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Aim: YKL-40 is a novel biomarker that is associated with both acute and chronic inflammations. Elevated plasma concentrations of YKL-40 have been reported in patients with ischemic stroke. This study investigated the association of plasma YKL-40 concentrations at admission and short, long-term prognosis after ischemic stroke. Methods: This study is a prespecified biomarker sub-study of the third China National Stroke Registry (CNSR3), which is a prospective,national multi-center of 171 sites concerning consecutive patients of ischemic stroke and TIA within 7 days since onset with specimens collected at baseline. Plasma YKL-40 levels were detected by ELISA and patients were stratified into terciles according to Plasma YKL-40 concentrations. The multivariate Cox regression model was used to investigate the association of YKL-40 concentration and death and recurrence at 3 months, 6 months and 12 months after ischemic stroke, with potential confounders adjusted. Results: A total of 8013 first-ever ischemic stroke patients, with an average of 61.7±11.5 years, were included in this study. The YKL-40 concentrations of lower, middle and upper group were 30.36 ±8.53 mg/L, 64.89±13.49 mg/L, and 164.42±50.35 mg/L respectively. Higher YKL-40 concentration at admission was associated with combination events of death and recurrence, death as well as recurrence at 3-month, 6-month and 12-month since onset of ischemic stroke when compared with lower YKL-40 concentration. However, after adjusting for age, gender, smoking, drinking, hypertension, diabetes, low-density lipoprotein, and C-reactive protein, higher YKL-40 concentration at admission was just statistically associated with combination events and death, but not stroke recurrence at 3-month, 6-month and 12-month when compared with lower YKL-40 concentration (table 1). Conclusions: The elevated YKL-40 at admission was associated with short and long-term death, but not recurrence after ischemic stroke.

BackgroundThe 1-month case fatality of ischaemic stroke is an essential epidemiological metric. Whereas the case fatality after ischaemic stroke and the temporal trend is uncertain. We aimed to estimate the 1-month case fatality of ischaemic stroke and its temporal trend, as well as its regional variation.MethodsWe searched PubMed and Embase to identify the studies for 1-month case fatality of ischaemic stroke . The population-based studies were included. Two investigators extracted the data and assessed the quality independently. One-month case fatality of ischaemic stroke was estimated using a random effects model. The temporal trend was evaluated using a mixed-effect meta-regression model.ResultsA total of 59 articles with 77 time periods were included. The worldwide 1-month case fatality of ischaemic stroke was 13.5% (95% CI 12.3% to 14.7%). The case fatality was 10.8% (95% CI 8.3% to 13.5%) in Asia, 14.2% (95% CI 12.6% to 15.9%) in Europe, 14.0% (95% CI 11.2% to 17.1%) in South America and Caribbean, 14.0% (95% CI 9.5% to 19.1%) in North America and 12.5% (95% CI 11.1% to 13.9%) in Australia and New Zealand. Overall, there was a non-significant decrease of 0.1% per year in case fatality. It decreased significantly in Europe (−0.2% annually, 95% CI −0.4% to −0.01%) and North America (−0.2% annually, 95% CI −0.4% to −0.04%), increased significantly in Australia and New Zealand (0.2% annually, 95% CI 0.1% to 0.4%), while no evidence of change in other regions.ConclusionThe 1-month case fatality of ischaemic stroke and its temporal trend were divergent across regions. Further studies are needed to address the reason of the regional difference, which will be helpful to guide the effort of reducing stroke burden.

Background: There is some controversy whether stroke history is an independent risk factor for poor prognosis of stroke or not. This study aimed to investigate the difference of mortality, disability and recurrent rate of ischemic stroke patients without and with stroke history, as well as to explore the effect of stroke history on stroke prognosis. Methods: We analyzed patients with ischemic stroke enrolled in the China National Stroke Registry which was a nationwide, multicenter, and prospective registry of consecutive patients with acute cerebrovascular events from 2007 to 2008. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to assess the risk of worse prognosis of stroke history in patients with ischemic stroke. Results: A total of 8181(65.9%) patients without stroke history and 4234(34.1%) patients with stroke history were enrolled in the study. The mortality, recurrence, modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 3-6 rate was 11.4%, 14.7% and 28.5% respectively at 1 year for patients without stroke history, which was significantly lower than that of 17.3%, 23.6%, 42.1% in patients with stroke history, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that patients with stroke history had higher risk of death [odds ratio (OR) 1.34,95% confidence interval (CI) 1.17-1.54], recurrence (OR 1.47, 95 % CI 1.31-1.65) and mRS 3-6 (OR 1.49,95% CI 1.34-1.66) at 1 year. Conclusion: After adjusting for the potential confounders, stroke history was still an independent risk factor for poor prognosis of ischemic stroke, which further emphasizes the importance of secondary prevention of ischemic stroke. The specific causes of poor prognosis in patients with history of stroke need to be furtherly investigated.

Introduction: Recurrent ischemic stroke is more likely to have a worse prognosis. However, it is little known whether recurrent stroke is an independent risk factor for poor prognosis. We aim to investigate the difference of mortality and recurrent rate of first ever and recurrent ischemic strokes, as well as to explore the potential reasons. Method: We analyzed patients with ischemic stroke enrolled in the China National Stroke Registry which was a nationwide, multicenter, and prospective registry of consecutive patients with acute cerebrovascular events from 2007 to 2008. Date including hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, heart disease, etc. were obtained from paper-based registry forms. Multivariable analysis using logistic regression was performed to assess the risk of worse prognosis of recurrent ischemic stroke compared to first-ever stroke. Result: A total of 8 181 patients with first-ever stroke and 4 234 patients with recurrent stroke were enrolled in the study. For patients with first-ever stroke, the mortality, recurrence, composite Events(modified Rankin Scale=3-6, which means death or disability) rate is 7.2%, 10.3%, 22.6%, respectively at 3-month; and 9.0%, 13.0%, 29.0% at 6-month; as well as 11.4%, 14.7%, 28.5% at 1 year, respectively. For patients with recurrent stroke, the mortality, recurrence, composite events rate is 10.5%, 16.1%, 30.8% respectively at 3-month, and 13.9%, 20.3%, 41.7% at 6-month, as well as 17.3%, 23.6%, 42.1% at 1 year, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that patients with recurrent stroke had a higher risk of death, recurrence and disability at 3-month, 6 month and 1 year (table 1). Conclusion: After adjusting for multiple risk factors, recurrent stroke is still an independent risk factor for poor prognosis of ischemic stroke, which further emphasizes the importance of secondary prevention of ischemic stroke, and the specific causes need to be furtherly investigated.