1. Epidemic Status, Disease Burden and Prediction of Cardiovascular Diseases in China, 1990-2019
- Author
-
YANG Ji, ZHANG Yao, MA Teng, TIAN Xintong, ZHAO Yingqiang
- Subjects
cardiovascular diseases ,burden of illness ,disability-adjusted life years ,risk factors ,forecasting ,Medicine - Abstract
Background Cardiovascular disease is a major chronic disease that seriously endangers human health, and remains a public health problem to be solved in China and even globally. Objective To explore the epidemic characteristics and disease burden of cardiovascular diseases in China from 1990 to 2019, forecast the incidence of cardiovascular diseases in China from 2020 to 2050, and provide a reference for the formulation of relevant prevention and treatment strategies of cardiovascular diseases. Methods The 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD 2019) database was searched to extract and analyze relevant data on cardiovascular disease burden and risk factors in China and globally from 1990 to 2019. The prevalence of cardiovascular diseases was quantified by using the publicly available incidence, prevalence, mortality, and corresponding age-standardized rate (referred to as standardized rate) based on GBD 2019 database, and the burden of diseases was quantified by years lived with disability (YLD), years of life lost (YLL) and disability adjusted life year (DALY), and the ARIMA model was constructed to predict the incidence of cardiovascular diseases in China from 2020 to 2050. Results Compared with 1990, the incidence, prevalence and mortality of cardiovascular diseases in China showed an increasing trend by year up to 2019, in which the incidence, prevalence and mortality increased by 93.75%, 99.75% and 57.39%, respectively. The standardized incidence and prevalence of females were higher than those of males, while the standardized mortality was lower than that of males (P
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF