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Background: The recent heart failure (HF) guideline recommends the inclusion of cardiac biomarkers in defining Stage B HF., Objectives: The authors evaluated the impact of incorporating cardiac biomarkers to reclassify HF in 5,324 participants (mean age: 75.8 years) without prevalent HF enrolled in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study and assessed prognosis of Stage B using cardiac biomarkers., Methods: Using N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (<125 pg/mL or ≥125 pg/mL), high-sensitivity troponin T (<14 ng/L or ≥14 ng/L), and abnormal cardiac structure/function by echocardiography, individuals were classified as Stage A new and Stage B new HF, respectively. Stage B new was further evaluated as elevated biomarker only, abnormal echocardiogram only, and abnormalities in both (echo + biomarker). The authors assessed risk for incident HF and all-cause death using Cox regression., Results: Overall, 4,326 (81.3%) individuals were classified as Stage B new with 1,123 (21.1%) meeting criteria for elevated biomarkers only. Compared with Stage A new , Stage B new was associated with increased risk for incident HF (HR: 3.70 [95% CI: 2.58-5.30]) and death (HR: 1.94 [95% CI: 1.53-2.46]). Stage B biomarkers only and Stage B echo only were associated with increased HF risk, whereas Stage B biomarkers only was also associated with increased death. Stage B echo+biomarker had the highest risk for HF (HR: 6.34 [95% CI: 4.37-9.19]) and death (HR: 2.53 [95% CI: 1.98-3.23])., Conclusions: Incorporating biomarkers based on the new HF guideline reclassified approximately 1 in 5 older adults without prevalent HF to Stage B. The routine measurement of biomarkers can help to identify individuals at higher HF risk who may benefit most from HF prevention efforts., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures The ARIC study has been funded in whole or in part with Federal funds from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services, under Contract numbers (75N92022D00001, 75N92022D00002, 75N92022D00003, 75N92022D00004, 75N92022D00005). Dr Bozkurt has received consulting fees from Bristol Myers Squibb, scPharmaceuticals, Baxter Healthcare Corporation, Sanofi-Aventis, Relypsa, Amgen; serves on the Clinical Event Committee for GUIDE HF Trial sponsored by Abbott Vascular, and Data Safety Monitoring Committee of ANTHEM trial (Autonomic REGULATION Therapy to Enhance Myocardial Function and Reduce progression of Heart Failure with reduced ejection fraction) sponsored by Liva Nova. Dr Ballantyne has received research support from National Institutes of Health grant R01HL134320 (relevant to study), Abbott Diagnostic, Akcea, Amgen, Arrowhead, Esperion, Ionis, Novartis, Regeneron, Roche Diagnostic, National Institutes of Health, AHA, and ADA; is a consultant for Abbott Diagnostics, Althera, Amarin, Amgen, Arrowhead, AstraZeneca, Denka Seiken, Esperion, Genentech, Gilead, Illumina, Matinas BioPharma Inc, Merck–New Amsterdam, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer, Regeneron, Roche Diagnostic, and Sanofi-Synthelabo. Dr Hoogeveen has received research grants from Denka Seiken and serves as a consultant to Denka Seiken. Dr de Lemos has received grant support from Abbott Diagnostics and Roche Diagnostics; and consulting income from Siemen’s Health Care Diagnostics, Quidel, Beckman Coulter, and Ortho Clinical Diagnostics; and is the co-inventor on a patent awarded to University of Maryland using high sensitivity cardiac troponin T and left ventricular hypertrophy as markers of heart failure risk (patent number: 61990386). Dr Nambi has stock ownership in Abbott labs. Dr Shah has received research support from Novartis and Philips Ultrasound; and consulting fees from Philips Ultrasound and Janssen. Dr Selvin has received research funding support from the National Institutes of Health grant R01HL134320 (relevant to study). Dr Virani has received grant support from the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, National Institutes of Health, Tahir, and the Jooma Family; and has received honorarium from the American College of Cardiology (Associate Editor for Innovations, acc.org). All other authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose., (Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Background: Given the important role of cardiac injury and neurohormonal activation in the pathways leading from hypertension to heart failure and strong associations observed between hypertension and its sequelae on hs-cTnT (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T) and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) levels, we hypothesized that intensive systolic blood pressure (SBP) lowering would decrease levels of hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP., Methods: hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP were measured at baseline and 1 year from stored specimens in SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial). Changes in biomarkers were evaluated continuously on the log scale and according to categories (≥50% increase, ≥50% decrease, or <50% change). The effect of intensive SBP lowering on continuous and categorical changes in biomarker levels were assessed using linear and multinomial logistic regression models, respectively. The association between changes in biomarkers on heart failure and death was assessed using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models., Results: Randomization to intensive SBP lowering (versus standard SBP management) resulted in a 3% increase in hs-cTnT levels over 1-year follow-up (geometric mean ratio, 1.03 [95% CI, 1.01-1.04]) and a higher proportion of participants with ≥50% increase (odds ratio, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.13, 1.90]). In contrast, randomization to intensive SBP lowering led to a 10% decrease in NT-proBNP (geometric mean ratio, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.87-0.93]) and a lower probability of ≥50% increase in NT-proBNP (odds ratio, 0.57 [95% CI, 0.46-0.72]). The association of randomized treatment assignment on change in hs-cTnT was completely attenuated after accounting for changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate over follow-up, whereas the association of treatment with NT-proBNP was completely attenuated after adjusting for change in SBP. Increases in hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP from baseline to 1 year were associated with higher risk for heart failure and death, with no significant interactions by treatment assignment., Conclusions: Intensive SBP lowering increased hs-cTnT, mediated by the effect of SBP lowering on reduced kidney filtration. In contrast, intensive SBP lowering decreased NT-proBNP, a finding that was explained by the decrease in SBP. These findings highlight the importance of noncardiac factors influencing variation in cardiac biomarkers and raise questions about the potential role of hs-cTnT as a surrogate marker for heart failure or death in SBP-lowering studies.

Aims: Levels of growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), a cytokine secreted in response to cellular stress and inflammation, have been associated with multiple types of cardiovascular (CV) events. However, its comparative prognostic performance across different presentations of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remains unknown., Methods and Results: An individual patient meta-analysis was performed using data pooled from eight trials including 53 486 patients. Baseline GDF-15 concentration was analyzed as a continuous variable and using established cutpoints (<1200 ng/L, 1200-1800 ng/L, > 1800 ng/L) to evaluate its prognostic performance for CV death/hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and their components using Cox models adjusted for clinical variables and established CV biomarkers. Analyses were further stratified on ASCVD status: acute coronary syndrome (ACS), stabilized after recent ACS, and stable ASCVD. Overall, higher GDF-15 concentration was significantly and independently associated with an increased rate of CV death/HHF and MACE (P < 0.001 for each). However, while GDF-15 showed a robust and consistent independent association with CV death and HHF across all presentations of ASCVD, its prognostic association with future myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke only remained significant in patients stabilized after recent ACS or with stable ASCVD [hazard ratio (HR): 1.24, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.17-1.31 and HR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.05-1.28 for MI and stroke, respectively] and not in ACS (HR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.90-1.06 and HR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.39-1.92, respectively)., Conclusion: Growth differentiation factor 15 consistently adds prognostic information for CV death and HHF across the spectrum of ASCVD. GDF-15 also adds prognostic information for MI and stroke beyond clinical risk factors and cardiac biomarkers but not in the setting of ACS., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: E.T.K. reports receiving lecture fees from Astellas, Abbott, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eli-Lilly Japan KK, Daiichi-Sankyo, Menarini, Ono Pharmaceutical, Ootsuka Pharmaceutical, MSD KK, Takeda Pharmaceutical, Tanabe-Mitsubishi, Bayer, Pfizer; consultant fee from Boehringer Ingelheim and Daiichi-Sankyo; research fund from Abbott, Ono Pharmaceutical, and Tanabe-Mitsubishi; D.M. reports grants to the Brigham and Women’s Hospital from Abbott Laboratories, Amgen, Anthos Therapeutics, AstraZeneca, Eisai, Medicines Co., Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche Diagnostics, and Siemens; and consultant fees from InCardia, Inflammatix, Merck & Co, Novartis, and Roche Diagnostics. D.M. is a member of the TIMI Study Group, which has received institutional research grant support through Brigham and Women’s Hospital from Abbott, Amgen, Anthos Therapeutics, ARCA Biopharma, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Daiichi-Sankyo, Eisai, Intarcia, Ionis Pharmaceuticals, MedImmune, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Quark Pharmaceuticals, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Roche, Siemens Healthcare Diagnostics, The Medicines Company, and Zora Biosciences; J.G. is a member of the TIMI Study Group which has received institutional research grant support through Brigham and Women’s from Abbott Laboratories, Amgen; AstraZeneca; Critical Diagnostics, Daiichi-Sankyo; Eisai; Genzyme; Gilead; GlaxoSmithKline; Intarcia; Janssen Research and Development; Medicines Company; MedImmune; Merck; Novartis; Pfizer; Poxel; Roche Diagnostics; and Takeda; D.D.B. is supported by Harvard Catalyst KL2/CMeRIT (NIH/NCATS grant UL 1TR002541). He has received research grant support to his institution from AstraZeneca and Pfizer; consulting fees from AstraZeneca; and participates on a clinical endpoint committee for a study sponsored by Kowa Pharmaceuticals. M.B. has no conflict of interest; E.A.B. is a member of the TIMI Study Group which has received institutional research grant support through Brigham and Women’s Hospital from Abbott, Amgen, Anthos Therapeutics, AstraZeneca, Bayer HealthCare Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Daiichi-Sankyo, Eisai, Intarcia, MedImmune, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Quark Pharmaceuticals, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Roche, Siemens Healthcare Diagnostics, Inc., The Medicines Company, Zora Biosciences. E.A.B. has received personal fees from Servier, Kowa, Medscape, Novo Nordisk, Amgen, PriMed and Merck; M.P.B. is the Executive Director of CPC, a non-profit academic research organization affiliated with the University of Colorado, that receives research grant/consulting funding from: Abbott, Agios, Alexion Pharma, Alnylam, Amgen, Angionetics, ARCA Biopharma, Array, AstraZeneca, Atentiv, Audentes, Bayer, Better Therapeutics, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Cardiol Therapeutics, CellResearch, Cook Medical, Cook, CSL Behring, Eidos Therapeutics, EP Trading Co, Esperion Therapeutics, EverlyWell, Faraday, Fortress Biotech, HDL Therapeutics, Heartflow, Hummingbird Bioscience, Insmed, Janssen, Kowa Research, Lexicon, Merck, Medtronic, Moderna, Novate Medical, NovoNordisk, Pfizer, PhaseBio, PPD Development, Prairie Education and Research, Prothena Ciosciences, Regeneron, Regio Biosciences, Sanifit Therapeutics, Sanofi, Smith and Nephew, Stealth BioTherapeutics, University of Colorado, Worldwide Clinical Trials, Wraser, Yale Cardiovascular Research Group. M.P.B. also reports stock in Medtronic and Pfizer and consulting fees from Audent; C.P.C. reports research grants from: Amgen, Better Therapeutics, Boehringer-Ingelheim (BI), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS), Daiichi Sankyo, Janssen, Merck, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer, Consulting fees from Aegerion/Amryt, Alnylam, Amarin, Amgen, Applied Therapeutics, Ascendia, BI, BMS, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Lexicon, Merck, Pfizer, Rhoshan, and Sanofi. C.P.C. serve on Data and Safety Monitoring Boards for the Veteran’s Administration, Applied Therapeutics and NovoNordisk; J.A.d.L reports grant support from Roche Diagnostics and Abbott Diagnostics, consulting fees from Ortho Clinical Diagnostics, Siemen’s Health Care Diagnostics, Beckman Coulter, and Quidel; R.P.G. reports clinical trials/research support from Amgen, Anthos Therapeutics, Daiichi Sankyo, honoraria for Lectures/CME Programs for Amgen, Centrix, Daiichi Sankyo, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories, Medical Education Resources (MER), Medscape, Menarini, Merck, Pfizer, SAJA Pharmaceuticals, Servier, Shanghai Medical Telescope, Voxmedia, Consultant fee from Amarin, Amgen, Boston Scientific, CryoLife, CSL Behring, CVS Caremark, Daiichi Sankyo, Esperion, Gilead, Hengrui, Inari, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals, St. Lukes, Samsung; P.J. reports research support from Abbott Laboratories, Amgen, Inc., AstraZeneca, LP, Daiichi-Sankyo, Inc., GlaxoSmithKline, Merck & Co., Inc., Regeneron, Roche Diagnostics Corporation, and Siemens Healthineers; T.K. has been a paid consultant for and/or received honoraria payments from AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol Myers Squibb, Edwards, Novartis, Pharmacosmos, and Vifor and has received research support from Vifor; K.N. reports research funding through Duke University from Roche Diagnostics; Consulting honoraria from Beckman-Coulter; M.O’. reports Grants via Brigham and Women’s Hospital from Amgen, Novartis, AstraZeneca, Janssen, Intarcia, Merck, Pfizer. Honararia from Novartis, AstraZeneca, Amgen, Janssen; M.A.P. reports Research Grant Support from Novartis; consultant to AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim and Eli Lilly Alliance, DalCor, GlaxoSmithKline, Lexicon, NHLBI CONNECTs (Master Protocol Committee), Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Peerbridge and Sanofi; and has equity in DalCor; N.R. has no conflic of interest; S.D.W. reports research grants from Amgen, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Eisai, Janssen, and Merck. He reports consulting fees from AstraZeneca, Boston Clinical Research Institute, ICON Clinical, Novo Nordisk. Spouse, Dr. Caroline Fox is an employee of Merck. S.D.W. is a member of the TIMI Study Group, which has received institutional research grant support through Brigham and Women’s Hospital from: Abbott, Amgen, Aralez, AstraZeneca, Bayer HealthCare Pharmaceuticals, Inc., BRAHMS, Daiichi-Sankyo, Eisai, GlaxoSmithKline, Intarcia, Janssen, MedImmune, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Poxel, Quark Pharmaceuticals, Roche, Takeda, The Medicines Company, Zora Biosciences; S.D.W. has been a paid consultant for and has received research support from Boehringer Ingelheim, and has received honoraria payments from Roche Diagnostics. T.K. and S.D.W. hold patents (EP 2047275 B1 and US 8951742) and have a licensing contract with Roche Diagnostics related to GDF-15; E.B. reports research grants through his institution from Astra Zeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Merck and Novartis, and consultancies with Amgen, Boehringer-Ingelheim/Lilly, Bristol Myers Squibb, Cardurion, Novo Nordisk, and Verve; M.S. report research grant support through Brigham and Women’s Hospital from Amgen; Anthos Therapeutics; AstraZeneca; Bayer; Daiichi-Sankyo; Eisai; Intarcia; Ionis; Medicines Company; MedImmune; Merck; Novartis; Pfizer; Quark Pharmaceuticals. Consulting for: Althera; Amgen; Anthos Therapeutics; AstraZeneca; Beren Therapeutics; Bristol-Myers Squibb; DalCor; Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories; Fibrogen; Intarcia; Merck; Moderna; Novo Nordisk; Silence Therapeutics. Additionally, M.S. is a member of the TIMI Study Group, which has also received institutional research grant support through Brigham and Women’s Hospital from Abbott, ARCA Biopharma, Inc., Janssen Research and Development, LLC, Siemens Healthcare Diagnostics, Inc., Softcell Medical Limited, Regeneron, Roche, and Zora Biosciences., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of European Society of Cardiology.)

Background: Among Black adults, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) is associated with heart failure (HF) risk. The association of longitudinal changes in hs-cTnI with risk of incident HF, HF with reduced and preserved ejection fraction (HFrEF and HFpEF, respectively), among Black adults is not well-established., Methods and Results: This study included Black participants from the Jackson Heart Study with available hs-cTnI data at visits 1 (2000-2004) and 2 (2005-2008) and no history of cardiovascular disease. Cox models were used to evaluate associations of categories of longitudinal change in hs-cTnI with incident HF risk. Among 2423 participants, 11.6% had incident elevation in hs-cTnI at visit 2, and 16.9% had stable or improved elevation (≤50% increase in hs-cTnI), and 4.0% had worsened hs-cTnI elevation (>50% increase). Over a median follow-up of 12.0 years, there were 139 incident HF hospitalizations (64 HFrEF, 58 HFpEF). Compared with participants without an elevated hs-cTnI, those with incident, stable or improved, or worsened hs-cTnI elevation had higher HF risk (adjusted hazard ratio 3.20 [95% confidence interval, 1.92-5.33]; adjusted hazard ratio 2.40, [95% confidence interval, 1.47-3.92]; and adjusted hazard ratio 8.10, [95% confidence interval, 4.74-13.83], respectively). Similar patterns of association were observed for risk of HFrEF and HFpEF., Conclusions: Among Black adults, an increase in hs-cTnI levels on follow-up was associated with a higher HF risk., Lay Summary: The present study included 2423 Black adults from the Jackson Heart Study with available biomarkers of cardiac injury and no history of cardiovascular disease at visits 1 and 2. The majority of participants did not have evidence of cardiac injury at both visits (67.5%), 11.6% had evidence of cardiac injury only on follow-up, 14.5% had stable elevations, 4.0% had worsened elevations, and 2.4% had improved elevations of cardiac injury biomarkers during follow-up. Compared with participants without evidence of cardiac injury, those with new, stable, and worsened levels of cardiac injury had a higher risk of developing heart failure., Tweet: Among Black adults, persistent or worsening subclinical myocardial injury is associated with an elevated risk of HF., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) combined with elevations in cardiac biomarkers reflecting myocardial injury and neurohormonal stress (malignant LVH) is associated with a high risk for heart failure and death., Objectives: The aim of this study was to determine the impact of intensive systolic blood pressure (SBP) control on the prevention of malignant LVH and its consequences., Methods: A total of 8,820 participants in SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) were classified into groups based on the presence or absence of LVH assessed by 12-lead ECG, and elevations in biomarker levels (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T ≥14 ng/L or N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide ≥125 pg/mL) at baseline. The effects of intensive vs standard SBP lowering on rates of acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) events and death and on the incidence and regression of malignant LVH were determined., Results: Randomization to intensive SBP lowering led to similar relative reductions in ADHF events and death across the combined LVH/biomarker groups (P for interaction = 0.68). The absolute risk reduction over 4 years in ADHF events and death was 4.4% (95% CI: -5.2% to 13.9%) among participants with baseline malignant LVH (n = 449) and 1.2% (95% CI: 0.0%-2.5%) for those without LVH and nonelevated biomarkers (n = 4,361). Intensive SBP lowering also reduced the incidence of malignant LVH over 2 years (2.5% vs 1.1%; OR: 0.44; 95% CI: 0.30-0.63)., Conclusions: Intensive SBP lowering prevented malignant LVH and may provide substantial absolute risk reduction in the composite of ADHF events and death among SPRINT participants with baseline malignant LVH., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures This ancillary study was supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (1R01HL144112-01 for Dr Berry). Analytical reagents for hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP measurements were donated by Roche. SPRINT was sponsored by the National Institutes of Health, including the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, the National Institute on Aging, and the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, under Contract Numbers HHSN268200900040C, HHSN268200900046C, HHSN268200900047C, HHSN268200900048C, HHSN268200900049C, and Inter-Agency Agreement Number A-HL-13–002-001. It was also supported in part with resources and use of facilities through the Department of Veterans Affairs. The SPRINT investigators acknowledge the contribution of study medications (azilsartan and azilsartan combined with chlorthalidone) from Takeda Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health, the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, or the United States Government. Support was also received from the following CTSAs funded by the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences: CWRU: UL1TR000439, OSU: UL1RR025755, U Penn: UL1RR024134 and UL1TR000003, Boston: UL1RR025771, Stanford: UL1TR000093, Tufts: UL1RR025752, UL1TR000073 and UL1TR001064, University of Illinois: UL1TR000050, University of Pittsburgh: UL1TR000005, UT Southwestern: 9U54TR000017–06, University of Utah: UL1TR000105–05, Vanderbilt University: UL1 TR000445, George Washington University: UL1TR000075, University of California, Davis: UL1 TR000002, University of Florida: UL1 TR000064, University of Michigan: UL1TR000433, Tulane University: P30GM103337 COBRE Award NIGMS, Wake Forest University: UL1TR001420. Dr de Lemos has received grant support from Roche Diagnostics and Abbott Diagnostics; has received consulting fees from Roche Diagnostics, Abbott Diagnostics, Ortho Clinical Diagnostics, Quidel Cardiovascular, Inc, and Siemen’s Health Care Diagnostics; and has been named a co-owner on a patent awarded to the University of Maryland (US Patent Application Number: 15/309,754) entitled: “Methods for Assessing Differential Risk for Developing Heart Failure.” Dr Kitzman has received honoraria as a consultant outside the present study from Bayer, Merck, Pfizer, Corvia Medical, Boehringer Ingelheim, Ketyo, Rivus, Novo Nordisk, AstraZeneca, and Novartis; has received grant funding from Novartis, Bayer, Pfizer, Novo Nordisk, and AstraZeneca; and has stock ownership in Gilead Sciences. Dr Berry has received grant support from the National Institutes of Health, Roche Diagnostics, and Abbott Diagnostics; and has received consulting fees from Roche Diagnostics and the Cooper Institute. All other authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose., (Copyright © 2022 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: New-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 has been reported and associated with poor clinical outcomes. We aimed to understand the incidence of and outcomes associated with new-onset AF in a diverse and representative US cohort of patients hospitalized with COVID-19., Methods: We used data from the American Heart Association COVID-19 Cardiovascular Disease Registry. Patients were stratified by the presence versus absence of new-onset AF. The primary and secondary outcomes were in-hospital mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, cardiogenic shock, and heart failure). The association of new-onset AF and the primary and secondary outcomes was evaluated using Cox proportional-hazards models for the primary time to event analyses., Results: Of the first 30 999 patients from 120 institutions across the United States hospitalized with COVID-19, 27 851 had no history of AF. One thousand five hundred seventeen (5.4%) developed new-onset AF during their index hospitalization. New-onset AF was associated with higher rates of death (45.2% versus 11.9%) and MACE (23.8% versus 6.5%). The unadjusted hazard ratio for mortality was 1.99 (95% CI, 1.81-2.18) and for MACE was 2.23 (95% CI, 1.98-2.53) for patients with versus without new-onset AF. After adjusting for demographics, clinical comorbidities, and severity of disease, the associations with death (hazard ratio, 1.10 [95% CI, 0.99-1.23]) fully attenuated and MACE (hazard ratio, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.14-1.50]) partially attenuated., Conclusions: New-onset AF was common (5.4%) among patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Almost half of patients with new-onset AF died during their index hospitalization. After multivariable adjustment for comorbidities and disease severity, new-onset AF was not statistically significantly associated with death, suggesting that new-onset AF in these patients may primarily be a marker of other adverse clinical factors rather than an independent driver of mortality. Causality between the MACE composites and AF needs to be further evaluated.

Background: The V122I variant in transthyretin (TTR) is the most common amyloidogenic mutation worldwide. The aim of this study is to describe the cardiac phenotype and risk for adverse cardiovascular outcomes of young V122I TTR carriers in the general population., Methods and Results: TTR genotypes were extracted from whole-exome sequence data in participants of the Dallas Heart Study. Participants with African ancestry, available V122I TTR genotypes (N = 1818) and either cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (n = 1364) or long-term follow-up (n = 1532) were included. The prevalence of V122I TTR carriers (45 ± 10 years) was 3.2% (n/N = 59/1818). The V122I TTR carriers had higher baseline left ventricular wall thickness (8.52 ± 1.82 vs 8.21 ± 1.62 mm, adjusted P = .038) than noncarriers, but no differences in other cardiac magnetic resonance imaging measures (P > .05 for all). Although carrier status was not associated with amino terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) at baseline (P = .79), V122I TTR carriers had a greater increase in NT-proBNP on follow-up than noncarriers (median 28.5 pg/mL, interquartile range 11.4-104.1 pg/mL vs median 15.9 pg/mL, interquartile range 0.0-43.0 pg/mL, adjusted P = .018). V122I TTR carriers were at a higher adjusted risk of heart failure (hazard ratio 3.82, 95% confidence interval 1.80-8.13, P < .001), cardiovascular death (hazard ratio 2.65, 95% confidence interval 1.14-6.15, P = .023), and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.95, 95% confidence interval 1.08-3.51, P = .026) in comparison with noncarriers., Conclusions: V122I TTR carrier status was associated with a greater increase in NT-proBNP, slightly greater left ventricular wall thickness, and a higher risk for heart failure, cardiovascular death, and all-cause mortality. These findings suggest the need to develop amyloidosis screening strategies for V122I TTR carriers., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Obesity is associated with subclinical myocardial injury as quantified by concentrations of cardiac troponin T, but whether lifetime excess weight history is associated with increased concentrations of cardiac troponin I (cTnI) and how indices of abdominal adiposity and glycemic dysregulation affect these associations remain unclear., Methods: We analyzed cTnI with a high-sensitivity assay in 9739 participants in the Trøndelag Health (HUNT) Study at study visit 4 (2017-2019). BMI was assessed at study Visit 1 (1984-1986), 2 (1995-1997), 3 (2006-2008), and 4., Results: Median age at visit 4 was 68.7 years and 59% were women. Concentrations of cTnI were detectable in 84.1% of study participants, with a median of 2.5 (1.5-4.5 ng/L). We identified three clusters of BMI trajectories from visit 1 to 4, (1) stable normal weight, (2) stable overweight, and (3) stable obesity. Participants in clusters 2 and 3 were at increased risk of elevated concentrations of cTnI at visit 4 (odds ratio 1.27, 95% CI 1.09-1.47, and odds ratio 1.70, 95% CI 1.33-2.17, p for trend <0.001). Participants in cluster 3 had 22.0 (95% CI 14.1-29.9) higher concentrations of cTnI compared to participants in cluster 1 (p for trend <0.001). Dysregulated glucose metabolism and abdominal obesity did not influence our results., Conclusions: Individuals with stable overweight or obesity are at increased risk of subclinical myocardial injury, independently of glycemic dysregulation and abdominal adiposity. Our data support a direct detrimental effect of long-standing obesity on cardiovascular health., (© 2021 The Authors. Journal of Internal Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Association for Publication of The Journal of Internal Medicine.)

Objectives: This study evaluated the association of transthyretin (TTR) gene variant, in which isoleucine substitutes for valine at position 122 (V142I), with cardiac structure, function, and heart failure (HF) risk among middle-aged Black adults., Background: The valine-to-isoleucine substitution in the TTR protein is prevalent in Black individuals and causes cardiac amyloidosis., Methods: Jackson Heart Study participants without HF at baseline who had available data on the TTR V142I variant were included. The association of the TTR V142I variant with baseline echocardiographic parameters and repeated measures of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin-I (hs-cTnI) was assessed using adjusted linear regression models and linear mixed models, respectively. Adjusted Cox models, restricted mean survival time analysis, and Anderson-Gill models were constructed to determine the association of TTR V142I variant with the risk of incident HF, survival free of HF, and total HF hospitalizations., Results: A total of 119 of 2,960 participants (4%) were heterozygous carriers of the TTR V142I variant. The TTR V142I variant was not associated with measures of cardiac parameters at baseline but was associated with a greater increase in high-sensitivity troponin I (hs-TnI) levels over time. In adjusted Cox models, TTR V142I variant carriers had significantly higher risk of incident HF (HR: 1.80; 95% CI: 1.07-3.05; P = 0.03), lower survival free of HF (mean difference: 4.0 year; 95% CI: 0.6-6.2 years); P = 0.02), and higher risk of overall HF hospitalizations (HR: 2.12; 95% CI: 1.23-3.63; P = 0.007)., Conclusions: The TTR V142I variant in middle-aged Black adults is not associated with adverse cardiac remodeling but was associated with a significantly higher burden of chronic myocardial injury, and greater risk of incident HF and overall HF hospitalizations., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures The Jackson Heart Study was supported and conducted in collaboration with Jackson State University (HHSN268201800013I), Tougaloo College (HHSN268201800014I), the Mississippi State Department of Health (HHSN268201800015I), and the University of Mississippi Medical Center (HHSN268201800010I, HHSN268201800011I and HHSN268201800012I) contracts from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and the National Institute for Minority Health and Health Disparities. Dr Hall has received support from the National Institutes of Health (NIH)/National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK) grant 1K08DK099415- 01A1, NIH/National Institute of General Medical Sciences grant P20GM104357, and NIH/National Institute of General Medical Sciences grant 5U54GM115428. This study was supported by research support from the Texas Health Resources Clinical Scholarship, the Gilead Sciences Research Scholar Program, National Institute of Aging GEMSSTAR grant (1R03AG067960-01), and Applied Therapeutics to Dr Pandey. Disclosures: Dr Grodin is a consultant for Pfizer, Eidos Therapeutics, and Alynlam Pharmaceuticals; and has received research funding from the Texas Health Resources Clinical Scholars fund. Dr De Lemos has received financial support from Roche Diagnostics and Abbott Diagnostics; and is a consultant for Ortho Clinical Diagnostics, Quidel, and Regeneron. Dr Berry has received financial support from Roche Diagnostics, Abbott Diagnostics, and the National Institutes of Health; is a consultant for Abbott and the Cooper Institute. Dr Butler is a consultant for Abbott, Adrenomed, Arena Pharma, Array, Amgen, Applied Therapeutics, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Cardior, CVRx, Eli Lilly, G3 Pharma, Imbria, Impulse Dynamics, Innolife, Janssen, LivaNova, Luitpold, Medtronic, Merck, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Relypsa, Roche, Sequana Medical, V-Wave Limited, and Vifor. Dr Mentz has received financial support and honoraria from Abbott, American Regent, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim/Eli Lilly, Boston Scientific, Cytokinetics, Fast BioMedical, Gilead, Medtronic, Merck, Novartis, Roche, Sanofi, and Vifor. Dr Sanjiv Shah has received financial support from Actelion, AstraZeneca, Corvia, Novartis, and Pfizer; and is a consultant for Abbott, Actelion, AstraZeneca, Amgen, Aria, Axon Therapeutics, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol Myers Squibb, Cardiora, CVRx, Cyclerion, Cytokinetics, Eisai, GlaxoSmithKline, Imara, Ionis, Ironwood, Keyto, Lilly, Merck, MyoKardia, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer, Regeneron, Sanofi, Shifamed, Tenax, and United Therapeutics. Dr Amil Shah has received financial support from Novartis through Brigham and Women’s Hospital, and Philips Ultrasound through Brigham and Women’s Hospital, and personal fees from Philips Ultrasound Advisory Board outside the submitted work. Dr Pandey has served on the advisory board of Roche Diagnostics; and has received nonfinancial support from Pfizer and Merck. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; the National Institutes of Health; or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services., (Copyright © 2022 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background Currently, there is limited research on the prognostic value of NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) as a biomarker in COVID-19. We proposed the a priori hypothesis that an elevated NT-proBNP concentration at admission is associated with increased in-hospital mortality. Methods and Results In this prospective, observational cohort study of the American Heart Association's COVID-19 Cardiovascular Disease Registry, 4675 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 were divided into normal and elevated NT-proBNP cohorts by standard age-adjusted heart failure thresholds, as well as separated by quintiles. Patients with elevated NT-proBNP (n=1344; 28.7%) were older, with more cardiovascular risk factors, and had a significantly higher rate of in-hospital mortality (37% versus 16%; P <0.001) and shorter median time to death (7 versus 9 days; P <0.001) than those with normal values. Analysis by quintile of NT-proBNP revealed a steep graded relationship with mortality (7.1%-40.2%; P <0.001). NT-proBNP was also associated with major adverse cardiac events, intensive care unit admission, intubation, shock, and cardiac arrest ( P <0.001 for each). In subgroup analyses, NT-proBNP, but not prior heart failure, was associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality. Adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors with presenting vital signs, an elevated NT-proBNP was associated with 2-fold higher adjusted odds of death (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 2.23; 95% CI, 1.80-2.76), and the log-transformed NT-proBNP with other biomarkers projected a 21% increased risk of death for each 2-fold increase (adjusted OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.08-1.34). Conclusions Elevated NT-proBNP levels on admission for COVID-19 are associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality and other complications in patients with and without heart failure.

Aim: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) associate with structural heart disease and heart failure risk in individuals without known cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, few data are available regarding whether factors influencing levels of these two biomarkers are similar or distinct. We performed serial measurement of NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT in a contemporary multiethnic cohort with extensive phenotyping, with the goal of identifying their respective biological determinants in a population without known or suspected CVD. Methods: We evaluated 1877 participants of the Dallas Heart Study who had NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT measured and were free from clinical CVD at the each of its two examinations (2000-2002 and 2007-2009). Variables collected included demographic and risk factors, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, body composition via dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry, coronary artery calcium by computed tomography, and cardiac dimensions and function by cardiac MRI. Linear regression was used to identify associations of these factors with each biomarker at baseline and with changes in biomarkers over follow-up. Results: NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT were poorly correlated at baseline (Spearman rho 0.083, p = 0.015), with only moderate correlation between change values (rho 0.18, p < 0.001). hs-cTnT positively associated and NT-proBNP inversely associated with male gender and black race. At baseline, both NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT associated with left ventricular end-diastolic volume and wall thickness, but only NT-proBNP associated with left atrial size. Changes in cardiac dimensions between phases were more strongly associated with changes in NT-proBNP than hs-cTnT. NT-proBNP was more strongly associated with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and measures of body composition than hs-cTnT. Conclusion: Among individuals without CVD in the general population, NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT are nonredundant biomarkers that are differentially associated with demographic and cardiac factors. These findings indicate that hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP may reflect different pathophysiological pathways.

Objectives: This study sought to evaluate the independent associations and interactions between high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) and physical activity (PA) with risk of heart failure (HF) subtypes, HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF)., Background: Black adults are at high risk for developing HF. Physical inactivity and subclinical myocardial injury, as assessed by hs-cTnI concentration, are independent risk factors for HF., Methods: Black adults from the Jackson Heart Study without prevalent HF who had hs-cTnI concentration and self-reported PA assessed at baseline were included. Adjusted Cox models were used to evaluate the independent and joint associations and interaction between hs-cTnI concentrations and PA with risk of HFpEF and HFrEF., Results: Among 3,959 participants, 25.1% had subclinical myocardial injury (hs-cTnI ≥4 and ≥6 ng/l in women and men, respectively), and 48.2% were inactive (moderate-to-vigorous PA = 0 min/week). Over 12.0 years of follow-up, 163 and 150 participants had an incident HFpEF and HFrEF event, respectively. In adjusted analysis, higher hs-cTnI concentration (per 1-U log increase) was associated with higher risk of HFpEF (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.47; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.25 to 1.72]) and HFrEF (HR: 1.57; 95% CI: 1.35 to 1.83]). In contrast, higher PA (per 1-U log increase) was associated with a lower risk of HFpEF (HR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.88 to 0.99]) but not HFrEF. There was a significant interaction between hs-cTnI and PA for risk of HFpEF (p interaction = 0.04) such that inactive participants with subclinical myocardial injury were at higher risk of HFpEF but active participants were not., Conclusions: Among Black adults with subclinical myocardial injury, higher levels of PA were associated with attenuated risk of HFpEF., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures Supported by a Strategically Focused Research Network Grant for Prevention from the American Heart Association to University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, and Northwestern University School of Medicine, Chicago. Dr. Neeland is a consultant for Boehringer Ingelheim/Lilly Alliance and Merck. Dr. deFilippi has received grant support from Roche Diagnostics, Ortho Diagnostics, and Siemens Healthineers; is a consultant for Roche Diagnostics, Abbott Diagnostics, Ortho Clinical Diagnostics, Quidel, FujiRebio, and Siemen’s Health Care Diagnostics; has received royalty payments from UpToDate; co-owns a patent awarded to the University of Maryland (U.S. Patent Application: 15/309,754; Methods for Assessing Differential Risk for Developing Heart Failure); and has received an award, UL1TR003015, from the U.S. National Institutes of Health/Center for Advancing Translational Science. Dr. Seliger has received funding from Roche Diagnostics. Dr. Rodriguez has received research support from Amgen, the American Heart Association, and the National Health Lung and Blood Institute (2R01HL104199). Dr. de Lemos has received grant support from Roche Diagnostics and Abbott Diagnostics; is a consultant for Roche Diagnostics, Abbott Diagnostics, Ortho Clinical Diagnostics, Quidel Cardiovascular, and Siemen’s Health Care Diagnostics; and is a co-owner of a patent awarded to the University of Maryland (U.S. Patent Application: 15/309,754; Methods for Assessing Differential Risk for Developing Heart Failure). Dr. Mentz has received research support and honoraria from Abbott, American Regent, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim/Eli Lilly, Boston Scientific, Cytokinetics, Fast BioMedical, Gilead, Innolife, Medtronic, Merck, Novartis, Relypsa, Respicardia, Roche, Sanofi, Vifor, and Windtree Therapeutics. Dr. Berry has received a grant, 14SFRN20740000, from the American Heart Association prevention network and salary support from Abbott Diagnostics. Dr. Pandey has served on the advisory board of Roche Diagnostics; has received nonfinancial support from Pfizer and Merck; and has received research support from Texas Health Resources Clinical Scholarship, the Gilead Sciences Research Scholar Program, and the National Institute of Aging GEMSSTAR grant (1R03AG067960-01) and Applied Therapeutics., (Copyright © 2021 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Heart failure (HF) risk and the underlying risk factors vary by race. Traditional models for HF risk prediction treat race as a covariate in risk prediction and do not account for significant parameters such as cardiac biomarkers. Machine learning (ML) may offer advantages over traditional modeling techniques to develop race-specific HF risk prediction models and to elucidate important contributors of HF development across races., Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of 4 large, community cohort studies (ARIC [Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities], DHS [Dallas Heart Study], JHS [Jackson Heart Study], and MESA [Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis]) with adjudicated HF events. The study included participants who were >40 years of age and free of HF at baseline. Race-specific ML models for HF risk prediction were developed in the JHS cohort (for Black race-specific model) and White adults from ARIC (for White race-specific model). The models included 39 candidate variables across demographic, anthropometric, medical history, laboratory, and electrocardiographic domains. The ML models were externally validated and compared with prior established traditional and non-race-specific ML models in race-specific subgroups of the pooled MESA/DHS cohort and Black participants of ARIC. The Harrell C-index and Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino χ 2 tests were used to assess discrimination and calibration, respectively., Results: The ML models had excellent discrimination in the derivation cohorts for Black (n=4141 in JHS, C-index=0.88) and White (n=7858 in ARIC, C-index=0.89) participants. In the external validation cohorts, the race-specific ML model demonstrated adequate calibration and superior discrimination (Black individuals, C-index=0.80-0.83; White individuals, C-index=0.82) compared with established HF risk models or with non-race-specific ML models derived with race included as a covariate. Among the risk factors, natriuretic peptide levels were the most important predictor of HF risk across both races, followed by troponin levels in Black and ECG-based Cornell voltage in White individuals. Other key predictors of HF risk among Black individuals were glycemic parameters and socioeconomic factors. In contrast, prevalent cardiovascular disease and traditional cardiovascular risk factors were stronger predictors of HF risk in White adults., Conclusions: Race-specific and ML-based HF risk models that integrate clinical, laboratory, and biomarker data demonstrated superior performance compared with traditional HF risk and non-race-specific ML models. This approach identifies distinct race-specific contributors of HF.

Objectives: This study evaluated the application of a biomarker-based risk score to identify individuals with dysglycemia who are at high risk for incident heart failure (HF) and to inform allocation of effective preventive interventions., Background: Risk stratification tools to identify patients with diabetes and pre-diabetes at highest risk for HF are needed to inform cost-effective allocation of preventive therapies. Whether a biomarker score can meaningfully stratify HF risk is unknown., Methods: Participants free of cardiovascular disease from 3 cohort studies (ARIC [Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities], DHS [Dallas Heart Study], and MESA [Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis]) were included. An integer-based biomarker score included high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T ≥6 ng/l, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide ≥125 pg/ml, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein ≥3 mg/l, and left ventricular hypertrophy by electrocardiography, with 1 point for each abnormal parameter. The 5-year risk of HF was estimated among participants with diabetes and pre-diabetes across biomarker score groups (0 to 4)., Results: The primary analysis included 6,799 participants with dysglycemia (diabetes: 33.2%; pre-diabetes: 66.8%). The biomarker score demonstrated good discrimination and calibration for predicting 5- and 10-year HF risk among pre-diabetes and diabetes cohorts. The 5-year risk of HF among subjects with a biomarker score of ≤1 was low and comparable to participants with euglycemia (0.78%). The 5-year risk for HF increased in a graded fashion with an increasing biomarker score, with the highest risk noted among those with scores of ≥3 (diabetes: 12.0%; pre-diabetes: 7.8%). The estimated number of HF events that could be prevented using a sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor per 1,000 treated subjects over 5 years was 11 for all subjects with diabetes and ranged from 4 in the biomarker score zero group to 44 in the biomarker score ≥3 group., Conclusions: Among adults with diabetes and pre-diabetes, a biomarker score can stratify HF risk and inform allocation of HF prevention therapies., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures Dr. Pandey was supported by the Texas Health Resources Clinical Scholarship, Gilead Sciences Research Scholar Program, and the National Institute of Aging GEMSSTAR Grant (1R03AG067960-01). The ARIC study is conducted as a collaborative study supported by National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute contracts (HHSN268201100005C, HHSN2 68201100006C, HHSN268201100007C, HHSN268201100008C, HHSN26820 1100009C, HHSN268201100010C, HHSN268201100011C, and HHSN268201 100012C). The Dallas Heart Study was funded by a grant from the Donald W. Reynolds Foundation. Research reported in this publication was supported by the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences of the National Institutes of Health (award number UL1TR001105) to the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center. The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis was supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R01 HL071739 and contracts N01-HC-95159, N01-HC-95160, N01-HC-95161, N01-HC-95162, N01-HC-95163, N01-HC-95164, N01-HC-95165, and N01-C-95169). Dr. Vaduganathan has been supported by the KL2/Catalyst Medical Research Investigator Training award from Harvard Catalyst (NIH/NCATS Award UL 1TR002541); and has served on advisory boards for Amgen, AstraZeneca, Baxter Healthcare, Bayer AG, Boehringer Ingelheim, Cytokinetics, and Relypsa. Dr. Pandey has served on the advisory board of Roche Diagnostics. Dr. Patel was supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute T32 postdoctoral training grant (5T32HL125247-03). Dr. Kosiborod has received research grant support from AstraZeneca and Boehringer Ingelheim; has served as a consultant or on advisory boards for Amgen, Applied Therapeutics, Astra Zeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Merck (Diabetes), Novo Nordisk, Sanofi, and Vifor Pharma; has received other research support from AstraZeneca and honorarium from AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, and Novo Nordisk. Dr. de Lemos has received grant support from Roche Diagnostics and Abbott Diagnostics; and has received consulting fees from Roche Diagnostics, Abbott Diagnostics, Ortho Clinical Diagnostics, Siemen’s Health Care Diagnostics, Quidel Cardiovascular, Inc, Novo Nordisk, Amgen, Regeneron, Eli Lilly, and Esperion. Drs. DeFilippi and de Lemos hold a patent pending (U.S. Patent Number: 15/309,754) entitled: “Methods for Assessing Differential Risk for Developing Heart Failure.” Dr. McGuire has received personal fees for trial leadership from GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Lexicon, AstraZeneca, CSL Behring, Sanofi, Boehringer Ingelheim, Merck & Co, Pfizer, Novo Nordisk, Eisai Inc., Esperion, and Lilly USA; and has received personal consultancy fees from AstraZeneca, Lilly USA, Boehringer Ingelheim, Merck & Co, Novo Nordisk, Metavant, Applied Therapeutics, Sanofi, and Afimmune. Dr. Everett has received personal consultancy fees from Amarin, Amgen, Gilead, FDA, Merck & Co., National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, and Roche Diagnostics outside the present work; and has received significant investigator-initiated grant funding from the National Institute of Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute outside the present work. A full list of participating MESA investigators and institutions can be found at http://www.mesa-nhlbi.org., (Copyright © 2021 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

The purpose of this analysis was to assess implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) utilization and its association with mortality among patients ≥65 years of age after coronary revascularization. Patients in the National Cardiovascular Database Registry Chest Pain-Myocardial Infarction (MI) Registry who presented with MI from January 2, 2009 to December 31, 2016, had a left ventricular ejection fraction ≤35% and underwent in-hospital revascularization (10,014 percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and 1,647 coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG)) were linked with Medicare claims to determine rates of 1-year ICD implantation. The association between ICD implantation and 2-year mortality was assessed. Of 11,661 included patients, an ICD was implanted in 1,234 (10.6%) within 1 year of revascularization (1,063 (10.6%) PCI and 171 (10.4%) CABG). Among PCI-treated patients, in-hospital ventricular arrhythmia (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34 to 1.92), 2-week cardiology follow-up (aHR 1.48, 95% CI 1.29 to 1.70), readmission for heart failure (aHR 3.21, 95% CI 2.73 to 3.79), and readmission for MI (aHR 2.18, 95% CI 1.66 to 2.85) were positively associated with ICD implantation. Among CABG-treated patients, in-hospital ventricular arrhythmia (aHR 2.33, 95% CI 1.39 to 3.91), and heart failure readmission (aHR 3.14, 95% CI 1.96 to 5.04) were positively associated with ICD implantation. Women were less likely to receive an ICD, regardless of the revascularization strategy. ICD implantation was associated with lower 2-year all-cause mortality (aHR 0.74, 95% CI 0.63 to 0.86). In conclusion, only 1 in 10 Medicare patients with low ejection fraction received an ICD within 1 year after revascularization. Contact with the healthcare system after discharge was associated with higher likelihood of ICD implantation. ICD implantation was associated with lower mortality following revascularization for MI., Competing Interests: Disclosures Li, Lu, Matsouka, de Lemos, Peterson, and Al-Khatib have no relevant conflicts of interest to disclose. Goldstein is supported by the National Institutes of Health training grant T-32-HL069749-15. Rymer receives research support from Boston Scientific and Abbott Pharmaceuticals. Fonarow consults for Abbott, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Edwards, Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Medtronic, Merck and Novartis. Pokorney receives research support from Bristol-Myers Squibb, Pfizer, Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Gilead, Boston Scientific and the US Food and Drug Administration, and consults for Bristol Myers Squibb, Pfizer, Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Boston Scientific, Medtronic and ZOLL. Wang receives research support from Abbott, AstraZeneca, Bristol Myers Squibb, Boston Scientific, Cryolife, Chiesi, Merck, Portola and Regeneron and consults for AstraZeneca, Bristol Myers Squibb and Cryolife., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: A malignant subphenotype of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) has been described, in which minimal elevations in cardiac biomarkers identify individuals with LVH at high risk for developing heart failure (HF). We tested the hypothesis that a higher prevalence of malignant LVH among blacks may contribute to racial disparities in HF risk., Methods: Participants (n=15 710) without prevalent cardiovascular disease were pooled from 3 population-based cohort studies, the ARIC Study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities), the DHS (Dallas Heart Study), and the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis). Participants were classified into 3 groups: those without ECG-LVH, those with ECG-LVH and normal biomarkers (hs-cTnT (high sensitivity cardiac troponin-T) <6 ng/L and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) <100 pg/mL), and those with ECG-LVH and abnormal levels of either biomarker (malignant LVH). The outcome was incident HF., Results: Over the 10-year follow-up period, HF occurred in 512 (3.3%) participants, with 5.2% in black men, 3.8% in white men, 3.2% in black women, and 2.2% in white women. The prevalence of malignant LVH was 3-fold higher among black men and women versus white men and women. Compared with participants without LVH, the adjusted hazard ratio for HF was 2.8 (95% CI, 2.1-3.5) in those with malignant LVH and 0.9 (95% CI, 0.6-1.5) in those with LVH and normal biomarkers, with similar findings in each race/sex subgroup. Mediation analyses indicated that 33% of excess hazard for HF among black men and 11% of the excess hazard among black women was explained by the higher prevalence of malignant LVH in blacks. Of black men who developed HF, 30.8% had malignant LVH at baseline, with a corresponding population attributable fraction of 0.21. The proportion of HF cases occurring among those with malignant LVH, and the corresponding population attributable fraction, were intermediate and similar among black women and white men and lowest among white women., Conclusions: A higher prevalence of malignant LVH may in part explain the higher risk of HF among blacks versus whites. Strategies to prevent development or attenuate risk associated with malignant LVH should be investigated as a strategy to lower HF risk and mitigate racial disparities.

Background: We assessed whether plasma troponin I measured by a high-sensitivity assay (hs-TnI) is associated with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in a community-based sample without prior CVD., Methods: ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) participants aged 54 to 74 years without baseline CVD were included in this study (n=8121). Cox proportional hazards models were constructed to determine associations between hs-TnI and incident coronary heart disease (CHD; myocardial infarction and fatal CHD), ischemic stroke, atherosclerotic CVD (CHD and stroke), heart failure hospitalization, global CVD (atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure), and all-cause mortality. The comparative association of hs-TnI and high-sensitivity troponin T with incident CVD events was also evaluated. Risk prediction models were constructed to assess prediction improvement when hs-TnI was added to traditional risk factors used in the Pooled Cohort Equation., Results: The median follow-up period was ≈15 years. Detectable hs-TnI levels were observed in 85% of the study population. In adjusted models, in comparison to low hs-TnI (lowest quintile, hs-TnI ≤1.3 ng/L), elevated hs-TnI (highest quintile, hs-TnI ≥3.8 ng/L) was associated with greater incident CHD (hazard ratio [HR], 2.20; 95% CI, 1.64-2.95), ischemic stroke (HR, 2.99; 95% CI, 2.01-4.46), atherosclerotic CVD (HR, 2.36; 95% CI, 1.86-3.00), heart failure hospitalization (HR, 4.20; 95% CI, 3.28-5.37), global CVD (HR, 3.01; 95% CI, 2.50-3.63), and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.56-2.14). hs-TnI was observed to have a stronger association with incident global CVD events in white than in black individuals and a stronger association with incident CHD in women than in men. hs-TnI and high-sensitivity troponin T were only modestly correlated ( r=0.47) and were complementary in prediction of incident CVD events, with elevation of both troponins conferring the highest risk in comparison with elevation in either one alone. The addition of hs-TnI to the Pooled Cohort Equation model improved risk prediction for atherosclerotic CVD, heart failure, and global CVD., Conclusions: Elevated hs-TnI is strongly associated with increased global CVD incidence in the general population independent of traditional risk factors. hs-TnI and high-sensitivity troponin T provide complementary rather than redundant information.

Importance: African Americans have a higher burden of heart failure (HF) risk factors and clinical HF than other racial/ethnic groups. However, the factors underlying the transition from at-risk to clinical HF in African Americans are not well understood., Objective: To evaluate the contributions of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) and subclinical myocardial injury as determined by abnormal high-sensitivity cardiac troponin-I (hs-cTnI) measurements toward HF risk among African Americans., Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective, community-based cohort study was conducted between July 2016 and September 2018 and included African American participants from Jackson, Mississippi enrolled in the Jackson Heart Study without prevalent HF who had hs-cTnI measurements and an echocardiographic examination at baseline. Participants were stratified into categories based on the presence or absence of LVH and subclinical myocardial injury (category 1: hs-cTnI <4 ng/L in women and <6 ng/L in men; category 2: 4-10 ng/L in women and 6-12 ng/L in men; category 3: >10 ng/L in women and >12 ng/L in men)., Main Outcomes and Measures: Adjusted associations between LVH, subclinical myocardial injury, and the risk of incident HF hospitalization were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models., Results: The study included 3987 participants (2552 women [64%]; 240 (6.0%) with LVH; 1003 (25.1%) with myocardial injury) with 285 incident HF events over a median follow-up of 9.8 years (interquartile range, 8.9-10.6 years). In adjusted analyses, higher LV mass and subclinical myocardial injury were independently associated with the risk of HF with a significant interaction between the 2 (Pint < 0.001). The highest risk of HF was noted among individuals with both LVH and myocardial injury (absolute incidence, 35%; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR; vs no LVH and no myocardial injury], 5.35; 95% CI, 3.66-7.83). A significant interaction by sex was also observed. Men with LVH and subclinical myocardial injury had an almost 15-fold higher risk of HF (aHR, 14.62; 95% CI, 7.61-28.10) vs those with neither LVH nor injuries. By contrast, women with this phenotype had a nearly 4-fold higher risk of HF (aHR, 3.81; 95% CI, 2.40-6.85)., Conclusions and Relevance: The combination of LVH and subclinical myocardial injury identifies a malignant, preclinical HF phenotype in African Americans with a very high risk of HF, particularly among men. This finding could have implications for future screening strategies that are designed to prevent HF in the population.

Background: Although hospitalization for acute decompensated heart failure (HF) is common and associated with poor outcomes and high costs, few evidence-based recommendations are available to guide patient management. Thus, management of inpatient HF remains heterogeneous. We evaluated if physician-specific self-reported HF practice patterns were associated with 2 important contributors to resource utilization: length of stay (LOS) and 30-day readmission., Methods and Results: A 5-point Likert scale survey was created to assess physician-specific HF discharge strategies and administered to all cardiologists and hospitalists at a single large academic teaching hospital. Practice patterns potentially impacting LOS and discharge decisions were queried, including use of physical examination findings, approaches to diuretic use and influence of kidney function. Likert scale responses are reported as means with any value above 3.00 considered more influential and any value below 3.00 considered less influential. Physician-specific LOS and 30-day readmission rates from July 1, 2015, to June 30, 2016, were extracted from the electronic record. We received survey responses and HF utilization metrics from 58 of 69 surveyed physicians (32 hospitalists and 26 cardiologists), encompassing 753 HF discharges over a 1-year period. Median LOS was 4.5 days (interquartile range, 4.0-5.8) and total 30-day readmission rate was 17.0% (128 unique readmissions). Physicians with below-median LOS placed less importance on observing a patient on oral diuretics for 24 hours before discharge (Likert 2.54 versus 3.30, P=0.01), reaching documented dry weight (Likert 2.93 versus 3.60, P=0.02), and complete resolution of dyspnea on exertion (Likert 3.64 versus 4.10, P=0.03) when compared with those above-median LOS. In contrast, no surveyed discharge practices were associated with physician-specific 30-day readmission., Conclusions: We identified specific inpatient HF discharge practice patterns that associated with shorter LOS but not with readmission rates. These may be targets for future interventions aimed at cost reduction; additional larger studies are needed for further exploration.

Importance: Among patients hospitalized with heart failure (HF), the long-term clinical implications of hospitalization at hospitals based on 30-day risk-standardized mortality rates (RSMRs) is not known., Objective: To evaluate the association of hospital-specific 30-day RSMR with long-term survival among patients hospitalized with HF in the American Heart Association Get With The Guidelines-HF registry., Design, Setting, and Participants: The longitudinal observational study included 106 304 patients with HF who were admitted to 317 centers participating in the Get With The Guidelines-HF registry from January 1, 2005, to December 31, 2013, and had Medicare-linked follow-up data. Hospital-specific 30-day RSMR was calculated using a hierarchical logistic regression model. In the model, 30-day mortality rate was a binary outcome, patient baseline characteristics were included as covariates, and the hospitals were treated as random effects. The association of 30-day RSMR-based hospital groups (low to high 30-day RSMR: quartile 1 [Q1] to Q4) with long-term (1-year, 3-year, and 5-year) mortality was assessed using adjusted Cox models. Data analysis took place from June 29, 2017, to February 19, 2018., Exposures: Thirty-day RSMR for participating hospitals., Main Outcomes and Measures: One-year, 3-year, and 5-year mortality rates., Results: Of the 106 304 patients included in the analysis, 57 552 (54.1%) were women and 84 595 (79.6%) were white, and the median (interquartile range) age was 81 (74-87) years. The 30-day RSMR ranged from 8.6% (Q1) to 10.7% (Q4). Hospitals in the low 30-day RSMR group had greater availability of advanced HF therapies, cardiac surgery, and percutaneous coronary interventions. In the primary landmarked analyses among 30-day survivors, there was a graded inverse association between 30-day RSMR and long-term mortality (Q1 vs Q4: 5-year mortality, 73.7% vs 76.8%). In adjusted analysis, patients admitted to hospitals in the high 30-day RSMR group had 14% (95% CI, 10-18) higher relative hazards of 5-year mortality compared with those admitted to hospitals in the low 30-day RSMR group. Similar findings were observed in analyses of survival from admission, with 22% (95% CI, 18-26) higher relative hazards of 5-year mortality for patients admitted to Q4 vs Q1 hospitals., Conclusions and Relevance: Lower hospital-level 30-day RSMR is associated with greater 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival for patients with HF. These differences in 30-day survival continued to accrue beyond 30 days and persisted long term, suggesting that 30-day RSMR may be a useful HF performance metric to incentivize quality care and improve long-term outcomes.

Background: As heart failure (HF)-associated morbidity and mortality continue to escalate, enhanced focus on prevention is increasingly important. "Malignant" left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy (LVH): LVH combined with an elevated cardiac biomarker reflecting either injury (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T), or strain (amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) has predicted accelerated progression to HF. We sought to determine whether malignant LVH identified community-dwelling adults initially free of cardiovascular disease at high risk of asymptomatic decline in LV ejection fraction or a clinical cardiovascular event., Methods and Results: A total of 4985 of 6814 individuals without prevalent cardiovascular disease underwent baseline cardiac magnetic resonance for LVH in combination with measurement of plasma high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T and amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide as part of MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) and were subsequently divided into 4 groups: (1) No LVH, no elevated biomarkers (n=2206; 44.3%); (2) No LVH, ≥1 elevated biomarkers (n=2275; 45.7%); (3) LVH, no elevated biomarkers (n=153; 3.0%); and (4) LVH, ≥1 elevated biomarkers (malignant LVH; n=351; 7.0%). Cardiac magnetic resonance was repeated 10 years later (n=2831) for assessment of LV ejection fraction <50%. Median follow-up was 12.2 years. Malignant LVH was associated with 7.0-, 3.5-, and 2.6-fold adjusted increases in incidence of HF, cardiovascular death, and asymptomatic LV dysfunction, respectively, versus group 1. New-onset HF was predominately HF with reduced ejection fraction (9.5-fold increase)., Conclusions: Malignant LVH is predictive of progression to asymptomatic LV dysfunction, HF (particularly HF with reduced ejection fraction), and cardiovascular death. Consequently, malignant LVH represents a high-risk phenotype among individuals without known cardiovascular disease, which should be targeted for increased surveillance and more-aggressive therapies., (© 2018 The Authors. Published on behalf of the American Heart Association, Inc., by Wiley.)

Background: To assess the current landscape of the heart failure (HF) epidemic and provide targets for future health policy interventions in Medicare, a contemporary appraisal of its epidemiology across inpatient and outpatient care settings is needed., Methods and Results: In a national 5% sample of Medicare beneficiaries from 2002 to 2013, we identified a cohort of 2 331 939 unique fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries ≥65-years-old followed for all inpatient and outpatient encounters over a 10-year period (2004-2013). Preexisting HF was defined by any HF encounter during the first year, and incident HF with either 1 inpatient or 2 outpatient HF encounters. Mean age of the cohort was 72 years; 57% were women, and 86% and 8% were white and black, respectively. Within this cohort, 518 223 patients had preexisting HF, and 349 826 had a new diagnosis of HF during the study period. During 2004 to 2013, the rates of incident HF declined 32%, from 38.7 per 1000 (2004) to 26.2 per 1000 beneficiaries (2013). In contrast, prevalent (preexisting + incident) HF increased during our study period from 162 per 1000 (2004) to 172 per 1000 beneficiaries (2013) ( P <0.001 for both). Finally, the overall 1-year mortality among patients with incident HF is high (24.7%) with a 0.4% absolute decline annually during the study period, with a more pronounced decrease among those diagnosed in an inpatient versus outpatient setting ( trend <0.001) CONCLUSIONS: In recent years, there have been substantial changes in the epidemiology of HF in Medicare beneficiaries, with a decline in incident HF and a decrease in 1-year HF mortality, whereas the overall burden of HF continues to increase.P interaction <0.001) CONCLUSIONS: In recent years, there have been substantial changes in the epidemiology of HF in Medicare beneficiaries, with a decline in incident HF and a decrease in 1-year HF mortality, whereas the overall burden of HF continues to increase., (© 2017 American Heart Association, Inc.)

Background: Obesity may increase heart failure risk through cardiac remodeling. Cross-sectional associations between adiposity and cardiac structure and function have been elucidated, but the impact of longitudinal changes in adiposity on cardiac remodeling is less well understood., Methods and Results: Participants in the Dallas Heart Study without cardiovascular disease or left ventricular dysfunction underwent assessment of body weight, anthropometrics, and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging at baseline and 7 years later. Associations between changes in indices of generalized and central adiposity with changes in left ventricular mass, volume, mass/volume ratio (concentricity), wall thickness, and ejection fraction were assessed using multivariable linear regression. The study cohort (n=1262) mean age was 44 years with 57% women, 44% black, and 36% obese participants. At follow-up, 41% had ≥5% weight gain, and 15% had ≥5% weight loss. Greater weight gain was associated with younger age, lower risk factor burden, and lower body mass index at baseline. In multivariable models adjusting for age, sex, race, comorbid conditions at baseline and follow-up, baseline adiposity, and cardiac measurement, increasing weight was associated with increases in left ventricular mass (β=0.10, P <0.0001), wall thickness (β=0.10, P <0.0001), and concentricity (β=0.06, P =0.002), with modest effects on end-diastolic volume (β=0.04, P =0.044) and ejection fraction (β=0.05, P =0.046). Similar results were seen with other adiposity indices., Conclusions: Concentric left ventricular remodeling is the predominant phenotype linked to increasing adiposity in middle age. Our findings support the importance of weight management to prevent secular changes in adiposity, concentric remodeling, and eventual heart failure over time., (© 2017 The Authors. Published on behalf of the American Heart Association, Inc., by Wiley.)

Objectives: This study sought to evaluate the association between early-life cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and measures of left ventricular (LV) structure and function in midlife., Background: Low CRF in midlife is associated with a higher risk of heart failure. However, the unique contributions of early-life CRF toward measures of LV structure and function in middle age are not known., Methods: CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study participants with a baseline maximal treadmill test and an echocardiogram at year 25 were included. Associations among baseline CRF, CRF change, and echocardiographic LV parameters (global longitudinal strain [GLS] and global circumferential strain, E/e') were assessed using multivariable linear regression., Results: The study included 3,433 participants. After adjustment for baseline demographic and clinical characteristics, lower baseline CRF was significantly associated with higher LV strain (standardized parameter estimate [Std β] = -0.06; p = 0.03 for GLS) and ratio of early transmitral flow velocity to early peak diastolic mitral annular velocity (E/e') (Std β = -0.10; p = 0.0001 for lateral E/e'), findings suggesting impaired contractility and elevated diastolic filling pressure in midlife. After additional adjustment for cumulative cardiovascular risk factor burden observed over the follow-up period, the association of CRF with LV strain attenuated substantially (p = 0.36), whereas the association with diastolic filling pressure remained significant (Std β = -0.05; p = 0.02 for lateral E/e'). In a subgroup of participants with repeat CRF tests at year 20, greater decline in CRF was significantly associated with increased abnormalities in GLS (Std β = -0.05; p = 0.02) and higher diastolic filling pressure (Std β = -0.06; p = 0.006 for lateral E/e') in middle age., Conclusions: CRF in young adulthood and CRF change were associated with measures of LV systolic function and diastolic filling pressure in middle age. Low CRF-associated abnormalities in systolic function were related to the associated higher cardiovascular risk factor burden. In contrast, the inverse association between CRF and LV diastolic filling pressure was independent of cardiovascular risk factor burden., (Copyright © 2017. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Background: Although small elevations of high-sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) are associated with incident heart failure (HF) in the general population, the underlying mechanisms are not well defined. Evaluating the association of hs-cTnT with replacement fibrosis and progression of structural heart disease before symptoms is fundamental to understanding the potential of this biomarker in a HF prevention strategy., Methods: We measured hs-cTnT at baseline among 4986 participants in MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), a cohort initially free of overt cardiovascular disease (CVD). Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging was performed at baseline. Repeat cardiac magnetic resonance was performed 10 years later among 2831 participants who remained free of interim CVD events; of these, 1723 received gadolinium-enhanced cardiac magnetic resonance for characterization of replacement fibrosis by late gadolinium enhancement. Progression of subclinical CVD was defined by 10-year change in left ventricular structure and function. Associations of hs-cTnT with incident HF, CV-related mortality, and coronary heart disease were estimated using Cox regression models., Results: Late gadolinium enhancement for replacement fibrosis was detectable in 6.3% participants without interim CVD events by follow-up cardiac magnetic resonance. A graded association was observed between higher baseline hs-cTnT categories and late gadolinium enhancement (≥7.42 ng/L versus 12% (highest category versus

Background: Lower leisure-time physical activity (LTPA) and higher body mass index (BMI) are independently associated with risk of heart failure (HF). However, it is unclear if this relationship is consistent for both heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF)., Objectives: This study sought to quantify dose-response associations between LTPA, BMI, and the risk of different HF subtypes., Methods: Individual-level data from 3 cohort studies (WHI [Women's Health Initiative], MESA [Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis], and CHS [Cardiovascular Health Study]) were pooled and participants were stratified into guideline-recommended categories of LTPA and BMI. Associations between LTPA, BMI, and risk of overall HF, HFpEF (ejection fraction ≥45%), and HFrEF (ejection fraction <45%) were assessed by using multivariable adjusted Cox models and restricted cubic splines., Results: The study included 51,451 participants with 3,180 HF events (1,252 HFpEF, 914 HFrEF, and 1,014 unclassified HF). In the adjusted analysis, there was a dose-dependent association between higher LTPA levels, lower BMI, and overall HF risk. Among HF subtypes, LTPA in any dose range was not associated with HFrEF risk. In contrast, lower levels of LTPA (<500 MET-min/week) were not associated with HFpEF risk, and dose-dependent associations with lower HFpEF risk were observed at higher levels. Compared with no LTPA, higher than twice the guideline-recommended minimum LTPA levels (>1,000 MET-min/week) were associated with an 19% lower risk of HFpEF (hazard ratio: 0.81; 95% confidence interval: 0.68 to 0.97). The dose-response relationship for BMI with HFpEF risk was also more consistent than with HFrEF risk, such that increasing BMI above the normal range (≥25 kg/m 2 ) was associated with a greater increase in risk of HFpEF than HFrEF., Conclusions: Our study findings show strong, dose-dependent associations between LTPA levels, BMI, and risk of overall HF. Among HF subtypes, higher LTPA levels and lower BMI were more consistently associated with lower risk of HFpEF compared with HFrEF., (Copyright © 2017 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Importance: Elevated levels of cardiac troponins are associated with adverse clinical outcomes among patients with heart failure (HF) and reduced ejection fraction. However, the clinical significance of troponin elevation in the setting of decompensated HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is not well established., Objective: To determine the clinical predictors of troponin elevation and its association with in-hospital and long-term outcomes among patients with decompensated HFpEF., Design, Setting, and Participants: Observational analysis of Get With The Guidelines-HF registry participants who were admitted for decompensated HFpEF (ejection fraction ≥50%) from January 2009 through December 2014 and who had quantitative or categorical (elevated vs normal based on institution's reference laboratory) measures of troponin level (troponin T or troponin I, as available)., Main Outcomes and Measures: In-hospital outcomes (mortality, length of stay, and discharge destination) and postdischarge outcomes (30-day mortality, 30-day readmission rate, 1-year mortality)., Results: We included 34 233 patients with HFpEF from 224 sites with measured troponin levels (33.4% men; median age, 79 years): 78.6% (n = 26 896) with troponin I and 21.4% (n = 7319) with troponin T measurements. Among these, 22.6% (n = 7732) had elevation in troponin levels. In adjusted analysis, higher serum creatinine level, black race, older age, and ischemic heart disease were associated with troponin elevation. Elevated troponin was associated with higher odds of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.19; 95% CI, 1.88-2.56), greater length of stay (length of stay >4 days OR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.29-1.47), and lower likelihood of discharge to home (OR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.61-0.71) independent of other clinical predictors and measured confounders. Presence of elevated troponin I levels was also significantly associated with increased risk of 30-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.59; 95% CI, 1.42-1.80), 30-day all-cause readmission (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.01-1.25), and 1-year mortality HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.26-1.45)., Conclusions and Relevance: Troponin elevation among patients with acutely decompensated HFpEF is associated with worse in-hospital and postdischarge outcomes, independent of other predictive variables. Future studies are needed to determine if measurement of troponin levels among patients with decompensated HFpEF may be useful for risk stratification.

Objectives: This study sought to determine whether processes of care and long-term clinical outcomes for heart failure (HF) admissions across Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure (GWTG-HF) program participating centers differ according to HF-specific risk-adjusted 30-day readmission rates (excess readmission ratio [ERR]) as determined by the Hospital Readmission Reduction Program (HRRP)., Background: HRRP penalizes hospitals with higher than expected risk-adjusted 30-day readmission rates (ERR >1) for common conditions including HF. However, it is unclear whether the differences in this metric of hospital performance used by HRRP and related penalties are associated with measured quality of care and long-term outcomes., Methods: We analyzed data from the GWTG-HF registry linked to Medicare claims from July 2008 to June 2011. Using publically available data on HF-ERR in 2013, we stratified the participating centers into groups with low (HF-ERR ≤1) versus high (HF-ERR >1) risk-adjusted readmission rates. We compared the care quality, in-hospital, and 1-year clinical outcomes across the 2 groups in unadjusted and multivariable adjusted analysis., Results: The analysis included 171 centers with 43,143 participants; 49% of centers had high risk-adjusted 30-day readmission rates (HF-ERR >1). There were no differences between the low and high risk-adjusted 30-day readmission groups in median adherence rate to all performance measures (95.7% vs. 96.5%; p = 0.37) or median percentage of defect-free care (90.0% vs. 91.1%; p = 0.47). The composite 1-year outcome of death or all-cause readmission rates was also not different between the 2 groups (median 62.9% vs. 65.3%; p = 0.10). The high HF-ERR group had higher 1-year all-cause readmission rates (median 59.1% vs. 54.7%; p = 0.01). However, the 1-year mortality rates were lower among high versus low HF-ERR group with a trend toward statistical significance (median 28.2% vs. 31.7%; p = 0.07)., Conclusions: Quality of care and clinical outcomes were comparable among hospitals with high versus low risk-adjusted 30-day HF readmission rates. These findings raise questions about the validity of the HRRP performance metric in identifying and penalizing low-performance centers., (Copyright © 2016 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: While aldosterone antagonists have proven benefit among post-myocardial infarction (MI) patients with low ejection fraction (EF), how this treatment is used among older MI patients in routine practice is not well described., Methods and Results: Using ACTION Registry-GWTG linked to Medicare data, we examined 12 080 MI patients ≥65 years with EF ≤40% who were indicated for aldosterone antagonist therapy per current guidelines and without documented contraindications. Of these, 11% (n=1310) were prescribed aldosterone antagonists at discharge. Notably, 10% of patients prescribed an aldosterone antagonist were eligible for, but not concurrently treated with, an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker. Spironolactone was the predominantly prescribed aldosterone antagonist. At 2-year follow-up, aldosterone antagonist use was not associated with lower mortality (unadjusted 39% versus 38%; HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.88-1.33 using inverse probability-weighted propensity adjustment) except in symptomatic HF patients (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72-0.99, Pinteraction=0.009). Risks of hyperkalemia were low at 30 days, but significantly higher among patients prescribed aldosterone antagonists (unadjusted 2.3% versus 1.5%; adjusted HR 2.04, 95% CI 1.16-3.60), as was 2-year risk of acute renal failure (unadjusted 6.7% versus 4.8%; adjusted HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.01-1.92) compared with patients not prescribed aldosterone antagonists., Conclusions: Aldosterone antagonist use among eligible older MI patients in routine clinical practice was not associated with lower mortality except in patients with HF symptoms, but was associated with increased risks of hyperkalemia and acute renal failure. These results underscore the importance of close post-discharge monitoring of this patient population., (© 2016 The Authors. Published on behalf of the American Heart Association, Inc., by Wiley Blackwell.)

Background: Prior studies have reported an inverse association between physical activity (PA) and risk of heart failure (HF). However, a comprehensive assessment of the quantitative dose-response association between PA and HF risk has not been reported previously., Methods and Results: Prospective cohort studies with participants >18 years of age that reported association of baseline PA levels and incident HF were included. Categorical dose-response relationships between PA and HF risk were assessed with random-effects models. Generalized least-squares regression models were used to assess the quantitative relationship between PA (metabolic equivalent [MET]-min/wk) and HF risk across studies reporting quantitative PA estimates. Twelve prospective cohort studies with 20 203 HF events among 370 460 participants (53.5% women; median follow-up, 13 years) were included. The highest levels of PA were associated with significantly reduced risk of HF (pooled hazard ratio for highest versus lowest PA, 0.70; 95% confidence interval, 0.67-0.73). Compared with participants reporting no leisure-time PA, those who engaged in guideline-recommended minimum levels of PA (500 MET-min/wk; 2008 US federal guidelines) had modest reductions in HF risk (pooled hazard ratio, 0.90; 95% confidence interval, 0.87-0.92). In contrast, a substantial risk reduction was observed among individuals who engaged in PA at twice (hazard ratio for 1000 MET-min/wk, 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.77-0.86) and 4 times (hazard ratio for 2000 MET-min/wk, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.58-0.73) the minimum guideline-recommended levels., Conclusions: There is an inverse dose-response relationship between PA and HF risk. Doses of PA in excess of the guideline-recommended minimum PA levels may be required for more substantial reductions in HF risk., (© 2015 American Heart Association, Inc.)

Background: There has been an increasing interest in use of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs) in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFPEF). However, a comprehensive evaluation of MRA effects on left ventricular (LV) structure and function in these patients is lacking. In this meta-analysis, we evaluated the effects of MRAs on LV structure and function among patients with diastolic dysfunction or HFPEF., Methods & Results: Randomized, controlled clinical trials evaluating the efficacy of MRAs in patients with diastolic dysfunction or HFPEF were included. The primary outcome was change in E/e', a specific measure of diastolic function. Secondary outcomes included changes in other measures of diastolic function, LV structure, surrogate markers for myocardial fibrosis (carboxy-terminal peptide of procollagen type I [PICP] and amino-terminal peptide of pro-collagen type-II [PIIINP]), blood pressure, and exercise tolerance. In the pooled analysis, MRA use was associated with significant reduction in E/e' (weighted mean difference [WMD] [95% confidence interval {CI}]: -1.68 [-2.03 to -1.33]; P<0.0001) and deceleration time (WMD [95% CI]: -12.0 ms [-23.3 to -0.7]; P=0.04) as compared with control, suggesting and improvement in diastolic function. Furthermore, blood pressure and levels of PIIINP and PICP were also significantly reduced with MRA therapy with no significant change in LV mass or dimensions., Conclusion: MRA therapy in patients with asymptomatic diastolic dysfunction or HFPEF is associated with significant improvement in diastolic function and markers of cardiac fibrosis without a significant change in LV mass or dimensions., (© 2015 The Authors. Published on behalf of the American Heart Association, Inc., by Wiley Blackwell.)

Aims: Low mid-life fitness is associated with higher risk for heart failure (HF). However, it is unclear to what extent this HF risk is modifiable and mediated by the burden of cardiac and noncardiac comorbidities. We studied the effect of cardiac and noncardiac comorbidities on the association of mid-life fitness and fitness change with HF risk., Methods: Linking individual subject data from the Cooper Center Longitudinal Study (CCLS) with Medicare claims files, we studied 19,485 subjects (21.2% women) who survived to receive Medicare coverage from 1999 to 2009. Fitness estimated by Balke treadmill time at mean age of 49 years was analyzed as a continuous variable (in metabolic equivalents [METs]) and according to age- and sex-specific quintiles. Associations of mid-life fitness and fitness change with HF hospitalization after age of 65 years were assessed by applying a proportional hazards recurrent events model to the failure time data with each comorbidity entered as time-dependent covariates., Results: After 127,110 person years of Medicare follow-up, we observed 1,038 HF hospitalizations. Higher mid-life fitness was associated with a lower risk for HF hospitalization (hazard ratio [HR] 0.82 [0.76-0.87] per MET) after adjustment for traditional risk factors. This remained unchanged after further adjustment for the burden of Medicare-identified cardiac and noncardiac comorbidities (HR 0.83 [0.78-0.89]). Each 1 MET improvement in mid-life fitness was associated with a 17% lower risk for HF hospitalization in later life (HR 0.83 [0.74-0.93] per MET)., Conclusions: Mid-life fitness is an independent and modifiable risk factor for HF hospitalization at a later age., Competing Interests: All other authors report no conflicts of interest relevant to this manuscript., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Among the various cardiovascular diseases, heart failure (HF) is projected to have the largest increases in incidence over the coming decades; therefore, improving HF prediction is of significant value. We evaluated whether cardiac troponin T (cTnT) measured with a high-sensitivity assay and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), biomarkers strongly associated with incident HF, improve HF risk prediction in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study., Methods: Using sex-specific models, we added cTnT and NT-proBNP to age and race ("laboratory report" model) and to the ARIC HF model (includes age, race, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive medication use, current/former smoking, diabetes, body mass index, prevalent coronary heart disease, and heart rate) in 9868 participants without prevalent HF; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), integrated discrimination improvement, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and model fit were described., Results: Over a mean follow-up of 10.4 years, 970 participants developed incident HF. Adding cTnT and NT-proBNP to the ARIC HF model significantly improved all statistical parameters (AUCs increased by 0.040 and 0.057; the continuous NRIs were 50.7% and 54.7% in women and men, respectively). Interestingly, the simpler laboratory report model was statistically no different than the ARIC HF model., Conclusions: cTnT and NT-proBNP have significant value in HF risk prediction. A simple sex-specific model that includes age, race, cTnT, and NT-proBNP (which can be incorporated in a laboratory report) provides a good model, whereas adding cTnT and NT-proBNP to clinical characteristics results in an excellent HF prediction model.

Objectives: The goal of this study was to determine if biomarkers of subclinical myocardial injury and hemodynamic stress identify asymptomatic individuals with left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) at higher risk for heart failure (HF) and death., Background: The interaction between LVH, low but detectable cardiac troponin T (cTnT), and elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) on cardiovascular (CV) outcomes in the general population is unknown., Methods: Participants in the Dallas Heart Study without clinical HF, LV dysfunction, or chronic kidney disease underwent measurement of LV mass by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), cTnT by highly sensitive assay, and NT-proBNP analysis (n = 2,413). Subjects were stratified according to LVH and by detectable cTnT (≥3 pg/ml) and increased NT-proBNP (>75th age- and sex-specific percentile) levels. For each analysis, participants were categorized into groups based on the presence (+) or absence (-) of LVH and biomarker levels above (+) or below (-) the predefined threshold., Results: Nine percent of participants were LVH+, 25% cTnT+, and 24% NT-proBNP+. Those LVH+ and cTnT+ and/or NT-proBNP+ (n = 144) were older and more likely to be male, with a greater risk factor burden and more severe LVH compared with those who were LVH+ biomarker- (p < 0.01 for each). The cumulative incidence of HF or CV death over 8 years among LVH+ cTnT+ was 21% versus 1% (LVH- cTnT-), 4% (LVH- cTnT+), and 6% (LVH+ cTnT-) (p < 0.0001). The interactions between LVH and cTnT (p(interaction) = 0.0005) and LVH and NT-proBNP (p(interaction) = 0.014) were highly significant. Individuals who were LVH+ and either cTnT+ or NT-proBNP+ remained at >4-fold higher risk for HF or CV death after multivariable adjustment for CV risk factors, renal function, and LV mass compared with those who were LVH- biomarker-., Conclusions: Minimal elevations in biomarkers of subclinical cardiac injury and hemodynamic stress modify the association of LVH with adverse outcomes, identifying a malignant subphenotype of LVH with high risk for progression to HF and CV death., (Copyright © 2013 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between physical activity and changes in levels of highly sensitive troponin T (cTnT) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and the subsequent risk of the development of heart failure (HF) in community-dwelling older adults., Background: Higher baseline levels of cTnT and NT-proBNP and increases over time correlate with the risk of HF in older adults. Factors modifying these levels have not been identified., Methods: NT-proBNP and cTnT were measured at baseline and 2 to 3 years later in adults 65 years of age and older free of HF participating in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Self-reported physical activity and walking pace were combined into a composite score. An increase was prespecified for NT-proBNP as a >25% increment from baseline to ≥190 pg/ml and for cTnT as a >50% increment from baseline in participants with detectable levels (≥3 pg/ml)., Results: A total of 2,933 participants free of HF had NT-proBNP and cTnT measured at both time points. The probability of an increase in biomarker concentrations between baseline and follow-up visits was inversely related to the physical activity score. Compared with participants with the lowest score, those with the highest score had an odds ratio of 0.50 (95% confidence interval: 0.33 to 0.77) for an increase in NT-proBNP and an odds ratio of 0.30 (95% confidence interval: 0.16 to 0.55) for an increase in cTnT, after adjusting for comorbidities and baseline levels. A higher activity score associated with a lower long-term incidence of HF. Moreover, at each level of activity, an increase in either biomarker still identified those at higher risk., Conclusions: These findings suggest that moderate physical activity has protective effects on early heart failure phenotypes, preventing cardiac injury and neurohormonal activation., (Copyright © 2012 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Identifying asymptomatic individuals with American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology stage B heart failure (HF) in the population is an important step to prevent the development of symptomatic HF. The comparative utility of 2 screening strategies (biomarkers vs risk scores) in identifying prevalent stage B HF is unknown., Methods: Participants 30 to 65 years old without symptomatic HF in the Dallas Heart Study who had a cardiac magnetic resonance imaging were included (n = 2,277). Stage B HF (n = 284) was defined by left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy, reduced LV ejection fraction, or prior myocardial infarction. We compared the utility of 2 risk scores (Health Aging and Body Composition HF risk score and the Framingham Heart Failure risk score) with B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and N-terminal pro-BNP in identifying stage B HF using logistic regression., Results: Depending upon the method of indexing LV mass (body surface area, fat-free mass, or height(2.7)), the c-statistic for the Health Aging and Body Composition HF risk score (0.73, 0.75, and 0.64, respectively) was greater than that for BNP (0.62, 0.70, and 0.57, respectively) and N-terminal pro-BNP (0.62, 0.69, and 0.56, respectively) (P < .01 for all). These findings were similar for the Framingham Heart Failure risk score except when LV mass was indexed to fat-free mass. Addition of natriuretic peptide levels to the risk scores resulted in a modest but significant improvement in discrimination of stage B HF (Δ c-statistic, 0.01-0.03, P < .05 for all)., Conclusions: Screening for stage B HF in the population is enhanced when natriuretic peptides are measured in addition to, rather than in place of, traditional risk scores., (Copyright © 2011 Mosby, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: We evaluated whether cardiac troponin T (cTnT) measured with a new highly sensitive assay was associated with incident coronary heart disease (CHD), mortality, and hospitalization for heart failure (HF) in a general population of participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study., Methods and Results: Associations between increasing cTnT levels and CHD, mortality, and HF hospitalization were evaluated with Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for traditional CHD risk factors, kidney function, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide in 9698 participants aged 54 to 74 years who at baseline were free from CHD and stroke (and HF in the HF analysis). Measurable cTnT levels (≥0.003 μg/L) were detected in 66.5% of individuals. In fully adjusted models, compared with participants with undetectable levels, those with cTnT levels in the highest category (≥0.014 μg/L; 7.4% of the ARIC population) had significantly increased risk for CHD (hazard ratio=2.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.81 to 2.89), fatal CHD (hazard ratio=7.59; 95% confidence interval, 3.78 to 15.25), total mortality (hazard ratio=3.96; 95% confidence interval, 3.21 to 4.88), and HF (hazard ratio=5.95; 95% confidence interval, 4.47 to 7.92). Even minimally elevated cTnT (≥0.003 μg/L) was associated with increased risk for mortality and HF (P<0.05). Adding cTnT to traditional risk factors improved risk prediction parameters; the improvements were similar to those with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and better than those with the addition of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein., Conclusions: cTnT detectable with a highly sensitive assay was associated with incident CHD, mortality, and HF in individuals from a general population without known CHD/stroke.

Background: Thiazolidinediones cause peripheral oedema, the aetiology of which remains poorly understood., Methods: In a sub-study of a 6-month trial comparing rosiglitazone (Rsg) versus placebo, we compared those with versus without oedema among the 74 subjects treated with Rsg with respect to peak oxygen consumption indexed to fat-free mass (VO(2peak-FFM) ), cardiac MRI and markers of plasma volume expansion., Results: Almost half (49%) of the Rsg-treated patients developed oedema. Baseline VO(2peak-FFM) was not different between those with versus without oedema (25.8 versus 28.2 ml/kg/min; p = 0.22) and declined 5% in the oedema group (Δ -1.3 ml/min/kg; p = 0.005) with no change in those without oedema. Stroke volume increased in both groups (Δ 8.7 and 8.8 ml; p < 0.001 for each); end-diastolic volume increased only in those with oedema (+13.1 ml; p = 0.001). No other cardiac function changes were observed. In both groups, weight increased (3.6 and 2.2 kg) and haematocrit decreased (-3.2% and -2.1%; p < 0.001 for each). In those with oedema, albumin decreased (-0.2 g/dl) and brain natriuretic peptide increased (11.9 pg/ml; p < 0.03 for each)., Conclusions: Oedema was associated with a small decline in VO(2peak FFM), no adverse effects on cardiac function, and changes in selected measures suggesting that volume expansion underpins Rsg oedema.

Context: Older adults comprise the majority of new-onset heart failure (HF) diagnoses, but traditional risk-factor prediction models have limited accuracy in this population to identify those at highest risk for hospitalization or death., Objectives: To determine if cardiac troponin T (cTnT) measured by a highly sensitive assay would be detectable in the majority of community-dwelling older adults, and if serial measures were associated with risk of HF hospitalization and cardiovascular death., Design, Setting, and Participants: A longitudinal nationwide cohort study (Cardiovascular Health Study) of 4221 community-dwelling adults aged 65 years or older without prior HF who had cTnT measured using a highly sensitive assay at baseline (1989-1990) and repeated after 2 to 3 years (n = 2918)., Main Outcome Measures: New-onset HF and cardiovascular death were examined through June 2008 with respect to cTnT concentrations, accounting for clinical risk predictors., Results: Cardiac troponin T was detectable (≥3.00 pg/mL) in 2794 participants (66.2%). During a median follow-up of 11.8 years, 1279 participants experienced new-onset HF and 1103 cardiovascular deaths occurred, with a greater risk of both end points associated with higher cTnT concentrations. Among those participants with the highest cTnT concentrations (>12.94 pg/mL), there was an incidence rate per 100 person-years of 6.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.8-7.2; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.48; 95% CI, 2.04-3.00) for HF and an incidence rate of 4.8 (95% CI, 4.3-5.4; aHR, 2.91; 95% CI, 2.37-3.58) for cardiovascular death compared with participants with undetectable cTnT levels (incidence rate, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.4-1.8 and 1.1; 95% CI, 0.9-1.2 for HF and cardiovascular death, respectively). Among individuals with initially detectable cTnT, a subsequent increase of more than 50% (n = 393, 22%) was associated with a greater risk for HF (aHR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.32-1.97) and cardiovascular death (aHR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.35-2.03) and a decrease of more than 50% (n = 247, 14%) was associated with a lower risk for HF (aHR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.54-0.97) and cardiovascular death (aHR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.52-0.97) compared with participants with 50% or less change. Addition of baseline cTnT measurements to clinical risk factors was associated with only modest improvement in discrimination, with change in C statistic of 0.015 for HF and 0.013 for cardiovascular death., Conclusion: In this cohort of older adults without known HF, baseline cTnT levels and changes in cTnT levels measured with a highly sensitive assay were significantly associated with incident HF and cardiovascular death.

The pathophysiology of heart failure is complex, and the list of biomarkers representing distinct pathophysiologic pathways is growing rapidly. This article focuses on some promising newer biomarkers that have contributed to a better understanding of pathophysiologic mechanisms involved in heart failure but for which less data are currently available: osteoprotegerin, galectin-3, cystatin C, chromogranin A, and the adipokines adiponectin, leptin, and resistin. Despite the intriguing early information from these newer markers, none is ready for routine clinical use. Much additional study is needed to determine how these biomarkers will fit into diagnostic and treatment algorithms for patients who have heart failure.

Background: Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) is useful in diagnosing congestive heart failure (CHF) in patients presenting in the emergency department with acute dyspnea. We prospectively tested the utility of BNP for discriminating ARDS vs cardiogenic pulmonary edema (CPE)., Methods: We enrolled ICU patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure and bilateral pulmonary infiltrates who were undergoing right-heart catheterization (RHC) to aid in diagnosis. Patients with acute coronary syndrome, end-stage renal disease, recent coronary artery bypass graft surgery, or preexisting left ventricular ejection fraction /= 1,200 pg/mL, BNP had a specificity of 92% for CPE. Higher levels of BNP were associated with a decreased odds for ARDS (odds ratio, 0.4 per log increase; p = 0.007) after adjustment for age, history of CHF, and right atrial pressure. BNP was associated with in-hospital mortality (p = 0.03) irrespective of the final diagnosis and independent of APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) II score., Conclusion: In ICU patients with hypoxemic respiratory failure, BNP appears useful in excluding CPE and identifying patients with a high probability of ARDS, and was associated with mortality in patients with both ARDS and CPE. Larger studies are necessary to validate these findings.

Background: Heart-type fatty acid binding protein (H-FABP) is a cytosolic protein that is released rapidly from the cardiomyocyte in response to myocardial injury. Although it has been investigated as an early marker of acute myocardial infarction, its prognostic utility in acute coronary syndromes has not been established., Methods and Results: We measured H-FABP in 2287 patients with acute coronary syndromes from the OPUS-TIMI 16 trial. H-FABP was elevated (> 8 ng/mL) in 332 patients (14.5%). Patients with an elevated H-FABP were more likely to suffer death (hazard ratio [HR], 4.1; 95% CI, 2.6 to 6.5), recurrent myocardial infarction (HR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.0 to 2.5), congestive heart failure (HR, 4.5; 95% CI, 2.6 to 7.8), or the composite of these end points (HR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.9 to 3.5) through the 10-month follow-up period. H-FABP predicted the risk of the composite end point both in patients who were troponin I negative (HR, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.3 to 3.4) and in those who were troponin I positive (HR, 3.3; 95% CI, 2.0 to 5.3). In a Cox proportional-hazards model that adjusted for baseline variables, including demographics, clinical characteristics, creatinine clearance, ST deviation, index diagnosis, and troponin I, elevated H-FABP remained a significant predictor of the composite end point (HR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.3 to 2.7), as well as the individual end points of death (HR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.5 to 4.9) and CHF (HR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.2 to 5.0). In a multimarker approach, H-FABP, troponin I, and B-type natriuretic peptide provided complementary information., Conclusions: Elevation of H-FABP is associated with an increased risk of death and major cardiac events in patients presenting across the spectrum of acute coronary syndromes and is independent of other established clinical risk predictors and biomarkers.

Background: The prognostic implications of low QRS voltage on the electrocardiogram (ECG) in heart failure (HF) are not well characterized., Methods: We manually measured and summed the QRS voltage in all 12 leads of the ECG (sumQRS) in two cohorts: (1) 415 patients with a low left ventricular ejection fraction followed up in a HF clinic ("clinic cohort") and (2) 100 subjects with advanced HF who had an ECG within 1 year preceding cardiac transplantation ("pretransplant cohort"). Low voltage was defined as the lowest quartile of the clinic cohort (sumQRS <12 mV) and its prevalence was compared in the two cohorts. The associations of low voltage with 1-year outcomes were assessed in the clinic cohort., Results: In the clinic cohort, the frequency of low voltage was higher in New York Heart Association class 4 versus class 1-3 patients (34% vs 22% respectively, P = .04). The frequency of low voltage in the pretransplant cohort (47%) was twice that of the clinic cohort (24%, P < .001). After 1 year of follow-up in the clinic cohort, low ECG voltage was associated with a higher rate of death (14% vs 5%, P = .008) and the composite end point of death or HF hospitalization (35% vs 20%, P = .004). These associations persisted in multivariable analyses adjusting for important confounders., Conclusions: Low ECG voltage is a marker of the severity of HF and is a risk factor for adverse outcomes in patients with systolic HF at 1 year.

Context: Elevated concentrations of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) at presentation in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) are associated with long-term mortality. Few data exist regarding serial assessment of BNP levels during follow-up., Objective: To determine whether concentrations of BNP at study entry (prior to hospital discharge for ACS) and at outpatient follow-up at 4 months and 12 months are associated with subsequent clinical outcomes., Design, Setting, and Patients: Prospective observational substudy of 4497 patients with non-ST-elevation or ST-elevation ACS who were enrolled in phase Z of the A to Z trial, which was conducted in 41 countries at 322 acute care hospitals between 1999 and 2003., Main Outcome Measure: Death from any cause or new onset of congestive heart failure (CHF) through 2 years., Results: Levels of BNP were available in 4266 patients at study entry (prior to hospital discharge), 3618 patients at 4 months, and 2966 patients at 12 months. During follow-up there were 230 deaths and 163 incident cases of CHF. Adjusting for age, sex, index event, renal function, hypertension, prior heart failure, and diabetes, elevated levels of BNP (>80 pg/mL) were associated with subsequent death or new CHF when measured at study entry (111 [21%] vs 246 [7%]; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 2.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.0-3.3), at 4 months (34 [19%] vs 125 [4%]; adjusted HR, 3.9; 95% CI, 2.6-6.0), and at 12 months (19 [11%] vs 37 [1%]; adjusted HR, 4.7; 95% CI, 2.5-8.9). Patients with newly elevated levels of BNP at 4 months were at increased risk of death or new CHF (10 [15%] vs 105 [3%]); HR, 4.5; 95% CI, 2.3-8.6). Patients with elevated levels of BNP at study entry and with BNP levels lower than 80 pg/mL at 4 months tended to have only modestly increased risk (HR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.0-2.9) compared with patients with BNP levels lower than 80 pg/mL at both visits., Conclusions: Serial determinations of BNP levels during outpatient follow-up after ACS predict the risk of death or new CHF. Changes in BNP levels over time are associated with long-term clinical outcomes and may provide a basis for enhanced clinical decision making in patients after onset of ACS.Clinical Trials Registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00251576.

Background: Few data are available about development of congestive heart failure (CHF) in patients with unstable angina/non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (UA/NSTEMI). We developed and validated a risk score to predict which patients will develop CHF., Methods: A subset of 4681 patients from the Orbofiban in Patients With Unstable Coronary Syndromes-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (OPUS-TIMI 16) trial with UA/NSTEMI and without a history of CHF were included in this analysis and stratified according to the development of CHF at 10 months. A risk score was created from significant variables and validated in the Treat Angina With Aggrastat and Determine Cost of Therapy With an Invasive or Conservative Strategy-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TACTICS-TIMI 18) trial. B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) was then added to the initial multivariate analysis and validated in the TACTICS-TIMI 18 trial., Results: The incidence of CHF at 30 days was 4.9%, and at 10 months it was 5.6%. Significant variables on multivariate analysis included age >65 years, heart rate >100 beats/min, history of diabetes mellitus, lateral electrocardiographic changes, and history of angiographically confirmed coronary artery disease. The risk of CHF increased 10-fold across the number of risk factors (P <.001). When validated in the TACTICS-TIMI 18 trial, the risk score was significantly associated with CHF at 6 months (P =.01). The median BNP value doubled across the number of risk factors (P <.001 for trend). The addition of BNP to the risk score improved its discriminatory capacity., Conclusions: In patients with UA/NSTEMI, a simple clinical risk score can aid in assessing the risk of developing CHF. BNP adds to the predictive capacity of this risk score. This score may assist in identifying patients who warrant more careful monitoring and therapy for CHF prevention inhospital and during follow-up.