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Medicaid churning--the constant exit and reentry of beneficiaries as their eligibility changes--has long been a problem for both Medicaid administrators and recipients. Churning will continue under the Affordable Care Act because, despite new federal rules, Medicaid eligibility will continue to be based on current monthly income. We developed a longitudinal simulation model to evaluate four policy options for modifying or extending Medicaid eligibility to reduce churning. The simulations suggest that two options--extending eligibility either to the end of a calendar year or for twelve months after enrollment--would be the most effective methods for reducing churning. The other options--a three-month extension or eligibility based on projected annual income--would reduce churning to a lesser extent. States should consider implementation of the option that best balances costs while improving access to coverage and, thereby, the health of Medicaid enrollees., (Project HOPE—The People-to-People Health Foundation, Inc.)

Changes in individual or family circumstances cause many Americans to experience gaps and transitions in public and private health insurance. Using data from the 2004-2007 Survey of Income and Program Participation, this article updates earlier analyses of insurance gaps and transitions. Eighty-nine million people (one third of nonelderly Americans) were uninsured for at least 1 month during those 4 years. Approximately 23 million lost insurance more than once. The analyses call attention to the continuing instability and insecurity of health insurance, can inform implementation of national reforms, and establish a recent baseline that will be helpful in evaluating the reforms' effects on coverage stability.

Objective: To determine whether Medicaid home care spending reduces the proportion of the disabled elderly population who do not get help with personal care., Data Sources: Data on Medicaid home care spending per poor elderly person in each state is merged with data from the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey for 1992, 1996, and 2000. The sample (n=6,067) includes elderly persons living in the community who have at least one limitation in activities of daily living (ADLs)., Study Design: Using a repeated cross-section analysis, the probability of not getting help with an ADL is estimated as a function of Medicaid home care spending, individual income, interactions between income and spending, and a set of individual characteristics. Because Medicaid home care spending is targeted at the low-income population, it is not expected to affect the population with higher incomes. We exploit this difference by using higher-income groups as comparison groups to assess whether unobserved state characteristics bias the estimates., Principal Findings: Among the low-income disabled elderly, the probability of not receiving help with an ADL limitation is about 10 percentage points lower in states in the top quartile of per capita Medicaid home care spending than in other states. No such association is observed in higher-income groups. These results are robust to a set of sensitivity analyses of the methods., Conclusion: These findings should reassure state and federal policymakers considering expanding Medicaid home care programs that they do deliver services to low-income people with long-term care needs and reduce the percent of those who are not getting help.

This article examines the effect of parents' Medicaid status on the use of preventive health services by young children. Using data from the 1996 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), we analyzed a logit model for receipt of any well-child visits (WCVs) that compared three groups of low-income children. The three groups, defined by the joint insurance status of children and their parents, involved Medicaid pairs (both the child and the parent had Medicaid throughout the year), mixed pairs (the child had Medicaid and the parent was uninsured), and uninsured pairs (both child and parent were uninsured). Medicaid coverage for children was positively associated with receipt of any WCVs. However, the utilization effect of Medicaid coverage for children was significantly larger when the parent was also on Medicaid instead of being uninsured. Considering uninsured children with uninsured parents in 1996, enrolling only the children in Medicaid would have increased the percentage with WCVs from 29 to 43 percent according to simulations with the logit model. If the parents were enrolled in Medicaid as well, the percentage of children with any WCVs would have increased to 67 percent.

This evaluation tested if Consumer Assessment of Health Plans Study (CAHPS) information on plan performance affected health plan choices by new beneficiaries in Iowa Medicaid. New cases entering Medicaid in selected counties during February through May 2000 were assigned randomly to experimental or control groups. The control group received standard Medicaid enrollment materials, and the experimental group received these materials plus a CAHPS report. We found that CAHPS information did not affect health plan choices by Iowa Medicaid beneficiaries, similar to previously reported findings for New Jersey Medicaid. However, it did affect plan choice in an earlier laboratory experiment. The value of this information may be limited to a subset of receptive consumers who actively study information received, even then only when (1) ratings of available plans differ greatly, (2) ratings differ from prior beliefs about plan quality, and (3) reports are easy to understand.

Objective: To assess the effects of CAHPS health plan performance information on plan choices and decision processes by New Jersey Medicaid beneficiaries., Data Sources/study Setting: The study sample was a statewide sample of all new Medicaid cases that chose Medicaid health plans during April 1998. The study used state data on health maintenance organization (HMO) enrollments and survey data for a subset of these cases., Study Design: An experimental design was used, with new Medicaid cases randomly assigned to experimental or control groups. The experimental group received a CAHPS report along with the standard enrollment materials, and the control group did not., Data Collection: The HMO enrollment data were obtained from the state in June 1998, and evaluation survey data were collected from July to October 1998., Principal Findings: No effects of CAHPS information on HMO choices were found for the total sample. Further examination revealed that only about half the Medicaid cases said they received and read the plan report and there was an HMO with dominant Medicaid market share but low CAHPS performance scores. The subset of cases who read the report and did not choose this dominant HMO chose HMOs with higher CAHPS scores, on average, than did those in an equivalent control group., Conclusions: Health plan performance information can influence plan choices by Medicaid beneficiaries, but will do so only if they actually read it. These findings suggest a need for enhancing dissemination of the information as well as further education to encourage informed choices.

Objectives: The authors describe the process used to develop and test survey items targeted to Medicaid consumers for the Consumer Assessment of Health Plans Study (CAHPS). In addition, the authors highlight the special challenges in locating and surveying Medicaid recipients and provide recommendations for increasing response rates., Methods: The RAND CAHPS team reviewed the literature and existing questionnaires to identify health care issues and concepts important to Medicaid consumers. Three focus groups and 66 one-on-one cognitive interviews were conducted to test the relevance of our concepts and items and to identify additional concepts important to Medicaid consumers. After the cognitive interviews, the CAHPS Medicaid consumer survey was field tested using a sample of 930 adults and children receiving both Medicaid and Aid to Families with Dependent Children in Los Angeles County and Oklahoma. To determine if one particular mode were preferable for surveying a Medicaid population, our field test sample was divided randomly into a telephone-mode sample, a mixed-mode sample, and a second telephone-mode sample with enhanced locating procedures. Before finalizing the CAHPS 1.0 surveys, the full CAHPS item set was subjected to a formal literacy review., Results: The results of the focus groups and cognitive testing informed iterative versions of the list of concepts addressed by the Medicaid-targeted items. Concepts that were not relevant to Medicaid consumers or that consumers were unable to accurately attribute to a health plan were discarded. New concepts addressing important aspects of health care and the health care experience of Medicaid consumers were identified and added. Item wording and format were revised and refined based on the findings from focus groups, cognitive testing, the field test, and the formal literacy review. In the field test, the mixed-mode method achieved the best results with a 56% completion rate., Conclusions: The testing and formatting efforts described in this article, in combination with a formal literacy review, led to the development of a Medicaid questionnaire that measures the important health care experiences of Medicaid consumers in a format that is "respondent-friendly." Our recommendations for surveying Medicaid recipients can benefit any survey of a Medicaid population.

Objective: To investigate transitions in and out of Medicaid for a cohort of single adult women of childbearing age in order to address questions that arise as policymakers try to encourage transitions from welfare to work., Data Sources: Longitudinal data from Waves 2 through 8 of the 1990 panel of the Survey of Income and Program Participation, a nationally representative survey of American adults covering May 1990-1992., Study Design: We estimate a series of discrete-time logit models with duration dependence to obtain transition probabilities among Medicaid, privately insured, and uninsured spells. Explanatory variables in the models include prior insurance history, income limits on Medicaid by state, and important socioeconomic and demographic characteristics. We use these models to characterize insurance spells for a cohort of single women., Principal Findings: Most Medicaid spells are relatively short. Over half end in a year or less; only one spell out of seven lasts longer than five years. Two-thirds of Medicaid disenrollees become uninsured. Former welfare recipients are prone to frequent changes in insurance status. In states with more generous income limits for AFDC, women stay on Medicaid longer, but they do not move into the program at a faster rate., Conclusions: Imposing time limits on Medicaid eligibility would affect only a small proportion of Medicaid spells but would eliminate a significant proportion of the caseload at a point in time. In considering changes in Medicaid that would encourage transitions from welfare to work and would alter the dynamics of Medicaid, policymakers need to consider how transitions both in and out of private insurance and Medicaid would be affected.

Every year since 1984, Congress has expanded Medicaid to cover an increasing proportion of low-income children. In this study, a multivariate analysis of data from the 1987 National Medical Expenditure Survey was used to determine whether expanded Medicaid eligibility is likely to be effective in encouraging recommended preventive visits for low-income, preschool children. For low-income children who would otherwise be uninsured, a full year of Medicaid increased the probability of any well-child visits by 17 percentage points, and compliance with the guidelines of the American Academy of Pediatrics for well-child visits increased by 13 percentage points. The generosity of Medicaid fees did not alter the magnitude of these effects. However, even if all uninsured children under 200% of the poverty line were eligible for Medicaid, low-income children would continue to lag behind other children in their use of preventive services. Factors other than insurance and income, such as the lower educational attainment of low-income mothers, explain approximately 80% of the gap between children above and below 200% of poverty. The rate of compliance with the American Academy of Pediatrics guidelines was less than 50% for all preschool children. Departures from the recommended schedule of visits were particularly pronounced in the second year of life and may interfere with children receiving the recommended immunizations in a timely manner.

Data from a nationally representative sample of nursing-home residents at the beginning of 1987 are used to assess the interaction of Medicaid asset spend-down, the distribution of nursing-home days by payment source, and the effect of proposed changes in public financing of nursing-home care. Three out of five nursing-home residents were covered by Medicaid in January 1987; nearly all of the remainder were private-pay. Most Medicaid recipients were covered by Medicaid when they entered the care facility at the start of an episode, but 18 percent had spent down and were originally admitted as private-pay. A universal nursing-home benefit that insured the first six months of each nursing-home episode would cover 16 percent of the people in nursing homes on a given day, disproportionately those who are private-pay. A universal benefit with a 24-month waiting period would cover 56 percent of nursing-home residents on a given day, and would tend to favor those financed by Medicaid.

This longitudinal study examines transitions on and off Medicaid in the 1984 Panel of the Survey of Income and Program Participation. A majority of those enrolled at the outset, but just 43% of those enrolled at any time during the 32-month survey, remained on Medicaid throughout. While slightly less than half of those departing the program subsequently enjoyed improved employment, private insurance, and higher incomes, nearly half were still poor and 55% became uninsured, indicating that persons who lost their Medicaid cards were in real danger of being without insurance and financial access to health care--a serious disincentive to get off welfare.