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Elevated 2-h plasma glucose concentration (2hPG) from an oral glucose tolerance (OGTT) test more strongly predicts risk of subsequent cardiovascular disease than fasting plasma glucose (FPG), but the association between these glucose measurements and hypertension risk is less clear. We examined the association between 2hPG, FPG and risk of hypertension. We conducted a prospective observational study (The Australian Diabetes, Obesity and Lifestyle Study—AusDiab) among 4413 Australian residents who attended a baseline (1999–2000) and follow-up (2004–2005) examinations. Measurements included blood pressure (mean of two readings), 75 g OGTT, fasting insulin, anthropometrics, dietary and alcohol intake, medical history and physical activity. Hypertension was defined as a systolic blood pressure (SBP)140 or a diastolic blood pressure (DBP)90 mm Hg or treatment with medication for hypertension. HOMA-S was calculated as a measure of insulin sensitivity using the HOMA2 calculator. Hypertension developed in 14% of the 4306 subjects available for this analysis. Higher 2hPG was significantly related to greater risk of hypertension after adjustment for age, gender, FPG, BMI (baseline and difference), waist circumference (baseline and difference), education, exercise, alcohol intake, baseline SBP and smoking (OR (95% CI) 1.12 (1.01 to 1.23)), but no significant association was seen between FPG and hypertension in this model (1.02 (0.88–1.19)). Further adjustment for HOMA-S did not change these findings. Higher baseline 2hPG was more strongly associated with an increase in SBP than in DBP over 5 years. We conclude that higher 2hPG predicted future hypertension occurrence in this population.Journal of Human Hypertension (2008) 22, 168–176; doi:10.1038/sj.jhh.1002316; published online 29 November 2007 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To assess the independent and joint effects of the components of the metabolic syndrome, including leptin, which is a recently proposed addition to this syndrome, in predicting the cumulative incidence of impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and diabetes among individuals with normal glucose tolerance.Research Design and Methods: This prospective study involved 2,605 residents of Mauritius with normal glucose tolerance who were followed for 5 years for IGT or diabetes onset in relation to total and regional adiposity (BMI, waist-to-hip ratio [WHR]), fasting and 2-h 75-g oral glucose load glucose and insulin, total and HDL cholesterol, blood pressure, serum uric acid, triglyceride, and leptin levels.Results: A multivariate logistic regression model adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, and diabetes family history showed a significantly higher linear increase in risk of IGT and diabetes in association with the following variables only: fasting glucose (odds ratio 1.89 [95% CI 1.51-2.34]), 2-h glucose (1.68 [1.50-1.88]), WHR (1.30 [1.10-1.52]), BMI (1.04 [1.00-1.08]), and serum uric acid (1.37 [1.20-1.57]). However, a nonlinear increase was seen with serum triglyceride and plasma leptin concentrations. No risk factors resulted in joint effects that were greater than expected from combining individual effects.Conclusions: Metabolic syndrome features independently predict a higher risk of diabetes or IGT in normoglycemic subjects but in combination confer no higher-than-expected risk of these outcomes. At higher concentrations of triglycerides and leptin, risk plateaus and even declines slightly. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]