies Institute for Medical Research University of Tasmania Imperial College London Swansea University Multiple Sclerosis University Center Ramos Mejia Hospital – EMA Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) Faculdade de Medicina Botucatu/REDONE – Brazilian Registry of Multiple Sclerosis and Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorders

Background:Cerebellar and brainstem symptoms are common in early stages of multiple sclerosis (MS) yet their prognostic values remain unclear.Objective:The aim of this study was to investigate long-term disability outcomes in patients with early cerebellar and brainstem symptoms.Methods:This study used data from MSBase registry. Patients with early cerebellar/brainstem presentations were identified as those with cerebellar/brainstem relapse(s) or functional system score ⩾ 2 in the initial 2 years. Early pyramidal presentation was chosen as a comparator. Andersen-Gill models were used to compare cumulative hazards of (1) disability progression events and (2) relapses between patients with and without early cerebellar/brainstem symptoms. Mixed effect models were used to estimate the associations between early cerebellar/brainstem presentations and expanded disability status scale (EDSS) scores.Results:The study cohort consisted of 10,513 eligible patients, including 2723 and 3915 patients with early cerebellar and brainstem symptoms, respectively. Early cerebellar presentation was associated with greater hazard of progression events (HR = 1.37, p Conclusion:Early cerebellar presentation is associated with unfavourable outcomes, while early brainstem presentation is associated with favourable prognosis. These presentations may be used as MS prognostic markers and guide therapeutic approach.

Monitoring and screening of cognitive function in the ambulatory setting requires simple, brief cognitive tests that are reproducible. MSReactor (MSR) is a web-based platform that screens psychomotor (processing) speed, attention and working memory using a game-like interface. The Processing Speed Test (PST) is a validated computerized version of the Symbol Digit Modalities test (SDMT) and component of the Multiple Sclerosis Performance Test (MSPT).To determine the baseline and 6-month predictive correlations between the MSReactor computerised cognitive battery and the PST.Prospectively enrolled relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients completed the MSR and the PST during 6-monthly clinic visits. Pearson's product-moment coefficients with partial correlation adjustment were calculated between the PST and MSR reaction times for Simple reaction test (SRT), Choice reaction test (CRT) and One- back test (OBK).379 RRMS patients from six tertiary MS centres in Australia were enrolled. The mean age was 40.4 years (SD 10.3) and median Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score was 1.5 (IQR 1.0 - 2.0). Most (66%) were on high efficacy disease-modifying treatment. Baseline PST scores correlated with the MSR reaction times: SRT (R=-0.40), CRT (R= -0.44) and OBK (R= -0.47), p0.05. There was a moderate correlation between the first visit MSR and 6-month PST test for SRT (R= -0.37, p0.001), CRT (R=-0.44, p 0.001) and OBK (R= -0.43, p 0.001) speed.MSR-measured psychomotor speed, attention and working memory at baseline moderately correlates with baseline and 6-month PST; suggesting overlapping cognitive processes are being tested. Six-month test-retest reliability was acceptable for both tests.

Background: The Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score (MSSS) is a widely used measure of the disability progression rate. However, the global MSSS may not be the best basis for comparison between all patient groups. Objective: We evaluated sex-specific and onset phenotype–specific MSSS matrices to determine if they were more effective than the global MSSS as a basis for comparison within these subsets. Methods: Using a large international dataset of multiple sclerosis (MS) patient records and the original MSSS algorithm, we constructed global, sex-specific and onset phenotype–specific MSSS matrices. We compared matrices using permutation analysis. Results: Our final dataset included 30,203 MS cases, with 28.9% males and 6.5% progressive-onset cases. Our global MSSS matrix did not differ from previously published data ( p > 0.05). The progressive-onset-specific matrix differed significantly from the relapsing-onset-specific matrix ( p Conclusion: The differences in the disability accrual rate between progressive- and relapsing-onset MS have a significant effect on MSSS. An onset-specific MSSS should be used when comparing the rate of disability progression among progressive-onset cases and for mixed cohorts.

Altintas, Ayse/0000-0002-8524-5087; Laureys, Guy/0000-0002-1708-4373; Vucic, Steve/0000-0002-8323-873X; patti, francesco/0000-0002-6923-0846; Kister, Ilya/0000-0003-3549-949X; Lugaresi, Alessandra/0000-0003-2902-5589 WOS: 000521648000049 PubMed: 31877445 Background: Aquaporin-4-IgG positive (AQP4-IgG(+)) Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorder (NMOSD) is an uncommon central nervous system autoimmune disorder. Disease outcomes in AQP4-IgG + NMOSD are typically measured by relapse rate and disability. Using the MSBase, a multi-centre international registry, we aimed to examine the impact immunosuppressive therapies and patient characteristics as predictors of disease outcome measures in AQP4-IgG + NMOSD. Method: This MSBase cohort study of AQP4-IgG + NMOSD patients examined modifiers of relapse in a multivariable proportional hazards model and expanded disability status score (EDSS) using a mixed effects model. Results: 206 AQP4-IgG + patients were included (median follow-up 3.7 years). Age (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.82 per decade, p = 0.001), brainstem onset (HR = 0.45, p = 0.009), azathioprine (HR = 0.46, p < 0.001) and mycophenolate mofetil (HR = 0.09, p = 0.012) were associated with a reduced risk of relapse. A greater EDSS was associated with age (beta = 0.45 (per decade), p < 0.001) and disease duration (beta = 0.07 per year, p < 0.001). A slower increase in EDSS was associated with azathioprine (beta = -0.48, p < 0.001), mycophenolate mofetil (beta = -0.69, p = 0.04) and rituximab (beta = -0.35, p = 0.024). Interpretation: This study has demonstrated that azathioprine and mycophenolate mofetil reduce the risk of relapses and disability progression is modified by azathioprine, mycophenolate mofetil and rituximab. Age and disease duration were the only patient characteristics that modified the risk of relapse and disability in our cohort. National Health and Medical Research Council of AustraliaNational Health and Medical Research Council of Australia [1083539, 1129189, 1140766, 1080518]; MerckMerck & Company; BiogenBiogen; NovartisNovartis; Bayer-ScheringBayer AG; Sanofi-Genzyme; Teva This study was financially supported by National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia [project grants 1083539 and 1129189, and fellowships 1140766 and 1080518]. The MSBase Foundation is a not-for-profit organization that receives support from Merck, Biogen, Novartis, Bayer-Schering, Sanofi-Genzyme and Teva. The study was conducted separately and apart from the guidance of the sponsors.

Background: The magnetic resonance imaging in multiple sclerosis (MAGNIMS) score combines relapses and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) lesions to predict disability outcomes in relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) treated with interferon-β. Objective: To validate the MAGNIMS score and extend to other disease-modifying therapies (DMTs). To examine the prognostic value of gadolinium contrast-enhancing (Gd+) lesions. Methods: This RRMS MSBase cohort study ( n = 2293) used a Cox model to examine the prognostic value of relapses, MRI activity and the MAGNIMS score for disability worsening during treatment with interferon-β and three other DMTs. Results: Three new T2 lesions (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.60, p = 0.028) or two relapses (HR = 2.24, p = 0.002) on interferon-β (for 12 months) were predictive of disability worsening over 4 years. MAGNIMS score = 2 (1 relapse and ⩾3 T2 lesions or ⩾2 relapses) was associated with a greater risk of disability worsening on interferon-β (HR = 2.0, p = 0.001). In pooled cohort of four DMTs, similar associations were seen (MAGNIMS score = 2: HR = 1.72, p = 0.001). Secondary analyses demonstrated that the addition of Gd+ to the MAGNIMS did not materially improve its prediction of disability worsening. Conclusion: We have validated the MAGNIMS score in RRMS and extended its application to three other DMTs: 1 relapse and ⩾3 T2 lesions or ⩾2 relapses predicted worsening of disability. Contrast-enhancing lesions did not substantially improve the prognostic score.

Turkoglu, Recai/0000-0001-9724-851X; Ferraro, Diana/0000-0003-4818-3806; McCombe, Pamela/0000-0003-2704-8517; Altintas, Ayse/0000-0002-8524-5087; Jokubaitis, Vilija G./0000-0002-3942-4340; Slee, Mark/0000-0003-4323-2453; Lugaresi, Alessandra/0000-0003-2902-5589; van Pesch, Vincent/0000-0003-2885-9004; Vucic, Steve/0000-0002-8323-873X WOS: 000481049900001 PubMed: 31397221 Background: The risk factors for conversion from relapsing-remitting to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis remain highly contested. Objective: The aim of this study was to determine the demographic, clinical and paraclinical features that influence the risk of conversion to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Methods: Patients with adult-onset relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis and at least four recorded disability scores were selected from MSBase, a global observational cohort. The risk of conversion to objectively defined secondary progressive multiple sclerosis was evaluated at multiple time points per patient using multivariable marginal Cox regression models. Sensitivity analyses were performed. Results: A total of 15,717 patients were included in the primary analysis. Older age (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.02, p < 0.001), longer disease duration (HR = 1.01, p = 0.038), a higher Expanded Disability Status Scale score (HR = 1.30, p < 0.001), more rapid disability trajectory (HR = 2.82, p < 0.001) and greater number of relapses in the previous year (HR = 1.07, p = 0.010) were independently associated with an increased risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Improving disability (HR = 0.62, p = 0.039) and disease-modifying therapy exposure (HR = 0.71, p = 0.007) were associated with a lower risk. Recent cerebral magnetic resonance imaging activity, evidence of spinal cord lesions and oligoclonal bands in the cerebrospinal fluid were not associated with the risk of conversion. Conclusion: Risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis increases with age, duration of illness and worsening disability and decreases with improving disability. Therapy may delay the onset of secondary progression. National Health and Medical Research Council of AustraliaNational Health and Medical Research Council of Australia [1083539, 1129189, 1140766]; BiogenBiogen; RocheRoche Holding; Bayer ScheringBayer AG; Sanofi Genzyme; Teva; MerckMerck & Company; NovartisNovartis The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: This study was financially supported by National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (project grants 1083539 and 1129189 and fellowship 1140766). The MSBase Foundation is a not-for-profit organisation that receives support from Merck, Biogen, Roche, Novartis, Bayer Schering, Sanofi Genzyme and Teva. The study was conducted separately and apart from the guidance of the sponsors.

Background Previous studies in multiple sclerosis (MS) showed that therapeutic inertia (TI) affects 60–90% of neurologists and up to 25% of daily treatment decisions. The objective of this study was to determine the most common factors and attribute levels associated with decisions to treatment escalation in an international study in MS care. Methods 300 neurologists with MS expertise from 20 countries were invited to participate. Participants were presented with 12 pairs of simulated MS patient profiles described by 13 clinically relevant factors. We used disaggregated discrete choice experiments to estimate the weight of factors and attributes affecting physicians’ decisions when considering treatment selection. Participants were asked to select the ideal candidate for treatment escalation from modest to higher-efficacy therapies. Results Overall, 229 neurologists completed the study (completion rate: 76.3%). The top 3 weighted factors associated with treatment escalation were: previous relapses (20%), baseline expanded disability status scale [EDSS] (18%), and MRI activity (13%). Patient demographics and desire for pregnancy had a modest influence (≤ 3%). We observed differences in the weight of factors associated with treatment escalation between MS specialists and non-MS specialists. Conclusions Our results provide critical information on factors influencing neurologists’ treatment decisions and should be applied to continuing medical education strategies.

Background : Perceived cognitive impairment in MS is associated with adverse changes in employment capacity, sexual function, and aspects of daily living. Studies have shown relationships between perceived cognitive impairment and objective neuropsychological functioning and mood. Subjective cognitive performance in people with MS has not previously been compared to their objective performance on a computerised cognitive battery. Methods : All participants completed at least 6-monthly serial testing on the MSReactor computerised cognitive testing platform consisting of 3 reaction time tasks. These measure psychomotor processing speed (simple reaction time), attention (choice reaction time) and working memory (One back task). In addition, we collected subjective cognitive performance and patient reported outcomes of depression, anxiety and quality of life. The strength and direction of the relationships between subjective and objective performance on the cognitive tasks were examined using Kendalls rank coefficient at year 1 and year 2. We calculated partial correlation estimates where subjective performance was also associated with patient reported outcomes. Results : Subjective overall performance correlated weakly with the working memory task (Tau -0.10; (95% confidence interval (CI) -0.19, -0.01). Subjective performance also correlated weakly with depression but not anxiety or quality of life. Subjective reaction speed correlated weakly with psychomotor processing speed (Tau -0.10; CI -0.19, -0.01); and subjective accuracy correlated weakly with the attention (Tau 0.12; CI 0.03, 0.21) and working memory (Tau 0.15; CI 0.05, 0.24) tasks, respectively. Conclusion : Participants’ perceived performance on the MSReactor tests correlated only weakly with objective changes. Depression was associated with subjective cognitive performance reports. These results suggest that a person with MS’ perception of their cognitive performance is only weakly associated with cognitive changes detected using MSReactor.

Background Therapeutic inertia (TI) is a worldwide phenomenon that affects 60 to 90% of neurologists and up to 25% of daily treatment decisions during management of multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. A large volume of MS patients are women of childbearing age, and desire for pregnancy is a complex variable often affecting MS care. The objective of this study was to determine the effect of desire for pregnancy on decisions to escalate treatment during management of MS patients. Methods 300 neurologists with expertise in MS from 20 countries were invited to participate in the study. Participants were presented with 12 pairs of simulated MS patient profiles reflective of case scenarios encountered in clinical practice. Participants were asked to select the ideal candidate for treatment escalation from modest to higher-efficacy therapies. Disaggregated discrete choice experiments were used to estimate the weight of factors and attributes affecting physicians’ decisions when considering treatment selection. An excel calculator that provides estimates as the percentage of participants that would escalate treatment for a simulated case-scenario was constructed. Results 229 (76.3%) completed the study. The mean age (SD) of study participants was 44 (±10) years. The mean (SD) number of MS patients seen per month by each neurologist was 18 (±16). Non-MS specialists were significantly less likely to escalate treatment than MS specialists across mild, moderate, and severe patient cases. These differences were accentuated when case scenarios introduced a desire for pregnancy. The findings were consistent when MRI-lesions, severity of symptoms, and number of relapses were included. Conclusions Desire for pregnancy differentially influences decisions to escalate treatment, suggesting knowledge-to-action gaps between MS and non-MS specialists. Our findings indicate the need for educational strategies to overcome these gaps and improve clinical outcomes for MS patients who desire pregnancy.

Objective: The cause of mesial temporal lobe epilepsy (MTLE) is often unknown. We ascertained to what extent newly-diagnosed non-lesional MTLE actually represents familial MTLE (FMTLE). Methods: We identified all consecutive patients presenting to the Austin Heath First Seizure Clinic with MTLE and a normal MRI or MRI-evidence of hippocampal sclerosis over a 10-year period. Patients' first-degree relatives and pairwise age- and sex-matched controls underwent a comprehensive epilepsy interview. Each interview transcript was reviewed independently by two epileptologists, blinded to relative or control status. Reviewers classified each subject as follows: epilepsy, specifying if MTLE; manifestations suspicious of epilepsy; or unaffected. Physiological deja vu was noted. Results: Forty-four patients were included. At the Clinic, MTLE had been recognized to be familial in 2 patients only. Among 242 subjects interviewed, MTLE was diagnosed in 9/121 relatives vs 0/121 controls (p=0.008). All affected relatives had seizures with intense deja vu and accompanying features; 6 relatives had not been previously diagnosed. Deja vu experiences which were suspicious, but not diagnostic, of MTLE occurred in 6 additional relatives vs none of the controls (p=0.04). Physiological deja vu was common, and did not differ significantly between relatives and controls. After completing the relatives' interviews, FMTLE was diagnosed in 8 of 44 patients (18.2%). Interpretation: FMTLE accounts for almost one-fifth of newly diagnosed non-lesional MTLE, and it is largely unrecognized without direct questioning of relatives. Relatives of patients with MTLE may experience deja vu phenomena which clinically lie in the ‘borderland' between epileptic seizures and physiological deja vu. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Objective Similarities in clinical presentations between epileptic seizures (ES) and psychogenic non-epileptic seizures (PNES) produces a risk of misdiagnosis. Video-EEG monitoring (VEM) is the diagnostic gold standard, but involves significant cost and time commitment, suggesting a need for efficient screening tools. Methods 628 patients were recruited from an inpatient VEM unit; 293 patients with ES, 158 with PNES, 31 both ES and PNES, and 146 non-diagnostic. Patients completed the SCL-90-R, a standardised 90-item psychopathology instrument. Bayesian linear models were computed to investigate whether SCL-90-R domain scores or the overall psychopathology factor p differed between groups. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were computed to investigate the PNES classification accuracy of each domain score and p. A machine learning algorithm was also used to determine which subset of SCL-90-R items produced the greatest classification accuracy. Results Evidence was found for elevated scores in PNES compared to ES groups in the symptom domains of anxiety (b = 0.47, 95%HDI = [0.10, 0.80]), phobic anxiety (b = 1.32, 95%HDI = [0.98, 1.69]), somatisation (b = 0.84, 95%HDI = [0.49, 1.20]), and the general psychopathology factor p (b = 1.35, 95%HDI = [0.86, 1.82]). Of the SCL-90-R domain scores, somatisation produced the highest classification accuracy (AUC = 0.74, 95%CI = [0.69, 0.79]). The genetic algorithm produced a 6-item subset from the SCL-90-R, which produced comparable classification accuracy to the somatisation scores (AUC = 0.73, 95%CI = [0.64, 0.82]). Significance Compared to patients with ES, patients with PNES report greater symptoms of somatisation, general anxiety, and phobic anxiety against a background of generally elevated psychopathology. While self-reported psychopathology scores are not accurate enough for diagnosis in isolation, elevated psychopathology in these domains should raise the suspicion of PNES in clinical settings.

Background: Multiple sclerosis (MS) cognitive tests are resource intensive and limited by practice effects that prevent frequent retesting. Brief, reliable and valid monitoring tools are urgently needed to detect subtle, subclinical cognitive changes in people with MS. Cognitive monitoring over time could contribute to a new definition of disease progression, supplementing routine clinical monitoring. Methods: MSReactor is a web-based battery that measures psychomotor (processing) speed, visual attention and working memory, using simple reaction time tasks. Clinic-based tasks were completed at baseline and 6 monthly with home testing 1–3 monthly. Acceptability, quality of life, depression and anxiety surveys were completed. We studied its correlation with the Symbol Digit Modalities Test, practice effects, test–retest reliability and the discriminative ability of MSReactor. Results: A total of 450 people with MS were recruited over 18 months, with 81% opting to complete home-based testing. Most participants (96%) would be happy (or neutral) to repeat the tasks again and just four reported the tasks made them ‘very anxious’. Persistence of home testing was high and practice effects stabilized within three tests. MSReactor tasks correlated with Symbol Digit Modalities Test scores and participants with MS performed slower than healthy controls. Conclusion: MSReactor is a scalable and reliable cognitive screening tool that can be used in the clinic and remotely. MSReactor task performance correlated with another highly validated cognitive test, was sensitive to MS and baseline predictors of cognitive performance were identified.

PurposePsychopathology is common in patients undergoing investigation for seizure-related disorders. Psychometric examination using self-report instruments, such as the SCL-90-R, can assist diagnosis. The SCL-90-R, however, is a lengthy instrument and might not be tolerated by all patients. We assessed several abbreviated forms of the SCL-90-R in patients undergoing video encephalographic monitoring (VEM).Method687 patients completed the SCL-90-R and scores were computed for the full SCL-90-R and five abbreviated forms. Correlations and mean differences were computed between different forms. Classification accuracy was assessed via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and measurements models were examined using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA).ResultsAll abbreviated forms were strongly correlated with the SCL-90-R for general psychopathology (r = .93 – .99), depression (r = .89 – .95), anxiety (r = .97 – .98), psychosis (r = .95 – .99), and obsessive-compulsive symptoms (r = .97). Classification performance was similar across forms for depression and anxiety, with high negative predictive values (.90 – .94) and lower positive predictive values (.34 – .38). Classification performance for psychotic and obsessive-compulsive disorders was poor. Differences were observed between the full SCL-90-R and its abbreviated forms across most domains (d = 0.00 – 0.65). The published measurement model was most strongly validated for the SCL-27, SCL-14, and the SCL-K-9.ConclusionsThese five SCL-90-R abbreviated forms show high convergent validity with the full version. In patients undergoing investigation for seizure-related disorders, the BSI or BSI-18 are most appropriate where screening for both depression and anxiety is required. The SCL-K-9 is appropriate when only a single measure of global psychological distress is required. None of the instruments were able to detect psychotic or obsessive-compulsive symptoms with great accuracy. Caution should be exercised when making direct comparisons across the different forms.

Over the last decade, clinical registries have significantly contributed to the pool of evidence that supports management decisions in patients with multiple sclerosis. Being the largest international registry of multiple sclerosis and neuroimmunological disorders, MSBase collects demographic, clinical and limited paraclinical information from patients managed in different regions and under various circumstances. In this review, we will provide an overview of its published output, with focus on the information with impact on the management of multiple sclerosis.

Background People with epilepsy (PWE) have high rates of comorbid anxiety disorders and depressive disorders, from 25% in general population cohorts to rates of 55% in people with treatment resistant epilepsy. High rates are also seen in patients with psychogenic nonepileptic seizures (PNES). Depressive disorders and anxiety disorders in PWE are associated with decreased quality of life measures and are the strongest risk factors for increased suicidality, rates of which are markedly elevated in PWE, at 12%, compared to the general Australian population (1.8%). The Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) is one of the more commonly used screening tools in medical populations. Past studies of the HADS in general outpatient populations with epilepsy have demonstrated promising validity for detecting depression. Objectives The following were the objectives of the study: 1. To examine the validity of HADS in detecting depressive disorders and anxiety disorders in an inpatient population of patients admitted for video monitoring. 2. To investigate the measurement structure of the HADS across the diagnosis groups of epilepsy subtypes and PNES. Methods This was a retrospective cohort study of 485 patients admitted to a tertiary epilepsy video electroencephalography (EEG) monitoring unit. All patients received clinical neurological, neuropsychiatric, and neuroimaging assessments to arrive at consensus epilepsy and psychiatric diagnoses. Clinical psychiatric diagnosis of depressive disorders and anxiety disorders, based on the assessment of a neuropsychiatrist, were compared to accepted HADS cutoff scores for these conditions. Findings Of the 485 patients, 229 patients were with epilepsy, 28 had both epilepsy and PNES, and 121 had PNES. In 107 cases, no definite diagnosis could be made. At a cutoff score of 7 HADS was able to significantly classify patients with depression (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.72–0.82) with a sensitivity of 70% and a specificity of 83%. A similar result was observed for anxiety disorders; a cutoff score of 7 (AUC = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.72–0.81) was able to significantly classify anxiety disorders in patients with a sensitivity of 88% and specificity of 54%. Conclusions This study has found that HADS measures two separate, yet correlated, constructs of anxiety disorders and depressive disorders. Our results indicate that while the HADS is sensitive to distress in this population, relatively low cutoff scores would be required to achieve highly sensitive screening. This sample includes patients with a diagnosis of epilepsy and/or PNES, and thus, the findings have clinical applicability to screening in tertiary epilepsy video-EEG monitoring units where both these conditions frequently co-occur.

Turkoglu, Recai/0000-0001-9724-851X; McCombe, Pamela/0000-0003-2704-8517; Jokubaitis, Vilija G./0000-0002-3942-4340; Oreja-Guevara, Celia/0000-0002-9221-5716; Ramo-Tello, Cristina/0000-0001-8643-5053; Vucic, Steve/0000-0002-8323-873X; Nguyen, Ai-Lan/0000-0003-0378-6005; Kalincik, Tomas/0000-0003-3778-1376; van Pesch, Vincent/0000-0003-2885-9004; Skibina, Olga/0000-0002-6275-8138; Lugaresi, Alessandra/0000-0003-2902-5589; Slee, Mark/0000-0003-4323-2453 WOS: 000459833100045 PubMed: 30623864 Background: Exposure to disease-modifying therapy (DMT) during early pregnancy in women with relapsing-remitting MS (RAMS) may be increasing. Objective: To retrospectively determine incidence of pregnancy, DMT exposure and pregnancy outcomes in women with RAMS. Methods: We identified all women with RAMS aged 15-45 years in the MSBase Registry between 2005-2016. Annualised pregnancy incidence rates were calculated using Poisson regression models. DMT exposures and pregnancy outcomes were assessed. Results: Of 9,098 women meeting inclusion criteria, 1,178 (13%) women recorded 1,521 pregnancies. The annualised incidence rate of pregnancy was 0.042 (95% CI 0.040, 0.045). A total of 635 (42%) reported pregnancies were conceived on DMT, increasing from 27% in 2006 to 62% in 2016. The median duration of DMT exposure during pregnancy was 30 days (IQR: 9, 50). There were a higher number of induced abortions on FDA pregnancy class C/D drugs compared with pregnancy class B and no DMT (p = 0.010); but no differences in spontaneous abortions, term or preterm births. Conclusions: We report low pregnancy incidence rates, with increasing number of pregnancies conceived on DMT over the past 12-years. The median duration of DMT exposure in pregnancy was relatively short at one month. National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia centre for research excellence grant [1001216]; BiogenBiogen; MerckMerck & Company; NovartisNovartis; RocheRoche Holding; Sanofi-Genzyme This study was financially supported by a National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia centre for research excellence grant [1001216]. The MSBase Foundation is a not-for-profit organisation that receives support from Biogen, Merck, Novartis, Roche and Sanofi-Genzyme. The study was conducted separately and apart from the guidance of the sponsors.

ObjectiveTo describe the dynamics of brain volume loss (BVL) at different stages of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), to describe the association between BVL and clinical measures, and to investigate an effect of treatment escalation on the rate of BVL.MethodsTogether, 1903 patients predominantly with RRMS from the Avonex-Steroids-Azathioprine cohort (N = 166), the study of early IFN-β1a treatment cohort (N = 180), and the quantitative MRI cohort (N = 1,557) with ≥2 MRI scans and ≥1-year of follow-up were included. Brain MRI scans (N = 7,203) were performed using a single 1.5-T machine. Relationships between age or disease duration and global and tissue-specific BVL rates were analyzed using mixed models.ResultsAge was not associated with the rate of BVL (β = −0.003; Cohen f2 = 0.0005; adjusted p = 0.39). Although disease duration was associated with the rate of BVL, its effect on the BVL rate was minimal (β = −0.012; Cohen f2 = 0.004; adjusted p = 4 × 10−5). Analysis of association between tissue-specific brain volume changes and age (β = −0.019 to −0.011; adjusted p = 0.028–1.00) or disease duration (β = −0.028 to −0.008; adjusted p = 0.16–0.96) confirmed these results. Although increase in the relapse rate (β = 0.10; adjusted p = 9 × 10−9), Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS; β = 0.17; adjusted p = 8 × 10−5), and EDSS change (β = 0.15; adjusted p = 2 × 10−5) were associated with accelerated rate of BVL, their effect on the rate of BVL was minimal (all Cohen f2 ≤ 0.007). In 94 patients who escalated therapy, the rate of BVL decreased following treatment escalation by 0.29% (β = −0.29; Cohen f2 = 0.133; p = 5.5 × 10−8).ConclusionsThe rate of BVL is relatively stable throughout the course of RRMS. The accelerated BVL is weakly associated with concurrent higher disease activity, and timely escalation to high-efficacy immunotherapy helps decrease the rate of BVL.

Objective Adverse events (AEs) related to antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) may interfere with adequate dosing and patient adherence, leading to suboptimal seizure control, and relatedly, increased injuries, hospitalizations, and mortality. This study investigated the clinicodemographic factors associated with AEs related to AEDs as reported by the Liverpool Adverse Events Profile (LAEP), and explored the ability of LAEP to discriminate between epilepsy and psychogenic nonepileptic seizures (PNES). We hypothesized that female sex, mood disorders, AED-polytherapy, duration, and severity of epilepsy are associated with increased endorsement of AEs related to AEDs, and that endorsement of AEs related to AEDs would significantly differ between epilepsy and PNES patients. Methods We prospectively enrolled adult patients admitted to two inpatient video-electroencephalogram monitoring units. Clinicodemographic variables and psychometric measures of depression, anxiety, and cognitive function were recorded. Patient-reported AE endorsement was obtained using the LAEP, which was reduced to four latent domains using exploratory structural equation modeling. General linear models identified variables associated with each domain. Logistic regression determined the ability of LAEP scores to differentiate between epilepsy and PNES. Results 311 patients met inclusion criteria. Mean age was 38 years and 56% of patients were female. Network analysis demonstrated strong relationships between depression and anxiety with physical, sleep, psychiatric, and dermatological AE endorsement. Depression, female sex, and AED polytherapy were associated with greater AE endorsement. Epilepsy, compared to PNES, was associated with lower AE endorsement. Fewer prescribed AEDs and greater reported physical AE endorsement were associated with PNES diagnosis. Significance There is a strong relationship between patient-reported AEs and psychiatric symptomatology. Those with PNES paradoxically endorse greater physical AEs despite receiving fewer AEDs. Patients who endorse AEs in clinical practice should be screened for comorbid depression or anxiety and treated accordingly.

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic challenges multiple sclerosis services to be innovative in delivering infusible therapies. To reduce time in clinical settings, and potential staff or space losses, we implemented rapid infusion protocols for selected patients. Objective: To analyse the rate of infusion related reactions and patient experience of rapid infusions of natalizumab and ocrelizumab. To document time reduction patients spent in clinical settings during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: Patients with prior exposure to at least three natalizumab or two 300mg ocrelizumab infusions were approved for rapid protocols. A retrospective audit and survey were completed. Results: We analysed 269 rapid natalizumab infusions and 100 rapid ocrelizumab infusions. Infusion related reactions during the natalizumab or ocrelizumab infusions occurred in two patients (1.52%) and eight patients (8%), respectively. All infusion related reactions were mild to moderate and did not require infusion discontinuation. No infusion reactions occurred during the post-infusion observation. Patient experience was positive. Conclusion: Frequency or severity of infusion related reactions in rapid infusions were no different compared to published data. In the setting of COVID-19, pandemic rapid infusion protocols could potentially save hospital resources and limit patient exposure to a high-risk clinical setting while still maintaining ongoing treatment of multiple sclerosis.

Background and purpose While impaired cognitive performance is common in multiple sclerosis (MS), it has been largely underdiagnosed. Here a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) screening algorithm is proposed to identify patients at highest risk of cognitive impairment. The objective was to examine whether assessment of lesion burden together with whole brain atrophy on MRI improves our ability to identify cognitively impaired MS patients. Methods Of the 1253 patients enrolled in the study, 1052 patients with all cognitive, volumetric MRI and clinical data available were included in the analysis. Brain MRI and neuropsychological assessment with the Brief International Cognitive Assessment for Multiple Sclerosis were performed. Multivariable logistic regression and individual prediction analysis were used to investigate the associations between MRI markers and cognitive impairment. The results of the primary analysis were validated at two subsequent time points (months 12 and 24). Results The prevalence of cognitive impairment was greater in patients with low brain parenchymal fraction (BPF) ( 3.5 ml) than in patients with high BPF (>0.85) and low T2-LV (