1. Pretreatment prediction of virological response to peginterferon plus ribavirin therapy in chronic hepatitis C patients using viral and host factors.
- Author
-
Shirakawa H, Matsumoto A, Joshita S, Komatsu M, Tanaka N, Umemura T, Ichijo T, Yoshizawa K, Kiyosawa K, and Tanaka E
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Antiviral Agents pharmacology, Body Weight, Female, Genotype, Hepacivirus drug effects, Hepacivirus genetics, Hepatitis C, Chronic pathology, Humans, Interferon alpha-2, Interferon-alpha pharmacology, Logistic Models, Male, Middle Aged, Multivariate Analysis, Mutation, Neutrophils pathology, Polyethylene Glycols, Predictive Value of Tests, Prospective Studies, Recombinant Proteins, Ribavirin pharmacology, Th1 Cells pathology, Th2 Cells pathology, Treatment Outcome, Viral Load, Young Adult, Antiviral Agents therapeutic use, Hepacivirus physiology, Hepatitis C, Chronic drug therapy, Hepatitis C, Chronic virology, Interferon-alpha therapeutic use, Ribavirin therapeutic use
- Abstract
The interferon sensitivity determining region (ISDR) of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) and T-helper type 1 and type 2 (Th1/Th2) ratio were analyzed along with other host and viral factors for their ability to predict the response of patients with chronic hepatitis C to pegylated interferon alpha-2b (Peg-IFN) and ribavirin (RBV) combination therapy. A total of 120 chronic hepatitis C patients with genotype 1 HCV and high baseline viral loads who were to undergo combination therapy scheduled for 48 weeks were enrolled. Sustained virologic response (SVR) was achieved in 54 (45%) of the 120 patients. The pretreatment factors significantly associated with SVR by logistic regression analysis were ISDR mutant [odds ratio (OR) = 86.0, P = 0.0008], Th1/Th2 ratio = 15.5 (OR = 9.6, P = 0.0021), body weight 59 kg, and neutrophil count 2,300/microL. A logistic regression model to estimate SVR before combination therapy was constructed using these four factors. Patients fell into three groups when plotted according to estimated and actual SVR rates: actual SVR rate was 91% (32/35) in the high sensitivity group, 41% (15/37) in the intermediate sensitivity group, and 15% (7/48) in the low sensitivity group. Rapid or early virological responses were seen in 80% of patients with high sensitivity and who achieved SVR but were found in only 40% of patients with intermediate or low sensitivity. Null- and very late virological responses were quite rare in the high sensitivity group. In conclusion, a logistic regression model that includes the sequence of ISDR of the HCV, Th1/Th2 ratio, body weight, and neutrophil count can be useful for accurately predicting actual SVR rate before combination therapy.
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF