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Objective : The aim of this study was to identify perioperative risk factors associated with intensive care unit readmission and in-hospital death after cardiac surgery. Design : Retrospective analysis using a multivariable regression model to identify independent risk factors for ICU readmission and in-hospital mortality. Setting : The study was carried out in a single tertiary-care hospital. Participants : This was an analysis of 2789 adult patients. Interventions : All patients underwent cardiac surgery and were admitted to the intensive care unit perioperatively at the General Hospital Vienna. Measurements and Main Results : Among the 2789 patients included in the analysis, 167 (6%) were readmitted to the intensive care unit during the same hospital stay. Preoperative risk factors associated with ICU readmission included end-stage renal failure (odds ratio (OR) 2.80, 95% CI: 1.126-6.964), arrhythmia (OR 1.59, 95% CI: 1.019-2.480), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 1.51, 95% CI: 1.018-2.237), age > 80 (OR 2.55, 95% CI: 1.189-5.466), and EuroSCORE II > 8 (OR 1.40, 95% CI: 1.013-1.940). Readmitted patients were more likely to die than non-readmitted patients (OR 5.3, 95% CI: 3.284-8.558). In-hospital mortality in readmitted patients was 19.2%, whereas that in the non-readmitted study population was 5.1%. Conclusion : Preoperative risk assessment is crucial for identifying cardiac surgery patients at risk of ICU readmission and in-hospital death. The potentially modifiable risk factors pinpointed by our study call for the optimization of care before surgery and after ICU discharge.

Preoperative assessment is essential to prevent inferior alveolar nerve (IAN) injury during surgical extraction of the lower third molar (LM3). Here, we aimed to establish an assessment system to predict IAN injury during surgical extraction of the LM3. We conducted a retrospective cohort study on 115 patients diagnosed as 'high-risk' based on our previous risk assessment method involving three anatomical features of the inferior alveolar canal using computed tomographic (CT) images. We evaluated the occurrence of neurosensory impairment in these high-risk patients, and its association with novel anatomic features based on CT images. Neurosensory impairments were observed in 19 patients (16.5%). The inferior alveolar canal major diameter (p0.0001) and lingual bone thickness (p = 0.0039) were significantly associated with the occurrence of neurosensory impairment during LM3 extraction. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to determine cut-off values of these quantitative factors to specifically predict IAN injury. Preoperative risk assessment with quantitative factors based on anatomical features observed on CT images may facilitate more appropriate surgical planning for patients at a high risk of IAN injury.

Background: Existing postoperative pancreatic fistula risk scores rely on intraoperative parameters, which limits their value in the preoperative setting. A preoperative predictive model to stratify the risk of developing postoperative pancreatic fistula before pancreatoduodenectomy was built and externally validated. Methods: A regression risk-tree model for preoperative postoperative pancreatic fistula risk stratification was developed in the Verona University Hospital training cohort using preoperative variables and then tested prospectively in a validation cohort of patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy at San Raffaele Hospital of Milan. Results: In the study period 566 (training cohort) and 456 (validation cohort) patients underwent pancreatoduodenectomy. In the multivariable analysis body mass index, radiographic main pancreatic duct diameter and American Society of Anesthesiologists score ≥3 were independently associated with postoperative pancreatic fistula. The regression tree analysis allocated patients into 3 preoperative risk groups with an 8%, 21%, and 32% risk of postoperative pancreatic fistula (all P < .01) based on main pancreatic duct diameter (≥ or

AIM Conventional surgical management of colovesical and colovaginal fistulas can be morbid and is contraindicated in many patients. Our aim in this work is to evaluate our experience in the management of colovesical and colovaginal fistulas with endoscopic over-the-scope (OTS) clips. METHOD A retrospective review of all patients who underwent attempted endoscopic OTS clip management of colovesical and colovaginal fistulas between 2013 and 2020 was performed. Preoperative risk factors, operative details and postoperative outcomes are reported. RESULTS Ten patients were identified. Fistula types were: colovesical (five), rectovesical (two), colovaginal (two) and rectovaginal (one). The aetiology of the fistula was diverticular disease in seven (70%) cases and surgical complication of pelvic surgery in three (30%). The mean defect age was 157 ± 98 days, the mean defect diameter was 4.5 mm (range 2-10 mm) and the mean fistula length was 15 mm (range 2-25 mm). In nine (90%) cases, fistula identification and cannulation were performed through the nonenteric lumen of the fistula. Initial management with an OTS clip was technically successful in eight (80%) patients. Of the eight patients who underwent OTS clip placement, long-term success (mean follow-up 218 days, range 25-673 days) was achieved after initial intervention in four (50%) patients. One patient underwent serial OTS clip procedures and achieved long-term success after four interventions; three patients have not undergone a repeat procedure after initial failure. CONCLUSION Endoscopic management of colovesical and colovaginal fistulas with OTS clips offers a promising therapeutic option for patients with contraindications to conventional surgical management. Immediate technical success and long-term success rates are similar to other gastrointestinal tract applications of OTS clips.

Various risk score calculators used to predict 30-day mortality after treatment of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (rAAAs) have produced mixed results regarding their usefulness and reproducibility. We prospectively validated the accuracy of our preoperative scoring system in a modern cohort of patients with rAAAs.A retrospective review of all patients wiith rAAAs who had presented to a single academic center from January 2002 to December 2018 was performed. The patients were divided into three cohorts according to when the institutional practice changes had occurred: the pre-endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) era (January 2002 to July 2007), the pre-Harbor View risk score era (August 2007 to October 2013), and the modern era (November 2013 to December 2018). The primary outcome measure was 30-day mortality. Our preoperative risk score assigns 1 point for each of the following: age76 years, pH 7.2, creatinine2 mg/dL, and any episode of hypotension (systolic blood pressure 70 mm Hg). The previously reported mortality from a retrospective analysis of the first two cohorts was 22% for 1 point, 69% for 2 points, 78% for 3 points, and 100% for 4 points. The goal of the present study was to prospectively validate the Harborview scoring system in the modern era.During the 17-year study period, 417 patients with rAAAs were treated at our institution. Of the 118 patients treated in the modern era, 45 (38.1%) had undergone open aneurysm repair (OAR), 61 (51.7%) had undergone EVAR, and 12 (10.2%) had received comfort measures only. Excluding the 12 patients without aneurysm repair, we found a statistically significant linear trend between the preoperative risk score and subsequent 30-day mortality for all patients combined (P .0001), for OAR patients alone (P = .0003), and for EVAR patients alone (P .0001). After adjustment for the Harborview risk score, the 30-day mortality was 41.3% vs 31.6% after OAR vs EVAR, respectively (P = .2). For all repairs, the 30-day mortality was 14.6% for a score of 0, 35.7% for a score of 1, 68.4% for a score of 2, and 100% for a score of 3 or 4.Our results, representing one of the largest modern series of rAAAs treated at a single institution, have confirmed the accuracy of a simple 4-point preoperative risk score in predicting 30-day mortality in the modern rAAA patient. Such tools should be used when discussing the treatment options with referring physicians, patients, and their family members to help guide transfer and treatment decision-making.

Frailty has been widely recognized as a predictor of postoperative outcomes. Given the paucity of standardized frailty measurements in thoracic procedures, this study aimed to determine the impact of coding-based frailty on clinical outcomes and resource use after anatomic lung resection.All adults undergoing elective, anatomic lung resections (segmentectomy, lobectomy, pneumonectomy) from 2005 to 2014 were identified using the National Inpatient Sample. Patients were categorized as either frail or nonfrail on the basis of the presence of any frailty-defining diagnoses defined by the Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Groups. Multivariable models were used to assess the independent association of frailty with in-hospital mortality, nonhome discharge, complications, duration of stay, and costs.Of an estimated 366,357 hospitalizations for elective lung resection during the study period, 4.4% were in frail patients. Patients who underwent pneumonectomy or were treated at low-volume hospitals were more commonly frail. Relative to nonfrail patients, frailty was associated with increased unadjusted mortality (9.1% vs 1.7%; P.001) and nonhome discharge (44.7% vs 10.5%; P.001). Frail patients had 3.47 increased adjusted odds of mortality across resection types (95% confidence interval, 2.94 to 4.09). Frailty conferred the greatest increase in mortality, complications, and resource use after pneumonectomy relative to lobectomy or segmentectomy, although significant differences were evident for all 3 operations.Frailty exhibits a strong association with inferior clinical outcomes and increased resource use after elective lung resection, particularly pneumonectomy. This readily available tool may improve preoperative risk assessment and allow for better selection of treatment modalities for frail patients with pulmonary disorders.

The Technical Performance Score (TPS) can predict outcomes after congenital cardiac surgery. We sought to validate TPS as a predictor of both short- and long-term outcomes of the Norwood procedure.We conducted a retrospective review of patients who underwent the Norwood procedure from 1997 to 2017. We assigned TPS (class 1, no residua; class 2, minor residua; class 3, major residua or reintervention for major residua before discharge) based on subcomponent scores from discharge echocardiograms or unplanned reinterventions, or both. Multivariable Cox or competing risk analysis, adjusted for preoperative patient- and procedure-related covariates, examined the association of TPS with postoperative hospital length of stay, transplant-free survival, and postdischarge reinterventions.Among 500 patients, 319 (64%) were male, 54 (11%) were premature, 56 (11%) had noncardiac anomalies/syndromes, 146 (29%) had preoperative risk factors, and 480 (96%) were assigned TPS. On multivariable analysis, class 3 had greater hazard for reinterventions in transplant-free survivors (class 3: subdistribution hazard ratio [HR], 2.06; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-3.16; P = .001) and was associated with increased hospital length of stay vs class 1 (HR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.18-0.34; P.001). Transplant-free survival after Norwood surgery was shorter for both class 2 (HR, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.68-3.66; P.001) and class 3 (HR, 3.29; 95% CI, 2.18-4.95; P.001).TPS predicts early and late outcomes after Norwood. Absence of residual lesions results in improved long-term prognosis for single-ventricle patients. TPS may improve outcomes after Norwood by identifying patients warranting closer follow-up and potentially earlier reintervention.

Background The universal Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System (SURPAS) prediction models for postoperative adverse outcomes have good accuracy for estimating risk in broad surgical populations and for surgical specialties. The accuracy in individual operations has not yet been assessed. The objective of this study was to evaluate the Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System in predicting adverse outcomes for selected individual operations. Methods The SURPAS models were applied to the top 2 most frequent common procedural terminology codes in 9 surgical specialties and 5 additional common general surgical operations in the 2009 to 2018 database of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP). Goodness of fit statistics were estimated, including c-indices for discrimination, Hosmer-Lemeshow graphs and P values for calibration, overall observed versus expected event rates, and Brier scores. Results The total sample size was 2,020,172, which represented 29% of the 6.9 million operations in the ACS NSQIP database. Average c-indices across 12 outcomes were acceptable (≥0.70) for 13 (56.5%) of the 23 operations. Overall observed-to-expected rates were similar for mortality and overall morbidity across the 23 operations. Hosmer-Lemeshow graphs over quintiles of risk comparing observed-to-expected rates of mortality and overall morbidity were similar for 52% and 70% of operations, respectively. Model performance was better in less complex operations and those done in patients with lower preoperative risk. Conclusion SURPAS displayed accuracy in estimating postoperative adverse events for some of the 23 operations studied, but not all. In the procedures where SURPAS was not accurate, developing disease or operation-specific risk models might be appropriate.

Background The Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System (SURPAS) uses eight variables to accurately predict postoperative complications but has not been sufficiently studied in emergency surgery. We evaluated SURPAS in emergency surgery, comparing it to the Emergency Surgery Score (ESS). Methods SURPAS and ESS estimates of 30-day mortality and overall morbidity were calculated for emergency operations in the 2009–2018 ACS-NSQIP database and compared using observed-to-expected plots and rates, c-indices, and Brier scores. Cases with incomplete data were excluded. Results In 205,318 emergency patients, SURPAS underestimated (8.1%; 35.9%) while ESS overestimated (10.1%; 43.8%) observed mortality and morbidity (8.9%; 38.8%). Each showed good calibration on observed-to-expected plots. SURPAS had better c-indices (0.855 vs 0.848 mortality; 0.802 vs 0.755 morbidity), while the Brier score was better for ESS for mortality (0.0666 vs. 0.0684) and for SURPAS for morbidity (0.1772 vs. 0.1950). Conclusions SURPAS accurately predicted mortality and morbidity in emergency surgery using eight predictor variables.

STUDY DESIGN A retrospective study. OBJECTIVE To determine in which case one level proximal to last substantially touching vertebra (LSTV-1) could be a valid lowest instrumented vertebra (LIV), in which case distal fusion should extend to last substantially touching vertebra (LSTV), and to identify risk factors for distal adding-on. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA Posterior thoracic fusion to save more lumbar mobile segments has become the mainstay of operative treatment for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) with Lenke 1A/2A curves. Although previous studies have recommended selecting the LSTV as LIV, good outcomes could still be achieved in some cases when LSTV-1 was selected as LIV. METHODS Ninety-four patients were included in the study with a minimum of 2-year follow-up after posterior thoracic instrumentation, in which LSTV-1 was selected as LIV. Patients were identified with distal adding-on between first erect radiographs and 2-year follow-up based on previously defined parameters. Factors associated with the incidence of adding-on were analyzed. RESULTS The mean follow-up duration was 37.7 ± 15.8 months. Forty patients (42.6%) with LSTV-1 selected as LIV achieved good outcomes at the last follow-up. Several preoperative risk factors significantly associated with distal adding-on were identified, including lower Risser (P = 0.001), longer thoracic curve length (P = 0.005), larger rotation and deviation of LSTV-1 (P

To determine the preoperative risk factors most predictive of prolonged length of stay (LOS) or admission to a skilled nursing facility (SNF) or inpatient rehabilitation center (IPR) after free flap reconstruction of the head and neck.Retrospective cohort study.Tertiary academic medical center.Retrospective review of 1008 patients who underwent tumor resection and free flap reconstruction of the head and neck at a tertiary referral center from 2002 to 2019.Of 1008 patients (65.7% male; mean age of 61.4 years, SD 14.0 years), 161 (15.6%) were discharged to SNF/IPR, and the median LOS was 7 days. In multiple linear regression analysis, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI;Common tools for assessing frailty and need for additional care may be inadequate in a head and neck reconstructive population. CCI appears to be the best of the aggregate metrics assessed, with significant relationships to both LOS and placement in SNF/IPR.

Objectives The phenomenon of systolic anterior motion (SAM) of the mitral valve (MV) was discovered 50 years ago, but to date only a few studies have identified risk factors for SAM following mitral repair. There are limited data on the necessity of surgical reintervention on the MV once SAM is discovered by intraoperative transesophageal echocardiography. We sought to identify predictors of SAM in a large cohort of consecutive patients, assess the rate of early reintervention on the MV to address SAM, and follow the progression of SAM postdischarge. Methods Analysis of electronically stored echocardiographic exams of adults who underwent MV repair in a recent decade. Results Following MV repair, the incidence of SAM immediately after cardiopulmonary bypass was 13% (98 of 761 patients). Multivariable analysis revealed several preoperative risk factors of SAM development and progression, including a lower ratio of anterior to posterior leaflets heights, younger age, lower end-systolic left ventricular volume, presence of bileaflet prolapse, and male sex. SAM was managed conservatively in 91 patients (93%) and surgically in 7 patients (7%). In a majority of patients (70 of 98 patients [71%]) SAM resolved before hospital discharge. Conclusions Transesophageal echocardiography findings associated with SAM were excessive height of posterior to anterior mitral leaflet, smaller left ventricular end-systolic volume, and bileaflet prolapse. Conservative management of SAM was usually successful, and persistent hemodynamically significant SAM was uncommon. Prophylactic modification of the surgical technique to avoid SAM seems unnecessary for all but those at highest risk for developing SAM.

Background Preoperative evaluation of aggressiveness, including tumor histological subtype, grade of differentiation, Federation International of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage, and depth of myometrial invasion, is significant for treatment planning and prognosis in endometrial carcinoma (EC). The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether three-dimensional (3D) magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) can help predict the aggressiveness of EC. Methods From August 2015 to January 2019, 82 consecutive patients with suspected uterine tumors underwent pelvic MRI and MRE scans, and 15 patients with confirmed EC after surgical resection were enrolled. According to pathological results (tumor grade, histological subtype, FIGO stage, and myometrial invasiveness), the patients were divided into two subgroups. The independent-samples t-test or Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare the stiffness between different groups. The diagnostic performance was determined with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results The stiffness of EC with ≥ 50 % (n = 6) myometrial invasion was significantly higher than that with n = 9) myometrial invasion (3.68 ± 0.59 kPa vs. 2.61 ± 0.72 kPa, p = 0.009). Using a stiffness of 3.04 kPa as a cutoff value resulted in 100 % sensitivity and 77.8 % specificity for differentiating ≥ 50 % myometrial invasion from n = 7) (3.47 ± 0.64 kPa vs. 2.55 ± 0.82 kPa, p = 0.028). Using a stiffness of 3.04 kPa as a cutoff value resulted in 75 % sensitivity and 71.4 % specificity for differentiating poorly differentiated from well/moderately differentiated EC. The stiffness of FIGO stage II/III EC was significantly higher than that of FIGO stage I EC (3.69 ± 0.65 kPa vs. 2.72 ± 0.76 kPa, p = 0.030). Using a stiffness of 3.04 kPa as a cutoff value resulted in 100 % sensitivity and 70 % specificity for differentiating FIGO stage I EC from FIGO stage II/III EC. The tumor stiffness value in type II (n = 3) EC was higher than that in type I (n = 12) EC (3.67 ± 0.59 kPa vs. 2.88 ± 0.85 kPa), but the difference was not significant (p = 0.136). Conclusions Tumor stiffness measured by 3D MRE may be potentially useful for predicting tumor grade, FIGO stage and myometrial invasion of EC and can aid in the preoperative risk stratification of EC.

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS To identify factors that may increase the risk of unplanned admission following elective outpatient endoscopic sinonasal surgery (ESS). STUDY DESIGN Retrospective analysis of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP). METHODS All cases of ESS were extracted from the 2010 to 2018 NSQIP database using Current Procedural Terminology codes. Only cases coded as outpatient, elective, and nonemergent procedures were included. Unplanned admissions were defined as cases with a total hospital stay of 1 day or more. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify variables that independently predicted unanticipated admission. RESULTS A total of 971 cases met inclusion criteria, of which 274 (28.2%) were unanticipated admissions. Patients in the unplanned admission group were more likely to be older (46.8 vs. 41.1 years, P

Prolonged postoperative mechanical ventilation (PPMV) increases length of stay, hospitalization costs, and postoperative complications. Independent risk factors associated with PPMV are not well-known for children.We identified children (18 years) in the ACS NSQIP-P database who underwent a general surgical abdominal operation. We excluded children with preoperative ventilator dependence and mortality within 48 h of surgery. PPMV was defined as cumulative postoperative mechanical ventilation exceeding 72 h. A multivariable logistic regression model identified independent predictors of PPMV.We identified 108,392 children who underwent a general surgical abdominal operation in the ACS NSQIP-P database from 2012 to 2017. We randomly divided the population into a derivation cohort of 75,874(70%) and a validation cohort of 32,518(30%). In the derivation cohort, we identified PPMV in 1,643(2.2%). In the multivariable model, the strongest independent predictor of PPMV was neonatal age (OR:20.66; 95%CI:16.44-25.97). Other independent risk factors for PPMV were preoperative inotropic support (OR:10.56; 95%CI:7.56-14.77), an operative time longer than 150 min (OR:4.30; 95%CI:3.72-4.52), and an American Society of Anesthesiologists classification3 (OR:12.16; 95%CI:10.75-13.75).Independent preoperative risk factors for PPMV in children undergoing a general surgical operation were neonatal age, preoperative ionotropic support, duration of operation, and ASA classification3.

Study Objective To evaluate the diagnostic performance of a Volume and Solid Vascular Tissue Score (VSVTS) for preoperative risk assessment of pediatric and adolescent adnexal masses. Design A retrospective cohort study comprised of all female individuals who presented with an adnexal mass that was managed surgically between April 2011 and March 2016. Setting The Hospital for Sick Children (Toronto, Ontario, Canada). Participants Female individuals 1–18 years of age who presented to a large tertiary pediatric hospital with an adnexal mass that was managed surgically. Main Outcome Measures Main outcome measures included diagnostic performance of the VSVTS for malignancy via sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), positive likelihood ratio (LR+), negative likelihood ratio (LR−), and receiver operating characteristic area-under-the-curve (AUC) analysis. Results A total of 179 masses in 169 subjects were included. The malignancy rate was 10.6%. The AUC for the VSTVS was 0.919. A VSTVS cut-off value of 4 achieved a sensitivity of 79% (95% CI 0.54-0.93), specificity of 88% (95% CI 0.82-0.93), PPV of 0.44 (95% CI 0.33-0.56), NPV of 0.97 (95% CI 0.94-0.99), LR+ of 6.77 (95% CI 4.18-10.97), and LR− of 0.24 (95% CI 0.10-0.57). Conclusions A sonographic scoring system based on the volume and presence of solid vascular tissue improves PPV for preoperative risk stratification of adnexal masses in the pediatric and adolescent population compared to existing ultrasound-only approaches. Further prospective research is needed to determine how best to incorporate components of such scoring systems into clinical management algorithms.

The available data on outcomes after transfemoral carotid artery stenting (TFCAS) originate from the early experience with TFCAS. Although most previous studies stratified outcomes according to a symptomatic or asymptomatic presentation, they often did not specify the degree of presenting neurologic injury. We previously reported that the outcomes after carotid endarterectomy differed according to neurologic injury severity, the contemporary perioperative outcomes of TFCAS stratified by the specific presenting symptom status are unknown.Patients with data in the Vascular Quality Initiative database who had undergone TFCAS from 2016 to 2020 were included. We stratified patients according to their preprocedural symptom status as asymptomatic, formerly symptomatic (last symptoms180 days before the procedure), or recently symptomatic (symptoms 180 days before the procedure). The symptoms included stroke, hemispheric transient ischemic attack (TIA), and ocular TIA. We compared the occurrence of in-hospital stroke or death (stroke/death) among the asymptomatic, formerly symptomatic, and specific subtypes of recently symptomatic patients. Multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to adjust for the baseline differences among the groups.Of the 9807 included patients, 2650 (27%) had had recent stroke, 842 (9%), recent hemispheric TIA, and 360 (4%), recent ocular TIA. In addition, 795 patients (8%) were formerly symptomatic and 5160 (53%) were asymptomatic. The patients with recent stroke had a perioperative stroke/death rate of 5.5%, higher than that of patients with recent hemispheric TIA (2.4%; P .001) or recent ocular TIA (2.8%; P = .03) and asymptomatic patients (1.4%; P .001). The stroke/death rate was greater for patients with recent ocular TIA than for asymptomatic patients (2.8% vs 1.4%; P = .04). Formerly symptomatic patients had higher stroke/death rates compared with asymptomatic patients (3.5% vs 1.4%; P .001). On multivariable-adjusted analysis, recent stroke was associated with higher stroke/death compared with recent hemispheric TIA (odds ratio [OR], 2.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-4.3; P .001) and asymptomatic status (OR, 4.1; 95% CI, 3.0-5.6; P .001) and demonstrated a trend toward higher stroke/death compared with recent ocular TIA (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.0-3.9; P = .06). Furthermore, asymptomatic status was associated with lower stroke/death compared with formerly symptomatic status (OR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.6; P .001).For patients undergoing TFCAS, recent stroke was associated with greater odds of in-hospital stroke/death after TFCAS compared with recent hemispheric TIA. Also, formerly symptomatic status was associated with greater odds of stroke/death compared with asymptomatic status. These findings support further symptom stratification by the degree of the presenting neurologic injury in the preoperative risk assessment.

Introduction The Waterlow score (WS) is used routinely in clinical practice to assess risk of pressure sore development. Recent studies have also suggested its use in preoperative risk stratification. The primary aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the current evidence on the WS in predicting morbidity and mortality in surgical patients. Methods A systematic review was carried out in accordance with PRISMA and SWiM guidelines. A search strategy was conducted on the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases. Quality was assessed using the Newcastle–Ottawa scale. Findings Overall, 72 papers were identified, of which 7 met inclusion criteria for full text review, and 4 were included for analysis. All studies were cohort in nature and published between 2013 and 2016, encompassing a total of 505 surgical patients. The studies included general, vascular, transplant and orthopaedic surgery. A high WS was demonstrated to have statistically significant association with increased morbidity and mortality as well as need for intensive care unit admission and length of stay. Furthermore, this was a more accurate predictor compared with the P-POSSUM and ASA scoring systems used currently in routine practice. Conclusions The WS is a promising tool for risk stratification of surgical patients. It is already collected routinely by nursing staff throughout hospitals in the UK and would therefore be easy to implement. However, further large prospective studies are required in order to validate these findings prior to its establishment for this role in everyday surgical practice.

INTRODUCTION Despite increasing reports of laparoscopy for strangulated small bowel obstruction (SSBO), there is no consensus on outcomes in patients with SSBO. We evaluated the safety and utility of laparoscopy for SSBO and investigated the preoperative risk factors for laparotomy. METHODS This retrospective study included 107 patients who underwent emergency surgery for SSBO over a period of 6 years. Patients' characteristics and surgical parameters were compared between 27 patients undergoing laparoscopy alone (group L) and 80 patients undergoing laparotomy (group O, including conversion). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine risk factors for laparotomy. RESULTS Compared with group L, group O had significantly shorter operation time (59 vs 115 minutes, P

Machine learning models used to predict postoperative mortality rarely include intraoperative factors. Several intraoperative factors like hypotension (IOH), vasopressor-inotropes, and cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time are significantly associated with postoperative outcomes. The authors explored the ability of machine learning models incorporating intraoperative risk factors to predict mortality after cardiac surgery.Retrospective study.Tertiary hospital.A total of 5,015 adults who underwent cardiac surgery from 2008 to 2016.None.The intraoperative phase was divided into the following: (1) CPB, (2) outside CPB, and (3) total surgery for quantifying IOH only. Phase-specific IOH parameters (area under the curve for mean arterial pressure65 mmHg), vasopressor-inotropes (norepinephrine equivalents), duration, and cross-clamp time, along with preoperative risk factors ,were incorporated into the models. The primary outcome was mortality. The following 5 models were applied to 3 intraoperative phases separately: (1) logistic regression, (2) random forests, (3) neural networks, (4) support vector machines, and (5) extreme gradient boosting (XGB). Mortality was predicted using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Of 5,015 patients included, 112 (2.2%) died. XGB model from the outside-CPB phase predicted mortality better with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.88(0.83-0.94); positive predictive value, 0.10(0.06-0.15); specificity 0.85 (0.83-0.87) and sensitivity 0.75 (0.57-0.90).XGB machine learning model from IOH outside the CPB phase seemed to offer a better discrimination, sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value compared with other models. Machine learning models incorporating intraoperative adverse factors might offer better predictive ability for risk stratification and triaging of patients after cardiac surgery.

Background In patients with early hepatocellular cancer (HCC) and preserved liver function, the choice between transplantation, resection and ablation and which factors to consider is not obvious and guidelines differ. In this national cohort study, we aimed to compare posttreatment survival in patients fulfilling predefined criteria, and to analyse preoperative risk factors that could influence decision. Methods We used data from HCC-patients registered with primary transplantation, resection or ablation 2008–2016 in the SweLiv-registry. In Child A-subgroups, 18–75 years, we compared survival after transplantation or resection, with different tumour criteria; either corresponding to our transplantation criteria (N = 257) or stricter with single tumours ≤50 mm (N = 159). A subgroup with single tumours ≤30 mm, compared all three treatments (N = 193). Results We included 1022 HCC-patients; transplantation n = 223, resection n = 438, ablation n = 361. In the transplant criteria subgroup, differences in five-year survival, adjusted for age and gender, were not significant, with 71.2% (CI 62.3–81.3) after transplantation (n = 109) and 63.5% (CI 54.9–73.5) after resection (n = 148). Good liver function (Child 5 vs. 6, Albumin ≥36), increased the risk after transplantation, but decreased the risk after resection and ablation. Conclusion Even within Child A, detailed liver function assessment is important before treatment decision, and for stratifying survival comparisons.

Background: Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy (LDP) is a challenging operation due to technical complexity and tumor-related factors. Aim of this study was to identify preoperative risk factors affecting LDP difficulty. Methods: Consecutive patients who underwent LDP between 2015 and 2018 at San Raffaele Hospital and Policlinico S.Orsola-Malpighi Hospital were enrolled retrospectively. Three variables were used to define surgical difficulty: conversion to open, duration of surgery >3rd quartile and intraoperative blood loss >3rd quartile. The presence of ≥1 of these 3 variables was considered as another measure of difficulty. Results: Overall, 191 patients were included. Conversion to open was required in 25 patients (13%). At multiple regression analysis, tumor proximity to major vessels was the only independent predictor of conversion from laparoscopic to open (p < 0.001). No variables independently predicted an excessive duration of surgery. Male gender (p = 0.033) and increasing parenchymal thickness at resection line (p = 0.018) were independent predictors of excessive blood loss. Increasing parenchymal thickness at resection line (p = 0.014) and tumor proximity to major vessels (p = 0.002) were significant risk factors for the presence of ≥1 outcome of surgical difficulty. Conclusion: Male gender, increasing parenchymal thickness at resection line and tumor proximity to major vessels represent preoperative risk factors of LDP difficulty.

BackgroundOne in five patients experience chronic pain 12months following total knee arthroplasty (TKA). This longitudinal study used a person-centred approach to identify subgroups of patients with distinct chronic pain profiles following TKA and identified preoperative characteristics associated with these profiles.MethodsOn the day before surgery, 202 patients completed questionnaires that assessed pain, interference with functioning, fatigue, anxiety, depression and illness perceptions. Average and worst pain were assessed prior to surgery, on postoperative day 4, at 6week and at 3 and 12months following surgery. Using growth mixture modelling, two subgroups with distinct average and worst pain profiles were identified.ResultsPatients in the "lower average" and "lower worst" pain classes had moderate preoperative pain scores that decreased over the remaining 9months following TKA. Patients in the "higher average" and "higher worst" pain classes had relatively higher preoperative pain scores that increased during the first three months and then decreased slightly over the remaining 9months. Patients in the higher pain classes had higher interference with function scores; used opioids prior to surgery more often, were more likely to receive a continuous nerve block and ketamine; had higher preoperative fatigue severity and interference scores; and had worse perceptions of illness than patients in the lower pain classes.ConclusionsThese risk factors may be used to identify subgroups of patients at higher risk for more severe pain after TKA. Future studies should test whether modifying these risk factors can improve patients' outcomes after TKA.Significance statementThe present study provides a novel and original analysis of pain profiles following total knee arthroplasty that may contribute to our understanding of the transition from acute to chronic pain. Our results may be used to identify patients at higher risk for poorer outcomes based on preoperative risk factors.

BACKGROUND Pancreaticobiliary malignant diseases are primarily treated by surgical resection. However, the surgical indications for elderly patients, especially for pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD), must be carefully considered due to patient compliance. Whether PD can contribute to better prognoses in elderly patients remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the complications, compliance, and survival of elderly and non-elderly patients who underwent PD in our department. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 282 patients who underwent PD from 2000 to 2017 and divided them into non-elderly (aged ≤ 79 years, n = 238) and elderly (aged ≥ 80 years, n = 44) groups. The estimation of physiologic ability and surgical stress (E-PASS) system was used to evaluate morbidity and mortality using preoperative risk score (PRS), surgical stress score (SSS), and comprehensive risk score (CRS). RESULTS Preoperative risk score was higher in the elderly group than in the non-elderly group, although SSS and CRS were similar. No significant differences were detected in the occurrence of postoperative complications. In the elderly group, CRS was higher in patients with complications than in those without. Long-term outcomes evaluated by overall and disease-specific survival were not significantly different. CONCLUSIONS In the elderly patients, E-PASS especially CRS can predict the occurrence of complications. The safety and prognoses of elderly patients after PD are comparable with those of non-elderly patients.

Cognitive impairment (CI) is common in geriatric patients. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence and impact of CI on outcomes in geriatric patients undergoing emergency general surgery (EGS).We performed a (2017-2018) prospective analysis of patients (age ≥65y) who underwent EGS. Cognition was assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA). Patients were stratified into: CI (MoCA score26) and no-CI (MoCA≥26). Outcomes were the prevalence of CI, in-hospital complications, discharged to rehab/skilled nursing facility (SNF), and mortality.A total of 142 patients were enrolled. Overall prevalence of CI was 20%. Patients with CI had higher rates of complications (OR 1.6 [1.4-1.9]; p = 0.01), and discharge to rehab/SNF (OR 2.2 [2.0-2.5]; p = 0.03). There was no difference in mortality (OR 1.1 [0.6-1.8]; p = 0.24) between the 2 groups.One in five geriatric EGS patients has CI. It is associated with higher complications and adverse discharge. Cognitive assessment should be included in preoperative risk stratification.

Coronary artery disease is one of the commonest surgery demanding cardiovascular diseases. Coronary artery bypass graft surgery is practiced all over the world for the treatment of coronary artery disease. Systemic trauma during the surgery is associated with a wide range of complications, some of which are fatal. Preoperative risk factors such as age, previous illness and obesity are common predictors of these adverse events. Advances in therapeutic medicine have allowed timely treatment of these adverse events and co-morbidities. This review summarizes some of the most occurring complications associated with coronary artery bypass graft and corresponding treatment options.

Aim To explore the potentiality of radiomics analysis, performed on 68Ga-DOTATOC and fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/computed tomography (CT) images, in predicting tumour aggressiveness and outcome in patients candidate to surgery for pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (PanNENs). Patients and methods Retrospective study including 61 patients who underwent 68Ga-DOTATOC and 18F-FDG PET/CT before surgery for PanNEN. Semiquantitative variables [SUVmax and somatostatin receptor density (SRD) for 68Ga-DOTATOC PET; SUVmax and MTV for 18F-FDG PET] and texture features [intensity variability, size zone variability (SZV), zone percentage, entropy; homogeneity, dissimilarity and coefficient of variation (Co-V)] have been analysed to evaluate their possible role in predicting tumour characteristics. Principal component analysis (PCA) was firstly performed and then multiple regression analyses were performed by using the extracted principal components. Results Regarding 68Ga-DOTATOC PET, SZV, entropy, intensity variability and SRD were predictive for tumour dimension. Regarding 18F-FDG PET, intensity variability, SZV, homogeneity, SUVmax and MTV were predictive for tumour dimension. Four principal components were extracted from PCA: PC1 correlated with all 18F-FDG variables, while PC2, PC3 and PC4 with 68Ga-DOTATOC variables. PC1 was the only significantly predicting angioinvasion (P = 0.0222); PC4 was the only one significantly predicting lymph nodal involvement (P = 0.0151). All principal components except PC4 significantly predicted tumour dimension (P

With increasing prevalence of chronic diseases, multimorbid patients have become commonplace in the neurosurgical intensive care unit (neuro-ICU), offering unique management challenges. By reducing physiological reserve and interacting with one another, chronic comorbidities pose a greatly enhanced risk of major postoperative medical complications, especially cardiopulmonary complications, which ultimately exert a negative impact on neurosurgical outcomes. These premises underscore the importance of perioperative optimization, in turn requiring a thorough preoperative risk stratification, a basic understanding of a multimorbid patient’s deranged physiology and a proper appreciation of the potential of surgery, anesthesia and neurocritical care interventions to exacerbate comorbid pathophysiologies. This knowledge enables neurosurgeons, neuroanesthesiologists and neurointensivists to function with a heightened level of vigilance in the care of these high-risk patients and can inform the perioperative neuro-ICU management with individualized strategies able to minimize the risk of untoward outcomes. This review highlights potential pitfalls in the intra- and postoperative neuro-ICU period, describes common preoperative risk stratification tools and discusses tailored perioperative ICU management strategies in multimorbid neurosurgical patients, with a special focus on approaches geared toward the minimization of postoperative cardiopulmonary complications and unplanned reintubation.

Background Proximal interphalangeal joint (PIPJ) arthrodesis can provide reliable pain relief and restore hand function in patients with PIPJ arthritis. However, there is a paucity of literature on patient-specific preoperative risk factors that are associated with adverse outcomes after PIPJ arthrodeses. Therefore, the primary purpose of this study was to assess preoperative predictors of nonunion and reoperation after PIPJ arthrodesis. Methods This study identified all patients who underwent PIPJ arthrodesis at a single community practice between 1987 and 2013. The final analysis included 415 PIPJs treated with arthrodesis. The mean follow-up was 1.3 years. Data on preoperative diagnosis, demographics, comorbidities, and operative techniques were recorded, as well as the occurrence of nonunions and reoperations. Logistic regression models were used to identify independent risk factors of nonunion and reoperation. Results There were 40 nonunions (10%) and 62 reoperations (15%). Of the reoperations, there were 39 incidences of isolated hardware removal, 9 irrigation and debridement, 8 amputations, 5 revision arthrodeses, and 1 corrective osteotomy. The highest number of nonunions occurred in the traumatic diagnosis group (37%), followed by the rheumatoid group (23%) and the scleroderma group (15%). The highest number of reoperations occurred within the traumatic joint disorder group (40%), followed by the rheumatoid group (24%) and the scleroderma group (11%). Multivariate analysis revealed that male sex ( P < .01) and hepatic disease ( P = .03) were significant risk factors of nonunion. Male sex was also significantly associated with increased reoperation risk ( P < .01). Conclusion Risks of nonunions and reoperations after PIPJ arthrodeses are low; however, these findings may guide clinicians and patients in the preoperative decision-making process and help with targeted postoperative surveillance to mitigate these risks.

Purpose To present a statistically validated risk classification system for intraoperative complications in cataract surgery. Setting 2nd Department of Ophthalmology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece. Design Prospective observational study. Methods All patients underwent phacoemulsification surgery by experienced, high-volume surgeons for cases with intraoperative complications. The presence of several risk factors was statistically assessed with the help of multiple correspondence analysis to determine the more reliable rank categorization for severity and to calculate a total risk score. Results This study included 1572 consecutive patients. The proposed system had 3 risk groups and a no-risk group and had high statistical reliability. A comparison of this system against a previously asserted empirical system showed higher internal reliability. Conclusions Previous efforts to construct a risk classification system for intraoperative complications in cataract surgery have been empirically defined and tested against practice-as-usual. The system in this study quantified risk more accurately and provided an experienced clinician with a reliable means of assessing the preoperational likelihood of intraoperative complications.

Background Although most conventional risk prediction models have been based on preoperative information, intra- and post-operative events may be more relevant to mortality after surgery. We sought to develop a mortality risk calculator based on real time characteristics associated with hepatectomy. Methods Patients who underwent hepatectomy between 2014 and 2017 were identified in the ACS-NSQIP dataset. Three prediction models (pre-, intra-, post-operative) were developed and validated using perioperative data. Results Among 14,720 patients, 197 (1.3%) experienced 30-day mortality. The predictive ability of the real-time mortality risk calculator was very good based on only preoperative factors (AUC; training cohort: 0.813, validation cohort: 0.731). Incorporating intra-operative variables into the model increased the AUC (training: 0.838, validation: 0.777), while the post-operative model achieved an AUC of 0.922 in the training and 0.885 in the validation cohorts, respectively. While patients with low preoperative risk had only very small fluctuations in the estimated 30-day mortality risk during the intraoperative (Δ0.4%) and postoperative (Δ0.6%) phases, patients who were already deemed high risk preoperatively had additional increased mortality risk based on factors that occurred in the intraoperative (Δ5.4%) and postoperative (Δ9.3%) periods. Conclusion A real-time mortality risk calculator may better help clinicians identify patients at risk of death at the different stages of the surgical episode.

Background Informed consent is an ethical imperative of surgical practice. This requires effective communication of procedural risks to patients and is learned during residency. No systematic review has yet examined current risk disclosure. This systematic review aims to use existing published information to assess preoperative provision of risk information by surgeons. Methods Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses as a guide, a standardized search in Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, CINHAL, and PubMed was performed. Three reviewers performed the study screening, with 2-reviewer consensus required at each stage. Studies containing objective information concerning preoperative risk provision in adult surgical patients were selected for inclusion. Studies exclusively addressing interventions for pediatric patients or trauma were excluded, as were studies addressing risks of anesthesia. Results The initial search returned 12,988 papers after deduplication, 33 of which met inclusion criteria. These studies primarily evaluated consent through surveys of providers, record reviews and consent recordings. The most ubiquitous finding of all study types was high levels of intra-surgeon variation in what risk information is provided to patients preoperatively. Studies recording consents found the lowest rates of risk disclosure. Studies using multiple forms of investigation corroborated this, finding disparity between verbally provided information vs chart documentation. Conclusions The wide variance in what information is provided to patients preoperatively inhibits the realization of the ethical and practical components of informed consent. The findings of this review indicate that significant opportunities exist for practice improvement. Future development of surgical communication tools and techniques should emphasize standardizing what risks are shared with patients.

Early findings of superior total knee arthroplasty (TKA) outcomes at high volume centers have been thought to have led to distinct referral patterns. However, the effect of these selective referral processes has not been well assessed. Therefore, this study compared the characteristics of primary TKA patients at high, intermediate, and low volume hospitals.A total of 12,541 primary TKA patients were stratified into risk groups based on age (65 years), body mass index (40), and Charlson Comorbidity Index (≥4). Hospitals were classified as low, intermediate, or high volume based on mean annual TKA volumes (250, 250-499, and500). Multivariate logistic regression models evaluated the relationship between baseline patient characteristics and hospital volume.There was a greater percentage of high risk patients at high volume (19%, n = 853) compared to those at intermediate (16%, n = 899) or low volume (17%, n = 444) hospitals (P.001). Patients with a body mass index40 were more likely to be treated at high compared to intermediate (odds ratio [OR] 1.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2-1.6, P.001) and low volume centers (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.2-1.7, P.001). Patients with Charlson Comorbidity Index scores ≥4 were also more likely be treated at high compared to intermediate (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.3-1.6, P.001) or low (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.0-1.4, P = .002) volume centers.This study found that TKA patients at high volume centers have significantly different baseline characteristics compared to those at lower volume centers. This study highlights the importance of considering hospital volume status and the associated disparity in the preoperative risk of patients when comparing primary TKA outcomes between centers.

Many patients with sickle cell disease (SCD) need surgical management during their lifetime. The best approach for preoperative transfusion in SCD is still to be determined. In this single-center retrospective study, we included HBSS/HBS-Beta

BACKGROUND The spine-pelvis-hip interaction during postural change should be considered in the functional anatomy of the hip. The component parts of this anatomy and how they influence hip function are important to know. Pelvic incidence (PI) is one of these components. We studied if PI was preoperatively predictive of impingement risk and if it postoperatively influences hip position, which could cause outliers from the functional safe zone of hip replacement. METHODS This was a prospective radiographic study of 187 consecutive patients (200 hips) who had lateral spinopelvis-hip radiographs before and after primary total hip arthroplasty with measurements of the component factors that influence mobility and position of the functional anatomy. The predictive value of PI for risk of impingement of the hip and its postoperative relationship to functional safe-zone outliers were assessed. Forty-one dislocations from our clinical practice were also reviewed. RESULTS Of 200 hips, the PI was normal in 145 hips (73%), low in 18 hips (9%), and high in 37 hips (19%). Eighty-two hips had spinopelvic imbalance: 12 (67%) of the 18 hips with low PI, 56 (39%) of the 145 hips with normal PI, and 14 (38%) of the 37 hips with high PI. Low-PI hips was the most predictive of the risk of impingement and postoperatively these hips had the most outliers from the functional safe zone. CONCLUSIONS PI is an anatomical component that is predictive of both impingement risk and functional safe-zone outliers. Preoperative risk, based on factors such as the Lewinnek zones and combined anteversion, is an established guide in determining cup position in hip replacement. Low-PI hips that have the "terrible triad" of a posteriorly tilted pelvis, stiff pelvic mobility, and increased femoral flexion therefore have no functional safe zone. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Prognostic Level IV. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Background For patients with Grade III acute cholecystitis (AC), several factors have been proposed in the 2018 Tokyo guidelines as caution signs in performing early surgery. However, these factors have not been externally validated in detail. Methods This retrospective study examined 35 patients who had been diagnosed with Grade III AC and treated with laparoscopic cholecystectomy between January 2008 and July 2019. The patients were allocated into an early group (patients who underwent surgery within 7 days of admission, n = 28) and a delayed group (patients who underwent surgery at least 8 days after admission, n = 7). Comparisons were made between these groups. Results No patients died. Significantly more patients required a conversion to open surgery (0% vs 28.5%, P = .003) or conversion to subtotal cholecystectomy (25.0% vs 71.4%, P = .020) in the delayed group than in the early group, and the total length of postoperative stay was significantly longer in the delayed group (11.4 vs 27.2 days, P = .001). The presence of negative predictive factors or risk factors listed in the 2018 Tokyo guidelines was not associated with death or postoperative complications. Conclusions Early surgery was considered appropriate and feasible for select patients who had Grade III AC and preoperative risk factors.

Purpose Postoperative cerebellar mutism syndrome (pCMS) is a complication that may occur after pediatric fossa posterior tumor surgery. Liu et al. developed an MRI-based prediction model to estimate pCMS risk preoperatively. The goal of this study was to validate the model of Liu et al. and if validation was not as sensitive in our group as previously described to develop an easy to use, reliable, and sensitive preoperative risk prediction model for pCMS. Methods In this study, 121children with a fossa posterior tumor who underwent surgery at ErasmusMC/Sophia Children’s Hospital, the Netherlands between 2004 and 2018 could be included. Twenty-six percent of them developed pCMS. Preoperative MRI were scored using the Liu et al. model. Results The Liu et al. model reached an accuracy of 78%, a sensitivity of 58%, and a specificity of 84% in our cohort. In a new risk model some of the variables of Liu et al. were included as well as some of the recently described preoperative MRI characteristics in pCMS patients by Zhang et al. The new model reached an accuracy of 87%, a sensitivity of 97%, and a specificity of 84% in our patient group. Conclusion Because the Liu et al. model did not provide an as accurate risk prediction in our cohort as was expected, we created a new risk prediction model that reached high model accuracy in our cohort that could assist neurosurgeons in determining their surgical tactics and help prepare high risk patients and their parents for this severe complication.

To minimize healthcare related costs, ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs) have become increasingly favored venues for outpatient spine surgery. Using a national cohort of patients undergoing elective lumbar decompression (LD) in an inpatient or outpatient hospital setting, the current objectives were to: 1) outline specific factors that were associated with complications, and 2) describe potentially catastrophic complications.Adults who underwent LD between 2008 and 2014 were identified in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. Inclusion criteria were: principal procedure LD (CPT 63030), elective, neurologic/orthopaedic surgeons, length of stay (LOS) of 0/1 days, and discharged home. The primary outcome was presence of any complication. The secondary outcome was occurrence of potentially catastrophic complications. Univariate/multivariable logistic regression was performed.A total of 19,908 patients met the inclusion criteria. 564 (2.83%) patients experienced a complication. Cardiac intervention remained the only independent predictor of complications after multivariate testing (OR: 2.02, 95% CI: 1.00, 4.07, p = 0.049). Approximate comorbidity score cut-offs associated with2% risk of complication were: ASA ≤ 3, CCI ≤ 5, mFI ≤ 0.182. A total of 96 (0.48%) patients experienced potentially catastrophic complications.We utilized a national cohort of patients undergoing elective inpatient and outpatient LD in a hospital setting to identify preoperative risk factors for postoperative complications. Previous cardiac intervention was the sole independent predictor of complications. Although no patients treated at ASCs were studied, we believe these factors can aid in selecting patients most appropriate for ASCs and begin the process of selecting the best patients for an ambulatory setting.

First postoperative day drain fluid amylase (DFA1)5000 U/L is commonly used for early drain removal. We manage patients with risk-stratified pancreatectomy care pathways determined preoperatively by risk for postoperative pancreatic fistula. We hypothesized that preoperative risk stratification would yield unique DFA1/DFA3 cutoffs for safe early drain removal.Patients with DFA1/DFA3 values after pancreaticoduodenectomy or distal pancreatectomy were identified. Patients were risk stratified as "low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy," "high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy," or "distal pancreatectomy." Receiver operator characteristic analyses yielded clinically relevant sensitivity thresholds for International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery grade B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas.From October 2016 to April 2018, 174 patients were preoperatively stratified as low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy (n = 78, 45%), high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy (n = 51, 29%), and distal pancreatectomy (n = 45, 26%). B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas developed in 3% (n = 2) of low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomies, 37% (n = 19) of high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomies, and 24% (n = 11) of distal pancreatectomies (low- vs high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy P.001, low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy versus distal pancreatectomy P = .004, high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy versus distal pancreatectomy P = .25). B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas occurred in 16% (n = 21) pancreaticoduodenectomy patients (high- + low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy), and B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas were excluded in pancreaticoduodenectomy with 100% sensitivity if DFA1 ≤ 136 or DFA3 ≤ 93. DFA15000 excluded B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas with only 57% sensitivity after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Exclusion of B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas occurred with 100% sensitivity if DFA1 ≤ 661 or DFA3 ≤ 141 in low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy patients, DFA1 ≤ 136 or DFA3 ≤ 93 in high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy patients, and DFA149 or DFA326 in distal pancreatectomy patients.Preoperative risk stratification results in unique DFA1/DFA3 thresholds to exclude B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas, thus allowing for safe drain removal and potential for accelerated discharge. Rather than applying generic DFA cutoffs based on national databases, we propose institution-specific DFA1 and DFA3 values tailored to 3 replicable postoperative pancreatic fistula-risk pathways.

The aging surgical population constitutes a unique challenge to clinicians across the spectrum of care. Frailty is a valuable tool for preoperative risk stratification and may guide targeted interventions, such as prehabilitation. The aim of this review is to revise the recent literature on the role of frailty and prehabilitation to optimize geriatric patients undergoing surgery.The concept of frailty became more refined over the past couple of decades, and its various dimensions have been operationalized into an array of different frailty scoring systems. The association between frailty and adverse perioperative events has been demonstrated in many surgical specialties. The use of multimodal prehabilitation of frail patients is expanding, and most prehabilitation programs (which focus on nutritional supplementation, feedback-based exercise regimens, and pulmonary optimization) have promising outcomes.Frailty is a valuable risk stratification tool that better captures the state of augmented vulnerability of older adults. Frail patients benefit from targeted interventions, such as multimodal prehabilitation. Thus, the implementation of nationwide geriatric surgery standards can address ongoing challenges in performing surgery on older, frail patients.

Background Total ankle arthroplasty (TAA) offers an effective option for end-stage osteoarthritis. The incidence and preoperative risk factors for early adverse events (AEs) following primary and revision TAA may be useful information for providers. Methods A large database was queried from 2010 to 2016 to identify 905 patients of whom 818 underwent primary TAA (90.4%) and 87 underwent revision TAA (9.6%). Data on patient demographics, comorbidities, and hospital length of stay were analyzed as risk factors for reported 30-day AEs. Results The overall AE rate was 5.5% (50/905) for the entire cohort. AEs occurred more frequently for revision TAA (9/87) than primary TAA (41/818) cases (OR 2.43, p = 0.022). Age (OR 1.03, p = 0.045), BMI (OR 1.04, p = 0.046), and revision TAA (OR 2.56, p = 0.002) were independent risk factors for 30-day AEs in multivariate analysis. Conclusions Older age, higher BMI, and revision cases are associated with a higher risk of AEs.

Background : Appendectomy can be challenging and occasionally converted to extensive resection for complicated appendicitis. However, optimal treatment strategies can be developed using preoperative risk assessment. Thus, we aimed to investigate the preoperative predictors of extensive resection in complicated appendicitis patients undergoing surgery. Materials and methods : In total, 173 complicated appendicitis patients undergoing surgery between 2014 and 2019 were classified into the appendectomy (n = 153) or extensive resection (n = 20) groups. Clinicopathological factors and surgical outcomes were compared between groups. Results : Extensive resection was performed in 20 of 173 complicated appendicitis patients (11.5%). The rates of having defects in the wall structure at the appendix root on computed tomography images were significantly higher, and the duration from onset to surgery was significantly longer in the extensive resection group. Significant differences were found in operative duration, blood loss and postoperative hospitalization, but none in the incidence of postoperative complications between groups. Multivariate analyses showed that defects in the wall structure at the appendix root and five days or longer from onset were identified as independent predictors of extensive resection. Conclusions : Defects in the wall structure at the appendix root and five days or longer from onset predict extensive resection performance in complicated appendicitis patients. J. Med. Invest. 68 : 334-341, August, 2021.

BACKGROUND Isolated tricuspid surgery is a rarely performed procedure considered at high risk for mortality. Preoperative risk estimation is still a s missing process and currently used risk score system are not validated for this procedures. AIM To discuss the external validation of the EuroSCORE II and STS-TVS score in the setting of isolated tricuspid valve surgery. DISCUSSION The stratification of the patient profile and risk estimation are still lacking in isolated tricuspid surgery. MELD Score, EuroSCORE II and STS-TVS score may help in the preoperative evaluation. Recently a dedicated score called TRI-SCORE has been introduced. We believe that the combination of these scores may determine a range of expected mortality rate and it could be an interesting approach to define the preoperative risk-profile of a patient planned for isolated tricuspid disease. Conclusion Further studies are needed to define the optimal risk stratification of patient affected by isolated tricuspid disease.

Improved surgical outcomes have been achieved as a result of preoperative risk assessments and developments in surgical and anaesthetic techniques. However, post-operative haemorrhage remains a life-threatening complication requiring swift recognition and management. This article explores the compensatory mechanisms the body employs during haemorrhage and how these may present as altered observations that can aid early recognition. It also describes the rapid assessment of patients using the ABCDE (airway, breathing, circulation, disability, exposure) approach and outlines the management interventions used to halt the bleeding and restore intravascular volume.

International audience; BACKGROUND: Bariatric surgery has increased the number of patients requiring medial thighplasty after massive weight loss. However, despite the various complications, the procedure improves quality of life. The authors report postoperative complications of vertical J-shaped medial thigh lift in a series of patients and identify preoperative risk factors. METHODS: For almost 5 years, the details of all J medial thighplasties performed by a single surgeon were recorded; detailed medical records were also available. Complications can be major (e.g., need for early surgical revision or readmission) or minor (delayed wound healing). RESULTS: During the study period, 94 patients were treated and only minor complications were recorded (42.5 percent). On multivariate analysis, older age (OR, 1.05; 95 percent CI, 1.01 to 1.10) and a body mass index greater than or equal to 30 kg/m2 (OR, 2.82; 95 percent CI, 1.10 to 7.22) were independent risk factors for postoperative complications. CONCLUSIONS: As with other postbariatric operations, medial thighplasty is associated with significant morbidity, but the risk thereof can be easily established and managed. Specific algorithms for determining the risk of postoperative complications based on age and body mass index are needed to guide preoperative discussions with patients and perform patient selection. CLINICAL QUESTION/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Risk, III.

INTRODUCTION Target vein recanalization is defined as the postoperative detection of blood flow in a venous segment previously ablated. It can be occurred after thermal-tumescent procedures, as radiofrequency (RFA) and endovenous laser (EVLA) ablation techniques. Despite several papers described and analyzed incidence and consequences of recanalization, limited data are published on risk factors for this condition. The aim of this general review is to investigate clinical and instrumental risk factors for great and small saphenous veins recanalization after RFA, indicating their impact in the follow-up period. EVIDENCE ACQUISITION Articles were obtained through a detailed search of the scientific journal databases (PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science) for those published between January 1, 2011 to December 31, 2020. The term "radiofrequency venous ablation" was combined with "risk factors", "recanalization" and "recurrence", to obtain the first article cluster. EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS Risk factors analysis for saphenous vein recanalization after ablation is not a well-studied problem. Although several studies have analyzed recanalization patterns and anatomical causes of ablation failure, few and disaggregate data are available regarding clinical preoperative risk factors. BMI and saphenous trunk diameter seem to be the only two recognized characteristics that may affect short and long-term recanalization rate, though CVI status, sex, target vein treatment length and others factors may be taken into account. CONCLUSIONS Physicians should consider risk factors for recanalization in patient selection and treatment recommendations, but also recognize that not all "ablation failures" are of clinical relevance.

Retrospective review of a prospectively collected national database.To evaluate the predictive value of hypoalbuminemia on outcomes in surgical spine oncology patients.It is well documented that patients with hypoalbuminemia (albumin3.5) have significantly higher rates of surgical morbidity and mortality than patients with normal albumin (3.5 g/dl). We evaluated outcomes for metastatic oncologic spine surgery patients based on pre-operative albumin levels.Patients who underwent surgery for metastatic spine disease were identified in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database from 2006 to 2016. Three groups were established: patients with normal albumin (3.5 g/dl), mild hypoalbuminemia (2.6 g/dl - 3.4 g/dl), and severe hypoalbuminemia (=2.5 g/dl). A multivariate analysis was used to assess the association between albumin levels and mortality within 30 days of surgical intervention.A total of 700 patients who underwent surgery for metastatic spinal disease and had pre-operative albumin levels available were identified; 64.0% had normal albumin (3.5 g/dl), 29.6% had mild hypoalbuminemia, and 6.4% had severe hypoalbuminemia. The overall 30-day mortality was 7.6% for patients with normal albumin, 15.9% for patients with mild hypoalbuminemia, and 44.4% for patients with severe hypoalbuminemia. On multivariate analysis, patients with mild hypoalbuminemia (OR 1.7 95% CI: 1.0-3.0 p = 0.05) and severe hypoalbuminemia (OR 6.2 95% CI: 2.8-13.5 p 0.001) were more likely to expire within 30 days compared to patients with preoperative albumin above 3.5 g/dl.In this study, albumin level was found to be an independent predictor of 30-day mortality in patients who underwent operative intervention for metastatic spinal disease. Patients with severe hypoalbuminemia had a 7-fold increased risk when compared with those who had normal albumin. While these findings need to be validated by future studies, we believe they will prove useful for preoperative risk stratification and surgical decision-making.

Summary Accurate preoperative risk prediction for perioperative complications such as acute kidney injury (AKI) may serve to better inform patients and families of risk before surgery, assist with resource requirement planning, and aid with cohort enrichment for enrolment into clinical trials. Where a specific risk factor is modifiable, it may offer a potential therapeutic target for risk reduction. The report by Wang and colleagues describes the modest incremental benefit of N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide levels when added to almost 20 other variables for the preoperative prediction of AKI after cardiac surgery. This is consistent with previous smaller studies, but there are important additional questions still to be answered before this biomarker might be used for this purpose in clinical practice.