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Aim: To evaluate whether recent low adherence to metformin monotherapy is associated with hypoglycaemia after addition of a sulfonylurea., Methods: We assembled a retrospective cohort of veterans who filled a new prescription for metformin between 2001 and 2011 and intensified treatment with a sulfonylurea after ≥1 year of metformin use. We calculated metformin adherence from pharmacy data using the proportion of days covered in the 180-day period before intensification. The primary outcome was hypoglycaemia, defined as a hospitalization or emergency department visit for hypoglycaemia or an outpatient blood glucose measurement <3.3 mmol/l in the year following intensification. Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare the risk of hypoglycaemia between participants with low (<80%) and high (≥80%) adherence. Adherence was also modelled as a continuous variable using restricted cubic splines., Results: Of 187 267 participants who initiated metformin monotherapy, 49 424 added a sulfonylurea after ≥1 year. The median (interquartile range) rate of treatment adherence was 87 (50-100)% and 43% had adherence <80%. Hypoglycaemia rates per 1000 person-years were 23.1 (95% CI 21.1-25.4) and 24.5 (95% CI 22.7-26.4) in participants with low and high adherence, respectively (adjusted hazard ratio 0.95, 95% CI 0.84-1.08). The risk of hypoglycaemia was similar across all levels of adherence when adherence was modelled as a continuous variable., Conclusions: We found no evidence that past low adherence to metformin monotherapy was associated with hypoglycaemia after intensification with a sulfonylurea., (Published 2018. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.)

Two important challenges are inherent in the design of studies using prescription data from electronic health records: how to define the minimum level of adherence that would qualify as "continuous drug use" and how to handle stockpiling of medications. Generally, the sensitivity of a study's conclusions to these design choices is not analyzed. In our study, covariate adjusted Cox models were used to compare persistence and durability with respect to three common oral antidiabetic therapies in a cohort of 12,697 incident users. Assuming 50% stockpiling, sulfonylurea therapy, as compared with metformin, showed a significantly lower risk of nonpersistence (changing or stopping therapy) when no gap days were allowed (HR 0.95, P = 0.032), no significant difference when 14 gap days were allowed (HR 0.99, P = 0.536), and significantly greater risk of nonpersistence when 30 gap days were allowed (HR 1.05, P = 0.046). All the drug comparisons showed statistically significant effects in both directions, the risk of nonpersistence increasing or decreasing depending on the design parameters.