1. Smoking and nasopharyngeal cancer: individual data meta-analysis of six prospective studies on 334 935 men
- Author
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Christopher Wen, Jian-Min Yuan, Wayne Gao, Zhi-Ming Mai, Chien-Jen Chen, Woon-Puay Koh, June Han Lee, Lin Xu, Yin-Chu Chien, Tai Hing Lam, Jia Huang Lin, Chaoqiang Jiang, Sai Yin Ho, Ya Li Jin, Maria Li Lung, Wan-Lun Hsu, Xifeng Wu, Feng Zhu, Renwei Wang, Wei Sen Zhang, Tong Zhu, and Chi Pang Wen
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Epidemiology ,Population ,Taiwan ,individual data ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Risk Factors ,cohort study ,medicine ,Humans ,AcademicSubjects/MED00860 ,Prospective Studies ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Prospective cohort study ,education ,Singapore ,education.field_of_study ,Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma ,business.industry ,Smoking ,Hazard ratio ,Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms ,General Medicine ,medicine.disease ,Confidence interval ,meta-analysis ,Observational Studies as Topic ,Nasopharyngeal carcinoma ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Meta-analysis ,Hong Kong ,business ,Cohort study ,Demography - Abstract
Background The role of smoking in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) remains uncertain, especially in endemic regions. We conducted an individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies to investigate the associations between smoking exposure and risk of NPC. Methods We obtained individual participant data of 334 935 male participants from six eligible population-based cohorts in NPC-endemic regions, including two each in Guangzhou and Taiwan, and one each in Hong Kong and Singapore. We used one- and two-stage approaches IPD meta-analysis and Cox proportional hazard models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of NPC for smoking exposure adjusting for age and drinking status. Results During 2 961 315 person-years of follow-up, 399 NPC evens were ascertained. Risks of NPC were higher in ever versus never smokers (HRone-stage = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.07-1.63, P = 0.0088; HRtwo-stage = 1.27, 1.01-1.60, 0.04). These positive associations appeared to be stronger in ever smokers who consumed 16+ cigarettes/day (HRone-stage = 1.67, 95% CI = 1.29-2.16, P = 0.0001), and in those who started smoking at age younger than 16 (2.16, 1.33-3.50, 0.0103), with dose-response relationships (P-values for trend = 0.0028 and 0.0103, respectively). Quitting (versus daily smoking) showed a small reduced risk (stopped for 5+ years: HRone-stage = 0.91, 95% CI = 0.60-1.39, P = 0.66; for former smokers: HRtwo-stage = 0.84, 0.61-1.14, 0.26). Conclusions This first IPD meta-analysis from six prospective cohorts in endemic regions has provided robust observational evidence that smoking increased NPC risk in men. NPC should be added to the 12–16 cancer sites known to be tobacco-related cancers. Strong tobacco control policies, preventing young individuals from smoking, would reduce NPC risk in endemic regions.
- Published
- 2021
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