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Background: Few studies have prospectively evaluated predictors of mortality or decline in functional capacity in nonagenarians. The aim of this study is to determine predictors of death or functional decline in basic activities of daily living in nonagenarians after 2 years of follow-up., Methods: One hundred and seventy-six nonagenarians were prospectively evaluated. Functional status was determined by the Lawton-Brody index (LI) and the Barthel Index (BI), and cognition by the Spanish version of the Mental State Examination. The Charlson score was used to measure co-morbidity. Nutritional status was evaluated by the short version of the Mini Nutritional Assessment questionnaire., Results: The sample comprised 135 women (76.3%) and 41 men. Mean age was 93 +/- 3.2 years. Mortality after 2 years was 36.3%. Forty-six (41%) of the 112 survivors presented BI losses >19%. One hundred and ten subjects (63%) presented the combined negative outcome item (death or functional decline). A multiple stepwise logistic regression analysis identified two variables associated with a fall of >19% on the BI or death: a low LI (odds ratio 0.785, 95% CI 0.656-0.940) and a low score at baseline on the Spanish version of the Mental State Examination (odds ratio 0.950, 95% CI 0.914-0.987)., Conclusion: Better cognitive status and higher capacity to perform instrumental activities of daily living (ADL) at baseline are the best predictors to identify which nonagenarians survived without major functional decline after a 2-year follow-up period.

Background and Aims: Few studies have prospectively evaluated predictors of mortality in nonagenarian cohorts. Our objective was to determine a set of predictors of all-cause mortality in a cohort of nonagenarians after one year of follow-up., Methods: 186 nonagenarians were evaluated prospectively, 137 of whom lived in their own homes (74%) and 49 (26%) were institutionalized. Functional status was determined by the Lawton-Brody (LI) and Barthel Index (BI), and cognition by the Spanish version of the Mini Mental State Examination (MEC). The Charlson score was used to measure global comorbidity. Nutritional status was evaluated by the short version of the Mini Nutritional Assessment questionnaire (short- MNA)., Results: The sample was composed of 143 women (76.5%) and 43 men, with a mean age of 93.06 (3.1) years. The rate of mortality was 19.3%. There were no differences in mortality between men and women. Although the BI and LI were both related to 1-year mortality in bivariate, unadjusted analysis, their contribution was minimal in multivariate analyses. Age, heart failure and short-MNA remained associated with mortality in the multivariate analyses., Conclusions: This study supported the importance of age, heart failure and nutritional status in predicting 1- year mortality in nonagenarians.

Background: Patients older than 95 years of age can be categorized according to three morbidity profiles: escapers, delayers, and survivors. The aim of this study was to describe the baseline characteristics, in-hospital outcomes, and cumulative mortality of extremely elderly patients admitted with hip fractures and to examine whether there were differences between patients without age-related illnesses (escapers) and others in the same age group (survivors when age-associated illnesses were diagnosed before the age of 80, delayers when these illnesses appeared after the age of 80).Methods: A retrospective review of clinical and outcome data of all patients older than 95 years of age admitted with hip fractures.Results: Two hundred patients older than 95 years were admitted with hip fractures between December 2009 and September 2015. Eighty-six per cent of patients had at least one in-hospital complication. In-hospital mortality was 12.5 per cent; cumulative mortality rates at 30 days, 3 months, and 1 year were 20.3, 30.8, and 50.5 per cent, respectively. There were 15 (7.5%) escaper patients. Compared with other patients with age-related illnesses, they took fewer drugs, had lower Charlson scores, a higher Barthel index score, shorter length of hospital stay, less delay in surgery, and more often required discharge to an in-patient rehabilitation facility. No differences in cumulative mortality were noted.Conclusions: Escaper patients had better baseline characteristics, shorter length of hospital stay, and delay in surgery. Nevertheless, their in-hospital and cumulative mortality rates were similar to those of other patients older than 95 years. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: Centenarians and nonagenarians constitute a rapidly growing age group in Western countries and they are expected to be admitted to hospital with hip fractures. The aim of this study was to compare outcomes of centenarian and nonagenarian patients following a hip fracture and to identify risk factors related to in-hospital and post-discharge mortality in both groups.Patients and Methods: A prospective evaluation of centenarian patients and nonagenarian controls admitted to a tertiary university hospital in Barcelona with hip fractures over a period of 5 years and 9 months. Baseline characteristics and outcomes in both patient groups were compared. Variables associated with in-hospital, 30-day, 3-month and 1-year mortality were also analyzed.Results: Thirty-three centenarians and 82 nonagenarians were included. The most relevant statistically significant differences found were: Barthel index at admission (61.90 vs. 75.22), number of drugs before admission (4.21vs 5.55), in-hospital complication rates (97 vs. 78%), readmissions at 3 months and 1 year (0 vs 11.7% and 3.4 vs. 19.5% respectively) and mortality at 3 months and 1 year (41.4 vs. 20.8% and 62.1 vs. 29.9%, respectively). Mean number of complications, rapid atrial fibrillation, mean age, and urinary tract infection were risk factors associated with mortality.Conclusions: Centenarian patients had similar in-hospital outcomes to nonagenarians, but experienced more complications and twice the 3-month and 1-year mortality rate. The mean number of complications was the risk factor most consistently related to in-hospital and post-discharge mortality. These findings emphasize the need to improve care in very old patients to prevent complications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Background: The prediction of mortality in internal medicine departments may help in taking diagnostic and therapeutic decisions. We analyzed the usefulness of two mortality prediction models, one physiological and the other mainly clinical, and determined whether one approach is better than the other to predict mortality at admission. Methods: This is a prospective observational cohort study in patients admitted to an acute internal medicine ward in a tertiary care, urban, university teaching hospital in Spain. Five hundred consecutive patients either electively admitted or coming from the emergency department from May to December 2008 were analyzed. Medical history, physical examination and routine clinical laboratory tests were performed on admission. At discharge, diagnosis and dead or survived status was recorded. Logistic regression analyses were used to test variables that emerged as independent predictors of mortality. The area under the curve was used to determine which model best predicted mortality. Results: Mortality in the ward was 13.0%. Age, chronic respiratory failure, creatinine, mean arterial pressure, respiratory rate and Glasgow coma scale independently predicted mortality. ROC curves showed that the physiological model was superior to the clinical model, but differences were not statistically significant. The predictive capacity improved when the two models were combined but the improvement was not significant. Conclusions: Both models are satisfactory predictors of in-hospital mortality for management purposes but neither proved to be a useful tool for individual predictions. Complementary approaches need to be considered. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]