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Contaminated sediments, poor water quality, and lost or altered habitat in Lower Green Bay and Fox River in the 1980s led to its listing as an Area of Concern by the International Joint Commission. Previous studies on the geophysics and health of the bay demonstrated the need for estimates of transport timescales. Such estimates can contribute to improved understanding of the transport and fate of nutrients, contaminants, and biogeochemical processes in the bay. This study reviews definitions of residence time and flushing time, estimates the temporal distribution of flushing time, the spatial and temporal distributions of residence time, and horizontal diffusivities. The study used a previously developed hydrodynamic model, a drifter experiment, a lake particle transport model, and methods appropriate for the estimation of transport timescales. The estimated residence time for lower Green Bay, 56 ± 16 days, is smaller than a previous estimate of 190 days for the whole bay, and had values similar to the estimated flushing times. The closeness between those timescales demonstrates the important role of water exchange across the Chambers Island transect. Flushing time and residence time do not follow the same trends in monthly variability because the former depends directly on water exchange across Chambers Island, while the later depends, in addition, on tributary inflows and the circulation patterns in the bay. The study includes a discussion of the relations between the timescales of transport and the previous studies of biogeochemical processes, such as trophic conditions, spatial distribution of cyanobacteria, cold-water intrusions, and hypoxia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Nutrient loading into Lake Michigan can produce algal blooms which in turn can lead to hypoxia, beach closures, clogging of water intakes, and reduced water quality. The Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement targets for Lake Michigan are 5600 MT annually for total phosphorus (TP) loading, 7 μg L−1 lake-wide mean TP concentration, and a chlorophyll- a concentration of 1.8 μg L−1. However, in light of the recent resurgence of nuisance algal (Cladophora sp.) growth in the nearshore zone, the validity of these targets is now uncertain. The occurrence and abundance of Cladophora in the nearshore area depends primarily on the availability of dissolved phosphorus, light, and temperature. The availability of dissolved phosphorus is a potentially useful indicator of nearshore areas susceptible to excessive Cladophora growth and impaired water quality. Regulating agencies are looking for guidance in determining phosphorus loading rates that minimize local exceedance of the lake target concentration. In this study, the lake assimilative capacity was quantified by applying a biophysical model to estimate the area required for mixing and diluting wastewater treatment plant outfall TP loadings to the level of the lake target concentration during the Cladophora growing season. Model results compared well with empirical measurements of particulate and dissolved phosphorus as well as Cladophora biomass and phosphorus content. The model was applied to test scenarios of wastewater treatment plant phosphorus loading in two different years, in order to help establish phosphorus discharge limits for the plant. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]