Search

OBJECTIVES To evaluate the performance of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 as mortality risk assessment model. DESIGN This prospective study included all admissions 30 days to 18 years old for 12 months during 2016 and 2017. Data gathered included the following: age and gender, diagnosis and reason for PICU admission, data specific for the Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 calculation, PICU outcomes (death or survival), and length of PICU stay. SETTING Nine units that care for children within tertiary or quaternary academic hospitals in South Africa. PATIENTS All admissions 30 days to 18 years old, excluding premature infants, children who died within 2 hours of admission, or children transferred to other PICUs, and those older than 18 years old. INTERVENTIONS None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS There were 3,681 admissions of which 2,253 (61.3%) were male. The median age was 18 months (interquartile range, 6-59.5 mo). There were 354 deaths (9.6%). The Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 predicted 277.47 deaths (7.5%). The overall standardized mortality ratio was 1.28. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.81 (95% CI 0.79-0.83). The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test statistic was 174.4 (p < 0.001). Standardized mortality ratio for all age groups was greater than 1. Standardized mortality ratio for diagnostic subgroups was mostly greater than 1 except for those whose reason for PICU admission was classified as accident, toxin and envenomation, and metabolic which had an standardized mortality ratio less than 1. There were similar proportions of respiratory patients, but significantly greater proportions of neurologic and cardiac (including postoperative) patients in the Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 derivation cohort than the South African cohort. In contrast, the South African cohort contained a significantly greater proportion of miscellaneous (including injury/accident victims) and postoperative noncardiac patients. CONCLUSIONS The Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 discrimination between death and survival among South African units was good. Case-mix differences between these units and the Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 derivation cohort may partly explain the poor calibration. We need to recalibrate Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 to the local setting.

Objective Fluid resuscitation is integral to resuscitation guidelines and critical care. However, fluid overload (FO) yields increased morbidity. Methods Prospective observational study of Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital pediatric intensive care unit admissions (February to March 2013). FO % = (fluid in minus fluid out) [liters]/weight [kg] × 100%. Primary outcomes FO ≥ 10%, 28 day mortality. Results Median [interquartile range (IQR)] age: 9.5 (2.0-39.0) months, median (IQR) admission weight: 7.9 (3.6-13.7) kg. Median (IQR) FO with admission weight: 3.5 (2.1-4.9)%; three patients had FO ≥ 10%. The 28 day mortality was 10% (n = 10). Patients who died had higher mean (IQR) FO using admission weight [4.9 (2.9-9.3)% vs. 3.4 (1.9-4.8)%; p = 0.04]. Conclusions Low FO ≥ 10% prevalence with 28 day mortality 10%. Higher FO% with admission weight associated with mortality (p = 0.04). We advocate further investigation of FO% as a simple bedside tool.

To explore the relationship between lactate:pyruvate ratio, hyperlactataemia, metabolic acidosis, and morbidity. Prospective observational study in the paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of a university hospital. Ninety-seven children after open cardiac surgery. Most children (94%) fell into low-moderate operative risk categories; observed PICU mortality was 1%. Blood was sampled on admission for acid-base analysis, lactate, and pyruvate. Metabolic acidosis was defined as standard bicarbonate lower than 22 mmol/l, raised lactate as higher than 2 mmol/l, and raised lactate:pyruvate ratio as higher than 20. Median cardiopulmonary bypass and aortic cross-clamp times were 80 and 46 min. Metabolic acidosis occurred in 74%, hyperlactataemia in 42%, and raised lactate:pyruvate ratio in 45% of children. In multivariate analysis lactate:pyruvate ratio increased by 6.4 in children receiving epinephrine infusion and by 0.4 per 10 min of aortic cross-clamp. Duration of inotropic support increased by 0.29 days, ventilatory support by 0.27 days, and PICU stay by 0.42 days, for each 1 mmol/l increase in lactate. Neither standard bicarbonate nor lactate:pyruvate ratio were independently associated with prolongation of PICU support. Elevated lactate:pyruvate ratio was common in children with mild metabolic acidosis and low PICU mortality. Hyperlactataemia, but not elevated lactate:pyruvate ratio or metabolic acidosis, was associated with prolongation of PICU support. Routine measurement of lactate:pyruvate ratio is not warranted for children in low-moderate operative risk categories.

To develop explicit criteria for patient admission in order to optimize utilization of PICU facilities in the face of increasing demand outstripping resources.Multidisciplinary PICU in a university-affiliated referral hospital in Cape Town, South Africa.Retrospective description of policy development and implementationAll patients referred to the Paediatric Intensive Care Unit of the Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital.Development and application of admission policy.In consultation with clinicians at the hospital, principles for utilization of PICU resources were established and then translated into specific policies for prioritization of admission of particular groups of patients. The hospital team developed and implemented: criteria for intensive care admission; prioritization for certain categories of patients (including those scheduled for elective surgery); processes for refusing intensive care admission to other categories of patients; and processes to review implementation. These criteria and procedures were made explicit to clinicians, administrators, and managers and eventually agreed to by them. It was challenging to obtain "buy-in" from all potential stakeholders in the process and also to implement such policies under conditions of high stress.Development and implementation of explicit policies for utilization of PICU resources provide a "reasonable" process for fair and equitable utilization of scarce resources. The factors that have to be considered while developing these policies may extend beyond the priorities of individual patients. Implementation is still fraught with problems. Development of explicit admission policies that consider the needs of individual patients and also the longer term development of healthcare services may enable the retention of small but essential services.

Aims: To describe acid–base derangements in children following open cardiac surgery on cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), using the Fencl–Stewart strong ion approach. Methods: Prospective observational study set in the paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of a university children's hospital. Arterial blood gas parameters, serum electrolytes, strong ion difference, strong ion gap (SIG), and partitioned base excess (BE) were measured and calculated on admission to PICU. Results: A total of 97 children, median age 57 months (range 0.03–166), median weight 14 kg (range 2.1–50), were studied. Median CPB time was 80 minutes (range 17–232). Predicted mortality was 2% and there was a single non-survivor. These children showed mild metabolic acidosis (median standard bicarbonate 20.1 mmol/l, BE –5.1 mEq/l) characterised by hyperchloraemia (median corrected Cl 113 mmol/l), and hypoalbuminaemia (median albumin 30 g/l), but no significant excess unmeasured anions or cations (median SIG 0.7 mEq/l). The major determinants of the net BE were the chloride and albumin components (chloride effect –4.8 mEq/l, albumin effect +3.4 mEq/l). Metabolic acidosis occurred in 72 children (74%) but was not associated with increased morbidity. Hyperchloraemia was a causative factor in 53 children (74%) with metabolic acidosis. Three (4%) hyperchloraemic children required adrenaline for inotropic support, compared to eight children (28%) without hyperchloraemia. Hypoalbuminaemia was associated with longer duration of inotropic support and PICU stay. Conclusions: In these children with low mortality following open cardiac surgery, hypoalbuminaemia and hyperchloraemia were the predominant acid–base abnormalities. Hyperchloraemia was associated with reduced requirement for adrenaline therapy. It is suggested that hyperchloraemic metabolic acidosis is a benign phenomenon that should not prompt escalation of haemodynamic support. By contrast, hypoalbuminaemia, an alkalinising force, was associated with prolonged requirement for intensive care.