1. 1280. Geospatial Spread of HIV in the Cologne-Bonn Region, Germany: From 2001 to 2016
- Author
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Stecher, Melanie, Hoenigl, Martin, Eis-Huebinger, Anna-Maria, Lehmann, Clara, Fätkenheuer, Gerd, Wasmuth, Jan-Christian, Knops, Elena, Metha, Sanjay, Vehreschild, Janne, and Chaillon, Antoine
- Subjects
HIV/AIDS ,Infectious Diseases ,Infection ,Good Health and Well Being - Abstract
Abstract Background Geographical targeting of interventions of hotspots of HIV transmission increases the impact of HIV intervention. We combined molecular epidemiology and geospatial analyses to provide insights into the drivers of HIV transmission and the contribution of geographical hot spots to the rapidly evolving local HIV epidemic of Cologne-Bonn. Methods We included 714 HIV-1-infected ART naïve individuals, followed at the University Hospitals Cologne and Bonn between 2001 and 2016. Phylogenetic and network analyses were performed to infer putative relationships. Assortativity index (AI, i.e., shared attributes) and characteristics of genetically linked individuals were analyzed. The geospatial diffusion of the local epidemic (i.e., viral gene flow) was evaluated using a Slatkin-Maddison approach. Geospatial dispersal of local HIV transmission was determined by calculating the average distance between genetically linked individuals (centroids of 3-digit zip code of residency, ArcGIS®). Results Of 714 sequences, 217 (30.4%) had a putative linkage with at least one other sequence, forming 77 clusters (size range: 2–8). Genetically linked individuals were significantly more likely to live in suburban areas (P = 0.035),
- Published
- 2018