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This study aims to determine whether conventional money market mutual funds perform better than sharia money market mutual funds or vice versa during the COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia. This research method is descriptive with a quantitative comparison approach. This study employed secondary data obtained from IDX, Indonesian Bank, and Pasar Dana website. The research employed the money market mutual funds data, Net Asset Value, BI 7 Days Repo rate during year 2020. Sharpe ratio utilized in this research to determine the money market mutual funds performance. Then, the result compared by using Independent sample T-test on SPSS. The result uncovers that in general the performance of conventional money market mutual funds performance superior the sharia money market mutual funds performance during covid-19 in Indonesia. However, both mutual funds average Sharpe ratio show the negative number during 2020. Moreover, there are no significant difference between conventional and sharia money market mutual funds returns during the period 2020. The high different return on the maximum return due to some conventional mutual fund perform exceptional during 2020.

This paper develops a discrete-time epidemiological model for the spread of economic crises across sectors in the United States for the period 1952-2015. It is the first to use an epidemiological approach with macroeconomic (Flow of Funds) data. An extension of the usual one-period Markov model to a two-period setting incorporates the concept of downturns that may either precede a crisis or from which the sector may recover and avert a crisis. The results indicate that the nonfinancial business and private depository institutions & money market mutual funds sectors are highly contagious while the monetary authority is the least contagious.

Press releases on monetary policy play an important role in the communication policy of the central bank. These press releases explain key rate decisions and provide signals about the future direction of the central bank’s monetary policy. Information signals can influence the expectations of financial market participants and increase the predictability and effectiveness of monetary policy. There are not enough research papers dedicated to the text analysis of the Bank of Russia press releases and the assessment of information signals. Hence, this article examines the impact of information signals about monetary policy on the money market rate, term and credit spreads. First, we estimate latent Dirichlet allocation to determine the topics of information signals. Second, we use sentiment analysis to construct signals about easing or tightening of the monetary policy. Third, the impact of signals about the future monetary policy on the money market indicators is assessed using the exponential GARCH model. Empirical research has shown that signals of future monetary policy easing are associated with lower money market rates and term spreads, and an increase in the credit spread. The result proved to be resistant to various ways of vectorizing the text of press releases. The article was prepared as a part of the state assignment research of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.

This study examines money market and foreign exchange market dynamics in Nigeria by estimating the dynamic correlation and volatility spillovers between Nigeria Naira/US Dollar Bureau De Change (BDC) exchange rate and interbank call rate with data from January 2007 to August 2019. The study employs a dynamic conditional correlation form of GARCH model (DCC-GARCH) to access the nature of correlation, while an unrestricted bivariate BEKK-GARCH (1, 1) form of multivariate GARCH model is utilized to investigate shocks and volatility spillover of the rates. The estimated DCC-GARCH (1, 1) reveals that interest rate and exchange rate are dynamically linked negatively, suggesting that exchange rate (or interest rate) is inversely sensitive to interest rate (or exchange rate) in Nigeria. This result was substantiated by the estimated BEKK-GARCH(1, 1) model. Furthermore, the effects of news (shocks spillover) are bi-directional across the markets. However, volatility spillover is unidirectional, from exchange rate to interest rate, suggesting that, calming the volatility in foreign exchange market does guarantee moderation of volatility in the money market, whereas the reverse is not the case. The results underscore the growing influence of foreign exchange market in the financial space of the Nigerian economy. Thus, the study recommends that foreign exchange policies aimed at maintaining exchange rate stability should be sustained, having found exchange rate to be more effective in moderating interest rate volatility in Nigeria.

Postcrisis regulations apply stricter liquidity rules to both money market funds (MMFs) and banks, requiring MMFs to do more overnight lending and banks to borrow longer-term. MMFs and banks resolve this dilemma by developing a “bundling” strategy across overnight and longer term markets. In particular, MMFs increase longer term funding and charge a lower rate to banks that have recently accommodated MMFs’ overnight depositing needs. Such cross-market reciprocity is stronger between MMFs and foreign banks, which depend on MMFs for dollar funding more than U.S. banks do. MMFs with lower liquidity buffers and higher flow volatility are more likely to engage in bundling.

Despite international financial disintegration, we document a dramatic increase in dollar borrowing among leveraged Eurozone corporates during the Great Financial Crisis. Using loan-level data, we trace this increase to the twin crisis in the credit market and in funding markets. The reduction in the supply of credit by Eurozone banks caused riskier borrowers to shift to foreign banks, in particular US banks. The coincident rise in the relative cost of euro wholesale funding and the disruptions in the FX swap market caused a rise in dollar borrowing from US banks, especi ally for firms in export-oriented sectors. Although global bank lending is often reported to amplify the international credit cycle, we show that foreign banking acted as a shock absorber that weathered the real consequences of the credit crunch in Europe.

The pure expectations hypothesis states that the current yields on bonds with different maturities reflect investor expectations of future interest rates. Analysing the short-term inter-bank rates ...

This study investigates monetary policy transmission to the interest rates in Indonesia, focusing on changes in pricing behavior that may have occurred after the shift of benchmark policy rates in August 19, 2016. We analyzed monthly data on money market, deposit, and lending rates from November 2011 to December 2019. Two specifications of the error correction model capture asymmetric adjustments. We find that the new policy rate regime has improved the response of money market rates. However, the rigidity of bank retail rates has increased. Specifically, lending rates have become more rigid upwards, as lenders have become more responsive to monetary easing than to monetary tightening.

The Ottoman Empire introduced paper money called kaime which was also a bill of exchange bond to bearer in order to finance the reforms of the Tanzimat and to overcome the financial and fiscal difficulties of the previous period, and adopted a foreign exchange stability policy and a fixed Exchange rate system to stabilize its currency which gradually lost its value against the foreign currencies due to ongoing adulterations. Related to the developments that took place over time, the monetary policy of the government has also changed; interest-free paper money was eventually introduced to the market by decreasing the interest rates gradually. Due to the Crimean War and the economic and financial difficulties experienced during the war, the amount of paper money in the market was increased uncontrollably. The fact that the money market in the Ottoman Empire was not sufficiently organized and the weakness of the state control over the market caused intensive speculative activities to be carried out by the bankers and brokers who took on intermediary duties in the market. Following the Crimean War, the increasing influence of Western powers on the Ottoman finance was a factor that restricted the speculative activities. The Random Walk Hypothesis suggests that the future prices cannot be predicted using the current information, thus speculative gains will not be possible. In this study, the Random Walk Hypothesis in the paper money market and the Exchange rate market in the Ottoman Empire are analyzed with reference to economic and historical facts. For this purpose, Variance Ratio Test and unit root test with structural break were adopted. The results of the analysis, on a large scale concluded that the Random Walk Hypothesis is valid in both markets and that there are economic and political developments behind the structural breaks.

If cryptocurrencies are perceived as financial innovations that could disrupt domestic and international financial systems, it becomes imperative for economists to incorporate these virtual currencies into existing money market models. Cryptocurrencies, when fully adopted by the general public, would transmit into the financial system via money demand. Cryptocurrencies serve as money and non-money assets and have no perfect substitute, whereas they are perfect substitutes for M1. Therefore, how much impact would the popularity of cryptocurrencies have on domestic and international capital mobility? To isolate interest rate differentials across countries, the Mundell-Fleming model that assumes a constant interest rate in domestic and world economies was applied. Cryptocurrencies acquired in past periods that are acceptable worldwide would abrogate exchange rate differentials. This study theoretically finds that fiscal and monetary policies would have different impacts on income in economies with high cryptocurrency circulations compared to economies with only M1. Also, there is a critical interest rate where cryptocurrencies would be more attractive to investors than other non-money assets. Moreover, using the Keynesian aggregate income and aggregate expenditure model, without interest and exchange rate differentials, the worldwide use of cryptocurrencies in international trade would unveil the link between the twin deficits and international capital flows.

Along with the rapid growth of online and mobile shopping, a recent interesting phenomenon is the introduction of money market funds by many ecommerce platforms. The goal might be to provide consumers the one-stop convenience of both shopping and short-term investment. So far, little rigorous work has examined the relationship between online shopping and investment in ecommerce money market funds (eMMFs). In this study, we examine how consumers’ online-shopping expenditure affects their eMMF investment amounts using data from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) dataset. We find that consumers’ online-shopping expenditure increases their eMMF investment amounts, holding other variables constant. This effect is significant and positive even after we consider the potential endogeneity issues with seemingly unrelated regression estimation. Further, analyzing whether consumers’ risky-market experience could moderate this effect, we find the coefficient of the moderating term to be significant after we consider the potential endogeneity issues. These findings suggest that consumers’ eMMF investments is largely affected by their online-shopping experience, and this effect is even stronger for those with risky-market participation.

PurposeTo verify the effectiveness of the monetary policy, the impacts of monetary instruments on overnight spread under the interest rate corridor (IRC) are examined. The People's Bank of China (PBC) has operated the IRC since 2014. To understand the impacts of monetary instruments on overnight spread before and after the IRC framework, the complete samples are divided into two periods.Design/methodology/approachTo model the overnight spread, an exponential GARCH (EGARCH) approach is used which can examine the interbank market interest rates for monetary policy purposes. The overnight money market plays an important role in the implementation of monetary policy.FindingsChinese interest rate liberalization and the implementation of IRC affect the overnight spread in the short-term financing market. Before the implementation of the IRC, the key factor to affect the overnight spread is mainly affected by the PBC's monetary policy control on the liquidity supply side. After the implementation of IRC, the overnight spread can be the largest part explained by the liquidity demand side and the PBC's multiple monetary instruments have significant impacts on the reduction of overnight spread.Originality/valueThe overnight spread has recently been influenced by various factors that are directly or closely related to the monetary policy instruments and the interest rate policy of the PBC. Chinese interest rate liberalization and the implementation of interest rate corridor policy affect the overnight spread in the short-term financing market.

We investigate the time‐varying relationship of funding liquidity (FL) and market liquidity (ML) in a Markov regime‐switching model. By using a comprehensive U.S. TRACE dataset, we provide strong evidence that FL and corporate bond ML are interlinked, and their impact on each other is highly regime‐dependent. We find that FL and ML exhibit a large‐and‐positive mutual impact when money market is tight and equity market is volatile. But in normal regimes, FL is found to have a negative impact on ML with a much smaller magnitude than those in stressed regimes. Furthermore, FL is more stable than ML with less regime changes. Our article offers insight on the important mechanism by which central banks can improve ML through the funding market.

We estimate the effects of quantitative easing (QE) measures by the ECB and the Federal Reserve on the US dollar-euro exchange rate at frequencies and horizons relevant for policymakers. To do so, we derive a theoretically-consistent local projection regression equation from the standard asset pricing formulation of exchange rate determination. We then proxy unobserved QE shocks by future changes in the relative size of central banks’ balance sheets, which we instrument with QE announcements in two-stage least squares regressions in order to account for their endogeneity. We find that QE measures have large and persistent effects on the exchange rate: The typical ECB or Federal Reserve expansionary QE announcement in our sample resulted in an increase in the relative balance sheet of about 20% and, in turn, in a persistent exchange rate depreciation of around 7%. Regarding transmission channels, we find that a relative QE shock that expands the ECB’s balance sheet relative to that of the Federal Reserve depreciates the euro against the US dollar by reducing euro-dollar short-term money market rate differentials, by widening the cross-currency basis and by eliciting adjustments in “residual” deviations from interest parity. Changes in the expectations about the future monetary policy stance, reflecting the “signalling” channel of QE, also contribute to the exchange rate response to QE shocks.

The manipulation of Euro Interbank Offered Rate (Euribor) is a problem with great impact on international financial markets. This paper focuses on two aspects of the Euribor benchmark rate for the period 2004–2018: the specific features that make the Index more vulnerable to manipulation and the potential for Index manipulation over the studied period. To address the first aspect, we examine the range and the standard deviation of daily quotes, as well as the panel banks’ quote submissions to the Euribor administrator, the maximum and minimum quotes and the daily variation of submissions. As a result, we found a group of five banks with similar and extreme submission patterns, which might be a sign of manipulation. Regarding the second aspect, changes are made in the quotes submitted by panel banks by switching minimum and maximum daily quotes. Thus, potential for Euribor manipulation is measured as the difference between the observed Euribor rate and the estimated rate recalculated with adjusted quotes. The results indicate that potential for Euribor manipulation is higher when the number of banks in the panel is lower, when there are many banks involved in the manipulation of the Index, and in times of financial distress.

After almost three decades of the New Economic Policy of the Government of India, now it is high time to assess the policy prescriptions so far followed to converge the financial markets, especially the stock and money market, objectively with the robust statistical and econometric tools. This paper attempts to measure the integration amongst stock and some select segments of Indian money market. The results of Johansen and Juselius (1990) cointegration test suggest strong integration amongst the markets and statistically significant presence of all the markets in the cointegration space. Granger causality expectedly runs from money to stock market and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition Analysis indicates the rigidity of the stock and treasury bills market only, hence, warrants more attention of the Indian policy planners for adequate steps to make these markets more flexible.

This paper provides a new index of money market and bank lending interest rates in Spain for 1900–1935. New archival evidence reveals a structural change in market interest ratesvis-à-visthe official rates charged by theBanco de España(BdE). Before 1914, the BdE rate operated as a ceiling to market rates. The outbreak of the First World War caused market rates to soar and the BdE rate started operating as a floor, as bank liquidity started depending on the BdE. This was accompanied by new banking legislation introduced in 1921, which changed the collateral framework through which the BdE lent to banks. The resulting interest rate index illustrates the persistent impact of financial deglobalisation caused by the outbreak of the War.

The interest rate pass-through describes how changes in a reference rate (the monetary policy, money market, or T-bill rate) transmit to bank lending rates. This paper reviews the empirical literature on the interest rate pass-through and systematizes it by means of meta-analysis and meta-regressions. The paper finds systematically lower estimated pass-through coefficients in studies that focus on transmission to long-term lending rates, consumer lending rates, and average lending rates. The interest rate pass-through is significantly influenced by country macro-financial and institutional factors. The estimated pass-through tends to be stronger for economies with deeper capital markets (measured by market capitalization). Interestingly, central bank independence rising from lower levels can reduce interest rate pass-through, while central bank independence rising from already high levels can boost the pass-through.

This paper has the goal of analyzing the association between asymmetric information, measured by Corwin-Schultz bid ask spread estimator, and stock prices in the Brazilian stock market. Daily data from 64 corporations over a period of 10 years were examined using the Johansen-Fisher panel cointegration technique in order to assess the validity of asymmetric information measurements in shorter periods than in previous studies. The results indicate that asymmetric information anticipates stock prices over a period of up to two days in a theoretically consistent way. Future research may control the results via traditional finance variables. JEL classification: C33; D82; G32. Resumen Este trabajo tuvo como objetivo analizar la asociacion entre informacion asimetrica, medida a traves del estimador Corwin-Schultz, y las cotizaciones bursatiles en el mercado de valores brasileno. Los datos diarios de 64 empresas, en un periodo de 10 diez anos, Mse examinaron utilizando la tecnica de cointegracion de panel de Johansen-Fisher para evaluar la validez de una medida de información asimetrica en periodos mas cortos que los estudios anteriores. Los resultados indican que la informacion asimétrica anticipa los precios de las acciones en un periodo de hasta dos dias, de una manera teoricamente consistente. Las investigaciones futuras deberian controlar los resultados mediante variables financieras tradicionales. Resumo Este trabalho tem como objetivo analisar a associacao entre informação assimetrica, medida pelo estimador Corwin-Schultz, e cotizações bursateis no mercado brasileiro de ações. Foram analisados dados diários de 64 empresas, durante um peridodo de 10 anos, pela tecnica de cointegracao para dados em painel de Johansen-Fisher, para avaliar a validade de uma medida de informação assimétrica em períodos inferiores aos de estudos anteriores. Os resultados indicam que a informação assimetrica antecipa opreco das ações em um período de ate 2 dias, de maneira teoricamente consistente. Pesquisas futuras deveriam controlar os resultados mediante variaveis financeiras tradicionais.

In the economic literature authors believe that central banks manage long-term interest rates on loans through the short-term money market interest rate in order to maintain price stability and balanced economic growth. However, macroeconomic theory tells extremely sparingly about the interest rate channel of monetary policy. In general terms, it conducts changes through a term premium and expectations in the government securities market. In applied research, economists only observe the final reaction of lending rates to the non-financial sector. Economists traditionally believe that the interest rate channel requires a developed financial sector. In some cases, in particular, at zero rates or in a small open economy that depends on the exchange rate, the interest rate channel works poorly. However, its effectiveness can be maintained without developed financial markets. The answer is the pricing of banking loans.

We find that Treasury floating rate notes (FRNs) trade at a significant premium relative to the prices of Treasury bills and notes. This premium is directly related to the near-constant nature of FRN prices and is correlated with measures reflecting investor demand for safe assets. Money market funds are often the primary investors in FRNs, and the FRN premium is related to flows into funds with fixed net asset values, but not to flows into funds with variable net asset values. These results provide strong evidence that the FRN premium represents a convenience yield for the mark-to-market stability feature of FRNs.

This paper examines how the quantitative easing (QE) policy conducted by Japan, EU and the US raised Hong Kong’s real estate prices through activities in carry trade and in Hong Kong’s real estate investment trust (H-REIT) market. The empirical results demonstrated two new channels of impact. The first new channel shows that Japan’s QE policy did affect the H-REIT prices in money market, which then led to a rise in office price after a lag of three months. The office prices were more persistently affected by the channel through the H-REIT than through the stock prices. Another new channel shows that the QE policy by Japan, the EU and the US since 2008 directly pushed up the office prices. These two new channels imply that the QE policy spilled over to not only the money market, but also the real estate market through the H-REIT market and carry trade. Moreover, the empirical finding is stronger in the price of the ordinary grade office than in the high-grade office, suggesting these new channels have already become common. Moreover, even though introducing control variables in the real estate economics literature, the results are robust.

This paper reviews the retail interest-rate-control deregulation in China over the 1993-2015 period and provides a preliminary assessment of the PBC's replacement monetary framework. I show that the interest-rate controls triggered the development of deposit substitutes that banks used to circumvent the restrictions, which in turn drove deposits out of commercial banks.This gave rise to concerns about deterioration of bank profits and build-up of financial frangibility, which have pushed up the PBC's deregulation acceleration over the post-2012 period. I quantify the distortionary effects of these controls: disintermediation, a rising shadow banking system and financial repression. Despite the official lift-off of the controls, the retail interest rates are still subject to the PBC’s window guidance and other pricing mechanism guidance. The interest-rate corridor does not function well in confining money market rates. This suggests that the PBC adopt a target money market rate system.

It is well known that variability of money market interest rates is time variant. Further, the ability to control money market interest rates by central bank is also important for effectiveness of inflation targeting. As a contribution to understanding the transmission between main monetary policy rate and money market interest rates an innovative formal framework of money market interest rate variability reflecting variety of macroeconomic shocks was developed. Subsequently, a middle size macro-financial model with exogenous variables is estimated by the Bayesian method with sign restriction to identify main sources of macroeconomic shocks. Parameters of this model are estimated from a dataset of six countries with long-lasting history of inflation targeting. Using the estimation results, three measures of ability to control of money market interest rates are derived and they are used to compare time and country specific conditions of the effects of main policy rate on money market interest rates. We consider these measures as an important contribution for evaluating suitability of VAR models as well as the one for measuring the ability of central bank to control money market rates. Our findings are interesting and the novel approach is applicable to solve similar problem.

This paper examine aggregate financial stress index for India is constructed by taking monthly data from different segments of the financial market like money market, bond market, equity market, foreign exchange market, and the banking sector, for the period March 2007 to December 2016. The interrelationship and feedback effect between financial stress, economic growth and price stability are tested by using correlation and an unrestricted VAR model. The impulse response function of the VAR model shows that financial stress leads to decline in growth after a lag period and higher growth rate for a longer period of time increases stress in the financial system. The variance decomposition result shows that the contribution of FSI to the variation of other variables are not much high but other variables can contribute to the variation in FSI to some extent.

This paper examines the effectiveness of the negative interest rate policy conducted by several central banks to stabilize economic growth and inflation expectations through the signaling channel. In doing so, we assess survey-based expectations data for up to 44 economies from 2002 to 2017 and analyze the impact of the adoption of a negative interest rate policy on expectations made by professionals based on a difference-in-differences approach. Our main findings are as follows: First, we show that the introduction of negative policy rates significantly reduces expectations regarding 3-month money market interest rates and also 10-year government bond yields. Second, we also provide evidence for a significantly positive effect of this unconventional monetary policy tool on GDP growth and inflation expectations. This implies that the negative interest rate policy appears to be effective in boosting economic growth and overcoming a deflationary spiral. Consequently, the effect of negative nominal interest rates on real interest rate expectations is also negative.

El objetivo de este documento es identificar si el mercado de simultáneas, además de reflejar las condiciones de liquidez en pesos, ofrece información sobre las expectativas de desvalorizaciones de los bonos soberanos. Para ello, se clasifica cada operación (el estudio incluye las operaciones de simultáneas pactadas a plazo de un día hábil en el Sistema Electrónico de Negociación del Banco de la República, entre octubre de 2008 y abril de 2018) en tres rangos, que se construyen a partir del promedio y la desviación estándar del margen –entre la tasa promedio ponderada por monto de las simultáneas negociadas a plazo overnight y la tasa de política monetaria–. Los resultados muestran que la mayoría de operaciones se concentran en el rango medio, cuyo margen se ubica entre ± una desviación estándar. El análisis descriptivo y estadístico de cada rango permite concluir que altos volúmenes de operaciones de simultáneas pactadas a tasas inusualmente bajas podrían indicar expectativas de desvalorizaciones de los bonos locales. The main goal of this paper is to identify if the market of secured liquidity operations called “simultáneas” reflects the devaluation expectations in the sovereign Colombian bond market, besides the liquidity conditions of the money market. In order to achieve it, each operation (Traded in the Electronic Trading System between October 2008 and April 2018) is classified in three ranges, built using the media and standard deviation of the spread—between the weighted average rate of the liquidity market operations and the monetary policy rate. The results show that most of the operations are concentrated in the medium range, with a spread between ± one standard deviation. The descriptive and statistical analysis of each range allows to conclude that high volumes of “simultáneas” traded at unusual low rates might reflect the devaluation expectations in the local bond market.

This paper pursues to establish a connection among the nominal interest rate, the money market, and the inflation rate in Bangladesh using monthly time series data from June 2005 to March 2019. Because some data are stationary at the level and others are stationary at the 1st difference, the ARDL model is applicable for checking the link. There is a strong positive short-term and long-term relationship between inflation and nominal interest rates, suggesting that Bangladeshi data support the Fisher hypothesis for that time. For this study, the T bill, the call money rate is used as a measure of the money market. The research indicates that regulators should concentrate on call money rates in short-term and T-bill and call money rates in the long-term to control Bangladesh's nominal interest rate.

The present estimates of dollar demand treat inflation as a separate variable in a money market model with annual data covering nearly six decades from 1960 to 2017. The difference stationary series lead to robust error correction estimates in double log differences. Structural breaks for money supply targeting in 1980 and bank bailout policy in 2009 improve the estimates. Inflation has an elastic effect on store of value and transactions demands. Rising income incompletely offsets declining dollar demand. Transactions demand appears to be especially sensitive to a decrease in inflation.

Purpose The encrypted money market has attracted the attention of investors all over the world. Among the encrypted currency, bitcoin is undoubtedly the most popular. Because blockchain technology is the crucial support of bitcoin, exploring the relationship between bitcoin and the blockchain index is necessary. Design/methodology/approach This paper uses the Granger causality test to explore the correlation between bitcoin and the blockchain index. Furthermore, their volatility is analyzed by a GARCH-class model. Findings The results show that no significant correlation exists between bitcoin and the blockchain index; external shocks aggravate the volatility of bitcoin and the blockchain index, and the volatility has a certain degree of sustainability; and blockchain index has obvious leverage, namely, its decline has a stronger impact. Originality/value The volatility of bitcoin and the blockchain index is crucial for investors.

The use of the BI 7 days repo rate as a new benchmark rate replacing the BI rate, raises hopes that the transmission of monetary policy in Indonesia can run faster and more effectively. This study uses monthly time series data for the period August 2016-December 2018, using the Vector Autoregression (VAR) analysis. The results show that the transmission of monetary policy through the interest rate and asset price channels has been effective, while the transmission of monetary policy through the exchange rate channel has not been effective in driving economic growth in Indonesia. The decline in the benchmark interest rate can be responded quickly by interbank money market interest rates, banking interest rates, stock prices, and output. The exchange rate can also respond quickly to changes in interest rates, but changes in the exchange rate have not been able to influence net exports and increase output.

This paper examines the liquidity transmission across the interbank money market by investigating four liquidity measurements. We detect an empirical evidence of the increase in conditional correlation across different liquidity channels during the subprime mortgage crisis. Two structural breaks are observed, and the break dates correspond to the critical events that happened at the beginning of the subprime mortgage crisis. Furthermore, two out of three significant pairwise liquidity transmissions involved the TED liquidity spread.

The reform of benchmarks is carried out in developed economies from 2014 to 2021. The starting point of a large-scale reform was the scandal with the interest rate LIBOR. Instead of it, national so-called “risk-free” interest rates will appear. Although a problem of manipulating LIBOR will be resolved, new benchmarks bring new problems. They have statistical biases and will not be comparable either to LIBOR or to each other due to methodological differences. The new benchmark rates are overnight rates, and their calculation does not imply the formation of term rates. Instead of the homogeneous LIBOR family, financial markets have received a heterogeneous group of new rates. In some developing economies money markets are absent, and their central banks are faced with a problem of how to calculate the local benchmark rate under the new rules. As an alternative they are searching to use interest rates in neighboring markets.

Now that the global financial markets are highly volatile and vulnerable, and the world faces the Fourth Industrial Revolution that ushers in new technologies and potentially, with the growth of productivity, extends the period of low inflation and ultra-low interest rates, stability of the financial system is more important than ever. Technological innovation brings new uncertainty and the markets are extremely sensitive to sudden changes in the business environment, yet more so as they grew accustomed to ample liquidity in the prior period. Two episodes of similar characteristics in the money markets in two different countries, Serbia and the USA, have proven numerous patterns and demonstrated many commonalities. And yet, a somewhat different ambience, monetary measures applied to stabilise interest rates, the increase of which was driven by intensive withdrawals of liquidity from the banking system, as well as the initial signal sent to market participants, whose perception is what matters the most - proved that credibility, timeliness of response and proper choice of instruments are of crucial importance for success.

We regress long-term private-sector borrowing rates on a money market rate, a term premium and credit risk. As a contribution to the current debate about European safe assets, our interest is in quantifying the impact of euro area sovereign bond spreads on private-sector lending by employing it as a proxy for private-sector credit risk. Panel estimates show significant, albeit rather small long-run effects. Another finding is large cross-country heterogeneity. Using linear country-specific estimates, we find the effect to be significant in only some countries, but the size of the maximum effect in these countries exceeds the average one more than three-fold. Furthermore, for one country, we find an asymmetrical effect with positive spread changes having greater impact on private-sector borrowing costs than negative ones. Substantial heterogeneity of the spillover effect between euro area countries indicates the presence of financial valuation effects based not only on economic fundamentals. This, in turn, implies that spillovers may entail contagion costs. Overall, our results suggest that these costs are considerable in the euro area and will remain so until an effective form of European safe assets is created.

The article is devoted to the research of theoretical principles of development of such components of the financial market as the money market and the capital market, identification of key differences between them on the basis of the analysis of scientific professional literature and key provisions of the legislative framework, substantiation of the general interpretation of their essence that could be used in international practice. The article analyzes the peculiarities of formation and functioning of each type of markets, traditional differences between them, examines international practice and statistics on the use of these terms by economic agents, defines the legal basis for understanding their essence and the legal basis for the delineation of these two types of markets. It is proved that a thorough analysis of the peculiarities of the functioning of individual markets, the frequency, and popularity of the use of their definitions in economic practice, the definition of users of these types of markets and their functions, form the prerequisites for clarifying the definitions of the essence of each of these markets, with their further global harmonization. The result of the research is the authors’ own interpretations of the concepts of the “money market” and “capital market”. The money market offers an understanding of the transaction system for the purchase and sale of liquid cash or other short-term financial assets, which typically include short-term financial liabilities (up to one year), the purpose of which is usually to provide financing for current operations, short-term profit or financial risk management in the short-term. The capital market is defined in the article as a system of transactions for the purchase and sale of financial assets, which include securities, derivatives, or financial transactions, which usually involve long-term financial liabilities, the purpose of which is to satisfy capital requirements or increase capital. Keywords: money market; capital market; financial market; legal basis; international practice, definitions.

Seven of the ten largest stablecoins are backed by fiat assets. The 2016 and 2017 vintages of stablecoins have failure rates of 100% and 50% respectively. More than one-third of stablecoins have failed. Tether has a 39% share of 1.77 trillion USD in 2021Q2 transactions, and USD Coin 28%. The top three stablecoins have an average velocity of 28.3. Tether transacted between 3.8 million unique addresses, 63% of the ERC-20 token network. Six of the top ten tokens have unconcentrated Herfindahl indices, but Gemini, Pax and Huobi have single holders with more than 50% of the supply. The median Tether transaction fee is similar to the cost of an ATM transaction, but they are three to four times more for Dai and USDC. Fees, which are proportional to the price of Ethereum, are rising though. Median fees for Tether rose 3,628% over the last year, and 1,897% for USD Coin. 24 hour exchange turnover in Tether is nearly $120 billion. This is comparable to the daily volume at the NYSE and almost ten times the daily flow in money market mutual funds. Narrow bid-ask spreads and depth have attracted active HFT participation.

This chapter marks the first step toward the construction of the ISLM/ADAS model which will power macroeconomic analyses in the chapters to come. At this stage we have completed an intuitive overview of the broad links between global capital flows, fiscal, and trade imbalances, and their effects on interest rates and exchange rates.

This study examines probable dynamic spillover transmissions between the Nigerian stock and money markets using the multivariate volatility framework that simultaneously accounts for both returns and shock spillovers. Based on relevant pre-tests, the VARMA-CCC-GARCH framework is selected and consequently employed to model the spillovers. The study finds significant cross-market return and shock spillovers between the two markets. Thus, a shock to one market is more likely to spill over to the other market. It is also observed that shocks have persistent effects on stock market volatility but transitory effects on money market volatility. In other words, shocks to the money market die out over time while shocks to stock market tend to persist over time. In addition, including lagged own shocks and lagged own conditional variance when forecasting the future volatility of both return series may enhance their forecast performance. An alternative approach proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) is also employed for robustness and the results are consistent with those obtained from the VARMA-CCC-GARCH model.

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the likely determinants of the demand for official international reserves (hereafter reserves) for India and China in the long run in a basic buffer stock model. The paper also examines the role of domestic money market disequilibrium in the short-run demand for official reserves for both the countries in a dynamic synthesis model. Design/methodology/approach The study used quarterly data for the time period 1993:Q1–2015:Q4. The long-run model is being estimated by following the Frenkel–Jovanovic (1981) buffer stock model and includes the determinants such as transaction motive variable (GDP or Imports), opportunity cost variable (domestic interest rate), precautionary motive variable (volatility of reserves) and exchange rate. The study also examined the role of domestic money market disequilibrium in addition to the above variables in the short-run reserve demand model. The money market disequilibrium term is expected to be negative and significant in the short run. The study employed autoregressive distributed lag bound testing approach to co-integration and unrestricted error-correction model (UECM) approach developed by Pesaran et al. (2001) for estimating the long-run and short-run models, respectively. Findings The co-integration test suggests the existence of long-run relationship between international reserves and its determinants. In the long run, all the variables are statistically significant with expected sign, except domestic interest rate variable for China. It is also found that, the money market disequilibrium term in the short run is negative and significant which validates that an excessive money demand (supply) induces an inflow (outflow) of international reserves for both India and China with a lag of four quarters. The recursive residual tests (CUSUM and CUSUMSQ) confirm the stability of both long-run and short-run reserve demand models. Practical implications The findings and policy implications of this study may be useful for the policy makers of the similar emerging economies for designing money and currency policies. Originality/value This paper is a comparative study which systematically analyzed the reserve demand behavior of the two emerging economies India and China. The study integrates the domestic money market with the international reserve demand behavior for these two economies.

U ovom članku istražuje se kako troškovna učinkovitost i rizik utječu na tržišni udio u europskom bankarskom sektoru. Analiza je motivirana poznatom hipotezom učinkovitosti i teorijom strukture-vođenja-uspješnosti. Hipoteza je da su poboljšana učinkovitost i pojačani rizik banke povezani s rastom tržišnog udjela banke. U odnosu na ostala istraživanja, u ovoj analizi uključen je rizik kao odrednica tržišnog udjela. U istraživanju se koriste godišnji podaci za 36 banaka iz europskih zemalja u razdoblju od 2007. do 2015. godine. Rezultati pokazuju da su rizik i učinkovitost pozitivno povezani s tržišnim udjelom imovine, zajmova i depozita. Nadalje, istraživanjem je utvrđeno da su banke u tranzicijskim zemljama bile manje uspješne u pretvaranju prednosti u pogledu troškovne učinkovitosti u povećanje tržišnih udjela od banaka u razvijenim europskim zemljama. Empirijski model je procijenjen korištenjem GMM metode kako bi se uzela u obzir dinamička priroda istraživanih komponenti te s ciljem zaobilaženja problema endogenosti., In this study we investigate how cost efficiency and risk affect market share in European banking industry. Our analysis is motivated by the well-known efficiency hypothesis and structure-conduct-performance theory. We hypothesize that improved efficiency and enhanced riskiness of a bank should be related to an increase in its market share. Therefore, in contrast to other studies, we include risk as a determinant of market share. In the study we use annual data for 36 European countries’ banks for the time span from 2007 to 2015. The results reveal that risk and efficiency are positively associated with market share of assets, loans and deposits. Additionally, we find that banks in transition countries were less successful in transposing their cost efficiency advantages into market share gains than banks in European developed countries. The empirical model is estimated by using the GMM method in order to account for dynamic nature of investigated components and to mitigate the endogeneity problem.

The article examines the role of the money market in the local currency in the financial market, analyzes the prerequisites for the formation of the money market and the factors necessary for its development. The study examines both the ambitious policy reforms and the specifics of money market formation in the implementation of financial sector development plans and the solution of specific tasks for the development of money markets, the development of financial markets in developing and bordering countries. The main idea of the study is that the formation of stable and money markets is closely linked with the formation of a monetary policy regime based on a flexible exchange rate and the desire to reach a low and stable level. In other words, reforms aimed only at the development of money market rate policy, should take certain steps mechanisms, using projected interest rates and a relatively flexible exchange to achieve low and stable inflation rates. At the same time, the implementation of such a regime is unlikely to be successful without efforts to create appropriate money markets. Key words: financial system, national economy, money market, money market parameters, interest rate, world experience

In this monograph we aim to analyse the effects of leaving excess reserves in the banking sector by the central bank on the level and the variability of interest rates, as well as on money supply. To this end, we use mainly data for Poland, but in some cases, for robustness, also for a panel of Poland, the euro area, the Czech Republic and Hungary, as there had only been a limited variability in some policy variables in our sample for Poland. We estimate the parameters of GARCH, (P)VAR (vector autoregressive or panel vector autoregressive) and (panel) linear regression models. We find that excess reserves affect the level and the variability of an overnight money market interest rate. However, the variability of the overnight money market interest rate, shaped to a large extent by excess reserves, does not affect the level of longer-term interest rates, and we find little evidence of its impact on their variability. Neither do excess reserves translate into higher money supply. Our results imply that the current monetary policy operational framework in Poland is adequate to ensure the transmission of the central bank policy rate to money market interest rates. Furthermore, it appears unlikely that raising the amount of excess reserves left, as proposed by some policymakers, would affect money supply. Instead, it would lower the money multiplier and the overnight money market interest rate, as well as increase its volatility.

The work for this thesis was done during the period 2010 to 2016, after the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, and in the immediate wake of the Eurozone debt crisis that has casted doubts on European integration. With the crisis largely blamed on bank excessive risk-taking and supervisors’ inability to contain it, and with the aim to prevent similar crises in the future, much of the policy discussions and regulatory actions have focused on ways to address both of these failures of market economies. One way concerns the strengthening of market discipline, i.e., strengthening the incentives and capacity of external stakeholders (depositors, shareholders and other holders of bank liabilities) to induce more prudent risktaking behavior by bank managers. Thus motivated, this thesis focuses on the channels and effectiveness of market discipline. Said differently, it explores whether, and how, market forces could be trusted to do a better job in containing risk-taking behavior by banks and thus effectively support and supplement supervisors’ efforts. From a policy-making point of view, the thesis explores whether market discipline can promote financial stability. The thesis comprises of three empirical papers. The first explores whether the expected government support of banks, implicit or explicit, weakens market discipline. The second explores whether the intrusive external monitoring by knowledgeable and influential external stakeholders fosters more prudent loan-loss provisions and, hence, more prudent accounting practices by banks. The third paper extends the second, taking into account the role of the institutional and social environment in an international setting. The results from all three papers are supportive of the notion that market discipline can promote financial stability. Details follow. The first paper explores whether expected government support weakens market discipline by bank shareholders, especially after the eruption of the global financial crisis in 2008. Two counter-veiling forces are at work. On the one hand, as it is suggested by the related literature, the expected support may give banks greater leeway to undertake risks, for it reduces the monitoring incentives of depositors and other bank creditors. Shareholders, recognizing the resultant higher probability of default as well as the possibility that they might be wiped out in case of bank default, have an incentive to intensify monitoring and exercise stronger market discipline. On the other hand, the expected support may also reduce the possibility of a bank run, weakening as a result the need for monitoring by bank shareholders and, hence, market discipline on their part. Expected support is measured as the difference of two bank credit ratings from Moody’s: an all-in rating, which encompasses expected support, and a stand-alone rating, which does not. We estimate a model in which a forward-looking measure of shareholder value, the market-to-book ratio, is the dependent variable and the measure of expected support is one of the explanatory variables. A negative coefficient of the expected support would be consistent with market discipline for it would indicate that shareholders are willing to pay less for banks with higher expected support The results, from a sample of about 250 banks worldwide, indicate that, far from weakening market discipline by shareholders, the expected support strengthens it, and more so for the riskier banks – i.e., those with lower stand-alone rating. The results also highlight the two counter-veiling effects of the expected support on market discipline. Specifically, as the size of the expected support increases, its negative effect on the market-to-book ratio decreases. The second paper sheds light on earnings management via loan-loss provisions (LLPs) and the associated trade-off between financial-statement transparency and financial stability, by exploiting time and cross-sectional variation. The time variation pertains to the welldocumented shift towards more forward-looking LLPs after the crisis of 2008. The working hypothesis is that the rules concerning LLPs effectively shifted in favor of forward-looking provisions. This shift is expected to be associated with stronger income smoothing and signaling, and more so for banks subject to weaker market discipline. The cross sectional variation pertains to the intrusive external monitoring by funds that are members of the US Sustainability Investment Forum (USSIF). The working hypothesis is that this process amounts to stronger monitoring and, hence, stronger market discipline. Thus, it is expected that income smoothing and signaling will be weaker for the banks in which USSIF funds invest relative to the remaining banks. Moreover, after the said shift in supervisory and regulatory preferences, income smoothing and signaling will increase by less for banks in which USSIF funds invest. The results, from a sample of more than 300 publicly-held US bank holding companies, over the period 1999 – 2014, confirm that the banks under the intrusive monitoring exhibit less earnings management. Since, however, this differential behavior got more pronounced after the regulatory shift, the results further suggest that USSIF funds induce provisioning behavior that goes well beyond the stricter application of the existing accounting and supervisory rules, thus ameliorating the aforementioned trade-off. The third paper explores whether the inclusion of a bank in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI) reduces bank managers’ incentives for earnings management through loan-loss provisions. The inclusion in the DJSI depends on a rigorous bank assessment, conducted each year. The working hypothesis is that being included in the DJSI constitutes a credible signal to outside stakeholders of prudent behavior. An aspect of such behavior is less earnings management through loan-loss provisions. The results from a sample of 297 banks around the globe, over the period 2004 – 2010, indicate that banks included in the DJSI engage in less earnings management relative to the banks that were assessed but not included. This more prudent provisioning behavior persists when we control for the strength of private sector monitoring with country-level indices for private sector monitoring and the quality of external audits. Yet, it largely diminishes when we control for the strength of supervisory power and capital regulation. The last result poses an interesting question: Is stronger supervision a substitute of market discipline? Or, is the DJSI assessment process geared towards accepting more banks from countries with stronger supervision; All in all, the papers in this thesis highlight the important and decisive role market discipline plays in the financial system. They suggest that shareholders, probably driven by the objective difficulty of accurately assessing banks’ true condition and prospects, appreciate credible signals of prudent behavior. The results are also supportive of the power of external monitoring as a restraining factor in bank-managers’ risk-taking.

With the rapid proliferation of mobile telephony and the establishment of an IT-enabled payment and settlement system, Bangladesh, nowadays, is experiencing a meteoric rise in the usage of mobile financial services (MFS). As more and more people are opting to use this service, a huge number of mobile accounts are opened every day and a substantial amount of money is deposited, withdrawn and transferred frequently through the mobile network. This ever-increasing amount of mobile money flowing through the network may have a sizeable impact on the overall money supply of the country. Thus far, no systematic study has been conducted to quantify the impact of the mobile money on the conventional money supply of Bangladesh. In this study, we attempt to quantify the contribution of mobile money on the money supply which is an important quantity-based anchor of monetary policy in Bangladesh. Apart from quantifying the impact of digital (mobile) money on the money supply, we also qualitatively discuss its implication on another price-based nominal anchor of monetary policy in Bangladesh, i.e., interest rate. Moreover, in recent times, the government of Bangladesh has capped market interest rate with an intent to boost up business activities and in doing so, it (the government) has irrevocably broken the money market equilibrium which may result into dead-weight loss according to economic theory. Here, we qualitatively argue that financial inclusion through MFS has the potential to substantially reduce market interest rate without any manual intervention by significantly adding to the money supply which is supposed to be resulted into a reduced interest rate as an eventual consequence.

We argue that bank holding companies (BHCs) extend shadow insurance to the prime institutional money market funds (PI-MMFs) they sponsor and that PI-MMFs price this shadow insurance by charging investors significantly higher expense ratios and paying lower net yields. We provide evidence that after September 2008, expense ratios at BHC-sponsored PI-MMFs increased more than at non-BHC-sponsored PI-MMFs. Despite higher expense ratios, BHC-sponsored PI-MMFs did not experience larger redemptions than non-BHC-sponsored PI-MMFs. In addition, we show that expense ratios increased with BHCs’ financial strength and the likelihood of their support; however, this expense ratio differential disappeared after the 2016 MMF reform. (JEL G2, G21, G23, G28, H12, H81)