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This paper studies the effect of deposit insurance on depositor behavior. Our theoretical framework integrates insights from public and financial economics and predicts that (1) deposit insurance induces bunching at the threshold in the deposit distribution and (2) an increase in the insurance threshold promotes deposit growth, particularly higher for individuals bunching at the initial limit. We exploit a large and unexpected increase in the Colombian insurance together with monthly depositor-level records from a major bank to test these predictions. We validate the existence of bunching in deposits and quantify the heterogeneous effect of deposit insurance on individual deposit growth. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix , which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we build a simple model on the role of households' liquidity preference in the determination of economic performance. We postulate, for the sake of the argument, a purely 'horizontalist' environment, i.e., a world of endogenous money where the central bank is able to fix the interest rate(s) at a level of its own willing. We show that even in such a framework liquidity preference, while obviously not constituting anymore a theory for the determination of the interest rate, continues to be a key element for the determination of both the level and evolution over time of aggregate income and capital accumulation. In our model, this happens because of the working of a mechanism so far unexplored in the literature, i.e., the endogenous variations of banks' policy of profits' distribution in response to changes in the liquidity preference of the public. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article discusses the Bank of England's (BoE) plan to slow down its quantitative tightening (QT) process, which involves reducing the amount of government bonds (gilts) held in the Bank's asset purchase facility (APF). While there is a consensus that the APF rundown can be achieved through redemptions of these gilt holdings, the author disagrees and expects QT to continue at its current pace. The article explores the arguments for and against slowing down the APF rundown, including concerns about losses from gilt sales, the impact on interest rates, and the government's fiscal rules. The BoE is likely to steadily reduce gilt holdings until they reach zero, using short-term repos as an alternative. However, uncertainties remain regarding the smooth expansion of repos and the impact on short-term interest rates. [Extracted from the article]

The main objective of the present study is to investigate the international spillover effect of US monetary policies on bank lending for 34 upper-middle-income countries during the period of 2000-2021. For this purpose, Panel Smooth Transition Regression model (PSTR) method has been used to estimate the model of this research. Based on the estimation results, the model includes two regimes and its transition variable is the monetary policy rate of the United States, which is not significant in the first regime and is negative and significant in the second regime. So, with the reduction of interest rates and the implementation of expansionary monetary policies in the United States, the lending rate in the studied countries increases; and vice versa. Based on the results obtained and the lack of independence of monetary policies in the studied countries, it is recommended that the countries make their internal economic conditions more stable than the external conditions with targeted policies and somehow secure their economy against external shocks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The overnight money market rate is a key monetary policy tool. In recent years, central banks worldwide have developed new monetary policy strategies aimed at keeping its deviations from the policy rate small and short-lived. This paper describes the main instruments used for this purpose by the US Fed, the ECB and the BoE and also their policy responses to the Great Financial Crisis (GFC). Fractional integration and long-memory methods are then applied to investigate how those affected the persistence of policy spreads (i.e. the difference between overnight rates and policy rates) during different sub-periods. It is found that this increased sharply during the GFC but has fallen back in recent years. In the case of the ECB the introduction of the new €-STR benchmark in particular appears to have made monetary policy more effective. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As a response to the COVID-19 shock, the Uruguayan government expanded an existing public credit guarantee and introduced deductions in local currency reserve requirements. Policies of the same nature were also implemented by several governments throughout the world. This paper contributes to the financial additionality literature and the literature on the bank lending view of the monetary policy by analyzing the impact of this type of policies on loans' interest rate spread over the interbank rate. Using a very detailed database on loan contracts, we estimate a dynamic panel model to analyze the effects of policy responses to the COVID-19 shock over loan interest rates. We find that the PCG policy had a relatively higher effect on loans' interest rates in comparison to the reserve requirements policy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

What is the long-term impact of negative interest rates on bank lending? To answer this question, we construct a unique summary measure of negative rate exposure by individual banks based on exclusive survey data and banks' balance sheets and couple it with the credit register of Spain and firms' balance sheets to identify this impact on the supply of credit to firms. We find that only when deposit rates reached the zero lower bound did affected banks (relative to non-affected banks) decrease their supply, especially when undercapitalized and lending to risky firms. The adverse effects of the negative rates on banks' intermediation capacity only took place after a protracted period of time. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Using monthly data from 2005 to 2019, we employ a dynamic heterogeneous cross‐sectionally autoregressive distributed lag (CS‐ARDL) model to examine the impact of higher regulatory capital requirements on the interest rate pass‐through (IRPT) to bank lending and deposit rates in 22 Sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) countries. Two key findings emerge from the investigation: (i) the average IRPT in SSA is incomplete in the long run, and (ii) stringent (higher) regulatory capital requirements reduce the pass‐through of monetary policy to commercial bank lending and deposit rates. The findings suggest that although higher regulatory capital requirements are an effective macro‐prudential tool for enhancing the stability of the banking sector, they could also have the unintended consequences of limiting economic expansion. This trade‐off calls for a careful analysis and balance in the implementation of monetary and bank regulatory policies in the region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Developing countries are noted for higher interest margins, and banking in Africa has recently witnessed the rise of African regional banks with a Pan-African ambition and the quest to modify the banking landscape. So far, the banking literature has received little attention regarding the determinants of net interest margin (NIM) of commercial banks in Africa, and the empirics across domestic, regional African, and non-African banks has not been studied either. Thus, we fill this lacuna by analyzing the intermediation margins of commercial banks across Africa while detailing the determinants for the three banking groups. We employ annual data of 552 commercial banks for eight years (2011 to 2018) across fifty-two African countries. The results of the study indicate that bank intermediation margin in Africa is a function of pure spread variables (bank concentration, credit risk, risk aversion, interest rate volatility), income from non-traditional banking activities, specialization, other bank-specific (transaction size, operating cost) and macro-economic variables (financial innovation and GDP). The results also suggest that there are some similarities and nuances for the determinants of bank intermediation margins across the domestic, regional African, and non-African banks. The results obtained have significant policy implications for bank regulation and financial sector development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Do the different types of financial friction have differential implications for monetary transmission in emerging economies? We investigate this question using India as the country for analysis. We adopt a New Keynesian business cycle model with bank intermediation, extend it by the Indian economy‐specific features and validate with the data. The baseline model explains the co‐movements of interest rates, incomplete pass‐through and sluggish adjustment mechanism of the macro‐financial variables for a policy interest rate shock. It identifies the collateral‐constrained, financially excluded households and low proportion of savers as the primary sources of frictions causing weak monetary transmission. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents multifactor Keynesian models of the long-term interest rate. In recent years, there have been a proliferation of empirical studies based on the Keynesian approach to interest rate modelling. These studies evince the connection between the long-term interest rate and the short-term interest rate. However, standard multifactor models of the long-term interest rate in quantitative finance have not been yet incorporated Keynes's insights about interest rate dynamics. Keynes's insights are introduced in two different multifactor models of the long-term interest rate to illustrate how the long-term interest rate relates to the short-term interest rate, after controlling for the central bank's policy rate, expected inflation, the central bank's inflation target, volatility in financial markets, and Wiener processes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: This paper aims to examine the response of monetary policy to financial instability in the West African Economic and Monetary Union. Design/methodology/approach: Through annual aggregated data from 1970 to 2019, the empirical strategy is based on the Markov regime-switching model with fixed probabilities. Findings: The results revealed that the monetary policy of the central bank of the West African Economic and Monetary Union is characterized by two regimes (calm and distress) with respect to the trend of financial stability. The authors also found that the occurrence of the calm regime was likely greater than that of the distress regime. In addition, the calm regime is longer than the distress regime. The authors finally revealed that the central bank reacts to financial instability risk by increasing its short-term interest rate when financial instability reaches a threshold. Research limitations/implications: The limitation of this study is the unavailability of monthly or quarterly data that are more suitable for the methodological approach adopted. Originality/value: This study is the one to estimate the response of the Central Bank of West African Countries to financial stress using a novel approach based on the Markov-Switching regression. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper attempts to employ a microeconomic model (industrial‐organization approach to banking) to formalize the concept that banks in an economy may also unilaterally create money, at least initially, rather than passively multiplying the base money exogenously issued by the Central Bank in the money creation process. It shows that in equilibrium, banks may indeed create money (bank deposits) when making loans without relying on the newly issued base money from the Central Bank. Instead, the endogenously created money by banks would cause the Central Bank to endogenously adjust base money to hit the target policy interest rate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: The purpose of this study to investigate the sensitivity of stability and insolvency of the Tunisian financial banking with respect to banks' specific factors as well as to the macroeconomic conditions (including gross domestic product growth, inflation rate, foreign direct investment [FDI], EXRate, INT and unemp) during 2005–2014 period covering 2011 Tunisian revolution. Design/methodology/approach: The variables of interest the financial institution stability which is measured by Z-score and solvency indicators that are determined by the capital adequacy ratio (CAP) and deposits to assets (DTA). This study seeks to assess the linkages among them (causality, magnitude and duration) that may shed some light on the micro-financial vulnerabilities that are associated with the macroeconomic environment and the monetary authority policy. To do so, this study considers two models: a panel vector autoregressif-X model for the tri-variate vector (Z-score, DTA, CAP) estimated by a system generalized method of moments after a forward mean-differencing and a dynamic seemingly unrelated regression model for the bi-variate vector (Z-score, DTA) estimated by 3LS. Findings: Results say that there is a uni-directional contemporaneous negative relationship from stability to insolvency. Stability evolution can be attributed to both macroeconomic conditions and banks' specific factors, whereas insolvency is attributed only to banks' specific factors. Stability was found to increase when growth rate and FDI rise, whereas instability increases when interest rate rises, exchange rate depreciates and if inflation is high. Stability increases also when CAP increases. However, compared to conventional banks (CBs), Islamic banks (IBs) are found to be more solvent than CBs, and more stable post 2011 Tunisian revolution. Practical implications: As fluctuation in inflation and exchange rate could lead to high interest rates and hence decreases the stability of the financial sectors, Tunisian monetary authority is advised to practice low interest rate policy. Originality/value: This paper attends not only to compare the response of stability and insolvency to the effect of exogenous variables (macroeconomic and financial factors) in Tunisian banks but also to detect short run and long run feedback effects between dependent variables as well as to investigate whether IBs and CBs present evident heterogeneity of stability and insolvency evolution in relation to 2011 Tunisian revolution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper examines how ownership structure interacts with monetary policy in shaping financial intermediaries' appetite for risk. By constructing a large panel of banks across Western Europe, we provide evidence that differences in bank ownership influence the transmission of monetary policy via the risk‐taking channel. While shareholder banks actively adjust the riskiness of their portfolios to changes in interest rates, stakeholder banks appear to be less responsive to such changes. These findings call for greater attention to the nature of bank ownership when setting monetary policy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, the impact of monetary policy on industrial production is investigated for Malawi. Using the ARDL bounds testing approach, and VAR models, it is shown that tight monetary conditions negatively affect industrial production both in the short run and in the long run. This is the case whether the central bank's policy rate or reserve money is used as the policy tool. The study further establishes the interest rate channel, and money supply channel as the main mechanisms through which this effect of monetary policy is transmitted to industrial production. Given these results, a recommendation is made that the Reserve Bank of Malawi should refrain from prolonged use of tight monetary policy in their quest to achieve stability of prices as this stifles growth of the industrial sector. Rather monetary policy should be used as a temporary stabilization tool when faced with temporary shocks to the bank's policy objectives. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Uluslararasi Ekonomi ve Yenilik Dergisi is the property of Karadeniz Technical University, Depertmant of Economics and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

This study explores the impact of the monetary policy of the National Bank of Romania, with its instruments and objectives during the Covid-19 pandemic, on the banks lending in Romania, considering the data provided by the NBR for the last 6 years. Overall, our findings confirm that the increasing bank lending channel for global monetary policy was active during the pandemic crisis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The pre‐crisis low‐interest‐rate environment is raising concerns among researchers and policymakers about its impact on the triangle prudential policy‐monetary policy‐bank's risk‐taking. While interest rates are set at low level for inflationary and economic growth reasons, they may lead banks to take more risk, jeopardizing the financial system and impeding the recovery. This paper provides a literature review, on the one hand, on the interaction of monetary and prudential policies through their impacts on bank's risk‐taking, and on the other hand, on the issues of their coordination. Monetary policy appears to have ambiguous effects on banks' profitability, and then, on banks' risk‐taking behavior. Despite monetary and prudential policies pursue different objectives, they inevitably interact, raising challenges that face policymakers. Albeit it is argued that monetary policy alone is not sufficient to maintain macroeconomic and financial stability, and that it should be coordinated with prudential policy, the form of this coordination is not clear‐cut. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Hacettepe University Journal of Economics & Administrative Sciences / Hacettepe Üniversitesi Iktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi is the property of Hacettepe University, Faculty of Economic & Administrative Sciences and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

In that respect, Bofinger and Haas ([1]) make the point that there is no market failure that would motivate a central bank introduction of either I a separate digital currency to replace cash or a separate payment system to replace the existing e-money and RTGS systems i . If anything, the existing technology underpinning e-money is sufficiently adaptable to meet growing consumer demands for more efficient and cheaper digital payments using the existing e-money systems. References 1 Bofinger, P. and Haas, T. (2021), ' Central Bank Digital Currencies: Can Central Banks Succeed in the Marketplace for Digital Monies?. [Extracted from the article]

We provide a new method to model changes in monetary policy of the Bank of England (BoE) as well as the impact of these changes on UK economy. This is important as central bankers have widened the range of instruments in their monetary policy toolbox. Specifically, we estimate a proxy for the monetary policy stance and then analyse a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive with stochastic volatility model to explain the BoE's trade-offs when making policy decisions and as well as to demonstrate dynamic impacts of monetary policy on inflation and economic growth. The empirical results show that our estimated monetary policy proxy is better at capturing the BoE's policy when the interest rate lower bound becomes binding. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper analysed the impact of interest rate and exchange rate volatility on banking sector stock returns in South Africa considering the Covid-19 pandemic. This paper employed daily secondary data for the period 01 January 2011 - 19 August 2021. The OLS and GARCH approaches were utilized to analyse the relationship between the variables. The results indicate that the interest rates have a positive and significant relationship with bank stock returns as four out of five banks showed positive coefficients in the OLS estimator. Moreover, a high foreign exchange rate leads to a negative bank stock returns as the coefficients from the OLS estimator were negative. The ARCH and GARCH models' results indicate that bank stock returns are determined by their past volatility. The study has managerial implications for the banking sector because interest rate and exchange rate volatility increase the risks associated with the returns, implying that banks should consider various hedging strategies in mitigating these risks. Therefore, banks should consider various hedging strategies while the investors could attentively consider monetary policies during the investment decision process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate whether ECB monetary policy influences the retail interest rates in the Euro Area when the policy rate reaches the effective lower bound. We estimate a panel Error Correction Model that accounts for potential heterogeneities in the transmission of monetary policy. The analysis disentangles alternative balance-sheet policies implemented by the ECB. We find that unconventional measures have influenced banking interest rates beyond the pass-through of the current and expected policy rate. These effects are driven by liquidity provisions and by the covered bond purchase programmes. Those policies have been effective in the core and in the peripheral countries; however, the effect of purchases of covered-bond has been stronger in the periphery. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Covid-19 pandemic has been a trouble and deeply affected the economic conditions of countries. Economy administrators and particularly central banks have been tested seriously in this period. In this period, one of the essential tasks of central banks is to provide the need of liquidity of markets. However, the main objective of Central Banks is price stability. Monetary policies should be applied sensitively by central banks, especially in crisis periods. While liquidity needs of markets taking place, central banks intervene and effort to support declining liquidity. This study examined central banks' monetary policies in the fragile five countries (Turkey, Brasil, India, Indonesia, and South Africa). We investigated these countries' central bank policies, including interest rate, inflation, central bank reserve, exchange rate, and fragile states index in the pandemic period. We determined that the most fragile country among the five countries is Turkey according to the fragile states index, inflation, interest rate, and central bank reserve in the pandemic period. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article investigates how expectations influence the determination of the Brazilian benchmark interest rate based on Keynes' views on the relationship between expectations and monetary policy. Then, as empirical methodology, Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models and Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration are used to study, in the short and long-run, the connection between expectations and central bank interest rate. For the period from 2001Q3 to 2017Q4, results show that in the long-run business and consumer confidence, as well as expectations related to market interest rates, GDP, inflation and exchange rate play an important role on monetary policy actions. In the short-run, business and consumer confidence lose importance, while the other mentioned expectations are still statistically significant. The findings of the paper lend credence to Keynes's view on the relation between expectation and money policy in Brazil. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Research Papers of the Wroclaw University of Economics / Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wroclawiu is the property of Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wroclawiu and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

This study investigates how depositors respond to the bank dividend policy via the interest rate channel. The results suggests that by paying dividend, banks mitigate the information asymmetry between insiders and outsiders, then enjoying a lower deposit cost than banks that do not pay dividend. Dividend-paying banks that are subject to higher funding costs may enjoy a greater decrease of funding costs than non-payers. Banks that are under greater pressure from regulators, but encounter losses have to pay higher deposit costs when deciding to pay dividend. The study emphasises the downside of deposit insurance scheme when documenting the indifference of insured but uninsured depositors during the global financial crisis, but the COVID-19 crisis, suggesting the wake-up calls for depositors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper investigates how banks adjust their business model amid rising global economic uncertainty. Specifically, we analyze the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on banks' non-interest income activities, using a large panel dataset of 3913 banks operating in 9 countries over the period 2009–2018. We find no statistically significant effect of EPU on banks' net non-interest income (NNII). Further analysis shows that the lack of impact on NNII is due to a reduction in gross non-interest income which was offset by a decrease in gross non-interest expenses. Our results also suggest that the likelihood of banks to diversify income amid high EPU is conditional on the negative interest rate environment. • We investigate the effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on banks' non-interest income activities. • We show that a high EPU has no significant effect on the net non-interest income of banks. • We find that the absence of effect comes from a reduction in gross non-interest expense. • Finally, the likelihood of banks to diversify income amid high EPU is conditional on the negative interest rate environment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper tests whether a series of changes to capital requirements transmitted to a change to banks' pricing policy. We compile a rich bank-level supervisory dataset covering the banking sector in the Czech Republic over the period 2004–2019. We estimate that the changes to the overall capital requirements did not force banks to alter their pricing policy. The impact on bank interest margins and loan rates is found to lie in a narrow range around zero irrespective of loan category. Our estimates allow us to rule out effects even for less-capitalised banks and small banks. The results obtained contradict estimates from other studies reporting significant transmission of capital regulation to lending rates and interest margins. We therefore engage in a deeper discussion of why this might be the case. Our estimates may be used in the ongoing discussion of the benefits and costs of capital-based regulation in banking. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The study investigates the effect of monetary policy on bank profitability while also taking into account the moderating role of bank funding patterns. Uniquely, the study focuses on disaggregate components of bank profits in an environment containing various monetary policy tools. Using a dataset of commercial banks in Vietnam, the results show that monetary policy drives bank profitability asymmetrically. Concretely, interest rates (i.e., lending rates and policy rates) exert positive effects on net interest income, but negative impacts on non-interest income. For quantitative-based policy tools, including the central bank's security purchases and foreign exchange reserves, monetary policy is positively correlated with non-interest income but negatively associated with net interest income. The reaction of banks' net interest income to monetary policy adjustments is translated into overall bank profits. Further analysis indicates that the monetary policy/bank profitability nexus across different proxies is less pronounced at banks with more diversified funding patterns. This finding sheds light on prior arguments attributing financially weaker banks' greater sensitivity in facing monetary shocks to the limited alternative funding. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We compare the New Keynesian and Austrian explanations for low interest rates in the light of the Corona crisis. From a New Keynesian perspective low interest rates are the result of structural changes in the society and the economy as well as the cyclical downswing triggered by the Corona pandemic. In contrast, from the perspective of Austrian economic theory, interest rates have been pushed down on trend by central banks for a long time to stimulate growth, with the global financial crisis of 2007/08 and the Corona crisis of 2020 acting as powerful accelerators of the euthanasia of interest. New Keynesian theory would suggest that interest rates can be adjusted upward again when conditions change, without creating economic and financial disturbances. Against this, Austrian theory finds that central banks have backed themselves into a corner by creating persistent low-interest expectations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Listy Cukrovarnicke a Reparske is the property of VUC Praha a.s. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

We observe, especially during financial crisis periods, that central bank policies may trigger credit rationing and borrowing cost increases, resulting in contemporaneous institutional lender and market maker funding illiquidity. In turn, funding illiquidity is transmitted through banks and broker/dealers to market illiquidity of individual stocks. Thus, funding illiquidity, often originating with central bank monetary policy, is contemporaneously conveyed through institutional lenders, transferred to broker/dealers and spawns interconnected stock market illiquidity spirals and loss spirals. Our results are consistent and robust across different models that control for endogenous and exogenous factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The paper examines the bank lending channel of the monetary transmission mechanism in the Philippines. Using the dynamic panel generalized method of moments (GMM) model on quarterly individual bank data from Q1:2006 to Q4:2017, the study finds that the bank lending channel of monetary policy in the Philippines is rather weak as highly liquid banks tend to react more to monetary tightening than less liquid banks. More liquid banks would rather hold their stock of liquid assets as buffers against crises than sustain or expand their lending activity amid monetary tightening. Banks are also risk‐sensitive in their lending behavior as the increase in the cost of borrowing following tighter monetary policy could increase the likelihood of loan default. The banks' cautious lending behavior supports the policy stance of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas in terms of prudent regulatory standards to maintain the resilience of the Philippine financial system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]