1. Factors predictive of serious infections over time in systemic lupus erythematosus patients: data from a multi-ethnic, multi-national, Latin American lupus cohort
- Author
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Eduardo Ferreira Borba, Daniel Wojdyla, Manuel F. Ugarte-Gil, Mary-Carmen Amigo, Oscar Neira, Marlene Guibert-Toledano, Luis J. Catoggio, E I Sato, B A Pons-Estel, L T Lavras Costallat, Graciela S. Alarcón, Eloisa Bonfa, Leonor Barile, Rosana Quintana, M A García, Victor R. Pimentel-Quiroz, A Esposto, Mario H. Cardiel, Rosa Chacón-Diaz, Guillermina B Harvey, Loreto Massardo, and Guillermo J. Pons-Estel
- Subjects
Male ,Pediatrics ,Latin Americans ,Ethnic group ,Severity of Illness Index ,Cohort Studies ,Risk Factors ,central nervous system infection ,glucocorticoid use ,Lupus Erythematosus, Systemic ,Medicine ,skin infection ,azathioprine ,Systemic lupus erythematosus ,predictive value ,adult ,antimalarial use ,cohort analysis ,Hospitalization ,female ,priority journal ,Cohort ,ethnicity ,Female ,Immunosuppressive Agents ,hospitalization ,Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,hydroxychloroquine ,serious infections ,Infections ,Methylprednisolone ,Article ,Antimalarials ,Young Adult ,male ,Rheumatology ,follow up ,Humans ,controlled study ,In patient ,human ,purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#3.02.17 [https] ,Glucocorticoids ,marriage ,SLEDAI ,Dose-Response Relationship, Drug ,antimalarial agent ,business.industry ,leukopenia ,Protective Factors ,medicine.disease ,major clinical study ,infection ,methylprednisolone ,social status ,Latin America ,Multi national ,lymphocytopenia ,incidence ,prednisone ,lower respiratory tract infection ,Prednisone ,cyclophosphamide ,glucocorticoid ,urinary tract infection ,business ,disease activity ,Follow-Up Studies - Abstract
Aim The aim of this study was to identify factors predictive of serious infections over time in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Methods A multi-ethnic, multi-national Latin American SLE cohort was studied. Serious infection was defined as one that required hospitalization, occurred during a hospitalization or led to death. Potential predictors included were sociodemographic factors, clinical manifestations (per organ involved, lymphopenia and leukopenia, independently) and previous infections at baseline. Disease activity (SLEDAI), damage (SLICC/ACR Damage Index), non-serious infections, glucocorticoids, antimalarials (users and non-users), and immunosuppressive drugs use; the last six variables were examined as time-dependent covariates. Cox regression models were used to evaluate the predictors of serious infections using a backward elimination procedure. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed. Results Of the 1243 patients included, 1116 (89.8%) were female. The median (interquartile range) age at diagnosis and follow-up time were 27 (20–37) years and 47.8 (17.9–68.6) months, respectively. The incidence rate of serious infections was 3.8 cases per 100 person-years. Antimalarial use (hazard ratio: 0.69; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.48–0.99; p = 0.0440) was protective, while doses of prednisone >15 and ≤60 mg/day (hazard ratio: 4.18; 95 %CI: 1.69–10.31; p = 0.0019) and >60 mg/day (hazard ratio: 4.71; 95% CI: 1.35–16.49; p = 0.0153), use of methylprednisolone pulses (hazard ratio: 1.53; 95% CI: 1.10–2.13; p = 0.0124), increase in disease activity (hazard ratio: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.01–1.04; p = 0.0016) and damage accrual (hazard ratio: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.11–1.34; p Conclusions Over time, prednisone doses higher than 15 mg/day, use of methylprednisolone pulses, increase in disease activity and damage accrual were predictive of infections, whereas antimalarial use was protective against them in SLE patients.
- Published
- 2019
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