1. A Transcriptomic Liquid Biopsy Assay for Predicting Resistance to Neoadjuvant Therapy in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma
- Author
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Keisuke Okuno, Masanori Tokunaga, Yusuke Kinugasa, Hideo Baba, Yasuhiro Kodera, and Ajay Goel
- Subjects
Esophageal Neoplasms ,Liquid Biopsy ,Prognosis ,Neoadjuvant Therapy ,Article ,Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic ,MicroRNAs ,Biomarkers, Tumor ,Carcinoma, Squamous Cell ,Humans ,Surgery ,Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma ,RNA, Messenger ,Transcriptome - Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To establish a liquid-biopsy assay to predict response to neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Pretreatment prediction of resistance to NAT is of great significance for the selection of treatment options in ESCC patients. In this study, we comprehensively translated tissue-based microRNA (miRNA) and messenger RNA (mRNA) expression biomarkers into a liquid biopsy assay. METHODS: We analyzed 186 clinical ESCC samples, which included 128 formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded and a matched subset of 58 serum samples, from 2 independent institutions. We performed quantitative reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction, and developed a resistance-prediction model using the logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: We first evaluated the potential of 4-miRNAs and 3-mRNAs panel, which robustly predicted resistance to NAT (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.85). Moreover, addition of tumor size to this panel increased predictive potential to establish a combination signature (AUC: 0.92). We successfully validated this signature performance in independent cohort, and our model was more accurate when the signature was combined with clinical predictors (AUC: 0.81) to establish a NAT resistance risk (NATRR) model. Finally, we successfully translated our NATRR model into a liquid biopsy assay (AUC: 0.78), and a multivariate regression analysis revealed this model as an independent predictor for response to NAT (odds ratio: 6.10; P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: We successfully developed a liquid biopsy-based assay that allows robust prediction of response to NAT in ESCC patients, and our assay provides fundamentals of developing precision-medicine.
- Published
- 2023