1. Cascading After Peridiagnostic Cancer Genetic Testing: An Alternative to Population-Based Screening
- Author
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Kenneth Offit, Hector Diaz-Zabala, Semanti Mukherjee, Mark E. Robson, Jada G. Hamilton, Vignesh Ravichandran, Steven M. Lipkin, Melissa K. Frey, Zoe Steinsnyder, Kaitlyn Tkachuk, Jeffrey Levin, Zsofia K. Stadler, Joseph Vijai, Ravi Sharaf, and Michael Walsh
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,Counseling ,0301 basic medicine ,Cancer Research ,Genetic Testing for Cancer ,MEDLINE ,Computational biology ,Sensitivity and Specificity ,DNA sequencing ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Neoplasms ,Mass Screening ,Humans ,Medicine ,Genetic Predisposition to Disease ,Genetic Testing ,Prospective Studies ,Gene ,Early Detection of Cancer ,Germ-Line Mutation ,Genetic testing ,medicine.diagnostic_test ,business.industry ,Reproducibility of Results ,Cancer susceptibility ,Cancer ,ORIGINAL REPORTS ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,United States ,Telephone ,030104 developmental biology ,Oncology ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Linear Models ,Feasibility Studies ,Female ,Population screening ,business - Abstract
PURPOSEDespite advances in DNA sequencing technology and expanded medical guidelines, the vast majority of individuals carrying pathogenic variants of common cancer susceptibility genes have yet to be identified. An alternative to population-wide genetic screening of healthy individuals would exploit the trend for genetic testing at the time of cancer diagnosis to guide therapy and prevention, combined with augmented familial diffusion or “cascade” of genomic risk information.METHODSUsing a multiple linear regression model, we derived the time interval to detect an estimated 3.9 million individuals in the United States with a pathogenic variant in 1 of 18 cancer susceptibility genes. We analyzed the impact of the proportion of incident patients sequenced, varying observed frequencies of pathogenic germline variants in patients with cancer, differential rates of diffusion of genetic information in families, and family size.RESULTSThe time to detect inherited cancer predisposing variants in the population is affected by the extent of cascade to first-, second-, and third-degree relatives (FDR, SDR, TDR, respectively), family size, prevalence of mutations in patients with cancer, and the proportion of patients with cancer sequenced. In a representative scenario, assuming a 7% prevalence of pathogenic variants across cancer types, an average family size of 3 per generation, and 15% of incident patients with cancer in the United States undergoing germline testing, the time to detect all 3.9 million individuals with pathogenic variants in 18 cancer susceptibility genes would be 46.2, 22.3, 13.6, and 9.9 years if 10%, 25%, 50%, and 70%, respectively, of all FDR, SDR, and TDR were tested for familial mutations.CONCLUSIONPeridiagnostic and cascade cancer genetic testing offers an alternative strategy to achieve population-wide identification of cancer susceptibility mutations.
- Published
- 2020