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Opening a new train station is considered a way to generate amenity in a neighborhood. However, as train lines extend from a central city to suburbs and remote places, train stations may generate disamenity depending on the local context. This study examines the externality of stations from a house valuation perspective. A mixed-effects model is employed to capture the varying relationship between house prices and distance to a nearby station. The results show that this relationship significantly varies by county, which leads to a house price premium in some counties and price discount in others. This study attributes the price discount (disamenity) to low ridership, seasonality of ridership, passenger traits, and long distance from a central city. The study results are expected to provide policymakers with balanced insights on establishing a new station so that train stations can serve as a local amenity, not a harmful facility in the neighborhood. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In contrast to the outstanding performance of the machine learning approach, its adoption in industry appears to be relatively slow compared to the speed of its proliferation in a variety of business sectors. The low interpretability of a black-box-type model, such as a machine learning-based valuation model, is one reason for this. In this study, house prices in Seoul and Jeollanam Province, South Korea, were estimated using a neural network, a representative model to implement machine learning, and we attempted to interpret the resultant price estimations using an interpretability tool called a partial dependence plot. Partial dependence analysis indicated that locally optimized valuation models should be designed to enhance valuation accuracy: a land-oriented model for Seoul and a building-focused model for the Jeollanam Province. The interpretable machine learning approach is expected to catalyze the adoption of machine learning in the industry, including property valuation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Although deep learning-based valuation models are spreading throughout the real estate industry following the artificial intelligence boom, property owners and investors continue to doubt the accuracy of the results. In this study, we specify a neural network for predicting house prices. We suggest a standard feed-forward network with two hidden layers, and show that it is sufficiently reasonable to apply its prediction to real-world projects such as property valuation. In addition, we propose a Bayesian neural network for describing uncertainty in house price predictions while providing a means to quantify uncertainty for each prediction. We choose Gangnam-gu, Seoul for the analysis, and predict house prices in the area using both networks. Although the Bayesian neural network did not perform better than the conventional network, it could provide a tool to measure the uncertainty inherent in predicted prices. The findings of this study show that a Bayesian approach can model uncertainty in property valuation, thereby promoting the adoption of deep learning tools in the real estate industry. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]