1. A Three Dimensional Lagrangian Analysis of the Smoke Plume From the 2019/2020 Australian Wildfire Event.
- Author
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Curbelo, Jezabel and Rypina, Irina I.
- Subjects
WILDFIRES ,SMOKE plumes ,DIMENSIONAL analysis ,ATMOSPHERIC transport ,SMOKE ,LYAPUNOV exponents ,DYNAMICAL systems ,WILDFIRE prevention - Abstract
During the 2019/2020 Australian bushfire season, intense wildfires generated a rising plume with a record concentration of smoke in the lower stratosphere. Motivated by this event, we use the atmospheric wind reanalysis model ERA5 to characterize the three dimensional atmospheric transport in the general region of the plume following a dynamical system approach in the Lagrangian framework. Aided by the Finite Time Lyapunov Exponent tool (FTLE), we identify Lagrangian Coherent Structures (LCS) which simplify the three‐dimensional transport description. Different reduced FTLE formulations are compared to study the impact of the vertical velocity and the vertical shear on the movement of the plume. We then consider in detail some of the uncovered LCS that are directly relevant for the evolution of the plume, as well as other LCS that are less relevant for the plume but have interesting geometries, and we show the presence of 3D lobe dynamics at play. Also, we unveil the qualitatively different dynamical fates of the smoke parcels trajectories depending on the region in which they originated. One feature that had a pronounced influence on the evolution of the smoke plume is a synoptic‐scale anticyclone that was formed near the same time as, and close to the region of, intense wildfires. We analyze this anticyclone in detail, including its formation, the entrainment of the smoke plume, and how it maintained coherence for a long time. Transport paths obtained with the inclusion of the buoyancy effects are compared with those obtained considering only the reanalysis velocity. Plain Language Summary: In the course of the 2019/2020 bushfire season in Australia, there were wildfires that generated a dense plume with a record concentration of smoke in the lower stratosphere. Our study uses Lagrangian techniques to investigate the 3D atmospheric transport of the plume and identify key features of it temporal evolution, including Lagrangian Coherent Structures (LCS). We explore the impact of different factors on the plume movement and uncover fascinating 3D dynamics in the region. Our research also sheds light on the different fates of smoke parcels depending on their origin and the role played by a synoptic‐scale anticyclone in the smoke plume's evolution. We compare transport paths with and without buoyancy effects to gain a better understanding of the plume's behavior. Key Points: The impact of the vertical velocity and the vertical shear is described using different Finite Time Lyapunov Exponent (FTLE) formulationsCoherent regions where smoke parcels have qualitatively different fates are characterized with and without considering buoyancy effectsLagrangian Coherent Structures linked to the anticyclone, which affected the smoke plume's evolution, are analyzed in detail [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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