1. Generalizability of blood pressure lowering trials to older patients: cross-sectional analysis
- Author
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Sue Jowett, Oliver Todd, Rosalyn Fraser, Jill Mollison, Richard J McManus, Eleanor Temple, Hannah Ashby, Carl Heneghan, Marney Williams, Jenni Burt, Rebecca Lowe, Paul Little, James P Sheppard, Rupert Payne, Mark Lown, FD Richard Hobbs, Ly-Mee Yu, Gary A. Ford, Julie Allen, and Jonathan Mant
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Cross-sectional study ,Population ,General Practice ,Eligibility Determination ,Blood Pressure ,frailty ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Logistic regression ,law.invention ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Randomized controlled trial ,law ,cardiovascular disease ,Medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,education ,Antihypertensive Agents ,Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic ,Geriatrics ,Polypharmacy ,Aged, 80 and over ,education.field_of_study ,Frailty ,business.industry ,Patient Selection ,Odds ratio ,electronic health records, randomised controlled trials ,Confidence interval ,Cross-Sectional Studies ,Hypertension ,Physical therapy ,Female ,Geriatrics and Gerontology ,business - Abstract
© 2020 The Authors. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of The American Geriatrics Society. BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Randomized controlled trials are used to inform clinical guidelines on the management of hypertension in older adults, but it is unclear to what extent these trials represent the general population attending routine clinical practice. This study aimed to define the proportion and characteristics of patients eligible for hypertension trials conducted in older people. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: A total of 24 general practices in England. PARTICIPANTS: Anonymized electronic health record data from all individuals aged 80 and older. MEASUREMENTS: Descriptive statistics were used to define the proportion and characteristics of patients eligible for two previous medication intensification trials (HYVET, SPRINT) and one medication reduction trial (OPTiMISE). A logistic regression model was constructed to estimate predictors of eligibility for each trial. RESULTS: Of 15,376 patients identified, 268 (1.7%; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.5–2.0%), 5,290 (34.4%; 95%CI = 33.7–35.2%), and 3,940 (25.6%; 95%CI = 24.9–26.3%) were eligible for the HYVET, SPRINT, and OPTiMISE trials, respectively. Between 5.6% and 30.7% of exclusions from each trial were due to eligibility criteria excluding those with high or uncontrolled blood pressure. Frailty (odds ratio [OR] =.44; 95%CI =.36–.54 [OPTiMISE]), cardiovascular polypharmacy (OR =.61; 95%CI =.55–.68 [SPRINT]) and multimorbidity (OR =.72; 95%CI =.64–.82 [SPRINT]) were associated with a lower likelihood of being eligible for one or more of the trials. CONCLUSION: A possible unintended consequence of blood pressure criteria used by trials attempting to answer different primary questions is that for many older patients, no trial evidence exists to inform treatment decisions in routine practice. Caution should be exercised when applying results from existing trials to patients with frailty or multimorbidity.
- Published
- 2020
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