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This retrospective cohort study uses the Minimum Data Set (MDS) and Outcome and Assessment Information Set (OASIS) to determine predictors associated with permanent transition to nursing homes among home care recipients with dementia. Study participants include older adults age 65+ with dementia who received home health services in New York State for at least 2 months prior to permanent transition to nursing homes. Multivariate logistic regression was used to quantify the association between predictors and permanent transition to nursing homes. Risk factors associated with permanent transition included increasing age (OR = 1.1; 95% CI 1.03-1.18); white compared to black (OR = 1.25; 95%CI 0.83-0.94), urinary and bowel incontinence vs. continence (OR = 1.46; 95% CI 1.37-1.56); depression vs. no depression (OR = 1.2; 95% CI 1.11-1.25); hip fracture vs. no hip fracture (OR = 2.63; 95% CI 2.27-3.05), and 3+ hospitalizations vs. no hospitalizations (OR = 3.02; 95% CI 2.77-3.29). Early diagnosis and treatment may delay or avert nursing home entry., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest We have no conflicts of interest to declare., (Published by Elsevier Inc.)