1. Multilevel Small-Area Estimation of Colorectal Cancer Screening in the United States.
- Author
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Berkowitz Z, Zhang X, Richards TB, Nadel M, Peipins LA, and Holt J
- Subjects
- Aged, Colorectal Neoplasms diagnosis, Early Detection of Cancer standards, Early Detection of Cancer trends, Female, Guideline Adherence standards, Guideline Adherence statistics & numerical data, Guideline Adherence trends, Humans, Male, Mass Screening standards, Mass Screening trends, Middle Aged, Practice Guidelines as Topic, Practice Patterns, Physicians' standards, Practice Patterns, Physicians' statistics & numerical data, Practice Patterns, Physicians' trends, Preventive Health Services standards, Preventive Health Services trends, United States, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, Colorectal Neoplasms prevention & control, Early Detection of Cancer statistics & numerical data, Mass Screening statistics & numerical data, Preventive Health Services statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommends routine screening for colorectal cancer for adults ages 50 to 75 years. We generated small-area estimates for being current with colorectal cancer screening to examine sociogeographic differences among states and counties. To our knowledge, nationwide county-level estimates for colorectal cancer screening are rarely presented. Methods: We used county data from the 2014 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS; n = 251,360 adults), linked it to the American Community Survey poverty data, and fitted multilevel logistic regression models. We post-stratified the data with the U.S. Census population data to run Monte Carlo simulations. We generated county-level screening prevalence estimates nationally and by race/ethnicity, mapped the estimates, and aggregated them into state and national estimates. We evaluated internal consistency of our modeled state-specific estimates with BRFSS direct state estimates using Spearman correlation coefficients. Results: Correlation coefficients were ≥0.95, indicating high internal consistency. We observed substantial variations in current colorectal cancer screening estimates among the states and counties within states. State mean estimates ranged from 58.92% in Wyoming to 75.03% in Massachusetts. County mean estimates ranged from 40.11% in Alaska to 79.76% in Florida. Larger county variations were observed in various race/ethnicity groups. Conclusions: State estimates mask county variations. However, both state and county estimates indicate that the country is far behind the "80% by 2018" target. Impact: County-modeled estimates help identify variation in colorectal cancer screening prevalence in the United States and guide education and enhanced screening efforts in areas of need, including areas without BRFSS direct-estimates. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 27(3); 245-53. ©2018 AACR ., (©2018 American Association for Cancer Research.)
- Published
- 2018
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