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Study region: Shaanxi Province, including the Loess Plateau in northern Shaanxi, the Guanzhong Plain, and the Qinba Mountains in southern Shaanxi. Study focus: Frequent extreme rainfall exacerbates the risk of rainfall-induced landslides, highlighting the importance of rainfall thresholds quantification for accurate hazard prevention. New hydrological insights for the region: The rainfall on the day and 7–28 cm soil moisture have a strong impact on landslide occurrences. The effective duration threshold for rainfall-induced landslides is largest in the Qinba Mountains area (high vegetation cover), and the 50 % threshold curve has a better early warning effect. Under high soil moisture and rainfall conditions, the probability for rainfall-induced landslides increases. In contrast, the probability threshold for landslides in areas with high vegetation coverage is also higher. This study quantified the probability thresholds for rainfall-induced landslides based on the coupled effective duration threshold and soil moisture. The results provide a theoretical reference for the precise prevention of landslides.

Climate change has recently increased the frequency of landslides in alpine areas. Susceptibility mapping is crucial for anticipating and assessing landslide risk. However, traditional methods focus on static environmental variables to emphasize the spatial distribution of landslides, ignoring temporal dynamics in landslide development in the context of climate change. In this work, we focused on static and dynamic environment factors and utilized the certainty factor-logistic regression (CF-LR) model to assess and predict landslide susceptibility in Taxkorgan County, located in the Karakorum. The assessment and prediction were based on a catalog of climate change-related landslides over the past 20 years, the causative factors, and predicted climatic variables for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-2.6) scenario. The results indicated that elevation, slope, groundwater, slope length gradient (LS) factor, Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), valley depth, and maximum precipitation were the key causes of slides below the snow line. The key factors causing debris flow above the snow line were elevation, slope, topographic relief, aspect, LS factor, distance to the river, and maximum temperature. The accuracy of slide and debris flow susceptibility was 0.92 and 0.89, respectively. The area of slides with medium, high, and very high susceptibility is 25.5% of the Taxkorgan. In addition, 82.6% of the slides happened in this region, and 49.5% of the entire area is covered by debris flows with medium, high, and very high susceptibility. Moreover, this area accounts for 91.8% of all debris flows. Until 2060, the region’s climate is anticipated to become warmer and wetter. Slides below the snow line will gradually decrease and shift eastward, and debris flows above the snow line will expand. Our findings will contribute to the management of landslide risks at the regional scale.

The reliability of data-driven approaches in generating landslide susceptibility maps depends on data quality, analytical method selection, and sampling techniques. Selecting optimal datasets and determining the most effective analytical methods pose significant challenges. This study assesses the performance of seven machine learning classifiers in the Himalayan region of the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor, utilizing statistical techniques and validation metrics. Thirteen geo-environmental variables were analyzed, including topographic (8), land cover (1), hydrological (1), geological (2), and meteorological (1) factors. These variables were evaluated for multicollinearity, feature importance, and their influence on landslide incidences. Our findings indicate that Support Vector Machines and Logistic Regression were highly effective, particularly near fault zones and roads, due to their effectiveness in handling complex, non-linear terrain interactions. Conversely, Random Forest and Logistic Regression demonstrated variability in their results. Each model distinctly identified landslide susceptibility zones ranging from very low to very high risk. Significant conditioning variables such as elevation, rainfall, lithology, slope, and land use were identified, reflecting the unique geomorphological conditions of the Himalayas. Further analysis using the Variance Inflation Factor and Pearson correlation coefficient showed minimal multicollinearity among the variables. Moreover, evaluations of Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC) values confirmed the strong predictive capabilities of the models, with the Random Forest Classifier performing exceptionally well, achieving an AUC of 0.96 and an F-Score of 0.86. This study shows the importance of model selection based on dataset characteristics to enhance decision-making and strategy effectiveness.

Using the physical deterministic model to analyze landslide stability has become a hotspot of landslide disasters research all over the world. The Digital Elevation Model (DEM) resolution has a great influence on the simulation effect of 3 D physical models. However, few researchers have studied the prediction performance of the 3 D models under different DEM resolutions. Therefore, based on the 3 D model Scoops3D, the spatial distribution of landslides was simulated and predicted under five different DEMs resolutions (2.5 m, 5 m, 10 m, 20 m, and 30 m). The optimal parameters of the model were obtained through field investigations and laboratory experiments, and then, the simulation results were compared with the actual landslides distribution. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and %LRclass index were used to quantitatively evaluate the prediction performance of the 3 D model under five different DEMs resolutions. The results show that Scoops3D has good performance in landslide spatial distribution prediction. In addition, we also found that the simulation results of high-resolution DEM were not ideal, while the prediction results of medium resolution DEMs (i.e., 5 m and 10 m) were more accurate. Therefore, this study provide a reference to select the most suitable DEM resolution for landslide stability analysis.

Abstract The appraisal of tectonic‐geomorphic features is the basis for the development and management of land, the selection of road routes, and the site selection and construction process of hydropower projects. However, properly evaluating tectonic‐geomorphic features and revealing the relationships among geomorphic evolution, landslides, and tectonic activity remain major challenges in geography and geomorphology. We take the core area of the planned Diamer‐Bhasha Dam as a study area. On the strength of digital elevation models (DEMs), geomorphic indices are extracted to evaluate the tectonic activity and geomorphic evolution. Landslide cataloging by field investigation is used to reveal the relationships between geomorphic evolution, landslides, and tectonic activity. We found that the tectonic activity and geomorphic evolution of the sub‐basin where the Diamer‐Bhasha Dam is planned and the sub‐basin along the Indus are in the stable and old stage, respectively. In contrast, the tectonic‐geomorphic features in the marginal sub‐basins far from the Indus are still active. The correlations among lithology, AF, Vf, HI, SL, and landslide indicate that tectonic activity can influence geomorphic evolution and induce landslides, whereas changes in lithology do not. In addition, landslides can exacerbate geomorphic evolution.

Investigating landslide deformation patterns in different evolution stages is important for understanding landslide movement. Translational landslides generally slide along a relatively straight surface of rupture. Whether the post-failure spatiotemporal deformation for certain translational landslides follows the pre-failure pattern remains untested. Here, the pre- and post-failure spatiotemporal deformations of the Simencun landslide along the Yellow River in 2018 were analyzed through multi-temporal remote sensing image analysis, Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) deformation monitoring and intensive field investigations. The results show that the pre- and post-failure spatial deformations both follow a retrogressive failure pattern. The long time series of the displacement before and after failure is characterized by obvious seasonal and periodic stage acceleration movements. Effective rainfall played an important role in the increase of the displacement acceleration, and the change in temperature might have accelerated the displacement. Finally, there is a possibility that the post-failure spatiotemporal deformation pattern of translational landslides does follow the pre-failure pattern when certain conditions are satisfied. The results are of great significance to improving our understanding of the spatiotemporal deformation pattern of landslides and to post-failure risk prevention and control.

This paper quantitatively examines the effects of slope height and slope gradient on landslide size distributions. We developed a loess slide inventory by using field survey data. Statistical analysis shows that most landslides are concentrated in areas with slope heights less than 60 m, and approximately 30% of the loess slides occurred on slopes with a gradient between 30° and 40°. However, high and steep slopes are rare in nature. We calculated the relative density of landslides, and the results showed that the relative density of landslides is greater on higher slopes with steeper slope gradients. Moreover, landslide size is correlated with slope height and slope gradient. The results demonstrate that landslide size increases as slope height increases and decreases as slope gradient increases. Furthermore, we determined the probability density of landslide area using kernel density estimation. The results showed that the landslide size distribution exhibits power law scaling above a certain size threshold, and the size threshold differs for different slope heights and slope gradients. The exponential scalings are influenced by slope height and slope gradient. Our results indicate that the exponential scaling decreases with increasing slope height and increases with increasing slope gradient. Large landslides are more frequent with a higher slope height and gentler slope gradient.

The spatial and temporal distributions of landslides can be used to assess the potential future impacts of landslides over large scales. However, quantitatively characterizing the spatial and temporal distributions of landslides and their causes remains a critical challenge. In this work, a typical landslide-prone region (the Qinba Mountains) is selected to identify this spatial and temporal trend. Information on 295 landslides spanning ten years from 2005 to 2014 was collected. The results revealed that landslide occurrences were clustered in time and space. Approximately 81% of the total landslides occurred from July to October. Moreover, a power law relationship between the cumulative frequency and number of landslides per day was discovered. Notably, the probability density of the time interval decreased as the time interval between landslide events increased, and this relationship was well described by a negative power-law correlation. Furthermore, the spatial and temporal distribution pattern of most landslides were influenced by rainfall events and earthquakes. There were several clustered centers in the study area, and the mean centers of the landslide distribution varied among years.

Identification and monitoring of unstable slopes across wide regions using Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry (InSAR) can further help to prevent and mitigate geological hazards. However, the low spatial density of measurement points (MPs) extracted using the traditional time-series InSAR method in topographically complex mountains and vegetation-covered slopes makes the final result unreliable. In this study, a method of time-series InSAR analysis using single- and multi-look phases were adopted to solve this problem, which exploited single- and multi-look phases to increase the number of MPs in the natural environment. Archived ascending and descending Sentinel-1 datasets covering Zhouqu County were processed. The results revealed that nine landslides could be quickly identified from the average phase rate maps using the Stacking method. Then, the time-series InSAR analysis with single- and multi-look phases could be used to effectively monitor the deformation of these landslides and to quantitatively analyze the magnitude and dynamic evolution of the deformation in various parts of the landslides. The reliability of the InSAR results was further verified by field investigations and Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) surveys. In addition, the precursory movements and causative factors of the recent Yahuokou landslide were analyzed in detail, and the application of the time-series InSAR method in landslide investigations was discussed and summarized. Therefore, this study has practical significance for early warning of landslides and risk mitigation.

Landslide processes are a consequence of the interactions between their triggers and the surrounding environment. Understanding the differences in landslide movement processes and characteristics can provide new insights for landslide prevention and mitigation. Three adjacent landslides characterized by different movement processes were triggered from August to September in 2018 in Hualong County, China. A combination of surface and subsurface characteristics illustrated that Xiongwa (XW) landslides 1 and 2 have deformed several times and exhibit significant heterogeneity, whereas the Xiashitang (XST) landslide is a typical retrogressive landslide, and its material has moved downslope along a shear surface. Time-series Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and Differential InSAR (DInSAR) techniques were used to detect the displacement processes of these three landslides. The pre-failure displacement signals of a slow-moving landslide (the XST landslide) can be clearly revealed by using time-series InSAR. However, these sudden landslides, which are a typical catastrophic natural hazard across the globe, are easily ignored by time-series InSAR. We confirmed that effective antecedent precipitation played an important role in the three landslides’ occurrence. The deformation of an existing landslide itself can also trigger new adjacent landslides in this study. These findings indicate that landslide early warnings are still a challenge since landslide processes and mechanisms are complicated. We need to learn to live with natural disasters, and more relevant detection and field investigations should be conducted for landslide risk mitigation.

Information about the long-term spatiotemporal evolution of landslides can improve the understanding of landslides. However, since landslide deformation characteristics differ it is difficult to monitor the entire movement of a landslide using a single method. The Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and pixel offset tracking (POT) method can complement each other when monitoring deformation at different landslide stages. Therefore, the InSAR and improved POT method were adapted to study the pre- and post-failure surface deformation characteristics of the Gaojiawan landslide to deepen understanding of the long-term spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of landslides. The results show that the deformation displacement gradient of the Gaojiawan landslide exhibited rapid movement that exceeded the measurable limit of InSAR during the first disaster. Moreover, the Gaojiawan landslide has experienced long-term creep, and while studying the post-second landslide’s failure stability, the acceleration trend was identified via time series analysis, which can be used as a precursor signal for landslide disaster warning. Our study aims to provide scientific reference for local governments to help prevent and mitigate geological disasters in this region.

Infiltration plays an important role in influencing slope stability. However, the influences of slope failure on infiltration and the evolution of infiltration over time and space remain unclear. We studied and compared the infiltration rates in undisturbed loess and disturbed loess in different years and at different sites on loess landslide bodies. The results showed that the average initial infiltration rate in a new landslide body (triggered on 11 October 2017) were dramatically higher than those in a previous landslide body (triggered on 17 September 2011) and that the infiltration rates of both landslide types were higher than the rate of undisturbed loess. The initial infiltration rate in the new landslide body sharply decreased over the 4−5 months following the landslide because of the appearance of physical crusts. Our observations indicated that the infiltration rate of the disturbed soil in a landslide evolved over time and that the infiltration rate gradually approached that of undisturbed loess. Furthermore, in the undisturbed loess, both the initial and quasi-steady infiltration rates were slightly higher in the loess than in the paleosol, and in the previous landslide body, the infiltration rate was highest in the upper part, intermediate in the middle part, and lowest in the lower part. This study can help us to better understand the evolution process of infiltration in undisturbed loess, previous landslides, and new landslides.

The spatiotemporal distribution of landslides provides valuable insight for the understanding of disastrous processes and landslide risk assessment. In this work, we compiled a catalog of landslides from 1996 to 2017 based on existing records, yearbooks, archives, and fieldwork in Shaanxi Province, China. The statistical analyses demonstrated that the cumulative frequency distribution of the annual landslide number was empirically described by a power-law regression. Most landslides occurred from July to October. The relationship between landslide time interval and their cumulative frequency could be fitted using an exponential regression. The cumulative frequency of the landslide number could be approximated using the power-law function. Moreover, many landslides caused fatalities, and the number of fatalities was related to the number of landslides each month. Moreover, the cumulative frequency was significantly correlated with the number of fatalities and exhibited a power-law relationship. Furthermore, obvious differences were observed in the type and density of landslides between the Loess Plateau and the Qinba Mountains. Most landslides were close to stream channels and faults, and were concentrated in cropland at elevations from 600−900 m and on slope gradients from 30−40°. In addition, the landslide frequency increased as the annual rainfall levels increased over a large spatial scale, and the monthly distribution of landslides presented a significant association with the precipitation level. This study provides a powerful method for understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of landslides via a rare landslide catalog, which is important for engineering design and planning and risk management.

The geological structure of the reservoir bank landslide is complex and intricate. After deformation and damage, it causes river blockage, surges, and loss of people's lives and property, posing a huge threat. At present, in academia and engineering applications, a large number of techniques such as inclinometers, rain gauges, and surface GNSS deformation monitoring are still used for monitoring landslides on reservoir banks. This type of monitoring method has the problem of "point to surface" which can easily lead to missed detection and reporting in some areas, some disaster points are close to water and steep, difficult to reach, and equipment installation is difficult. This work designs and implements a non-contact video quantitative monitoring system for surface deformation of geological disaster. By constructing a deep learning neural network, deformation area recognition and displacement quantitative calculation are achieved; By obtaining continuous images for a long time, draw the surface displacement-time curve, and output the surface deformation data and landform changes of the disaster. Meanwhile, this work explores the impact of different lighting conditions on the recognition results of target areas. This work can provide non-contact monitoring methods and dynamic warning support for large-scale monitoring of geological disasters. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Landslide susceptibility assessment is essential for disaster management. The aim of this study is to select a reliable and accurate model for loess slide susceptibility assessment. We use a frequency ratio model and artificial neural network to develop loess slide susceptibility maps. We analysed the relationships between loess slide frequency and conditioning factors including elevation, slope gradient, aspect, profile curvature, thickness of loess, rainfall, topographic wetness index, valley depth, distance to rivers and land use. We developed a landslide inventory consisting of 223 loess slides by the interpretation of remote sensing images from earlier published or unpublished reports and from intensive field surveys. From these 223 loess slides, 178 (80%) were selected for training the models and the remaining 45 (20%) slides were used for validating the developed models. The validation was carried out by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. From the analysis, it is seen that both the frequency ratio model and artificial neural network performed equally well, although the frequency ratio method is much easier to apply. The loess slide susceptibility maps can be used for land use planning and risk mitigation in loess terrain. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]