1. Noninvasive markers of liver fibrosis: on-treatment changes of serum markers predict the outcome of antifibrotic therapy.
- Author
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Tanwar S, Trembling PM, Hogan BJ, Srivastava A, Parkes J, Harris S, Grant P, Nastouli E, Ocker M, Wehr K, Herold C, Neureiter D, Schuppan D, and Rosenberg WM
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Antiviral Agents adverse effects, Area Under Curve, Austria, Biomarkers blood, Biopsy, Drug Therapy, Combination, Female, Genotype, Germany, Hepacivirus drug effects, Hepacivirus genetics, Hepatitis C, Chronic blood, Hepatitis C, Chronic diagnosis, Humans, Hyaluronic Acid blood, Interferon alpha-2, Interferon-alpha adverse effects, Liver metabolism, Liver pathology, Liver virology, Liver Cirrhosis blood, Liver Cirrhosis diagnosis, Liver Cirrhosis virology, Male, Middle Aged, Peptide Fragments blood, Polyethylene Glycols adverse effects, Predictive Value of Tests, Procollagen blood, Prospective Studies, RNA, Viral blood, ROC Curve, Recombinant Proteins adverse effects, Recombinant Proteins therapeutic use, Silymarin adverse effects, Time Factors, Tissue Inhibitor of Metalloproteinase-1 blood, Treatment Outcome, Viral Load, Young Adult, Antiviral Agents therapeutic use, Hepatitis C, Chronic drug therapy, Interferon-alpha therapeutic use, Liver drug effects, Liver Cirrhosis drug therapy, Polyethylene Glycols therapeutic use, Silymarin therapeutic use
- Abstract
Aim: The utility of noninvasive serum markers to longitudinally monitor liver fibrosis is not established., Methods: A total of 70 patients with chronic hepatitis C who had previously failed antiviral therapy were randomized to receive pegylated interferon with or without silymarin for 24 months. Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) tests (hyularonic acid, terminal peptide of procollagen III, tissue inhibitor of matrix metaloproteinase-1) were performed on patient sera obtained before, during and at the end of the study (0, 12, 24 months) and liver histology obtained before and at the end of the study., Results: At 24 months, absolute changes in Ishak fibrosis stage and ELF ranged from -4 to +4 and from -2.41 to +2.68, respectively. Absolute changes in ELF at 12 months were significantly associated with changes in both ELF and histology at 24 months. A model combining both baseline ELF and change of ELF at 12 months could predict the 24-month ELF (R=0.609, P<1×10), a decrease in ELF at 24 months [area under the curve (AUC): 0.80-0.85] and an increase in ELF at 24 months (AUC: 0.81-0.85). Furthermore, a model combining both baseline histologic stage and ELF together with the change of ELF at 12 months could predict 24-month histology (R=0.601, P<1×10, AUC: 0.88-0.92), histologic fibrosis regression (AUC: 0.81-0.84) and progression (AUC: 0.86-0.91)., Conclusion: Our observations suggest that a change in the serum marker ELF predicts changes in liver fibrosis over a longer period. These data support the use of ELF as a surrogate marker of liver fibrosis evolution in monitoring antifibrotic treatments, thus permitting 'response-guided' therapy by the early identification of patients who will benefit from prolonged treatment.
- Published
- 2017
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