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IntroductionExisting estimates of contraceptive use in Tanzania rely on cross-sectional or retrospective study designs. This study used a 2-year, retrospective, month-by-month calendar of contraceptive utilization among women aged 15–49 years.MethodsWe estimated the median duration of contraceptive use, factors associated with use, and contraceptive discontinuation rates in sexually active women, using life tables and Cox proportional hazard model.ResultsA total of 5416 women contributed to the analysis in the study. Of the 5416 women, 942 (17%) had never had sex, 410 (7.6%) had no sexual partner in the last year. Among the 5416 women, 4064 were sexually active during the period, 814 (21.1%) were pregnant or amenorrheic, 610 (15.0%) were using contraception, and 1203 (29.6%) did not want to get pregnant but were not using contraception. In the 1813 women who wanted to avoid pregnancy, contraceptive use was lower among women over 35 years compared to younger ones (OR = 0.28, 95%CI: 0.19, 0.41), and in HIV positive women (OR = 0.89, 95%CI: 0.60–1.32). On the other hand, use was higher among women who were married/living together compared to unmarried ones (OR = 2.23, 95% CI: 1.54, 3.23). Using a 2-year retrospective contraceptive calendar, 1054 women reported contraceptive use, 15.8% discontinued within 6 months and 30.5% discontinued within 12 months. Higher rates of contraceptive discontinuation were observed among women who used pills (OR = 1.86, 95%CI: 1.25, 2.77) or injections (OR = 2.04, 95%CI: 1.59, 2.61) compared to those who used implants.ConclusionContraceptive use was significantly associated with age, education and parity, but not with HIV status. HIV status, number of living children and education are not statistically associated with discontinuation of contraceptive use Pills and injections had the highest rates of discontinuation. Wider choice and greater accessibility of long-acting contraceptive methods with better effectiveness and convenience may serve women better. Furthermore, special efforts may be needed to remove barriers to contraceptive use amongst younger women.

We examined the HIV care cascade in a community-based cohort study in Kisesa, Magu, Tanzania. We analyzed the proportion achieving each stage of the cascade - Seroconversion, Awareness of HIV status, Enrollment in Care and Antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation - and estimated the median and interquartile range for the time for progression to the next stage. Modified Poisson regression was used to estimate prevalence risk ratios for enrollment in care and initiation of ART. From 2006 to 2017, 175 HIV-seroconverters were identified. 140 (80%) knew their HIV status, of whom 97 (69.3%) were enrolled in HIV care, and 87 (49.7%) had initiated ART. Time from seroconversion to awareness of HIV status was 731.3 [475.5-1345.8] days. Time from awareness to enrollment was 7 [0-64] days, and from enrollment to ART initiation was 19 [3-248] days. There were no demographic differences in enrollment in care or ART initiation. Efforts have been focusing on shortening time from seroconversion to diagnosis, mostly by increasing the number of testing clinics available. We recommend increased systematic testing to reduce time from seroconversion to awareness of status, and by doing so speed up enrollment into care. Interventions that increase enrollment are likely to have the most impact in achieving UNAIDS targets.

BackgroundPneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) and rotavirus vaccine (RV) are key tools for reducing common causes of infant mortality. However, measurement of population-level mortality impact is lacking from sub-Saharan Africa. We evaluated mortality impact and vaccine effectiveness (VE) of PCV13 introduced in November 2011, with subsequent RV1 roll-out in October 2012, in Malawi.MethodsWe conducted two independent community-based birth cohort studies. Study 1, in northern Malawi (40000population), evaluated population impact using change-point analysis and negative-binomial regression of non-traumatic 14–51-week infant mortality preintroduction (1 January 2004 to 31 September 2011) and postintroduction (1 October 2011 to 1 July 2019), and against three-dose coverage. Study 2, in central Malawi (465 000 population), was recruited from 24 November 2011 to 1 June 2015. In the absence of preintroduction data, individual three-dose versus zero-dose VE was estimated using individual-level Cox survival models. In both cohorts, infants were followed with household visits to ascertain vaccination, socioeconomic and survival status. Verbal autopsies were conducted for deaths.ResultsStudy 1 included 20 291 live births and 216 infant deaths. Mortality decreased by 28.6% (95% CI: 15.3 to 39.8) post-PCV13 introduction. A change point was identified in November 2012. Study 2 registered 50 731 live births, with 454 deaths. Infant mortality decreased from 17 to 10/1000 live births during the study period. Adjusted VE was 44.6% overall (95% CI: 23.0 to 59.1) and 48.3% (95% CI: −5.9 to 74.1) against combined acute respiratory infection, meningitis and sepsis-associated mortality.ConclusionThese data provide population-level evidence of infant mortality reduction following sequential PCV13 and RV1 introduction into an established immunisation programme in Malawi. These data support increasing coverage of vaccine programmes in high-burden settings.

HIV care and treatment clinics (CTC) are important for management of HIV morbidity and mortality, and to reduce HIV transmission. Enrollment in HIV care and treatment clinics remains low in many developing countries. We followed up 632 newly diagnosed HIV patients aged 15 years and above from Magu District, Tanzania. Logistic regression was used to assess factors significantly associated with enrollment for CTC services. Kaplan-Meier plots and log-rank tests were used to evaluate differences in timing uptake of services. Among 632 participants, 214 (33.9%) were enrolled in CTC, and of those enrolled 120 (56.6%) took longer than 3 months to enroll. Those living in more rural villages were less likely to be enrolled than in the villages with semi-urban settings (OR 0.36; 95% CI 0.17-0.76). Moreover, those with age group 35-44 years and with age group 45 years and above were 2 times higher odds compared to those with age group 15-24 years, (OR 2.03; 95% CI 1.05-3.91) and (OR 2.69; 95% CI 1.40-5.18) respectively. Enrollment in the CTC in Tanzania is low. To increase uptake of antiretroviral therapy, it is critical to improve linkage between HIV testing and care services, and to rollout these services into the primary health facilities.

Background: In Tanzania, HIV testing data are reported aggregately for national surveillance, making it difficult to accurately measure the extent to which newly diagnosed persons are entering care, which is a critical step of the HIV care cascade. We assess, at the individual level, linkage of newly diagnosed persons to HIV care. Methods: An expanded two-part referral form was developed to include additional variables and unique identifiers. The expanded form contained a corresponding number for matching the two-parts between testing and care. Data were prospectively collected at 16 health facilities in the Magu District of Tanzania. Results: The records of 1,275 unique people testing HIV positive were identified and included in our analysis. Of these, 1,200 (94.1%) responded on previous testing history, with 184 (15.3%) testing twice or more during the pilot, or having had a previous HIV positive test. Three-quarters (932; 73.1%) of persons were linked to care during the pilot timeframe. Health service provision in the facility carrying out the HIV test was the most important factor for linkage to care; poor linkage occurred in facilities where HIV care was not immediately available. Conclusions: It is critical for persons newly diagnosed with HIV to be linked to care in a timely manner to maximize treatment effectiveness. Our findings show it is feasible to measure linkage to care using routinely collected data arising from an amended national HIV referral form. Our results illustrate the importance of utilizing individual-level data for measuring linkage to care, as repeat testing is common.

Universal Health Coverage, to meet the Sustainable Development Goal of ‘Health for All’, aims to increase the access of preventative and curative care services, particularly to the poor and vulnerable. However, the very provision of curative services by health providers in the primary care setting in low-income countries is considered one of the major drivers of antimicrobial resistance. The Zanzibar Ministry of Health introduced performance-based financing (PBF) in 2 of 10 Health Districts in July 2013. Payments to health facilities and staff were on a fee-for-service basis using ‘direct quality indicators’. Results of an evaluation of secondary data of two indicators, ‘treatment according to guidelines’ and ‘antibiotics prescribed according to guidelines’ from 31 Primary Health Care Units in the two PBF pilot districts are compared with 28 in non-PBF districts. The proportion of patients treated with an antibiotic not in accordance with treatment guidelines after the introduction of PBF fell to 2%, 6% and 5% in 2014, 2015 and 2016, respectively, compared with an increase from 25% (2013) to 31% (2014) and 22% (2015, 2016) in non-PBF facilities. The key take-home messages from this evaluation are firstly that ‘direct quality indicators’ to improve the use of treatment guidelines, introduced into a national PBF reform that includes financial incentives and rigorous verification of register entries, have the potential to significantly reduce inappropriate use of antibiotics in high population density settings in Africa. Secondly, for a sustained reduction in the overall proportion of unnecessary antibiotic prescriptions rigorous monitoring of health worker behaviour is required to address changes in prescribing practice. A well-designed and monitored PBF with ‘direct quality indicators’ has the potential to ensure that ‘Health for All’, in terms of increased access to primary health services is not synonymous with ‘antibiotics for all’.

Background Heterosexual transmission is the main driver of the HIV epidemic in Tanzania. Only one estimate of the incidence rate of intra-marital HIV seroconversion in Tanzania has been reported and was derived from data collected between 1991 and 1995. Moreover, little is known about the specific risk factors for intra-marital seroconversion in Tanzania. Improved evidence around factors that increase the risk of HIV transmission to a serodiscordant spouse is needed to develop and improve evidence-based interventions. We sought to investigate the rate of intra-marital HIV seroconversion among HIV sero-discordant couples in Tanzania as well as its associated risk factors. Methods We identified all HIV positive individuals in the TAZAMA HIV-serosurvey cohort and followed up their serodiscordant spouse from 2006 to 2016. The rate of seroconversion was analyzed by survival analysis using non-parametric regressions with exponential distribution. Results We found 105 serodiscordant couples, 14 of which had a seroconverting spouse. The overall HIV-1 incidence rate among spouses of people with HIV-1 infection was 38.0 per 1000 person/years [22.5–64.1]. Notably, the HIV-1 incidence rate among HIV-1 seronegative male spouses was 6.7[0.9–47.5] per 1000 person/years, compared to 59.3 [34.4–102.1] per 1000 person/years among female spouses. Sex of the serodiscordant spouse was the only significant variable, even after adjusting for other variables (Hazard rate = 8.86[1.16–67.70], p = 0.036). Conclusions Our study suggests that rates of HIV-1 seroconversion of sero-discordant partners are much higher within marriage than in the general population in Tanzania. The major risk factor for HIV-1 seroconversion is sex of the serodiscordant spouse, with female spouses being at very high risk of acquiring HIV infection. This suggests that future programs that target serodiscordant couples could be a novel and effective means of preventing HIV-1 transmission in Tanzania.

Background: Despite efforts to reduce under-5mortality rates worldwide, an estimated 6.6 million under-5 children die every year. Community mobilisation through participatory women's groups has been shown to improve maternal and newborn health in rural settings, but little is known about the potential of this approach to improve care and health in children after the newborn period. Methods: Following on from a cluster-randomised controlled trial to assess the effect of participatory women's groups on maternal and neonatal health outcomes in rural Bangladesh, 162 women's groups continued to meet between April 2010 and December 2011 to identify, prioritise and address issues that affect the health of children under 5 years. A controlled beforeand- after study design and difference-in-difference analysis was used to assess morbidity outcomes and changes in knowledge and practices related to child feeding, hygiene and care-seeking behaviour. Findings: Significant improvements were measured in mothers' knowledge of disease prevention and management, danger signs and hand washing at critical times. Significant increases were seen in exclusive breast feeding for at least 6 months (15.3% (4.2% to 26.5%)), and mean duration of breast feeding (37.9 days (17.4 to 58.3)). Maternal reports of under-5 morbidities fell in intervention compared with control areas, including reports of fever (-10.5% (-15.1% to -6.0%)) and acute respiratory infections (-12.2% (-15.6% to -8.8%)). No differences were observed in dietary diversity scores or immunisation uptake. Conclusions: Community mobilisation through participatory women's groups can be successfully adapted to address health knowledge and practice in relation to child's health, leading to improvements in a number of child health indicators and behaviours.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0110697.].

Background Short birth intervals are known to have negative effects on pregnancy outcomes. We analysed data from a large population surveillance system in rural Bangladesh to identify predictors of short birth interval and determine consequences of short intervals on pregnancy outcomes. Methods The study was conducted in three districts of Bangladesh – Bogra, Moulavibazar and Faridpur (population 282,643, 54,668 women of reproductive age). We used data between January 2010 and June 2011 from a key informant surveillance system that recorded all births, deaths and stillbirths. Short birth interval was defined as an interval between consecutive births of less than 33 months. Initially, risk factors of a short birth interval were determined using a multivariate mixed effects logistic regression model. Independent risk factors were selected using a priori knowledge from literature review. An adjusted mixed effects logistic regression model was then used to determine the effect of up to 21-, 21-32-, 33-44- and 45-month and higher birth-to-birth intervals on pregnancy outcomes controlling for confounders selected through a directed acyclic graph. Results We analysed 5,571 second or higher order deliveries. Average birth interval was 55 months and 1368/5571 women (24.6%) had a short birth interval (

Community-based interventions can reduce neonatal mortality when health systems are weak. Population coverage of target groups may be an important determinant of their effect on behavior and mortality. A women's group trial at coverage of 1 group per 1414 population in rural Bangladesh showed no effect on neonatal mortality, despite a similar intervention having a significant effect on neonatal and maternal death in comparable settings.To assess the effect of a participatory women's group intervention with higher population coverage on neonatal mortality in Bangladesh.A cluster randomized controlled trial in 9 intervention and 9 control clusters.Rural Bangladesh.Women permanently residing in 18 unions in 3 districts and accounting for 19 301 births during the final 24 months of the intervention.Women's groups at a coverage of 1 per 309 population that proceed through a participatory learning and action cycle in which they prioritize issues that affected maternal and neonatal health and design and implement strategies to address these issues.Neonatal mortality rate.Analysis included 19 301 births during the final 24 months of the intervention. More than one-third of newly pregnant women joined the groups. The neonatal mortality rate was significantly lower in the intervention arm (21.3 neonatal deaths per 1000 live births vs 30.1 per 1000 in control areas), a reduction in neonatal mortality of 38% (risk ratio, 0.62 [95% CI, 0.43-0.89]) when adjusted for socioeconomic factors. The cost-effectiveness was US $220 to $393 per year of life lost averted. Cause-specific mortality rates suggest reduced deaths due to infections and those associated with prematurity/low birth weight. Improvements were seen in hygienic home delivery practices, newborn thermal care, and breastfeeding practices.Women's group community mobilization, delivered at adequate population coverage, is a highly cost-effective approach to improve newborn survival and health behavior indicators in rural Bangladesh.isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN01805825.

Background Malaria epidemics remain a significant public health issue in the East African highlands. The aim of this study was to monitor temporal variations in vector densities in relation to changes in meteorological factors and malaria incidence at four highland sites in Kenya and Uganda and to evaluate the implications of these relationships for epidemic prediction and control. Methods Mosquitoes were collected weekly over a period of 47 months while meteorological variables and morbidity data were monitored concurrently. Mixed-effects Poisson regression was used to study the temporal associations of meteorological variables to vector densities and of the latter to incidence rates of Plasmodium falciparum. Results Anopheles gambiae s.s. was the predominant vector followed by Anopheles arabiensis. Anopheles funestus was also found in low densities. Vector densities remained low even during periods of malaria outbreaks. Average temperature in previous month and rainfall in previous two months had a quadratic and linear relationship with An. gambiae s.s. density, respectively. A significant statistical interaction was also observed between average temperature and rainfall in the previous month. Increases in densities of this vector in previous two months showed a linear relationship with increased malaria incidence. Conclusion Although epidemics in highlands often appear to follow abnormal weather patterns, interactions between meteorological, entomological and morbidity variables are complex and need to be modelled mathematically to better elucidate the system. This study showed that routine entomological surveillance is not feasible for epidemic monitoring or prediction in areas with low endemicity. However, information on unusual increases in temperature and rainfall should be used to initiate rapid vector surveys to assess transmission risk.

Background The accuracy of malaria diagnosis has received renewed interest in recent years due to changes in treatment policies in favour of relatively high-cost artemisinin-based combination therapies. The use of rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) based on histidine-rich protein 2 (HRP2) synthesized by Plasmodium falciparum has been widely advocated to save costs and to minimize inappropriate treatment of non-malarial febrile illnesses. HRP2-based RDTs are highly sensitive and stable; however, their specificity is a cause for concern, particularly in areas of intense malaria transmission due to persistence of HRP2 antigens from previous infections. Methods In this study, 78,454 clinically diagnosed malaria patients were tested using HRP2-based RDTs over a period of approximately four years in four highland sites in Kenya and Uganda representing hypoendemic to mesoendemic settings. In addition, the utility of the tests was evaluated in comparison with expert microscopy for disease management in 2,241 subjects in two sites with different endemicity levels over four months. Results RDT positivity rates varied by season and year, indicating temporal changes in accuracy of clinical diagnosis. Compared to expert microscopy, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the RDTs in a hypoendemic site were 90.0%, 99.9%, 90.0% and 99.9%, respectively. Corresponding measures at a mesoendemic site were 91.0%, 65.0%, 71.6% and 88.1%. Although sensitivities at the two sites were broadly comparable, levels of specificity varied considerably between the sites as well as according to month of test, age of patient, and presence or absence of fever during consultation. Specificity was relatively high in older age groups and increased towards the end of the transmission season, indicating the role played by anti-HRP2 antibodies. Patients with high parasite densities were more likely to test positive with RDTs than those with low density infections. Conclusion RDTs may be effective when used in low endemicity situations, but high false positive error rates may occur in areas with moderately high transmission. Reports on specificity of RDTs and cost-effectiveness analyses on their use should be interpreted with caution as there may be wide variations in these measurements depending upon endemicity, season and the age group of patients studied.

To the Editor: In the field of malaria epidemic early warning, there exists an unfortunate but frequently accurate perception that health systems in many affected countries learn of epidemics by way of the popular press rather than through formal disease surveillance systems. Malaria epidemics are often easily recognized (albeit too late) by laypersons (1), but most routine disease surveillance systems lack the ability to provide accurate, timely indications of aberrations in case numbers. The World Health Organization (WHO) has set specific targets for early detection and control of malaria epidemics as part of a wider strategy to cut the global extent of malaria in half by 2010 (2). We describe experiences during a recent epidemic in southwest Uganda and examine the performance of a pilot early detection system.

CASE. By the time she was 9 years old and in the middle of her third grade year, Julie's parents realized that she had a problem with learning compared to other children. Her mother said that she was always flighty-daydreaming and not consistently connected when talking to her friends or family members. At open house, her second grade teacher commented that Julie is a good kid, a smart kid, but she is often not attentive during class discussions. Reading skills were described as somewhat slower than with other children her age. Because she was making progress and did not exhibit any disruptive behaviors, Julie's second grade teacher and parents decided to observe her over the next year. In the third grade, Julie was not able to keep up with the class in reading. She read slowly and often had difficulty when asked questions about a story she had read in class. Her math skills were above average and her spelling was at the class level. Julie's parents described social interactions as bubbly-sometimes too quick to talk when in a group of other girls. She had several friends but friendships were rarely sustained. Julie's father noted that she seemed to worry a lot about her appearance and how other kids felt about her. She was especially fearful of shots in the pediatrician's office and barking dogs. She enjoyed going to her ballet class, but often cried and seemed worried about her performance prior to recitals. Julie was an only child. Her parents had a solid marriage and often engaged Julie in weekend activities. They both worked full-time; her mother taught English as a second language and her father worked in construction. Her mother completed college although she recalled struggling with math. She described herself as a worrier and endorsed fears about flying, meeting new people and taking vacations. She stated that she experienced anxiety when there were changes in her adult life (e.g., a new school assignment or planning a meeting with her principal). Julie's father completed high school but had a history of reading problems. He took special reading classes beginning in elementary school, but as an adult, he rarely read a newspaper or a novel. He recalled that teachers told his parents that he was hyperactive and that his overactivity in class and poor attention impaired his learning. In the pediatrician's office, Julie was observed to be initially shy but could be engaged in conversation. Her speech was clear and intelligible although she answered questions with short phrases. She was not hyperactive but her attention to directions and questions was limited. Growth parameters, a screening audiogram, visual acuity and a complete physical examination were normal.

In these experiments, we tested in various in vivo assays the immune responses of inbred C3H/HeN(MTV-) (C3H-) mice during carcinogenesis by chronic exposure to UV irradiation. Although the UV-treated mice were unable to reject syngeneic UV-induced tumor transplants, they rejected H-2-incompatible tumor allografts and H-2-compatible skin allografts. The primary hemagglutinin response to sheep red blood cells was normal in these mice, as were the induction of a local graft-versus-host reaction with lymphoid cells from UV-irradiated donors and the induction of an inflammatory response to dimethyl sulfoxide in the footpads of UV-treated mice. An early transient depression of two reactions in UV-irradiated mice occurred: delayed hypersensitivity to dinitrochlorobenzene measured by footpad swelling and the graft-versus-host reaction in UV-irradiated recipients measured by the use of the popliteal lymph node weight gain assay. Both of these reactions returned to a normal level before the development of primary tumors. We conclude that the inability of UV-irradiated mice to reject syngeneic and autochthonous UV-induced tumors was not due to a generalized immunosuppressive effect of chronic UV irradiation.

Background Progress on neonatal survival has been slow in most countries. While there is evidence on what works to reduce newborn mortality, there is limited knowledge on how to deliver interventions effectively when health systems are weak. Cluster randomized trials have shown strong reductions in neonatal mortality using community mobilisation with women's groups in rural Nepal and India. A similar trial in Bangladesh showed no impact. A main hypothesis is that this negative finding is due to the much lower coverage of women's groups in the intervention population in Bangladesh compared to India and Nepal. For evidence-based policy making it is important to examine if women's group coverage is a main determinant of their impact. The study aims to test the effect on newborn and maternal health outcomes of a participatory women's group intervention with a high population coverage of women's groups. Methods A cluster randomised trial of a participatory women's group intervention will be conducted in 3 districts of rural Bangladesh. As we aim to study a women's group intervention with high population coverage, the same 9 intervention and 9 control unions will be used as in the 2005-2007 trial. These had been randomly allocated using the districts as strata. To increase coverage, 648 new groups were formed in addition to the 162 existing groups that were part of the previous trial. An open cohort of women who are permanent residents in the union in which their delivery or death was identified, is enrolled. Women and their newborns are included after birth, or, if a woman dies during pregnancy, after her death. Excluded are women who are temporary residents in the union in which their birth or death was identified. The primary outcome is neonatal mortality in the last 24 months of the study. A low cost surveillance system will be used to record all birth outcomes and deaths to women of reproductive age in the study population. Data on home care practices and health care use are collected through interviews. Trial registration ISRCTN: ISRCTN01805825