1. Using the Multidimensional Prognostic Index to Predict Clinical Outcomes of Hospitalized Older Persons: A Prospective, Multicenter, International Study
- Author
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Pilotto, A, Veronese, N, Daragjati, J, Cruz-Jentoft, AJ, Polidori, MC, Mattace Raso, F.U.S., Paccalin, M, Topinkova, E, Siri, G, Greco, A, Mangoni, AA, Maggi, S, Ferrucci, L, Musacchio, C, Custureri, R, Simonato, M, Durando, M, Miret-Corchado, C, Montero-Errasquin, B, Meyer, A, Hoffmann, D, Schulz, RJ, Tap, Lisanne, Egberts, A, Bureau, ML, Brunet, T, Liuu, E, Michalkova, H, Madlova, P, Sancarlo, D, D'Onofrio, G, Ruxton, K, Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC other, Pilotto, A., Veronese, N., Daragjati, J., Cruz-Jentoft, A.J., Polidori, M.C., Mattace-Raso, F., Paccalin, M., Topinkova, E., Siri, G., Greco, A., Mangoni, A.A., Maggi, S., Ferrucci, L., and MPI_AGE Investigators
- Subjects
Male ,Aging ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Longitudinal study ,Index (economics) ,Institutionalisation ,Prognosi ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Risk Assessment ,03 medical and health sciences ,Hospital ,0302 clinical medicine ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Multidimensional Prognostic Index ,medicine ,Risk of mortality ,Humans ,Longitudinal Studies ,Prospective Studies ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Geriatric Assessment ,Aged ,Aged, 80 and over ,business.industry ,Australia ,Retrospective cohort study ,Odds ratio ,Prognosis ,Europe ,Hospitalization ,ROC Curve ,The Journal of Gerontology: Medical Sciences ,Emergency medicine ,Cohort ,Female ,Geriatrics and Gerontology ,business ,Cohort study - Abstract
Background Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) is useful as a prognostic tool in hospitalized older patients, but our knowledge is derived from retrospective studies. We therefore aimed to evaluate in a multicenter, longitudinal, cohort study whether the MPI at hospital admission is useful to identify groups with different mortality risk and whether MPI at discharge may predict institutionalization, rehospitalization, and use of home care services during 12 months. Methods This longitudinal study, carried out between February 2015 and August 2017, included nine public hospitals in Europe and Australia. A standardized comprehensive geriatric assessment including information on functional, nutritional, cognitive status, risk of pressure sores, comorbidities, medications, and cohabitation status was used to calculate the MPI and to categorize participants in low, moderate, and severe risk of mortality. Data regarding mortality, institutionalization, rehospitalization, and use of home care services were recorded through administrative information. Results Altogether, 1,140 hospitalized patients (mean age 84.1 years, women = 60.8%) were included. In the multivariable analysis, compared to patients with low risk group at admission, patients in moderate (odds ratio [OR] = 3.32; 95% CI: 1.79–6.17; p < .001) and severe risk (OR = 10.72, 95% CI: 5.70–20.18, p < .0001) groups were at higher risk of overall mortality. Among the 984 older patients with follow-up data available, those in the severe-risk group experienced a higher risk of overall mortality, institutionalization, rehospitalization, and access to home care services. Conclusions In this cohort of hospitalized older adults, higher MPI values are associated with higher mortality and other negative outcomes. Multidimensional assessment of older people admitted to hospital may facilitate appropriate clinical and postdischarge management.
- Published
- 2019