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The risk factors for impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) have yet to be established. Our aim was to elucidate the predisposing factors for IFG and IGT in Japanese subjects with normal glucose tolerance (NGT). Using a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), we analyzed 604 adults with the ADA-defined NGT. Follow-up glucose tolerance status was determined by 75 g OGTT performed 3.7 yrs later. Glucose-stimulated insulin secretion (GSIS), whole body insulin sensitivity (SI) and beta cell function (BCF) were estimated by Stumvoll indices, ISI(Matsuda), and a product of Stumvoll 1(st) and ISI(Matsuda), respectively, and hepatic SI by quantitative insulin sensitivity check index. Logistic regression analysis revealed that attenuated BCF due to low GSIS was an independent risk factor for IFG. Low whole body SI was an additional risk for IGT. Male gender and high BMI were independently related to the progression to both IFG and IGT, whereas a positive diabetes family history was independently related to IGT. The worsening of glucose tolerance at large was predicted with 66% sensitivity by risk engine with GSIS, whole body SI, gender, BMI and glucose. This finding may help when implementing early intervention strategies for diabetes.

Aim To identify predictors of coronary heart disease (CHD) in Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Methods A matched case-control study was performed using 800 patients with T2DM admitted for treatment of hyperglycemia from January 2002 to June 2010. Cases comprised 16 patients who had developed acute myocardial infarction and/or received a coronary artery bypass by June 2010, and controls comprised 48 age- and sex-matched patients without CHD events. The mean age, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), and body mass index (BMI) were 61.5 yrs, 9.7% and 24.4 kg/m(2), respectively. The relationship of baseline variables, including lipid values, HbA1c, BMI, blood pressure, fasting blood sugar, 2h-post-breakfast blood sugar, delta blood sugar(0-2h), urinary albumin excretion, estimated glomerular filtration rate and treatment modalities (insulin/sulfonylurea/biguanide), to CHD development was analyzed by conditional logistic regression analysis. Results Total cholesterol (TC) (OR 2.35, 95%CI 1.11-4.98, p=0.03), non-HDL-cholesterol (OR 3.07, 95%CI 1.33-7.10, p=0.009), LDL-cholesterol (OR 2.84, 95%CI 1.24-6.51, p=0.01), non-HDL-cholesterol/HDL-cholesterol (OR 2.07, 95%CI 1.10-3.90, p=0.02) and LDL-cholesterol/ HDL-cholesterol (OR 2.74, 95%CI 1.22-6.15, p=0.01) were significantly related to CHD. Fold risk increment per 1-SD increase in basal TC, non-HDL-cholesterol, LDL-cholesterol, non-HDL-cholesterol/HDL-cholesterol and LDL-cholesterol/HDL-cholesterol was 2.33, 2.89, 2.52, 2.37 and 2.60, respectively. Only non-HDL-cholesterol was an independent risk factor. From the receiver operating characteristic curve, 3.89 mmol/L non-HDL-C was the best cutoff value. None of the non-lipid variables were significantly related to CHD. Conclusion Non-HDL-cholesterol was the most dominant predictor of the development of CHD in Japanese patients with T2DM.