1. Progression of conventional cardiovascular risk factors and vascular disease risk in individuals: insights from the PROG-IMT consortium.
- Author
-
Bahls M, Lorenz MW, Dörr M, Gao L, Kitagawa K, Tuomainen TP, Agewall S, Berenson G, Catapano AL, Norata GD, Bots ML, van Gilst W, Asselbergs FW, Brouwers FP, Uthoff H, Sander D, Poppert H, Hecht Olsen M, Empana JP, Schminke U, Baldassarre D, Veglia F, Franco OH, Kavousi M, de Groot E, Mathiesen EB, Grigore L, Polak JF, Rundek T, Stehouwer CD, Skilton MR, Hatzitolios AI, Savopoulos C, Ntaios G, Plichart M, McLachlan S, Lind L, Willeit P, Steinmetz H, Desvarieux M, Ikram MA, Johnsen SH, Schmidt C, Willeit J, Ducimetiere P, Price JF, Bergström G, Kauhanen J, Kiechl S, Sitzer M, Bickel H, Sacco RL, Hofman A, Völzke H, and Thompson SG
- Subjects
- Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Young Adult, Biomarkers blood, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Cholesterol, HDL blood, Cholesterol, LDL blood, Disease Progression, Heart Disease Risk Factors, Myocardial Infarction epidemiology, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, Risk Assessment, Stroke epidemiology, Time Factors, Blood Pressure, Cardiovascular Diseases diagnosis, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases mortality, Carotid Artery Diseases diagnostic imaging, Carotid Artery Diseases epidemiology, Carotid Artery Diseases mortality, Cholesterol blood, Dyslipidemias blood, Dyslipidemias diagnosis, Dyslipidemias epidemiology, Dyslipidemias mortality, Hypertension diagnosis, Hypertension epidemiology, Hypertension mortality, Hypertension physiopathology
- Abstract
Aims: Averaged measurements, but not the progression based on multiple assessments of carotid intima-media thickness, (cIMT) are predictive of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in individuals. Whether this is true for conventional risk factors is unclear., Methods and Results: An individual participant meta-analysis was used to associate the annualised progression of systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol with future cardiovascular disease risk in 13 prospective cohort studies of the PROG-IMT collaboration ( n = 34,072). Follow-up data included information on a combined cardiovascular disease endpoint of myocardial infarction, stroke, or vascular death. In secondary analyses, annualised progression was replaced with average. Log hazard ratios per standard deviation difference were pooled across studies by a random effects meta-analysis. In primary analysis, the annualised progression of total cholesterol was marginally related to a higher cardiovascular disease risk (hazard ratio (HR) 1.04, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00 to 1.07). The annualised progression of systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol was not associated with future cardiovascular disease risk. In secondary analysis, average systolic blood pressure (HR 1.20 95% CI 1.11 to 1.29) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.16) were related to a greater, while high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.97) was related to a lower risk of future cardiovascular disease events., Conclusion: Averaged measurements of systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol displayed significant linear relationships with the risk of future cardiovascular disease events. However, there was no clear association between the annualised progression of these conventional risk factors in individuals with the risk of future clinical endpoints.
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF