Gdiom Gebreheat Abady, Hadis Pourchamani, Ali Bijani, Hai Quang Pham, Mehdi Naderi, Jagadish Rao Padubidri, Navid Rabiee, Rosa A. S. Couto, Marina Pinheiro, Luis Camera, Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone, David Laith Rawaf, Irina Filip, Ratilal Lalloo, Spencer L. James, Suzanne Polinder, Rohollah Kalhor, Tanuj Kanchan, Ali Manafi, Eman Abu-Gharbieh, Bach Xuan Tran, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Navid Manafi, Saeed Shahabi, Tiffany K. Gill, Vijay Krishnamoorthy, Samer Hamidi, Zhi-Jiang Zhang, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Diana Zuleika Velazquez, Simon I. Hay, Ravensara S. Travillian, Michael T. Chung, Narinder Kumar, Daniel Y. Cho, David C. Schwebel, Milena Ilic, Tommi Vasankari, Jeevan Pereira, Ai-Min Wu, Zichen Liu, Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos, Jalal Arabloo, Stanislav S. Otstavnov, Bhawna Gupta, Giang Thu Vu, G Anil Kumar, Atalel Fentahun Awedew, Ali H. Mokdad, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Amir Radfar, Rakhi Dandona, Bartosz Miazgowski, Irena Ilic, Mukhammad David Naimzada, Amin Soheili, Malke Asaad, Catherine Bisignano, Masood Ali Shaikh, Lalit Dandona, Lidia Sanchez Riera, Rajan Nikbakhsh, Maciej Banach, Xiaochen Dai, Ritesh G. Menezes, Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Vinod C Nayak, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Mikk Jürisson, Florian Fischer, Salman Rawaf, Aidin Abedi, Andrew T Olagunju, Nikita Otstavnov, Rovshan Khalilov, Ted R. Miller, Rebecca Ivers, Savita Lasrado, Vahid Alipour, Srinivasa Rao Bolla, Stephen S Lim, Srikanta Banerjee, A. A. Fomenkov, Jung-Chen Chang, Mohammad Reza Saeb, Theo Vos, Taras Kavetskyy, Tuomo J. Meretoja, Yousef Mohammad, Farshad Farzadfar, Tesega Tesega Mengistu Birhanu, Robert Kaba Alhassan, Wondwossen Niguse Asmare, Pascual R. Valdez, Abdallah M. Samy, Christopher J L Murray, Juanita A. Haagsma, Maseer Khan, Cameron J. Kneib, HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center, and University of Helsinki
Background Bone fractures are a global public health issue; however, to date, no comprehensive study of their incidence and burden has been done. We aimed to measure the global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) of fractures from 1990 to 2019. Methods Using the framework of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, we compared numbers and age-standardised rates of global incidence, prevalence, and YLDs of fractures across the 21 GBD regions and 204 countries and territories, by age, sex, and year, from 1990 to 2019. We report estimates with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Findings Globally, in 2019, there were 178 million (95% UI 162-196) new fractures (an increase of 33.4% [30.1-37.0] since 1990), 455 million (428-484) prevalent cases of acute or long-term symptoms of a fracture (an increase of 70.1% [67.5-72.5] since 1990), and 25.8 million (17.8-35.8) YLDs (an increase of 65.3% [62.4-68.0] since 1990). The age-standardised rates of fractures in 2019 were 2296.2 incident cases (2091.1-2529.5) per 100 000 population (a decrease of 9.6% [8.1-11.1] since 1990), 5614.3 prevalent cases (5286.1-5977.5) per 100 000 population (a decrease of 6.7% [5.7-7.6] since 1990), and 319.0 YLDs (220.1-442.5) per 100 000 population (a decrease of 8.4% [7.2-9.5] since 1990). Lower leg fractures of the patella, tibia or fibula, or ankle were the most common and burdensome fracture in 2019, with an age-standardised incidence rate of 419.9 cases (345.8-512.0) per 100 000 population and an age-standardised rate of YLDs of 190.4 (125.0-276.9) per 100 000 population. In 2019, age-specific rates of fracture incidence were highest in the oldest age groups, with, for instance, 15 381.5 incident cases (11 245.3-20 651.9) per 100 000 population in those aged 95 years and older. Interpretation The global age-standardised rates of incidence, prevalence, and YLDs for fractures decreased slightly from 1990 to 2019, but the absolute counts increased substantially. Older people have a particularly high risk of fractures, and more widespread injury-prevention efforts and access to screening and treatment of osteoporosis for older individuals should help to reduce the overall burden. Copyright (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.