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Objectives : 2-deoxy-2[18F]Fluoro-d-glucose (FDG) PET-CT has an emerging role in assessing response to neoadjuvant therapy in oesophageal cancer. This study evaluated FDG PET-CT in predicting pathological tumour response (pTR), pathological nodal response (pNR) and survival. Methods: Cohort study of 75 patients with oesophageal or oesophago-gastric junction (GOJ) adenocarcinoma treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy then surgery at Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London (2017–2020). Standardised uptake value (SUV) metrics on pre- and post-treatment FDG PET-CT in the primary tumour (mTR) and loco-regional lymph nodes (mNR) were derived. Optimum SUVmax thresholds for predicting pathological response were identified using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Predictive accuracy was compared to PERCIST (30% SUVmax reduction) and MUNICON (35%) criteria. Survival was assessed using Cox regression. Results: Optimum tumour SUVmax decrease for predicting pTR was 51.2%. A 50% cut-off predicted pTR with 73.5% sensitivity, 69.2% specificity and greater accuracy than PERCIST or MUNICON (area under the curve [AUC] 0.714, PERCIST 0.631, MUNICON 0.659). Using a 30% SUVmax threshold, mNR predicted pNR with high sensitivity but low specificity (AUC 0.749, sensitivity 92.6%, specificity 57.1%, p = 0.010). pTR, mTR, pNR and mNR were independent predictive factors for survival (pTR hazard ratio [HR] 0.10 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.03–0.34; mTR HR 0.17 95% CI 0.06–0.48; pNR HR 0.17 95% CI 0.06–0.54; mNR HR 0.13 95% CI 0.02–0.66). Conclusions: Metabolic tumour and nodal response predicted pTR and pNR, respectively, in patients with oesophageal or GOJ adenocarcinoma. However, currently utilised response criteria may not be optimal. pTR, mTR, pNR and mNR were independent predictors of survival. Key Points: • FDG PET-CT has an emerging role in evaluating response to neoadjuvant therapy in patients with oesophageal cancer. • Prospective cohort study demonstrated that metabolic response in the primary tumour and lymph nodes was predictive of pathological response in a cohort of patients with adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus or oesophago-gastric junction treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgical resection. • Patients who demonstrated a response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in the primary tumour or lymph nodes on FDG PET-CT demonstrated better survival and reduced rates of tumour recurrence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is often used prior to surgical resection for oesophageal adenocarcinoma but remains ineffective in a high proportion of patients. The histological Mandard tumour regression grade is used to determine chemoresponse but is not available at the time of treatment decision-making. The aim of this cohort study was to identify factors that predict chemotherapy response prior to surgery. A prospectively collected database of patients undergoing surgical resection for oesophageal adenocarcinoma from a high-volume UK institution was used. Patients were subcategorised using pathological tumour response into 'responders' (Mandard grade 1–3) and 'non-responders' (Mandard grade 4 and 5). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to calculate crude and adjusted odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for responder status adjusting for a variety of parameters. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were calculated. Among 315 patients included, 102 (32%) were responders and 213 (68%) non-responders. A decrease in radiological tumour volume (OR 1.92 95%CI 1.02–3.62; p = 0.05), a 'partial response' RECIST score (OR 7.16 95%CI 1.49–34.36; p = 0.01), a clinically improved dysphagia score (OR 2.79 95%CI 1.05–7.04; p = 0.04) and lymphovascular invasion (OR 0.06 95%CI 0.02–0.13; p = 0.000) influenced responder status. ROC curve analysis for responder status utilising all available parameters had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.86. This study has highlighted the potential for using pre-defined factors to identify those patients who have responded to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, prior to surgical resection, potentially facilitating a more individualised therapeutic approach. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The role of adjuvant therapy in patients with oesophagogastric adenocarcinoma treated by neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and surgery is contentious. In UK practice, surgical resection margin status is often used to classify patients into receiving adjuvant treatment. This study aimed to assess any survival benefit of adjuvant therapy in patients with clear resection margins. This was a retrospective collaborative cohort study combining two prospectively collected UK institutional databases of patients with oesophageal adenocarcinoma. Multivariable Cox regression and propensity matched analyses were used to compare overall and recurrence-free survival according to the adjuvant treatment. Of 374 patients with clear resection margins, 221 patients (59%) had no adjuvant treatment, 137 patients (37%) had adjuvant chemotherapy and 16 patients (4%) had adjuvant chemoradiotherapy. For patients who had received NAC (290, 76%), when adjuvant chemotherapy was compared to no adjuvant treatment, hazard ratios (HRs) favoured adjuvant chemotherapy but did not reach independent significance (overall survival [OS] HR 0.65 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.40–1.06; p.0.087). Responders to NAC (Mandard 1–3) were seemingly more likely to demonstrate a survival benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 0.42 95% CI 0.15–1.11; p.1.081). Although no independent survival benefit was observed, the point estimates favoured adjuvant treatment, predominantly in patients with chemo-responsive tumours. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Better predictive markers are needed to deliver individualized care for patients with primary esophagogastric cancer. This exploratory study aimed to assess whether pre-treatment imaging parameters from dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/CT are associated with response to neoadjuvant therapy or outcome. Following ethical approval and informed consent, prospective participants underwent dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-FDG PET/CT prior to neoadjuvant chemotherapy/chemoradiotherapy ± surgery. Vascular dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and metabolic 18F-FDG PET parameters were compared by tumor characteristics using Mann Whitney U test and with pathological response (Mandard tumor regression grade), recurrence-free and overall survival using logistic regression modelling, adjusting for predefined clinical variables. 39 of 47 recruited participants (30 males; median age 65 years, IQR: 54, 72 years) were included in the final analysis. The tumor vascular-metabolic ratio was higher in patients remaining node positive following neoadjuvant therapy (median tumor peak enhancement/SUV max ratio: 0.052 vs. 0.023, p = 0.02). In multivariable analysis adjusted for age, gender, pre-treatment tumor and nodal stage, peak enhancement (highest gadolinium concentration value prior to contrast washout) was associated with pathological tumor regression grade. The odds of response decreased by 5% for each 0.01 unit increase (OR 0.95; 95% CI: 0.90, 1.00, p = 0.04). No 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters were predictive of pathological tumor response. No relationships between pre-treatment imaging and survival were identified. Pre-treatment esophagogastric tumor vascular and metabolic parameters may provide additional information in assessing response to neoadjuvant therapy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]