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The affinity of anti-gag antibody was studied for up to 9 years (1984-1993) in sera from 15 HIV-1+ patients with haemophilia. On the basis of their 1993 clinical status patients were divided into two groups: (i) patients who remained asymptomatic (n = 9); and (ii) those who progressed to AIDS between late 1987 and 1993. The affinity constants of antibody for p24 and p17 were determined by a double isotope fluid-phase radioimmunoassay; and the relationships between antibody affinity and titre, patient clinical course, CD4 cell counts and p24 antigenaemia were analysed. The affinity of p24- and p17-specific antibody was up to 100 times greater in asymptomatic patients than in patients who progressed to AIDS. Patients who developed AIDS either lost or failed to develop high-affinity antibodies early in the infection. Asymptomatic patients maintained high-affinity antibodies for several years; however, in some of these patients the affinity of anti-p24 and p17 antibodies subsequently fell later in the study period. The presence of low-affinity antibody and progressive reduction in the titre of specific antibody were earlier predictors of disease onset than CD4 cell counts. The failure to either develop or maintain high affinity gag-specific antibody suggests an early impairment of T helper function in individuals who progressed to AIDS. The presence of antibody of high affinity could be essential in controlling virus replication and the onset of AIDS.

The IgG response to HIV-1 p17 gag protein was studied for up to 6 years in 12 HIV-1-infected patients with haemophilia, who had seroconverted between 1982 and 1985. To assess any prognostic value, p17 IgG titres were compared with p24 IgG titres, CD4 cell counts and p24 antigenaemia. p17 IgG avidity index was also examined. A strong similarity was found between the IgG titre to HIV-1 p17 and that to p24. In patients who developed AIDS the decline in p17 IgG titres could precede by several years the drop in CD4 cells to under 200 cells/microliters; whereas some long-term asymptomatic patients (CDCII) had increasing p17 IgG titres and stable CD4 cell counts. Declining p17 and p24 IgG titres were not always associated with an increase in p24 antigenaemia. IgG titres were found to be better predictors of disease progression than CD4 cell counts or p24 antigenaemia. Patients who developed AIDS during the study were also characterized by a lower p17 IgG avidity than patients who remained asymptomatic. This result suggests that IgG avidity could have prognostic relevance and be of importance for host resistance to AIDS onset.

CTL and antibody responses to HIV-1 p17 and p24 antigens were monitored from 1986-1991, in 4 hemophiliacs. The patients had been infected with HIV-1 between 1980 and 1984. Two patients have remained asymptomatic while two progressed to AIDS in 1990. CTL were boosted by culturing with peptides from p17 aa 86-115, or p24 aa 265-279; and aa 270-373 or PHA. Lysis was measured on autologous or allogeneic targets pulsed with peptides or infected with recombinant vaccinia virus carrying HIV-1 gag or influenza A matrix genes. Antibodies to p17 and p24 were tested by ELISA using peptides and by Western blotting. High levels of CTL activity to p17 and p24 antigens could be generated only with lymphocytes from the two asymptomatic patients between 1986 and 1989, but these responses were absent in 1990 and 1991. Antibodies to p17 peptides disappeared in parallel with CTL activity. Antibodies to some p24 peptides also declined but most patients retained activity to others. In all patients a > or = 3-fold increase in CD8+ cell numbers occurred over time and accompanied the decline of CTL and antibody responses. The loss of CTL and p17 antibodies occurred irrespective of whether patients remained asymptomatic or progressed to AIDS in the intervening two years.