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Purpose: It is vital to appropriately power clinical trials towards discovery of novel disease-modifying therapies for Parkinson's disease (PD). Thus, it is critical to improve prediction of outcome in PD patients., Methods: We systematically probed a range of robust predictor algorithms, aiming to find best combinations of features for significantly improved prediction of motor outcome (MDS-UPDRS-III) in PD. We analyzed 204 PD patients with 18 features (clinical measures; dopamine-transporter (DAT) SPECT imaging measures), performing different randomized arrangements and utilizing data from 64%/6%/30% of patients in each arrangement for training/training validation/final testing. We pursued 3 approaches: i) 10 predictor algorithms (accompanied with automated machine learning hyperparameter tuning) were first applied on 32 experimentally created combinations of 18 features, ii) we utilized Feature Subset Selector Algorithms (FSSAs) for more systematic initial feature selection, and iii) considered all possible combinations between 18 features (262,143 states) to assess contributions of individual features., Results: A specific set (set 18) applied to the LOLIMOT (Local Linear Model Trees) predictor machine resulted in the lowest absolute error 4.32 ± 0.19, when we firstly experimentally created 32 combinations of 18 features. Subsequently, 2 FSSAs (Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Ant Colony Optimization (ACO)) selecting 5 features, combined with LOLIMOT, reached an error of 4.15 ± 0.46. Our final analysis indicated that longitudinal motor measures (MDS-UPDRS-III years 0 and 1) were highly significant predictors of motor outcome., Conclusions: We demonstrate excellent prediction of motor outcome in PD patients by employing automated hyperparameter tuning and optimal utilization of FSSAs and predictor algorithms., (Copyright © 2019 Associazione Italiana di Fisica Medica. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: Given the increasing recognition of the significance of non-motor symptoms in Parkinson's disease, we investigate the optimal use of machine learning methods for the prediction of the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) score at year 4 from longitudinal data obtained at years 0 and 1., Methods: We selected n = 184 PD subjects from the Parkinson's Progressive Marker Initiative (PPMI) database (93 features). A range of robust predictor algorithms (accompanied with automated machine learning hyperparameter tuning) and feature subset selector algorithms (FSSAs) were selected. We utilized 65%, 5% and 30% of patients in each arrangement for training, training validation and final testing respectively (10 randomized arrangements). For further testing, we enrolled 308 additional patients., Results: First, we employed 10 predictor algorithms, provided with all 93 features; an error of 1.83 ± 0.13 was obtained by LASSOLAR (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator - Least Angle Regression). Subsequently, we used feature subset selection followed by predictor algorithms. GA (Genetic Algorithm) selected 18 features; subsequently LOLIMOT (Local Linear Model Trees) reached an error of 1.70 ± 0.10. DE (Differential evolution) also selected 18 features and coupled with Thiel-Sen regression arrived at a similar performance. NSGAII (Non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm) yielded the best performance: it selected six vital features, which combined with LOLIMOT reached an error of 1.68 ± 0.12. Finally, using this last approach on independent test data, we reached an error of 1.65., Conclusion: By employing appropriate optimization tools (including automated hyperparameter tuning), it is possible to improve prediction of cognitive outcome. Overall, we conclude that optimal utilization of FSSAs and predictor algorithms can produce very good prediction of cognitive outcome in PD patients., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Simple Summary: This study aims to evaluate the feasibility of using changes in radiomic features over time (Delta radiomics) following chemotherapy to predict relapse/progression and time to progression (TTP) in primary mediastinal large B-cell lymphoma (PMBCL) patients. Analyzing data from 103 PMBCL patients, including end-of-treatment (EoT) scans and longitudinal radiomics features, the study employed various machine learning techniques for prediction. Results indicate that using Delta radiomics improves prediction accuracy for relapse/progression and TTP compared to using only EoT radiomics features. The study underscores the importance of EoT scans and the potential of Delta radiomics in predicting disease progression in PMBCL patients based on [18F]FDG PET-CT scans. Objectives: Accurate outcome prediction is important for making informed clinical decisions in cancer treatment. In this study, we assessed the feasibility of using changes in radiomic features over time (Delta radiomics: absolute and relative) following chemotherapy, to predict relapse/progression and time to progression (TTP) of primary mediastinal large B-cell lymphoma (PMBCL) patients. Material and Methods: Given the lack of standard staging PET scans until 2011, only 31 out of 103 PMBCL patients in our retrospective study had both pre-treatment and end-of-treatment (EoT) scans. Consequently, our radiomics analysis focused on these 31 patients who underwent [18F]FDG PET-CT scans before and after R-CHOP chemotherapy. Expert manual lesion segmentation was conducted on their scans for delta radiomics analysis, along with an additional 19 EoT scans, totaling 50 segmented scans for single time point analysis. Radiomics features (on PET and CT), along with maximum and mean standardized uptake values (SUVmax and SUVmean), total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV), tumor dissemination (Dmax), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), and the area under the curve of cumulative standardized uptake value-volume histogram (AUC-CSH) were calculated. We additionally applied longitudinal analysis using radial mean intensity (RIM) changes. For prediction of relapse/progression, we utilized the individual coefficient approximation for risk estimation (ICARE) and machine learning (ML) techniques (K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), and Random Forest (RF)) including sequential feature selection (SFS) following correlation analysis for feature selection. For TTP, ICARE and CoxNet approaches were utilized. In all models, we used nested cross-validation (CV) (with 10 outer folds and 5 repetitions, along with 5 inner folds and 20 repetitions) after balancing the dataset using Synthetic Minority Oversampling TEchnique (SMOTE). Results: To predict relapse/progression using Delta radiomics between the baseline (staging) and EoT scans, the best performances in terms of accuracy and F1 score (F1 score is the harmonic mean of precision and recall, where precision is the ratio of true positives to the sum of true positives and false positives, and recall is the ratio of true positives to the sum of true positives and false negatives) were achieved with ICARE (accuracy = 0.81 ± 0.15, F1 = 0.77 ± 0.18), RF (accuracy = 0.89 ± 0.04, F1 = 0.87 ± 0.04), and LDA (accuracy = 0.89 ± 0.03, F1 = 0.89 ± 0.03), that are higher compared to the predictive power achieved by using only EoT radiomics features. For the second category of our analysis, TTP prediction, the best performer was CoxNet (LASSO feature selection) with c-index = 0.67 ± 0.06 when using baseline + Delta features (inclusion of both baseline and Delta features). The TTP results via Delta radiomics were comparable to the use of radiomics features extracted from EoT scans for TTP analysis (c-index = 0.68 ± 0.09) using CoxNet (with SFS). The performance of Deauville Score (DS) for TTP was c-index = 0.66 ± 0.09 for n = 50 and 0.67 ± 03 for n = 31 cases when using EoT scans with no significant differences compared to the radiomics signature from either EoT scans or baseline + Delta features (p-value> 0.05). Conclusion: This work demonstrates the potential of Delta radiomics and the importance of using EoT scans to predict progression and TTP from PMBCL [18F]FDG PET-CT scans. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Application of kinetic modeling (KM) on a voxel level in dynamic PET images frequently suffers from high levels of noise, drastically reducing the precision of parametric image analysis. In this paper, we investigate the use of machine learning and artificial neural networks to denoise dynamic PET images. We train a deep denoising autoencoder (DAE) using noisy and noise-free spatiotemporal image patches, extracted from the simulated images of [11C]raclopride, a dopamine D2 receptor agonist. The DAE-processed dynamic and corresponding parametric images (simulated and acquired) are compared with those obtained with conventional denoising techniques, including temporal and spatial Gaussian smoothing, iterative spatiotemporal smoothing/deconvolution, and the highly constrained backprojection processing (HYPR). The simulated (acquired) parametric image non-uniformity was 7.75% (19.49%) with temporal and 5.90% (14.50%) with spatial smoothing, 5.82% (16.21%) with smoothing/deconvolution, 5.49% (13.38%) with HYPR, and 3.52% (11.41%) with DAE. The DAE also produced the best results in terms of the coefficient of variation of voxel values and structural similarity index. Denoising-induced bias in the regional mean binding potential was 7.8% with temporal and 26.31% with spatial smoothing, 28.61% with smoothing/deconvolution, 27.63% with HYPR, and 14.8% with DAE. When the test data did not match the training data, erroneous outcomes were obtained. Our results demonstrate that a deep DAE can provide a substantial reduction in the voxel-level noise compared with the conventional spatiotemporal denoising methods while introducing a similar or lower amount of bias. The better DAE performance comes at the cost of lower generality and requiring appropriate training data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]