1. Fibrillation cycle length predicts cardiovascular events in patients with long-standing persistent atrial fibrillation
- Author
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Tomoharu Yoshizawa, Jun Kishihara, Hidehira Fukaya, Tazuru Igarashi, Jun Oikawa, Ryo Nishinarita, Junya Ako, Akira Satoh, Shinichi Niwano, Ai Horiguchi, Naruya Ishizue, Hironori Nakamura, and Tamami Fujiishi
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Electrocardiography ,Risk Factors ,Internal medicine ,Atrial Fibrillation ,medicine ,Humans ,Heart Atria ,Myocardial infarction ,Stroke ,Aged ,Heart Failure ,Fibrillation ,Proportional hazards model ,business.industry ,Hazard ratio ,Atrial fibrillation ,medicine.disease ,Cardiac surgery ,Ischemic Attack, Transient ,Heart failure ,Cardiology ,Female ,medicine.symptom ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Abstract
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of heart failure (HF), stroke, and death. Although fibrillation cycle length (FCL) is used as a surrogate for atrial refractoriness, its impact on outcomes remains unclear. This study aimed to identify predictors of cardiovascular events, including FCL, in patients with long-standing persistent AF. The study included 190 consecutive patients with long-standing persistent AF (mean age 74 years, 74% male). Patients with valvular AF or hemodialysis-dependent end-stage renal disease and those on anti-arrhythmic drugs were excluded. The primary composite outcome was occurrence of cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, HF), cerebrovascular events (stroke, transient ischemic attack), and all-cause death. FCL was calculated by fast Fourier transformation analysis of fibrillation waves in the surface electrocardiogram. Over a median follow-up of 2.6 years, the primary outcome occurred in 31 patients (cardiovascular events, n = 18; cerebrovascular events, n = 8; all-cause death, n = 5). In multivariate analysis, longer FCL and history of HF were independent predictors of these outcomes. In a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for age, sex, and history of HF, patients with an FCL > 160 ms (cut-off determined by receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis) were at increased risk of the outcome (hazard ratio 12.9; 95% confidence interval 4.99–44.10; p
- Published
- 2021