Author: "Felix Akpojene" / Topic: global burden of disease - Searchworks@Jio Institute Digital Library Search Results

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1. Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years for 29 Cancer Groups From 2010 to 2019: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Author: Kocarnik JM, Compton K, Dean FE, Fu W, Gaw BL, Harvey JD, Henrikson HJ, Lu D, Pennini A, Xu R, Ababneh E, Abbasi-Kangevari M, Abbastabar H, Abd-Elsalam SM, Abdoli A, Abedi A, Abidi H, Abolhassani H, Adedeji IA, Adnani QES, Advani SM, Afzal MS, Aghaali M, Ahinkorah BO, Ahmad S, Ahmad T, Ahmadi A, Ahmadi S, Ahmed Rashid T, Ahmed Salih Y, Akalu GT, Aklilu A, Akram T, Akunna CJ, Al Hamad H, Alahdab F, Al-Aly Z, Ali S, Alimohamadi Y, Alipour V, Aljunid SM, Alkhayyat M, Almasi-Hashiani A, Almasri NA, Al-Maweri SAA, Almustanyir S, Alonso N, Alvis-Guzman N, Amu H, Anbesu EW, Ancuceanu R, Ansari F, Ansari-Moghaddam A, Antwi MH, Anvari D, Anyasodor AE, Aqeel M, Arabloo J, Arab-Zozani M, Aremu O, Ariffin H, Aripov T, Arshad M, Artaman A, Arulappan J, Asemi Z, Asghari Jafarabadi M, Ashraf T, Atorkey P, Aujayeb A, Ausloos M, Awedew AF, Ayala Quintanilla BP, Ayenew T, Azab MA, Azadnajafabad S, Azari Jafari A, Azarian G, Azzam AY, Badiye AD, Bahadory S, Baig AA, Baker JL, Balakrishnan S, Banach M, Bärnighausen TW, Barone-Adesi F, Barra F, Barrow A, Behzadifar M, Belgaumi UI, Bezabhe WMM, Bezabih YM, Bhagat DS, Bhagavathula AS, Bhardwaj N, Bhardwaj P, Bhaskar S, Bhattacharyya K, Bhojaraja VS, Bibi S, Bijani A, Biondi A, Bisignano C, Bjørge T, Bleyer A, Blyuss O, Bolarinwa OA, Bolla SR, Braithwaite D, Brar A, Brenner H, Bustamante-Teixeira MT, Butt NS, Butt ZA, Caetano Dos Santos FL, Cao Y, Carreras G, Catalá-López F, Cembranel F, Cerin E, Cernigliaro A, Chakinala RC, Chattu SK, Chattu VK, Chaturvedi P, Chimed-Ochir O, Cho DY, Christopher DJ, Chu DT, Chung MT, Conde J, Cortés S, Cortesi PA, Costa VM, Cunha AR, Dadras O, Dagnew AB, Dahlawi SMA, Dai X, Dandona L, Dandona R, Darwesh AM, das Neves J, De la Hoz FP, Demis AB, Denova-Gutiérrez E, Dhamnetiya D, Dhimal ML, Dhimal M, Dianatinasab M, Diaz D, Djalalinia S, Do HP, Doaei S, Dorostkar F, Dos Santos Figueiredo FW, Driscoll TR, Ebrahimi H, Eftekharzadeh S, El Tantawi M, El-Abid H, Elbarazi I, Elhabashy HR, Elhadi M, El-Jaafary SI, Eshrati B, Eskandarieh S, Esmaeilzadeh F, Etemadi A, Ezzikouri S, Faisaluddin M, Faraon EJA, Fares J, Farzadfar F, Feroze AH, Ferrero S, Ferro Desideri L, Filip I, Fischer F, Fisher JL, Foroutan M, Fukumoto T, Gaal PA, Gad MM, Gadanya MA, Gallus S, Gaspar Fonseca M, Getachew Obsa A, Ghafourifard M, Ghashghaee A, Ghith N, Gholamalizadeh M, Gilani SA, Ginindza TG, Gizaw ATT, Glasbey JC, Golechha M, Goleij P, Gomez RS, Gopalani SV, Gorini G, Goudarzi H, Grosso G, Gubari MIM, Guerra MR, Guha A, Gunasekera DS, Gupta B, Gupta VB, Gupta VK, Gutiérrez RA, Hafezi-Nejad N, Haider MR, Haj-Mirzaian A, Halwani R, Hamadeh RR, Hameed S, Hamidi S, Hanif A, Haque S, Harlianto NI, Haro JM, Hasaballah AI, Hassanipour S, Hay RJ, Hay SI, Hayat K, Heidari G, Heidari M, Herrera-Serna BY, Herteliu C, Hezam K, Holla R, Hossain MM, Hossain MBH, Hosseini MS, Hosseini M, Hosseinzadeh M, Hostiuc M, Hostiuc S, Househ M, Hsairi M, Huang J, Hugo FN, Hussain R, Hussein NR, Hwang BF, Iavicoli I, Ibitoye SE, Ida F, Ikuta KS, Ilesanmi OS, Ilic IM, Ilic MD, Irham LM, Islam JY, Islam RM, Islam SMS, Ismail NE, Isola G, Iwagami M, Jacob L, Jain V, Jakovljevic MB, Javaheri T, Jayaram S, Jazayeri SB, Jha RP, Jonas JB, Joo T, Joseph N, Joukar F, Jürisson M, Kabir A, Kahrizi D, Kalankesh LR, Kalhor R, Kaliyadan F, Kalkonde Y, Kamath A, Kameran Al-Salihi N, Kandel H, Kapoor N, Karch A, Kasa AS, Katikireddi SV, Kauppila JH, Kavetskyy T, Kebede SA, Keshavarz P, Keykhaei M, Khader YS, Khalilov R, Khan G, Khan M, Khan MN, Khan MAB, Khang YH, Khater AM, Khayamzadeh M, Kim GR, Kim YJ, Kisa A, Kisa S, Kissimova-Skarbek K, Kopec JA, Koteeswaran R, Koul PA, Koulmane Laxminarayana SL, Koyanagi A, Kucuk Bicer B, Kugbey N, Kumar GA, Kumar N, Kumar N, Kurmi OP, Kutluk T, La Vecchia C, Lami FH, Landires I, Lauriola P, Lee SW, Lee SWH, Lee WC, Lee YH, Leigh J, Leong E, Li J, Li MC, Liu X, Loureiro JA, Lunevicius R, Magdy Abd El Razek M, Majeed A, Makki A, Male S, Malik AA, Mansournia MA, Martini S, Masoumi SZ, Mathur P, McKee M, Mehrotra R, Mendoza W, Menezes RG, Mengesha EW, Mesregah MK, Mestrovic T, Miao Jonasson J, Miazgowski B, Miazgowski T, Michalek IM, Miller TR, Mirzaei H, Mirzaei HR, Misra S, Mithra P, Moghadaszadeh M, Mohammad KA, Mohammad Y, Mohammadi M, Mohammadi SM, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammed S, Moka N, Mokdad AH, Molokhia M, Monasta L, Moni MA, Moosavi MA, Moradi Y, Moraga P, Morgado-da-Costa J, Morrison SD, Mosapour A, Mubarik S, Mwanri L, Nagarajan AJ, Nagaraju SP, Nagata C, Naimzada MD, Nangia V, Naqvi AA, Narasimha Swamy S, Ndejjo R, Nduaguba SO, Negoi I, Negru SM, Neupane Kandel S, Nguyen CT, Nguyen HLT, Niazi RK, Nnaji CA, Noor NM, Nuñez-Samudio V, Nzoputam CI, Oancea B, Ochir C, Odukoya OO, Ogbo FA, Olagunju AT, Olakunde BO, Omar E, Omar Bali A, Omonisi AEE, Ong S, Onwujekwe OE, Orru H, Ortega-Altamirano DV, Otstavnov N, Otstavnov SS, Owolabi MO, P A M, Padubidri JR, Pakshir K, Pana A, Panagiotakos D, Panda-Jonas S, Pardhan S, Park EC, Park EK, Pashazadeh Kan F, Patel HK, Patel JR, Pati S, Pattanshetty SM, Paudel U, Pereira DM, Pereira RB, Perianayagam A, Pillay JD, Pirouzpanah S, Pishgar F, Podder I, Postma MJ, Pourjafar H, Prashant A, Preotescu L, Rabiee M, Rabiee N, Radfar A, Radhakrishnan RA, Radhakrishnan V, Rafiee A, Rahim F, Rahimzadeh S, Rahman M, Rahman MA, Rahmani AM, Rajai N, Rajesh A, Rakovac I, Ram P, Ramezanzadeh K, Ranabhat K, Ranasinghe P, Rao CR, Rao SJ, Rawassizadeh R, Razeghinia MS, Renzaho AMN, Rezaei N, Rezaei N, Rezapour A, Roberts TJ, Rodriguez JAB, Rohloff P, Romoli M, Ronfani L, Roshandel G, Rwegerera GM, S M, Sabour S, Saddik B, Saeed U, Sahebkar A, Sahoo H, Salehi S, Salem MR, Salimzadeh H, Samaei M, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Sankararaman S, Santric-Milicevic MM, Sardiwalla Y, Sarveazad A, Sathian B, Sawhney M, Saylan M, Schneider IJC, Sekerija M, Seylani A, Shafaat O, Shaghaghi Z, Shaikh MA, Shamsoddin E, Shannawaz M, Sharma R, Sheikh A, Sheikhbahaei S, Shetty A, Shetty JK, Shetty PH, Shibuya K, Shirkoohi R, Shivakumar KM, Shivarov V, Siabani S, Siddappa Malleshappa SK, Silva DAS, Singh JA, Sintayehu Y, Skryabin VY, Skryabina AA, Soeberg MJ, Sofi-Mahmudi A, Sotoudeh H, Steiropoulos P, Straif K, Subedi R, Sufiyan MB, Sultan I, Sultana S, Sur D, Szerencsés V, Szócska M, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tabuchi T, Tadbiri H, Taherkhani A, Takahashi K, Talaat IM, Tan KK, Tat VY, Tedla BAA, Tefera YG, Tehrani-Banihashemi A, Temsah MH, Tesfay FH, Tessema GA, Thapar R, Thavamani A, Thoguluva Chandrasekar V, Thomas N, Tohidinik HR, Touvier M, Tovani-Palone MR, Traini E, Tran BX, Tran KB, Tran MTN, Tripathy JP, Tusa BS, Ullah I, Ullah S, Umapathi KK, Unnikrishnan B, Upadhyay E, Vacante M, Vaezi M, Valadan Tahbaz S, Velazquez DZ, Veroux M, Violante FS, Vlassov V, Vo B, Volovici V, Vu GT, Waheed Y, Wamai RG, Ward P, Wen YF, Westerman R, Winkler AS, Yadav L, Yahyazadeh Jabbari SH, Yang L, Yaya S, Yazie TSY, Yeshaw Y, Yonemoto N, Younis MZ, Yousefi Z, Yu C, Yuce D, Yunusa I, Zadnik V, Zare F, Zastrozhin MS, Zastrozhina A, Zhang J, Zhong C, Zhou L, Zhu C, Ziapour A, Zimmermann IR, Fitzmaurice C, Murray CJL, and Force LM
Subjects: Disability-Adjusted Life Years, Global Health, Humans, Incidence, Prevalence, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Risk Factors, Global Burden of Disease, Neoplasms epidemiology
Abstract: Importance: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019) provided systematic estimates of incidence, morbidity, and mortality to inform local and international efforts toward reducing cancer burden., Objective: To estimate cancer burden and trends globally for 204 countries and territories and by Sociodemographic Index (SDI) quintiles from 2010 to 2019., Evidence Review: The GBD 2019 estimation methods were used to describe cancer incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in 2019 and over the past decade. Estimates are also provided by quintiles of the SDI, a composite measure of educational attainment, income per capita, and total fertility rate for those younger than 25 years. Estimates include 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs)., Findings: In 2019, there were an estimated 23.6 million (95% UI, 22.2-24.9 million) new cancer cases (17.2 million when excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and 10.0 million (95% UI, 9.36-10.6 million) cancer deaths globally, with an estimated 250 million (235-264 million) DALYs due to cancer. Since 2010, these represented a 26.3% (95% UI, 20.3%-32.3%) increase in new cases, a 20.9% (95% UI, 14.2%-27.6%) increase in deaths, and a 16.0% (95% UI, 9.3%-22.8%) increase in DALYs. Among 22 groups of diseases and injuries in the GBD 2019 study, cancer was second only to cardiovascular diseases for the number of deaths, years of life lost, and DALYs globally in 2019. Cancer burden differed across SDI quintiles. The proportion of years lived with disability that contributed to DALYs increased with SDI, ranging from 1.4% (1.1%-1.8%) in the low SDI quintile to 5.7% (4.2%-7.1%) in the high SDI quintile. While the high SDI quintile had the highest number of new cases in 2019, the middle SDI quintile had the highest number of cancer deaths and DALYs. From 2010 to 2019, the largest percentage increase in the numbers of cases and deaths occurred in the low and low-middle SDI quintiles., Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this systematic analysis suggest that the global burden of cancer is substantial and growing, with burden differing by SDI. These results provide comprehensive and comparable estimates that can potentially inform efforts toward equitable cancer control around the world.
Published: 2022
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2. Estimating global injuries morbidity and mortality: methods and data used in the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study.

Author: James SL, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Fox JT, Hamilton EB, Liu Z, Roberts NLS, Sylte DO, Bertolacci GJ, Cunningham M, Henry NJ, LeGrand KE, Abdelalim A, Abdollahpour I, Abdulkader RS, Abedi A, Abegaz KH, Abosetugn AE, Abushouk AI, Adebayo OM, Adsuar JC, Advani SM, Agudelo-Botero M, Ahmad T, Ahmed MB, Ahmed R, Eddine Aichour MT, Alahdab F, Alanezi FM, Alema NM, Alemu BW, Alghnam SA, Ali BA, Ali S, Alinia C, Alipour V, Aljunid SM, Almasi-Hashiani A, Almasri NA, Altirkawi K, Abdeldayem Amer YS, Andrei CL, Ansari-Moghaddam A, T Antonio CA, Anvari D, Yaw Appiah SC, Arabloo J, Arab-Zozani M, Arefi Z, Aremu O, Ariani F, Arora A, Asaad M, Ayala Quintanilla BP, Ayano G, Ayanore MA, Azarian G, Badawi A, Badiye AD, Baig AA, Bairwa M, Bakhtiari A, Balachandran A, Banach M, Banerjee SK, Banik PC, Banstola A, Barker-Collo SL, Bärnighausen TW, Barzegar A, Bayati M, Bazargan-Hejazi S, Bedi N, Behzadifar M, Belete H, Bennett DA, Bensenor IM, Berhe K, Bhagavathula AS, Bhardwaj P, Bhat AG, Bhattacharyya K, Bhutta ZA, Bibi S, Bijani A, Boloor A, Borges G, Borschmann R, Borzì AM, Boufous S, Braithwaite D, Briko NI, Brugha T, Budhathoki SS, Car J, Cárdenas R, Carvalho F, Castaldelli-Maia JM, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Castelpietra G, Catalá-López F, Cerin E, Chandan JS, Chapman JR, Chattu VK, Chattu SK, Chatziralli I, Chaudhary N, Cho DY, Choi JJ, Kabir Chowdhury MA, Christopher DJ, Chu DT, Cicuttini FM, Coelho JM, Costa VM, Dahlawi SMA, Daryani A, Dávila-Cervantes CA, Leo D, Demeke FM, Demoz GT, Demsie DG, Deribe K, Desai R, Nasab MD, Silva DDD, Dibaji Forooshani ZS, Do HT, Doyle KE, Driscoll TR, Dubljanin E, Adema BD, Eagan AW, Elemineh DA, El-Jaafary SI, El-Khatib Z, Ellingsen CL, Zaki MES, Eskandarieh S, Eyawo O, Faris PS, Faro A, Farzadfar F, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fernandes E, Ferrara P, Fischer F, Folayan MO, Fomenkov AA, Foroutan M, Francis JM, Franklin RC, Fukumoto T, Geberemariyam BS, Gebremariam H, Gebremedhin KB, Gebremeskel LG, Gebremeskel GG, Gebremichael B, Gedefaw GA, Geta B, Getenet AB, Ghafourifard M, Ghamari F, Gheshlagh RG, Gholamian A, Gilani SA, Gill TK, Goudarzian AH, Goulart AC, Grada A, Grivna M, Guimarães RA, Guo Y, Gupta G, Haagsma JA, Hall BJ, Hamadeh RR, Hamidi S, Handiso DW, Haro JM, Hasanzadeh A, Hassan S, Hassanipour S, Hassankhani H, Hassen HY, Havmoeller R, Hendrie D, Heydarpour F, Híjar M, Ho HC, Hoang CL, Hole MK, Holla R, Hossain N, Hosseinzadeh M, Hostiuc S, Hu G, Ibitoye SE, Ilesanmi OS, Inbaraj LR, Naghibi Irvani SS, Mofizul Islam M, Shariful Islam SM, Ivers RQ, Jahani MA, Jakovljevic M, Jalilian F, Jayaraman S, Jayatilleke AU, Jha RP, John-Akinola YO, Jonas JB, Jones KM, Joseph N, Joukar F, Jozwiak JJ, Jungari SB, Jürisson M, Kabir A, Kahsay A, Kalankesh LR, Kalhor R, Kamil TA, Kanchan T, Kapoor N, Karami M, Kasaeian A, Kassaye HG, Kavetskyy T, Kayode GA, Keiyoro PN, Kelbore AG, Khader YS, Khafaie MA, Khalid N, Khalil IA, Khalilov R, Khan M, Khan EA, Khan J, Khanna T, Khazaei S, Khazaie H, Khundkar R, Kiirithio DN, Kim YE, Kim YJ, Kim D, Kisa S, Kisa A, Komaki H, Kondlahalli SKM, Koolivand A, Korshunov VA, Koyanagi A, Kraemer MUG, Krishan K, Defo BK, Bicer BK, Kugbey N, Kumar N, Kumar M, Kumar V, Kumar N, Kumaresh G, Lami FH, Lansingh VC, Lasrado S, Latifi A, Lauriola P, Vecchia C, Leasher JL, Huey Lee SW, Li S, Liu X, Lopez AD, Lotufo PA, Lyons RA, Machado DB, Madadin M, Abd El Razek MM, Mahotra NB, Majdan M, Majeed A, Maled V, Malta DC, Manafi N, Manafi A, Manda AL, Manjunatha N, Mansour-Ghanaei F, Mansournia MA, Maravilla JC, Mason-Jones AJ, Masoumi SZ, Massenburg BB, Maulik PK, Mehndiratta MM, Melketsedik ZA, Memiah PTN, Mendoza W, Menezes RG, Mengesha MM, Meretoja TJ, Meretoja A, Merie HE, Mestrovic T, Miazgowski B, Miazgowski T, Miller TR, Mini GK, Mirica A, Mirrakhimov EM, Mirzaei-Alavijeh M, Mithra P, Moazen B, Moghadaszadeh M, Mohamadi E, Mohammad Y, Darwesh AM, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammadpourhodki R, Mohammed S, Mohammed JA, Mohebi F, Mohseni Bandpei MA, Molokhia M, Monasta L, Moodley Y, Moradi M, Moradi G, Moradi-Lakeh M, Moradzadeh R, Morawska L, Velásquez IM, Morrison SD, Mossie TB, Muluneh AG, Musa KI, Mustafa G, Naderi M, Nagarajan AJ, Naik G, Naimzada MD, Najafi F, Nangia V, Nascimento BR, Naserbakht M, Nayak V, Nazari J, Ndwandwe DE, Negoi I, Ngunjiri JW, Nguyen TH, Nguyen CT, Nguyen DN, Thi Nguyen HL, Nikbakhsh R, Anggraini Ningrum DN, Nnaji CA, Ofori-Asenso R, Ogbo FA, Oghenetega OB, Oh IH, Olagunju AT, Olagunju TO, Bali AO, Onwujekwe OE, Orpana HM, Ota E, Otstavnov N, Otstavnov SS, P A M, Padubidri JR, Pakhale S, Pakshir K, Panda-Jonas S, Park EK, Patel SK, Pathak A, Pati S, Paulos K, Peden AE, Filipino Pepito VC, Pereira J, Phillips MR, Polibin RV, Polinder S, Pourmalek F, Pourshams A, Poustchi H, Prakash S, Angga Pribadi DR, Puri P, Syed ZQ, Rabiee N, Rabiee M, Radfar A, Rafay A, Rafiee A, Rafiei A, Rahim F, Rahimi S, Rahman MA, Rajabpour-Sanati A, Rajati F, Rakovac I, Rao SJ, Rashedi V, Rastogi P, Rathi P, Rawaf S, Rawal L, Rawassizadeh R, Renjith V, Resnikoff S, Rezapour A, Ribeiro AI, Rickard J, Rios González CM, Roever L, Ronfani L, Roshandel G, Saddik B, Safarpour H, Safdarian M, Mohammad Sajadi S, Salamati P, Rashad Salem MR, Salem H, Salz I, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Riera LS, Santric Milicevic MM, Sarker AR, Sarveazad A, Sathian B, Sawhney M, Sayyah M, Schwebel DC, Seedat S, Senthilkumaran S, Seyedmousavi S, Sha F, Shaahmadi F, Shahabi S, Shaikh MA, Shams-Beyranvand M, Sheikh A, Shigematsu M, Shin JI, Shiri R, Siabani S, Sigfusdottir ID, Singh JA, Singh PK, Sinha DN, Soheili A, Soriano JB, Sorrie MB, Soyiri IN, Stokes MA, Sufiyan MB, Sykes BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tabb KM, Taddele BW, Tefera YM, Tehrani-Banihashemi A, Tekulu GH, Tesema Tesema AK, Tesfay BE, Thapar R, Titova MV, Tlaye KG, Tohidinik HR, Topor-Madry R, Tran KB, Tran BX, Tripathy JP, Tsai AC, Tsatsakis A, Car LT, Ullah I, Ullah S, Unnikrishnan B, Upadhyay E, Uthman OA, Valdez PR, Vasankari TJ, Veisani Y, Venketasubramanian N, Violante FS, Vlassov V, Waheed Y, Wang YP, Wiangkham T, Wolde HF, Woldeyes DH, Wondmeneh TG, Wondmieneh AB, Wu AM, Wyper GMA, Yadav R, Yadollahpour A, Yano Y, Yaya S, Yazdi-Feyzabadi V, Ye P, Yip P, Yisma E, Yonemoto N, Yoon SJ, Youm Y, Younis MZ, Yousefi Z, Yu C, Yu Y, Moghadam TZ, Zaidi Z, Zaman SB, Zamani M, Zandian H, Zarei F, Zhang ZJ, Zhang Y, Ziapour A, Zodpey S, Dandona R, Dharmaratne SD, Hay SI, Mokdad AH, Pigott DM, Reiner RC, and Vos T
Subjects: Female, Humans, Incidence, Life Expectancy, Male, Morbidity, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Global Burden of Disease, Global Health, Wounds and Injuries mortality
Abstract: Background: While there is a long history of measuring death and disability from injuries, modern research methods must account for the wide spectrum of disability that can occur in an injury, and must provide estimates with sufficient demographic, geographical and temporal detail to be useful for policy makers. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 study used methods to provide highly detailed estimates of global injury burden that meet these criteria., Methods: In this study, we report and discuss the methods used in GBD 2017 for injury morbidity and mortality burden estimation. In summary, these methods included estimating cause-specific mortality for every cause of injury, and then estimating incidence for every cause of injury. Non-fatal disability for each cause is then calculated based on the probabilities of suffering from different types of bodily injury experienced., Results: GBD 2017 produced morbidity and mortality estimates for 38 causes of injury. Estimates were produced in terms of incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability, cause-specific mortality, years of life lost and disability-adjusted life-years for a 28-year period for 22 age groups, 195 countries and both sexes., Conclusions: GBD 2017 demonstrated a complex and sophisticated series of analytical steps using the largest known database of morbidity and mortality data on injuries. GBD 2017 results should be used to help inform injury prevention policy making and resource allocation. We also identify important avenues for improving injury burden estimation in the future., Competing Interests: Competing interests: Dr. James reports grants from Sanofi Pasteur, outside the submitted work. Dr. Driscoll reports grants from World Health Organisation, during the conduct of the study. Dr Shariful Islam is funded by a Fellowship from National Heart Foundation of Australia and Institute for Physical Activity and Nutrition, Deakin University. Dr. Ivers reports grants from National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia, during the conduct of the study. Dr. Jozwiak reports personal fees from TEVA, personal fees from ALAB, personal fees from BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM, personal fees from SYNEXUS, non-financial support from SERVIER, non-financial support from MICROLIFE, non-financial support from MEDICOVER, outside the submitted work. Walter Mendoza is currently Program Analyst Population and Development at the Peru Country Office of the United Nations Population Fund-UNFPA, which does not necessarily endorses this study. Dr. Rakovac reports grants from World Health Organization, during the conduct of the study. Dr. Sheikh reports grants from Health Data Research UK, outside the submitted work. Dr. Singh reports personal fees from Crealta/Horizon, Medisys, Fidia, UBM LLC, Trio health, Medscape, WebMD, Clinical Care options, Clearview healthcare partners, Putnam associates, Spherix, Practice Point communications, the National Institutes of Health and the American College of Rheumatology, personal fees from Speaker’s bureau of Simply Speaking. Dr. Singh owns stock options in Amarin pharmaceuticals and Viking pharmaceuticals. Dr. Singh serves on the steering committee of OMERACT, an international organization that develops measures for clinical trials and receives arms-length funding from 12 pharmaceutical companies. Dr. Singh serves on the FDA Arthritis Advisory Committee. Dr. Singh is a member of the Veterans Affairs Rheumatology Field Advisory Committee. Dr. Singh is the editor and the Director of the UAB Cochrane Musculoskeletal Group Satellite Center on Network Meta-analysis, outside the submitted work. Dr. Stein reports personal fees from Lundbeck and Sun, outside the submitted work., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)
Published: 2020
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3. Global injury morbidity and mortality from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

Author: James SL, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Fox JT, Hamilton EB, Liu Z, S Roberts NL, Sylte DO, Henry NJ, LeGrand KE, Abdelalim A, Abdoli A, Abdollahpour I, Abdulkader RS, Abedi A, Abosetugn AE, Abushouk AI, Adebayo OM, Agudelo-Botero M, Ahmad T, Ahmed R, Ahmed MB, Eddine Aichour MT, Alahdab F, Alamene GM, Alanezi FM, Alebel A, Alema NM, Alghnam SA, Al-Hajj S, Ali BA, Ali S, Alikhani M, Alinia C, Alipour V, Aljunid SM, Almasi-Hashiani A, Almasri NA, Altirkawi K, Abdeldayem Amer YS, Amini S, Loreche Amit AM, Andrei CL, Ansari-Moghaddam A, T Antonio CA, Yaw Appiah SC, Arabloo J, Arab-Zozani M, Arefi Z, Aremu O, Ariani F, Arora A, Asaad M, Asghari B, Awoke N, Ayala Quintanilla BP, Ayano G, Ayanore MA, Azari S, Azarian G, Badawi A, Badiye AD, Bagli E, Baig AA, Bairwa M, Bakhtiari A, Balachandran A, Banach M, Banerjee SK, Banik PC, Banstola A, Barker-Collo SL, Bärnighausen TW, Barrero LH, Barzegar A, Bayati M, Baye BA, Bedi N, Behzadifar M, Bekuma TT, Belete H, Benjet C, Bennett DA, Bensenor IM, Berhe K, Bhardwaj P, Bhat AG, Bhattacharyya K, Bibi S, Bijani A, Bin Sayeed MS, Borges G, Borzì AM, Boufous S, Brazinova A, Briko NI, Budhathoki SS, Car J, Cárdenas R, Carvalho F, Castaldelli-Maia JM, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Castelpietra G, Catalá-López F, Cerin E, Chandan JS, Chanie WF, Chattu SK, Chattu VK, Chatziralli I, Chaudhary N, Cho DY, Kabir Chowdhury MA, Chu DT, Colquhoun SM, Constantin MM, Costa VM, Damiani G, Daryani A, Dávila-Cervantes CA, Demeke FM, Demis AB, Demoz GT, Demsie DG, Derakhshani A, Deribe K, Desai R, Nasab MD, da Silva DD, Dibaji Forooshani ZS, Doyle KE, Driscoll TR, Dubljanin E, Adema BD, Eagan AW, Eftekhari A, Ehsani-Chimeh E, Sayed Zaki ME, Elemineh DA, El-Jaafary SI, El-Khatib Z, Ellingsen CL, Emamian MH, Endalew DA, Eskandarieh S, Faris PS, Faro A, Farzadfar F, Fatahi Y, Fekadu W, Ferede TY, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fernandes E, Ferrara P, Feyissa GT, Filip I, Fischer F, Folayan MO, Foroutan M, Francis JM, Franklin RC, Fukumoto T, Geberemariyam BS, Gebre AK, Gebremedhin KB, Gebremeskel GG, Gebremichael B, Gedefaw GA, Geta B, Ghafourifard M, Ghamari F, Ghashghaee A, Gholamian A, Gill TK, Goulart AC, Grada A, Grivna M, Mohialdeen Gubari MI, Guimarães RA, Guo Y, Gupta G, Haagsma JA, Hafezi-Nejad N, Bidgoli HH, Hall BJ, Hamadeh RR, Hamidi S, Haro JM, Hasan MM, Hasanzadeh A, Hassanipour S, Hassankhani H, Hassen HY, Havmoeller R, Hayat K, Hendrie D, Heydarpour F, Híjar M, Ho HC, Hoang CL, Hole MK, Holla R, Hossain N, Hosseinzadeh M, Hostiuc S, Hu G, Ibitoye SE, Ilesanmi OS, Ilic I, Ilic MD, Inbaraj LR, Indriasih E, Naghibi Irvani SS, Shariful Islam SM, Islam MM, Ivers RQ, Jacobsen KH, Jahani MA, Jahanmehr N, Jakovljevic M, Jalilian F, Jayaraman S, Jayatilleke AU, Jha RP, John-Akinola YO, Jonas JB, Joseph N, Joukar F, Jozwiak JJ, Jungari SB, Jürisson M, Kabir A, Kadel R, Kahsay A, Kalankesh LR, Kalhor R, Kamil TA, Kanchan T, Kapoor N, Karami M, Kasaeian A, Kassaye HG, Kavetskyy T, Kebede HK, Keiyoro PN, Kelbore AG, Kelkay B, Khader YS, Khafaie MA, Khalid N, Khalil IA, Khalilov R, Khammarnia M, Khan EA, Khan M, Khanna T, Khazaie H, Shadmani FK, Khundkar R, Kiirithio DN, Kim YE, Kim D, Kim YJ, Kisa A, Kisa S, Komaki H, M Kondlahalli SK, Korshunov VA, Koyanagi A, G Kraemer MU, Krishan K, Bicer BK, Kugbey N, Kumar V, Kumar N, Kumar GA, Kumar M, Kumaresh G, Kurmi OP, Kuti O, Vecchia C, Lami FH, Lamichhane P, Lang JJ, Lansingh VC, Laryea DO, Lasrado S, Latifi A, Lauriola P, Leasher JL, Huey Lee SW, Lenjebo TL, Levi M, Li S, Linn S, Liu X, Lopez AD, Lotufo PA, Lunevicius R, Lyons RA, Madadin M, El Razek MMA, Mahotra NB, Majdan M, Majeed A, Malagon-Rojas JN, Maled V, Malekzadeh R, Malta DC, Manafi N, Manafi A, Manda AL, Manjunatha N, Mansour-Ghanaei F, Mansouri B, Mansournia MA, Maravilla JC, March LM, Mason-Jones AJ, Masoumi SZ, Massenburg BB, Maulik PK, Meles GG, Melese A, Melketsedik ZA, N Memiah PT, Mendoza W, Menezes RG, Mengesha MB, Mengesha MM, Meretoja TJ, Meretoja A, Merie HE, Mestrovic T, Miazgowski B, Miazgowski T, Miller TR, Mini GK, Mirica A, Mirrakhimov EM, Mirzaei-Alavijeh M, Mithra P, Moazen B, Moghadaszadeh M, Mohamadi E, Mohammad Y, Mohammad KA, Darwesh AM, Gholi Mezerji NM, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammadoo-Khorasani M, Mohammadpourhodki R, Mohammed S, Mohammed JA, Mohebi F, Molokhia M, Monasta L, Moodley Y, Moosazadeh M, Moradi M, Moradi G, Moradi-Lakeh M, Moradpour F, Morawska L, Velásquez IM, Morisaki N, Morrison SD, Mossie TB, Muluneh AG, Murthy S, Musa KI, Mustafa G, Nabhan AF, Nagarajan AJ, Naik G, Naimzada MD, Najafi F, Nangia V, Nascimento BR, Naserbakht M, Nayak V, Ndwandwe DE, Negoi I, Ngunjiri JW, Nguyen CT, Thi Nguyen HL, Nikbakhsh R, Anggraini Ningrum DN, Nnaji CA, Nyasulu PS, Ogbo FA, Oghenetega OB, Oh IH, Okunga EW, Olagunju AT, Olagunju TO, Bali AO, Onwujekwe OE, Asante KO, Orpana HM, Ota E, Otstavnov N, Otstavnov SS, A MP, Padubidri JR, Pakhale S, Pakshir K, Panda-Jonas S, Park EK, Patel SK, Pathak A, Pati S, Patton GC, Paulos K, Peden AE, Filipino Pepito VC, Pereira J, Pham HQ, Phillips MR, Pinheiro M, Polibin RV, Polinder S, Poustchi H, Prakash S, Angga Pribadi DR, Puri P, Syed ZQ, Rabiee M, Rabiee N, Radfar A, Rafay A, Rafiee A, Rafiei A, Rahim F, Rahimi S, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Rahman MA, Rajabpour-Sanati A, Rajati F, Rakovac I, Ranganathan K, Rao SJ, Rashedi V, Rastogi P, Rathi P, Rawaf S, Rawal L, Rawassizadeh R, Renjith V, N Renzaho AM, Resnikoff S, Rezapour A, Ribeiro AI, Rickard J, Rios González CM, Ronfani L, Roshandel G, Saad AM, Sabde YD, Sabour S, Saddik B, Safari S, Safari-Faramani R, Safarpour H, Safdarian M, Sajadi SM, Salamati P, Salehi F, Zahabi SS, Rashad Salem MR, Salem H, Salman O, Salz I, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Riera LS, Santric Milicevic MM, Sarker AR, Sarveazad A, Sathian B, Sawhney M, Sawyer SM, Saxena S, Sayyah M, Schwebel DC, Seedat S, Senthilkumaran S, Sepanlou SG, Seyedmousavi S, Sha F, Shaahmadi F, Shahabi S, Shaikh MA, Shams-Beyranvand M, Shamsizadeh M, Sharif-Alhoseini M, Sharifi H, Sheikh A, Shigematsu M, Shin JI, Shiri R, Siabani S, Sigfusdottir ID, Singh PK, Singh JA, Sinha DN, Smarandache CG, R Smith EU, Soheili A, Soleymani B, Soltanian AR, Soriano JB, Sorrie MB, Soyiri IN, Stein DJ, Stokes MA, Sufiyan MB, Rasul Suleria HA, Sykes BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tabb KM, Taddele BW, Tadesse DB, Tamiru AT, Tarigan IU, Tefera YM, Tehrani-Banihashemi A, Tekle MG, Tekulu GH, Tesema AK, Tesfay BE, Thapar R, Tilahune AB, Tlaye KG, Tohidinik HR, Topor-Madry R, Tran BX, Tran KB, Tripathy JP, Tsai AC, Car LT, Ullah S, Ullah I, Umar M, Unnikrishnan B, Upadhyay E, Uthman OA, Valdez PR, Vasankari TJ, Venketasubramanian N, Violante FS, Vlassov V, Waheed Y, Weldesamuel GT, Werdecker A, Wiangkham T, Wolde HF, Woldeyes DH, Wondafrash DZ, Wondmeneh TG, Wondmieneh AB, Wu AM, Yadav R, Yadollahpour A, Yano Y, Yaya S, Yazdi-Feyzabadi V, Yip P, Yisma E, Yonemoto N, Yoon SJ, Youm Y, Younis MZ, Yousefi Z, Yu Y, Yu C, Yusefzadeh H, Moghadam TZ, Zaidi Z, Zaman SB, Zamani M, Zamanian M, Zandian H, Zarei A, Zare F, Zhang ZJ, Zhang Y, Zodpey S, Dandona L, Dandona R, Degenhardt L, Dharmaratne SD, Hay SI, Mokdad AH, Reiner RC Jr, Sartorius B, and Vos T
Subjects: Humans, Incidence, Life Expectancy, Morbidity, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Global Burden of Disease, Global Health, Wounds and Injuries mortality
Abstract: Background: Past research in population health trends has shown that injuries form a substantial burden of population health loss. Regular updates to injury burden assessments are critical. We report Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 Study estimates on morbidity and mortality for all injuries., Methods: We reviewed results for injuries from the GBD 2017 study. GBD 2017 measured injury-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) using the Cause of Death Ensemble model. To measure non-fatal injuries, GBD 2017 modelled injury-specific incidence and converted this to prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs). YLLs and YLDs were summed to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs)., Findings: In 1990, there were 4 260 493 (4 085 700 to 4 396 138) injury deaths, which increased to 4 484 722 (4 332 010 to 4 585 554) deaths in 2017, while age-standardised mortality decreased from 1079 (1073 to 1086) to 738 (730 to 745) per 100 000. In 1990, there were 354 064 302 (95% uncertainty interval: 338 174 876 to 371 610 802) new cases of injury globally, which increased to 520 710 288 (493 430 247 to 547 988 635) new cases in 2017. During this time, age-standardised incidence decreased non-significantly from 6824 (6534 to 7147) to 6763 (6412 to 7118) per 100 000. Between 1990 and 2017, age-standardised DALYs decreased from 4947 (4655 to 5233) per 100 000 to 3267 (3058 to 3505)., Interpretation: Injuries are an important cause of health loss globally, though mortality has declined between 1990 and 2017. Future research in injury burden should focus on prevention in high-burden populations, improving data collection and ensuring access to medical care., Competing Interests: Competing interests: Dr. James reports grants from Sanofi Pasteur, outside the submitted work. Dr. Driscoll reports grants from World Health Organization, during the conduct of the study. Dr. Ivers reports grants from National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia, during the conduct of the study. Dr. Jozwiak reports personal fees from TEVA, personal fees from ALAB, personal fees from BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM, personal fees from SYNEXUS, non-financial support from SERVIER, non-financial support from MICROLIFE, non-financial support from MEDICOVER, outside the submitted work. Dr. Rakovac reports grants from World Health Organization, during the conduct of the study. Dr Shariful Islam is funded by National Heart Foundation of Australia and Institute for Physical Activity and Nutrition, Deakin University. Dr. Sheikh reports grants from Health Data Research UK, outside the submitted work. Dr. Singh reports personal fees from Crealta/Horizon, Medisys, Fidia, UBM LLC, Trio health, Medscape, WebMD, Clinical Care options, Clearview healthcare partners, Putnam associates, Spherix, Practice Point communications, the National Institutes of Health and the American College of Rheumatology, and Speaker’s bureau of Simply Speaking, owns stock options in Amarin pharmaceuticals and Viking pharmaceuticals, serves on the steering committee of OMERACT, an international organization that develops measures for clinical trials and receives arm’s length funding from 12 pharmaceutical companies, serves on the FDA Arthritis Advisory Committee, is a member of the Veterans Affairs Rheumatology Field Advisory Committee, and is the editor and the Director of the UAB Cochrane Musculoskeletal Group Satellite Center on Network Meta-analysis, outside the submitted work. Dr. Stein reports personal fees from Lundbeck, personal fees from Sun, outside the submitted work. Dr. Degenhardt reports grants from Indivior, Seqirus, Reckitt Benckiser, outside the submitted work., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)
Published: 2020
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4. Burden of injury along the development spectrum: associations between the Socio-demographic Index and disability-adjusted life year estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

Author: Haagsma JA, James SL, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Fox JT, Hamilton EB, Liu Z, Lucchesi LR, Roberts NLS, Sylte DO, Adebayo OM, Ahmadi A, Ahmed MB, Aichour MTE, Alahdab F, Alghnam SA, Aljunid SM, Al-Raddadi RM, Alsharif U, Altirkawi K, Anjomshoa M, Antonio CAT, Appiah SCY, Aremu O, Arora A, Asayesh H, Assadi R, Awasthi A, Ayala Quintanilla BP, Balalla S, Banstola A, Barker-Collo SL, Bärnighausen TW, Bazargan-Hejazi S, Bedi N, Behzadifar M, Behzadifar M, Benjet C, Bennett DA, Bensenor IM, Bhaumik S, Bhutta ZA, Bijani A, Borges G, Borschmann R, Bose D, Boufous S, Brazinova A, Campuzano Rincon JC, Cárdenas R, Carrero JJ, Carvalho F, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Catalá-López F, Choi JJ, Christopher DJ, Crowe CS, Dalal K, Daryani A, Davitoiu DV, Degenhardt L, De Leo D, De Neve JW, Deribe K, Dessie GA, deVeber GA, Dharmaratne SD, Doan LP, Dolan KA, Driscoll TR, Dubey M, El-Khatib Z, Ellingsen CL, El Sayed Zaki M, Endries AY, Eskandarieh S, Faro A, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fernandes E, Filip I, Fischer F, Franklin RC, Fukumoto T, Gezae KE, Gill TK, Goulart AC, Grada A, Guo Y, Gupta R, Haghparast Bidgoli H, Haj-Mirzaian A, Haj-Mirzaian A, Hamadeh RR, Hamidi S, Haro JM, Hassankhani H, Hassen HY, Havmoeller R, Hendrie D, Henok A, Híjar M, Hole MK, Homaie Rad E, Hossain N, Hostiuc S, Hu G, Igumbor EU, Ilesanmi OS, Irvani SSN, Islam SMS, Ivers RQ, Jacobsen KH, Jahanmehr N, Jakovljevic M, Jayatilleke AU, Jha RP, Jonas JB, Jorjoran Shushtari Z, Jozwiak JJ, Jürisson M, Kabir A, Kalani R, Kasaeian A, Kelbore AG, Kengne AP, Khader YS, Khafaie MA, Khalid N, Khan EA, Khoja AT, Kiadaliri AA, Kim YE, Kim D, Kisa A, Koyanagi A, Kuate Defo B, Kucuk Bicer B, Kumar M, Lalloo R, Lam H, Lami FH, Lansingh VC, Leasher JL, Li S, Linn S, Lunevicius R, Machado FR, Magdy Abd El Razek H, Magdy Abd El Razek M, Mahotra NB, Majdan M, Majeed A, Malekzadeh R, Malik MA, Malta DC, Manda AL, Mansournia MA, Massenburg BB, Maulik PK, Meheretu HAA, Mehndiratta MM, Melese A, Mendoza W, Mengesha MM, Meretoja TJ, Meretoja A, Mestrovic T, Miazgowski T, Miller TR, Mini GK, Mirrakhimov EM, Moazen B, Mohammad Gholi Mezerji N, Mohammadibakhsh R, Mohammed S, Molokhia M, Monasta L, Mondello S, Montero-Zamora PA, Moodley Y, Moosazadeh M, Moradi G, Moradi-Lakeh M, Morawska L, Velásquez IM, Morrison SD, Moschos MM, Mousavi SM, Murthy S, Musa KI, Naik G, Najafi F, Nangia V, Nascimento BR, Ndwandwe DE, Negoi I, Nguyen TH, Nguyen SH, Nguyen LH, Nguyen HLT, Ningrum DNA, Nirayo YL, Ofori-Asenso R, Ogbo FA, Oh IH, Oladimeji O, Olagunju AT, Olagunju TO, Olivares PR, Orpana HM, Otstavnov SS, P A M, Pakhale S, Park EK, Patton GC, Pesudovs K, Phillips MR, Polinder S, Prakash S, Radfar A, Rafay A, Rafiei A, Rahimi S, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Rahman MA, Rai RK, Ramezanzadeh K, Rawaf S, Rawaf DL, Renzaho AMN, Resnikoff S, Rezaeian S, Roever L, Ronfani L, Roshandel G, Sabde YD, Saddik B, Salamati P, Salimi Y, Salz I, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Sanchez Riera L, Santric Milicevic MM, Satpathy M, Sawhney M, Sawyer SM, Saxena S, Saylan M, Schneider IJC, Schwebel DC, Seedat S, Sepanlou SG, Shaikh MA, Shams-Beyranvand M, Shamsizadeh M, Sharif-Alhoseini M, Sheikh A, Shen J, Shigematsu M, Shiri R, Shiue I, Silva JP, Singh JA, Sinha DN, Soares Filho AM, Soriano JB, Soshnikov S, Soyiri IN, Starodubov VI, Stein DJ, Stokes MA, Sufiyan MB, Sunshine JE, Sykes BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tabb KM, Tehrani-Banihashemi A, Tessema GA, Thakur JS, Tran KB, Tran BX, Tudor Car L, Uthman OA, Uzochukwu BSC, Valdez PR, Varavikova E, Vasconcelos AMN, Venketasubramanian N, Violante FS, Vlassov V, Waheed Y, Wang YP, Wijeratne T, Winkler AS, Yadav P, Yano Y, Yenesew MA, Yip P, Yisma E, Yonemoto N, Younis MZ, Yu C, Zafar S, Zaidi Z, Zaman SB, Zamani M, Zhao Y, Zodpey S, Hay SI, Lopez AD, Mokdad AH, and Vos T
Subjects: Adolescent, Global Health, Humans, Life Expectancy, Disabled Persons, Global Burden of Disease, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Wounds and Injuries
Abstract: Background: The epidemiological transition of non-communicable diseases replacing infectious diseases as the main contributors to disease burden has been well documented in global health literature. Less focus, however, has been given to the relationship between sociodemographic changes and injury. The aim of this study was to examine the association between disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from injury for 195 countries and territories at different levels along the development spectrum between 1990 and 2017 based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 estimates., Methods: Injury mortality was estimated using the GBD mortality database, corrections for garbage coding and CODEm-the cause of death ensemble modelling tool. Morbidity estimation was based on surveys and inpatient and outpatient data sets for 30 cause-of-injury with 47 nature-of-injury categories each. The Socio-demographic Index (SDI) is a composite indicator that includes lagged income per capita, average educational attainment over age 15 years and total fertility rate., Results: For many causes of injury, age-standardised DALY rates declined with increasing SDI, although road injury, interpersonal violence and self-harm did not follow this pattern. Particularly for self-harm opposing patterns were observed in regions with similar SDI levels. For road injuries, this effect was less pronounced., Conclusions: The overall global pattern is that of declining injury burden with increasing SDI. However, not all injuries follow this pattern, which suggests multiple underlying mechanisms influencing injury DALYs. There is a need for a detailed understanding of these patterns to help to inform national and global efforts to address injury-related health outcomes across the development spectrum., Competing Interests: Competing interests: Dr. Carl Abelardo T Antonio reports personal fees from Johnson & Johnson (Philippines), Inc., outside the submitted work. Dr. Jasvinder Singh reports personal fees from Crealta/Horizon, Medisys, Fidia, UBM LLC, Medscape, WebMD, Clinical Care options, Clearview healthcare partners, Putnam associates, Spherix, the National Institutes of Health and the American College of Rheumatology, stock options in Amarin pharmaceuticals and Viking pharmaceuticals, participating in the steering committee of OMERACT, an international organization that develops measures for clinical trials and receives arm’s length funding from 12 pharmaceutical companies, including Amgen, Janssen, Novartis, Roche, UCB Group, Ardea/Astra Zeneca, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celgene, EliLilly, Horizon Pharma, Pfizer, and Centrexion. Dr. Josep Maria Haro reports personal fees from Roche and Lundbeck, and that the institute for which they work provides services to Eli Lilly and Co., outside the submitted work. Dr. Mete Saylan is an employee of Bayer AG, outside the submitted work. Dr Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam is funded by National Heart Foundation of Australia and supported by a senior research fellowship from Deakin University, outside the submitted work. Dr. Spencer James reports grants from Sanofi Pasteur, outside the submitted work., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)
Published: 2020
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5. Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors in Child and Adolescent Health, 1990 to 2017: Findings From the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2017 Study.

Author: Reiner RC Jr, Olsen HE, Ikeda CT, Echko MM, Ballestreros KE, Manguerra H, Martopullo I, Millear A, Shields C, Smith A, Strub B, Abebe M, Abebe Z, Adhena BM, Adhikari TB, Akibu M, Al-Raddadi RM, Alvis-Guzman N, Antonio CAT, Aremu O, Asgedom SW, Asseffa NA, Avila-Burgos L, Barac A, Bärnighausen TW, Bassat Q, Bensenor IM, Bhutta ZA, Bijani A, Bililign N, Cahuana-Hurtado L, Malta DC, Chang JC, Charlson FJ, Dharmaratne SD, Doku DT, Edessa D, El-Khatib Z, Erskine HE, Ferrari AJ, Fullman N, Gupta R, Hassen HY, Hay SI, Ilesanmi OS, Jacobsen KH, Kahsay A, Kasaeian A, Kassa TD, Kebede S, Khader YS, Khan EA, Khan MN, Khang YH, Khubchandani J, Kinfu Y, Kochhar S, Kokubo Y, Koyanagi A, Defo BK, Lal DK, Kumsa FA, Larson HJ, Leung J, Mamun AA, Mehata S, Melku M, Mendoza W, Mezgebe HB, Miller TR, Moges NA, Mohammed S, Mokdad AH, Monasta L, Neupane S, Nguyen HLT, Ningrum DNA, Nirayo YL, Nong VM, Ogbo FA, Olagunju AT, Olusanya BO, Olusanya JO, Patton GC, Pereira DM, Pourmalek F, Qorbani M, Rafay A, Rai RK, Ram U, Ranabhat CL, Renzaho AMN, Rezai MS, Ronfani L, Roth GA, Safiri S, Sartorius B, Scott JG, Shackelford KA, Sliwa K, Sreeramareddy C, Sufiyan MB, Terkawi AS, Topor-Madry R, Tran BX, Ukwaja KN, Uthman OA, Vollset SE, Weldegwergs KG, Werdecker A, Whiteford HA, Wijeratne T, Yonemoto N, Yotebieng M, Zuhlke LJ, Kyu HH, Naghavi M, Vos T, Murray CJL, and Kassebaum NJ
Subjects: Adolescent, Age Distribution, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Risk Factors, Sex Distribution, Socioeconomic Factors, Spatio-Temporal Analysis, Wounds and Injuries etiology, Young Adult, Adolescent Health trends, Child Health trends, Global Burden of Disease trends, Global Health trends, Morbidity trends, Wounds and Injuries epidemiology
Abstract: Importance: Understanding causes and correlates of health loss among children and adolescents can identify areas of success, stagnation, and emerging threats and thereby facilitate effective improvement strategies., Objective: To estimate mortality and morbidity in children and adolescents from 1990 to 2017 by age and sex in 195 countries and territories., Design, Setting, and Participants: This study examined levels, trends, and spatiotemporal patterns of cause-specific mortality and nonfatal health outcomes using standardized approaches to data processing and statistical analysis. It also describes epidemiologic transitions by evaluating historical associations between disease indicators and the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator of income, educational attainment, and fertility. Data collected from 1990 to 2017 on children and adolescents from birth through 19 years of age in 195 countries and territories were assessed. Data analysis occurred from January 2018 to August 2018., Exposures: Being under the age of 20 years between 1990 and 2017., Main Outcomes and Measures: Death and disability. All-cause and cause-specific deaths, disability-adjusted life years, years of life lost, and years of life lived with disability., Results: Child and adolescent deaths decreased 51.7% from 13.77 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 13.60-13.93 million) in 1990 to 6.64 million (95% UI, 6.44-6.87 million) in 2017, but in 2017, aggregate disability increased 4.7% to a total of 145 million (95% UI, 107-190 million) years lived with disability globally. Progress was uneven, and inequity increased, with low-SDI and low-middle-SDI locations experiencing 82.2% (95% UI, 81.6%-82.9%) of deaths, up from 70.9% (95% UI, 70.4%-71.4%) in 1990. The leading disaggregated causes of disability-adjusted life years in 2017 in the low-SDI quintile were neonatal disorders, lower respiratory infections, diarrhea, malaria, and congenital birth defects, whereas neonatal disorders, congenital birth defects, headache, dermatitis, and anxiety were highest-ranked in the high-SDI quintile., Conclusions and Relevance: Mortality reductions over this 27-year period mean that children are more likely than ever to reach their 20th birthdays. The concomitant expansion of nonfatal health loss and epidemiological transition in children and adolescents, especially in low-SDI and middle-SDI countries, has the potential to increase already overburdened health systems, will affect the human capital potential of societies, and may influence the trajectory of socioeconomic development. Continued monitoring of child and adolescent health loss is crucial to sustain the progress of the past 27 years.
Published: 2019
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6. Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2016: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Author: Fitzmaurice C, Akinyemiju TF, Al Lami FH, Alam T, Alizadeh-Navaei R, Allen C, Alsharif U, Alvis-Guzman N, Amini E, Anderson BO, Aremu O, Artaman A, Asgedom SW, Assadi R, Atey TM, Avila-Burgos L, Awasthi A, Ba Saleem HO, Barac A, Bennett JR, Bensenor IM, Bhakta N, Brenner H, Cahuana-Hurtado L, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Catalá-López F, Choi JJ, Christopher DJ, Chung SC, Curado MP, Dandona L, Dandona R, das Neves J, Dey S, Dharmaratne SD, Doku DT, Driscoll TR, Dubey M, Ebrahimi H, Edessa D, El-Khatib Z, Endries AY, Fischer F, Force LM, Foreman KJ, Gebrehiwot SW, Gopalani SV, Grosso G, Gupta R, Gyawali B, Hamadeh RR, Hamidi S, Harvey J, Hassen HY, Hay RJ, Hay SI, Heibati B, Hiluf MK, Horita N, Hosgood HD, Ilesanmi OS, Innos K, Islami F, Jakovljevic MB, Johnson SC, Jonas JB, Kasaeian A, Kassa TD, Khader YS, Khan EA, Khan G, Khang YH, Khosravi MH, Khubchandani J, Kopec JA, Kumar GA, Kutz M, Lad DP, Lafranconi A, Lan Q, Legesse Y, Leigh J, Linn S, Lunevicius R, Majeed A, Malekzadeh R, Malta DC, Mantovani LG, McMahon BJ, Meier T, Melaku YA, Melku M, Memiah P, Mendoza W, Meretoja TJ, Mezgebe HB, Miller TR, Mohammed S, Mokdad AH, Moosazadeh M, Moraga P, Mousavi SM, Nangia V, Nguyen CT, Nong VM, Ogbo FA, Olagunju AT, Pa M, Park EK, Patel T, Pereira DM, Pishgar F, Postma MJ, Pourmalek F, Qorbani M, Rafay A, Rawaf S, Rawaf DL, Roshandel G, Safiri S, Salimzadeh H, Sanabria JR, Santric Milicevic MM, Sartorius B, Satpathy M, Sepanlou SG, Shackelford KA, Shaikh MA, Sharif-Alhoseini M, She J, Shin MJ, Shiue I, Shrime MG, Sinke AH, Sisay M, Sligar A, Sufiyan MB, Sykes BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tessema GA, Topor-Madry R, Tran TT, Tran BX, Ukwaja KN, Vlassov VV, Vollset SE, Weiderpass E, Williams HC, Yimer NB, Yonemoto N, Younis MZ, Murray CJL, and Naghavi M
Subjects: Female, History, 20th Century, History, 21st Century, Humans, Incidence, Male, Neoplasms mortality, Survival Analysis, Global Burden of Disease trends, Global Health standards, Neoplasms epidemiology, Quality-Adjusted Life Years
Abstract: Importance: The increasing burden due to cancer and other noncommunicable diseases poses a threat to human development, which has resulted in global political commitments reflected in the Sustainable Development Goals as well as the World Health Organization (WHO) Global Action Plan on Non-Communicable Diseases. To determine if these commitments have resulted in improved cancer control, quantitative assessments of the cancer burden are required., Objective: To assess the burden for 29 cancer groups over time to provide a framework for policy discussion, resource allocation, and research focus., Evidence Review: Cancer incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were evaluated for 195 countries and territories by age and sex using the Global Burden of Disease study estimation methods. Levels and trends were analyzed over time, as well as by the Sociodemographic Index (SDI). Changes in incident cases were categorized by changes due to epidemiological vs demographic transition., Findings: In 2016, there were 17.2 million cancer cases worldwide and 8.9 million deaths. Cancer cases increased by 28% between 2006 and 2016. The smallest increase was seen in high SDI countries. Globally, population aging contributed 17%; population growth, 12%; and changes in age-specific rates, -1% to this change. The most common incident cancer globally for men was prostate cancer (1.4 million cases). The leading cause of cancer deaths and DALYs was tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer (1.2 million deaths and 25.4 million DALYs). For women, the most common incident cancer and the leading cause of cancer deaths and DALYs was breast cancer (1.7 million incident cases, 535 000 deaths, and 14.9 million DALYs). In 2016, cancer caused 213.2 million DALYs globally for both sexes combined. Between 2006 and 2016, the average annual age-standardized incidence rates for all cancers combined increased in 130 of 195 countries or territories, and the average annual age-standardized death rates decreased within that timeframe in 143 of 195 countries or territories., Conclusions and Relevance: Large disparities exist between countries in cancer incidence, deaths, and associated disability. Scaling up cancer prevention and ensuring universal access to cancer care are required for health equity and to fulfill the global commitments for noncommunicable disease and cancer control.
Published: 2018
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7. The burden of depressive disorders in South Asia, 1990-2016: findings from the global burden of disease study.

Author: Ogbo FA, Mathsyaraja S, Koti RK, Perz J, and Page A
Subjects: Aged, Bangladesh epidemiology, Depressive Disorder, Major psychology, Disabled Persons psychology, Female, Humans, India epidemiology, Male, Middle Aged, Nepal epidemiology, Pakistan epidemiology, Risk Factors, Depressive Disorder, Major diagnosis, Depressive Disorder, Major epidemiology, Global Burden of Disease trends, Global Health trends
Abstract: Background: Globally, depressive disorders are one of the most common forms of mental illness. Using data from the most recent Global Burden of Disease, Injury, and Risk Factor Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we aimed to describe the burden of disease attributable to depressive disorders in terms of prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in South Asia countries (namely India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal and Bhutan)., Methods: GBD 2016 used epidemiological data on depressive disorders (major depression and dysthymia) from South Asia and a Bayesian meta-regression tool (DisMod-MR 2.1) to model prevalence and DALYs of depressive disorders by age, sex, country and year. DALYs were calculated from the years lived with disability (YLDs), derived from the prevalence of depressive disorders and disability weights, obtained from a community and internet-based surveys. The analyses adjusted for comorbidity, data sources and multiple modelling, and estimates were presented with 95% uncertainty intervals (UI)., Results: In 2016, the age-standardised prevalence of depressive disorders in South Asia was 3.9% (95% UI: 3.6-4.2%), 4.4% (95% UI: 4.4-4.8%) in Bangladesh, 3.9% (95% UI: 3.6-4.2%) in India, 3.0% (95% UI: 2.8-3.3%) in Pakistan, 4.0% (95% UI: 3.7-4.3%) in Nepal and 3.7% (95% UI: 3.4-4.1%) in Bhutan. In South Asia, depressive disorders accounted for 9.8 million DALYs (95% UI: 6.8-13.2 million) or 577.8 (95% UI: 399.9-778.9) per 100,000 population in 2016. Of these, major depressive disorders (MDD) accounted for 7.8 million DALYs (95% UI: 5.3-10.5 million). India generated the largest numbers of DALYs due to depressive disorders and MDD, followed by Bangladesh and Pakistan. DALYs due to depressive disorders were highest in females and older adults (75-79 years) across all countries., Conclusion: Our findings show the substantial public health burden of depressive disorders in South Asian populations and healthcare systems. Given the scale of depressive disorders, improvement in overall population health is possible if South Asian countries prioritise the prevention and treatment of depressive disorders.
Published: 2018
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8. The burden of depressive disorders in South Asia, 1990–2016: findings from the global burden of disease study

Author: Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Sruthi Mathsyaraja, Rajeendra Kashyap Koti, Janette Perz, and Andrew Page
Subjects: Depressive disorders, Depression, Global Burden of Disease, South Asia, Psychiatry, RC435-571
Abstract: Abstract Background Globally, depressive disorders are one of the most common forms of mental illness. Using data from the most recent Global Burden of Disease, Injury, and Risk Factor Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we aimed to describe the burden of disease attributable to depressive disorders in terms of prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in South Asia countries (namely India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal and Bhutan). Methods GBD 2016 used epidemiological data on depressive disorders (major depression and dysthymia) from South Asia and a Bayesian meta-regression tool (DisMod-MR 2.1) to model prevalence and DALYs of depressive disorders by age, sex, country and year. DALYs were calculated from the years lived with disability (YLDs), derived from the prevalence of depressive disorders and disability weights, obtained from a community and internet-based surveys. The analyses adjusted for comorbidity, data sources and multiple modelling, and estimates were presented with 95% uncertainty intervals (UI). Results In 2016, the age-standardised prevalence of depressive disorders in South Asia was 3.9% (95% UI: 3.6–4.2%), 4.4% (95% UI: 4.4–4.8%) in Bangladesh, 3.9% (95% UI: 3.6–4.2%) in India, 3.0% (95% UI: 2.8–3.3%) in Pakistan, 4.0% (95% UI: 3.7–4.3%) in Nepal and 3.7% (95% UI: 3.4–4.1%) in Bhutan. In South Asia, depressive disorders accounted for 9.8 million DALYs (95% UI: 6.8–13.2 million) or 577.8 (95% UI: 399.9–778.9) per 100,000 population in 2016. Of these, major depressive disorders (MDD) accounted for 7.8 million DALYs (95% UI: 5.3–10.5 million). India generated the largest numbers of DALYs due to depressive disorders and MDD, followed by Bangladesh and Pakistan. DALYs due to depressive disorders were highest in females and older adults (75–79 years) across all countries. Conclusion Our findings show the substantial public health burden of depressive disorders in South Asian populations and healthcare systems. Given the scale of depressive disorders, improvement in overall population health is possible if South Asian countries prioritise the prevention and treatment of depressive disorders.
Published: 2018
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9. Tuberculosis disease burden and attributable risk factors in Nigeria, 1990–2016

Author: Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Pascal Ogeleka, Anselm Okoro, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Jacob Olusanya, Ifegwu K. Ifegwu, Akorede O. Awosemo, John Eastwood, and Andrew Page
Subjects: Tuberculosis, Burden, Nigeria, Mortality, Global burden of disease, Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine, RC955-962
Abstract: Abstract Background According to the World Health Organization, Nigeria is one of the countries with a high burden of tuberculosis (TB) worldwide. Improving the burden of TB among HIV-negative people would require comprehensive and up-to-date data to inform targeted policy actions in Nigeria. The study aimed to describe the incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and risk factors of tuberculosis in Nigeria between 1990 and 2016. Methods This study used the most recent data from the global burden of disease study 2016. TB deaths were estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model, while TB incidence, prevalence and DALYs, as well as years of life lost and years of life lived with disability were calculated in the DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool. Using a comparative risk assessment approach, TB burden attributable to risk factors was estimated in a spatial-temporal Gaussian Process Regression tool. Results In 2016, the prevalence of TB among HIV-negative people was 27% (95% uncertainty interval [95% UI] 23–31%) in Nigeria. TB incidence rate (new and relapse cases) was 158 per 100,000 people (95% UI; 128-193), while the total number of TB mortality was 39,933 deaths (95% UI; 30,488-55,039) in 2016. Between 2000 and 2016, the age-standardised prevalence and incidence rates of TB-HIV negative decreased by 20.0 and 87.6%, respectively. The age-standardised mortality rate also dropped by 191.6% over the same period. DALYs due to TB among HIV-negative Nigerians was high but varied across the age groups. Of the risk factors studied, alcohol use accounted for the highest number of TB deaths and DALYs, followed by diabetes and smoking in 2016. Conclusion The study shows an improving trend in TB disease burden among HIV-negative individuals in Nigeria from 1990 to 2016. Despite this progress, this study suggests that additional efforts are still needed to ensure that Nigeria is not left behind in the current global strategy to end TB disease. Reducing TB disease burden in the country will require a multipronged approach that includes increased funding, health system strengthening and improved TB surveillance, as well as preventive efforts for alcohol use, smoking and diabetes.
Published: 2018
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10. Estimates, trends, and drivers of the global burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to PM2·5 air pollution, 1990–2019: an analysis of data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Author: Burkart, Katrin, Causey, Kate, Cohen, Aaron J., Wozniak, Sarah S., Salvi, Devashri Digvijay, Abbafati, Cristiana, Adekanmbi, Victor, Adsuar, Jose C., Ahmadi, Keivan, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alipour, Vahid, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amegah, Adeladza Kofi, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Andrei, Tudorel, Ansari, Fereshteh, Arabloo, Jalal, Aremu, Olatunde, Aripov, Timur, Babaee, Ebrahim, Banach, Maciej, Barnett, Anthony, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Bedi, Neeraj, Behzadifar, Masoud, Béjot, Yannick, Bennett, Derrick A., Bensenor, Isabela M., Bernstein, Robert S., Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bijani, Ali, Biondi, Antonio, Bohlouli, Somayeh, Breitner, Susanne, Brenner, Hermann, Butt, Zahid A., Cámera, Luis Alberto, Cantu-Brito, Carlos, Carvalho, Felix, Cerin, Ester, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chauhan, Bal Govind, Choi, Jee-Young Jasmine, Chu, Dinh-Toi, Dai, Xiaochen, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Daryani, Ahmad, Davletov, Kairat, de Courten, Barbora, Demeke, Feleke Mekonnen, Denova-Gutiérrez, Edgar, Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda, Dhimal, Meghnath, Diaz, Daniel, Djalalinia, Shirin, Duncan, Bruce B., El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Fareed, Mohammad, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fattahi, Nazir, Fazlzadeh, Mehdi, Fernandes, Eduarda, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Foigt, Nataliya A., Freitas, Marisa, Ghashghaee, Ahmad, Gill, Paramjit, Ginawi, Ibrahim Abdelmageed, Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Guo, Yuming, Gupta, Rajat Das, Habtewold, Tesfa Dejenie, Hamadeh, Randah R., Hamidi, Samer, Hankey, Graeme J., Hasanpoor, Edris, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Hay, Simon I., Heibati, Behzad, Hole, Michael K., Hossain, Naznin, Househ, Mowafa, Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi, Jaafari, Jalil, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Jonas, Jost B., Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Kasaeian, Amir, Kaydi, Neda, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Junaid, Khan, Md Nuruzzaman, Khatab, Khaled, Khater, Amir M., Kim, Yun Jin, Kimokoti, Ruth W., Kisa, Adnan, Kivimäki, Mika, Knibbs, Luke D., Kosen, Soewarta, Koul, Parvaiz A., Koyanagi, Ai, Kuate Defo, Barthelemy, Kugbey, Nuworza, Lauriola, Paolo, Lee, Paul H., Leili, Mostafa, Lewycka, Sonia, Li, Shanshan, Lim, Lee-Ling, Linn, Shai, Liu, Yong, Lorkowski, Stefan, Mahasha, Phetole Walter, Mahotra, Narayan B., Majeed, Azeem, Maleki, Afshin, Malekzadeh, Reza, Mamun, Abdullah A., Manafi, Navid, Martini, Santi, Meharie, Birhanu Geta, Menezes, Ritesh G., Mestrovic, Tomislav, Miazgowski, Bartosz, Miazgowski, Tomasz, Miller, Ted R., Mini, G. K., Mirica, Andreea, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M., Mohajer, Bahram, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mohan, Viswanathan, Mokdad, Ali H., Monasta, Lorenzo, Moraga, Paula, Morrison, Shane Douglas, Mueller, Ulrich Otto, Mukhopadhyay, Satinath, Mustafa, Ghulam, Muthupandian, Saravanan, Naik, Gurudatta, Nangia, Vinay, Ndwandwe, Duduzile Edith, Negoi, Ruxandra Irina, Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini, Noubiap, Jean Jacques, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Olagunju, Andrew T., Onwujekwe, Obinna E., Ortiz, Alberto, Owolabi, Mayowa O., P A, Mahesh, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Park, Eun-Kee, Pashazadeh Kan, Fatemeh, Pirsaheb, Meghdad, Postma, Maarten J., Pourjafar, Hadi, Radfar, Amir, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahim, Fakher, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal, Raoofi, Samira, Rawal, Lal, Renzaho, Andre M. N., Rezapour, Aziz, Ribeiro, Daniela, Roever, Leonardo, Ronfani, Luca, Sabour, Siamak, Saddik, Basema, Sadeghi, Ehsan, Saeedi Moghaddam, Sahar, Sahebkar, Amirhossein, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Salimzadeh, Hamideh, Salvi, Sundeep Santosh, Samy, Abdallah M., Sanabria, Juan, Sarmiento-Suárez, Rodrigo, Sathish, Thirunavukkarasu, Schmidt, Maria Inês, Schutte, Aletta Elisabeth, Sepanlou, Sadaf G., Shaikh, Masood Ali, Sharafi, Kiomars, Sheikh, Aziz, Shigematsu, Mika, Shiri, Rahman, Shirkoohi, Reza, Shuval, Kerem, Soyiri, Ireneous N., Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tefera, Yonatal Mesfin, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Raman, Topor-Madry, Roman, Tudor Car, Lorainne, Ullah, Irfan, Vacante, Marco, Valdez, Pascual R., Vasankari, Tommi Juhani, Violante, Francesco S., Waheed, Yasir, Wolfe, Charles D. A., Yamada, Tomohide, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yu, Chuanhua, Zaman, Sojib Bin, Zhang, Yunquan, Zodpey, Sanjay, Lim, Stephen S., Stanaway, Jeffrey D., Brauer, Michael, HASH(0x5651c97b2c90), GBD 2019 Diabetes and Air Pollution Collaborators, QE Econometrics, RS: GSBE other - not theme-related research, Department of Public Health, University of Helsinki, Value, Affordability and Sustainability (VALUE), Real World Studies in PharmacoEpidemiology, -Genetics, -Economics and -Therapy (PEGET), and Microbes in Health and Disease (MHD)
Subjects: Contaminación del Aire, Health (social science), Type II Diabetes, Type 2 diabetes deaths, air pollution, and YLLs attributable to all PM2·5 air pollution, Medicine (miscellaneous), and change from 1990 to 2019, DALYs, burden of disease, Global Burden of Disease, Carga Global de Enfermedades, MELLITUS, INFLAMMATION, and household PM2·5 pollution from solid fuels in seven GBD super-regions and globally in 2019, Diabetes Mellitus, Humans, Biology, ASSOCIATIONS, RISK, INSULIN-RESISTANCE, GBD 2019 Diabetes and Air Pollution Collaborators, Health Policy, Material Particulado, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Bayes Theorem, LONG-TERM EXPOSURE, Humanos, YLDs, Chemistry, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, 3121 General medicine, internal medicine and other clinical medicine, Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida, ambient PM2·5 pollution, Particulate Matter, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Human medicine, FINE PARTICULATE MATTER, RA
Abstract: Background: Experimental and epidemiological studies indicate an association between exposure to particulate matter (PM) air pollution and increased risk of type 2 diabetes. In view of the high and increasing prevalence of diabetes, we aimed to quantify the burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to PM2·5 originating from ambient and household air pollution.Methods: We systematically compiled all relevant cohort and case-control studies assessing the effect of exposure to household and ambient fine particulate matter (PM2·5) air pollution on type 2 diabetes incidence and mortality. We derived an exposure–response curve from the extracted relative risk estimates using the MR-BRT (meta-regression—Bayesian, regularised, trimmed) tool. The estimated curve was linked to ambient and household PM2·5 exposures from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019, and estimates of the attributable burden (population attributable fractions and rates per 100 000 population of deaths and disability-adjusted life-years) for 204 countries from 1990 to 2019 were calculated. We also assessed the role of changes in exposure, population size, age, and type 2 diabetes incidence in the observed trend in PM2·5-attributable type 2 diabetes burden. All estimates are presented with 95% uncertainty intervals.Findings: In 2019, approximately a fifth of the global burden of type 2 diabetes was attributable to PM2·5 exposure, with an estimated 3·78 (95% uncertainty interval 2·68–4·83) deaths per 100 000 population and 167 (117–223) disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) per 100 000 population. Approximately 13·4% (9·49–17·5) of deaths and 13·6% (9·73–17·9) of DALYs due to type 2 diabetes were contributed by ambient PM2·5, and 6·50% (4·22–9·53) of deaths and 5·92% (3·81–8·64) of DALYs by household air pollution. High burdens, in terms of numbers as well as rates, were estimated in Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, and South America. Since 1990, the attributable burden has increased by 50%, driven largely by population growth and ageing. Globally, the impact of reductions in household air pollution was largely offset by increased ambient PM2·5.Interpretation: Air pollution is a major risk factor for diabetes. We estimated that about a fifth of the global burden of type 2 diabetes is attributable PM2·5 pollution. Air pollution mitigation therefore might have an essential role in reducing the global disease burden resulting from type 2 diabetes.Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Published: 2022

11. Population-level risks of alcohol consumption by amount, geography, age, sex, and year: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020

Author: Dana Bryazka, Marissa B Reitsma, Max G Griswold, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Cristiana Abbafati, Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari, Zeinab Abbasi-Kangevari, Amir Abdoli, Mohammad Abdollahi, Abu Yousuf Md Abdullah, E S Abhilash, Eman Abu-Gharbieh, Juan Manuel Acuna, Giovanni Addolorato, Oladimeji M Adebayo, Victor Adekanmbi, Kishor Adhikari, Sangeet Adhikari, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani, Saira Afzal, Wubetu Yimam Agegnehu, Manik Aggarwal, Bright Opoku Ahinkorah, Araz Ramazan Ahmad, Sajjad Ahmad, Tauseef Ahmad, Ali Ahmadi, Sepideh Ahmadi, Haroon Ahmed, Tarik Ahmed Rashid, Chisom Joyqueenet Akunna, Hanadi Al Hamad, Md Zakiul Alam, Dejene Tsegaye Alem, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Yousef Alimohamadi, Atiyeh Alizadeh, Kasim Allel, Jordi Alonso, Saba Alvand, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Firehiwot Amare, Edward Kwabena Ameyaw, Sohrab Amiri, Robert Ancuceanu, Jason A Anderson, Catalina Liliana Andrei, Tudorel Andrei, Jalal Arabloo, Muhammad Arshad, Anton A Artamonov, Zahra Aryan, Malke Asaad, Mulusew A Asemahagn, Thomas Astell-Burt, Seyyed Shamsadin Athari, Desta Debalkie Atnafu, Prince Atorkey, Alok Atreya, Floriane Ausloos, Marcel Ausloos, Getinet Ayano, Martin Amogre ayanore Ayanore, Olatunde O Ayinde, Jose L Ayuso-Mateos, Sina Azadnajafabad, Melkalem Mamuye Azanaw, Mohammadreza Azangou-Khyavy, Amirhossein Azari Jafari, Ahmed Y Azzam, Ashish D Badiye, Nasser Bagheri, Sara Bagherieh, Mohan Bairwa, Shankar M Bakkannavar, Ravleen Kaur Bakshi, Awraris Hailu Balchut/Bilchut, Till Winfried Bärnighausen, Fabio Barra, Amadou Barrow, Pritish Baskaran, Luis Belo, Derrick A Bennett, Isabela M Benseñor, Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Neeraj Bhala, Ashish Bhalla, Nikha Bhardwaj, Pankaj Bhardwaj, Sonu Bhaskar, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Vijayalakshmi S Bhojaraja, Bagas Suryo Bintoro, Elena A Elena Blokhina, Belay Boda Abule Bodicha, Archith Boloor, Cristina Bosetti, Dejana Braithwaite, Hermann Brenner, Nikolay Ivanovich Briko, Andre R Brunoni, Zahid A Butt, Chao Cao, Yin Cao, Rosario Cárdenas, Andre F Carvalho, Márcia Carvalho, Joao Mauricio Castaldelli-Maia, Giulio Castelpietra, Luis F S Castro-de-Araujo, Maria Sofia Cattaruzza, Promit Ananyo Chakraborty, Jaykaran Charan, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Akhilanand Chaurasia, Nicolas Cherbuin, Dinh-Toi Chu, Nandita Chudal, Sheng-Chia Chung, Chuchu Churko, Liliana G Ciobanu, Massimo Cirillo, Rafael M Claro, Simona Costanzo, Richard G Cowden, Michael H Criqui, Natália Cruz-Martins, Garland T Culbreth, Berihun Assefa Dachew, Omid Dadras, Xiaochen Dai, Giovanni Damiani, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, Beniam Darge Daniel, Anna Danielewicz, Jiregna Darega Gela, Kairat Davletov, Jacyra Azevedo Paiva de Araujo, Antonio Reis de Sá-Junior, Sisay Abebe Debela, Azizallah Dehghan, Andreas K Demetriades, Meseret Derbew Molla, Rupak Desai, Abebaw Alemayehu Desta, Diana Dias da Silva, Daniel Diaz, Lankamo Ena Digesa, Mengistie Diress, Milad Dodangeh, Deepa Dongarwar, Fariba Dorostkar, Haneil Larson Dsouza, Bereket Duko, Bruce B Duncan, Kristina Edvardsson, Michael Ekholuenetale, Frank J Elgar, Muhammed Elhadi, Mohamed A Elmonem, Aman Yesuf Endries, Sharareh Eskandarieh, Azin Etemadimanesh, Adeniyi Francis Fagbamigbe, Ildar Ravisovich Fakhradiyev, Fatemeh Farahmand, Carla Sofia e Sá Farinha, Andre Faro, Farshad Farzadfar, Ali Fatehizadeh, Nelsensius Klau Fauk, Valery L Feigin, Rachel Feldman, Xiaoqi Feng, Zinabu Fentaw, Simone Ferrero, Lorenzo Ferro Desideri, Irina Filip, Florian Fischer, Joel Msafiri Francis, Richard Charles Franklin, Peter Andras Gaal, Mohamed M Gad, Silvano Gallus, Fabio Galvano, Balasankar Ganesan, Tushar Garg, Mesfin Gebrehiwot Damtew Gebrehiwot, Teferi Gebru Gebremeskel, Mathewos Alemu Gebremichael, Tadele Regasa Gemechu, Lemma Getacher, Motuma Erena Getachew, Abera Getachew Obsa, Asmare Getie, Amir Ghaderi, Mansour Ghafourifard, Alireza Ghajar, Seyyed-Hadi Ghamari, Lilian A Ghandour, Mohammad Ghasemi Nour, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Sherief Ghozy, Franklin N Glozah, Ekaterina Vladimirovna Glushkova, Justyna Godos, Amit Goel, Salime Goharinezhad, Mahaveer Golechha, Pouya Goleij, Mohamad Golitaleb, Felix Greaves, Michal Grivna, Giuseppe Grosso, Temesgen Worku Gudayu, Bhawna Gupta, Rajeev Gupta, Sapna Gupta, Veer Bala Gupta, Vivek Kumar Gupta, Nima Hafezi-Nejad, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Brian J Hall, Rabih Halwani, Tiilahun Beyene Handiso, Graeme J Hankey, Sanam Hariri, Josep Maria Haro, Ahmed I Hasaballah, Hossein Hassanian-Moghaddam, Simon I Hay, Khezar Hayat, Golnaz Heidari, Mohammad Heidari, Delia Hendrie, Claudiu Herteliu, Demisu Zenbaba Heyi, Kamal Hezam, Mbuzeleni Mbuzeleni Hlongwa, Ramesh Holla, Md Mahbub Hossain, Sahadat Hossain, Seyed Kianoosh Hosseini, Mehdi hosseinzadeh, Mihaela Hostiuc, Sorin Hostiuc, Guoqing Hu, Junjie Huang, Salman Hussain, Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye, Irena M Ilic, Milena D Ilic, Mustapha Immurana, Lalu Muhammad Irham, M Mofizul Islam, Rakibul M Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Hiroyasu Iso, Ramaiah Itumalla, Masao Iwagami, Roxana Jabbarinejad, Louis Jacob, Mihajlo Jakovljevic, Zahra Jamalpoor, Elham Jamshidi, Sathish Kumar Jayapal, Umesh Umesh Jayarajah, Ranil Jayawardena, Rime Jebai, Seyed Ali Jeddi, Alelign Tasew Jema, Ravi Prakash Jha, Har Ashish Jindal, Jost B Jonas, Tamas Joo, Nitin Joseph, Farahnaz Joukar, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Mikk Jürisson, Ali Kabir, Robel Hussen Kabthymer, Bhushan Dattatray Kamble, Himal Kandel, Girum Gebremeskel Kanno, Neeti Kapoor, Ibraheem M Karaye, Salah Eddin Karimi, Bekalu Getnet Kassa, Rimple Jeet Kaur, Gbenga A Kayode, Mohammad Keykhaei, Himanshu Khajuria, Rovshan Khalilov, Imteyaz A Khan, Moien AB Khan, Hanna Kim, Jihee Kim, Min Seo Kim, Ruth W Kimokoti, Mika Kivimäki, Vitalii Klymchuk, Ann Kristin Skrindo Knudsen, Ali-Asghar Kolahi, Vladimir Andreevich Korshunov, Ai Koyanagi, Kewal Krishan, Yuvaraj Krishnamoorthy, G Anil Kumar, Narinder Kumar, Nithin Kumar, Ben Lacey, Tea Lallukka, Savita Lasrado, Jerrald Lau, Sang-woong Lee, Wei-Chen Lee, Yo Han Lee, Lee-Ling Lim, Stephen S Lim, Stany W Lobo, Platon D Lopukhov, Stefan Lorkowski, Rafael Lozano, Giancarlo Lucchetti, Farzan Madadizadeh, Áurea M Madureira-Carvalho, Soleiman Mahjoub, Ata Mahmoodpoor, Rashidul Alam Mahumud, Alaa Makki, Mohammad-Reza Malekpour, Narayana Manjunatha, Borhan Mansouri, Mohammad Ali Mansournia, Jose Martinez-Raga, Francisco A Martinez-Villa, Richard Matzopoulos, Pallab K Maulik, Mahsa Mayeli, John J McGrath, Jitendra Kumar Meena, Entezar Mehrabi Nasab, Ritesh G Menezes, Gert B M Mensink, Alexios-Fotios A Mentis, Atte Meretoja, Bedasa Taye Merga, Tomislav Mestrovic, Junmei Miao Jonasson, Bartosz Miazgowski, Ana Carolina Micheletti Gomide Nogueira de Sá, Ted R Miller, GK Mini, Andreea Mirica, Antonio Mirijello, Seyyedmohammadsadeq Mirmoeeni, Erkin M Mirrakhimov, Sanjeev Misra, Babak Moazen, Maryam Mobarakabadi, Marcello Moccia, Yousef Mohammad, Esmaeil Mohammadi, Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Teroj Abdulrahman Mohammed, Nagabhishek Moka, Ali H Mokdad, Sara Momtazmanesh, Yousef Moradi, Ebrahim Mostafavi, Sumaira Mubarik, Erin C Mullany, Beemnet Tekabe Mulugeta, Efrén Murillo-Zamora, Christopher J L Murray, Julius C Mwita, Mohsen Naghavi, Mukhammad David Naimzada, Vinay Nangia, Biswa Prakash Nayak, Ionut Negoi, Ruxandra Irina Negoi, Seyed Aria Nejadghaderi, Samata Nepal, Sudan Prasad Prasad Neupane, Sandhya Neupane Kandel, Yeshambel T Nigatu, Ali Nowroozi, Khan M Nuruzzaman, Chimezie Igwegbe Nzoputam, Kehinde O Obamiro, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Ayodipupo Sikiru Oguntade, Hassan Okati-Aliabad, Babayemi Oluwaseun Olakunde, Gláucia Maria Moraes Oliveira, Ahmed Omar Bali, Emad Omer, Doris V Ortega-Altamirano, Adrian Otoiu, Stanislav S Otstavnov, Bilcha Oumer, Mahesh P A, Alicia Padron-Monedero, Raffaele Palladino, Adrian Pana, Songhomitra Panda-Jonas, Anamika Pandey, Ashok Pandey, Shahina Pardhan, Tarang Parekh, Eun-Kee Park, Charles D H Parry, Fatemeh Pashazadeh Kan, Jay Patel, Siddhartha Pati, George C Patton, Uttam Paudel, Shrikant Pawar, Amy E Peden, Ionela-Roxana Petcu, Michael R Phillips, Marina Pinheiro, Evgenii Plotnikov, Pranil Man Singh Pradhan, Akila Prashant, Jianchao Quan, Amir Radfar, Alireza Rafiei, Pankaja Raghav Raghav, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Azizur Rahman, Md Mosfequr Rahman, Mosiur Rahman, Amir Masoud Rahmani, Shayan Rahmani, Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, Priyanga Ranasinghe, Chythra R Rao, Drona Prakash Rasali, Mohammad-Mahdi Rashidi, Zubair Ahmed Ratan, David Laith Rawaf, Salman Rawaf, Lal Rawal, Andre M N Renzaho, Negar Rezaei, Saeid Rezaei, Mohsen Rezaeian, Seyed Mohammad Riahi, Esperanza Romero-Rodríguez, Gregory A Roth, Godfrey M Rwegerera, Basema Saddik, Erfan Sadeghi, Reihaneh Sadeghian, Umar Saeed, Farhad Saeedi, Rajesh Sagar, Amirhossein Sahebkar, Harihar Sahoo, Mohammad Ali Sahraian, KM Saif-Ur-Rahman, Sarvenaz Salahi, Hamideh Salimzadeh, Abdallah M Samy, Francesco Sanmarchi, Milena M Santric-Milicevic, Yaser Sarikhani, Brijesh Sathian, Ganesh Kumar Saya, Mehdi Sayyah, Maria Inês Schmidt, Aletta Elisabeth Schutte, Michaël Schwarzinger, David C Schwebel, Abdul-Aziz Seidu, Nachimuthu Senthil Kumar, SeyedAhmad SeyedAlinaghi, Allen Seylani, Feng Sha, Sarvenaz Shahin, Fariba Shahraki-Sanavi, Shayan Shahrokhi, Masood Ali Shaikh, Elaheh Shaker, Murad Ziyaudinovich Shakhmardanov, Mehran Shams-Beyranvand, Sara Sheikhbahaei, Rahim Ali Sheikhi, Adithi Shetty, Jeevan K Shetty, Damtew Solomon Shiferaw, Mika Shigematsu, Rahman Shiri, Reza Shirkoohi, K M Shivakumar, Velizar Shivarov, Parnian Shobeiri, Roman Shrestha, Negussie Boti Sidemo, Inga Dora Sigfusdottir, Diego Augusto Santos Silva, Natacha Torres da Silva, Jasvinder A Singh, Surjit Singh, Valentin Yurievich Skryabin, Anna Aleksandrovna Skryabina, David A Sleet, Marco Solmi, YONATAN SOLOMON, Suhang Song, Yimeng Song, Reed J D Sorensen, Sergey Soshnikov, Ireneous N Soyiri, Dan J Stein, Sonu Hangma Subba, Miklós Szócska, Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos, Takahiro Tabuchi, Majid Taheri, Ker-Kan Tan, Minale Tareke, Elvis Enowbeyang Tarkang, Gebremaryam Temesgen, Worku Animaw Temesgen, Mohamad-Hani Temsah, Kavumpurathu Raman Thankappan, Rekha Thapar, Nikhil Kenny Thomas, Chalachew Tiruneh, Jovana Todorovic, Marco Torrado, Mathilde Touvier, Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone, Mai Thi Ngoc Tran, Sergi Trias-Llimós, Jaya Prasad Tripathy, Alireza Vakilian, Rohollah Valizadeh, Mehdi Varmaghani, Shoban Babu Varthya, Tommi Juhani Vasankari, Theo Vos, Birhanu Wagaye, Yasir Waheed, Mandaras Tariku Walde, Cong Wang, Yanzhong Wang, Yuan-Pang Wang, Ronny Westerman, Nuwan Darshana Wickramasinghe, Abate Dargie Wubetu, Suowen Xu, Kazumasa Yamagishi, Lin Yang, Gesila Endashaw E Yesera, Arzu Yigit, Vahit Yiğit, Ayenew Engida Ayenew Engida Yimaw, Dong Keon Yon, Naohiro Yonemoto, Chuanhua Yu, Siddhesh Zadey, Mazyar Zahir, Iman Zare, Mikhail Sergeevich Zastrozhin, Anasthasia Zastrozhina, Zhi-Jiang Zhang, Chenwen Zhong, Mohammad Zmaili, Yves Miel H Zuniga, Emmanuela Gakidou, University of St Andrews. School of Medicine, University of St Andrews. Population and Behavioural Science Division, Department of Public Health, University of Helsinki, Hjelt Institute (-2014), Helsinki Inequality Initiative (INEQ), Clinicum, Helsinki University Hospital Area, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, King Edward Medical University (Pakistán), Alexander von Humboldt Foundation, University of Oxford (Reino Unido), Medical Research Council (Reino Unido), NIH - National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH) (Estados Unidos), Canada Research Chairs, National Health and Medical Research Council (Australia), National Heart Foundation of Australia, Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development (Serbia), Wellcome Trust, NIH - National Institute on Aging (NIA) (Estados Unidos), Finlands Akademi (Finlandia), Panjab University (India), Federal Ministry of Education & Research (Alemania), National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (Brasil), Danish National Research Foundation, Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research (Australia), South African Medical Research Council, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Charles Sturt University (Australia), Ain Shams University (Egipto), Mizoram University (India), Kasturba Medical College (India), Manipal Academy of Higher Education (India), Coordenação de Aperfeicoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Brasil), Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España), Collaborators, GBD 2020 Alcohol, Bryazka, Dana, Reitsma, Marissa B, Griswold, Max G, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen, Abbasi-Kangevari, Zeinab, Abdoli, Amir, Abdollahi, Mohammad, Abdullah, Abu Yousuf Md, Abhilash, E S, Abu-Gharbieh, Eman, Acuna, Juan Manuel, Addolorato, Giovanni, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Adekanmbi, Victor, Adhikari, Kishor, Adhikari, Sangeet, Adnani, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah, Afzal, Saira, Agegnehu, Wubetu Yimam, Aggarwal, Manik, Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku, Ahmad, Araz Ramazan, Ahmad, Sajjad, Ahmad, Tauseef, Ahmadi, Ali, Ahmadi, Sepideh, Ahmed, Haroon, Ahmed Rashid, Tarik, Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet, Al Hamad, Hanadi, Alam, Md Zakiul, Alem, Dejene Tsegaye, Alene, Kefyalew Addi, Alimohamadi, Yousef, Alizadeh, Atiyeh, Allel, Kasim, Alonso, Jordi, Alvand, Saba, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Firehiwot, Ameyaw, Edward Kwabena, Amiri, Sohrab, Ancuceanu, Robert, Anderson, Jason A, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Andrei, Tudorel, Arabloo, Jalal, Arshad, Muhammad, Artamonov, Anton A, Aryan, Zahra, Asaad, Malke, Asemahagn, Mulusew A, Astell-Burt, Thoma, Athari, Seyyed Shamsadin, Atnafu, Desta Debalkie, Atorkey, Prince, Atreya, Alok, Ausloos, Floriane, Ausloos, Marcel, Ayano, Getinet, Ayanore, Martin Amogre ayanore, Ayinde, Olatunde O, Ayuso-Mateos, Jose L, Azadnajafabad, Sina, Azanaw, Melkalem Mamuye, Azangou-Khyavy, Mohammadreza, Azari Jafari, Amirhossein, Azzam, Ahmed Y, Badiye, Ashish D, Bagheri, Nasser, Bagherieh, Sara, Bairwa, Mohan, Bakkannavar, Shankar M, Bakshi, Ravleen Kaur, Balchut/bilchut, Awraris Hailu, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Barra, Fabio, Barrow, Amadou, Baskaran, Pritish, Belo, Lui, Bennett, Derrick A, Benseñor, Isabela M, Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth, Bhala, Neeraj, Bhalla, Ashish, Bhardwaj, Nikha, Bhardwaj, Pankaj, Bhaskar, Sonu, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bhojaraja, Vijayalakshmi S, Bintoro, Bagas Suryo, Blokhina, Elena A Elena, Bodicha, Belay Boda Abule, Boloor, Archith, Bosetti, Cristina, Braithwaite, Dejana, Brenner, Hermann, Briko, Nikolay Ivanovich, Brunoni, Andre R, Butt, Zahid A, Cao, Chao, Cao, Yin, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carvalho, Andre F, Carvalho, Márcia, Castaldelli-Maia, Joao Mauricio, Castelpietra, Giulio, Castro-de-Araujo, Luis F S, Cattaruzza, Maria Sofia, Chakraborty, Promit Ananyo, Charan, Jaykaran, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chaurasia, Akhilanand, Cherbuin, Nicola, Chu, Dinh-Toi, Chudal, Nandita, Chung, Sheng-Chia, Churko, Chuchu, Ciobanu, Liliana G, Cirillo, Massimo, Claro, Rafael M, Costanzo, Simona, Cowden, Richard G, Criqui, Michael H, Cruz-Martins, Natália, Culbreth, Garland T, Dachew, Berihun Assefa, Dadras, Omid, Dai, Xiaochen, Damiani, Giovanni, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Daniel, Beniam Darge, Danielewicz, Anna, Darega Gela, Jiregna, Davletov, Kairat, de Araujo, Jacyra Azevedo Paiva, de Sá-Junior, Antonio Rei, Debela, Sisay Abebe, Dehghan, Azizallah, Demetriades, Andreas K, Derbew Molla, Meseret, Desai, Rupak, Desta, Abebaw Alemayehu, Dias da Silva, Diana, Diaz, Daniel, Digesa, Lankamo Ena, Diress, Mengistie, Dodangeh, Milad, Dongarwar, Deepa, Dorostkar, Fariba, Dsouza, Haneil Larson, Duko, Bereket, Duncan, Bruce B, Edvardsson, Kristina, Ekholuenetale, Michael, Elgar, Frank J, Elhadi, Muhammed, Elmonem, Mohamed A, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Etemadimanesh, Azin, Fagbamigbe, Adeniyi Franci, Fakhradiyev, Ildar Ravisovich, Farahmand, Fatemeh, Farinha, Carla Sofia e Sá, Faro, Andre, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fatehizadeh, Ali, Fauk, Nelsensius Klau, Feigin, Valery L, Feldman, Rachel, Feng, Xiaoqi, Fentaw, Zinabu, Ferrero, Simone, Ferro Desideri, Lorenzo, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Francis, Joel Msafiri, Franklin, Richard Charle, Gaal, Peter Andra, Gad, Mohamed M, Gallus, Silvano, Galvano, Fabio, Ganesan, Balasankar, Garg, Tushar, Gebrehiwot, Mesfin Gebrehiwot Damtew, Gebremeskel, Teferi Gebru, Gebremichael, Mathewos Alemu, Gemechu, Tadele Regasa, Getacher, Lemma, Getachew, Motuma Erena, Getachew Obsa, Abera, Getie, Asmare, Ghaderi, Amir, Ghafourifard, Mansour, Ghajar, Alireza, Ghamari, Seyyed-Hadi, Ghandour, Lilian A, Ghasemi Nour, Mohammad, Ghashghaee, Ahmad, Ghozy, Sherief, Glozah, Franklin N, Glushkova, Ekaterina Vladimirovna, Godos, Justyna, Goel, Amit, Goharinezhad, Salime, Golechha, Mahaveer, Goleij, Pouya, Golitaleb, Mohamad, Greaves, Felix, Grivna, Michal, Grosso, Giuseppe, Gudayu, Temesgen Worku, Gupta, Bhawna, Gupta, Rajeev, Gupta, Sapna, Gupta, Veer Bala, Gupta, Vivek Kumar, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Hall, Brian J, Halwani, Rabih, Handiso, Tiilahun Beyene, Hankey, Graeme J, Hariri, Sanam, Haro, Josep Maria, Hasaballah, Ahmed I, Hassanian-Moghaddam, Hossein, Hay, Simon I, Hayat, Khezar, Heidari, Golnaz, Heidari, Mohammad, Hendrie, Delia, Herteliu, Claudiu, Heyi, Demisu Zenbaba, Hezam, Kamal, Hlongwa, Mbuzeleni Mbuzeleni, Holla, Ramesh, Hossain, Md Mahbub, Hossain, Sahadat, Hosseini, Seyed Kianoosh, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Hostiuc, Mihaela, Hostiuc, Sorin, Hu, Guoqing, Huang, Junjie, Hussain, Salman, Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel, Ilic, Irena M, Ilic, Milena D, Immurana, Mustapha, Irham, Lalu Muhammad, Islam, M Mofizul, Islam, Rakibul M, Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful, Iso, Hiroyasu, Itumalla, Ramaiah, Iwagami, Masao, Jabbarinejad, Roxana, Jacob, Loui, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jamalpoor, Zahra, Jamshidi, Elham, Jayapal, Sathish Kumar, Jayarajah, Umesh Umesh, Jayawardena, Ranil, Jebai, Rime, Jeddi, Seyed Ali, Jema, Alelign Tasew, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Jindal, Har Ashish, Jonas, Jost B, Joo, Tama, Joseph, Nitin, Joukar, Farahnaz, Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Jürisson, Mikk, Kabir, Ali, Kabthymer, Robel Hussen, Kamble, Bhushan Dattatray, Kandel, Himal, Kanno, Girum Gebremeskel, Kapoor, Neeti, Karaye, Ibraheem M, Karimi, Salah Eddin, Kassa, Bekalu Getnet, Kaur, Rimple Jeet, Kayode, Gbenga A, Keykhaei, Mohammad, Khajuria, Himanshu, Khalilov, Rovshan, Khan, Imteyaz A, Khan, Moien AB, Kim, Hanna, Kim, Jihee, Kim, Min Seo, Kimokoti, Ruth W, Kivimäki, Mika, Klymchuk, Vitalii, Knudsen, Ann Kristin Skrindo, Kolahi, Ali-Asghar, Korshunov, Vladimir Andreevich, Koyanagi, Ai, Krishan, Kewal, Krishnamoorthy, Yuvaraj, Kumar, G Anil, Kumar, Narinder, Kumar, Nithin, Lacey, Ben, Lallukka, Tea, Lasrado, Savita, Lau, Jerrald, Lee, Sang-woong, Lee, Wei-Chen, Lee, Yo Han, Lim, Lee-Ling, Lim, Stephen S, Lobo, Stany W, Lopukhov, Platon D, Lorkowski, Stefan, Lozano, Rafael, Lucchetti, Giancarlo, Madadizadeh, Farzan, Madureira-Carvalho, Áurea M, Mahjoub, Soleiman, Mahmoodpoor, Ata, Mahumud, Rashidul Alam, Makki, Alaa, Malekpour, Mohammad-Reza, Manjunatha, Narayana, Mansouri, Borhan, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Martinez-Raga, Jose, Martinez-Villa, Francisco A, Matzopoulos, Richard, Maulik, Pallab K, Mayeli, Mahsa, Mcgrath, John J, Meena, Jitendra Kumar, Mehrabi Nasab, Entezar, Menezes, Ritesh G, Mensink, Gert B M, Mentis, Alexios-Fotios A, Meretoja, Atte, Merga, Bedasa Taye, Mestrovic, Tomislav, Miao Jonasson, Junmei, Miazgowski, Bartosz, Micheletti Gomide Nogueira de Sá, Ana Carolina, Miller, Ted R, Mini, Gk, Mirica, Andreea, Mirijello, Antonio, Mirmoeeni, Seyyedmohammadsadeq, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M, Misra, Sanjeev, Moazen, Babak, Mobarakabadi, Maryam, Moccia, Marcello, Mohammad, Yousef, Mohammadi, Esmaeil, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Abdollah, Mohammed, Teroj Abdulrahman, Moka, Nagabhishek, Mokdad, Ali H, Momtazmanesh, Sara, Moradi, Yousef, Mostafavi, Ebrahim, Mubarik, Sumaira, Mullany, Erin C, Mulugeta, Beemnet Tekabe, Murillo-Zamora, Efrén, Murray, Christopher J L, Mwita, Julius C, Naghavi, Mohsen, Naimzada, Mukhammad David, Nangia, Vinay, Nayak, Biswa Prakash, Negoi, Ionut, Negoi, Ruxandra Irina, Nejadghaderi, Seyed Aria, Nepal, Samata, Neupane, Sudan Prasad Prasad, Neupane Kandel, Sandhya, Nigatu, Yeshambel T, Nowroozi, Ali, Nuruzzaman, Khan M, Nzoputam, Chimezie Igwegbe, Obamiro, Kehinde O, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oguntade, Ayodipupo Sikiru, Okati-Aliabad, Hassan, Olakunde, Babayemi Oluwaseun, Oliveira, Gláucia Maria Morae, Omar Bali, Ahmed, Omer, Emad, Ortega-Altamirano, Doris V, Otoiu, Adrian, Otstavnov, Stanislav S, Oumer, Bilcha, P A, Mahesh, Padron-Monedero, Alicia, Palladino, Raffaele, Pana, Adrian, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Pandey, Anamika, Pandey, Ashok, Pardhan, Shahina, Parekh, Tarang, Park, Eun-Kee, Parry, Charles D H, Pashazadeh Kan, Fatemeh, Patel, Jay, Pati, Siddhartha, Patton, George C, Paudel, Uttam, Pawar, Shrikant, Peden, Amy E, Petcu, Ionela-Roxana, Phillips, Michael R, Pinheiro, Marina, Plotnikov, Evgenii, Pradhan, Pranil Man Singh, Prashant, Akila, Quan, Jianchao, Radfar, Amir, Rafiei, Alireza, Raghav, Pankaja Raghav, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Azizur, Rahman, Md Mosfequr, Rahman, Mosiur, Rahmani, Amir Masoud, Rahmani, Shayan, Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal, Ranasinghe, Priyanga, Rao, Chythra R, Rasali, Drona Prakash, Rashidi, Mohammad-Mahdi, Ratan, Zubair Ahmed, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Rawal, Lal, Renzaho, Andre M N, Rezaei, Negar, Rezaei, Saeid, Rezaeian, Mohsen, Riahi, Seyed Mohammad, Romero-Rodríguez, Esperanza, Roth, Gregory A, Rwegerera, Godfrey M, Saddik, Basema, Sadeghi, Erfan, Sadeghian, Reihaneh, Saeed, Umar, Saeedi, Farhad, Sagar, Rajesh, Sahebkar, Amirhossein, Sahoo, Harihar, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Saif-Ur-Rahman, Km, Salahi, Sarvenaz, Salimzadeh, Hamideh, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanmarchi, Francesco, Santric-Milicevic, Milena M, Sarikhani, Yaser, Sathian, Brijesh, Saya, Ganesh Kumar, Sayyah, Mehdi, Schmidt, Maria Inê, Schutte, Aletta Elisabeth, Schwarzinger, Michaël, Schwebel, David C, Seidu, Abdul-Aziz, Senthil Kumar, Nachimuthu, Seyedalinaghi, Seyedahmad, Seylani, Allen, Sha, Feng, Shahin, Sarvenaz, 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Subjects: Adult, Male, Alcohol Drinking, CONTROL POLICIES, adult, Child, Preschool, Female, Geography, Global Burden of Disease, Global Health, Humans, Middle Aged, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Risk Factors, NDAS, ALL-CAUSE, GUIDELINES, GBD 2020 Alcohol Collaborators, COST-EFFECTIVENESS, Medicine, General & Internal, DRINKING, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, RA0421, General & Internal Medicine, Quality-Adjusted Life Year, RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine, DRINKERS, Child, Preschool, 11 Medical and Health Sciences, METAANALYSIS, MCC, Science & Technology, global burden of disease, Risk Factor, General Medicine, CANCER, alcohol drinking, AC, 3121 General medicine, internal medicine and other clinical medicine, REDUCED MORTALITY, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Human
Abstract: Background: The health risks associated with moderate alcohol consumption continue to be debated. Small amounts of alcohol might lower the risk of some health outcomes but increase the risk of others, suggesting that the overall risk depends, in part, on background disease rates, which vary by region, age, sex, and year. Methods: For this analysis, we constructed burden-weighted dose-response relative risk curves across 22 health outcomes to estimate the theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL) and non-drinker equivalence (NDE), the consumption level at which the health risk is equivalent to that of a non-drinker, using disease rates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2020 for 21 regions, including 204 countries and territories, by 5-year age group, sex, and year for individuals aged 15-95 years and older from 1990 to 2020. Based on the NDE, we quantified the population consuming harmful amounts of alcohol. Findings: The burden-weighted relative risk curves for alcohol use varied by region and age. Among individuals aged 15-39 years in 2020, the TMREL varied between 0 (95% uncertainty interval 0-0) and 0·603 (0·400-1·00) standard drinks per day, and the NDE varied between 0·002 (0-0) and 1·75 (0·698-4·30) standard drinks per day. Among individuals aged 40 years and older, the burden-weighted relative risk curve was J-shaped for all regions, with a 2020 TMREL that ranged from 0·114 (0-0·403) to 1·87 (0·500-3·30) standard drinks per day and an NDE that ranged between 0·193 (0-0·900) and 6·94 (3·40-8·30) standard drinks per day. Among individuals consuming harmful amounts of alcohol in 2020, 59·1% (54·3-65·4) were aged 15-39 years and 76·9% (73·0-81·3) were male. Interpretation: There is strong evidence to support recommendations on alcohol consumption varying by age and location. Stronger interventions, particularly those tailored towards younger individuals, are needed to reduce the substantial global health loss attributable to alcohol. Research reported in this publication was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. S Afzal acknowledges the support for intellectual contributions to this manuscript by the Department of Community Medicine and Epidemiology at King Edward Medical University, Lahore, Pakistan. T Bärnighausen was supported by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt Professor award, funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research. L Belo acknowledges support from FCT in the scope of the project UIDP/04378/2020 and UIDB/04378/2020 of UCIBIO and the project LA/P/0140/2020 of i4HB. D Bennett is supported by the UK Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford (Oxford, UK). M Carvalho acknowledges support from FCT in the scope of the project UIDP/04378/2020 and UIDB/04378/2020 of UCIBIO and the project LA/P/0140/2020 of i4HB. L Castro-de-Araujo was funded by the Medical Research Council (UK), Grant no. MR/T03355X/1 and by the National Institute of Mental Health Grant no. R01MH128911. FJ Elgar is supported by the Canada Research Chairs program. F Greaves acknowledges support from the NIHR Applied Research Collaboration for NW London. V K Gupta acknowledges funding support from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC), Australia. VB Gupta acknowledges funding support from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC), Australia. C Herteliu is partially supported by a grant from the Romanian National Authority for Scientific Research and Innovation, CNDS-UEFISCDI, project number PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0084. C Herteliu is partially supported by a grant from the Romanian Ministry of Research Innovation and Digitalization, MCID, project number ID-585-CTR-42-PFE-2021. S Hussain was supported by the Operational Programme Research, Development and Education –Project, Postdoc2MUNI “(No. CZ.02.2.69/0.0/0.0/18_053/0016952). S M S Islam is funded by the National Health and Medical Research Council and received funding from the National Heart Foundation of Australia. The Serbian part of this GBD-related contribution has been co-financed through Grant OI 175 014 of the Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia. M Kivimaki was supported by the Wellcome Trust (221854/Z/20/Z), the UK Medical Research Council (MR/S011676/1), the US National Institute on Aging (R01AG056477), and the Academy of Finland (350426). K Krishan is supported by the UGC Centre of Advanced Study (Phase II), awarded to the Department of Anthropology, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India. B Lacey acknowledges support from the UK Biobank, funded largely by the UK Medical Research Council and Wellcome. S Lorkowski acknowledges institutional support from the Competence Cluster for Nutrition and Cardiovascular Health (nutriCARD) Halle-Jena-Leipzig (Germany; German Federal Ministry of Education and Research; grant agreement number 01EA1808A). G Lucchetti received a productivity scholarship from the Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development — CNPq (Level 1D). J McGrath was supported by the Danish National Research Foundation (Niels Bohr Professor). J McGrath is employed by the Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research (Australia), which receives support from the Queensland Health Department. C Parry acknowleges the South African Medical Research Council. A Peden is supported by a National Health and Medical Research Council Emerging Leadership Fellowship (Grant ID: APP2009306). M R Phillips was supported in part by the Global Alliance for Chronic Diseases - National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC. No. 81761128031). M Pinheiro acknowledges FCT for funding through program DL 57/2016 – Norma transitória. A Rahman acknowledges the support from the Data Science Research Unit in Charles Sturt University (Bathurst, NSW, Australia). U Saeed would like to acknowledge the International Center of Medical Sciences Research (ICMSR), Islamabad, Pakistan. A M Samy acknowledges support from Ain Shams University (Cairo, Egypt) and the Egyptian Fulbright Mission Program. N Senthil Kumar acknowledges the DBT, New Delhi sponsored Advanced State Level Biotech Hub (BT/NER/143/SP44475/2021), Mizoram University (Aizawl, Mizoram, India) for facilitating this work. F Sha is supported by the Shenzhen Science and Technology Program (Grant No. KQTD20190929172835662). A Shetty acknowledges Kasturba Medical College (Mangalore, India) and Manipal Academy of Higher Education (Manipal, India) for all the academic support. R Shrestha acknowledges a career development award from the National Institutes of Health (K01DA051346). D Silva was financed in part by the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior-Brazil (CAPES)-Finance Code 001 and is supported in part by CNPq - Brazil (309589/2021-5). D Sleet acknowledges partial support from Veritas Management Group, Inc and The Bizzell Group, LLC. S Trias-Llimós acknowledges research funding from the Juan de la Cierva-Formación program of the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (FJC-2019-039314-I). Sí
Published: 2022

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Kiirithio, Hamidreza Komaki, Aristidis Tsatsakis, Brijesh Sathian, Daniel Kim, Yoosik Youm, Kebreab Paulos, Saqib Ali, Beriwan Abdulqadir Ali, M. Mofizul Islam, Ahad Bakhtiari, Karen M. Tabb, Davood Anvari, Tomislav Mestrovic, Yunquan Zhang, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Naohiro Yonemoto, Rupak Desai, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Rajan Nikbakhsh, Zahra Sadat Dibaji Forooshani, Carlo La Vecchia, Amrit Banstola, Niguse Meles Alema, Shivakumar K.M. Kondlahalli, Soraya Seedat, Filippo Ariani, Chi Linh Hoang, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Erika Ota, Dimas Ria Angga Pribadi, Van C. Lansingh, Mohammed Madadin, Mostafa Dianati Nasab, Biniyam Sahiledengle Geberemariyam, Amanda J. Mason-Jones, Marcela Agudelo-Botero, Dinh-Toi Chu, Bach Xuan Tran, Till Bärnighausen, Mehdi Mirzaei-Alavijeh, Mohammad Ali Jahani, Bereket Duko Adema, In-Hwan Oh, Paul S. F. 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Yazdi-Feyzabadi, V., Ye, P., Yip, P., Yisma, E., Yonemoto, N., Yoon, S.-J., Youm, Y., Younis, M.Z., Yousef, Z., Yu, C., Yu, Y., Moghadam, T.Z., Zaidi, Z., Zaman, S.B., Zamani, M., Zandian, H., Zarei, F., Zhang, Z.-J., Zhang, Y., Ziapour, A., Zodpey, S., Dandona, R., Dharmaratne, S.D., Hay, S.I., Mokdad, A.H., Pigott, D.M., Reiner, R.C., Vos, T., Instituto de Saúde Pública da Universidade do Porto, James, Spencer L, Castle, Chris D, Dingels, Zachary V, Fox, Jack T, Adema, Bereket Duko, Yisma, Engida, Vos, Theo, and Public Health
Subjects: Male, Populations/contexts, 1106 Human Movement and Sports Sciences, Global injuries, population, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, Global Health, contexts, context, Global Burden of Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, Quality-Adjusted Life Year, Global health, 030212 general & internal medicine, Original Research, Data, populations/contexts, Incidence (epidemiology), Incidence, methodology, 3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health, Female, Public Health, TERRITORIES, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, descriptive epidemiology, Human, Disabilities, 195 COUNTRIES, statistical issue, 1117 Public Health and Health Services, 03 medical and health sciences, AGE, Life Expectancy, Environmental health, Injury prevention, SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS, statistical issues, Humans, Mortality, Estimation, SEX-SPECIFIC MORTALITY, DISABILITY, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, populations, Morbidity, Wounds and Injuries, 1106 Human Movement and Sports Sciences, 1117 Public Health and Health Services, 1701 Psychology, Quality-adjusted life year, Years of potential life lost, 1701 Psychology, Life expectancy, Estimates, Human medicine, populations/context
Abstract: Background. While there is a long history of measuring death and disability from injuries, modern research methods must account for the wide spectrum of disability that can occur in an injury, and must provide estimates with sufficient demographic, geographical and temporal detail to be useful for policy makers. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 study used methods to provide highly detailed estimates of global injury burden that meet these criteria. Methods. In this study, we report and discuss the methods used in GBD 2017 for injury morbidity and mortality burden estimation. In summary, these methods included estimating cause-specific mortality for every cause of injury, and then estimating incidence for every cause of injury. Non-fatal disability for each cause is then calculated based on the probabilities of suffering from different types of bodily injury experienced. Results. GBD 2017 produced morbidity and mortality estimates for 38 causes of injury. Estimates were produced in terms of incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability, cause-specific mortality, years of life lost and disability-adjusted life-years for a 28-year period for 22 age groups, 195 countries and both sexes. Conclusions. GBD 2017 demonstrated a complex and sophisticated series of analytical steps using the largest known database of morbidity and mortality data on injuries. GBD 2017 results should be used to help inform injury prevention policy making and resource allocation. We also identify important avenues for improving injury burden estimation in the future. Seyed Aljunid acknowledges the Department of Health Policy and Management, Faculty of Public Health, Kuwait University and International Centre for Casemix and Clinical Coding, Faculty of Medicine, National University of Malaysia for the approval and support to participate in this research project. Alaa Badawi acknowledges support by the Public Health Agency of Canada. Till Bärnighausen acknowledges support by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt Professor award, funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research. Traolach Brugha received support from NatCen Social Research (http://natcen.ac.uk/) via NHS Digital and Department of Health and Social Care London, for the Adult Psychiatric Morbidity Survey (APMS) programme. Felix Carvalho received support from UID/MULTI/04378/2019 with funding from FCT/MCTES through national funds. Vera M Costa acknowledges support from grant (SFRH/BHD/110001/2015), received by Portuguese national funds through Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (FCT), IP, under the Norma Transitória DL57/2016/CP1334/CT0006. Kebede Deribe is supported by a grant from the Wellcome Trust [grant number 201900] as part of his International Intermediate Fellowship. Tim Driscoll acknowledges that work on occupational risk factors was partially supported by funds from the World Health Organization. Eduarda Fernandes acknowledges support from UID/QUI/50006/2019 with funding from FCT/MCTES through national funds. Yuming Guo acknowledges support from Career Development Fellowships of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (numbers APP1107107 and APP1163693). Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam is funded by a Fellowship from National Heart Foundation of Australia and Institute for Physical Activity and Nutrition, Deakin University. Mihajlo Jakovljevic acknowledges support by the Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia through the Grant number OI175014; publication of results was not contingent upon Ministry's censorship or approval. Sudha Jayaraman acknowledges support from: NIH R21: 1R21TW010439-01A1 (PI); Rotary Foundation Global Grant #GG1749568 (PI); NIH P20: 1P20CA210284-01A1 (Co-PI) and DOD grant W81XWH-16-2-0040 (Co-I), during the period of this study. Yun Jin Kim acknowledges support from a grant from the Research Management Centre, Xiamen University Malaysia [grant number: XMUMRF/2018-C2/ITCM/0001]. Kewal Krishan is supported by UGC Centre of Advanced Study (CAS II) awarded to the Department of Anthropology, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India. Mansai Kumar acknowledges support from FIC/ NIH K43 1K43MH114320-01. Amanda Mason-Jones acknowledges support by the University of York. Mariam Molokhia is supported by the National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Center at Guy’s and St Thomas’s National Health Service Foundation Trust and King’s College London. Ilais Moreno Velasquez is supported by the Sistema Nacional de Investigación (SNI, Senacyt, Panama). Mukhammad David Naimzada acknowledges support from Government of the Russian Federation (Agreement No – 075-02-2019-967). Duduzile Ndwandwe acknowledges support from Cochrane South Africa, South African Medical Research Council. Stanislav S. Otstavnov acknowledges the support from the Government of the Russian Federation (Agreement No – 075-02-2019-967). Ashish Pathak acknowledges support from Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), New Delhi, India (Grant number 2013-1253). Michael R Phillips acknowledges support in part by a grant from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.81761128031). Abdallah M. Samy received a fellowship from the Egyptian Fulbright Mission Program. Milena Santric Milicevic acknowledges the support from the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development, Republic of Serbia (Contract No. 175087). Seyedmojtaba Seyedmousavi was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health, Clinical Center, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Bethesda, MD, USA. Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos was supported in part by the national grant PI17/00719 from ISCIII-FEDER. Sojib Bin Zaman acknowledges support from an "Australian Government Research Training Program (RTP) Scholarship.
Published: 2020

14. Quantifying risks and interventions that have affected the burden of lower respiratory infections among children younger than 5 years

Author: Tesfaye Dessale Kassa, Félix Carvalho, Luke D. Knibbs, Sonia Lewycka, Sonali Kochhar, Aaron Cohen, Luca Ronfani, Ebrahim M Yimer, Srinivas Murthy, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Josip Car, Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suarez, Babak Moazen, Mostafa Qorbani, Javad Nazari, Nancy Fullman, Niranjan Kissoon, Keyghobad Ghadiri, Marissa B Reitsma, Benn Sartorius, Ashish Awasthi, Aman Yesuf Endries, Christopher Troeger, Evanson Z. Sambala, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Alessandra C. Goulart, Erlyn Rachelle King Macarayan, Ahmad Daryani, Fakher Rahim, Fiseha Wadilo Wada, Yuming Guo, Sonia Saxena, Justin R. Ortiz, Monika Sawhney, Eyal Oren, Alaa Badawi, Tomislav Mestrovic, Sezer Kisa, Cheru Tesema Leshargie, Ai Koyanagi, Long Hoang Nguyen, Alireza Rafiei, Aziz Rezapour, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Abdallah M. Samy, Catrin E. Moore, André Karch, Seyyed Meysam Mousavi, Chi Linh Hoang, Katie R Nielsen, Eleonora Dubljanin, Giuseppe Gorini, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Bach Xuan Tran, Christopher J L Murray, Khanh Bao Tran, Maarten J. Postma, Mohammad Sadegh Rezai, Bartosz Miazgowski, Hagos Tasew Atalay, Aziz Sheikh, Reginald Quansah, Kirsten E. Wiens, Mika Shigematsu, Devasahayam J. Christopher, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Yasir Waheed, Robert Reiner, Smita Pakhale, Joseph Adel Mattar Banoub, Fares Alahdab, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Mahesh P A, Ruth W Kimokoti, Feleke Mekonnen Demeke, Mohamad-Hani Temsah, Zakir Hussain, Naohiro Yonemoto, Noore Alam, Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Lidia Morawska, Adane Teshome Kefale, Ali H. Mokdad, Rachel L Updike, Amir Kasaeian, Yousef Veisani, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Jeffrey D. Stanaway, Mina Anjomshoa, Corey B. Bills, Puja C Rao, Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho, Lorenzo Monasta, Zoubida Zaidi, Yousef Khader, Heather J. Zar, Ali Bijani, Tommi Vasankari, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Young-Ho Khang, Afewerki Gebremeskel Tsadik, Joseph Frostad, Ghulam Mustafa, Jalal Arabloo, Rajaa Al-Raddadi, Shanshan Li, David L. Smith, Maria Jesus Rios-Blancas, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Andrew T Olagunju, Suleman Atique, Abdullah T Khoja, Ibrahim A Khalil, William M. Gardner, Zikria Saleem, Addisu Melese, Stephen S Lim, Eyasu Ejeta Duken, Erkin M. Mirrakhimov, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Hmwe H Kyu, Seyedmojtaba Seyedmousavi, Aleksandra Barac, Spencer L. James, Salvatore Rubino, Lalit Dandona, Arya Haj-Mirzaian, Kate Causey, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Simon I. Hay, Ravi Prakash Jha, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, Son Hoang Nguyen, Belay Tessema, Muhammad Imran Nisar, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Alireza Ahmadi, Theo Vos, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Irfan Ullah, Molly H Biehl, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Tinuke O Olagunju, Florian Fischer, Olatunde Aremu, Brigette F. Blacker, Derrick A Bennett, Vahid Alipour, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Manisha Dubey, Tuomo J. Meretoja, G Anil Kumar, Varshil Mehta, Molly R Nixon, Eduarda Fernandes, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Anselm Okoro, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Shafiu Mohammed, Nuruzzaman Khan, Jost B. Jonas, Samah Awad, Miloje Savic, Soewarta Kosen, Quique Bassat, Amha Admasie, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Chalachew Genet Akal, Milena M Santric Milicevic, Adnan Kisa, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Jonathan F. Mosser, Stephanie R M Zimsen, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Birhanu Geta, Nobuyuki Horita, Gulfaraz Khan, Saeed Amini, Ziad A. Memish, Rakhi Dandona, Alyssa N. Sbarra, Dietrich Rothenbacher, Samer Hamidi, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Helena Manguerra, Shirin Djalalinia, Degu Abate, Rakesh Lodha, Samuel B. Albertson, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Abdullah Al Mamun, Neeraj Bedi, Parvaiz A Koul, Desalegn Tadese Mengistu, Katie Welgan, Masood Ali Shaikh, Marek Majdan, Mihaela Hostiuc, Mohamed Lemine Cheikh brahim Ahmed, Public Health, GBD Lower Resp Infect, Microbes in Health and Disease (MHD), Real World Studies in PharmacoEpidemiology, -Genetics, -Economics and -Therapy (PEGET), Value, Affordability and Sustainability (VALUE), Collaborators, GBD 2017 Lower Respiratory Infections, Clinicum, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center, Staff Services, University of Helsinki, II kirurgian klinikka, and Department of Oncology
Subjects: Male, Psychological intervention, Global Health, Global Burden of Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, Risk Factors, Case fatality rate, Medicine, 030212 general & internal medicine, Respiratory Tract Infections, INFLUENZAE TYPE-B, education.field_of_study, NUTRITION TRANSITION, CHALLENGES, Trastornos respiratorios, Incidence (epidemiology), Mortality rate, Incidence, Enfermedades en niños, CHILDHOOD PNEUMONIA, Children younger than 5 years, 3. Good health, Infectious Diseases, Child, Preschool, Child Mortality, Female, TERRITORIES, CONJUGATE VACCINE, 030231 tropical medicine, Population, 195 COUNTRIES, Infections, Article, CHINA, 03 medical and health sciences, Age Distribution, Nutrition transition, SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS, Humans, Risk factor, education, Lower respiratory, Models, Statistical, business.industry, AIR-POLLUTION, Verbal autopsy, Enfermedades respiratorias, Socioeconomic Factors, 3121 General medicine, internal medicine and other clinical medicine, Human medicine, business, Demography
Abstract: Background Despite large reductions in under-5 lower respiratory infection (LRI) mortality in many locations, the pace of progress for LRIs has generally lagged behind that of other childhood infectious diseases. To better inform programmes and policies focused on preventing and treating LRIs, we assessed the contributions and patterns of risk factor attribution, intervention coverage, and sociodemographic development in 195 countries and territories by drawing from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2017) LRI estimates. Methods We used four strategies to model LRI burden: the mortality due to LRIs was modelled using vital registration data, demographic surveillance data, and verbal autopsy data in a predictive ensemble modelling tool; the incidence of LRIs was modelled using population representative surveys, health-care utilisation data, and scientific literature in a compartmental meta-regression tool; the attribution of risk factors for LRI mortality was modelled in a counterfactual framework; and trends in LRI mortality were analysed applying changes in exposure to risk factors over time. In GBD, infectious disease mortality, including that due to LRI, is among HIV-negative individuals. We categorised locations based on their burden in 1990 to make comparisons in the changing burden between 1990 and 2017 and evaluate the relative percent change in mortality rate, incidence, and risk factor exposure to explain differences in the health loss associated with LRIs among children younger than 5 years. Findings In 2017, LRIs caused 808 920 deaths (95% uncertainty interval 747 286–873 591) in children younger than 5 years. Since 1990, there has been a substantial decrease in the number of deaths (from 2 337 538 to 808 920 deaths; 65·4% decrease, 61·5–68·5) and in mortality rate (from 362·7 deaths [330·1–392·0] per 100 000 children to 118·9 deaths [109·8–128·3] per 100 000 children; 67·2% decrease, 63·5–70·1). LRI incidence declined globally (32·4% decrease, 27·2–37·5). The percent change in under-5 mortality rate and incidence has varied across locations. Among the risk factors assessed in this study, those responsible for the greatest decrease in under-5 LRI mortality between 1990 and 2017 were increased coverage of vaccination against Haemophilus influenza type b (11·4% decrease, 0·0–24·5), increased pneumococcal vaccine coverage (6·3% decrease, 6·1–6·3), and reductions in household air pollution (8·4%, 6·8–9·2). Interpretation Our findings show that there have been substantial but uneven declines in LRI mortality among countries between 1990 and 2017. Although improvements in indicators of sociodemographic development could explain some of these trends, changes in exposure to modifiable risk factors are related to the rates of decline in LRI mortality. No single intervention would universally accelerate reductions in health loss associated with LRIs in all settings, but emphasising the most dominant risk factors, particularly in countries with high case fatality, can contribute to the reduction of preventable deaths. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Published: 2020

15. Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Author: William M. Gardner, Rawlance Ndejjo, Govinda Prasad Dhungana, Fereshteh Ansari, Kathleen Pillsbury Hopf, João Pedro Silva, M. Mofizul Islam, Cong Zhu, Abdul Hafiz, Irmina Maria Michalek, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Leonardo Roever, Mustefa Glagn, Davood Anvari, Tessa M. Pilz, Sameer Vali Gopalani, Joel M. Francis, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Rakhi Dandona, Abbas Sheikhtaheri, Mansour Ghafourifard, Simon Øverland, David Laith Rawaf, Jaykaran Charan, Akram Pourshams, Mostafa Dianatinasab, Morteza Mahmoudi, Alton Lu, Alyssa N. Sbarra, Lorainne Tudor Car, Franz Castro, Hafiz Ansar Rasul Suleria, Luca Ronfani, Marina Pinheiro, Mehran Asadi-Aliabadi, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Hoa Thi Do, Whitney L. Teagle, Sofia Androudi, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Myron Anthony Godinho, Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan, Oluchi Ezekannagha, Getinet Ayano, Seyyed Shamsadin Athari, Dimas Ria Angga Pribadi, Kyle E. Simpson, Muluken Bekele Sorrie, Vivekanand Jha, Chukwuma David Umeokonkwo, Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Amr Hassan, Akine Eshete Abosetugn, Hailay Abrha Gesesew, Anna V. Korotkova, Brijesh Sathian, Marcello Tonelli, Olatunde Aremu, Mohammad Reza Salahshoor, Juan Jesus Carrero, Cameron J. Kneib, Ravi Prakash Jha, David H. Shaw, Hossein Samadi Kafil, Tanuj Kanchan, Khezar Hayat, Hamid Sharifi, Morteza Shamsizadeh, Muktar Omer Omer, Fatemeh Amiri, Hamidreza Pazoki Toroudi, David Edvardsson, Xiu Ju George Zhao, Hannah Han, Leticia Avila-Burgos, Adam E. Berman, Jemal Abdu Mohammed, Thomas Pilgrim, Leila Doshmangir, Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, David M. Pigott, Hadi Hassankhani, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Teklemariam Gultie, Arash Ziapour, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Ilse N. Dippenaar, Jean Jacques Noubiap, Emmanuela Gakidou, Abiyu Mekonnen Gebrehiwot, Maha El Tantawi, Xuefeng Liu, Zulfiqar A. Bhutta, Keyghobad Ghadiri, João Mauricio Castaldelli-Maia, Behzad Karami Matin, Yunquan Zhang, Vera Marisa Costa, Iyad Sultan, Mostafa Hosseini, Abdulaziz Khalid Abu Haimed, Haidong Wang, Kaleab Alemayehu Zewdie, Celine M. Barthelemy, Hosna Janjani, Bartosz Miazgowski, Jobert Richie Nansseu, Arianna Maever L. Amit, John S. Ji, Ata Rafiee, Maria Inês Schmidt, Alireza Rafiei, Somayeh Bohlouli, Joana Morgado-da-Costa, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Pradyumna Agasthi, Tiffany K. Gill, Martin McKee, Khaled Khatab, Jae Il Shin, Animut Tagele Tamiru, Giancarlo Logroscino, Hassan Abolhassani, Syed Saoud Zaidi, Sivan Yegnanarayana Iyer Saraswathy, Garumma Tolu Feyissa, Ahmad Daryani, Ziyad Al-Aly, Gebreamlak Gebremedhn Gebremeskel, Michael T. Chung, Amirhossein Sahebkar, Mehedi Hasan, Saeed Shahabi, Diep Ngoc Nguyen, Yohannes Kinfu, Nicholas L S Roberts, Jagadish Rao Padubidri, Mika Shigematsu, Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado, Deepa Jahagirdar, Islam Y. Elgendy, Erkin M. Mirrakhimov, Tanvir M. Huda, Fakher Rahim, Dara K. Mohammad, Yingxi Zhao, Ruxandra Irina Negoi, Vinod C. Nayak, Reinhard Busse, Andrew T. Leever, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Kathryn Mei Ming Lau, Stefania Mondello, Vivian Chia-Rong Hsieh, Kris J. Krohn, Reza Rawassizadeh, Vishnu Renjith, Jianing Ma, Moses K. Muriithi, Mark G. Shrime, Mayowa O. Owolabi, Nobuyuki Horita, Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh Jabbari, Daniel Y. Cho, Miloje Savic, Moslem Soofi, Iqbal R. F. Elyazar, Freweini Gebrearegay G. Tela, Jonathan F. Mosser, Palash Chandra Banik, Andre Rodrigues Duraes, Yuan-Pang Wang, Natalie C. Galles, Rashid Abdi Guled, Abdallah M. Samy, Hadi Pourjafar, Roman Topor-Madry, Ayesha Humayun, Leila Zaki, Nuworza Kugbey, Maryam Khayamzadeh, Naznin Hossain, Jiregna Darega Gela, Jordi Alonso, Ruth W Kimokoti, A. A. Fomenkov, Jalal Arabloo, Aletta E. Schutte, Biruk Wogayehu Taddele, Teklehaimanot Gereziher Haile, Diego Augusto Santos Silva, Seyed Mohammad Kazem Aghamir, Maciej Banach, Deanna Anderlini, Moses J. Bockarie, Saleem Muhammad Rana, Randah R. Hamadeh, Farhad Islami, Olalekan A. Uthman, S. Mohammad Sajadi, Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo, Shankar M Bakkannavar, Kairat Davletov, Soraya Seedat, Alan D. Lopez, Masoud Behzadifar, Benjamin B. Massenburg, Santosh Varughese, Ingan Ukur Tarigan, Amin Soheili, Félix Carvalho, Yun Jin Kim, Catalina Liliana Andrei, Caleb Mackay Salpeter Irvine, Mojgan Gitimoghaddam, G Anil Kumar, Rasmus J. Havmoeller, Hiroyasu Iso, Atte Meretoja, Yasir Waheed, João M. Furtado, Christian Razo, Neeti Kapoor, Mowafa Househ, Rajaa Al-Raddadi, Mohammad Khammarnia, Santi Martini, Feng Sha, Marco Vacante, Jacek A. Kopec, Hunduma Amensisa Bojia, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, Kate E. LeGrand, Nikolay Ivanovich Briko, Robert S. Bernstein, Arun Balachandran, Davoud Adham, Ahad Bakhtiari, Shafiu Mohammed, Leake G. Gebremeskel, Smita Pakhale, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Daniel Cury Ribeiro, Yousef Mohammad, Bernhard T. Baune, Azeem Majeed, Luis Camera, Mohammad Ali Jahani, Hasan Yusefzadeh, Rahman Shiri, Massimo Cirillo, Nikita Otstavnov, Vahid Yazdi-Feyzabadi, Paolo Lauriola, Irfan Ullah, Aruna M Kamath, Maryam Mirzaei, Zabihollah Yousefi, Iman El Sayed, Mohammad Farahmand, Yetunde O. John-Akinola, Khem Narayan Pokhrel, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Megan Knight, Nelson J. Alvis-Zakzuk, Teferi Mekonnen, Iván Landires, Robert G. Weintraub, Chukwudi A Nnaji, Lauren E. Schaeffer, Paulo A. Lotufo, Mehdi Naderi, Tomislav Mestrovic, André Faro, Mohsen Bayati, Raffaele Palladino, Shahin Soltani, Vladimir Andreevich Korshunov, Birhanu Geta Meharie, Mihajlo Jakovljevic, Abdiwahab Hashi, Olatunji O. Adetokunboh, Dejana Braithwaite, Sergio I. Prada, Bárbara Niegia Garcia de Goulart, Reza Pourmirza Kalhori, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Ernoiz Antriyandarti, Ronny Westerman, Meghdad Pirsaheb, Paul S. F. Yip, Mehdi Mirzaei-Alavijeh, Gebremariam Woldu, Rashmi Gupta, Onome Bright Oghenetega, Shane D. Morrison, Inga Dora Sigfusdottir, Marcel Ausloos, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone, K M Shivakumar, Alireza Ansari-Moghaddam, Archith Boloor, Aidin Abedi, Binyam Minuye Birihane, Mohammad Ali Mansournia, Nihad A. Almasri, Simachew Animen Bante, Carlo Eduardo Medina-Solís, Leeberk Raja Inbaraj, Edgar Denova-Gutiérrez, Antonio Biondi, Valentin Yurievich Skryabin, Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi, Sarika Chaturvedi, Francesco Saverio Violante, Abhay Gaidhane, George A. Mensah, Naohiro Yonemoto, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Ebrahim Babaee, Saman Esmaeilnejad, Sharath Burugina Nagaraja, Avina Vongpradith, Javad Nazari, Amir Khater, Michael K. 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Ngari, Obinna Onwujekwe, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Lorenzo Monasta, Neda Kianipour, Khurshid Alam, Luisa Sorio Flor, Priya Rathi, Ali Bijani, Khalid A Altirkawi, Jaimie Adelson, Hamed Zandian, Frank Tanser, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, John Everett Mumford, Morteza Oladnabi, Telma Zahirian Moghadam, Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez, Masoud Moradi, Maseer Khan, Mohammad Ali Sahraian, Amy E. Peden, Dhirendra N Sinha, Shanshan Li, Shailesh Advani, Behshad Naghshtabrizi, Matilde Leonardi, Lope H Barrero, Nicholas Steel, Dinh-Toi Chu, Claudio Alberto Dávila-Cervantes, Pushpendra Singh, Adrian Otoiu, Fabrizio Tediosi, Yonas Getaye Tefera, Pawan Faris, George C. Patton, Christopher Troeger, Mohammed Madadin, Jeffrey V. Lazarus, Paul H. Lee, Mohammad Amin Bahrami, Wondimeneh Shibabaw Shiferaw, Emmanuel Wandera Okunga, Biniyam Sahiledengle Geberemariyam, Samer Hamidi, Young-Ho Khang, Rufus Akinyemi, Farhad Jadidi-Niaragh, Godfrey Mutashambara Rwegerera, Naser Mohammad Gholi Mezerji, Rupak Desai, Eduardo Bernabé, Jamal A. Yearwood, Nima Rezaei, Emerito Jose A. Faraon, Vasily Vlassov, Stanislav S. Otstavnov, Reed J D Sorensen, Elena V. Gnedovskaya, Johan Ärnlöv, Mukhammad David Naimzada, Tahereh Javaheri, Tamer H. Farag, Paolo Cortesi, Gbenga A. Kayode, Lucas Guimarães Abreu, Manu Raj Mathur, Getie Lake Aynalem, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Doris V.V. Ortega-Altamirano, Giorgia Giussani, Liliana G Ciobanu, Suraj Bhattarai, Basema Saddik, Mustafa Z. Younis, Ensiyeh Jenabi, Ira Martopullo, Mohamed M. Gad, Kanyin L. Ong, Addisu Melese, Fotis Topouzis, Hanne Christensen, In-Hwan Oh, Arash Sarveazad, Shuhei Nomura, Peter Memiah, Sergej M. Ostojic, Santosh Kumar Tadakamadla, Dinesh Bhandari, Ahmed Omar Bali, Farahnaz Joukar, Arielle Wilder Eagan, Emma Elizabeth Spurlock, Ferrán Catalá-López, Caroline Stein, Jonathan M. Kocarnik, Stephen S Lim, Siamak Sabour, Kelly Compton, Shoaib Hassan, Rannveig Sigurvinsdottir, Claudiu Herteliu, Aso Mohammad Darwesh, Muluken Altaye Ayza, Angela Y. Chang, Leila R Kalankesh, Rafael Alves Guimarães, Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Lal B. Rawal, Soewarta Kosen, Degena Bahrey Tadesse, Theo Vos, Paula Moraga, Soheil Hassanipour, Abdelrahman Ibrahim Abushouk, Oladimeji Adebayo, Mikk Jürisson, Tuomo J. Meretoja, Ireneous N. Soyiri, Carlo La Vecchia, Khalil Eskandari, Aziz Sheikh, Jagdish Khubchandani, James Leigh, Morteza Arab-Zozani, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Stefan Kohler, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Kazumasa Yamagishi, Michele Romoli, Jasvinder A. Singh, Neeraj Bedi, Ivo Iavicoli, Alyssa Pennini, Subas Neupane, Emmanuel Peprah, Sojib Bin Zaman, Marwa Rashad Salem, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari, Ramesh Holla, Bayisa Abdissa Baye, Robert Ancuceanu, Eduarda Fernandes, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Ettore Beghi, Quique Bassat, B Reshmi, Masood Ali Shaikh, Ionut Negoi, Peter Azzopardi, Florian Fischer, Kerem Shuval, Sorin Hostiuc, Hmwe H Kyu, Ver Bilano, Siddhesh Zadey, Davide Rasella, Vahid Alipour, Sowmya J. Rao, Radoslaw Sierpinski, Irina Filip, Michelle L. Bell, Malke Asaad, Ravensara S. Travillian, Christopher R. Cederroth, Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos, Ashkan Afshin, Saqib Ali, Mahalaqua Nazli Khatib, Saad M.A. Dahlawi, Hedayat Abbastabar, Zahid A Butt, Sagun Paudel, Vahid Rashedi, B. Suresh Kumar Shetty, Thomas R. Hird, Shokofeh Maleki, Atif Amin Baig, Reza Heidari-Soureshjani, Shaun Wen Huey Lee, Jorge R. Ledesma, Ai-Min Wu, Fablina Sharara, Zemenu Tadesse Tessema, Ratilal Lalloo, Rohollah Kalhor, Rosario Cárdenas, Amir Radfar, Salime Goharinezhad, Fereshteh Mehri, Katarzyna Kissimova-Skarbek, Spencer A. Pease, Diana Silva, Amir Hossein Goudarzian, Samath D Dharmaratne, Darshan B B, Mariya Vladimirovna Titova, Dickson A. Amugsi, Lee Ling Lim, Agegnehu Bante, Charles D.A. Wolfe, Majid A Almadi, Seyed Mohammad Riahi, Nader Jahanmehr, Yuming Guo, Tauseef Ahmad, Platon D. Lopukhov, Takahiro Tabuchi, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Ritesh G. Menezes, Giovanni Damiani, Delia Hendrie, Mostafa Amini-Rarani, Sanjay Basu, Mohammad Hossein Bakhshaei, Gholamreza Roshandel, Borhan Mansouri, Enrico Rubagotti, Anurag Agrawal, Alireza Esteghamati, Paramjit Gill, Graeme J. Hankey, Mikhail Sergeevich Zastrozhin, Nima Hafezi-Nejad, Bruce Bartholow Duncan, Silvano Gallus, Jeevan Pereira, Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan, Giulia Carreras, Fariba Dorostkar, Pietro Ferrara, Andrea Farioli, Christoph Nowak, Ahmed I. Hasaballah, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Perminder S. Sachdev, Era Upadhyay, Tommi Vasankari, Susan M Sawyer, Adnan Kisa, Farshad Pourmalek, Kiomars Sharafi, Golnaz Heidari, Mohammad Abdollahi, Georges Nguefack-Tsague, Sajid Hameed, Sanni Yaya, Bach Xuan Tran, Ole Frithjof Norheim, Robert Kaba Alhassan, Morenike Oluwatoyin Folayan, Ismail Tareque, Phetole Walter Mahasha, Kewal Krishan, Soraya Siabani, Aleksandr Y. Aravkin, Helena Ullyartha Pangaribuan, Maryam Zamanian, Joshua A. Salomon, Bianca S. Zlavog, Vinay Nangia, Falk Schwendicke, Takeshi Fukumoto, Hung Chak Ho, Jordan Weiss, Maha Atout, Tariku Tesfaye Bekuma, Efat Mohamadi, Nikolaos Dervenis, Joan B. Soriano, Syed Amir Gilani, Victor Adekanmbi, Marina Karanikolos, Alberto Raggi, Michael R.M. Abrigo, Weijia Fu, Reza Shirkoohi, Aditya Prasad Dash, Peng Jia, Masoumeh Sadeghi, Ashraf Nabhan, Isabela M. Benseñor, Morteza Jafarinia, Joht Singh Chandan, Usman Iqbal, Amira Shaheen, Deepak Saxena, Lauren B. Wilner, Nataliya A. Foigt, Jeadran N. Malagón-Rojas, David C. Schwebel, Gail Davey, Milena Ilic, Josep Maria Haro, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Stein Emil Vollset, Andrea Werdecker, Zahiruddin Quazi Syed, Yared Asmare Aynalem, Entezar Mehrabi Nasab, Yihun Mulugeta Alemu, Muhammad Ali, Mona M. Khater, Ehsan Sadeghi, Thirunavukkarasu Sathish, Pascual R. Valdez, Jennifer Rickard, Mark A. Stokes, Davide Sattin, Ewerton Cousin, Oliver J. Brady, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Mika Kivimäki, Andrew T Olagunju, Jost B. Jonas, Dian Kusuma, Goura Kishor Rath, Alberto Ortiz, Samad Azari, Nayu Ikeda, James L. Fisher, Peng Zheng, Elisabetta Pupillo, Pankaj Bhardwaj, Suzanne Lyn Barker-Collo, Riaz Uddin, Ester Cerin, Amir Taherkhani, Martin Amogre Ayanore, Richard G. Wamai, Anders Larsson, Josephine W. Ngunjiri, Hosni Salem, Hesham M. Al-Mekhlafi, Sharareh Eskandarieh, Taraneh Yousefinezhadi, Srikanta Banerjee, Yang Xie, Yuichiro Yano, Songhomitra Panda-Jonas, Themba G. Ginindza, Manasi Kumar, Babak Moazen, Bing-Fang Hwang, Cristiana Abbafati, Florentino Luciano Caetano dos Santos, Juan Sanabria, Milena Santric-Milicevic, Carla Sofia e.Sá Farinha, Samuel B. Albertson, Chieh Han, Parvaiz A Koul, Foad Abd-Allah, Mojisola Oluwasanu, Mihaela Hostiuc, Chinwe Juliana Iwu, Colm McAlinden, Mohsen Naghavi, Maarten J. Postma, Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, Jalil Jaafari, Walter Mendoza, Abdulaziz M. Almulhim, Magdalene K. Walters, Ali H. Mokdad, Andre M. N. Renzaho, Catherine M. Antony, Ken Lee Chin, Ali A. Asadi-Pooya, Daniel Diaz, Adrian Pana, Salman Rawaf, Gina Agarwal, Demelash Woldeyohannes Handiso, Savita Lasrado, Amir Almasi-Hashiani, Praveen Hoogar, Srinivasa Rao Bolla, Fares Alahdab, Om P Kurmi, Sonali Kochhar, Van C. Lansingh, François Alla, Ali Almasi, Till Bärnighausen, Michael A. Piradov, Zubair Kabir, Boris Bikbov, Philip B. 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Peng, Zhu, Cong, Ziapour, Arash, Zlavog, Bianca S, Zodpey, Sanjay, Murray, Christopher J L, Lacey, B, Sartorius, B, Sálfræðideild (HR), Department of Psychology (RU), Samfélagssvið (HR), School of Social Sciences (RU), Háskólinn í Reykjavík, Reykjavik University, Lozano, R, Fullman, N, Mumford, J, Knight, M, Barthelemy, C, Abbafati, C, Abbastabar, H, Abd-Allah, F, Abdollahi, M, Abedi, A, Abolhassani, H, Abosetugn, A, Abreu, L, Abrigo, M, Abu Haimed, A, Abushouk, A, Adabi, M, Adebayo, O, Adekanmbi, V, Adelson, J, Adetokunboh, O, Adham, D, Advani, S, Afshin, A, Agarwal, G, Agasthi, P, Aghamir, S, Agrawal, A, Ahmad, T, Akinyemi, R, Alahdab, F, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Albertson, S, Alemu, Y, Alhassan, R, Ali, M, Ali, S, Alipour, V, Aljunid, S, Alla, F, Almadi, M, Almasi, A, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Almasri, N, Al-Mekhlafi, H, Almulhim, A, Alonso, J, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, K, Alvis-Guzman, N, Alvis-Zakzuk, N, Amini, S, Amini-Rarani, M, Amiri, F, Amit, A, Amugsi, D, Ancuceanu, R, Anderlini, D, Andrei, C, Androudi, S, Ansari, F, Ansari-Moghaddam, A, Antonio, C, Antony, C, Antriyandarti, E, Anvari, D, Anwer, R, Arabloo, J, Arab-Zozani, M, Aravkin, A, Aremu, O, Ärnlöv, J, Asaad, M, Asadi-Aliabadi, M, Asadi-Pooya, A, Ashbaugh, C, Athari, S, Atout, M, Ausloos, M, Avila-Burgos, L, Ayala Quintanilla, B, Ayano, G, Ayanore, M, Aynalem, Y, Aynalem, G, Ayza, M, Azari, S, Azzopardi, P, B, D, Babaee, E, Badiye, A, Bahrami, M, Baig, A, Bakhshaei, M, Bakhtiari, A, Bakkannavar, S, Balachandran, A, Balassyano, S, Banach, M, Banerjee, S, Banik, P, Bante, A, Bante, S, Barker-Collo, S, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, L, Bassat, Q, Basu, S, Baune, B, Bayati, M, Baye, B, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Behzadifar, M, Bekuma, T, Bell, M, Bensenor, I, Berman, A, Bernabe, E, Bernstein, R, Bhagavathula, A, Bhandari, D, Bhardwaj, P, Bhat, A, Bhattacharyya, K, Bhattarai, S, Bhutta, Z, Bijani, A, Bikbov, B, Bilano, V, Biondi, A, Birihane, B, Bockarie, M, Bohlouli, S, Bojia, H, Bolla, S, Boloor, A, Brady, O, Braithwaite, D, Briant, P, Briggs, A, Briko, N, Burugina Nagaraja, S, Busse, R, Butt, Z, Caetano dos Santos, F, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Cámera, L, Cárdenas, R, Carreras, G, Carrero, J, Carvalho, F, Castaldelli-Maia, J, Castañeda-Orjuela, C, Castelpietra, G, Castro, F, Catalá-López, F, Causey, K, Cederroth, C, Cercy, K, Cerin, E, Chandan, J, Chang, A, Charan, J, Chattu, V, Chaturvedi, S, Chin, K, Cho, D, Choi, J, Christensen, H, Chu, D, Chung, M, Ciobanu, L, Cirillo, M, Comfort, H, Compton, K, Cortesi, P, Costa, V, Cousin, E, Dahlawi, S, Damiani, G, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Darega Gela, J, Darwesh, A, Daryani, A, Dash, A, Davey, G, Dávila-Cervantes, C, Davletov, K, De Neve, J, Denova-Gutiérrez, E, Deribe, K, Dervenis, N, Desai, R, Dharmaratne, S, Dhungana, G, Dianatinasab, M, Dias da Silva, D, Diaz, D, Dippenaar, I, Do, H, Dorostkar, F, Doshmangir, L, Duncan, B, Duraes, A, Eagan, A, Edvardsson, D, El Sayed, I, El Tantawi, M, Elgendy, I, Elyazar, I, Eskandari, K, Eskandarieh, S, Esmaeilnejad, S, Esteghamati, A, Ezekannagha, O, Farag, T, Farahmand, M, Faraon, E, Farinha, C, Farioli, A, Faris, P, Faro, A, Fazlzadeh, M, Feigin, V, Fernandes, E, Ferrara, P, Feyissa, G, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Fisher, J, Flor, L, Foigt, N, Folayan, M, Fomenkov, A, Foroutan, M, Francis, J, Fu, W, Fukumoto, T, Furtado, J, Gad, M, Gaidhane, A, Gakidou, E, Galles, N, Gallus, S, Gardner, W, Geberemariyam, B, Gebrehiwot, A, Gebremeskel, L, Gebremeskel, G, Gesesew, H, Ghadiri, K, Ghafourifard, M, Ghashghaee, A, Ghith, N, Gholamian, A, Gilani, S, Gill, P, Gill, T, Ginindza, T, Gitimoghaddam, M, Giussani, G, Glagn, M, Gnedovskaya, E, Godinho, M, Goharinezhad, S, Gopalani, S, Goudarzian, A, Goulart, B, Gubari, M, Guimarães, R, Guled, R, Gultie, T, Guo, Y, Gupta, R, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hafiz, A, Haile, T, Hamadeh, R, Hameed, S, Hamidi, S, Han, C, Han, H, Handiso, D, Hanif, A, Hankey, G, Haro, J, Hasaballah, A, Hasan, M, Hashi, A, Hassan, S, Hassan, A, Hassanipour, S, Hassankhani, H, Havmoeller, R, Hay, S, Hayat, K, Heidari, G, Heidari-Soureshjani, R, Hendrie, D, Herteliu, C, Hird, T, Ho, H, Hole, M, Holla, R, Hollingsworth, B, Hoogar, P, Hopf, K, Horita, N, Hossain, N, Hosseini, M, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, M, Hostiuc, S, Househ, M, Hsieh, V, Hu, G, Huda, T, Humayun, A, Hwang, B, Iavicoli, I, Ibitoye, S, Ikeda, N, Ilesanmi, O, Ilic, I, Ilic, M, Inbaraj, L, Iqbal, U, Irvani, S, Irvine, C, Islam, M, Islam, S, Islami, F, Iso, H, Iwu, C, Jaafari, J, Jadidi-Niaragh, F, Jafarinia, M, Jahagirdar, D, Jahani, M, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, M, Janjani, H, Javaheri, T, Jayatilleke, A, Jenabi, E, Jha, R, Jha, V, Ji, J, Jia, P, John-Akinola, Y, Jonas, J, Joukar, F, Jozwiak, J, Jürisson, M, Kabir, Z, Kalankesh, L, Kalhor, R, Kamath, A, Kanchan, T, Kapoor, N, Karami Matin, B, Karanikolos, M, Karimi, S, Kassebaum, N, Katikireddi, S, Kayode, G, Keiyoro, P, Khader, Y, Khammarnia, M, Khan, M, Khan, E, Khang, Y, Khatab, K, Khater, A, Khater, M, Khatib, M, Khayamzadeh, M, Khubchandani, J, Kianipour, N, Kim, Y, Kimokoti, R, Kinfu, Y, Kisa, A, Kissimova-Skarbek, K, Kivimäki, M, Kneib, C, Kocarnik, J, Kochhar, S, Kohler, S, Kopec, J, Korotkova, A, Korshunov, V, Kosen, S, Kotlo, A, Koul, P, Koyanagi, A, Krishan, K, Krohn, K, Kugbey, N, Kulkarni, V, Kumar, G, Kumar, N, Kumar, M, Kurmi, O, Kusuma, D, Kyu, H, La Vecchia, C, Lal, D, Lalloo, R, Landires, I, Lansingh, V, Larsson, A, Lasrado, S, Lau, K, Lauriola, P, Lazarus, J, Ledesma, J, Lee, P, Lee, S, Leever, A, Legrand, K, Leigh, J, Leonardi, M, Li, S, Lim, S, Lim, L, Liu, X, Logroscino, G, Lopez, A, Lopukhov, P, Lotufo, P, Lu, A, Ma, J, Madadin, M, Mahasha, P, Mahmoudi, M, Majeed, A, Malagón-Rojas, J, Maleki, S, Malta, D, Mansouri, B, Mansournia, M, Martini, S, Martins-Melo, F, Martopullo, I, Massenburg, B, Mastrogiacomo, C, Mathur, M, Mcalinden, C, Mckee, M, Medina-Solís, C, Meharie, B, Mehndiratta, M, Mehrabi Nasab, E, Mehri, F, Mehrotra, R, Mekonnen, T, Melese, A, Memiah, P, Mendoza, W, Menezes, R, Mensah, G, Meretoja, T, Meretoja, A, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Michalek, I, Mirrakhimov, E, Mirzaei, M, Mirzaei-Alavijeh, M, Mitchell, P, Moazen, B, Moghadaszadeh, M, Mohamadi, E, Mohammad, Y, Mohammad, D, Mohammad Gholi Mezerji, N, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammed, S, Mohammed, J, Mokdad, A, Monasta, L, Mondello, S, Moradi, M, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moradzadeh, R, Moraga, P, Morgado-da-Costa, J, Morrison, S, Mosapour, A, Mosser, J, Mousavi Khaneghah, A, Muriithi, M, Mustafa, G, Nabhan, A, Naderi, M, Nagarajan, A, Naghavi, M, Naghshtabrizi, B, Naimzada, M, Nangia, V, Nansseu, J, Nayak, V, Nazari, J, Ndejjo, R, Negoi, I, Negoi, R, Neupane, S, Ngari, K, Nguefack-Tsague, G, Ngunjiri, J, Nguyen, C, Nguyen, D, Nguyen, H, Nnaji, C, Nomura, S, Norheim, O, Noubiap, J, Nowak, C, Nunez-Samudio, V, Otoiu, A, Ogbo, F, Oghenetega, O, Oh, I, Okunga, E, Oladnabi, M, Olagunju, A, Olusanya, J, Olusanya, B, Oluwasanu, M, Omar Bali, A, Omer, M, Ong, K, Onwujekwe, O, Ortega-Altamirano, D, Ortiz, A, Ostojic, S, Otstavnov, N, Otstavnov, S, Øverland, S, Owolabi, M, Padubidri, J, Pakhale, S, Palladino, R, Pana, A, Panda-Jonas, S, Pangaribuan, H, Pathak, M, Patton, G, Paudel, S, Pazoki Toroudi, H, Pease, S, Peden, A, Pennini, A, Peprah, E, Pereira, J, Pigott, D, Pilgrim, T, Pilz, T, Pinheiro, M, Piradov, M, Pirsaheb, M, Pokhrel, K, Postma, M, Pourjafar, H, Pourmalek, F, Pourmirza Kalhori, R, Pourshams, A, Prada, S, Pribadi, D, Pupillo, E, Quazi Syed, Z, Radfar, A, Rafiee, A, Rafiei, A, Raggi, A, Rahim, F, Rahman, M, Rajabpour-Sanati, A, Rana, S, Ranabhat, C, Rao, S, Rasella, D, Rashedi, V, Rath, G, Rathi, P, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, D, Rawal, L, Rawassizadeh, R, Razo, C, Renjith, V, Renzaho, A, Reshmi, B, Rezaei, N, Riahi, S, Ribeiro, D, Rickard, J, Roberts, N, Roever, L, Romoli, M, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Rubagotti, E, Rwegerera, G, Sabour, S, Sachdev, P, Saddik, B, Sadeghi, M, Sadeghi, E, Safari, Y, Sagar, R, Sahebkar, A, Sahraian, M, Sajadi, S, Salahshoor, M, Salem, M, Salem, H, Salomon, J, Samadi Kafil, H, Samy, A, Sanabria, J, Santric-Milicevic, M, Saraswathy, S, Sarmiento-Suárez, R, Sarveazad, A, Sathian, B, Sathish, T, Sattin, D, Savic, M, Sawyer, S, Saxena, D, Sbarra, A, Schaeffer, L, Schiavolin, S, Schmidt, M, Schutte, A, Schwebel, D, Schwendicke, F, Seedat, S, Sha, F, Shahabi, S, Shaheen, A, Shaikh, M, Shamsizadeh, M, Shannawaz, M, Sharafi, K, Sharara, F, Sharifi, H, Shaw, D, Sheikh, A, Sheikhtaheri, A, Shetty, B, Shibuya, K, Shiferaw, W, Shigematsu, M, Shin, J, Shiri, R, Shirkoohi, R, Shivakumar, K, Shrime, M, Shuval, K, Siabani, S, Sierpinski, R, Sigfusdottir, I, Sigurvinsdottir, R, Silva, D, Silva, J, Simonetti, B, Simpson, K, Singh, J, Singh, P, Sinha, D, Skryabin, V, Smith, E, Soheili, A, Soltani, S, Soofi, M, Sorensen, R, Soriano, J, Sorrie, M, Soyiri, I, Spurlock, E, Sreeramareddy, C, Stanaway, J, Steel, N, Stein, C, Stokes, M, Sufiyan, M, Suleria, H, Sultan, I, Szumowski, Ł, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tabuchi, T, Tadakamadla, S, Taddele, B, Tadesse, D, Taherkhani, A, Tamiru, A, Tanser, F, Tareque, M, Tarigan, I, Teagle, W, Tediosi, F, Tefera, Y, Tela, F, Tessema, Z, Thakur, B, Titova, M, Tonelli, M, Topor-Madry, R, Topouzis, F, Tovani-Palone, M, Tran, B, Travillian, R, Troeger, C, Tudor Car, L, Uddin, R, Ullah, I, Umeokonkwo, C, Unnikrishnan, B, Upadhyay, E, Uthman, O, Vacante, M, Valdez, P, Varughese, S, Vasankari, T, Vasseghian, Y, Venketasubramanian, N, Violante, F, Vlassov, V, Vollset, S, Vongpradith, A, Vos, T, Waheed, Y, Walters, M, Wamai, R, Wang, H, Wang, Y, Weintraub, R, Weiss, J, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Wilner, L, Woldu, G, Wolfe, C, Wu, A, Wulf Hanson, S, Xie, Y, Xu, R, Yahyazadeh Jabbari, S, Yamagishi, K, Yano, Y, Yaya, S, Yazdi-Feyzabadi, V, Yearwood, J, Yeshitila, Y, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Younis, M, Yousefi, Z, Yousefinezhadi, T, Yusefzadeh, H, Zadey, S, Zahirian Moghadam, T, Zaidi, S, Zaki, L, Zaman, S, Zamani, M, Zamanian, M, Zandian, H, Zastrozhin, M, Zewdie, K, Zhang, Y, Zhao, X, Zhao, Y, Zheng, P, Zhu, C, Ziapour, A, Zlavog, B, Zodpey, S, Murray, C, Tampere University, Health Sciences, 10922180 - Schutte, Aletta Elisabeth, Lozano, R., Fullman, N., Mumford, J. E., Knight, M., Barthelemy, C. M., Abbafati, C., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Allah, F., Abdollahi, M., Abedi, A., Abolhassani, H., Abosetugn, A. E., Abreu, L. G., Abrigo, M. R. M., Abu Haimed, A. K., Abushouk, A. I., Adabi, M., Adebayo, O. M., Adekanmbi, V., Adelson, J., Adetokunboh, O. O., Adham, D., Advani, S. M., Afshin, A., Agarwal, G., Agasthi, P., Aghamir, S. M. K., Agrawal, A., Ahmad, T., Akinyemi, R. O., Alahdab, F., Al-Aly, Z., Alam, K., Albertson, S. B., Alemu, Y. M., Alhassan, R. K., Ali, M., Ali, S., Alipour, V., Aljunid, S. M., Alla, F., Almadi, M. A. H., Almasi, A., Almasi-Hashiani, A., Almasri, N. A., Al-Mekhlafi, H. M., Almulhim, A. M., Alonso, J., Al-Raddadi, R. M., Altirkawi, K. A., Alvis-Guzman, N., Alvis-Zakzuk, N. J., Amini, S., Amini-Rarani, M., Amiri, F., Amit, A. M. L., Amugsi, D. A., Ancuceanu, R., Anderlini, D., Andrei, C. L., Androudi, S., Ansari, F., Ansari-Moghaddam, A., Antonio, C. A. T., Antony, C. M., Antriyandarti, E., Anvari, D., Anwer, R., Arabloo, J., Arab-Zozani, M., Aravkin, A. Y., Aremu, O., Arnlov, J., Asaad, M., Asadi-Aliabadi, M., Asadi-Pooya, A. A., Athari, S. S., Atout, M. M. W., Ausloos, M., Avila-Burgos, L., Ayala Quintanilla, B. P., Ayano, G., Ayanore, M. A., Aynalem, Y. A., Aynalem, G. L., Ayza, M. A., Azari, S., Azzopardi, P. S., B, D. B., Babaee, E., Badiye, A. D., Bahrami, M. A., Baig, A. A., Bakhshaei, M. H., Bakhtiari, A., Bakkannavar, S. M., Balachandran, A., Banach, M., Banerjee, S. K., Banik, P. C., Bante, A. B., Bante, S. A., Barker-Collo, S. L., Barnighausen, T. W., Barrero, L. H., Bassat, Q., Basu, S., Baune, B. T., Bayati, M., Baye, B. A., Bedi, N., Beghi, E., Behzadifar, M., Bekuma, T. T. T., Bell, M. L., Bensenor, I. M., Berman, A. E., Bernabe, E., Bernstein, R. S., Bhagavathula, A. S., Bhandari, D., Bhardwaj, P., Bhat, A. G., Bhattacharyya, K., Bhattarai, S., Bhutta, Z. A., Bijani, A., Bikbov, B., Bilano, V., Biondi, A., Birihane, B. M., Bockarie, M. J., Bohlouli, S., Bojia, H. A., Bolla, S. R. R., Boloor, A., Brady, O. J., Braithwaite, D., Briggs, A. M., Briko, N. I., Burugina Nagaraja, S., Busse, R., Butt, Z. A., Caetano dos Santos, F. L., Cahuana-Hurtado, L., Camera, L. A., Cardenas, R., Carreras, G., Carrero, J. J., Carvalho, F., Castaldelli-Maia, J. M., Castaneda-Orjuela, C. A., Castelpietra, G., Castro, F., Catala-Lopez, F., Cederroth, C. R., Cerin, E., Chandan, J. S., Chang, A. Y., Charan, J., Chattu, V. K., Chaturvedi, S., Chin, K. L., Cho, D. Y., Choi, J. -Y. J., Christensen, H., Chu, D. -T., Chung, M. T., Ciobanu, L. G., Cirillo, M., Compton, K., Cortesi, P. A., Costa, V. M., Cousin, E., Dahlawi, S. M. A., Damiani, G., Dandona, L., Dandona, R., Darega Gela, J., Darwesh, A. M., Daryani, A., Dash, A. P., Davey, G., Davila-Cervantes, C. A., Davletov, K., De Neve, J. -W., Denova-Gutierrez, E., Deribe, K., Dervenis, N., Desai, R., Dharmaratne, S. D., Dhungana, G. 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S., Islami, F., Iso, H., Iwu, C. J., Jaafari, J., Jadidi-Niaragh, F., Jafarinia, M., Jahagirdar, D., Jahani, M. A., Jahanmehr, N., Jakovljevic, M., Janjani, H., Javaheri, T., Jayatilleke, A. U., Jenabi, E., Jha, R. P., Jha, V., Ji, J. S., Jia, P., John-Akinola, Y. O., Jonas, J. B., Joukar, F., Jozwiak, J. J., Jurisson, M., Kabir, Z., Kalankesh, L. R., Kalhor, R., Kamath, A. M., Kanchan, T., Kapoor, N., Karami Matin, B., Karanikolos, M., Karimi, S. M., Kassebaum, N. J., Katikireddi, S. V., Kayode, G. A., Keiyoro, P. N., Khader, Y. S., Khammarnia, M., Khan, M., Khan, E. A., Khang, Y. -H., Khatab, K., Khater, A. M., Khater, M. M., Khatib, M. N., Khayamzadeh, M., Khubchandani, J., Kianipour, N., Kim, Y. J., Kimokoti, R. W., Kinfu, Y., Kisa, A., Kissimova-Skarbek, K., Kivimaki, M., Kneib, C. J., Kocarnik, J. M., Kochhar, S., Kohler, S., Kopec, J. A., Korotkova, A. V., Korshunov, V. A., Kosen, S., Kotlo, A., Koul, P. A., Koyanagi, A., Krishan, K., Krohn, K. J., Kugbey, N., Kulkarni, V., Kumar, G. A., Kumar, N., Kumar, M., Kurmi, O. P., Kusuma, D., Kyu, H. H., La Vecchia, C., Lacey, B., Lal, D. K., Lalloo, R., Landires, I., Lansingh, V. C., Larsson, A. O., Lasrado, S., Lau, K. M. -M., Lauriola, P., Lazarus, J. V., Ledesma, J. R., Lee, P. H., Lee, S. W. H., Leever, A. T., Legrand, K. E., Leigh, J., Leonardi, M., Li, S., Lim, S. S., Lim, L. -L., Liu, X., Logroscino, G., Lopez, A. D., Lopukhov, P. D., Lotufo, P. A., Lu, A., Ma, J., Madadin, M., Mahasha, P. W., Mahmoudi, M., Majeed, A., Malagon-Rojas, J. N., Maleki, S., Malta, D. C., Mansouri, B., Mansournia, M. A., Martini, S., Martins-Melo, F. R., Martopullo, I., Massenburg, B. B., Mastrogiacomo, C. I., Mathur, M. R., Mcalinden, C., Mckee, M., Medina-Solis, C. E., Meharie, B. G., Mehndiratta, M. M., Mehrabi Nasab, E., Mehri, F., Mehrotra, R., Mekonnen, T., Melese, A., Memiah, P. T. N., Mendoza, W., Menezes, R. G., Mensah, G. A., Meretoja, T. 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Subjects: Index (economics), Servicios de Salud, SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, universal health coverage, sustaibale develpment goal, global burden of disease, performance, systematic analysis, Global Burden of Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, Universal Health Insurance, RA0421, 11. Sustainability, Per capita, Medical economics, Disease, 030212 general & internal medicine, 10. No inequality, 11 Medical and Health Sciences, effective coverage of health services, GBD 2019 Universal Health Coverage Collaborators, education.field_of_study, Public health, Medical care, Sjúkdómar, 4. Education, 1. No poverty, Health coverage, Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology, General Medicine, Hälsovetenskaper, 3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health, Health services, 3. Good health, Global burden of disease, Health Expenditures, Humans, World Health Organization, Purchasing power parity, Scale (social sciences), Lýðheilsa, universal health coverag, CANCER SURVIVAL, ACCESS, Human, Heilsuhagfræði, medicine.medical_specialty, Health coverage, GBD, GBD, Universal health, GBD 2019, Population, Health expenditures, 3122 Cancers, Population health, 03 medical and health sciences, Health systems, Heilbrigðisvísindi, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, General & Internal Medicine, Development economics, Health Sciences, medicine, Heilbrigðisstefna, Alþjóðaheilbrigðisstofnunin, QUALITY, Global Burden of Disease Study, education, PROGRESS, Disease burden, Health services accessibility, CARE, Heilbrigðisþjónusta, purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#3.02.00 [https], Health Expenditure, Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi, 3121 General medicine, internal medicine and other clinical medicine, Morbility, Administración de los Servicios de Salud, Medical policy, Business, Heilbrigðiskerfi
Abstract: Publisher's version (útgefin grein), Background Achieving universal health coverage (UHC) involves all people receiving the health services they need, of high quality, without experiencing financial hardship. Making progress towards UHC is a policy priority for both countries and global institutions, as highlighted by the agenda of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and WHO's Thirteenth General Programme of Work (GPW13). Measuring effective coverage at the health-system level is important for understanding whether health services are aligned with countries' health profiles and are of sufficient quality to produce health gains for populations of all ages. Methods Based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, we assessed UHC effective coverage for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Drawing from a measurement framework developed through WHO's GPW13 consultation, we mapped 23 effective coverage indicators to a matrix representing health service types (eg, promotion, prevention, and treatment) and five population-age groups spanning from reproductive and newborn to older adults (>= 65 years). Effective coverage indicators were based on intervention coverage or outcome-based measures such as mortality-to-incidence ratios to approximate access to quality care; outcome-based measures were transformed to values on a scale of 0-100 based on the 2.5th and 97.5th percentile of location-year values. We constructed the UHC effective coverage index by weighting each effective coverage indicator relative to its associated potential health gains, as measured by disability-adjusted life-years for each location-year and population-age group. For three tests of validity (content, known-groups, and convergent), UHC effective coverage index performance was generally better than that of other UHC service coverage indices from WHO (ie, the current metric for SDG indicator 3.8.1 on UHC service coverage), the World Bank, and GBD 2017. We quantified frontiers of UHC effective coverage performance on the basis of pooled health spending per capita, representing UHC effective coverage index levels achieved in 2019 relative to country-level government health spending, prepaid private expenditures, and development assistance for health. To assess current trajectories towards the GPW13 UHC billion target-1 billion more people benefiting from UHC by 2023-we estimated additional population equivalents with UHC effective coverage from 2018 to 2023. Findings Globally, performance on the UHC effective coverage index improved from 45.8 (95% uncertainty interval 44.2-47.5) in 1990 to 60.3 (58.7-61.9) in 2019, yet country-level UHC effective coverage in 2019 still spanned from 95 or higher in Japan and Iceland to lower than 25 in Somalia and the Central African Republic. Since 2010, sub-Saharan Africa showed accelerated gains on the UHC effective coverage index (at an average increase of 2.6% [1.9-3.3] per year up to 2019); by contrast, most other GBD super-regions had slowed rates of progress in 2010-2019 relative to 1990-2010. Many countries showed lagging performance on effective coverage indicators for non-communicable diseases relative to those for communicable diseases and maternal and child health, despite non-communicable diseases accounting for a greater proportion of potential health gains in 2019, suggesting that many health systems are not keeping pace with the rising non-communicable disease burden and associated population health needs. In 2019, the UHC effective coverage index was associated with pooled health spending per capita (r=0.79), although countries across the development spectrum had much lower UHC effective coverage than is potentially achievable relative to their health spending. Under maximum efficiency of translating health spending into UHC effective coverage performance, countries would need to reach $1398 pooled health spending per capita (US$ adjusted for purchasing power parity) in order to achieve 80 on the UHC effective coverage index. From 2018 to 2023, an estimated 388.9 million (358.6-421.3) more population equivalents would have UHC effective coverage, falling well short of the GPW13 target of 1 billion more people benefiting from UHC during this time. Current projections point to an estimated 3.1 billion (3.0-3.2) population equivalents still lacking UHC effective coverage in 2023, with nearly a third (968.1 million [903.5-1040.3]) residing in south Asia. Interpretation The present study demonstrates the utility of measuring effective coverage and its role in supporting improved health outcomes for all people-the ultimate goal of UHC and its achievement. Global ambitions to accelerate progress on UHC service coverage are increasingly unlikely unless concerted action on non-communicable diseases occurs and countries can better translate health spending into improved performance. Focusing on effective coverage and accounting for the world's evolving health needs lays the groundwork for better understanding how close-or how far-all populations are in benefiting from UHC., Lucas Guimaraes Abreu acknowledges support from Coordenacao de Aperfeicoamento de Pessoal de Nivel Superior -Brasil (Capes) -Finance Code 001, Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cientifico e Tecnologico (CNPq) and Fundacao de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais (FAPEMIG). Olatunji O Adetokunboh acknowledges South African Department of Science & Innovation, and National Research Foundation. Anurag Agrawal acknowledges support from the Wellcome Trust DBT India Alliance Senior Fellowship IA/CPHS/14/1/501489. Rufus Olusola Akinyemi acknowledges Grant U01HG010273 from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) as part of the H3Africa Consortium. Rufus Olusola Akinyemi is further supported by the FLAIR fellowship funded by the UK Royal Society and the African Academy of Sciences. Syed Mohamed Aljunid acknowledges the Department of Health Policy and Management, Faculty of Public Health, Kuwait University and International Centre for Casemix and Clinical Coding, Faculty of Medicine, National University of Malaysia for the approval and support to participate in this research project. Marcel Ausloos, Claudiu Herteliu, and Adrian Pana acknowledge partial support by a grant of the Romanian National Authority for Scientific Research and Innovation, CNDSUEFISCDI, project number PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0084. Till Winfried Barnighausen acknowledges support from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt Professor award, funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research. Juan J Carrero was supported by the Swedish Research Council (2019-01059). Felix Carvalho acknowledges UID/MULTI/04378/2019 and UID/QUI/50006/2019 support with funding from FCT/MCTES through national funds. Vera Marisa Costa acknowledges support from grant (SFRH/BHD/110001/2015), received by Portuguese national funds through Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia (FCT), IP, under the Norma TransitA3ria DL57/2016/CP1334/CT0006. Jan-Walter De Neve acknowledges support from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation. Kebede Deribe acknowledges support by Wellcome Trust grant number 201900/Z/16/Z as part of his International Intermediate Fellowship. Claudiu Herteliu acknowledges partial support by a grant co-funded by European Fund for Regional Development through Operational Program for Competitiveness, Project ID P_40_382. Praveen Hoogar acknowledges the Centre for Bio Cultural Studies (CBiCS), Manipal Academy of Higher Education(MAHE), Manipal and Centre for Holistic Development and Research (CHDR), Kalghatgi. Bing-Fang Hwang acknowledges support from China Medical University (CMU108-MF-95), Taichung, Taiwan. Mihajlo Jakovljevic acknowledges the Serbian part of this GBD contribution was co-funded through the Grant OI175014 of the Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia. Aruna M Kamath acknowledges funding from the National Institutes of Health T32 grant (T32GM086270). Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi acknowledges funding from the Medical Research Council (MC_UU_12017/13 & MC_UU_12017/15), Scottish Government Chief Scientist Office (SPHSU13 & SPHSU15) and an NRS Senior Clinical Fellowship (SCAF/15/02). Yun Jin Kim acknowledges support from the Research Management Centre, Xiamen University Malaysia (XMUMRF/2018-C2/ITCM/0001). Kewal Krishan acknowledges support from the DST PURSE grant and UGC Center of Advanced Study (CAS II) awarded to the Department of Anthropology, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India. Manasi Kumar acknowledges support from K43 TW010716 Fogarty International Center/NIMH. Ben Lacey acknowledges support from the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre and the BHF Centre of Research Excellence, Oxford. Ivan Landires is a member of the Sistema Nacional de InvestigaciA3n (SNI), which is supported by the Secretaria Nacional de Ciencia Tecnologia e Innovacion (SENACYT), Panama. Jeffrey V Lazarus acknowledges support by a Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities Miguel Servet grant (Instituto de Salud Carlos III/ESF, European Union [CP18/00074]). Peter T N Memiah acknowledges CODESRIA; HISTP. Subas Neupane acknowledges partial support from the Competitive State Research Financing of the Expert Responsibility area of Tampere University Hospital. Shuhei Nomura acknowledges support from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science, and Technology of Japan (18K10082). Alberto Ortiz acknowledges support by ISCIII PI19/00815, DTS18/00032, ISCIII-RETIC REDinREN RD016/0009 Fondos FEDER, FRIAT, Comunidad de Madrid B2017/BMD-3686 CIFRA2-CM. These funding sources had no role in the writing of the manuscript or the decision to submit it for publication. George C Patton acknowledges support from a National Health & Medical Research Council Fellowship. Marina Pinheiro acknowledges support from FCT for funding through program DL 57/2016 -Norma transitA3ria. Alberto Raggi, David Sattin, and Silvia Schiavolin acknowledge support by a grant from the Italian Ministry of Health (Ricerca Corrente, Fondazione Istituto Neurologico C Besta, Linea 4 -Outcome Research: dagli Indicatori alle Raccomandazioni Cliniche). Daniel Cury Ribeiro acknowledges support from the Sir Charles Hercus Health Research Fellowship -Health Research Council of New Zealand (18/111). Perminder S Sachdev acknowledges funding from the NHMRC Australia. Abdallah M Samy acknowledges support from a fellowship from the Egyptian Fulbright Mission Program. Milena M Santric-Milicevic acknowledges support from the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia (Contract No. 175087). Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suarez acknowledges institutional support from University of Applied and Environmental Sciences in Bogota, Colombia, and Carlos III Institute of Health in Madrid, Spain. Maria Ines Schmidt acknowledges grants from the Foundation for the Support of Research of the State of Rio Grande do Sul (IATS and PrInt) and the Brazilian Ministry of Health. Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam acknowledges a fellowship from the National Heart Foundation of Australia and Deakin University. Aziz Sheikh acknowledges support from Health Data Research UK. Kenji Shibuya acknowledges Japan Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology. Joan B Soriano acknowledges support by Centro de Investigacion en Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), Madrid, Spain. Rafael Tabares-Seisdedos acknowledges partial support from grant PI17/00719 from ISCIII-FEDER. Santosh Kumar Tadakamadla acknowledges support from the National Health and Medical Research Council Early Career Fellowship, Australia. Marcello Tonelli acknowledges the David Freeze Chair in Health Services Research at the University of Calgary, AB, Canada., "Peer Reviewed"
Published: 2020

16. Diarrhoea deaths and disability-adjusted life years attributable to suboptimal breastfeeding practices in Nigeria: findings from the global burden of disease study 2016

Author: Anselm Okoro, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, Akorede O. Awosemo, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Ifegwu K. Ifegwu, Andrew Page, and Pascal Ogeleka
Subjects: 0301 basic medicine, Burden of disease, Diarrhea, Male, Breastfeeding, Nigeria, Risk Assessment, Global Burden of Disease, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Risk Factors, Environmental health, Infancy - period, Medicine, Humans, 030212 general & internal medicine, Mortality, Infant feeding, Children, Cause of death, 030109 nutrition & dietetics, Under-five, business.industry, Research, lcsh:Public aspects of medicine, lcsh:RJ1-570, Obstetrics and Gynecology, Infant, lcsh:Pediatrics, lcsh:RA1-1270, Diarrhoea, Late neonatal period, Breast Feeding, Child, Preschool, Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health, Female, Risk assessment, business
Abstract: Background In Nigeria, diarrhoea contributes significantly to childhood morbidity and mortality, with suboptimal breastfeeding practices playing a key role. The present study aimed to report on diarrhoea deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) among children aged under five years attributable to suboptimal breastfeeding practices in Nigeria. Methods This study used data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2016, which estimated mortality from diarrhoea in the Cause of Death Ensemble model. Suboptimal breastfeeding was assessed as a combination of non-exclusive breastfeeding and discontinued breastfeeding. The comparative risk assessment approach was used to estimate the attributable burden of diarrhoea deaths and DALYs due to suboptimal breastfeeding practices in the spatial-temporal Gaussian Process Regression tool. Results In 2016, suboptimal breastfeeding practices accounted for an estimated 56.5% (95% uncertainty intervals [UI]: 47.5, 68.3) of diarrhoea deaths in the late neonatal period, 39.0% (31.0, 46.3) in post-neonatal period, 39.0% (31.3, 46.20) in infancy period and 22.8% (16.9, 29.9) in children aged under five years in Nigeria. In the same year, 22,371 (14,259, 32,746) total diarrhoea deaths in children under five years could be attributed to suboptimal breastfeeding practices. DALYs from diarrhoea attributable to suboptimal breastfeeding practices was 1.9 million (1.2, 2.8 million) among children under five years in 2016. Between 1990 and 2016, the proportion of children who died from diarrhoea due to suboptimal breastfeeding did not change substantially across all age groups in Nigeria. Conclusions Suboptimal breastfeeding practices remain a significant contributor to diarrhoea mortality and disability among children under five years in Nigeria. The study builds on previously published works on breastfeeding practices in Nigeria and provides evidence to support calls for the scale-up of efforts to improve infant feeding outcomes and reduce diarrhoea burden in Nigeria. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1186/s13006-019-0198-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Published: 2019

17. Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of chewing tobacco use in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: A systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Author: Mohsen Naghavi, Saman Esmaeilnejad, Irena Ilic, Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, Hubert Amu, Jalil Jaafari, Walter Mendoza, Yanzhong Wang, Atta Abbas Naqvi, Mahesh P A, Afshin Maleki, Songhomitra Panda-Jonas, Akila Prashant, Jessica Y Islam, Ali H. Mokdad, Rahmatollah Moradzadeh, Roman Shrestha, Muhammad Naveed, Andre M. N. Renzaho, Santi Martini, Reza Rawassizadeh, Chisom Joyqueenet Akunna, Tudorel Andrei, Jason A. Anderson, Martin McKee, Iffat Elbarazi, Golnaz Heidari, Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Soewarta Kosen, Davood Anvari, Randah R. Hamadeh, G. K. Mini, Emerito Jose A. Faraon, Farhad Islami, Yasir Waheed, Fahad Alanezi, Maciej Banach, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Ismaeel Yunusa, Suresh Mehata, Tarun Gupta, Mavra A Riaz, Derrick A Bennett, Nithin Kumar, Ali Soroush, Kurt Straif, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Hasan Yusefzadeh, Avirup Guha, Catalina Liliana Andrei, Muhammed Shahriar Zaman, Arief Hargono, Sandhya Neupane Kandel, Adam E. Berman, Giulia Carreras, Ali Bijani, Christoph Nowak, Rafael Alves Guimarães, Aziz Sheikh, Kamal Hezam, Carlo Eduardo Medina-Solís, Simon I. Hay, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Rahman Shiri, Ashok Pandey, Ramesh Holla, Gyu Ri Kim, Aidin Abedi, Sharath Burugina Nagaraja, Andem Effiong, Samad Azari, Bhaskar Thakur, Mohsen Mazidi, Vahid Yazdi-Feyzabadi, Prashant Mathur, Bay Vo, Robert Ancuceanu, Eun-Kee Park, Mehdi Fazlzadeh, Thomas Hsiao, Richard G Pestell, Sindhura Lakshmi Koulmane Laxminarayana, Doo Woong Lee, Bayew Kelkay, Erkin M. Mirrakhimov, Hualiang Lin, Mohsen Bayati, Florian Fischer, Wei Liu, Stefan Stortecky, Javad Nazari, Fatemeh Pashazadeh Kan, Virginia Núñez-Samudio, Nitish Naik, Sreenivas Narasimha Swamy, Rajat Gupta, Rakhi Dandona, Hermann Brenner, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Mohammad Ali Mansournia, Yuichiro Yano, Pankaj Bhardwaj, Samath D Dharmaratne, Constantine I. Vardavas, Gabriela Fernanda Gil, Azeem Majeed, Akram Pourshams, Nachimuthu Senthil Kumar, Florentino Luciano Caetano dos Santos, Juan Sanabria, Iván Landires, Parkes J Kendrick, Dinh-Toi Chu, Asma Tahir Awan, Khem Narayan Pokhrel, Siddharudha Shivalli, Omid Shafaat, Shankar Prasad Nagaraju, Manu Raj Mathur, Rachel L Updike, Mohammad Ebrahimi Kalan, Ryan David Kennedy, Alessandra Lugo, Olalekan A. Uthman, Tarek Tawfik Amin, Jiregna Darega Gela, Zhi-Jiang Zhang, Yeshambel T. Nigatu, Bedanta Roy, Arielle Wilder Eagan, Jalal Arabloo, Milena Ilic, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Jost B. Jonas, Dian Kusuma, Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi, Yo Han Lee, Mohammed Shannawaz, Mohammad Ali Moni, Valery L. Feigin, Himal Kandel, Lalit Dandona, Milena Santric-Milicevic, Jasvinder A. Singh, Till Bärnighausen, Neeraj Bhala, Sara Sheikhbahaei, Alireza Ansari-Moghaddam, Borhan Mansouri, Narayana Manjunatha, Giuseppe Gorini, Saif Ullah, Sheikh M. Alif, Giang Thu Vu, Ai Koyanagi, Mahaveer Golechha, Ingan Ukur Tarigan, Sumaira Mubarik, Naohiro Yonemoto, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Yves Miel H Zuniga, Bach Xuan Tran, Sorin Hostiuc, Catherine P. Benziger, Ritesh G. Menezes, Leonardo Roever, Xiaochen Dai, Meghnath Dhimal, Medhat Farwati, Chenwen Zhong, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, G Anil Kumar, Jaya Prasad Tripathy, Amirhossein Sahebkar, Simiao Chen, Zubair Kabir, Meseret Derbew Molla, Tilahun Ali, Animut Tagele Tamiru, Negussie Boti Sidemo, Monika Sawhney, Bright Opoku Ahinkorah, Ruxandra Irina Negoi, Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye, Vin Gupta, Mona Pathak, Lorenzo Monasta, Andrew T Olagunju, Nermin Ghith, Nuwan Darshana Wickramasinghe, Kazumasa Yamagishi, Virendra Singh, Takahiro Tabuchi, Gholamreza Roshandel, Andre R. Brunoni, Hayley D. Tymeson, Madhur Verma, Eyayou Girma Tadesse, Adrian Pana, Isabela M. Benseñor, Abdullah Al Mamun, Jianrong Zhang, Hai Quang Pham, Mihaela Hostiuc, Sung-In Jang, Vinay Nangia, Luca Ronfani, Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader, Dhirendra N Sinha, Josip Car, Sohail Ahmad, Rekha Thapar, Salman Rawaf, Joanna L Whisnant, Sanjay Basu, Abdallah M. Samy, Michal Grivna, Zahid A Butt, Abera Getachew Obsa, Mahdi Nalini, Ted R. Miller, Sanjeev Misra, Utsav Parekh, Budi Aji, Saeed Amini, João Pedro Silva, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Mihajlo Jakovljevic, Demosthenes B. Panagiotakos, Baye Dagnew, Yousef Khader, Atif Amin Baig, Habib Benzian, Keivan Ahmadi, Marco Vacante, Brijesh Sathian, Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Savita Lasrado, Maryam Khayamzadeh, Darshan B B, Mohammad Rifat Haider, Yonas Akalu, Irmina Maria Michalek, Simone Vidale, Getie Lake Aynalem, Rosa A. S. Couto, Yigizie Yeshaw, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Pradhum Ram, Shrikant Pawar, Kevin Welding, Suzanne Barker-Collo, Hamideh Salimzadeh, Luisa Sorio Flor, Priya Rathi, Hiba Jawdat Barqawi, Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone, K M Shivakumar, Gebiyaw Wudie Tsegaye, Fares Alahdab, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Om P Kurmi, Nataliya Foigt, André Karch, Marina Pinheiro, Basema Saddik, Paschalis Steiropoulos, Chuanhua Yu, Graeme J. Hankey, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Abdul-Aziz Seidu, Ramaiah Itumalla, Befikadu Legesse Wubishet, Vera Marisa Costa, Shanshan Li, Ambrish Singh, Yuming Guo, Reza Malekzadeh, Nikha Bhardwaj, Mikhail Sergeevich Zastrozhin, Maryam Zamanian, Onyema greg Chido-Amajuoyi, Ibtihal Fadhil, Sabina O Nduaguba, Turki Alanzi, Eun-Cheol Park, Nicholas Arian, Salah Eddin Karimi, Parnaz Daneshpajouhnejad, Minale Tareke, Paramjit Gill, Chukwudi A Nnaji, Haroon Ahmed, Irina Filip, Juwel Rana, Aziz Rezapour, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Ashish Badiye, Kewal Krishan, Nima Hafezi-Nejad, Masood Ali Shaikh, Tanuj Kanchan, Shilpashree Madhava Kunjathur, Reza Ghanei Gheshlagh, Thomas R. Hird, Yousef Mohammad, Soraya Siabani, Falk Schwendicke, Ziyad Al-Aly, Desta Debalkie Atnafu, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Mika Kivimäki, Ayodipupo Sikiru Oguntade, Zabihollah Yousefi, Neeti Kapoor, Syed Mahboob Shah, Kavumpurathu Raman Thankappan, Mika Shigematsu, Ben Lacey, Ireneous N. Soyiri, Amir Radfar, Lemma Getacher, Sameer Vali Gopalani, David Laith Rawaf, Amir Masoud Rahmani, Birhan Gebresillassie Gebregiorgis, Morenike Oluwatoyin Folayan, Salime Goharinezhad, Ambuj Roy, Ruth W Kimokoti, Nuworza Kugbey, Getinet Ayano, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Benny Antony, Katrin Burkart, Christopher J L Murray, Khalid F. AlHabib, Mariam Molokhia, Mansour Ghafourifard, Abebaw Alemayehu Desta, Tariku Tesfaye Bekuma, Shailesh Advani, Kiomars Sharafi, Kurnia Dwi Artanti, E S Abhilash, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Sana Salehi, Dan J. Stein, Pankaj Chaturvedi, Mahmoud A. Alomari, Kawkab Shishani, Dejana Braithwaite, Jung-Chen Chang, Rajeev Gupta, Giovanni Damiani, Maha El Tantawi, Maria Sofia Sofia Cattaruzza, Amir Abdoli, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Rakibul M Islam, Ibrahim Abdelmageed Ginawi, Victor Aboyans, Ganesh Kumar Saya, Silvano Gallus, João Mauricio Castaldelli-Maia, Vardhmaan Jain, Masoud Foroutan, Janni Leung, Mohammad Abdollahi, Mohammed Zewdu Yimmer, Vahid Alipour, Wondwossen Niguse Asmare, Ravi Prakash Jha, Gerhard Sulo, Brigid Unim, Sheng-Chia Chung, Sadaf G. Sepanlou, Hamed Mirzaei, Anna Aleksandrovna Skryabina, In-Hwan Oh, Rannveig Sigurvinsdottir, Oladimeji Adebayo, Farshad Farzadfar, Anasthasia Zastrozhina, Shafiu Mohammed, Johan Sundström, Ali Kabir, Paolo Lauriola, Tilahun Belete Mossie, Sadia Bibi, Bartosz Miazgowski, Erin C Mullany, Keyvan Pakshir, Srikanta Banerjee, Mowafa Househ, Mohamed M. Gad, Leila R Kalankesh, Mikk Jürisson, Ismail Tareque, Albertino Damasceno, Musliu Adetola Tolani, Andrea Werdecker, Shane D. Morrison, Inga Dora Sigfusdottir, Marcel Ausloos, Monika Arora, Marissa B Reitsma, Filippos Filippidis, Biniyam Sahiledengle Geberemariyam, Bruno Piassi Sao Jose, Leeberk Raja Inbaraj, Antonio Biondi, Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari, Junjie Huang, Mohammad Mahdi Zamani, Jean Jacques Noubiap, Emmanuela Gakidou, Valentin Yurievich Skryabin, Mayowa O. Owolabi, Shubha Jayaram, Hiroyasu Iso, Charles Ugochukwu Ibeneme, Molly R Nixon, Rachel Feldman, Liliana G Ciobanu, Kristina Edvardsson, Claudiu Herteliu, Andreea Mirica, Kindie Mitiku Kebede, Department of Public Health, Collaborators, GBD 2019 Chewing Tobacco, and Lacey, B
Subjects: Male, Health Status, Smoking Prevention, DETERMINANTS, Global Health, 01 natural sciences, Global Burden of Disease, SMOKELESS TOBACCO, 0302 clinical medicine, Risk Factors, Global health, Prevalence, 030212 general & internal medicine, 610 Medicine & health, RISK, High prevalence, WOMEN, Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology, Articles, Middle Aged, 3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health, Chewing tobacco, Smokeless tobacco, Population Surveillance, A990 Medicine and Dentistry not elsewhere classified, Female, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Burden of disease, Adult, medicine.medical_specialty, Tobacco, Smokeless, Adolescent, WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control, VALIDATION, 03 medical and health sciences, Young Adult, Age Distribution, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, Environmental health, medicine, Humans, 0101 mathematics, Sex Distribution, Chewing tobacco, Prevalence, Global Burden, Smokeless tobacco, business.industry, Public health, Smoking Tobacco, 010102 general mathematics, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Global Burden, Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi, STATES, Socioeconomic Factors, Smoking Cessation, business
Abstract: Interpretation Chewing tobacco remains a substantial public health problem in several regions of the world, and predominantly in south Asia. We found little change in the prevalence of chewing tobacco use between 1990 and 2019, and that control efforts have had much larger effects on the prevalence of smoking tobacco use than on chewing tobacco use in some countries. Mitigating the health effects of chewing tobacco requires stronger regulations and policies that specifically target use of chewing tobacco, especially in countries with high prevalence. Findings In 2019, 273 center dot 9 million (95% uncertainty interval 258 center dot 5 to 290 center dot 9) people aged 15 years and older used chewing tobacco, and the global age-standardised prevalence of chewing tobacco use was 4 center dot 72% (4 center dot 46 to 5 center dot 01). 228 center dot 2 million (213 center dot 6 to 244 center dot 7; 83 center dot 29% [82 center dot 15 to 84 center dot 42]) chewing tobacco users lived in the south Asia region. Prevalence among young people aged 15-19 years was over 10% in seven locations in 2019. Although global agestandardised prevalence of smoking tobacco use decreased significantly between 1990 and 2019 (annualised rate of change: -1 center dot 21% [-1 center dot 26 to -1 center dot 16]), similar progress was not observed for chewing tobacco (0 center dot 46% [0 center dot 13 to 0 center dot 79]). Among the 12 highest prevalence countries (Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, India, Madagascar, Marshall Islands, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, Palau, Sri Lanka, and Yemen), only Yemen had a significant decrease in the prevalence of chewing tobacco use, which was among males between 1990 and 2019 (-0 center dot 94% [-1 center dot 72 to -0 center dot 14]), compared with nine of 12 countries that had significant decreases in the prevalence of smoking tobacco. Among females, none of these 12 countries had significant decreases in prevalence of chewing tobacco use, whereas seven of 12 countries had a significant decrease in the prevalence of tobacco smoking use for the period. Summary Background Chewing tobacco and other types of smokeless tobacco use have had less attention from the global health community than smoked tobacco use. However, the practice is popular in many parts of the world and has been linked to several adverse health outcomes. Understanding trends in prevalence with age, over time, and by location and sex is important for policy setting and in relation to monitoring and assessing commitment to the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. Methods We estimated prevalence of chewing tobacco use as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 using a modelling strategy that used information on multiple types of smokeless tobacco products. We generated a time series of prevalence of chewing tobacco use among individuals aged 15 years and older from 1990 to 2019 in 204 countries and territories, including age-sex specific estimates. We also compared these trends to those of smoked tobacco over the same time period. Findings In 2019, 273 & middot;9 million (95% uncertainty interval 258 & middot;5 to 290 & middot;9) people aged 15 years and older used chewing tobacco, and the global age-standardised prevalence of chewing tobacco use was 4 & middot;72% (4 & middot;46 to 5 & middot;01). 228 & middot;2 million (213 & middot;6 to 244 & middot;7; 83 & middot;29% [82 & middot;15 to 84 & middot;42]) chewing tobacco users lived in the south Asia region. Prevalence among young people aged 15-19 years was over 10% in seven locations in 2019. Although global age standardised prevalence of smoking tobacco use decreased significantly between 1990 and 2019 (annualised rate of change: -1 & middot;21% [-1 & middot;26 to -1 & middot;16]), similar progress was not observed for chewing tobacco (0 & middot;46% [0 & middot;13 to 0 & middot;79]). Among the 12 highest prevalence countries (Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, India, Madagascar, Marshall Islands, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, Palau, Sri Lanka, and Yemen), only Yemen had a significant decrease in the prevalence of chewing tobacco use, which was among males between 1990 and 2019 (-0 & middot;94% [-1 & middot;72 to -0 & middot;14]), compared with nine of 12 countries that had significant decreases in the prevalence of smoking tobacco. Among females, none of these 12 countries had significant decreases in prevalence of chewing tobacco use, whereas seven of 12 countries had a significant decrease in the prevalence of tobacco smoking use for the period. Interpretation Chewing tobacco remains a substantial public health problem in several regions of the world, and predominantly in south Asia. We found little change in the prevalence of chewing tobacco use between 1990 and 2019, and that control efforts have had much larger effects on the prevalence of smoking tobacco use than on chewing tobacco use in some countries. Mitigating the health effects of chewing tobacco requires stronger regulations and policies that specifically target use of chewing tobacco, especially in countries with high prevalence. For complete list of authors see http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(21)00065-7
Published: 2021

18. Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Author: Soufiane Boufous, Yousef Veisani, Mehran Asadi-Aliabadi, Sharath Burugina Nagaraja, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Getachew Mullu Kassa, Edward J Mills, Dimas Ria Angga Pribadi, William James Dangel, Mohamad-Hani Temsah, Catherine O. Johnson, Gregory A. Roth, Giuseppe Gorini, Fariborz Mansour-Ghanaei, Alberto Ortiz, Samad Azari, Assefa Ayalew Ayalew Ayalew Gebreslassie, Salime Goharinezhad, Stephanie R. M. Zimsen, Peng Zheng, Michael Assmus, Elisabetta Pupillo, Bach Xuan Tran, Lal B. Rawal, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Noushin Mohammadifard, Stephen S Lim, Ata Rafiee, Maria Inês Schmidt, Vincent C. Iannucci, Suzanne Lyn Barker-Collo, Leah E. Cahill, Tauseef Ahmad, Platon D. Lopukhov, Kazumasa Yamagishi, Abdullah Al Mamun, Iqbal R. F. Elyazar, Giovanni Damiani, Mohammad Hossein Bakhshaei, Mehdi Fazlzadeh, Virginia Núñez-Samudio, Alyssa Pennini, Dietrich Plass, Atkilt Esaiyas Etisso, Gebre Teklemariam Demoz, Alexandrea Watson, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Paul S Briant, Frank B. Osei, Blair R. Bumgarner, Maciej Banach, Ravensara S. Travillian, Kai-Lan Chang, Shirin Djalalinia, Hasan Yusefzadeh, Silvano Gallus, Seyyed Meysam Mousavi, Bernhard T. Baune, Aaron van Donkelaar, Azeem Majeed, Hans Kromhout, Robert Ancuceanu, Blessing J. Akombi, Pushpendra Singh, Nayu Ikeda, William M. Gardner, Zahid A Butt, Mohammad Abdollahi, Temesgen Yihunie Akalu, Rahman Shiri, Benn Sartorius, Ai-Min Wu, Bing Fang Hwang, Flavia M. Cicuttini, Hiroyasu Iso, Luis Camera, Amin Soheili, Félix Carvalho, Yun Jin Kim, Caleb Mackay Salpeter Irvine, Mehdi Mirzaei-Alavijeh, Iman Halvaei, Saqib Ali, Giulio Castelpietra, Catalina Liliana Andrei, Ali Kazemi Karyani, Parkes J Kendrick, Hamidreza Haririan, Lucas Guimarães Abreu, Mukhammad David Naimzada, Jeff T. Zhao, Samiah Alam, Sorin Hostiuc, Shaun Wen Huey Lee, João Mauricio Castaldelli-Maia, Behzad Karami Matin, Cyrus Alinia, Takahiro Tabuchi, Manu Raj Mathur, Søren Thorgaard Skou, Thomas Khaled Dwayne Classen, Reza Heidari-Soureshjani, Massimo Cirillo, Nikita Otstavnov, Mehdi Bohluli, Ruth W. Kimokoti, Animut Tagele Tamiru, Masoumeh Sadeghi, Mohammad Ali Jahani, Itamar S. Santos, Mekdes Tigistu Yilma, Lars Johansson, Arielle Wilder Eagan, Nevine El Nahas, Silvia Schiavolin, Kevin D. Shield, Dinh-Toi Chu, Shiva Borzouei, Paul S. F. Yip, Beatrix Haddock, Gianfranco Alicandro, Vasily Vlassov, Deanna Anderlini, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Khalid A Altirkawi, Farahnaz Joukar, Aso Mohammad Darwesh, Ratilal Lalloo, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Rohollah Kalhor, Daniel Youngwhan Cho, Weijia Fu, João Pedro Silva, Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suarez, Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah, Mehdi Ahmadi, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, José Neves, Gaorui Guo, Tomas Y. Yeheyis, John S. Ji, Charles D. H. Parry, Maryam Ghadimi, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Serge Resnikoff, Anna E. Torre, Vinod C Nayak, Jamileh Shadid, Susanne Breitner, Mohammad Khammarnia, Mathilde Touvier, Ensiyeh Jenabi, Hosna Janjani, Floriane Ausloos, Irmina Maria Michalek, Alexandra S. Boon-Dooley, Jessica A. Cruz, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Abiodun M. Adeoye, André Faro, Bartosz Miazgowski, Jobert Richie Nansseu, Erin C Mullany, Giannina Ferrara, Martin McKee, Emmanuel Peprah, Oommen John, Reza Saeedi, Yasser Vasseghian, Dragos Virgil Davitoiu, Sarah Wulf Hanson, Yingxi Zhao, Omid Shafaat, Ali Rajabpour-Sanati, Farid Najafi, Ana Maria Mantilla Herrera, Fatemeh Rajati, Tarun Gupta, Łukasz Szumowski, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Zhi Jiang Zhang, Osayomwanbo Osarenotor, Tanvir M. Huda, Perminder S. Sachdev, Farhad Ghamari, Era Upadhyay, Vivek Kumar, Guoqing Hu, Vinay Nangia, Vladimir Andreevich Korshunov, Saeed Shahabi, Golnaz Heidari, Ashraf Nabhan, Robert C. Reiner, Aziz Rezapour, Justin J. Lang, Rakhi Dandona, Josephine W. Ngunjiri, Anna-Karin Danielsson, André Karch, Filippo Ariani, Ahmed Abdelalim, Masih Tajdini, Stefanos Tyrovolas, Mohamed Hsairi, Jae Il Shin, Jasvinder A. Singh, Meghan D. Mooney, Fiona B. Bennitt, Hesam Alizade, Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye, Pradhum Ram, Soraya Siabani, Evanson Z. Sambala, Reza Malekzadeh, Falk Schwendicke, Lalit Dandona, Masoud Moradi, Molly R Nixon, Roya Mirzaei, Rachel Feldman, Hosni Salem, Alberto L. García-Basteiro, Lorainne Tudor Car, Sharareh Eskandarieh, Ramesh Holla, Ritesh G. Menezes, Taraneh Yousefinezhadi, Hai Quang Pham, Hamideh Salimzadeh, Luisa Sorio Flor, Priya Rathi, Ali Bijani, Harvey Whiteford, Shanshan Li, Aleksandr Y. Aravkin, Joshua A. Salomon, Franz Castro, Lisa M. Force, Abdilahi Yousuf Yousuf, Mina Anjomshoa, Ken Takahashi, Maigeng Zhou, Telma Zahirian Moghadam, Maseer Khan, Irina Filip, Santi Martini, Randah R. Hamadeh, Somayeh Bohlouli, Joana Morgado-da-Costa, Tim Driscoll, Jingkai Wei, Hermann Brenner, Reza Rawassizadeh, Radoslaw Sierpinski, Saman Esmaeilnejad, Emmanuel Wandera Okunga, Marisa Freitas, Srikanta Banerjee, Feleke Mekonnen Demeke, Shahin Soltani, Naser Mohammad Gholi Mezerji, Reed J D Sorensen, Elena V. Gnedovskaya, Johan Ärnlöv, Ivo Rakovac, Reza Mohammadpourhodki, Hussain Jafari, Atte Meretoja, Yasir Waheed, Fahad Alanezi, Arya Haj-Mirzaian, Sezer Kisa, Jaifred Christian F. Lopez, Khalid F. Alhabib, Basema Saddik, Michael R. Phillips, Vishnu Renjith, Yafeng Wang, Kevan R. Polkinghorne, Liliana G Ciobanu, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Gelin Xu, Richard C. Franklin, Junjie Wu, Thomas R. Hird, Mohammad Zamani, Diana Silva, Fotis Topouzis, Irena Ilic, Jeffrey D. Stanaway, Hadi Pourjafar, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Khaled Khatab, Ammas Siraj Mohammed, Ziyad Al-Aly, A. A. Fomenkov, Charlie Ashbaugh, Mowafa Househ, Paul I. Dargan, Endalkachew Worku Mengesha, Shaimaa I. El-Jaafary, Ernoiz Antriyandarti, Iffat Elbarazi, Dara K. Mohammad, Naznin Hossain, Reza Shirkoohi, João M. Furtado, Arash Ziapour, Morteza Jafarinia, M. Mofizul Islam, Anamika Pandey, Ahmed I. Hasaballah, Tanuj Kanchan, Lee Ling Lim, Muktar Omer Omer, Charles D.A. Wolfe, Ulrich O Mueller, Helen Bitew, V. Prakash, Fereshteh Mehri, Randall V. Martin, Claudiu Herteliu, Constance D. Pond, Min Jeong Shin, Morteza Oladnabi, Antonio Maria Borzì, Yousef Mohammad, Yuichiro Yano, Luke D. Knibbs, Kevin S Ikuta, Maryam Mirzaei, Andreea Mirica, Sofia Boston Redford, Siamak Sabour, Mariya Vladimirovna Titova, Davood Anvari, Ghobad Moradi, Jordi Alonso, Shiwei Liu, Theo Vos, Tuomo J. Meretoja, Ireneous N. Soyiri, Owen R. Cooper, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Kejia Hu, Hannah J. Henrikson, Sanni Yaya, Robert P. Dellavalle, Chidozie Declan Iwu, Sergey Soshnikov, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Satinath Mukhopadhyay, Zabihollah Yousefi, Iman El Sayed, Biresaw Wassihun Alemu, Neeti Kapoor, Ahmad Daryani, Cathleen Keller, Ibrahim Abdollahpour, Nuno Taveira, Masoud Foroutan, Fatemeh Amiri, Mariam Molokhia, Songhomitra Panda-Jonas, Amy E. Peden, Rufus Akinyemi, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Mostafa Amini-Rarani, J. Becker, Hamidreza Pazoki Toroudi, Ben Lacey, Kidanemaryam Berhe, Simon Yadgir, Spencer L. James, Cory N. Spencer, Aletta E. Schutte, Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Arash Tehrani-Banihashemi, Govinda Prasad Dhungana, Fereshteh Ansari, Rixing Xu, Jonathan F. Mosser, Josep Maria Haro, Enrico Rubagotti, Anurag Agrawal, Zahiruddin Quazi Syed, Hoa Thi Do, Ettore Beghi, Seyed Mohammad Kazem Aghamir, Abraham Geremew, Alireza Esteghamati, Paramjit Gill, Farzad Jalilian, J. Jason West, Mikhail Sergeevich Zastrozhin, Albertino Damasceno, Bruce Bartholow Duncan, Nazir Fattahi, Daniel Cury Ribeiro, Michael Brauer, Mark A. 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Thurston, Jalal Arabloo, Mokhtar Mahdavi, Andre Rodrigues Duraes, Ana Laura Manda, Ahmed Abualhasan, Nima Rezaei, Yuan-Pang Wang, Theodore Patrick Younker, Alireza Ansari-Moghaddam, Borhan Mansouri, Adam E. Berman, Khezar Hayat, Rosario Cárdenas, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Tommi Vasankari, Simon I. Hay, Fatemeh Ghaffarifar, Leo Stockfelt, Ai Koyanagi, Giorgia Giussani, Yuming Guo, Sonia Saxena, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Mehedi Hasan, Negar Rezaei, Maja Pasovic, Jukka Takala, Bogdan Oancea, Sare Safi, A. Werdecker, Florian Fischer, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Muhammad Shahdaat Bin Sayeed, Takeshi Fukumoto, Maha Atout, Brijesh Sathian, Cristina Bosetti, Mitchell T. Wallin, Agegnehu Bante, Helen Ippolito, Anthony Masaka, Chantal Huynh, Justin Lo, Jordan Weiss, Joemer C. Maravilla, Alberto Raggi, Peter W. Gething, Cristiana Abbafati, Daniela Ribeiro, Mohammad Farahmand, Yetunde O. John-Akinola, Isabela M. Benseñor, Emilie R Maddison, John J. McGrath, Salman Khazaei, Scott B. 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Cross, Vera Marisa Costa, Eduarda Fernandes, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Odgerel Chimed-Ochir, Sonia Rodríguez-Ramírez, Bo Norrving, Kerem Shuval, Jacob L. Stubbs, Muhammad Ali, Shuhei Nomura, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Chisom Joyqueenet Akunna, Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Navid Rabiee, Dana Bryazka, Hussen Mohammed, Asadollah Gholamian, Ashley Marks, Rizwan Kalani, Molly E. Herbert, Islam Y. Elgendy, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Chuanhua Yu, Suzanne Polinder, Pascual R. Valdez, Jennifer Rickard, Kylie Ball, Turki Alanzi, Mohsen Bayati, Hamed Mirzaei, Christopher M Odell, Amira Shaheen, Ziad A. Memish, Thirunavukkarasu Sathish, Michael A. Piradov, Hamed Kalani, Lorenzo Monasta, Christopher S Yilgwan, Desalegn Getnet Demsie, Riaz Uddin, Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader, Vinay Srinivasan, Hamid Ahmadieh, Claudio Alberto Dávila-Cervantes, Raffaele Palladino, Chukwudi A Nnaji, Mika Shigematsu, Stein Emil Vollset, Abbas Sheikhtaheri, Paulo A. Lotufo, Nasir Salam, Binyam Minuye Birihane, Mohammad Ali Mansournia, Tomislav Mestrovic, Samer Hamidi, Rajesh Sagar, Mayowa O. Owolabi, Kara Estep, Ester Cerin, Michael T. Chung, Simon Øverland, Amir Taherkhani, Sheng Chia Chung, Martin Amogre Ayanore, Nikolaos Dervenis, Joan B. Soriano, Tahereh Javaheri, Victor Adekanmbi, Seid Tiku Mereta, Gbenga A. Kayode, Christopher R. Cederroth, Razique Anwer, Rajan Nikbakhsh, Kaja Abbas, Fatemeh Heydarpour, Louisa Degenhardt, Tahiya Alam, Mohammad Miri, Alibek Mereke, David Laith Rawaf, Ippazio Cosimo Antonazzo, Erkin M. Mirrakhimov, Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh Jabbari, Desta Debalkie Atnafu, Davide Sattin, Moslem Soofi, Edris Hasanpoor, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Mika Kivimäki, Nikolay Ivanovich Briko, Joanna L Whisnant, Christopher J L Murray, Simin Mouodi, Alize J. Ferrari, Damian Santomauro, Katrin Burkart, Tudorel Andrei, Alberto Baldasseroni, Hafiz Ansar Rasul Suleria, Valery L. Feigin, Nauman Khalid, Ewerton Cousin, S. Mohammad Sajadi, Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo, Shankar M Bakkannavar, Themba G.G. Ginindza, Sadaf G. Sepanlou, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Sanjay Basu, Getinet Ayano, Paula Moraga, Soheil Hassanipour, Jason A. Anderson, Catherine Bisignano, Iyad Sultan, Deepak Kumar Pasupula, Keivan Ahmadi, Fariba Dorostkar, Rajeev Gupta, David M. Pereira, Mustafa Z. Younis, Adel Spotin, Rasmus Havmoeller, Yeshambel T. Nigatu, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Mithila Faruque, Alan D. Lopez, Shailesh Advani, Behshad Naghshtabrizi, Shane D. Morrison, Inga Dora Sigfusdottir, Konrad Pesudovs, Anna Gershberg Hayoon, Raaj Kishore Biswas, Reshmi Bhageerathy, H. Dean Hosgood, Giulia Carreras, Sarika Chaturvedi, James L. Fisher, In-Hwan Oh, G Anil Kumar, Christoph Nowak, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Puja C Rao, Marcel Ausloos, Ali Kabir, Rannveig Sigurvinsdottir, Leeberk Raja Inbaraj, Edgar Denova-Gutiérrez, Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos, Minh Nguyen, Ashkan Afshin, Payman Salamati, Colin Angus, Mona M. 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Mini, Christian Razo, Manuela L. Ferreira, Diego De Leo, Francesco Saverio Violante, Aristidis Tsatsakis, Zahra Sadat Dibaji Forooshani, Tea Lallukka, Dickson A. Amugsi, Anna Poznańska, Graeme J. Hankey, Kewal Krishan, Maryam Zamanian, Eirini Skiadaresi, Jai K Das, Felix Greaves, Tessa M. Pilz, Sameer Vali Gopalani, Mansour Ghafourifard, M. DeLang, Morteza Mahmoudi, Alton Lu, Brian J. Hall, Ravi Prakash Jha, David Edvardsson, Xiu Ju George Zhao, Farshad Farzadfar, Hadi Hassankhani, Samuel M. Ostroff, Gerhard Sulo, Keyghobad Ghadiri, Neeraj Bhala, Stefan Lorkowski, Mohammad Rabiee, Sivan Yegnanarayana Iyer Saraswathy, Amirhossein Sahebkar, Rashid Abdi Guled, Abdallah M. Samy, Roman Topor-Madry, Michal Grivna, Afsaneh Arzani, Ayesha Humayun, Simin Liu, Maryam Khayamzadeh, Davoud Adham, Ahad Bakhtiari, Shafiu Mohammed, Paolo Lauriola, Abbas Mosapour, Sophia Emmons-Bell, Khurshid Alam, Rajat Das Gupta, Matilde Leonardi, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Jeffrey V. Lazarus, Mohamed M. Gad, Kelly Compton, Leila R Kalankesh, Abdelrahman Ibrahim Abushouk, Mikk Jürisson, Catherine M. Antony, Ali A. Asadi-Pooya, Daniel Diaz, Salman Rawaf, Gina Agarwal, Ted R. Miller, Rebecca Ivers, João Vasco Santos, Savita Lasrado, Abdul Moiz Hafiz, Amir Almasi-Hashiani, Praveen Hoogar, Fares Alahdab, Om P Kurmi, Anbissa Muleta Senbeta, Tomi Akinyemiju, Boris Bikbov, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Amin Mousavi Khaneghah, Yahya Safari, Guilherme Borges, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Kenji Shibuya, Bahman Yousefi, Berrin Serdar, Karen M. Tabb, Sonali Kochhar, Till Bärnighausen, Kala M. Mehta, Mostafa Dianatinasab, Arash Etemadi, Melissa Y. Wei, Kiana Ramezanzadeh, Lingkan Barua, Zubair Kabir, Rade Vukovic, Hesham M. Al-Mekhlafi, Shoshana H. Ballew, Miriam Levi, Zainab Samad, Florentino Luciano Caetano dos Santos, Juan Sanabria, Ramu Rawat, Chinwe Juliana Iwu, Gabrielle B. Britton, Colm McAlinden, Mohsen Naghavi, Maarten J. 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S. B., Caetano Dos Santos, F. L., Camera, L. A., Elyazar, I. R. F., Ayalew Gebreslassie, A. A. A., Ginindza, T. G., Matin, B. K., Morgado-Da-Costa, J., Khaneghah, A. M., Mahesh, P. A., Toroudi, H. P., Syed, Z. Q., Salem, M. R., Skou, S. T., Tovani-Palone, M. R., Tudor Car, L. T., and Moghadam, T. Z.
Subjects: Male, Nutritional Sciences, Specific risk, Contaminación del Aire Interior, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, Socioeconomic Factor, systematic analysis, Global Health, Body Mass Index, Global Burden of Disease, Health Risk Behavior, Health Risk Behaviors, Disease studies, 0302 clinical medicine, Risk Factors, METABOLIC RISKS, 030212 general & internal medicine, 11 Medical and Health Sciences, Factores de Riesgo, 2. Zero hunger, education.field_of_study, Public health, Injuries, Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology, General Medicine, GBD, risck factors, attributable burden of disease, 3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health, 3. Good health, Relative risk, Environmental health, Health, Hypertension, Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, Risk Factors, A990 Medicine and Dentistry not elsewhere classified, Female, Leading risk factors, Global Health Metrics, Cohort study, Human, medicine.medical_specialty, Substance-Related Disorders, Population, UNITED-STATES, Risk Assessment, DIET, ITC-HYBRID, 03 medical and health sciences, Life Expectancy, MORTALITY, DISABILITY, POLLUTION, CLUSTERS, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, General & Internal Medicine, medicine, Humans, Global Burden of Disease Study, Risk factor, education, Global burden, business.industry, Risk Factor, Malnutrition, Klinisk medicin, Global Burden of Diseases, Environmental Exposure, medicine.disease, Enfermedades, purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#3.02.00 [https], Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi, Years of potential life lost, Socioeconomic Factors, Risk factors, Disease study, Hyperglycemia, ITC-ISI-JOURNAL-ARTICLE, NA, Clinical Medicine, business, RA
Abstract: Background Rigorous analysis of levels and trends in exposure to leading risk factors and quantification of their effect on human health are important to identify where public health is making progress and in which cases current efforts are inadequate. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 provides a standardised and comprehensive assessment of the magnitude of risk factor exposure, relative risk, and attributable burden of disease. Methods GBD 2019 estimated attributable mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years of life lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 87 risk factors and combinations of risk factors, at the global level, regionally, and for 204 countries and territories. GBD uses a hierarchical list of risk factors so that specific risk factors (eg, sodium intake), and related aggregates (eg, diet quality), are both evaluated. This method has six analytical steps. (1) We included 560 risk-outcome pairs that met criteria for convincing or probable evidence on the basis of research studies. 12 risk-outcome pairs included in GBD 2017 no longer met inclusion criteria and 47 risk-outcome pairs for risks already included in GBD 2017 were added based on new evidence. (2) Relative risks were estimated as a function of exposure based on published systematic reviews, 81 systematic reviews done for GBD 2019, and meta-regression. (3) Levels of exposure in each age-sex-location-year included in the study were estimated based on all available data sources using spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression, DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression method, or alternative methods. (4) We determined, from published trials or cohort studies, the level of exposure associated with minimum risk, called the theoretical minimum risk exposure level. (5) Attributable deaths, YLLs, YLDs, and DALYs were computed by multiplying population attributable fractions (PAFs) by the relevant outcome quantity for each age-sex-location-year. (6) PAFs and attributable burden for combinations of risk factors were estimated taking into account mediation of different risk factors through other risk factors. Across all six analytical steps, 30 652 distinct data sources were used in the analysis. Uncertainty in each step of the analysis was propagated into the final estimates of attributable burden. Exposure levels for dichotomous, polytomous, and continuous risk factors were summarised with use of the summary exposure value to facilitate comparisons over time, across location, and across risks. Because the entire time series from 1990 to 2019 has been re-estimated with use of consistent data and methods, these results supersede previously published GBD estimates of attributable burden. Findings The largest declines in risk exposure from 2010 to 2019 were among a set of risks that are strongly linked to social and economic development, including household air pollution; unsafe water, sanitation, and handwashing; and child growth failure. Global declines also occurred for tobacco smoking and lead exposure. The largest increases in risk exposure were for ambient particulate matter pollution, drug use, high fasting plasma glucose, and high body-mass index. In 2019, the leading Level 2 risk factor globally for attributable deaths was high systolic blood pressure, which accounted for 10.8 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 9.51-12.1) deaths (19.2% [16.9-21.3] of all deaths in 2019), followed by tobacco (smoked, second-hand, and chewing), which accounted for 8.71 million (8.12-9.31) deaths (15.4% [14.6-16.2] of all deaths in 2019). The leading Level 2 risk factor for attributable DALYs globally in 2019 was child and maternal malnutrition, which largely affects health in the youngest age groups and accounted for 295 million (253-350) DALYs (11.6% [10.3-13.1] of all global DALYs that year). The risk factor burden varied considerably in 2019 between age groups and locations. Among children aged 0-9 years, the three leading detailed risk factors for attributable DALYs were all related to malnutrition. Iron deficiency was the leading risk factor for those aged 10-24 years, alcohol use for those aged 25-49 years, and high systolic blood pressure for those aged 50-74 years and 75 years and older. Interpretation Overall, the record for reducing exposure to harmful risks over the past three decades is poor. Success with reducing smoking and lead exposure through regulatory policy might point the way for a stronger role for public policy on other risks in addition to continued efforts to provide information on risk factor harm to the general public. Copyright (C) 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Published: 2020

19. Global injury morbidity and mortality from 1990 to 2017 : results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: Giulio Castelpietra, Feng Sha, Khalid A Altirkawi, Seyedeh Zahra Masoumi, Gebreamlak Gebremedhn Gebremeskel, Ahmad Daryani, Ibrahim Abdollahpour, Simon I. Hay, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Erin B Hamilton, Kate E. LeGrand, Nikolay Ivanovich Briko, Ana-Laura Manda, Aziz Eftekhari, Irfan Ullah, Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah, Zichen Liu, Maida Umar, Shaimaa I. El-Jaafary, Marina Pinheiro, Farhad Ghamari, Milad Mohammadoo-Khorasani, Rajaram Yadav, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Ramesh Holla, Farzad Jalilian, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Omar Mukhtar Salman, Bayew Kelkay, Tanuj Kanchan, Irina Filip, Michael R. Phillips, Hamid Reza Tohidinik, Demelash Abewa Elemineh, Reza Malekzadeh, Tomasz Miazgowski, Diana Silva, Samath D Dharmaratne, Eleonora Dubljanin, Fatemeh Zare, Jasvinder A. Singh, Hagazi Gebremedhin Kassaye, Nathaniel J Henry, Venkatesh Maled, Girikumar Kumaresh, Alireza Rafiei, Zhi-Jiang Zhang, Arielle Wilder Eagan, Merhawi Gebremedhin Tekle, Gholamreza Roshandel, Jeevan Pereira, Tinuke O Olagunju, Olatunde Aremu, Mohammad Zamani, Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Lidia Morawska, Bayisa Abdissa Baye, Eduarda Fernandes, Feleke Mekonnen Demeke, Beriwan Abdulqadir Ali, Ibrahim A Khalil, Hafte Kahsay Kebede, Songhomitra Panda-Jonas, Yuichiro Yano, Haileab Fekadu Wolde, Antonio Maria Borzì, Delia Hendrie, Azeem Majeed, Vahid Rashedi, Mehran Shams-Beyranvand, Ilais Moreno Velásquez, Derrick A Bennett, Roba Khundkar, Mohammed Madadin, Biniyam Sahiledengle Geberemariyam, Parul Puri, Lidia Sanchez Riera, Yetunde O. John-Akinola, Jennifer Rickard, Saeed Shahabi, Tiffany K. Gill, Jemal Abdu Mohammed, Alessandra C. Goulart, Mohiuddin Ahsanul Kabir Chowdhury, Roya Safari-Faramani, Pawan Faris, Farhad Moradpour, Guilherme Borges, Sadia Bibi, Bartosz Miazgowski, Wubalem Fekadu, Rakhi Dandona, Ali Reza Soltanian, Alaa Badawi, Amir Hasanzadeh, Hassan Haghparast Bidgoli, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Morteza Arab-Zozani, Vinay Nangia, Gaurav Gupta, Farkhonde Salehi, Isabela M. Benseñor, Rekha Thapar, Yasser S. Amer, Naohiro Yonemoto, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Amanda J. Mason-Jones, Marcela Agudelo-Botero, Ashraf Nabhan, Saeed Safari, Lorainne Tudor Car, Ayman Grada, Stanislav S. Otstavnov, Keyvan Pakshir, Nefsu Awoke, Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan, Adnan Kisa, Ghasem Azarian, Yogesh Sabde, Soufiane Boufous, Fatemeh Khosravi Shadmani, Ketema Bizuwork Gebremedhin, Heather Orpana, Narayan Bahadur Mahotra, Tripti Khanna, Peter Nyasulu, Tommi Vasankari, Reza Mohammadpourhodki, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Andrea Werdecker, Sanghamitra Pati, Rajan Nikbakhsh, Sorin Hostiuc, Prateek Rastogi, Xuefeng Liu, Manasi Kumar, Josip Car, Chuanhua Yu, Aziz Rezapour, Narayana Manjunatha, Ritesh G. Menezes, Michael K. Hole, Asadollah Gholamian, Pascual R. Valdez, Lorenzo Monasta, Amit Arora, Marek Majdan, Abraham Getachew Kelbore, Irini Chatziralli, Rafael Alves Guimarães, Mohammad Hassan Emamian, Filippo Ariani, Jeadran N. 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Chowdhury, M, Chu, D, Colquhoun, S, Constantin, M, Costa, V, Damiani, G, Daryani, A, Davila-Cervantes, C, Demeke, F, Demis, A, Demoz, G, Demsie, D, Derakhshani, A, Deribe, K, Desai, R, Nasab, M, Da Silva, D, Dibaji Forooshani, Z, Doyle, K, Driscoll, T, Dubljanin, E, Adema, B, Eagan, A, Eftekhari, A, Ehsani-Chimeh, E, Sayed Zaki, M, Elemineh, D, El-Jaafary, S, El-Khatib, Z, Ellingsen, C, Emamian, M, Endalew, D, Eskandarieh, S, Faris, P, Faro, A, Farzadfar, F, Fatahi, Y, Fekadu, W, Ferede, T, Fereshtehnejad, S, Fernandes, E, Ferrara, P, Feyissa, G, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Folayan, M, Foroutan, M, Francis, J, Franklin, R, Fukumoto, T, Geberemariyam, B, Gebre, A, Gebremedhin, K, Gebremeskel, G, Gebremichael, B, Gedefaw, G, Geta, B, Ghafourifard, M, Ghamari, F, Ghashghaee, A, Gholamian, A, Gill, T, Goulart, A, Grada, A, Grivna, M, Mohialdeen Gubari, M, Guimaraes, R, Guo, Y, Gupta, G, Haagsma, J, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Bidgoli, H, Hall, B, Hamadeh, R, Hamidi, S, Haro, J, Hasan, M, Hasanzadeh, A, Hassanipour, S, Hassankhani, H, Hassen, H, Havmoeller, R, Hayat, K, Hendrie, D, Heydarpour, F, Hijar, M, Ho, H, Hoang, C, Hole, M, Holla, R, Hossain, N, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, S, Hu, G, Ibitoye, S, Ilesanmi, O, Ilic, I, Ilic, M, Inbaraj, L, Indriasih, E, Naghibi Irvani, S, Shariful Islam, S, Islam, M, Ivers, R, Jacobsen, K, Jahani, M, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, M, Jalilian, F, Jayaraman, S, Jayatilleke, A, Jha, R, John-Akinola, Y, Jonas, J, Joseph, N, Joukar, F, Jozwiak, J, Jungari, S, Jurisson, M, Kabir, A, Kadel, R, Kahsay, A, Kalankesh, L, Kalhor, R, Kamil, T, Kanchan, T, Kapoor, N, Karami, M, Kasaeian, A, Kassaye, H, Kavetskyy, T, Kebede, H, Keiyoro, P, Kelbore, A, Kelkay, B, Khader, Y, Khafaie, M, Khalid, N, Khalil, I, Khalilov, R, Khammarnia, M, Khan, E, Khan, M, Khanna, T, Khazaie, H, Shadmani, F, Khundkar, R, Kiirithio, D, Kim, Y, Kim, D, Kisa, A, Kisa, S, Komaki, H, M Kondlahalli, S, Korshunov, V, Koyanagi, A, G Kraemer, M, Krishan, K, Bicer, B, Kugbey, N, Kumar, V, Kumar, N, Kumar, G, Kumar, M, Kumaresh, G, Kurmi, O, Kuti, O, Vecchia, C, Lami, F, Lamichhane, P, Lang, J, Lansingh, V, Laryea, D, Lasrado, S, Latifi, A, Lauriola, P, Leasher, J, Huey Lee, S, Lenjebo, T, Levi, M, Li, S, Linn, S, Liu, X, Lopez, A, Lotufo, P, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, R, Madadin, M, El Razek, M, Mahotra, N, Majdan, M, Majeed, A, Malagon-Rojas, J, Maled, V, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, D, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Manda, A, Manjunatha, N, Mansour-Ghanaei, F, Mansouri, B, Mansournia, M, Maravilla, J, March, L, Mason-Jones, A, Masoumi, S, Massenburg, B, Maulik, P, Meles, G, Melese, A, Melketsedik, Z, N Memiah, P, Mendoza, W, Menezes, R, Mengesha, M, Meretoja, T, Meretoja, A, Merie, H, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Miazgowski, T, Miller, T, Mini, G, Mirica, A, Mirrakhimov, E, Mirzaei-Alavijeh, M, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Moghadaszadeh, M, Mohamadi, E, Mohammad, Y, Mohammad, K, Darwesh, A, Gholi Mezerji, N, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammadoo-Khorasani, M, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Mohammed, S, 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Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rajabpour-Sanati, A, Rajati, F, Rakovac, I, Ranganathan, K, Rao, S, Rashedi, V, Rastogi, P, Rathi, P, Rawaf, S, Rawal, L, Rawassizadeh, R, Renjith, V, N Renzaho, A, Resnikoff, S, Rezapour, A, Ribeiro, A, Rickard, J, Rios Gonzalez, C, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Saad, A, Sabde, Y, Sabour, S, Saddik, B, Safari, S, Safari-Faramani, R, Safarpour, H, Safdarian, M, Sajadi, S, Salamati, P, Salehi, F, Zahabi, S, Rashad Salem, M, Salem, H, Salman, O, Salz, I, Samy, A, Sanabria, J, Riera, L, Santric Milicevic, M, Sarker, A, Sarveazad, A, Sathian, B, Sawhney, M, Sawyer, S, Saxena, S, Sayyah, M, Schwebel, D, Seedat, S, Senthilkumaran, S, Sepanlou, S, Seyedmousavi, S, Sha, F, Shaahmadi, F, Shahabi, S, Shaikh, M, Shams-Beyranvand, M, Shamsizadeh, M, Sharif-Alhoseini, M, Sharifi, H, Sheikh, A, Shigematsu, M, Shin, J, Shiri, R, Siabani, S, Sigfusdottir, I, Singh, P, Singh, J, Sinha, D, Smarandache, C, R Smith, E, Soheili, A, Soleymani, B, Soltanian, A, Soriano, J, Sorrie, M, Soyiri, I, Stein, D, Stokes, M, Sufiyan, M, Rasul Suleria, H, Sykes, B, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Tabb, K, Taddele, B, Tadesse, D, Tamiru, A, Tarigan, I, Tefera, Y, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekle, M, Tekulu, G, Tesema, A, Tesfay, B, Thapar, R, Tilahune, A, Tlaye, K, Tohidinik, H, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, B, Tran, K, Tripathy, J, Tsai, A, Car, L, Ullah, S, Ullah, I, Umar, M, Unnikrishnan, B, Upadhyay, E, Uthman, O, Valdez, P, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Violante, F, Vlassov, V, Waheed, Y, Weldesamuel, G, Werdecker, A, Wiangkham, T, Wolde, H, Woldeyes, D, Wondafrash, D, Wondmeneh, T, Wondmieneh, A, Wu, A, Yadav, R, Yadollahpour, A, Yano, Y, Yaya, S, Yazdi-Feyzabadi, V, Yip, P, Yisma, E, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S, Youm, Y, Younis, M, Yousefi, Z, Yu, Y, Yu, C, Yusefzadeh, H, Moghadam, T, Zaidi, Z, Zaman, S, Zamani, M, Zamanian, M, Zandian, H, Zarei, A, Zare, F, Zhang, Z, Zhang, Y, Zodpey, S, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Degenhardt, L, Dharmaratne, S, Hay, S, Mokdad, A, Reiner Jr, R, Sartorius, 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L., Castle, C. D., Dingels, Z. V., Fox, J. T., Hamilton, E. B., Liu, Z., Roberts, N. L. S., Sylte, D. O., Henry, N. J., Legrand, K. E., Abdelalim, A., Abdoli, A., Abdollahpour, I., Abdulkader, R. S., Abedi, A., Abosetugn, A. E., Abushouk, A. I., Adebayo, O. M., Agudelo-Botero, M., Ahmad, T., Ahmed, R., Ahmed, M. B., Aichour, M. T. E., Alahdab, F., Alamene, G. M., Alanezi, F. M., Alebel, A., Alema, N. M., Alghnam, S. A., Al-Hajj, S., Ali, B. A., Ali, S., Alikhani, M., Alinia, C., Alipour, V., Aljunid, S. M., Almasi-Hashiani, A., Almasri, N. A., Altirkawi, K., Amer, Y. S. A., Amini, S., Amit, A. M. L., Andrei, C. L., Ansari-Moghaddam, A., Antonio, C. A. T., Appiah, S. C. Y., Arabloo, J., Arab-Zozani, M., Arefi, Z., Aremu, O., Ariani, F., Arora, A., Asaad, M., Asghari, B., Awoke, N., Quintanilla, B. P. A., Ayano, G., Ayanore, M. A., Azari, S., Azarian, G., Badawi, A., Badiye, A. D., Bagli, E., Baig, A. A., Bairwa, M., Bakhtiari, A., Balachandran, A., Banach, M., Banerjee, S. 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D., Eagan, A. W., Eftekhari, A., Ehsani-Chimeh, E., El Sayed Zaki, M., Elemineh, D. A., El-Jaafary, S. I., El-Khatib, Z., Ellingsen, C. L., Emamian, M. H., Endalew, D. A., Eskandarieh, S., Faris, P. S., Faro, A., Farzadfar, F., Fatahi, Y., Fekadu, W., Ferede, T. Y., Fereshtehnejad, S. -M., Fernandes, E., Ferrara, P., Feyissa, G. T., Filip, I., Fischer, F., Folayan, M. O., Foroutan, M., Francis, J. M., Franklin, R. C., Fukumoto, T., Geberemariyam, B. S., Gebre, A. K., Gebremedhin, K. B., Gebremeskel, G. G., Gebremichael, B., Gedefaw, G. A., Geta, B., Ghafourifard, M., Ghamari, F., Ghashghaee, A., Gholamian, A., Gill, T. K., Goulart, A. C., Grada, A., Grivna, M., Gubari, M. I. M., Guimaraes, R. A., Guo, Y., Gupta, G., Haagsma, J. A., Hafezi-Nejad, N., Bidgoli, H. H., Hall, B. J., Hamadeh, R. R., Hamidi, S., Haro, J. M., Hasan, M. M., Hasanzadeh, A., Hassanipour, S., Hassankhani, H., Hassen, H. Y., Havmoeller, R., Hayat, K., Hendrie, D., Heydarpour, F., Hijar, M., Ho, H. C., Hoang, C. L., Hole, M. K., Holla, R., Hossain, N., Hosseinzadeh, M., Hostiuc, S., Hu, G., Ibitoye, S. E., Ilesanmi, O. S., Ilic, I., Ilic, M. D., Inbaraj, L. R., Indriasih, E., Irvani, S. S. N., Islam, S. M. S., Mofizul Islam, M., Ivers, R. Q., Jacobsen, K. H., Jahani, M. A., Jahanmehr, N., Jakovljevic, M., Jalilian, F., Jayaraman, S., Jayatilleke, A. U., Jha, R. P., John-Akinola, Y. O., Jonas, J. B., Joseph, N., Joukar, F., Jozwiak, J. J., Jungari, S. B., Jurisson, M., Kabir, A., Kadel, R., Kahsay, A., Kalankesh, L. R., Kalhor, R., Kamil, T. A., Kanchan, T., Kapoor, N., Karami, M., Kasaeian, A., Kassaye, H. G., Kavetskyy, T., Kebede, H. K., Keiyoro, P. N., Kelbore, A. G., Kelkay, B., Khader, Y. S., Khafaie, M. A., Khalid, N., Khalil, I. A., Khalilov, R., Khammarnia, M., Khan, E. A., Khan, M., Khanna, T., Khazaie, H., Shadmani, F. K., Khundkar, R., Kiirithio, D. N., Kim, Y. -E., Kim, D., Kim, Y. J., Kisa, A., Kisa, S., Komaki, H., Kondlahalli, S. K. M., Korshunov, V. A., Koyanagi, A., Kraemer, M. U. G., Krishan, K., Bicer, B. K., Kugbey, N., Kumar, V., Kumar, N., Anil Kumar, G., Kumar, M., Kumaresh, G., Kurmi, O. P., Kuti, O., Vecchia, C. L., Lami, F. H., Lamichhane, P., Lang, J. J., Lansingh, V. C., Laryea, D. O., Lasrado, S., Latifi, A., Lauriola, P., Leasher, J. L., Lee, S. W. H., Lenjebo, T. L., Levi, M., Li, S., Linn, S., Liu, X., Lopez, A. D., Lotufo, P. A., Lunevicius, R., Lyons, R. A., Madadin, M., El Razek, M. M. A., Mahotra, N. B., Majdan, M., Majeed, A., Malagon-Rojas, J. N., Maled, V., Malekzadeh, R., Malta, D. C., Manafi, N., Manafi, A., Manda, A. -L., Manjunatha, N., Mansour-Ghanaei, F., Mansouri, B., Mansournia, M. A., Maravilla, J. C., March, L. M., Mason-Jones, A. J., Masoumi, S. Z., Massenburg, B. B., Maulik, P. K., Meles, G. G., Melese, A., Melketsedik, Z. A., Memiah, P. T. N., Mendoza, W., Menezes, R. G., Mengesha, M. B., Mengesha, M. M., Meretoja, T. J., Meretoja, A., Merie, H. E., Mestrovic, T., Miazgowski, B., Miazgowski, T., Miller, T. R., Mini, G. K., Mirica, A., Mirrakhimov, E. M., Mirzaei-Alavijeh, M., Mithra, P., Moazen, B., Moghadaszadeh, M., Mohamadi, E., Mohammad, Y., Mohammad, K. A., Darwesh, A. M., Mezerji, N. M. G., Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A., Mohammadoo-Khorasani, M., Mohammadpourhodki, R., Mohammed, S., Mohammed, J. A., Mohebi, F., Molokhia, M., Monasta, L., Moodley, Y., Moosazadeh, M., Moradi, M., Moradi, G., Moradi-Lakeh, M., Moradpour, F., Morawska, L., Velasquez, I. M., Morisaki, N., Morrison, S. D., Mossie, T. B., Muluneh, A. G., Murthy, S., Musa, K. I., Mustafa, G., Nabhan, A. F., Nagarajan, A. J., Naik, G., Naimzada, M. D., Najafi, F., Nangia, V., Nascimento, B. R., Naserbakht, M., Nayak, V., Ndwandwe, D. E., Negoi, I., Ngunjiri, J. W., Nguyen, C. T., Nguyen, H. L. T., Nikbakhsh, R., Ningrum, D. N. A., Nnaji, C. A., Nyasulu, P. S., Ogbo, F. A., Oghenetega, O. B., Oh, I. -H., Okunga, E. W., Olagunju, A. T., Olagunju, T. O., Bali, A. O., Onwujekwe, O. E., Asante, K. O., Orpana, H. M., Ota, E., Otstavnov, N., Otstavnov, S. S., Mahesh, P. A., Padubidri, J. R., Pakhale, S., Pakshir, K., Panda-Jonas, S., Park, E. -K., Patel, S. K., Pathak, A., Pati, S., Patton, G. C., Paulos, K., Peden, A. E., Pepito, V. C. F., Pereira, J., Pham, H. Q., Phillips, M. R., Pinheiro, M., Polibin, R. V., Polinder, S., Poustchi, H., Prakash, S., Pribadi, D. R. A., Puri, P., Syed, Z. Q., Rabiee, M., Rabiee, N., Radfar, A., Rafay, A., Rafiee, A., Rafiei, A., Rahim, F., Rahimi, S., Rahimi-Movaghar, V., Rahman, M. A., Rajabpour-Sanati, A., Rajati, F., Rakovac, I., Ranganathan, K., Rao, S. J., Rashedi, V., Rastogi, P., Rathi, P., Rawaf, S., Rawal, L., Rawassizadeh, R., Renjith, V., Renzaho, A. M. N., Resnikoff, S., Rezapour, A., Ribeiro, A. I., Rickard, J., Gonzalez, C. M. R., Ronfani, L., Roshandel, G., Saad, A. M., Sabde, Y. D., Sabour, S., Saddik, B., Safari, S., Safari-Faramani, R., Safarpour, H., Safdarian, M., Mohammad Sajadi, S., Salamati, P., Salehi, F., Zahabi, S. S., Rashad Salem, M. R., Salem, H., Salman, O., Salz, I., Samy, A. M., Sanabria, J., Riera, L. S., Santric Milicevic, M. M., Sarker, A. R., Sarveazad, A., Sathian, B., Sawhney, M., Sawyer, S. M., Saxena, S., Sayyah, M., Schwebel, D. C., Seedat, S., Senthilkumaran, S., Sepanlou, S. G., Seyedmousavi, S., Sha, F., Shaahmadi, F., Shahabi, S., Shaikh, M. A., Shams-Beyranvand, M., Shamsizadeh, M., Sharif-Alhoseini, M., Sharifi, H., Sheikh, A., Shigematsu, M., Shin, J. I., Shiri, R., Siabani, S., Sigfusdottir, I. D., Singh, P. K., Singh, J. A., Sinha, D. N., Smarandache, C. -G., Smith, E. U. R., Soheili, A., Soleymani, B., Soltanian, A. R., Soriano, J. B., Sorrie, M. B., Soyiri, I. N., Stein, D. J., Stokes, M. A., Mu'Awiyyah, B. S., Suleria, H. A. R., Sykes, B. L., Tabares-Seisdedos, R., Tabb, K. M., Taddele, B. W., Tadesse, D. B., Tamiru, A. T., Tarigan, I. U., Tefera, Y. M., Tehrani-Banihashemi, A., Tekle, M. G., Tekulu, G. H., Tesema, A. K., Tesfay, B. E., Thapar, R., Tilahune, A. B., Tlaye, K. G., Tohidinik, H. R., Topor-Madry, R., Tran, B. X., Tran, K. B., Tripathy, J. P., Tsai, A. C., Car, L. T., Ullah, S., Ullah, I., Umar, M., Unnikrishnan, B., Upadhyay, E., Uthman, O. A., Valdez, P. R., Vasankari, T. J., Venketasubramanian, N., Violante, F. S., Vlassov, V., Waheed, Y., Weldesamuel, G. T., Werdecker, A., Wiangkham, T., Wolde, H. F., Woldeyes, D. H., Wondafrash, D. Z., Wondmeneh, T. G., Wondmieneh, A. B., Wu, A. -M., Yadav, R., Yadollahpour, A., Yano, Y., Yaya, S., Yazdi-Feyzabadi, V., Yip, P., Yisma, E., Yonemoto, N., Yoon, S. -J., Youm, Y., Younis, M. Z., Yousefi, Z., Yu, Y., Yu, C., Yusefzadeh, H., Moghadam, T. Z., Zaidi, Z., Zaman, S. B., Zamani, M., Zamanian, M., Zandian, H., Zarei, A., Zare, F., Zhang, Z. -J., Zhang, Y., Zodpey, S., Dandona, L., Dandona, R., Degenhardt, L., Dharmaratne, S. D., Hay, S. I., Mokdad, A. H., Reiner, R. C., Sartorius, B., Vos, T., James, Spencer L, Castle, Chris D, Dingels, Zachary V, Fox, Jack T, Adema, Bereket Duko, Yisma, Engida, and Vos, Theo
Subjects: Dánarmein, Fötlun, Dánartíðni, Lífslíkur, Life expectancy, 1106 Human Movement and Sports Sciences, burden of disease, Global Health, Global Burden of Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, Quality-Adjusted Life Year, Global health, Medicine, LIFE EXPECTANCY, 030212 general & internal medicine, POPULATION, Cause of death, Original Research, RISK, education.field_of_study, Global disease burdens, Injuries, Sjúkdómar, Incidence (epidemiology), Incidence, Population health, Burden of disease, Global, global, 3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health, 3. Good health, Descriptive epidemiology, Lýðheilsa, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Public Health, TERRITORIES, descriptive epidemiology, Human, Population, 195 COUNTRIES, Humans, Life Expectancy, Morbidity, Wounds and Injuries, 1117 Public Health and Health Services, 03 medical and health sciences, AGE, SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS, Mortality, education, Disability, SEX-SPECIFIC MORTALITY, business.industry, Faraldsfræði, DISABILITY, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Quality-adjusted life year, Years of potential life lost, Áverkar, 1701 Psychology, Human medicine, business, 030217 neurology & neurosurgery, Demography
Abstract: Publisher's version (útgefin grein), Background Past research in population health trends has shown that injuries form a substantial burden of population health loss. Regular updates to injury burden assessments are critical. We report Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 Study estimates on morbidity and mortality for all injuries. Methods We reviewed results for injuries from the GBD 2017 study. GBD 2017 measured injury-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) using the Cause of Death Ensemble model. To measure non-fatal injuries, GBD 2017 modelled injury-specific incidence and converted this to prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs). YLLs and YLDs were summed to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Findings In 1990, there were 4 260 493 (4 085 700 to 4 396 138) injury deaths, which increased to 4 484 722 (4 332 010 to 4 585 554) deaths in 2017, while age-standardised mortality decreased from 1079 (1073 to 1086) to 738 (730 to 745) per 100 000. In 1990, there were 354 064 302 (95% uncertainty interval: 338 174 876 to 371 610 802) new cases of injury globally, which increased to 520 710 288 (493 430 247 to 547 988 635) new cases in 2017. During this time, age-standardised incidence decreased non-significantly from 6824 (6534 to 7147) to 6763 (6412 to 7118) per 100 000. Between 1990 and 2017, age-standardised DALYs decreased from 4947 (4655 to 5233) per 100 000 to 3267 (3058 to 3505). Interpretation Injuries are an important cause of health loss globally, though mortality has declined between 1990 and 2017. Future research in injury burden should focus on prevention in high-burden populations, improving data collection and ensuring access to medical care., Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation OPP1152504, "Peer Reviewed"
Published: 2020

20. Global Burden of Childhood Epilepsy, Intellectual Disability, and Sensory Impairments

Author: Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Donald Wertlieb, Petrus J. de Vries, Cecilia Breinbauer, Charles R. Newton, Angelina Kakooza-Mwesige, Nem-Yun Boo, Nihad A. Almasri, Melissa Gladstone, Maureen Samms-Vaughan, Sophia Backhaus, Andrew N Williams, Vijaya Kancherla, G. L. Carr, Scott M. Wright, Amina Abubakar, Jalal Arabloo, Adrian Davis, Narendra K. Arora, Ricardo Halpern, Brad D. Berman, M. K. C. Nair, Chiara Servili, Tracey Smythe, Christie del Castillo-Hegyi, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, Amira Shaheen, Mphelekedzeni C. Mulaudzi, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Ashok Pandey, Helen E Olsen, Rosa A. Hoekstra, Hannah Kuper, Aziz Eftekhari, and (GRDDC), Global Research on Developmental Disabilities Collaborators
Subjects: Male, Gerontology, Adolescent, Hearing loss, MEDLINE, Developing country, Blindness, Article, Global Burden of Disease, Young Adult, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Intellectual Disability, 030225 pediatrics, Intervention (counseling), Intellectual disability, Prevalence, medicine, Humans, Disabled Persons, Young adult, Hearing Loss, Child, Epilepsy, business.industry, Infant, medicine.disease, Systematic review, Child, Preschool, Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health, Female, medicine.symptom, business, Cohort study
Abstract: BACKGROUND: Estimates of children and adolescents with disabilities worldwide are needed to inform global intervention under the disability-inclusive provisions of the Sustainable Development Goals. We sought to update the most widely reported estimate of 93 million children METHODS: We analyzed Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 data on the prevalence of childhood epilepsy, intellectual disability, and vision or hearing loss and on years lived with disability (YLD) derived from systematic reviews, health surveys, hospital and claims databases, cohort studies, and disease-specific registries. Point estimates of the prevalence and YLD and the 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) around the estimates were assessed. RESULTS: Globally, 291.2 million (11.2%) of the 2.6 billion children and adolescents (95% UI: 249.9–335.4 million) were estimated to have 1 of the 4 specified disabilities in 2017. The prevalence of these disabilities increased with age from 6.1% among children aged CONCLUSIONS: The number of children and adolescents with these 4 disabilities is far higher than the 2004 estimate, increases from infancy to adolescence, and accounts for a substantial proportion of all-cause YLD.
Published: 2020

21. Prevalence and attributable health burden of chronic respiratory diseases, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: Mohsen Naghavi, Maarten J. Postma, Mahesh P A, Milena Santric-Milicevic, Barbora de Courten, Parvaiz A Koul, Elias Merdassa Roro, Marek Majdan, Ali H. Mokdad, Mihaela Hostiuc, Félix Carvalho, Rufus A. Adedoyin, Miriam Levi, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Rakhi Dandona, Mohamad-Hani Temsah, Catalina Liliana Andrei, Benn Sartorius, Gebre Teklemariam Demoz, Derrick A Bennett, Ahmad Daryani, Paulo A. Lotufo, Fereshteh Ansari, Elissa M. Abrams, Luke D. Knibbs, Seyyed Meysam Mousavi, Azeem Majeed, Tomislav Mestrovic, Rajeev Gupta, Irina Filip, Leonardo Roever, G.K. Mini, Lorainne Tudor Car, Ghulam Mustafa, Josip Car, Lalit Dandona, Masoud Moradi, Molly R Nixon, Mohammad Zamani, Babak Moazen, Devasahayam J. Christopher, Chi Linh Hoang, Aaron J Cohen, Hossein Poustchi, Luca Ronfani, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Nefsu Awoke, Miguel Tortajada-Girbés, Khalid A Altirkawi, Justin R. Ortiz, Adane Teshome Kefale, Shailesh Advani, Alireza Rafiei, Kristina E. Rudd, Tim Driscoll, Yousef Khader, Heather J. Zar, Josep M. Antó, Milena Ilic, Fakher Rahim, Jost B. Jonas, Trang Huyen Nguyen, Yonatal Mesfin Tefera, Simon I. Hay, Aloke Gopal Ghoshal, Adnan Kisa, Ranjani Somayaji, Gholamreza Roshandel, Smita Pakhale, Francesco Saverio Violante, Monika Sawhney, Eyal Oren, Ali Bijani, Gebrekiros Gebremichael Meles, Hajer Elkout, Shanshan Li, Michael Soljak, Masoud Foroutan, Narayan Bahadur Mahotra, Mina Anjomshoa, Jasvinder A. Singh, Mika Shigematsu, Abdel Douiri, Naohiro Yonemoto, Amir Kasaeian, Lorenzo Monasta, Hagazi Gebre Meles, Rupak Desai, Hai Quang Pham, Feleke Mekonnen Demeke, Marissa B Reitsma, Samath D Dharmaratne, Amr Jamal, Miguel Ángel García-Gordillo, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Michael K. Hole, Aman Yesuf Endries, Vinay Gupta, Mehdi Naderi, Tham Thi Le, Houman Goudarzi, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Siamak Sabour, Theo Vos, Anurag Agrawal, Ireneous N. Soyiri, Kathleen S Sachiko Berfield, Charles D.A. Wolfe, Jobert Richie Nansseu, Robert C. Reiner, Carlo La Vecchia, Michael Brauer, Jagdish Khubchandani, Alaa Badawi, Sezer Kisa, Basema Saddik, Amir Hasanzadeh, H. Dean Hosgood, Berhe Etsay Tesfay, Ibtihal Fadhil, Ketema Bizuwork Gebremedhin, Ai Koyanagi, Maheswar Satpathy, James Leigh, Si Si, Gregory R. Wagner, Eduarda Fernandes, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Isabela M. Benseñor, Tommi Vasankari, Gebreamlak Gebremedhn Gebremeskel, Andrew T Olagunju, Moslem Soofi, Jalal Arabloo, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Mowafa Househ, Amir Radfar, Gebremicheal Gebreslassie Kasahun, Tara Ballav Adhikari, Songhomitra Panda-Jonas, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Komal Saleem, Bach Xuan Tran, Lal B. Rawal, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Hadi Pourjafar, Robert S. Bernstein, Ghobad Moradi, Farnam Mohebi, Mariam Molokhia, Kamarul Imran Musa, Elham Ahmadian, Pascual R. Valdez, Irfan Ullah, Ritesh G. Menezes, Dawit Zewdu Wondafrash, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Masood Ali Shaikh, Richard F. Gillum, Aziz Sheikh, Eun-Kee Park, Virendra Singh, Aziz Eftekhari, Yogesh Sabde, Florian Fischer, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Alemayehu Toma, Ruxandra Irina Negoi, Kebede Embaye Gezae, Abadi Kahsu Gebre, Abdullah Al Mamun, Junaid Khan, Yuming Guo, Parkes J Kendrick, Reza Malekzadeh, Bruno Piassi Sao Jose, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Lidia Morawska, Soraya Siabani, Tinuke O Olagunju, Zahid A Butt, Ronny Westerman, Eyasu Ejeta Duken, Khanh Bao Tran, Yousef Veisani, Getachew Mullu Kassa, Erkin M. Mirrakhimov, Miloje Savic, Anh Kim Dang, Vinay Nangia, Job F M van Boven, Adam Belay Wondmieneh, Alan D. Lopez, G Anil Kumar, Navid Manafi, Andre Pascal Kengne, Joan B. Soriano, Luis Camera, Seok Jun Yoon, Paramjit Gill, Yun Jin Kim, Seyyede Masoume Athari, Gurudatta Naik, Sadaf G. Sepanlou, Sanjeev Nair, Jarnail Singh Thakur, André Faro, Javad Nazari, Gene Bukhman, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Mayowa O. Owolabi, Lorenzo G. Mantovani, Nobuyuki Horita, Zubair Kabir, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Birhanu Geta Meharie, Daniel Diaz, Adrian Pana, Salman Rawaf, Mihajlo Jakovljevic, Ted R. Miller, Savita Lasrado, Joseph Adel Mattar Banoub, Fares Alahdab, Jan-Walter De Neve, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Saeed Safari, Farzad Manafi, Marco Vacante, Katherine R. Paulson, Hamidreza Komaki, Reza Shirkoohi, Young Eun Kim, Duduzile Ndwandwe, Nahla Anber, Ravi Prakash Jha, Farshad Farzadfar, Abdallah M. Samy, Richard Ofori-Asenso, Shafiu Mohammed, Paolo Lauriola, Fabiana Madotto, Yunquan Zhang, Qing Lan, David Laith Rawaf, Zoubida Zaidi, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, Juan Jesus Carrero, Morteza Abdullatif Khafaie, Seyyed Shamsadin Athari, Cuong Tat Nguyen, UAM. Departamento de Medicina, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Hospital Universitario de La Princesa (IIS-IP), Soriano, J, Kendrick, P, Paulson, K, Gupta, V, Abrams, E, Adedoyin, R, Adhikari, T, Advani, S, Agrawal, A, Ahmadian, E, Alahdab, F, Aljunid, S, Altirkawi, K, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, N, Andrei, C, Anjomshoa, M, Ansari, F, Anto, J, Arabloo, J, Athari, S, Awoke, N, Badawi, A, Banoub, J, Bennett, D, Bensenor, I, Berfield, K, Bernstein, R, Bhattacharyya, K, Bijani, A, Brauer, M, Bukhman, G, Butt, Z, Camera, L, Car, J, Carrero, J, Carvalho, F, Castaneda-Orjuela, C, Choi, J, Christopher, D, Cohen, A, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dang, A, Daryani, A, de Courten, B, Demeke, F, Demoz, G, De Neve, J, Desai, R, Dharmaratne, S, Diaz, D, Douiri, A, Driscoll, T, Duken, E, Eftekhari, A, Elkout, H, Endries, A, Fadhil, I, Faro, A, Farzadfar, F, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Foroutan, M, Garcia-Gordillo, M, Gebre, A, Gebremedhin, K, Gebremeskel, G, Gezae, K, Ghoshal, A, Gill, P, Gillum, R, Goudarzi, H, Guo, Y, Gupta, R, Hailu, G, Hasanzadeh, A, Hassen, H, Hay, S, Hoang, C, Hole, M, Horita, N, Hosgood, H, Hostiuc, M, Househ, M, Ilesanmi, O, Ilic, M, Irvani, S, Islam, S, Jakovljevic, M, Jamal, A, Jha, R, Jonas, J, Kabir, Z, Kasaeian, A, Kasahun, G, Kassa, G, Kefale, A, Kengne, A, Khader, Y, Khafaie, M, Khan, E, Khan, J, Khubchandani, J, Kim, Y, Kisa, S, Kisa, A, Knibbs, L, Komaki, H, Koul, P, Koyanagi, A, Kumar, G, Lan, Q, Lasrado, S, Lauriola, P, La Vecchia, C, Le, T, Leigh, J, Levi, M, Li, S, Lopez, A, Lotufo, P, Madotto, F, Mahotra, N, Majdan, M, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Mamun, A, Manafi, N, Manafi, F, Mantovani, L, Meharie, B, Meles, H, Meles, G, Menezes, R, Mestrovic, T, Miller, T, Mini, G, Mirrakhimov, E, Moazen, B, Mohammad, K, Mohammed, S, Mohebi, F, Mokdad, A, Molokhia, M, Monasta, L, Moradi, M, Moradi, G, Morawska, L, Mousavi, S, Musa, K, Mustafa, G, Naderi, M, Naghavi, M, Naik, G, Nair, S, Nangia, V, Nansseu, J, Nazari, J, Ndwandwe, D, Negoi, R, Nguyen, T, Nguyen, C, Nguyen, H, Nixon, M, Ofori-Asenso, R, Ogbo, F, Olagunju, A, Olagunju, T, Oren, E, Ortiz, J, Owolabi, M, P A, M, Pakhale, S, Pana, A, Panda-Jonas, S, Park, E, Pham, H, Postma, M, Pourjafar, H, Poustchi, H, Radfar, A, Rafiei, A, Rahim, F, Rahman, M, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, D, Rawal, L, Reiner, R, Reitsma, M, Roever, L, Ronfani, L, Roro, E, Roshandel, G, Rudd, K, Sabde, Y, Sabour, S, Saddik, B, Safari, S, Saleem, K, Samy, A, Santric-Milicevic, M, Sao Jose, B, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Savic, M, Sawhney, M, Sepanlou, S, Shaikh, M, Sheikh, A, Shigematsu, M, Shirkoohi, R, Si, S, Siabani, S, Singh, V, Singh, J, Soljak, M, Somayaji, R, Soofi, M, Soyiri, I, Tefera, Y, Temsah, M, Tesfay, B, Thakur, J, Toma, A, Tortajada-Girbes, M, Tran, K, Tran, B, Tudor Car, L, Ullah, I, Vacante, M, Valdez, P, van Boven, J, Vasankari, T, Veisani, Y, Violante, F, Wagner, G, Westerman, R, Wolfe, C, Wondafrash, D, Wondmieneh, A, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S, Zaidi, Z, Zamani, M, Zar, H, Zhang, Y, Vos, T, GBD Chronic Respiratory Disease Collaborator, Violante FS, GBD Chronic Respiratory Disease Collaborators, Collaborators, GBD Chronic Respiratory Disease, Groningen Research Institute for Asthma and COPD (GRIAC), Value, Affordability and Sustainability (VALUE), and Real World Studies in PharmacoEpidemiology, -Genetics, -Economics and -Therapy (PEGET)
Subjects: Male, Respiratory diseases, Respiratory Tract Diseases, Disease, Chronic respiratory diseases, Global Burden of Disease, Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive, 0302 clinical medicine, Cost of Illness, 11. Sustainability, METABOLIC RISKS, EPIDEMIOLOGY, 030212 general & internal medicine, Child, Cause of death, Aged, 80 and over, COPD, DALY, Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, Mortality rate, Respiratory disease, 1. No poverty, Age Factors, Middle Aged, Death causes, 3. Good health, PREVALENCE, Health risks, Child, Preschool, COMPARATIVE RISK-ASSESSMENT, Female, death and disability worldwide, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, TERRITORIES, BURDEN, growth in absolute numbers, Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine, Adult, ADJUSTED LIFE-YEARS, Health burdens, Adolescent, Medicina, 195 COUNTRIES, chronic respiratory diseases, Article, 1117 Public Health and Health Services, 03 medical and health sciences, Young Adult, Life Expectancy, Sex Factors, Burden of Disease, Respiratory disease, Sarcoidosis, Pulmonary, Environmental health, medicine, Disability-adjusted life year, Humans, EXPOSURE, Risk factor, Mortality, Aged, per-capita basis, business.industry, DISABILITY, Infant, Newborn, Infant, 1103 Clinical Sciences, asthma, medicine.disease, Asthma, Years of potential life lost, 030228 respiratory system, Risk factors, 13. Climate action, Systematic analyses, Chronic Disease, INJURIES, Human medicine, Pneumoconiosis, Morbidity, business, Lung Diseases, Interstitial, 1199 Other Medical and Health Sciences
Abstract: Artículo con numerosos autores. Sólo se hace referencia al primero que coincide con el de la UAM y al colectivo, Background Previous attempts to characterise the burden of chronic respiratory diseases have focused only on specific disease conditions, such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or asthma. In this study, we aimed to characterise the burden of chronic respiratory diseases globally, providing a comprehensive and up-to-date analysis on geographical and time trends from 1990 to 2017. Methods Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017, we estimated the prevalence, morbidity, and mortality attributable to chronic respiratory diseases through an analysis of deaths, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and years of life lost (YLL) by GBD super-region, from 1990 to 2017, stratified by age and sex. Specific diseases analysed included asthma, COPD, interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis, pneumoconiosis, and other chronic respiratory diseases. We also assessed the contribution of risk factors (smoking, second-hand smoke, ambient particulate matter and ozone pollution, household air pollution from solid fuels, and occupational risks) to chronic respiratory disease-attributable DALYs. Findings In 2017, 544·9 million people (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 506·9–584·8) worldwide had a chronic respiratory disease, representing an increase of 39·8% compared with 1990. Chronic respiratory disease prevalence showed wide variability across GBD super-regions, with the highest prevalence among both males and females in high-income regions, and the lowest prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia. The age-sex-specific prevalence of each chronic respiratory disease in 2017 was also highly variable geographically. Chronic respiratory diseases were the third leading cause of death in 2017 (7·0% [95% UI 6·8–7·2] of all deaths), behind cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms. Deaths due to chronic respiratory diseases numbered 3 914 196 (95% UI 3 790 578–4 044 819) in 2017, an increase of 18·0% since 1990, while total DALYs increased by 13·3%. However, when accounting for ageing and population growth, declines were observed in age-standardised prevalence (14·3% decrease), agestandardised death rates (42·6%), and age-standardised DALY rates (38·2%). In males and females, most chronic respiratory disease-attributable deaths and DALYs were due to COPD. In regional analyses, mortality rates from chronic respiratory diseases were greatest in south Asia and lowest in sub-Saharan Africa, also across both sexes. Notably, although absolute prevalence was lower in south Asia than in most other super-regions, YLLs due to chronic respiratory diseases across the subcontinent were the highest in the world. Death rates due to interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis were greater than those due to pneumoconiosis in all super-regions. Smoking was the leading risk factor for chronic respiratory disease-related disability across all regions for men. Among women, household air pollution from solid fuels was the predominant risk factor for chronic respiratory diseases in south Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, while ambient particulate matter represented the leading risk factor in southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania, and in the Middle East and north Africa super-region. Interpretation Our study shows that chronic respiratory diseases remain a leading cause of death and disability worldwide, with growth in absolute numbers but sharp declines in several age-standardised estimators since 1990. Premature mortality from chronic respiratory diseases seems to be highest in regions with less-resourced health systems on a per-capita basis, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Published: 2020

22. Quantifying risks and interventions that have affected the burden of diarrhoea among children younger than 5 years : an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Yuming Guo, Soewarta Kosen, Irfan Ullah, Khanh Bao Tran, Joan B. Soriano, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Teklay G E Teklu, Smita Pakhale, Dietrich Rothenbacher, Christopher Troeger, Eyasu Ejeta Duken, Erkin M. Mirrakhimov, Helena Manguerra, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Chalachew Genet Akal, Rakhi Dandona, Alaa Badawi, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Sonali Kochhar, Javad Nazari, Evanson Z. Sambala, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, G Anil Kumar, Niranjan Kissoon, Yousef Veisani, Ai Koyanagi, Lalit Dandona, Molly R Nixon, David L. Smith, Samah Awad, Seyyed Meysam Mousavi, Rachel L Updike, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Hagos Tasew Atalay, Giuseppe Gorini, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Molly H Biehl, Zoubida Zaidi, Ahmad Daryani, Bach Xuan Tran, André Karch, Mostafa Qorbani, Zikria Saleem, Addisu Melese, Devasahayam J. Christopher, Adane Teshome Kefale, Félix Carvalho, Stephen S Lim, Birhanu Geta, Aziz Sheikh, Reginald Quansah, Andrew T Olagunju, Jalal Arabloo, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, Fiseha Wadilo Wada, Amir Kasaeian, Maarten J. Postma, Abdullah T Khoja, Ravi Prakash Jha, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Yousef Khader, Heather J. Zar, Ali Bijani, Ibrahim A Khalil, William M. Gardner, Marcia R. Weaver, Ebrahim M Yimer, Srinivas Murthy, Quique Bassat, Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Kirsten E. Wiens, Saeed Amini, Ziad A. Memish, Samer Hamidi, Shanshan Li, Belay Tessema, Erlyn Rachelle King Macarayan, Tinuke O Olagunju, Alessandra C. Goulart, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Mahesh P A, Olatunde Aremu, Spencer L. James, Derrick A Bennett, Sezer Kisa, Keyghobad Ghadiri, Alireza Ahmadi, Theo Vos, Tuomo J. Meretoja, Mika Shigematsu, Naohiro Yonemoto, Shirin Djalalinia, Rakesh Lodha, Anselm Okoro, Adnan Kisa, Ali H. Mokdad, Aman Yesuf Endries, Josip Car, Fakher Rahim, Cheru Tesema Leshargie, Babak Moazen, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Lorenzo Monasta, Abdullah Al Mamun, Young-Ho Khang, Yasir Waheed, Mohamad-Hani Temsah, Zakir Hussain, Milena M Santric Milicevic, Abdallah M. Samy, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Hmwe H Kyu, Afshin Zarghi, Monika Sawhney, Ghulam Mustafa, Samuel B. Albertson, Tomislav Mestrovic, Long Hoang Nguyen, Marek Majdan, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Mihaela Hostiuc, Desalegn Tadese Mengistu, Chi Linh Hoang, Christopher J L Murray, Nahla Anber, Seyedmojtaba Seyedmousavi, Maria Jesus Rios-Blancas, Mohammad Sadegh Rezai, Ashish Awasthi, Robert Reiner, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Shafiu Mohammed, Saeed Safari, Catrin E. Moore, Mina Anjomshoa, Joseph Adel Mattar Banoub, Fares Alahdab, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Aniruddha Deshpande, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Rajaa Al-Raddadi, Nancy Fullman, Benn Sartorius, Nuruzzaman Khan, Manisha Dubey, Eleonora Dubljanin, Stephanie R M Zimsen, Jost B. Jonas, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Feleke Mekonnen Demeke, Jeffrey D. Stanaway, Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho, Tommi Vasankari, Florian Fischer, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Aleksandra Barac, Simon I. Hay, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Brigette F. Blacker, Eduarda Fernandes, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Puja C Rao, Neeraj Bedi, Masood Ali Shaikh, Bartosz Miazgowski, Arya Haj-Mirzaian, Mohamed Lemine Cheikh brahim Ahmed, Vahid Alipour, Tesfaye Dessale Kassa, Luca Ronfani, Suleman Atique, Muhammad Imran Nisar, Alireza Rafiei, Aziz Rezapour, Ruth W Kimokoti, Noore Alam, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Katherine Rosettie, Jonathan F. Mosser, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Degu Abate, Clinicum, HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center, Staff Services, University of Helsinki, Department of Oncology, Public Health, Microbes in Health and Disease (MHD), Real World Studies in PharmacoEpidemiology, -Genetics, -Economics and -Therapy (PEGET), Value, Affordability and Sustainability (VALUE), Collaborators, GBD 2017 Diarrhoeal Disease, and GBD 2017 Diarrhoeal Dis
Subjects: Male, Diarrhea, AFRICA, 030231 tropical medicine, Developing country, Global Health, Risk Assessment, Global Burden of Disease, 03 medical and health sciences, MORBIDITY, Life Expectancy, 0302 clinical medicine, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, SANITATION, NUTRITIONAL INTERVENTIONS, Environmental health, Prevalence, Global health, Humans, Medicine, 030212 general & internal medicine, Risk factor, Child, Developing Countries, Wasting, Children, Models, Statistical, business.industry, Mortality rate, MORTALITY, 1. No poverty, Infant, Verbal autopsy, 3. Good health, Infectious Diseases, Socioeconomic Factors, WATER-QUALITY, Child, Preschool, Relative risk, 3121 General medicine, internal medicine and other clinical medicine, Child Mortality, GROWTH, Female, Human medicine, medicine.symptom, business, Risk assessment, Diarrea, Infants
Abstract: Background Many countries have shown marked declines in diarrhoeal disease mortality among children younger than 5 years. With this analysis, we provide updated results on diarrhoeal disease mortality among children younger than 5 years from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2017) and use the study's comparative risk assessment to quantify trends and effects of risk factors, interventions, and broader sociodemographic development on mortality changes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017. Methods This analysis for GBD 2017 had three main components. Diarrhoea mortality was modelled using vital registration data, demographic surveillance data, and verbal autopsy data in a predictive, Bayesian, ensemble modelling tool; and the attribution of risk factors and interventions for diarrhoea were modelled in a counterfactual framework that combines modelled population-level prevalence of the exposure to each risk or intervention with the relative risk of diarrhoea given exposure to that factor. We assessed the relative and absolute change in diarrhoea mortality rate between 1990 and 2017, and used the change in risk factor exposure and sociodemographic status to explain differences in the trends of diarrhoea mortality among children younger than 5 years. Findings Diarrhoea was responsible for an estimated 533 768 deaths (95% uncertainty interval 477 162–593 145) among children younger than 5 years globally in 2017, a rate of 78·4 deaths (70·1–87·1) per 100 000 children. The diarrhoea mortality rate ranged between countries by over 685 deaths per 100 000 children. Diarrhoea mortality per 100 000 globally decreased by 69·6% (63·1–74·6) between 1990 and 2017. Among the risk factors considered in this study, those responsible for the largest declines in the diarrhoea mortality rate were reduction in exposure to unsafe sanitation (13·3% decrease, 11·2–15·5), childhood wasting (9·9% decrease, 9·6–10·2), and low use of oral rehydration solution (6·9% decrease, 4·8–8·4). Interpretation Diarrhoea mortality has declined substantially since 1990, although there are variations by country. Improvements in sociodemographic indicators might explain some of these trends, but changes in exposure to risk factors—particularly unsafe sanitation, childhood growth failure, and low use of oral rehydration solution—appear to be related to the relative and absolute rates of decline in diarrhoea mortality. Although the most effective interventions might vary by country or region, identifying and scaling up the interventions aimed at preventing and protecting against diarrhoea that have already reduced diarrhoea mortality could further avert many thousands of deaths due to this illness. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Published: 2020

23. Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Author: Sorin Hostiuc, Shaun Wen Huey Lee, Jorge R. Ledesma, Carsten Flohr, Masoumeh Sadeghi, João Mauricio Castaldelli-Maia, Behzad Karami Matin, Cyrus Alinia, Mehdi Bohluli, Félix Carvalho, Yun Jin Kim, Catalina Liliana Andrei, Seyyed Meysam Mousavi, Bernhard T. Baune, Ehsan Ahmadpour, Dinh-Toi Chu, Beatrix Haddock, Gianfranco Alicandro, Vasily Vlassov, Mohammad Taghi Khodayari, Gianna Gayle Herrera Amul, Arash Tehrani-Banihashemi, Govinda Prasad Dhungana, Fereshteh Ansari, Michael K. Hole, Azeem Majeed, Iman Halvaei, Saqib Ali, Arianna Maever L. Amit, Tomas Y. Yeheyis, John S. Ji, Martin McKee, Jamileh Shadid, Leonardo Roever, Peng Jia, Ettore Beghi, Pablo M. Lavados, Young Eun Kim, Vahid Alipour, Sowmya J. Rao, Ahmad Daryani, Cathleen Keller, Ibrahim Abdollahpour, Nicole K. DeCleene, Ebrahim Babaee, Saman Esmaeilnejad, Boris Bikbov, William M. Gardner, Lydia M. Haile, Luca Ronfani, Azalea M. Thomson, Irena Ilic, Ruth W. Kimokoti, Yingxi Zhao, Guoqing Hu, Mehran Shams-Beyranvand, Ilais Moreno Velásquez, Nathaniel J. Henry, Brijesh Sathian, Daniel Kim, Peter Memiah, Mohammad Hadi Abbasi, Andrea Farioli, Zahra Kamiab, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Matthew C. Doxey, Tommi Vasankari, Hamideh Salimzadeh, Luisa Sorio Flor, Priya Rathi, Shanshan Li, Tanvir M. Huda, Dillon O Sylte, Rosario Cárdenas, Agegnehu Bante, Helen Ippolito, Alyssa Acebedo, Jeffrey D. Stanaway, Anwar Faraj, João Pedro Silva, Amin Mousavi Khaneghah, Pushpendra Kumar, Sangram Kishor Patel, Josephine W. Ngunjiri, Holly E. Erskine, Eugene Sobngwi, Filippo Ariani, Shane D. Morrison, Mohammad Aghaali, Meghan D. Mooney, Vera Marisa Costa, Palash Chandra Banik, Rupak Desai, Ken Takahashi, Maigeng Zhou, Morteza Oladnabi, Bogdan Oancea, Daniela Ribeiro, Mohammad Farahmand, Irmina Maria Michalek, Yetunde O. John-Akinola, Khem Narayan Pokhrel, Emilie R Maddison, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Damian G. Hoy, Hosni Salem, V. 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L., Department of Public Health, Clinicum, Department of Neurosciences, HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center, Environmental Sciences, Public Health, Real World Studies in PharmacoEpidemiology, -Genetics, -Economics and -Therapy (PEGET), Value, Affordability and Sustainability (VALUE), Microbes in Health and Disease (MHD), Sálfræðideild (HR), Department of Psychology (RU), Samfélagssvið (HR), School of Social Sciences (RU), Háskólinn í Reykjavík, Reykjavik University, GBD 2019 Diseases and Injuries Collaborator, Violante FS, Department of Earth Observation Science, Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, and UT-I-ITC-ACQUAL
Subjects: Male, Life expectancy, Disability-Adjusted Life Year, Diseases, Disease, communicable disease, systematic analysis, Global Burden of Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, 80 and over, Medicine, 10. No inequality, Child, 11 Medical and Health Sciences, injuries, Aged, 80 and over, education.field_of_study, Sjúkdómar, DEMENTIA, FALLS, General Medicine, Forvarnir, 3. Good health, Child, Preschool, Human, GBD, Population health, 03 medical and health sciences, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, Humans, Global Burden of Disease Study, education, Aged, Spatial Analysis, Global burden, Disability, Prevention, DISABILITY, Infant, Spatial Analysi, Mortality rate, Global Burden of Disease, Diseases, Injuries, Systematic analysis, PREVENTION, Years of potential life lost, Risk factors, Disease study, ITC-ISI-JOURNAL-ARTICLE, RISK-FACTORS, Clinical Medicine, RA, Demography, Fötlun, Dánartíðni, Áhættuþættir, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, Risk Factors, Cause of Death, Global health, 030212 general & internal medicine, 1. No poverty, Disability-Adjusted Life Years, Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology, Middle Aged, 3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health, Adolescent, Adult, Age Distribution, Female, Infant, Newborn, Young Adult, Lýðheilsa, CLINICAL-TRIALS, Population, Settore MED/01 - Statistica Medica, diseases, ITC-HYBRID, Heilbrigðisvísindi, General & Internal Medicine, Mortality, Preschool, Disease burden, business.industry, Risk Factor, Klinisk medicin, Newborn, purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#3.02.00 [https], Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi, Áverkar, Systematic analysis, NA, business
Abstract: Publisher's version (útgefin grein), Background In an era of shifting global agendas and expanded emphasis on non-communicable diseases and injuries along with communicable diseases, sound evidence on trends by cause at the national level is essential. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) provides a systematic scientific assessment of published, publicly available, and contributed data on incidence, prevalence, and mortality for a mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive list of diseases and injuries. Methods GBD estimates incidence, prevalence, mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) due to 369 diseases and injuries, for two sexes, and for 204 countries and territories. Input data were extracted from censuses, household surveys, civil registration and vital statistics, disease registries, health service use, air pollution monitors, satellite imaging, disease notifications, and other sources. Cause-specific death rates and cause fractions were calculated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model and spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression. Cause-specific deaths were adjusted to match the total all-cause deaths calculated as part of the GBD population, fertility, and mortality estimates. Deaths were multiplied by standard life expectancy at each age to calculate YLLs. A Bayesian meta-regression modelling tool, DisMod-MR 2.1, was used to ensure consistency between incidence, prevalence, remission, excess mortality, and cause-specific mortality for most causes. Prevalence estimates were multiplied by disability weights for mutually exclusive sequelae of diseases and injuries to calculate YLDs. We considered results in the context of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator of income per capita, years of schooling, and fertility rate in females younger than 25 years. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered 1000 draw values of the posterior distribution. Findings Global health has steadily improved over the past 30 years as measured by age-standardised DALY rates. After taking into account population growth and ageing, the absolute number of DALYs has remained stable. Since 2010, the pace of decline in global age-standardised DALY rates has accelerated in age groups younger than 50 years compared with the 1990-2010 time period, with the greatest annualised rate of decline occurring in the 0-9-year age group. Six infectious diseases were among the top ten causes of DALYs in children younger than 10 years in 2019: lower respiratory infections (ranked second), diarrhoeal diseases (third), malaria (fifth), meningitis (sixth), whooping cough (ninth), and sexually transmitted infections (which, in this age group, is fully accounted for by congenital syphilis; ranked tenth). In adolescents aged 10-24 years, three injury causes were among the top causes of DALYs: road injuries (ranked first), self-harm (third), and interpersonal violence (fifth). Five of the causes that were in the top ten for ages 10-24 years were also in the top ten in the 25-49-year age group: road injuries (ranked first), HIV/AIDS (second), low back pain (fourth), headache disorders (fifth), and depressive disorders (sixth). In 2019, ischaemic heart disease and stroke were the top-ranked causes of DALYs in both the 50-74-year and 75-years-and-older age groups. Since 1990, there has been a marked shift towards a greater proportion of burden due to YLDs from non-communicable diseases and injuries. In 2019, there were 11 countries where non-communicable disease and injury YLDs constituted more than half of all disease burden. Decreases in age-standardised DALY rates have accelerated over the past decade in countries at the lower end of the SDI range, while improvements have started to stagnate or even reverse in countries with higher SDI. Interpretation As disability becomes an increasingly large component of disease burden and a larger component of health expenditure, greater research and development investment is needed to identify new, more effective intervention strategies. With a rapidly ageing global population, the demands on health services to deal with disabling outcomes, which increase with age, will require policy makers to anticipate these changes. The mix of universal and more geographically specific influences on health reinforces the need for regular reporting on population health in detail and by underlying cause to help decision makers to identify success stories of disease control to emulate, as well as opportunities to improve. Copyright (C) 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd., Research reported in this publication was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; the University of Melbourne; Queensland Department of Health, Australia; the National Health and Medical Research Council, Australia; Public Health England; the Norwegian Institute of Public Health; St Jude Children's Research Hospital; the Cardiovascular Medical Research and Education Fund; the National Institute on Ageing of the National Institutes of Health (award P30AG047845); and the National Institute of Mental Health of the National Institutes of Health (award R01MH110163). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the funders. The authors alone are responsible for the views expressed in this Article and they do not necessarily represent the views, decisions, or policies of the institutions with which they are affiliated, the National Health Service (NHS), the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), the UK Department of Health and Social Care, or Public Health England; the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), the US Government, or MEASURE Evaluation; or the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). This research used data from the Chile National Health Survey 2003, 2009-10, and 2016-17. The authors are grateful to the Ministry of Health, the survey copyright owner, for allowing them to have the database. All results of the study are those of the authors and in no way committed to the Ministry. The Costa Rican Longevity and Healthy Aging Study project is a longitudinal study by the University of Costa Rica's Centro Centroamericano de Poblacion and Instituto de Investigaciones en Salud, in collaboration with the University of California at Berkeley. The original pre-1945 cohort was funded by the Wellcome Trust (grant 072406), and the 1945-55 Retirement Cohort was funded by the US National Institute on Aging (grant R01AG031716). The principal investigators are Luis Rosero-Bixby and William H Dow and co-principal investigators are Xinia Fernandez and Gilbert Brenes. The accuracy of the authors' statistical analysis and the findings they report are not the responsibility of ECDC. ECDC is not responsible for conclusions or opinions drawn from the data provided. ECDC is not responsible for the correctness of the data and for data management, data merging and data collation after provision of the data. ECDC shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of the data. The Health Behaviour in School-Aged Children (HBSC) study is an international study carried out in collaboration with WHO/EURO. The international coordinator of the 1997-98, 2001-02, 2005-06, and 2009-10 surveys was Candace Currie and the databank manager for the 1997-98 survey was Bente Wold, whereas for the following surveys Oddrun Samdal was the databank manager. A list of principal investigators in each country can be found on the HBSC website. Data used in this paper come from the 2009-10 Ghana Socioeconomic Panel Study Survey, which is a nationally representative survey of more than 5000 households in Ghana. The survey is a joint effort undertaken by the Institute of Statistical, Social and Economic Research (ISSER) at the University of Ghana and the Economic Growth Centre (EGC) at Yale University. It was funded by EGC. ISSER and the EGC are not responsible for the estimations reported by the analysts. The Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics granted the researchers access to relevant data in accordance with license number SLN2014-3-170, after subjecting data to processing aiming to preserve the confidentiality of individual data in accordance with the General Statistics Law, 2000. The researchers are solely responsible for the conclusions and inferences drawn upon available data. Data for this research was provided by MEASURE Evaluation, funded by USAID. The authors thank the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey, conducted by the National Research University Higher School of Economics and ZAO Demoscope together with Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and the Institute of Sociology, Russia Academy of Sciences for making data available. This paper uses data from the Bhutan 2014 STEPS survey, implemented by the Ministry of Health with the support of WHO; the Kuwait 2006 and 2014 STEPS surveys, implemented by the Ministry of Health with the support of WHO; the Libya 2009 STEPS survey, implemented by the Secretariat of Health and Environment with the support of WHO; the Malawi 2009 STEPS survey, implemented by Ministry of Health with the support of WHO; and the Moldova 2013 STEPS survey, implemented by the Ministry of Health, the National Bureau of Statistics, and the National Center of Public Health with the support of WHO. This paper uses data from Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) Waves 1 (DOI:10.6103/SHARE. w1.700), 2 (10.6103/SHARE.w2.700), 3 (10.6103/SHARE.w3.700), 4 (10.6103/SHARE.w4.700), 5 (10.6103/SHARE.w5.700), 6 (10.6103/SHARE.w6.700), and 7 (10.6103/SHARE.w7.700); see Borsch-Supan and colleagues (2013) for methodological details. The SHARE data collection has been funded by the European Commission through FP5 (QLK6-CT-2001-00360), FP6 (SHARE-I3: RII-CT-2006-062193, COMPARE: CIT5-CT-2005-028857, SHARELIFE: CIT4-CT-2006-028812), FP7 (SHARE-PREP: GA N degrees 211909, SHARE-LEAP: GA N degrees 227822, SHARE M4: GA N degrees 261982) and Horizon 2020 (SHARE-DEV3: GA N degrees 676536, SERISS: GA N degrees 654221) and by DG Employment, Social Affairs & Inclusion. Additional funding from the German Ministry of Education and Research, the Max Planck Society for the Advancement of Science, the US National Institute on Aging (U01_AG09740-13S2, P01_AG005842, P01_AG08291, P30_AG12815, R21_AG025169, Y1-AG-4553-01, IAG_BSR06-11, OGHA_04-064, HHSN271201300071C), and from various national funding sources is gratefully acknowledged. This study has been realised using the data collected by the Swiss Household Panel, which is based at the Swiss Centre of Expertise in the Social Sciences. The project is financed by the Swiss National Science Foundation. The United States Aging, Demographics, and Memory Study is a supplement to the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), which is sponsored by the National Institute of Aging (grant number NIA U01AG009740). It was conducted jointly by Duke University and the University of Michigan. The HRS is sponsored by the National Institute on Aging (grant number NIA U01AG009740) and is conducted by the University of Michigan. This paper uses data from Add Health, a program project designed by J Richard Udry, Peter S Bearman, and Kathleen Mullan Harris, and funded by a grant P01-HD31921 from the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, with cooperative funding from 17 other agencies. Special acknowledgment is due to Ronald R Rindfuss and Barbara Entwisle for assistance in the original design. Information on how to obtain the Add Health data files is available on the Add Health website. No direct support was received from grant P01-HD31921 for this analysis. The data reported here have been supplied by the United States Renal Data System. The interpretation and reporting of these data are the responsibility of the authors and in no way should be seen as an official policy or interpretation of the US Government. Collection of data for the Mozambique National Survey on the Causes of Death 2007-08 was made possible by USAID under the terms of cooperative agreement GPO-A-00-08-000_D3-00. This manuscript is based on data collected and shared by the International Vaccine Institute (IVI) from an original study IVI conducted. L G Abreu acknowledges support from Coordenacao de Aperfeicoamento de Pessoal de Nivel Superior (Brazil; finance code 001) and Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cientifico e Tecnologico (CNPq, a Brazilian funding agency). I N Ackerman was supported by a Victorian Health and Medical Research Fellowship awarded by the Victorian Government. O O Adetokunboh acknowledges the South African Department of Science and Innovation and the National Research Foundation. A Agrawal acknowledges the Wellcome Trust DBT India Alliance Senior Fellowship. S M Aljunid acknowledges the Department of Health Policy and Management, Faculty of Public Health, Kuwait University and International Centre for Casemix and Clinical Coding, Faculty of Medicine, National University of Malaysia for the approval and support to participate in this research project. M Ausloos, C Herteliu, and A Pana acknowledge partial support by a grant of the Romanian National Authority for Scientific Research and Innovation, CNDS-UEFISCDI, project number PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0084. A Badawi is supported by the Public Health Agency of Canada. D A Bennett was supported by the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre. R Bourne acknowledges the Brien Holden Vision Institute, University of Heidelberg, Sightsavers, Fred Hollows Foundation, and Thea Foundation. G B Britton and I Moreno Velasquez were supported by the Sistema Nacional de Investigacion, SNI-SENACYT, Panama. R Buchbinder was supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Senior Principal Research Fellowship. J J Carrero was supported by the Swedish Research Council (2019-01059). F Carvalho acknowledges UID/MULTI/04378/2019 and UID/QUI/50006/2019 support with funding from FCT/MCTES through national funds. A R Chang was supported by National Institutes of Health/National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases grant K23 DK106515. V M Costa acknowledges the grant SFRH/BHD/110001/2015, received by Portuguese national funds through Fundacao para a Ciencia e Tecnologia, IP, under the Norma Transitaria DL57/2016/CP1334/CT0006. A Douiri acknowledges support and funding from the National Institute for Health Research Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care South London at King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and the Royal College of Physicians, and support from the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre based at Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust and King's College London. B B Duncan acknowledges grants from the Foundation for the Support of Research of the State of Rio Grande do Sul (IATS and PrInt) and the Brazilian Ministry of Health. H E Erskine is the recipient of an Australian NHMRC Early Career Fellowship grant (APP1137969). A J Ferrari was supported by a NHMRC Early Career Fellowship grant (APP1121516). H E Erskine and A J Ferrari are employed by and A M Mantilla-Herrera and D F Santomauro affiliated with the Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research, which receives core funding from the Queensland Department of Health. M L Ferreira holds an NHMRC Research Fellowship. C Flohr was supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre based at Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust. M Freitas acknowledges financial support from the EU (European Regional Development Fund [FEDER] funds through COMPETE POCI-01-0145-FEDER-029248) and National Funds (Fundacao para a Ciencia e Tecnologia) through project PTDC/NAN-MAT/29248/2017. A L S Guimaraes acknowledges support from CNPq. C Herteliu was partially supported by a grant co-funded by FEDER through Operational Competitiveness Program (project ID P_40_382). P Hoogar acknowledges Centre for Bio Cultural Studies, Directorate of Research, Manipal Academy of Higher Education and Centre for Holistic Development and Research, Kalaghatagi. F N Hugo acknowledges the Visiting Professorship, PRINT Program, CAPES Foundation, Brazil. B-F Hwang was supported by China Medical University (CMU107-Z-04), Taichung, Taiwan. S M S Islam was funded by a National Heart Foundation Senior Research Fellowship and supported by Deakin University. R Q Ivers was supported by a research fellowship from the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia. M Jakovljevic acknowledges the Serbian part of this GBD-related contribution was co-funded through Grant OI175014 of the Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia. P Jeemon was supported by a Clinical and Public Health intermediate fellowship (grant number IA/CPHI/14/1/501497) from the Wellcome Trust-Department of Biotechnology, India Alliance (2015-20). O John is a recipient of UIPA scholarship from University of New South Wales, Sydney. S V Katikireddi acknowledges funding from a NRS Senior Clinical Fellowship (SCAF/15/02), the Medical Research Council (MC_UU_12017/13, MC_UU_12017/15), and the Scottish Government Chief Scientist Office (SPHSU13, SPHSU15). C Kieling is a CNPq researcher and a UK Academy of Medical Sciences Newton Advanced Fellow. Y J Kim was supported by Research Management Office, Xiamen University Malaysia (XMUMRF/2018-C2/ITCM/00010). K Krishan is supported by UGC Centre of Advanced Study awarded to the Department of Anthropology, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India. M Kumar was supported by K43 TW 010716 FIC/NIMH. B Lacey acknowledges support from the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre and the BHF Centre of Research Excellence, Oxford. J V Lazarus was supported by a Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities Miguel Servet grant (Instituto de Salud Carlos III [ISCIII]/ESF, the EU [CP18/00074]). K J Looker thanks the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Evaluation of Interventions at the University of Bristol, in partnership with Public Health England, for research support. S Lorkowski was funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (nutriCARD, grant agreement number 01EA1808A). R A Lyons is supported by Health Data Research UK (HDR-9006), which is funded by the UK Medical Research Council, Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, Economic and Social Research Council, NIHR (England), Chief Scientist Office of the Scottish Government Health and Social Care Directorates, Health and Social Care Research and Development Division (Welsh Government), Public Health Agency (Northern Ireland), British Heart Foundation, and Wellcome Trust. J J McGrath is supported by the Danish National Research Foundation (Niels Bohr Professorship), and the Queensland Health Department (via West Moreton HHS). P T N Memiah acknowledges support from CODESRIA. U O Mueller gratefully acknowledges funding by the German National Cohort Study BMBF grant number 01ER1801D. S Nomura acknowledges the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science, and Technology of Japan (18K10082). A Ortiz was supported by ISCIII PI19/00815, DTS18/00032, ISCIII-RETIC REDinREN RD016/0009 Fondos FEDER, FRIAT, Comunidad de Madrid B2017/BMD-3686 CIFRA2-CM. These funding sources had no role in the writing of the manuscript or the decision to submit it for publication. S B Patten was supported by the Cuthbertson & Fischer Chair in Pediatric Mental Health at the University of Calgary. G C Patton was supported by an aNHMRC Senior Principal Research Fellowship. M R Phillips was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC, number 81371502 and 81761128031). A Raggi, D Sattin, and S Schiavolin were supported by grants from the Italian Ministry of Health (Ricerca Corrente, Fondazione Istituto Neurologico C Besta, Linea 4-Outcome Research: dagli Indicatori alle Raccomandazioni Cliniche). P Rathi and B Unnikrishnan acknowledge Kasturba Medical College, Mangalore, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal. A L P Ribeiro was supported by Brazilian National Research Council, CNPq, and the Minas Gerais State Research Agency, FAPEMIG. D C Ribeiro was supported by The Sir Charles Hercus Health Research Fellowship (#18/111) Health Research Council of New Zealand. D Ribeiro acknowledges financial support from the EU (FEDER funds through the Operational Competitiveness Program; POCI-01-0145-FEDER-029253). P S Sachdev acknowledges funding from the NHMRC of Australia Program Grant. A M Samy was supported by a fellowship from the Egyptian Fulbright Mission Program. M M Santric-Milicevic acknowledges the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia (contract number 175087). R Sarmiento-Suarez received institutional support from Applied and Environmental Sciences University (Bogota, Colombia) and ISCIII (Madrid, Spain). A E Schutte received support from the South African National Research Foundation SARChI Initiative (GUN 86895) and Medical Research Council. S T S Skou is currently funded by a grant from Region Zealand (Exercise First) and a grant from the European Research Council under the EU's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant agreement number 801790). J B Soriano is funded by Centro de Investigacion en Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias, ISCIII. R Tabares-Seisdedos was supported in part by the national grant PI17/00719 from ISCIII-FEDER. N Taveira was partially supported by the European & Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership, the EU (LIFE project, reference RIA2016MC-1615). S Tyrovolas was supported by the Foundation for Education and European Culture, the Sara Borrell postdoctoral programme (reference number CD15/00019 from ISCIII-FEDER). S B Zaman received a scholarship from the Australian Government research training programme in support of his academic career., "Peer Reviewed"
Published: 2020

24. Burden of injury along the development spectrum: associations between the Socio-demographic Index and disability-adjusted life year estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: Hassan Haghparast Bidgoli, Young Eun Kim, Duduzile Ndwandwe, Marilita M Moschos, Diego De Leo, Mark A. Stokes, Faris Lami, Lorenzo Monasta, Amit Arora, Hamid Asayesh, Dhirendra N Sinha, Ferrán Catalá-López, Ana Maria Nogales Vasconcelos, Swayam Prakash, Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos, Melkamu Merid Mengesha, Yuichiro Yano, Olalekan A. Uthman, Amir Radfar, Manasi Kumar, Kamarul Imran Musa, Babak Moazen, Spencer L. James, Ahmad Daryani, Achala Upendra Jayatilleke, Siavash Rahimi, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Morteza Abdullatif Khafaie, Meysam Behzadifar, Dan J. Stein, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Jiabin Shen, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Ehimario U. Igumbor, Amir Kasaeian, Ali Kabir, Morteza Shamsizadeh, Ziad El-Khatib, Sharareh Eskandarieh, Sorin Hostiuc, Jarnail Singh Thakur, Takeshi Fukumoto, Shai Linn, João Pedro Silva, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Gizachew Assefa Tessema, Naohiro Yonemoto, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Masood Ali Shaikh, Seyyed Meysam Mousavi, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Azeem Majeed, Alexandra Brazinova, Nader Jahanmehr, Yuming Guo, Sonia Saxena, Juanita A. Haagsma, Devasahayam J. Christopher, Lorainne Tudor Car, Shamsa Zafar, Roghayeh Mohammadibakhsh, Khanh Bao Tran, Reza Malekzadeh, Martha Híjar, Addisu Melese, Tinuke O Olagunju, Guoqing Hu, Yousef Khader, Olatunde Aremu, Yahya Salimi, Corina Benjet, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Julio Cesar Campuzano Rincon, Rizwan Kalani, Bach Xuan Tran, Serge Resnikoff, Félix Carvalho, Suzanne Barker-Collo, Basema Saddik, Abraham Getachew Kelbore, Chris D Castle, Andre Pascal Kengne, Joan B. Soriano, Aliasghar Ahmad Kiadaliri, Derrick A Bennett, Pedro R. Olivares, Ali Bijani, Shanshan Li, Srinivas Murthy, Dragos Virgil Davitoiu, Farid Najafi, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Adauto Martins Soares Filho, Vasily Vlassov, Alessandra C. Goulart, Alireza Ahmadi, Theo Vos, Heather Orpana, Narayan Bahadur Mahotra, Dillon O Sylte, Tuomo J. Meretoja, Ireneous N. Soyiri, Susan M Sawyer, Nauman Khalid, Louisa Degenhardt, Kebede Embaye Gezae, Ubai Alsharif, Richard C. Franklin, Shane D. Morrison, Randah R. Hamadeh, G. K. Mini, Naznin Hossain, Zachary V Dingels, Kate Dolan, Florian Fischer, Atte Meretoja, Yasir Waheed, Milena M Santric Milicevic, Ai Koyanagi, Sadaf G. Sepanlou, Manisha Dubey, Michael Phillips, Koustuv Dalal, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Elena Varavikova, Rahul Gupta, Rajaa Al-Raddadi, Sergey Soshnikov, David Laith Rawaf, Zoubida Zaidi, David C. Schwebel, Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek, Jost B. Jonas, Flávia Ribeiro Machado, Yoshan Moodley, Stefania Mondello, Nicholas L S Roberts, N. Bedi, Amrit Banstola, Yong Zhao, Vladimir I. Starodubov, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Juan Jesus Carrero, Manzoor Ahmad Malik, George C Patton, André Faro, In-Hwan Oh, Anwar Rafay, Simon I. Hay, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Erin B Hamilton, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Suliman Alghnam, Olanrewaju Oladimeji, Sojib Bin Zaman, Ratilal Lalloo, Zichen Liu, Mahmood Moosazadeh, Isabela M. Benseñor, Muluken Azage Yenesew, Ivy Shiue, Hilton Lam, Soraya Seedat, Mete Saylan, Eduarda Fernandes, Khalid A Altirkawi, Chuanhua Yu, Jasvinder A. Singh, Pascual R. Valdez, Jan-Walter De Neve, Guilherme Borges, Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah, Linh Phuong Doan, Christopher S. Crowe, Andualem Henok, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Mina Anjomshoa, Bruno Ramos Nascimento, Paul S. F. Yip, Samath D Dharmaratne, Ayman Grada, Christian Lycke Ellingsen, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Gurudatta Naik, Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi, Tomislav Mestrovic, Long Hoang Nguyen, Karen M. Tabb, Kebede Deribe, Mustafa Z. Younis, Yuan-Pang Wang, Van C. Lansingh, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Mihajlo Jakovljevic, Till Bärnighausen, Naser Mohammad Gholi Mezerji, Kiana Ramezanzadeh, Muhammed Magdy Abd El Razek, Rasmus Havmoeller, Konrad Pesudovs, Salman Rawaf, Walter Mendoza, Smita Pakhale, Mahesh P A, Ted R. Miller, Rebecca Ivers, Gabrielle deVeber, Pallab K. Maulik, Ali H. Mokdad, Burcu Kucuk Bicer, Andre M. N. Renzaho, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Fares Alahdab, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Dipan Bose, Alireza Rafiei, Payman Salamati, Engida Yisma, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Juan Sanabria, Priyanka Yadav, Andrew T Olagunju, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Irina Filip, Shahab Rezaeian, Ghobad Moradi, Mohammad Zamani, Rosario Cárdenas, Delia Hendrie, Yogesh Sabde, Marek Majdan, Mariam Molokhia, Adnan Kisa, Jacob E. Sunshine, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Mahdi Sharif-Alhoseini, Sanjay Zodpey, Ashish Awasthi, Rahman Shiri, Zahra Jorjoran Shushtari, Shivanthi Balalla, Samer Hamidi, Hailemariam Abiy Alemu Meheretu, Raimundas Lunevicius, Suzanne Polinder, Tomasz Miazgowski, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Tim Driscoll, Son Hoang Nguyen, Mika Shigematsu, Bryan L. Sykes, Arash Tehrani-Banihashemi, Dina Nur Anggraini Ningrum, Josep Maria Haro, Leonardo Roever, Gholamreza Roshandel, Andrea Sylvia Winkler, Mehran Shams-Beyranvand, Ilais Moreno Velásquez, Luca Ronfani, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Arya Haj-Mirzaian, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Mohammad Ali Mansournia, Daniel Kim, Maheswar Satpathy, Ionut Negoi, Michael K. Hole, Miloud Taki Eddine Aichour, Erkin M. Mirrakhimov, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Alan D. Lopez, Masoud Behzadifar, Rohan Borschmann, Ana-Laura Manda, Ione Jayce Ceola Schneider, Lydia R. Lucchesi, Trang Huyen Nguyen, Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Janet L Leasher, Shafiu Mohammed, Lidia Morawska, Getenet Dessie, Reza Assadi, Tiffany K. Gill, Francesco Saverio Violante, Monika Sawhney, Enayatollah Homaie Rad, Yirga Legesse Nirayo, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Oladimeji Adebayo, Mikk Jürisson, Soumyadeep Bhaumik, Hadi Hassankhani, Stanislav S. Otstavnov, Aziz Sheikh, Benjamin Uzochukwu, Aman Yesuf Endries, Eun-Kee Park, Jack T Fox, Abdallah M. Samy, Richard Ofori-Asenso, Ravi Prakash Jha, Inbal Salz, Benjamin B. Massenburg, Soufiane Boufous, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Pablo Montero-Zamora, Tissa Wijeratne, Abdullah T Khoja, Lidia Sanchez Riera, Vinay Nangia, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Haagsma, Juanita A, James, Spencer L, Castle, Chris D, Dingels, Zachary V, Yisma, Engida, Vos, Theo, Haagsma J.A., James S.L., Castle C.D., Dingels Z.V., Fox J.T., Hamilton E.B., Liu Z., Lucchesi L.R., Roberts N.L.S., Sylte D.O., Adebayo O.M., Ahmadi A., Ahmed M.B., Aichour M.T.E., Alahdab F., Alghnam S.A., Aljunid S.M., Al-Raddadi R.M., Alsharif U., Altirkawi K., Anjomshoa M., Antonio C.A.T., Appiah S.C.Y., Aremu O., Arora A., Asayesh H., Assadi R., Awasthi A., Ayala Quintanilla B.P., Balalla S., Banstola A., Barker-Collo S.L., Barnighausen T.W., Bazargan-Hejazi S., Bedi N., Behzadifar M., Benjet C., Bennett D.A., Bensenor I.M., Bhaumik S., Bhutta Z.A., Bijani A., Borges G., Borschmann R., Bose D., Boufous S., Brazinova A., Campuzano Rincon J.C., Cardenas R., Carrero J.J., Carvalho F., Castaneda-Orjuela C.A., Catala-Lopez F., Choi J.-Y.J., Christopher D.J., Crowe C.S., Dalal K., Daryani A., Davitoiu D.V., Degenhardt L., De Leo D., De Neve J.-W., Deribe K., Dessie G.A., Deveber G.A., Dharmaratne S.D., Doan L.P., Dolan K.A., Driscoll T.R., Dubey M., El-Khatib Z., Ellingsen C.L., El Sayed Zaki M., Endries A.Y., Eskandarieh S., Faro A., Fereshtehnejad S.-M., Fernandes E., Filip I., Fischer F., Franklin R.C., Fukumoto T., Gezae K.E., Gill T.K., Goulart A.C., Grada A., Guo Y., Gupta R., Haghparast Bidgoli H., Haj-Mirzaian A., Hamadeh R.R., Hamidi S., Haro J.M., Hassankhani H., Hassen H.Y., Havmoeller R., Hendrie D., Henok A., Hijar M., Hole M.K., Homaie Rad E., Hossain N., Hostiuc S., Hu G., Igumbor E.U., Ilesanmi O.S., Irvani S.S.N., Islam S.M.S., Ivers R.Q., Jacobsen K.H., Jahanmehr N., Jakovljevic M., Jayatilleke A.U., Jha R.P., Jonas J.B., Jorjoran Shushtari Z., Jozwiak J.J., Jurisson M., Kabir A., Kalani R., Kasaeian A., Kelbore A.G., Kengne A.P., Khader Y.S., Khafaie M.A., Khalid N., Khan E.A., Khoja A.T., Kiadaliri A.A., Kim Y.-E., Kim D., Kisa A., Koyanagi A., Kuate Defo B., Kucuk Bicer B., Kumar M., Lalloo R., Lam H., Lami F.H., Lansingh V.C., Leasher J.L., Li S., Linn S., Lunevicius R., MacHado F.R., Magdy Abd El Razek H., Magdy Abd El Razek M., Mahotra N.B., Majdan M., Majeed A., Malekzadeh R., Malik M.A., Malta D.C., Manda A.-L., Mansournia M.A., Massenburg B.B., Maulik P.K., Meheretu H.A.A., Mehndiratta M.M., Melese A., Mendoza W., Mengesha M.M., Meretoja T.J., Meretoja A., Mestrovic T., Miazgowski T., Miller T.R., Mini G.K., Mirrakhimov E.M., Moazen B., Mohammad Gholi Mezerji N., Mohammadibakhsh R., Mohammed S., Molokhia M., Monasta L., Mondello S., Montero-Zamora P.A., Moodley Y., Moosazadeh M., Moradi G., Moradi-Lakeh M., Morawska L., Velasquez I.M., Morrison S.D., Moschos M.M., Mousavi S.M., Murthy S., Musa K.I., Naik G., Najafi F., Nangia V., Nascimento B.R., Ndwandwe D.E., Negoi I., Nguyen T.H., Nguyen S.H., Nguyen L.H., Nguyen H.L.T., Ningrum D.N.A., Nirayo Y.L., Ofori-Asenso R., Ogbo F.A., Oh I.-H., Oladimeji O., Olagunju A.T., Olagunju T.O., Olivares P.R., Orpana H.M., Otstavnov S.S., Mahesh P.A., Pakhale S., Park E.-K., Patton G.C., Pesudovs K., Phillips M.R., Polinder S., Prakash S., Radfar A., Rafay A., Rafiei A., Rahimi S., Rahimi-Movaghar V., Rahman M.A., Rai R.K., Ramezanzadeh K., Rawaf S., Rawaf D.L., Renzaho A.M.N., Resnikoff S., Rezaeian S., Roever L., Ronfani L., Roshandel G., Sabde Y.D., Saddik B., Salamati P., Salimi Y., Salz I., Samy A.M., Sanabria J., Sanchez Riera L., Santric Milicevic M.M., Satpathy M., Sawhney M., Sawyer S.M., Saxena S., Saylan M., Schneider I.J.C., Schwebel D.C., Seedat S., Sepanlou S.G., Shaikh M.A., Shams-Beyranvand M., Shamsizadeh M., Sharif-Alhoseini M., Sheikh A., Shen J., Shigematsu M., Shiri R., Shiue I., Silva J.P., Singh J.A., Sinha D.N., Soares Filho A.M., Soriano J.B., Soshnikov S., Soyiri I.N., Starodubov V.I., Stein D.J., Stokes M.A., Sufiyan M.B., Sunshine J.E., Sykes B.L., Tabares-Seisdedos R., Tabb K.M., Tehrani-Banihashemi A., Tessema G.A., Thakur J.S., Tran K.B., Tran B.X., Tudor Car L., Uthman O.A., Uzochukwu B.S.C., Valdez P.R., Varavikova E., Vasconcelos A.M.N., Venketasubramanian N., Violante F.S., Vlassov V., Waheed Y., Wang Y.-P., Wijeratne T., Winkler A.S., Yadav P., Yano Y., Yenesew M.A., Yip P., Yisma E., Yonemoto N., Younis M.Z., Yu C., Zafar S., Zaidi Z., Zaman S.B., Zamani M., Zhao Y., Zodpey S., Hay S.I., Lopez A.D., Mokdad A.H., Vos T., Public Health, HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center, Clinicum, Department of Surgery, University of Helsinki, Helsinki University Hospital Area, and HUS Neurocenter
Subjects: Epidemiology, burden of disease, descriptive epidemiology, epidemiology, ECONOMIC-DEVELOPMENT, 1106 Human Movement and Sports Sciences, Poison control, Global Health, Global Burden of Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, Quality-Adjusted Life Year, Global health, 030212 general & internal medicine, 10. No inequality, 1. No poverty, Burden of disease, DALYS, 3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health, ddc, 3. Good health, Descriptive epidemiology, Epidemiological transition, REGISTRATION, Disabled Person, Public Health, Human, medicine.medical_specialty, DEATHS, Adolescent, 1117 Public Health and Health Services, 03 medical and health sciences, Life Expectancy, Injury prevention, SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS, medicine, Disability-adjusted life year, Disease burden, Estimation, burden of disease, descriptive epidemiology, epidemiology, MORTALITY, Public health, EPIDEMIOLOGIC TRANSITION, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, 030208 emergency & critical care medicine, TRENDS, EXPECTANCY HALE, 1701 Psychology, Wounds and Injuries, Human medicine, Demography
Abstract: Incluye: Correction: Burden of injury along the development spectrum: associations between the Socio-demographic Index and disability-adjusted life year estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Inj Prev. 2020 Oct;26(Supp 1):i164. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043296corr1. Epub 2020 Sep 28. PMID: 32989004 Background: The epidemiological transition of non-communicable diseases replacing infectious diseases as the main contributors to disease burden has been well documented in global health literature. Less focus, however, has been given to the relationship between sociodemographic changes and injury. The aim of this study was to examine the association between disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from injury for 195 countries and territories at different levels along the development spectrum between 1990 and 2017 based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 estimates. Methods: Injury mortality was estimated using the GBD mortality database, corrections for garbage coding and CODEm-the cause of death ensemble modelling tool. Morbidity estimation was based on surveys and inpatient and outpatient data sets for 30 cause-of-injury with 47 nature-of-injury categories each. The Socio-demographic Index (SDI) is a composite indicator that includes lagged income per capita, average educational attainment over age 15 years and total fertility rate. Results: For many causes of injury, age-standardised DALY rates declined with increasing SDI, although road injury, interpersonal violence and self-harm did not follow this pattern. Particularly for self-harm opposing patterns were observed in regions with similar SDI levels. For road injuries, this effect was less pronounced. Conclusions: The overall global pattern is that of declining injury burden with increasing SDI. However, not all injuries follow this pattern, which suggests multiple underlying mechanisms influencing injury DALYs. There is a need for a detailed understanding of these patterns to help to inform national and global efforts to address injury-related health outcomes across the development spectrum. Funding for GBD 2017 was provided by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. Sí
Published: 2020

25. The burden of depressive disorders in South Asia, 1990–2016: findings from the global burden of disease study

Author: Andrew Page, Janette M Perz, Sruthi Mathsyaraja, Rajeendra Kashyap Koti, and Felix Akpojene Ogbo
Subjects: Male, medicine.medical_specialty, Depressive disorders, lcsh:RC435-571, Population, India, Population health, South Asia, Global Health, Global Burden of Disease, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Nepal, Risk Factors, lcsh:Psychiatry, Epidemiology, medicine, Humans, Disabled Persons, Pakistan, 030212 general & internal medicine, Risk factor, education, Depression (differential diagnoses), Aged, Bangladesh, Depressive Disorder, Major, education.field_of_study, business.industry, Depression, Public health, Middle Aged, Mental illness, medicine.disease, Comorbidity, 030227 psychiatry, Psychiatry and Mental health, Female, business, Research Article, Demography
Abstract: Background Globally, depressive disorders are one of the most common forms of mental illness. Using data from the most recent Global Burden of Disease, Injury, and Risk Factor Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we aimed to describe the burden of disease attributable to depressive disorders in terms of prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in South Asia countries (namely India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal and Bhutan). Methods GBD 2016 used epidemiological data on depressive disorders (major depression and dysthymia) from South Asia and a Bayesian meta-regression tool (DisMod-MR 2.1) to model prevalence and DALYs of depressive disorders by age, sex, country and year. DALYs were calculated from the years lived with disability (YLDs), derived from the prevalence of depressive disorders and disability weights, obtained from a community and internet-based surveys. The analyses adjusted for comorbidity, data sources and multiple modelling, and estimates were presented with 95% uncertainty intervals (UI). Results In 2016, the age-standardised prevalence of depressive disorders in South Asia was 3.9% (95% UI: 3.6–4.2%), 4.4% (95% UI: 4.4–4.8%) in Bangladesh, 3.9% (95% UI: 3.6–4.2%) in India, 3.0% (95% UI: 2.8–3.3%) in Pakistan, 4.0% (95% UI: 3.7–4.3%) in Nepal and 3.7% (95% UI: 3.4–4.1%) in Bhutan. In South Asia, depressive disorders accounted for 9.8 million DALYs (95% UI: 6.8–13.2 million) or 577.8 (95% UI: 399.9–778.9) per 100,000 population in 2016. Of these, major depressive disorders (MDD) accounted for 7.8 million DALYs (95% UI: 5.3–10.5 million). India generated the largest numbers of DALYs due to depressive disorders and MDD, followed by Bangladesh and Pakistan. DALYs due to depressive disorders were highest in females and older adults (75–79 years) across all countries. Conclusion Our findings show the substantial public health burden of depressive disorders in South Asian populations and healthcare systems. Given the scale of depressive disorders, improvement in overall population health is possible if South Asian countries prioritise the prevention and treatment of depressive disorders. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1186/s12888-018-1918-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Published: 2018

26. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: Roth, Gregory A., Collaborotors, G. B. 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Jc, Ferrari, Aj, Feyissa, Gt, Foigt, Na, Foreman, Kj, Frank, Td, Fuller, Je, Fürst, T, Furtado, Jm, Futran, Nd, Garcia-Basteiro, Al, Garcia-Gordillo, Ma, Gardner, Wm, Gebre, Ak, Gebrehiwot, Tt, Gebremedhin, At, Gebremichael, Tg, Gelano, Tf, Geleijnse, Jm, Geramo, Ycd, Gething, Pw, Gezae, Ke, Ghadami, Mr, Gibney, Kb, Gill, Tk, Gillum, Rf, Ginawi, Ia, Goldberg, Em, Gómez-Dantés, H, Gona, Pn, Gopalani, Sv, Gorman, Tm, Goulart, Ac, Gnedovskaya, Ev, Gugnani, Hc, Guimaraes, Al, Gupta, Pc, Gutiérrez, Ra, Haagsma, Ja, Hagos, Tb, Hailegiyorgis, Tt, Hailu, Gb, Hamadeh, Rr, Handal, Aj, Hankey, Gj, Harb, Hl, Haro, Jm, Hassen, Hy, Hay, Rj, Hay, Si, Hegazy, Mi, Henry, Nj, Hibstu, Dt, Hoek, Hw, Hole, Mk, Hosgood, Hd, Hosseini, Sm, Hotez, Pj, Hoy, Dg, Huang, Jj, Hussen, Mm, Irvani, Ssn, Irvine, Cm, Islam, Sm, Jacobsen, Kh, Jain, Sk, Jalu, Mt, James, Sl, Jayatilleke, Au, Jenkins, Kj, Jha, Rp, Johnson, Co, Johnson, Sc, Jonas, Jb, Jozwiak, Jj, Jungari, Sb, Jürisson, M, Kassa, Dh, Kassa, Gm, Kassa, Td, Kassebaum, Nj, Katikireddi, Sv, Karyani, Ak, Kefale, At, Keiyoro, Pn, Kemp, Gr, Kengne, Ap, Kesavachandran, Cn, Khafaie, Ma, Khalil, Ia, Khan, Ea, Khan, Ma, Khang, Yh, Khater, Mm, Khoja, At, Khosravi, Mh, Kiadaliri, Aa, Kibret, Gd, Kidanemariam, Zt, Kiirithio, Dn, Kim, Ye, Kim, Yj, Kimokoti, Rw, Kivimäki, M, Knudsen, Ak, Kocarnik, Jm, Kopec, Ja, Koul, Pa, Kravchenko, Ma, Kumar, Ga, Kutz, Mj, Kyu, Hh, Lad, Dp, Lad, Sd, Lal, Dk, Lam, Jo, Lami, Fh, Lansingh, Vc, Larson, Hj, Lau, Km, Lazarus, Jv, Lee, Ph, Leshargie, Ct, Lim, Ll, Limenih, Ma, Lopez, Ad, Lotufo, Pa, Macarayan, Erk, Mackay, Mt, Maclachlan, Jh, Maddison, Er, Maghavani, Dp, Malta, Dc, Manda, Al, Mandarano-Filho, Lg, Mansournia, Ma, Mapoma, Cc, Maravilla, Jc, Marks, Gb, Martins-Melo, Fr, März, W, Marzan, Mb, Masci, Jr, Massenburg, Bb, Mathur, Mr, Maulik, Pk, Mcgrath, Jj, Mcmahon, Bj, Mehndiratta, Mm, Mehta, Km, Mekonnen, Tc, Memiah, Ptn, Memish, Za, Mengistu, Dt, Mensah, Ga, Mereta, St, Meretoja, Tj, Mezgebe, Hb, Millear, Ai, Miller, Tr, Miller-Petrie, Mk, Mini, Gk, Mirrakhimov, Em, Misganaw, At, Mohammad, Ka, Mohammed, Ma, Mokdad, Ah, Moreno Velásquez, I, Morrison, Sd, Moschos, Mm, Mousavi, Sm, Muchie, Kf, Mueller, Uo, Mumford, Je, Musa, Ki, Nachega, Jb, Nansseu, Jr, Nascimento, Br, Negoi, Ri, Newton, Crj, Ngalesoni, Fn, Ngunjiri, Jw, Nguyen, Aq, Nguyen, Ht, Nguyen, Lh, Nguyen, Th, Ningrum, Dna, Nirayo, Yl, Nixon, Mr, Norheim, Of, Noubiap, Jj, Nouri, Hr, Nourollahpour Shiadeh, M, Nowroozi, Mr, Odell, Cm, Ogbo, Fa, Oh, Ih, Olagunju, At, Olivares, Pr, Olsen, He, Olusanya, Bo, Olusanya, Jo, Ong, Kl, Ong, Sk, Orpana, Hm, Ortiz, Jr, Øverland, S, Owolabi, Mo, Özdemir, R, P A, M, Pakhare, Ap, Pakpour, Ah, Pandian, Jd, Park, Ek, Parry, Cdh, Patton, Gc, Paturi, Vr, Paulson, Kr, Pereira, Dm, Phillips, Mr, Piel, Fb, Pigott, Dm, Pillay, Jd, Postma, Mj, Purcell, Ca, Quistberg, Da, Rade, Kw, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rafiei, A, Rahim, F, Rahman, Mhu, Rahman, Ma, Rai, Rk, Ranabhat, Cl, Rao, Pc, Rawaf, Dl, Razo-García, C, Reiner, Rc, Reitsma, Mb, Renzaho, Amn, Riahi, Sm, Ribeiro, Alp, Rios-Blancas, Mj, Roba, Kt, Roberts, Nl, Robinson, Sr, Sahraian, Ma, Saldanha, Rf, Sambala, Ez, Samy, Am, Sanchez-Niño, Md, Santomauro, Df, Santos, Jv, Milicevic, Mm, Sao Jose, Bp, Sarker, Ar, Sarmiento-Suárez, R, Sawant, Ar, Schmidt, Mi, Schneider, Ijc, Schöttker, B, Schutte, Ae, Schwebel, Dc, Scott, Jg, Sepanlou, Sg, Serván-Mori, E, Shackelford, Ka, Shaheen, Aa, Shaikh, Ma, Shrime, Mg, Siddiqi, Tj, Sigfusdottir, Id, Silberberg, Dh, Silva, Da, Silva, Jp, Silva, Ntd, Silveira, Dga, Singh, Ja, Singh, Np, Singh, Pk, Sinha, Dn, Sobaih, Bh, Sorensen, Rjd, Soriano, Jb, Soyiri, In, Sposato, La, Sreeramareddy, Ct, Stanaway, Jd, Starodubov, Vi, Stein, Dj, Stewart, Lg, Stokes, Ma, Subart, Ml, Sufiyan, Mb, Sur, Pj, Sykes, Bl, Sylaja, Pn, Sylte, Do, Szoeke, Cei, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tadakamadla, Sk, Tassew, Sg, Tekalign, Tg, Tekle, Mg, Temsah, Mh, Teshale, My, Tessema, Ga, Thankappan, Kr, Thrift, Ag, Thurston, Gd, To, Qg, Torre, Ae, Tortajada-Girbés, M, Tovani-Palone, Mr, Tran, Bx, Tran, Kb, Troeger, Ce, Truelsen, Tc, Truong, Nt, Tsadik, Ag, Tuzcu, Em, Ukwaja, Kn, Undurraga, Ea, Updike, Rl, Uthman, Oa, Uzun, Sb, Valdez, Pr, Vasankari, Tj, Vladimirov, Sk, Vollset, Se, Wagner, Gr, Wallin, Mt, Walson, Jl, Wang, Yp, Wassie, Mm, Weintraub, Rg, Weldegwergs, Kg, Werkneh, Aa, West, Te, Whiteford, Ha, Wilner, Lb, Wolfe, Cda, Wu, Yc, Wyper, Gma, Yahyazadeh Jabbari, Sh, Yan, Ll, Yasin, Yj, Yentür, Gk, Yimer, Em, Yirsaw, Bd, Yoon, Sj, Younis, Mz, Zaman, Sb, Zeleke, Aj, Zenebe, Zm, Zhang, Al, Zuhlke, Lj, and Murray, Cjl.
Subjects: Adult, Male, Adolescent, national age-sex-specific mortality, UNITED-STATES, Global Health, Socioeconomic Factor, Global Burden of Disease, GBD, causes of death, Young Adult, Age Distribution, Life Expectancy, General & Internal Medicine, Cause of Death, PUBLIC-HEALTH PROBLEM, mortality, 282 causes global burden of disease, Sex Distribution, Child, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, BARRIERS, DEMENTIA, Medicine (all), Infant, Newborn, Infant, 11 Medical And Health Sciences, Middle Aged, TRENDS, PREVENTION, PREVALENCE, ALZHEIMERS-DISEASE, INDIVIDUALS, 3121 General medicine, internal medicine and other clinical medicine, Child, Preschool, REGISTRATION, Female, Human medicine, Human
Abstract: Background Global development goals increasingly rely on country-specific estimates for benchmarking a nation's progress. To meet this need, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 estimated global, regional, national, and, for selected locations, subnational cause-specific mortality beginning in the year 1980. Here we report an update to that study, making use of newly available data and improved methods. GBD 2017 provides a comprehensive assessment of cause-specific mortality for 282 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2017. Methods The causes of death database is composed of vital registration (VR), verbal autopsy (VA), registry, survey, police, and surveillance data. GBD 2017 added ten VA studies, 127 country-years of VR data, 502 cancer-registry country-years, and an additional surveillance country-year. Expansions of the GBD cause of death hierarchy resulted in 18 additional causes estimated for GBD 2017. Newly available data led to subnational estimates for five additional countries Ethiopia, Iran, New Zealand, Norway, and Russia. Deaths assigned International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes for non-specific, implausible, or intermediate causes of death were reassigned to underlying causes by redistribution algorithms that were incorporated into uncertainty estimation. We used statistical modelling tools developed for GBD, including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODErn), to generate cause fractions and cause specific death rates for each location, year, age, and sex. Instead of using UN estimates as in previous versions, GBD 2017 independently estimated population size and fertility rate for all locations. Years of life lost (YLLs) were then calculated as the sum of each death multiplied by the standard life expectancy at each age. All rates reported here are age-standardised. Findings At the broadest grouping of causes of death (Level 1), non-communicable diseases (NC Ds) comprised the greatest fraction of deaths, contributing to 73.4% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 72.5-74.1) of total deaths in 2017, while communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) causes accounted for 186% (17.9-19.6), and injuries 8.0% (7.7-8.2). Total numbers of deaths from NCD causes increased from 2007 to 2017 by 22.7% (21.5-23.9), representing an additional 7.61 million (7. 20-8.01) deaths estimated in 2017 versus 2007. The death rate from NCDs decreased globally by 7.9% (7.08.8). The number of deaths for CMNN causes decreased by 222% (20.0-24.0) and the death rate by 31.8% (30.1-33.3). Total deaths from injuries increased by 2.3% (0-5-4-0) between 2007 and 2017, and the death rate from injuries decreased by 13.7% (12.2-15.1) to 57.9 deaths (55.9-59.2) per 100 000 in 2017. Deaths from substance use disorders also increased, rising from 284 000 deaths (268 000-289 000) globally in 2007 to 352 000 (334 000-363 000) in 2017. Between 2007 and 2017, total deaths from conflict and terrorism increased by 118.0% (88.8-148.6). A greater reduction in total deaths and death rates was observed for some CMNN causes among children younger than 5 years than for older adults, such as a 36.4% (32.2-40.6) reduction in deaths from lower respiratory infections for children younger than 5 years compared with a 33.6% (31.2-36.1) increase in adults older than 70 years. Globally, the number of deaths was greater for men than for women at most ages in 2017, except at ages older than 85 years. Trends in global YLLs reflect an epidemiological transition, with decreases in total YLLs from enteric infections, respirator}, infections and tuberculosis, and maternal and neonatal disorders between 1990 and 2017; these were generally greater in magnitude at the lowest levels of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI). At the same time, there were large increases in YLLs from neoplasms and cardiovascular diseases. YLL rates decreased across the five leading Level 2 causes in all SDI quintiles. The leading causes of YLLs in 1990 neonatal disorders, lower respiratory infections, and diarrhoeal diseases were ranked second, fourth, and fifth, in 2017. Meanwhile, estimated YLLs increased for ischaemic heart disease (ranked first in 2017) and stroke (ranked third), even though YLL rates decreased. Population growth contributed to increased total deaths across the 20 leading Level 2 causes of mortality between 2007 and 2017. Decreases in the cause-specific mortality rate reduced the effect of population growth for all but three causes: substance use disorders, neurological disorders, and skin and subcutaneous diseases. Interpretation Improvements in global health have been unevenly distributed among populations. Deaths due to injuries, substance use disorders, armed conflict and terrorism, neoplasms, and cardiovascular disease are expanding threats to global health. For causes of death such as lower respiratory and enteric infections, more rapid progress occurred for children than for the oldest adults, and there is continuing disparity in mortality rates by sex across age groups. Reductions in the death rate of some common diseases are themselves slowing or have ceased, primarily for NCDs, and the death rate for selected causes has increased in the past decade. Copyright (C) 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Published: 2018

27. Population and fertility by age and sex for 195 countries and territories, 1950-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: Murray, Christopher J L, Callender, Charlton S K H, Kulikoff, Xie Rachel, Srinivasan, Vinay, Abate, Degu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abay, Solomon M, Abbasi, Nooshin, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abdela, Jemal, Abdelalim, Ahmed, Abdel-Rahman, Omar, Abdi, Alireza, Abdoli, Nasrin, Abdollahpour, Ibrahim, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abebe, Haftom Temesgen, Abebe, Molla, Abebe, Zegeye, Abebo, Teshome Abuka, Abejie, Ayenew Negesse, Aboyans, Victor, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Abreu, Daisy Maria Xavier, Abrham, Aklilu Roba, Abu-Raddad, Laith Jamal, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M E, Accrombessi, Manfred Mario Kokou, Acharya, Pawan, Adamu, Abdu A, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Adekanmbi, Victor, Adetokunboh, Olatunji O, Adhena, Beyene Meressa, Adhikari, Tara Ballav, Adib, Mina G, Adou, Arsène Kouablan, Adsuar, Jose C, Afarideh, Mohsen, Afshin, Ashkan, Agarwal, Gina, Agesa, Kareha M, Aghayan, Sargis Aghasi, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmadi, Mehdi, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Ahmed, Sayem, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Akanda, Ali S, Akbari, Mohammad Esmaeil, Akibu, Mohammed, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akinyemiju, Tomi, Akseer, Nadia, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alebel, Animut, Aleman, Alicia V, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Ali, Raghib, Alijanzadeh, Mehran, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Almasi, Ali, Alonso, Jordi, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Ammar, Walid, Anber, Nahla Hamed, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Androudi, Sofia, Animut, Megbaru Debalkie, Ansari, Hossein, Ansha, Mustafa Geleto, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw, Aremu, Olatunde, Areri, Habtamu Abera, Arian, Nicholas, Ärnlöv, Johan, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna K, Asayesh, Hamid, Asfaw, Ephrem Tsegay, Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Assadi, Reza, Atey, Tesfay Mehari Mehari, Atique, Suleman, Atteraya, Madhu Sudhan, Ausloos, Marcel, Avokpaho, Euripide F G A, Awasthi, Ashish, Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina, Ayele, Yohanes, Ayer, Rakesh, Ayuk, Tambe B, Azzopardi, Peter S, Babalola, Tesleem Kayode, Babazadeh, Arefeh, Badali, Hamid, Badawi, Alaa, Bali, Ayele Geleto, Banach, Maciej, Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Barrero, Lope H, Basaleem, Huda, Bassat, Quique, Basu, Arindam, Baune, Bernhard T, Baynes, Habtamu Wondifraw, Beghi, Ettore, Behzadifar, Masoud, Behzadifar, Meysam, Bekele, Bayu Begashaw, Belachew, Abate Bekele, Belay, Aregawi Gebreyesus, Belay, Ezra, Belay, Saba Abraham, Belay, Yihalem Abebe, Bell, Michelle L, Bello, Aminu K, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Bergeron, Gilles, Berhane, Adugnaw, Berman, Adam E, Bernabe, Eduardo, Bernstein, Robert S, Bertolacci, Gregory J, Beuran, Mircea, Bhattarai, Suraj, Bhaumik, Soumyadeep, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Biadgo, Belete, Bijani, Ali, Bikbov, Boris, Bililign, Nigus, Bin Sayeed, Muhammad Shahdaat, Birlik, Sait Mentes, Birungi, Charles, Biswas, Tuhin, Bizuneh, Hailemichael, Bleyer, Archie, Basara, Berrak Bora, Bosetti, Cristina, Boufous, Soufiane, Brady, Oliver J, Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi, Brainin, Michael, Brazinova, Alexandra, Breitborde, Nicholas J K, Brenner, Hermann, Brewer, Jerry D, Briant, Paul Svitil, Britton, Gabrielle, Burstein, Roy, Busse, Reinhard, Butt, Zahid A, Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero, Campos-Nonato, Ismael R, Campuzano Rincon, Julio Cesar, Cano, Jorge, Car, Mate, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carrero, Juan J, Carvalho, Félix, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Castillo Rivas, Jacqueline, Castro, Franz, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Çavlin, Alanur, Cerin, Ester, Chalek, Julian, Chang, Hsing-Yi, Chang, Jung-Chen, Chattopadhyay, Aparajita, Chaturvedi, Pankaj, Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia, Chin, Ken Lee, Chisumpa, Vesper Hichilombwe, Chitheer, Abdulaal, Choi, Jee-Young J, Chowdhury, Rajiv, Christopher, Devasahayam J, Cicuttini, Flavia M, Ciobanu, Liliana G, Cirillo, Massimo, Claro, Rafael M, 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Subjects: Adult, Male, Population Density, GBD, population, fertility, Adolescent, Medicine (all), Infant, Newborn, Infant, 11 Medical And Health Sciences, Middle Aged, Global Health, Global Burden of Disease, Young Adult, Child, Preschool, General & Internal Medicine, Female, Human medicine, Mortality, Child, Population Growth, Birth Rate, Aged, Human, Maternal Age
Abstract: Background Population estimates underpin demographic and epidemiological research and are used to track progress on numerous international indicators of health and development. To date, internationally available estimates of population and fertility, although useful, have not been produced with transparent and replicable methods and do not use standardised estimates of mortality. We present single-calendar year and single-year of age estimates of fertility and population by sex with standardised and replicable methods. Methods We estimated population in 195 locations by single year of age and single calendar year from 1950 to 2017 with standardised and replicable methods. We based the estimates on the demographic balancing equation, with inputs of fertility, mortality, population, and migration data. Fertility data came from 7817 location-years of vital registration data, 429 surveys reporting complete birth histories, and 977 surveys and censuses reporting summary birth histories. We estimated age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs; the annual number of livebirths to women of a specified age group per 1000 women in that age group) by use of spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression and used the ASFRs to estimate total fertility rates (TFRs; the average number of children a woman would bear if she survived through the end of the reproductive age span [age 10-54 years] and experienced at each age a particular set of ASFRs observed in the year of interest). Because of sparse data, fertility at ages 10-14 years and 50-54 years was estimated from data on fertility in women aged 15-19 years and 45-49 years, through use of linear regression. Age-specific mortality data came from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 estimates. Data on population came from 1257 censuses and 761 population registry location-years and were adjusted for underenumeration and age misreporting with standard demographic methods. Migration was estimated with the GBD Bayesian demographic balancing model, after incorporating information about refugee migration into the model prior. Final population estimates used the cohort-cotnponent method of population projection, with inputs of fertility, mortality, and migration data. Population uncertainty was estimated by use of out-of-sample predictive validity testing. With these data, we estimated the trends in population by age and sex and in fertility by age between 1950 and 2017 in 195 countries and territories. Findings From 1950 to 2017, TFRs decreased by 49.4% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 46.4-52.0). The TFR decreased from 4.7 livebirths (4.5-4.9) to 2.4 livebirths (2.2-2.5), and the ASFR of mothers aged 10-19 years decreased from 37 livebirths (34-40) to 22 livebirths (19-24) per 1000 women. Despite reductions in the TFR, the global population has been increasing by an average of 83.8 million people per year since 1985. The global population increased by 197-2% (193.3-200.8) since 1950, from 2.6 billion (2.5-2.6) to 7.6 billion (7.4-7.9) people in 2017; much of this increase was in the proportion of the global population in south Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. The global annual rate of population growth increased between 1950 and 1964, when it peaked at 2.0%; this rate then remained nearly constant until 1970 and then decreased to 1.1% in 2017. Population growth rates in the southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania GBD super-region decreased from 2.5% in 1963 to O7% in 2017, whereas in sub-Saharan Africa, population growth rates were almost at the highest reported levels ever in 2017, when they were at 2.7%. The global average age increased from 26.6 years in 1950 to 32.1 years in 2017, and the proportion of the population that is of working age (age 15-64 years) increased from 59.9% to 65.3%. At the national level, the TFR decreased in all countries and territories between 1950 and 2017; in 2017, TFRs ranged from a low of 1.0 livebirths (95% UI 0. 9-1.2) in Cyprus to a high of 7.1 livebirths (6.8-7.4) in Niger. The TFR under age 25 years (TFU25; number of livebirths expected by age 25 years for a hypothetical woman who survived the age group and was exposed to current ASFRs) in 2017 ranged from 0.08 livebirths (0.07-0.09) in South Korea to 2.4 livebirths (2.2-2.6) in Niger, and the TFR over age 30 years (I F030; number of livebirths expected for a hypothetical woman ageing from 30 to 54 years who survived the age group and was exposed to current ASFRs) ranged from a low of 0.3 livebirths (0.3-0-4) in Puerto Rico to a high of 3.1 livebirths (3.0-3.2) in Niger. TF030 was higher than TFU25 in 145 countries and territories in 2017.33 countries had a negative population growth rate from 2010 to 2017, most of which were located in central, eastern, and western Europe, whereas population growth rates of more than 2.0% were seen in 33 of 46 countries in sub-Saharan Africa. In 2017, less than 65% of the national population was of working age in 12 of 34 high-income countries, and less than 50% of the national population was of working age in Mali, Chad, and Niger. Interpretation Population trends create demographic dividends and headwinds (ie, economic benefits and detriments) that affect national economies and determine national planning needs. Although TFRs are decreasing, the global population continues to grow as mortality declines, with diverse patterns at the national level and across age groups. To our knowledge, this is the first study to provide transparent and replicable estimates of population and fertility, which can be used to inform decision making and to monitor progress. Copyright (C) 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Published: 2018

28. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: James, Spencer L., Abate, Degu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abay, Solomon M., Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbasi, Nooshin, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdela, Jemal, Abdelalim, Ahmed, Abdollahpour, Ibrahim, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abebe, Zegeye, Abera, Semaw F., Abil, Olifan Zewdie, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Abu-Raddad, Laith Jamal, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M. E., Accrombessi, Manfred Mario Kokou, Acharya, Dilaram, Acharya, Pawan, Ackerman, Ilana N., Adamu, Abdu A., Adebayo, Oladimeji M., Adekanmbi, Victor, Adetokunboh, Olatunji O., Adib, Mina G., Adsuar, Jose C., Afanvi, Kossivi Agbelenko, Afarideh, Mohsen, Afshin, Ashkan, Agarwal, Gina, Agesa, Kareha M., Aggarwal, Rakesh, Aghayan, Sargis Aghasi, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmadi, Mehdi, Ahmadieh, Hamid, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Akinyemiju, Tomi, Akseer, Nadia, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Al-Mekhlafi, Hesham M., Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M., Alahdab, Fares, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Tahiya, Alashi, Alaa, Alavian, Seyed Moayed, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Alijanzadeh, Mehran, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Alouani, Mohamed M. L., Altirkawi, Khalid, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T., Aminde, Leopold N., Ammar, Walid, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Anber, Nahla Hamed, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Androudi, Sofia, Animut, Megbaru Debalkie, Anjomshoa, Mina, Ansha, Mustafa Geleto, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T., Anwari, Palwasha, Arabloo, Jalal, Arauz, Antonio, Aremu, Olatunde, Ariani, Filippo, Armoon, Bahroom, Ärnlöv, Johan, Arora, Amit, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna K., Asayesh, Hamid, Asghar, Rana Jawad, Ataro, Zerihun, Atre, Sachin R., Ausloos, Marcel, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide F. G. A., Awasthi, Ashish, Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina, Ayer, Rakesh, Azzopardi, Peter S., Babazadeh, Arefeh, Badali, Hamid, Badawi, Alaa, Bali, Ayele Geleto, Ballesteros, Katherine E., Ballew, Shoshana H., Banach, Maciej, Banoub, Joseph Adel Mattar, Banstola, Amrit, Barac, Aleksandra, Barboza, Miguel A., Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Barrero, Lope H., Baune, Bernhard T., Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Bedi, Neeraj, Beghi, Ettore, Behzadifar, Masoud, Behzadifar, Meysam, Béjot, Yannick, Belachew, Abate Bekele, Belay, Yihalem Abebe, Bell, Michelle L., Bello, Aminu K., Bensenor, Isabela M., Bernabe, Eduardo, Bernstein, Robert S., Beuran, Mircea, Beyranvand, Tina, Bhala, Neeraj, Bhattarai, Suraj, Bhaumik, Soumyadeep, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A., Biadgo, Belete, Bijani, Ali, Bikbov, Boris, Bilano, Ver, Bililign, Nigus, Bin Sayeed, Muhammad Shahdaat, Bisanzio, Donal, Blacker, Brigette F., Blyth, Fiona M., Bou-Orm, Ibrahim R., Boufous, Soufiane, Bourne, Rupert, Brady, Oliver J., Brainin, Michael, Brant, Luisa C., Brazinova, Alexandra, Breitborde, Nicholas J. K., Brenner, Hermann, Briant, Paul Svitil, Briggs, Andrew M., Briko, Andrey Nikolaevich, Britton, Gabrielle, Brugha, Traolach, Buchbinder, Rachelle, Busse, Reinhard, Butt, Zahid A., Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero, Cano, Jorge, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carrero, Juan J., Carter, Austin, Carvalho, Félix, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A., Castillo Rivas, Jacqueline, Castro, Franz, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Cercy, Kelly M., Cerin, Ester, Chaiah, Yazan, Chang, Alex R., Chang, Hsing-Yi, Chang, Jung-Chen, Charlson, Fiona J., Chattopadhyay, Aparajita, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chaturvedi, Pankaj, Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia, Chin, Ken Lee, Chitheer, Abdulaal, Choi, Jee-Young J., Chowdhury, Rajiv, Christensen, Hanne, Christopher, Devasahayam J., Cicuttini, Flavia M., Ciobanu, Liliana G., Cirillo, Massimo, Claro, Rafael M., Collado-Mateo, Daniel, Cooper, Cyrus, Coresh, Josef, Cortesi, Paolo Angelo, Cortinovis, Monica, Costa, Megan, Cousin, Ewerton, Criqui, Michael H., Cromwell, Elizabeth A., Cross, Marita, Crump, John A., Dadi, Abel Fekadu, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Dargan, Paul I., Daryani, Ahmad, Das Gupta, Rajat, Das Neves, José, Dasa, Tamirat Tesfaye, Davey, Gail, Davis, Adrian C., Davitoiu, Dragos Virgil, De Courten, Barbora, De La Hoz, Fernando Pio, De Leo, Diego, De Neve, Jan-Walter, Degefa, Meaza Girma, Degenhardt, Louisa, Deiparine, Selina, Dellavalle, Robert P., Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam, Deribe, Kebede, Dervenis, Nikolaos, Des Jarlais, Don C., Dessie, Getenet Ayalew, Dey, Subhojit, Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda, Dinberu, Mesfin Tadese, Dirac, M. Ashworth, Djalalinia, Shirin, Doan, Linh, Dokova, Klara, Doku, David Teye, Dorsey, E. Ray, Doyle, Kerrie E., Driscoll, Tim Robert, Dubey, Manisha, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Duken, Eyasu Ejeta, Duncan, Bruce B., Duraes, Andre R., Ebrahimi, Hedyeh, Ebrahimpour, Soheil, Echko, Michelle Marie, Edvardsson, David, Effiong, Andem, Ehrlich, Joshua R., El Bcheraoui, Charbel, El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa, El-Khatib, Ziad, Elkout, Hajer, Elyazar, Iqbal R. F., Enayati, Ahmadali, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Er, Benjamin, Erskine, Holly E., Eshrati, Babak, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Esteghamati, Alireza, Esteghamati, Sadaf, Fakhim, Hamed, Fallah Omrani, Vahid, Faramarzi, Mahbobeh, Fareed, Mohammad, Farhadi, Farzaneh, Farid, Talha A., Farinha, Carla Sofia E. sá, Farioli, Andrea, Faro, Andre, Farvid, Maryam S., Farzadfar, Farshad, Feigin, Valery L., Fentahun, Netsanet, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fernandes, Eduarda, Fernandes, Joao C., Ferrari, Alize J., Feyissa, Garumma Tolu, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Fitzmaurice, Christina, Foigt, Nataliya A., Foreman, Kyle J., Fox, Jack, Frank, Tahvi D., Fukumoto, Takeshi, Fullman, Nancy, Fürst, Thomas, Furtado, João M., Futran, Neal D., Gall, Seana, Ganji, Morsaleh, Gankpe, Fortune Gbetoho, Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto L., Gardner, William M., Gebre, Abadi Kahsu, Gebremedhin, Amanuel Tesfay, Gebremichael, Teklu Gebrehiwo, Gelano, Tilayie Feto, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Genova-Maleras, Ricard, Geramo, Yilma Chisha Dea, Gething, Peter W., Gezae, Kebede Embaye, Ghadiri, Keyghobad, Ghasemi Falavarjani, Khalil, Ghasemi-Kasman, Maryam, Ghimire, Mamata, Ghosh, Rakesh, Ghoshal, Aloke Gopal, Giampaoli, Simona, Gill, Paramjit Singh, Gill, Tiffany K., Ginawi, Ibrahim Abdelmageed, Giussani, Giorgia, Gnedovskaya, Elena V., Goldberg, Ellen M., Goli, Srinivas, Gómez-Dantés, Hector, Gona, Philimon N., Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Gorman, Taren M., Goulart, Alessandra C., Goulart, Bárbara Niegia Garcia, Grada, Ayman, Grams, Morgan E., Grosso, Giuseppe, Gugnani, Harish Chander, Guo, Yuming, Gupta, Prakash C., Gupta, Rahul, Gupta, Rajeev, Gupta, Tanush, Gyawali, Bishal, Haagsma, Juanita A., Hachinski, Vladimir, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Haghparast Bidgoli, Hassan, Hagos, Tekleberhan B., Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Haj-Mirzaian, Arya, Hamadeh, Randah R., Hamidi, Samer, Handal, Alexis J., Hankey, Graeme J., Hao, Yuantao, Harb, Hilda L., Harikrishnan, Sivadasanpillai, Haro, Josep Maria, Hasan, Mehedi, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hawley, Caitlin N., Hay, Roderick J., Hay, Simon I., Hedayatizadeh-Omran, Akbar, Heibati, Behzad, Hendrie, Delia, Henok, Andualem, Herteliu, Claudiu, Heydarpour, Sousan, Hibstu, Desalegn Tsegaw, Hoang, Huong Thanh, Hoek, Hans W., Hoffman, Howard J., Hole, Michael K., Homaie Rad, Enayatollah, Hoogar, Praveen, Hosgood, H. Dean, Hosseini, Seyed Mostafa, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Hostiuc, Mihaela, Hostiuc, Sorin, Hotez, Peter J., Hoy, Damian G., Hsairi, Mohamed, Htet, Aung Soe, Hu, Guoqing, Huang, John J., Huynh, Chantal K., Iburg, Kim Moesgaard, Ikeda, Chad Thomas, Ileanu, Bogdan, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Iqbal, Usman, Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi, Irvine, Caleb Mackay Salpeter, Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful, Islami, Farhad, Jacobsen, Kathryn H., Jahangiry, Leila, Jahanmehr, Nader, Jain, Sudhir Kumar, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Javanbakht, Mehdi, Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra, Jeemon, Panniyammakal, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Jha, Vivekanand, Ji, John S., Johnson, Catherine O., Jonas, Jost B., Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Jungari, Suresh Banayya, Jürisson, Mikk, Kabir, Zubair, Kadel, Rajendra, Kahsay, Amaha, Kalani, Rizwan, Kanchan, Tanuj, Karami, Manoochehr, Karami Matin, Behzad, Karch, André, Karema, Corine, Karimi, Narges, Karimi, Seyed M., Kasaeian, Amir, Kassa, Dessalegn H., Kassa, Getachew Mullu, Kassa, Tesfaye Dessale, Kassebaum, Nicholas J., Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal, Kawakami, Norito, Karyani, Ali Kazemi, Keighobadi, Masoud Masoud, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Kemmer, Laura, Kemp, Grant Rodgers, Kengne, Andre Pascal, Keren, Andre, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khafaei, Behzad, Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif, Khajavi, Alireza, Khalil, Ibrahim A., Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Muhammad Shahzeb, Khan, Muhammad Ali, Khang, Young-Ho, Khazaei, Mohammad, Khoja, Abdullah T., Khosravi, Ardeshir, Khosravi, Mohammad Hossein, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar A., Kiirithio, Daniel N., Kim, Cho-Il, Kim, Daniel, Kim, Pauline, Kim, Young-Eun, Kim, Yun Jin, Kimokoti, Ruth W., Kinfu, Yohannes, Kisa, Adnan, Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna, Kivimäki, Mika, Knudsen, Ann Kristin Skrindo, Kocarnik, Jonathan M., Kochhar, Sonali, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Kolola, Tufa, Kopec, Jacek A., Kosen, Soewarta, Kotsakis, Georgios A., Koul, Parvaiz A., Koyanagi, Ai, Kravchenko, Michael A., Krishan, Kewal, Krohn, Kristopher J., Kuate Defo, Barthelemy, Kucuk Bicer, Burcu, Kumar, G. Anil, Kumar, Manasi, Kyu, Hmwe Hmwe, Lad, Deepesh P., Lad, Sheetal D., Lafranconi, Alessandra, Lalloo, Ratilal, Lallukka, Tea, Lami, Faris Hasan, Lansingh, Van C., Latifi, Arman, Lau, Kathryn Mei-Ming, Lazarus, Jeffrey V., Leasher, Janet L., Ledesma, Jorge R., Lee, Paul H., Leigh, James, Leung, Janni, Levi, Miriam, Lewycka, Sonia, Li, Shanshan, Li, Yichong, Liao, Yu, Liben, Misgan Legesse, Lim, Lee-Ling, Lim, Stephen S., Liu, Shiwei, Lodha, Rakesh, Looker, Katharine J., Lopez, Alan D., Lorkowski, Stefan, Lotufo, Paulo A., Low, Nicola, Lozano, Rafael, Lucas, Tim C. D., Lucchesi, Lydia R., Lunevicius, Raimundas, Lyons, Ronan A., Ma, Stefan, Macarayan, Erlyn Rachelle King, Mackay, Mark T., Madotto, Fabiana, Magdy Abd El Razek, Hassan, Magdy Abd El Razek, Muhammed, Maghavani, Dhaval P., Mahotra, Narayan Bahadur, Mai, Hue Thi, Majdan, Marek, Majdzadeh, Reza, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Mamun, Abdullah A., Manda, Ana-Laura, Manguerra, Helena, Manhertz, Treh, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Mantovani, Lorenzo Giovanni, Mapoma, Chabila Christopher, Maravilla, Joemer C., Marcenes, Wagner, Marks, Ashley, Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio, Martopullo, Ira, März, Winfried, Marzan, Melvin B., Mashamba-Thompson, Tivani Phosa, Massenburg, Benjamin Ballard, Mathur, Manu Raj, Matsushita, Kunihiro, Maulik, Pallab K., Mazidi, Mohsen, McAlinden, Colm, McGrath, John J., McKee, Martin, Mehndiratta, Man Mohan, Mehrotra, Ravi, Mehta, Kala M., Mehta, Varshil, Mejia-Rodriguez, Fabiola, Mekonen, Tesfa, Melese, Addisu, Melku, Mulugeta, Meltzer, Michele, Memiah, Peter T. N., Memish, Ziad A., Mendoza, Walter, Mengistu, Desalegn Tadese, Mengistu, Getnet, Mensah, George A., Mereta, Seid Tiku, Meretoja, Atte, Meretoja, Tuomo J., Mestrovic, Tomislav, Mezerji, Naser Mohammad Gholi, Miazgowski, Bartosz, Miazgowski, Tomasz, Millear, Anoushka I., Miller, Ted R., Miltz, Benjamin, Mini, G. K., Mirarefin, Mojde, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M., Misganaw, Awoke Temesgen, Mitchell, Philip B., Mitiku, Habtamu, Moazen, Babak, Mohajer, Bahram, Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Mohammadnia-Afrouzi, Mousa, Mohammed, Mohammed A., Mohammed, Shafiu, Mohebi, Farnam, Moitra, Modhurima, Mokdad, Ali H., Molokhia, Mariam, Monasta, Lorenzo, Moodley, Yoshan, Moosazadeh, Mahmood, Moradi, Ghobad, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Moradinazar, Mehdi, Moraga, Paula, Morawska, Lidia, Moreno Velásquez, Ilais, Morgado-Da-Costa, Joana, Morrison, Shane Douglas, Moschos, Marilita M., Mountjoy-Venning, W. Cliff, Mousavi, Seyyed Meysam, Mruts, Kalayu Brhane, Muche, Achenef Asmamaw, Muchie, Kindie Fentahun, Mueller, Ulrich Otto, Muhammed, Oumer Sada, Mukhopadhyay, Satinath, Muller, Kate, Mumford, John Everett, Murhekar, Manoj, Musa, Jonah, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Mustafa, Ghulam, Nabhan, Ashraf F., Nagata, Chie, Naghavi, Mohsen, Naheed, Aliya, Nahvijou, Azin, Naik, Gurudatta, Naik, Nitish, Najafi, Farid, Naldi, Luigi, Nam, Hae Sung, Nangia, Vinay, Nansseu, Jobert Richie, Nascimento, Bruno Ramos, Natarajan, Gopalakrishnan, Neamati, Nahid, Negoi, Ionut, Negoi, Ruxandra Irina, Neupane, Subas, Newton, Charles Richard James, Ngunjiri, Josephine W., Nguyen, Anh Quynh, Nguyen, Ha Thu, Nguyen, Huong Lan Thi, Nguyen, Huong Thanh, Nguyen, Long Hoang, Nguyen, Minh, Nguyen, Nam Ba, Nguyen, Son Hoang, Nichols, Emma, Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini, Nixon, Molly R., Nolutshungu, Nomonde, Nomura, Shuhei, Norheim, Ole F., Noroozi, Mehdi, Norrving, Bo, Noubiap, Jean Jacques, Nouri, Hamid Reza, Nourollahpour Shiadeh, Malihe, Nowroozi, Mohammad Reza, Nsoesie, Elaine O., Nyasulu, Peter S., Odell, Christopher M., Ofori-Asenso, Richard, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In-Hwan, Oladimeji, Olanrewaju, Olagunju, Andrew T., Olagunju, Tinuke O., Olivares, Pedro R., Olsen, Helen Elizabeth, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Ong, Kanyin L., Ong, Sok King, Oren, Eyal, Ortiz, Alberto, Ota, Erika, Otstavnov, Stanislav S., Øverland, Simon, Owolabi, Mayowa Ojo, P A, Mahesh, Pacella, Rosana, Pakpour, Amir H., Pana, Adrian, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Parisi, Andrea, Park, Eun-Kee, Parry, Charles D. H., Patel, Shanti, Pati, Sanghamitra, Patil, Snehal T., Patle, Ajay, Patton, George C., Paturi, Vishnupriya Rao, Paulson, Katherine R., Pearce, Neil, Pereira, David M., Perico, Norberto, Pesudovs, Konrad, Pham, Hai Quang, Phillips, Michael R., Pigott, David M., Pillay, Julian David, Piradov, Michael A., Pirsaheb, Meghdad, Pishgar, Farhad, Plana-Ripoll, Oleguer, Plass, Dietrich, Polinder, Suzanne, Popova, Svetlana, Postma, Maarten J., Pourshams, Akram, Poustchi, Hossein, Prabhakaran, Dorairaj, Prakash, Swayam, Prakash, V., Purcell, Caroline A., Purwar, Manorama B., Qorbani, Mostafa, Quistberg, D. AlexRadfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahim, Fakher, Rahimi, Kazem, Rahimi-Movaghar, Afarin, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Mahfuzar, Rahman, Mohammad Hifz ur, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rahman, Sajjad Ur, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rajati, Fatemeh, Ram, Usha, Ranjan, Prabhat, Ranta, Anna, Rao, Puja C., Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Reddy, K. Srinath, Reiner, Robert C., Reinig, Nickolas, Reitsma, Marissa Bettay, Remuzzi, Giuseppe, Renzaho, Andre M. N., Resnikoff, Serge, Rezaei, Satar, Rezai, Mohammad Sadegh, Ribeiro, Antonio Luiz P., Roberts, Nicholas L. S., Robinson, Stephen R., Roever, Leonardo, Ronfani, Luca, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Rostami, Ali, Roth, Gregory A., Roy, Ambuj, Rubagotti, Enrico, Sachdev, Perminder S., Sadat, Nafis, Saddik, Basema, Sadeghi, Ehsan, Saeedi Moghaddam, Sahar, Safari, Hosein, Safari, Yahya, Safari-Faramani, Roya, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safi, Sare, Safiri, Saeid, Sagar, Rajesh, Sahebkar, Amirhossein, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Sajadi, Haniye Sadat, Salam, Nasir, Salama, Joseph S., Salamati, Payman, Saleem, Komal, Saleem, Zikria, Salimi, Yahya, Salomon, Joshua A., Salvi, Sundeep Santosh, Salz, Inbal, Samy, Abdallah M., Sanabria, Juan, Sang, Yingying, Santomauro, Damian Francesco, Santos, Itamar S., Santos, João Vasco, Santric Milicevic, Milena M., Sao Jose, Bruno Piassi, Sardana, Mayank, Sarker, Abdur Razzaque, Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Sartorius, Benn, Sarvi, Shahabeddin, Sathian, Brijesh, Satpathy, Maheswar, Sawant, Arundhati R., Sawhney, Monika, Saxena, Sonia, Saylan, Mete, Schaeffner, Elke, Schmidt, Maria Inês, Schneider, Ione J. 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L., GBD 2017 Dis Injury Incidence Pr, James, S, Abate, D, Abate, K, Abay, S, Abbafati, C, Abbasi, N, Abbastabar, H, Abd-Allah, F, Abdela, J, Abdelalim, A, Abdollahpour, I, Abdulkader, R, Abebe, Z, Abera, S, Abil, O, Abraha, H, Abu-Raddad, L, Abu-Rmeileh, N, Accrombessi, M, Acharya, D, Acharya, P, Ackerman, I, Adamu, A, Adebayo, O, Adekanmbi, V, Adetokunboh, O, Adib, M, Adsuar, J, Afanvi, K, Afarideh, M, Afshin, A, Agarwal, G, Agesa, K, Aggarwal, R, Aghayan, S, Agrawal, S, Ahmadi, A, Ahmadi, M, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, M, Aichour, A, Aichour, I, Aichour, M, Akinyemiju, T, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Al-Eyadhy, A, Al-Mekhlafi, H, Al-Raddadi, R, Alahdab, F, Alam, K, Alam, T, Alashi, A, Alavian, S, Alene, K, Alijanzadeh, M, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Aljunid, S, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Alouani, M, Altirkawi, K, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, A, Aminde, L, Ammar, W, Amoako, Y, Anber, N, Andrei, C, Androudi, S, Animut, M, Anjomshoa, M, Ansha, M, Antonio, C, Anwari, P, Arabloo, J, Arauz, A, Aremu, O, 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Lj, Abu-Rmeileh, Nme, Accrombessi, Mmk, Ackerman, In, Adamu, Aa, Adebayo, Om, Adetokunboh, Oo, Adib, Mg, Adsuar, Jc, Afanvi, Ka, Agesa, Km, Aghayan, Sa, Ahmed, Mb, Aichour, An, Aichour, Mte, Al-Mekhlafi, Hm, Al-Raddadi, Rm, Alavian, Sm, Alene, Ka, Aljunid, Sm, Alouani, Mml, Amare, At, Aminde, Ln, Amoako, Ya, Anber, Nh, Andrei, Cl, Animut, Md, Ansha, Mg, Antonio, Cat, Aryal, Kk, Asghar, Rj, Atre, Sr, Avokpaho, Efga, Ayala Quintanilla, Bp, Bali, Ag, Ballesteros, Ke, Ballew, Sh, Banoub, Jam, Barboza, Ma, Barker-Collo, Sl, Bärnighausen, Tw, Barrero, Lh, Baune, Bt, Belachew, Ab, Belay, Ya, Bell, Ml, Bello, Ak, Bensenor, Im, Bhutta, Za, Blacker, Bf, Blyth, Fm, Bou-Orm, Ir, Brady, Oj, Brant, Lc, Breitborde, Njk, Briggs, Am, Briko, An, Butt, Za, Carrero, Jj, Castañeda-Orjuela, Ca, Cercy, Km, Chang, Ar, Chang, Hy, Chang, Jc, Charlson, Fj, Chattu, Vk, Chiang, Pp, Chin, Kl, Choi, Jj, Christopher, Dj, Cicuttini, Fm, Ciobanu, Lg, Claro, Rm, Cortesi, Pa, Criqui, Mh, Cromwell, Ea, Crump, Ja, Dadi, Af, Dargan, Pi, Dasa, Tt, Davis, Ac, Davitoiu, Dv, De La Hoz, Fp, De Neve, Jw, Degefa, Mg, Dellavalle, Rp, Demoz, Gt, Des Jarlais, Dc, Dessie, Ga, Dharmaratne, Sd, Dinberu, Mt, Dirac, Ma, Doku, Dt, Dorsey, Er, Doyle, Ke, Driscoll, Tr, Duken, Ee, Duncan, Bb, Duraes, Ar, Echko, Mm, Ehrlich, Jr, Elyazar, Irf, Endries, Ay, Erskine, He, Farid, Ta, Farinha, Cse, Feigin, Vl, Fereshtehnejad, Sm, Fernandes, Jc, Ferrari, Aj, Feyissa, Gt, Foigt, Na, Foreman, Kj, Frank, Td, Furtado, Jm, Futran, Nd, Gankpe, Fg, Garcia-Basteiro, Al, Gardner, Wm, Gebre, Ak, Gebremedhin, At, Gebremichael, Tg, Gelano, Tf, Geleijnse, Jm, Geramo, Ycd, Gething, Pw, Gezae, Ke, Ghoshal, Ag, Gill, Tk, Ginawi, Ia, Gnedovskaya, Ev, Goldberg, Em, Gona, Pn, Gopalani, Sv, Gorman, Tm, Goulart, Ac, Goulart, Bng, Grams, Me, Gugnani, Hc, Gupta, Pc, Haagsma, Ja, Hagos, Tb, Hailu, Gb, Hamadeh, Rr, Handal, Aj, Hankey, Gj, Harb, Hl, Haro, Jm, Hassen, Hy, Hawley, Cn, Hay, Rj, Hay, Si, Hibstu, Dt, Hoang, Ht, Hoek, Hw, Hoffman, Hj, Hole, 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Elaine O, Nyasulu, Peter S, Odell, Christopher M, Ofori-Asenso, Richard, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In-Hwan, Oladimeji, Olanrewaju, Olagunju, Andrew T, Olagunju, Tinuke O, Olivares, Pedro R, Olsen, Helen Elizabeth, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Ong, Kanyin L, Ong, Sok King, Oren, Eyal, Ortiz, Alberto, Ota, Erika, Otstavnov, Stanislav S, Øverland, Simon, Owolabi, Mayowa Ojo, P A, Mahesh, Pacella, Rosana, Pakpour, Amir H, Pana, Adrian, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Parisi, Andrea, Park, Eun-Kee, Parry, Charles D H, Patel, Shanti, Pati, Sanghamitra, Patil, Snehal T, Patle, Ajay, Patton, George C, Paturi, Vishnupriya Rao, Paulson, Katherine R, Pearce, Neil, Pereira, David M, Perico, Norberto, Pesudovs, Konrad, Pham, Hai Quang, Phillips, Michael R, Pigott, David M, Pillay, Julian David, Piradov, Michael A, Pirsaheb, Meghdad, Pishgar, Farhad, Plana-Ripoll, Oleguer, Plass, Dietrich, Polinder, Suzanne, Popova, Svetlana, Postma, Maarten J, Pourshams, Akram, Poustchi, Hossein, Prabhakaran, Dorairaj, Prakash, Swayam, Prakash, V., Purcell, Caroline A, Purwar, Manorama B, Qorbani, Mostafa, Quistberg, D Alex, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahim, Fakher, Rahimi, Kazem, Rahimi-Movaghar, Afarin, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Mahfuzar, Rahman, Mohammad Hifz ur, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rahman, Sajjad Ur, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rajati, Fatemeh, Ram, Usha, Ranjan, Prabhat, Ranta, Anna, Rao, Puja C, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Reddy, K Srinath, Reiner, Robert C, Reinig, Nickola, Reitsma, Marissa Bettay, Remuzzi, Giuseppe, Renzaho, Andre M N, Resnikoff, Serge, Rezaei, Satar, Rezai, Mohammad Sadegh, Ribeiro, Antonio Luiz P, Robinson, Stephen R, Roever, Leonardo, Ronfani, Luca, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Rostami, Ali, Roth, Gregory A, Roy, Ambuj, Rubagotti, Enrico, Sachdev, Perminder S, Sadat, Nafi, Saddik, Basema, Sadeghi, Ehsan, Saeedi Moghaddam, Sahar, Safari, Hosein, Safari, Yahya, Safari-Faramani, Roya, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safi, Sare, Safiri, Saeid, Sagar, Rajesh, Sahebkar, Amirhossein, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Sajadi, Haniye Sadat, Salam, Nasir, Salama, Joseph S, Salamati, Payman, Saleem, Komal, Saleem, Zikria, Salimi, Yahya, Salomon, Joshua A, Salvi, Sundeep Santosh, Salz, Inbal, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan, Sang, Yingying, Santomauro, Damian Francesco, Santos, Itamar S, Santos, João Vasco, Santric Milicevic, Milena M, Sao Jose, Bruno Piassi, Sardana, Mayank, Sarker, Abdur Razzaque, Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Sartorius, Benn, Sarvi, Shahabeddin, Sathian, Brijesh, Satpathy, Maheswar, Sawant, Arundhati R, Sawhney, Monika, Saxena, Sonia, Saylan, Mete, Schaeffner, Elke, Schmidt, Maria Inê, Schneider, Ione J C, Schöttker, Ben, Schwebel, David C, Schwendicke, Falk, Scott, James G, Sekerija, Mario, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Serván-Mori, Edson, Seyedmousavi, Seyedmojtaba, Shabaninejad, Hosein, Shafieesabet, Azadeh, Shahbazi, Mehdi, Shaheen, Amira A, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shams-Beyranvand, Mehran, Shamsi, Mohammadbagher, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Sharafi, Heidar, Sharafi, Kiomar, Sharif, Mehdi, Sharif-Alhoseini, Mahdi, Sharma, Meenakshi, Sharma, Rajesh, She, Jun, Sheikh, Aziz, Shi, Peilin, Shibuya, Kenji, Shigematsu, Mika, Shiri, Rahman, Shirkoohi, Reza, Shishani, Kawkab, Shiue, Ivy, Shokraneh, Farhad, Shoman, Haitham, Shrime, Mark G, Si, Si, Siabani, Soraya, Siddiqi, Tariq J, Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora, Sigurvinsdottir, Rannveig, Silva, João Pedro, Silveira, Dayane Gabriele Alve, Singam, Narayana Sarma Venkata, Singh, Jasvinder A, Singh, Narinder Pal, Singh, Virendra, Sinha, Dhirendra Narain, Skiadaresi, Eirini, Slepak, Erica Leigh N, Sliwa, Karen, Smith, David L, Smith, Mari, Soares Filho, Adauto Martin, Sobaih, Badr Hasan, Sobhani, Soheila, Sobngwi, Eugène, Soneji, Samir S, Soofi, Moslem, Soosaraei, Masoud, Sorensen, Reed J D, Soriano, Joan B, Soyiri, Ireneous N, Sposato, Luciano A, Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T, Srinivasan, Vinay, Stanaway, Jeffrey D, Stein, Dan J, Steiner, Caitlyn, Steiner, Timothy J, Stokes, Mark A, Stovner, Lars Jacob, Subart, Michelle L, Sudaryanto, Agu, Sufiyan, Mu'awiyyah Babale, Sunguya, Bruno F, Sur, Patrick John, Sutradhar, Ipsita, Sykes, Bryan L, Sylte, Dillon O, Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tadakamadla, Santosh Kumar, Tadesse, Birkneh Tilahun, Tandon, Nikhil, Tassew, Segen Gebremeskel, Tavakkoli, Mohammad, Taveira, Nuno, Taylor, Hugh R, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Tekalign, Tigist Gashaw, Tekelemedhin, Shishay Wahdey, Tekle, Merhawi Gebremedhin, Temesgen, Habtamu, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Temsah, Omar, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Teweldemedhin, Mebrahtu, Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Raman, Thomas, Nihal, Tilahun, Binyam, To, Quyen G, Tonelli, Marcello, Topor-Madry, Roman, Topouzis, Foti, Torre, Anna E, Tortajada-Girbés, Miguel, Touvier, Mathilde, Tovani-Palone, Marcos Roberto, Towbin, Jeffrey A, Tran, Bach Xuan, Tran, Khanh Bao, Troeger, Christopher E, Truelsen, Thomas Clement, Tsilimbaris, Miltiadis K, Tsoi, Derrick, Tudor Car, Lorainne, Tuzcu, E Murat, Ukwaja, Kingsley N, Ullah, Irfan, Undurraga, Eduardo A, Unutzer, Jurgen, Updike, Rachel L, Usman, Muhammad Shariq, Uthman, Olalekan A, Vaduganathan, Muthiah, Vaezi, Afsane, Valdez, Pascual R, Varughese, Santosh, Vasankari, Tommi Juhani, Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy, Villafaina, Santo, Violante, Francesco S, Vladimirov, Sergey Konstantinovitch, Vlassov, Vasily, Vollset, Stein Emil, Vosoughi, Kia, Vujcic, Isidora S, Wagnew, Fasil Shiferaw, Waheed, Yasir, Waller, Stephen G, Wang, Yafeng, Wang, Yuan-Pang, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Weintraub, Robert G, Weiss, Daniel J, Weldegebreal, Fitsum, Weldegwergs, Kidu Gidey, Werdecker, Andrea, West, T Eoin, Whiteford, Harvey A, Widecka, Justyna, Wijeratne, Tissa, Wilner, Lauren B, Wilson, Shadrach, Winkler, Andrea Sylvia, Wiyeh, Alison B, Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Wolfe, Charles D A, Woolf, Anthony D, Wu, Shouling, Wu, Yun-Chun, Wyper, Grant M A, Xavier, Deni, Xu, Gelin, Yadgir, Simon, Yadollahpour, Ali, Yahyazadeh Jabbari, Seyed Hossein, Yamada, Tomohide, Yan, Lijing L, Yano, Yuichiro, Yaseri, Mehdi, Yasin, Yasin Jemal, Yeshaneh, Alex, Yimer, Ebrahim M, Yip, Paul, Yisma, Engida, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Yotebieng, Marcel, Younis, Mustafa Z, Yousefifard, Mahmoud, Yu, Chuanhua, Zadnik, Vesna, Zaidi, Zoubida, Zaman, Sojib Bin, Zamani, Mohammad, Zare, Zohreh, Zeleke, Ayalew Jejaw, Zenebe, Zerihun Menlkalew, Zhang, Kai, Zhao, Zheng, Zhou, Maigeng, Zodpey, Sanjay, Zucker, Inbar, Vos, Theo, and Murray, Christopher J L
Subjects: YLDs, global burden of disease, General & Internal Medicine, Medicine (all), prevalence, incidence, Human medicine, global burden of disease, YLDs, incidence, prevalence, GBD, years lived with disability
Abstract: Background The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2017) includes a comprehensive assessment of incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 354 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017. Previous GBD studies have shown how the decline of mortality rates from 1990 to 2016 has led to an increase in life expectancy, an ageing global population, and an expansion of the non-fatal burden of disease and injury. These studies have also shown how a substantial portion of the world's population experiences non-fatal health loss with considerable heterogeneity among different causes, locations, ages, and sexes. Ongoing objectives of the GBD study include increasing the level of estimation detail, improving analytical strategies, and increasing the amount of high-quality data. Methods We estimated incidence and prevalence for 354 diseases and injuries and 3484 sequelae. We used an updated and extensive body of literature studies, survey data, surveillance data, inpatient admission records, outpatient visit records, and health insurance claims, and additionally used results from cause of death models to inform estimates using a total of 68 781 data sources. Newly available clinical data from India, Iran, Japan, Jordan, Nepal, China, Brazil, Norway, and Italy were incorporated, as well as updated claims data from the USA and new claims data from Taiwan (province of China) and Singapore. We used DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, as the main method of estimation, ensuring consistency between rates of incidence, prevalence, remission, and cause of death for each condition. YLDs were estimated as the product of a prevalence estimate and a disability weight for health states of each mutually exclusive sequela, adjusted for comorbidity. We updated the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary development indicator of income per capita, years of schooling, and total fertility rate. Additionally, we calculated differences between male and female YLDs to identify divergent trends across sexes. GBD 2017 complies with the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting. Findings Globally, for females, the causes with the greatest age-standardised prevalence were oral disorders, headache disorders, and haemoglobinopathies and haemolytic anaemias in both 1990 and 2017. For males, the causes with the greatest age-standardised prevalence were oral disorders, headache disorders, and tuberculosis including latent tuberculosis infection in both 1990 and 2017. In terms of YLDs, low back pain, headache disorders, and dietary iron deficiency were the leading Level 3 causes of YLD counts in 1990, whereas low back pain, headache disorders, and depressive disorders were the leading causes in 2017 for both sexes combined. All-cause age-standardised YLD rates decreased by 39% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3.1-4. 6) from 1990 to 2017; however, the all-age YLD rate increased by 7.2% (6.0-8.4) while the total sum of global YLDs increased from 562 million (421-723) to 853 million (642-1100). The increases for males and females were similar, with increases in all-age YLD rates of 7.9% (6 6-9. 2) for males and 6.5% (5.4-7.7) for females. We found significant differences between males and females in terms of age-standardised prevalence estimates for multiple causes. The causes with the greatest relative differences between sexes in 2017 included substance use disorders (3018 cases [95% UI 2782-3252] per 100 000 in males vs 1400 [1279-1524] per 100 000 in females), transport injuries (3322 [3082-3583] vs 2336 [2154-2535]), and self-hatin and interpersonal violence (3265 [2943-3630] vs 5643 [5057-6302]). Interpretation Global all-cause age-standardised YLD rates have improved only slightly over a period spanning nearly three decades. However, the magnitude of the non-fatal disease burden has expanded globally, with increasing numbers of people who have a wide spectrum of conditions. A subset of conditions has remained globally pervasive since 1990, whereas other conditions have displayed more dynamic trends, with different ages, sexes, and geographies across the globe experiencing varying burdens and trends of health loss. This study emphasises how global improvements in premature mortality for select conditions have led to older populations with complex and potentially expensive diseases, yet also highlights global achievements in certain domains of disease and injury. Copyright (C) 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Published: 2018

29. Burden of vision loss in the Eastern Mediterranean region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, Ali H, Safi, Sare, Ahmadieh, Hamid, Katibeh, Marzieh, Yaseri, Mehdi, Ramezani, Alireza, Shahraz, Saeid, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Khalil, Ibrahim, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Collison, Michael, Chew, Adrienne, Daoud, Farah, Krohn, Kristopher J, Rankin, Zane, Afshin, Ashkan, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Olsen, Helen E, Stanaway, Jeffrey D, Wang, Haidong, Wilson, Katie, Yitayih, Gebre, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Alam, Khurshid, Alasfoor, Deena, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Anber, Nahla, Mansoura, Anber Phd University Mansoura, Ansari, Hossein, Anwari, Palwasha, Asayesh, Hamid, Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Bacha, Umar, Barac, Aleksandra, Bedi, Neeraj, Butt, Zahid A, Chitheer, Abdulaal A, Djalalinia, Shirin, Phuc, Huyen Do, Eshrati, Babak, Farvid, Maryam S, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fischer, Florian, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hamidi, Samer, Higazi, Tarig B, Hsairi, Mohamed, Jimenez-Corona, Aida, John, Denny, Jonas, Jost B, Kasaeian, Amir, Saleh, Yousef, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Larson, Heidi J, Latif, Asma Abdul, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Abd El Razek, Hassan Magdy, Abd El Razek, Mohammed Magdy, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, McAlinden, Colm, Memish, Ziad A, Miller, Ted R, Mohammadi, Seyed-Farzad, Nangia, Vinay, Nguyen, Cuong Tat, Nguyen, Quyen Le, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qorbani, Mostafa, Rafay, Anwar, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rana, Saleem M, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Renzaho, Andre MN, Rezaei, Satar, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safiri, Saeid, Salamati, Payman, Samy, Abdallah M, Sartorius, Benn, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Skiadaresi, Eirini, Sobaih, Badr HA, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Taylor, Hugh R, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Topor-Madry, Roman, Xuan, Bach, Tsilimbaris, Miltiadis, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Uthman, Olalekan A, Wakayo, Tolassa, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Younis, Mustafa Z, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Jumaan, Aisha O, Vos, Theo, Hay, Simon I, Naghavi, Mohsen, Murray, Christopher JL, and Reg, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean
Subjects: Burden of disease, impairment, Pediatrics, medicine.medical_specialty, Health (social science), Injury control, Vision, Population, Poison control, Eastern Mediterranean region, Eye care, Vision impairment, Blindness, Global Health, 03 medical and health sciences, Middle East, 0302 clinical medicine, Unit increase, Global health, Prevalence, Medicine, Humans, 030212 general & internal medicine, education, education.field_of_study, Vision disorder, business.industry, Mediterranean Region, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Global burden of disease, Eastern mediterranean, 1117 Public Health And Health Services, Socioeconomic Factors, 030221 ophthalmology & optometry, Original Article, Public Health, business, Demography
Abstract: Objectives To report the estimated trend in prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) due to vision loss (VL) in the Eastern Mediterranean region (EMR) from 1990 to 2015. Methods The estimated trends in age-standardized prevalence and the YLDs rate due to VL in 22 EMR countries were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2015 study. The association of Socio-demographic Index (SDI) with changes in prevalence and YLDs of VL was evaluated using a multilevel mixed model. Results The age-standardized prevalence of VL in the EMR was 18.2% in 1990 and 15.5% in 2015. The total age-standardized YLDs rate attributed to all-cause VL in EMR was 536.9 per 100,000 population in 1990 and 482.3 per 100,000 population in 2015. For each 0.1 unit increase in SDI, the age-standardized prevalence and YLDs rate of VL showed a reduction of 1.5% (p
Published: 2017

30. Global, regional, and national deaths, prevalence, disability-adjusted life years, and years lived with disability for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Author: Soriano, Joan B., Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Agrawal, Anurag, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore, Alkaabi, Juma M., Al-Maskari, Fatma, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amberbir, Alemayehu, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Ansha, Mustafa Geleto, Anto, Josep M., Asayesh, Hamid, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G. Arthur, Barac, Aleksandra, Basu, Sanjay, Bedi, Neeraj, Bensenor, Isabela M., Berhane, Adugnaw, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A., Biryukov, Stan, Boneya, Dube Jara, Brauer, Michael, Carpenter, David O., Casey, Daniel, Christopher, Devasahayam Jesudas, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Dharmaratne, Samath D., Huyen Phuc Do, Huyen Phuc Do, Fischer, Florian, Geleto, Ayele, Ghoshal, Aloke Gopal, Gillum, Richard F., Ginawi, Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed, Gupta, Vipin, Hay, Simon I., Hedayati, Mohammad T., Horita, Nobuyuki, Hosgood, H. Dean, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo (Michael) B., James, Spencer Lewis, Jonas, Jost B., Kasaeian, Amir, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalil, Ibrahim A., Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khang, Young-Ho, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Knibbs, Luke D., Kosen, Soewarta, Koul, Parvaiz A., Kumar, G. Anil, Leshargie, Cheru Tesema, Liang, Xiaofeng, Abd El Razek, Hassan Magdy, Majeed, Azeem, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Manhertz, Treh, Marquez, Neal, Mehari, Alem, Mensah, George A., Miller, Ted R., Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin, Mohammed, Kedir Endris, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mokdad, Ali H., Naghavi, Mohsen, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Nguyen, Grant, Quyen Le Nguyen, Quyen Le Nguyen, Trang Huyen Nguyen, Trang Huyen Nguyen, Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini, Vuong Minh Nong, Vuong Minh Nong, Obi, Jennifer Ifeoma, Odeyemi, Yewande E., Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oren, Eyal, Mahesh, P. A., Park, Eun-Kee, Patton, George C., Paulson, Katherine, Qorbani, Mostafa, Quansah, Reginald, Rafay, Anwar, Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rawaf, Salman, Reinig, Nik, Safiri, Saeid, Sarmiento-Suarez, Rodrigo, Sartorius, Benn, Savic, Miloje, Sawhney, Monika, Shigematsu, Mika, Smith, Mari, Tadese, Fentaw, Thurston, George D., Topor-Madry, Roman, Tran, Bach Xuan, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, van Boven, Job F. M., Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wan, Xia, Werdecker, Andrea, Hanson, Sarah Wulf, Yano, Yuichiro, Yimam, Hassen Hamid, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yu, Chuanhua, Zaidi, Zoubida, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Murray, Christopher J. L., and Vos, Theo
Subjects: Adult, Aged, 80 and over, Male, Incidence, Bayes Theorem, Articles, Middle Aged, Global Health, Asthma, Article, Global Burden of Disease, respiratory tract diseases, Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive, Risk Factors, Cause of Death, Prevalence, Humans, Regression Analysis, Female, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Aged
Abstract: Background Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma are common diseases with a heterogeneous distribution worldwide. Here, we present methods and disease and risk estimates for COPD and asthma from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2015 study. The GBD study provides annual updates on estimates of deaths, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), a summary measure of fatal and non-fatal disease outcomes, for over 300 diseases and injuries, for 188 countries from 1990 to the most recent year. Methods We estimated numbers of deaths due to COPD and asthma using the GBD Cause of Death Ensemble modelling (CODEm) tool. First, we analysed data from vital registration and verbal autopsy for the aggregate category of all chronic respiratory diseases. Subsequently, models were run for asthma and COPD relying on covariates to predict rates in countries that have incomplete or no vital registration data. Disease estimates for COPD and asthma were based on systematic reviews of published papers, unpublished reports, surveys, and health service encounter data from the USA. We used the Global Initiative of Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease spirometry-based definition as the reference for COPD and a reported diagnosis of asthma with current wheeze as the definition of asthma. We used a Bayesian meta-regression tool, DisMod-MR 2.1, to derive estimates of prevalence and incidence. We estimated population-attributable fractions for risk factors for COPD and asthma from exposure data, relative risks, and a theoretical minimum exposure level. Results were stratified by Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite measure of income per capita, mean years of education over the age of 15 years, and total fertility rate. Findings In 2015, 3.2 million people (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3.1 million to 3.3 million) died from COPD worldwide, an increase of 11.6% (95% UI 5.3 to 19.8) compared with 1990. There was a decrease in age-standardised death rate of 41.9% (37.7 to 45.1) but this was counteracted by population growth and ageing of the global population. From 1990 to 2015, the prevalence of COPD increased by 44.2% (41.7 to 46.6), whereas age-standardised prevalence decreased by 14.7% (13.5 to 15.9). In 2015, 0.40 million people (0.36 million to 0.44 million) died from asthma, a decrease of 26.7% (-7.2 to 43.7) from 1990, and the age-standardised death rate decreased by 58.8% (39.0 to 69.0). The prevalence of asthma increased by 12.6% (9.0 to 16.4), whereas the age-standardised prevalence decreased by 17.7% (15.1 to 19.9). Age-standardised DALY rates due to COPD increased until the middle range of the SDI before reducing sharply. Age-standardised DALY rates due to asthma in both sexes decreased monotonically with rising SDI. The relation between with SDI and DALY rates due to asthma was attributed to variation in years of life lost (YLLs), whereas DALY rates due to COPD varied similarly for YLLs and years lived with disability across the SDI continuum. Smoking and ambient particulate matter were the main risk factors for COPD followed by household air pollution, occupational particulates, ozone, and secondhand smoke. Together, these risks explained 73.3% (95% UI 65.8 to 80.1) of DALYs due to COPD. Smoking and occupational asthmagens were the only risks quantified for asthma in GBD, accounting for 16.5% (14.6 to 18.7) of DALYs due to asthma. Interpretation Asthma was the most prevalent chronic respiratory disease worldwide in 2015, with twice the number of cases of COPD. Deaths from COPD were eight times more common than deaths from asthma. In 2015, COPD caused 2.6% of global DALYs and asthma 1.1% of global DALYs. Although there are laudable international collaborative efforts to make surveys of asthma and COPD more comparable, no consensus exists on case definitions and how to measure disease severity for population health measurements like GBD. Comparisons between countries and over time are important, as much of the chronic respiratory burden is either preventable or treatable with affordable interventions. Copyright (C) The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license.
Published: 2017

31. Global, regional, and national burden of suicide mortality 1990 to 2016:Systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Orpana, Heather M., Marczak, Laurie B., Arora, Megha, Abbasi, Nooshin, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abebe, Zegeye, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Afarideh, Mohsen, Afshari, Mahdi, Ahmadi, Alireza, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Akseer, Nadia, Al‐raddadi, Rajaa M., Alahdab, Fares, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Allebeck, Peter, Alvis‐guzman, Nelson, Anber, Nahla Hamed, Anjomshoa, Mina, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T., Arora, Amit, Aryal, Krishna K., Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Awasthi, Ashish, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Badali, Hamid, Barker‐collo, Suzanne Lyn, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Bazargan‐hejazi, Shahrzad, Benjet, Corina, Bensenor, Isabela M., Berfeld, Noami, Beuran, Mircea, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A., Biadgo, Belete, Bililign, Nigus, Borges, Guilherme, Borschmann, Rohan, Brazinova, Alexandra, Breitborde, Nicholas J.K., Brugha, Traolach, Butt, Zahid A., Carrero, Juan J., Carvalho, Félix, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Castañeda‐orjuela, Carlos A., Catalá‐lópez, Ferrán, Ciobanu, Liliana G., Dachew, Berihun Assefa, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Dargan, Paul I., Daryani, Ahmad, Davitoiu, Dragos Virgil, Davletov, Kairat, Degenhardt, Louisa, Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam, Jarlais, Don C.Des, Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda, Djalalinia, Shirin, Doan, Linh, Doku, David Teye, Dubey, Manisha, El‐khatib, Ziad, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Esteghamati, Alireza, Esteghamati, Sadaf, Faro, Andre, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fekadu, Wubalem, Fernandes, Eduarda, Ferrari, Alize J., Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Foreman, Kyle J., Fukumoto, Takeshi, Gebre, Abadi Kahsu, Grosso, Giuseppe, Gupta, Rahul, Haagsma, Juanita A., Bidgoli, Hassan Haghparast, Haj‐mirzaian, Arvin, Hamidi, Samer, Hankey, Graeme J., Haro, Josep Maria, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Hay, Simon I., Heidari, Behnam, Hendrie, Delia, Rad, Enayatollah Homaie, Hosseini, Seyed Mostafa, Hostiuc, Sorin, Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi, Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, James, Spencer, Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Jonas, Jost B., Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Kadel, Rajendra, Kahsay, Amaha, Kasaeian, Amir, Kassa, Getachew Mullu, Kawakami, Norito, Kefale, Adane Teshome, Kemp, Grant Rodgers, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif, Khalil, Ibrahim A., Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Muhammad Ali, Khan, Muhammad Shahzeb, Khang, Young Ho, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar A., Kieling, Christian, Kim, Young Eun, Kisa, Adnan, Knudsen, Ann Kristin Skrindo, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Koyanagi, Ai, Krish, Varsha Sarah, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Kumar, G. Anil, Kumar, Manasi, Lamichhane, Prabhat, Lang, Justin J., Latifi, Arman, Lee, Paul H., Leung, Janni, Lim, Lee Ling, Lopez, Alan D., Lorkowski, Stefan, Lotufo, Paulo A., Lozano, Rafael, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Mahesh, P. A., Majdan, Marek, Majdzadeh, Reza, Malekzadeh, Reza, Manda, Ana Laura, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Mantovani, Lorenzo Giovanni, Maravilla, Joemer C., Martinez‐raga, Jose, Mathur, Manu Raj, Maulik, Pallab K., McGrath, John J., Mehrotra, Ravi, Mekonen, Tesfa, Mendoza, Walter, Meretoja, Tuomo J., Mestrovic, Tomislav, Miller, Ted R., Mini, G. K., Mirrakhimov, Erkin M., Mitchell, Philip B., Moazen, Babak, Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin, Mohammadi, Moslem, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mokdad, Ali H., Monasta, Lorenzo, Moosazadeh, Mahmood, Moradi, Ghobad, Moradi‐lakeh, Maziar, Moradinazar, Mehdi, Velásquez, Ilais Moreno, Morisaki, Naho, Morrison, Shane Douglas, Moschos, Marilita M., Mousavi, Seyyed Meysam, Mustafa, Ghulam, Nagel, Gabriele, Naheed, Aliya, Naik, Gurudatta, Najafi, Farid, Negoi, Ionut, Negoi, Ruxandra Irina, Nguyen, Huong Lan Thi, Nguyen, Long Hoang, Nixon, Molly R., Ofori‐asenso, Richard, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In Hwan, Olagunju, Andrew T., Olagunju, Tinuke O., Øverland, Simon, Owolabi, Mayowa Ojo, Panda‐jonas, Songhomitra, Parry, Charles D.H., Pati, Sanghamitra, Patten, Scott B., Patton, George C., Petzold, Max, Phillips, Michael R., Plana‐ripoll, Oleguer, Postma, Maarten J., Pourshams, Akram, Poustchi, Hossein, Qorbani, Mostafa, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahim, Fakher, Rahimi‐movaghar, Afarin, Rahimi‐movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rezaeian, Shahab, Roever, Leonardo, Ronfani, Luca, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Rostami, Ali, Sachdev, Perminder S., Safari, Hosein, Safiri, Saeid, Salamati, Payman, Salimi, Yahya, Salomon, Joshua A., Samy, Abdallah M., Santos, Itamar S., Santric‐milicevic, Milena M., Sartorius, Benn, Sarvi, Shahabeddin, Satpathy, Maheswar, Sawhney, Monika, Schwebel, David C., Sepanlou, Sadaf G., Shaikh, Masood Ali, Sharif, Mehdi, Shibuya, Kenji, Shigematsu, Mika, Shiri, Rahman, Shiue, Ivy, Siabani, Soraya, Siddiqi, Tariq J., Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora, Silva, João Pedro, Singh, Jasvinder A., Filho, Adauto Martins Soares, Sobhani, Soheila, Stein, Dan J., Stein, Murray B., Sufiyan, Mu'awiyyah Babale, Sunguya, Bruno F., Tabarés‐seisdedos, Rafael, Tabb, Karen M., Tavakkoli, Mohammad, Tehrani‐banihashemi, Arash, Temsah, Mohamad Hani, Topor‐madry, Roman, Tran, Bach Xuan, Tran, Khanh Bao, Ullah, Irfan, Unutzer, Jurgen, Usman, Muhammad Shariq, Uthman, Olalekan A., Valdez, Pascual R., Yonemoto, Naohiro, Vasconcelos, Cintia, Vlassov, Vasily, Vos, Theo, Vujcic, Isidora S., Waheed, Yasir, Wang, Yuan Pang, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Werdecker, Andrea, Westerman, Ronny, Whiteford, Harvey A., Wyper, Grant M.A., Yaseri, Mehdi, Yimer, Ebrahim M., Yisma, Engida, Yoon, Seok Jun, Yotebieng, Marcel, Yousefifard, Mahmoud, Yu, Chuanhua, Zaidi, Zoubida, Zamani, Mohammad, Murray, Christopher J.L., Naghavi, Mohsen, Orpana, H, Marczak, L, Arora, M, Abbasi, N, Abdulkader, R, Abebe, Z, Abraha, H, Afarideh, M, Afshari, M, Ahmadi, A, Aichour, A, Aichour, I, Aichour, M, Akseer, N, Al‐raddadi, R, Alahdab, F, Alkerwi, A, Allebeck, P, Alvis‐guzman, N, Anber, N, Anjomshoa, M, Antonio, C, Arora, A, Aryal, K, Asgedom, S, Awasthi, A, Quintanilla, B, Badali, H, Barker‐collo, S, Bärnighausen, T, Bazargan‐hejazi, S, Benjet, C, Bensenor, I, Berfeld, N, Beuran, M, Bhutta, Z, Biadgo, B, Bililign, N, Borges, G, Borschmann, R, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, N, Brugha, T, Butt, Z, Carrero, J, Carvalho, F, Malta, D, Castañeda‐orjuela, C, Catalá‐lópez, F, Ciobanu, L, Dachew, B, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dargan, P, Daryani, A, Davitoiu, D, Davletov, K, Degenhardt, L, Demoz, G, Jarlais, D, Dharmaratne, S, Djalalinia, S, Doan, L, Doku, D, Dubey, M, El‐khatib, Z, Eskandarieh, S, Esteghamati, A, Esteghamati, S, Faro, A, Farzadfar, F, Fekadu, W, Fernandes, E, Ferrari, A, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Foreman, K, Fukumoto, T, Gebre, A, Grosso, G, Gupta, R, Haagsma, J, Bidgoli, H, Haj‐mirzaian, A, Hamidi, S, Hankey, G, Haro, J, Hassen, H, Hay, S, Heidari, B, Hendrie, D, Rad, E, Hosseini, S, Hostiuc, S, Irvani, S, Islam, S, Jakovljevic, M, James, S, Jayatilleke, A, Jha, R, Jonas, J, Jozwiak, J, Kadel, R, Kahsay, A, Kasaeian, A, Kassa, G, Kawakami, N, Kefale, A, Kemp, G, Khader, Y, Khafaie, M, Khalil, I, Khan, E, Khan, M, Khang, Y, Khubchandani, J, Kiadaliri, A, Kieling, C, Kim, Y, Kisa, A, Knudsen, A, Kokubo, Y, Koyanagi, A, Krish, V, Defo, B, Kumar, G, Kumar, M, Lamichhane, P, Lang, J, Latifi, A, Lee, P, Leung, J, Lim, L, Lopez, A, Lorkowski, S, Lotufo, P, Lozano, R, Lunevicius, R, Mahesh, P, Majdan, M, Majdzadeh, R, Malekzadeh, R, Manda, A, Mansournia, M, Mantovani, L, Maravilla, J, Martinez‐raga, J, Mathur, M, Maulik, P, Mcgrath, J, Mehrotra, R, Mekonen, T, Mendoza, W, Meretoja, T, Mestrovic, T, Miller, T, Mini, G, Mirrakhimov, E, Mitchell, P, Moazen, B, Mohammad, K, Mohammadi, M, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, A, Monasta, L, Moosazadeh, M, Moradi, G, Moradi‐lakeh, M, Moradinazar, M, Velásquez, I, Morisaki, N, Morrison, S, Moschos, M, Mousavi, S, Mustafa, G, Nagel, G, Naheed, A, Naik, G, Najafi, F, Negoi, I, Negoi, R, Nguyen, H, Nguyen, L, Nixon, M, Ofori‐asenso, R, Ogbo, F, Oh, I, Olagunju, A, Olagunju, T, Øverland, S, Owolabi, M, Panda‐jonas, S, Parry, C, Pati, S, Patten, S, Patton, G, Petzold, M, Phillips, M, Plana‐ripoll, O, Postma, M, Pourshams, A, Poustchi, H, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rafiei, A, Rahim, F, Rahimi‐movaghar, A, Rahimi‐movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rai, R, Rezaeian, S, Roever, L, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Rostami, A, Sachdev, P, Safari, H, Safiri, S, Salamati, P, Salimi, Y, Salomon, J, Samy, A, Santos, I, Santric‐milicevic, M, Sartorius, B, Sarvi, S, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Schwebel, D, Sepanlou, S, Shaikh, M, Sharif, M, Shibuya, K, Shigematsu, M, Shiri, R, Shiue, I, Siabani, S, Siddiqi, T, Sigfusdottir, I, Silva, J, Singh, J, Filho, A, Sobhani, S, Stein, D, Stein, M, Sufiyan, M, Sunguya, B, Tabarés‐seisdedos, R, Tabb, K, Tavakkoli, M, Tehrani‐banihashemi, A, Temsah, M, Topor‐madry, R, Tran, B, Tran, K, Ullah, I, Unutzer, J, Usman, M, Uthman, O, Valdez, P, Vasankari, T, Vasconcelos, C, Vlassov, V, Vos, T, Vujcic, I, Waheed, Y, Wang, Y, Weiderpass, E, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Whiteford, H, Wyper, G, Yaseri, M, Yimer, E, Yisma, E, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S, Yotebieng, M, Yousefifard, M, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, Zamani, M, Murray, C, and Naghavi, M
Subjects: Suicide Prevention, Adult, Cross-Cultural Comparison, Male, Data Interpretation, Adolescent, Outcome Assessment, Age Distribution, Age Factors, Aged, Cause of Death, Data Interpretation, Statistical, Female, Global Health, Humans, Life Expectancy, Mortality, Outcome Assessment, Health Care, Sex Distribution, Sex Factors, Socioeconomic Factors, Global Burden of Disease, Suicide, Medicine (all), Research, Statistical, Health Care
Abstract: Objectives To use the estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 to describe patterns of suicide mortality globally, regionally, and for 195 countries and territories by age, sex, and Socio-demographic index, and to describe temporal trends between 1990 and 2016. Design Systematic analysis. Main outcome measures Crude and age standardised rates from suicide mortality and years of life lost were compared across regions and countries, and by age, sex, and Socio-demographic index (a composite measure of fertility, income, and education). Results The total number of deaths from suicide increased by 6.7% (95% uncertainty interval 0.4% to 15.6%) globally over the 27 year study period to 817 000 (762 000 to 884 000) deaths in 2016. However, the age standardised mortality rate for suicide decreased by 32.7% (27.2% to 36.6%) worldwide between 1990 and 2016, similar to the decline in the global age standardised mortality rate of 30.6%. Suicide was the leading cause of age standardised years of life lost in the Global Burden of Disease region of high income Asia Pacific and was among the top 10 leading causes in eastern Europe, central Europe, western Europe, central Asia, Australasia, southern Latin America, and high income North America. Rates for men were higher than for women across regions, countries, and age groups, except for the 15 to 19 age group. There was variation in the female to male ratio, with higher ratios at lower levels of Socio-demographic index. Women experienced greater decreases in mortality rates (49.0%, 95% uncertainty interval 42.6% to 54.6%) than men (23.8%, 15.6% to 32.7%). Conclusions Age standardised mortality rates for suicide have greatly reduced since 1990, but suicide remains an important contributor to mortality worldwide. Suicide mortality was variable across locations, between sexes, and between age groups. Suicide prevention strategies can be targeted towards vulnerable populations if they are informed by variations in mortality rates.
Published: 2019

32. Global, regional, and national burden of traumatic brain injury and spinal cord injury, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: James, Spencer L, Theadom, Alice, Ellenbogen, Richard G, Bannick, Marlena S, Mountjoy-Venning, W Cliff, Lucchesi, Lydia R, Abbasi, Nooshin, Abdulkader, Rizwan, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Adsuar, Jose C, Afarideh, Mohsen, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akseer, Nadia, Alahdab, Fares, Alebel, Animut, Alghnam, Suliman A, Ali, Beriwan Abdulqadir, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Anjomshoa, Mina, Ansari, Hossein, Ansha, Mustafa Geleto, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw, Ariani, Filippo, Asefa, Nigus Gebremedhin, Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Atique, Suleman, Awasthi, Ashish, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Ayuk, Tambe B, Azzopardi, Peter S, Badali, Hamid, Badawi, Alaa, Balalla, Shivanthi, Banstola, Amrit, Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn, Barnighausen, Till Winfried, Bedi, Neeraj, Behzadifar, Masoud, Behzadifar, Meysam, Bekele, Bayu Begashaw, Belachew, Abate Bekele, Belay, Yihalem Abebe, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhane, Adugnaw, Beuran, Mircea, Bhalla, Ashish, Bhaumik, Soumyadeeep, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Biadgo, Belete, Biffino, Marco, Bijani, Ali, Bililign, Nigus, Birungi, Charles, Boufous, Soufiane, Brazinova, Alexandra, Brown, Allen W, Car, Mate, Cardenas, Rosario, Carrero, Juan J, Carvalho, Felix, Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Catala-Lopez, Ferran, Chaiah, Yazan, Champs, Ana Paula, Chang, Jung-Chen, Choi, Jee-Young J, Christopher, Devasahayam J, Cooper, Cyrus, Crowe, Christopher Stephen, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Daryani, Ahmad, Davitoiu, Dragos Virgil, Degefa, Meaza Girma, Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam, Deribe, Kebede, Djalalinia, Shirin, Do, Huyen Phuc, Doku, David Teye, Drake, Thomas M, Dubey, Manisha, Dubljanin, Eleonora, El-Khatib, Ziad, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Esteghamati, Alireza, Esteghamati, Sadaf, Faro, Andre, Farzadfar, Farshad, Farzaei, Mohammad Hosein, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fernandes, Eduarda, Feyissa, Garumma Tolu, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Ganji, Morasaleh, Gankpe, Fortune Gbetoho, Gebre, Abadi Kahsu, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Gezae, Kebede Embaye, Gopalkrishna, Gururaj, Goulart, Alessandra C, Haagsma, Juanita A, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Haj-Mirzaian, Arya, Hamadeh, Randah R, Hamidi, Samer, Haro, Josep Maria, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hawley, Caitlin, Hay, Simon I, Hegazy, Mohamed I, Hendrie, Delia, Henok, Andualem, Hibstu, Desalegn Tsegaw, Hoffman, Howard J, Hole, Michael K, Rad, Enayatollah Homaie, Hosseini, Seyed Mostafa, Hostiuc, Sorin, Hu, Guoqing, Hussen, Mamusha Aman, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Irvani, Seyed Naghibi, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jayaraman, Sudha, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Jonas, Jost B, Jones, Kelly M, Shushtari, Zahra Jorjoran, Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Jurisson, Mikk, Kabir, Ali, Kahsay, Amaha, Kahssay, Molla, Kalani, Rizwan, Karch, Andre, Kasaeian, Amir, Kassa, Getachew 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Tomislav, Miazgowski, Tomasz, Miller, Ted R, Mini, GK, Mirica, Andreea, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M, Moazen, Babak, Mohammadi, Moslem, Mokdad, Ali H, Molokhia, Mariam, Monasta, Lorenzo, Mondello, Stefania, Moosazadeh, Mahmood, Moradi, Ghobad, Moradi, Mahmoudreza, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Moradinazar, Mehdi, Morrison, Shane Douglas, Moschos, Marilita M, Mousavi, Seyyed Meysam, Murthy, Srinivas, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Mustafa, Ghulam, Naghavi, Mohsen, Naik, Gurudatta, Najafi, Farid, Nangia, Vinay, Nascimento, Bruno Ramos, Negoi, Ionut, Nguyen, Trang Huyen, Nichols, Emma, Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini, Nirayo, Yirga Legesse, Nyasulu, Peter S, Ofori-Asenso, Richard, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In-Hwan, Okoro, Anselm, Olagunju, Andrew T, Olagunju, Tinuke O, Olivares, Pedro R, Otstavnov, Stanislav S, Owolabi, Mayowa Ojo, Mahesh, PA, Pakhale, Smita, Pandey, Achyut Raj, Pesudovs, Konrad, Pinilla-Monsalve, Gabriel D, Polinder, Suzanne, Poustchi, Hossein, Prakash, Swayam, Qorbani, Mostafa, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahimi-Movaghar, Afarin, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Mahfuzar, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rajati, Fatemeh, Ram, Usha, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Reiner, Robert C, Reis, Cesar, Renzaho, Andre MN, Resnikoff, Serge, Rezaei, Satar, Rezaeian, Shahab, Roever, Leonardo, Ronfani, Luca, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Roy, Nobhojit, Ruhago, George Mugambage, Saddik, Basema, Safari, Hosein, Safiri, Saeid, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Salamati, Payman, Saldanha, Raphael de Freitas, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan, Santos, Joao Vasco, Milicevic, Milena MM Santric, Sartorius, Benn, Satpathy, Maheswar, Schneider, Ione JC, Schwebel, David C, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Shabaninejad, Hosein, Shaikh, Masood A Ali, Shams-Beyranvand, Mehran, Sharif, Mehdi, Sharif-Alhoseini, Mahdi, Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful, She, Jun, Sheikh, Aziz, Shen, Jiabin, Sheth, Kevin N, Shibuya, Kenji, Shiferaw, Mekonnen Sisay, Shigematsu, Mika, Shiri, Rahman, Shiue, Ivy, Shoman, Haitham, Siabani, 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Yimer, Ebrahim M, Yip, Paul, Yisma, Engida, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Yost, Michael G, Younis, Mustafa Z, Yousefifard, Mahmoud, Yu, Chuanhua, Zaidi, Zoubida, Bin Zaman, Sojib, Zamani, Mohammad, Zenebe, Zerihun Menlkalew, Zodpey, Sanjay, Feigin, Valery L, Vos, Theo, Murray, Christopher JL, Sp, GBD 2016 Traumatic Brain Injury, James S.L., Theadom A., Ellenbogen R.G., Bannick M.S., Montjoy-Venning W., Lucchesi L.R., Abbasi N., Abdulkader R., Abraha H.N., Adsuar J.C., Afarideh M., Agrawal S., Ahmadi A., Ahmed M.B., Aichour A.N., Aichour I., Aichour M.T.E., Akinyemi R.O., Akseer N., Alahdab F., Alebel A., Alghnam S.A., Ali B.A., Alsharif U., Altirkawi K., Andrei C.L., Anjomshoa M., Ansari H., Ansha M.G., Antonio C.A.T., Appiah S.C.Y., Ariani F., Asefa N.G., Asgedom S.W., Atique S., Awasthi A., Ayala Quintanilla B.P., Ayuk T.B., Azzopardi P.S., Badali H., Badawi A., Balalla S., Banstola A., Barker-Collo S.L., Barnighausen T.W., Bedi N., Behzadifar M., Bekele B.B., Belachew A.B., Belay Y.A., Bennett D.A., Bensenor I.M., Berhane A., Beuran M., Bhalla A., Bhaumik S., Bhutta Z.A., Biadgo B., Biffino M., Bijani A., Bililign N., Birungi C., Boufous S., Brazinova A., Brown A.W., Car M., Cardenas R., Carrero J.J., Carvalho F., Castaneda-Orjuela C.A., Catala-Lopez F., Chaiah Y., Champs A.P., Chang J.-C., Choi J.-Y.J., Christopher D.J., Cooper C., Crowe C.S., Dandona L., Dandona R., Daryani A., Davitoiu D.V., Degefa M.G., Demoz G.T., Deribe K., Djalalinia S., Do H.P., Doku D.T., Drake T.M., Dubey M., Dubljanin E., El-Khatib Z., Ofori-Asenso R., Eskandarieh S., Esteghamati A., Esteghamati S., Faro A., Farzadfar F., Farzaei M.H., Fereshtehnejad S.-M., Fernandes E., Feyissa G.T., Filip I., Fischer F., Fukumoto T., Ganji M., Gankpe F.G., Gebre A.K., Gebrehiwot T.T., Gezae K.E., Gopalkrishna G., Goulart A.C., Haagsma J.A., Haj-Mirzaian A., Hamadeh R.R., Hamidi S., Haro J.M., Hassankhani H., Hassen H.Y., Havmoeller R., Hawley C., Hay S.I., Hegazy M.I., Hendrie D., Henok A., Hibstu D.T., Hoffman H.J., Hole M.K., Homaie Rad E., Hosseini S.M., Hostiuc S., Hu G., Hussen M.A., Ilesanmi O.S., Irvani S.S.N., Jakovljevic M., Jayaraman S., Jha R.P., Jonas J.B., Jones K.M., Jorjoran Shushtari Z., Jozwiak J.J., Jurisson M., Kabir A., Kahsay A., Kahssay M., Kalani R., Karch A., Kasaeian A., Kassa G.M., Kassa T.D., Kassa Z.Y., Kengne A.P., Khader Y.S., Khafaie M.A., Khalid N., Khalil I., Khan E.A., Khan M.S., Khang Y.-H., Khazaie H., Khoja A.T., Khubchandani J., Kiadaliri A.A., Kim D., Kim Y.-E., Kisa A., Koyanagi A., Krohn K.J., Kuate Defo B., Kucuk Bicer B., Kumar G.A., Kumar M., Lalloo R., Lami F.H., Lansingh V.C., Laryea D.O., Latifi A., Leshargie C.T., Levi M., Li S., Liben M.L., Lotufo P.A., Lunevicius R., Mahotra N.B., Majdan M., Majeed A., Malekzadeh R., Manda A.-L., Mansournia M.A., Massenburg B.B., Mate K.K.V., Mehndiratta M.M., Mehta V., Meles H., Melese A., Memiah P.T.N., Mendoza W., Mengistu G., Meretoja A., Meretoja T.J., Mestrovic T., Miazgowski T., Miller T.R., Mini G.K., Mirica A., Mirrakhimov E.M., Moazen B., Mohammadi M., Molokhia M., Monasta L., Mondello S., Moosazadeh M., Moradi G., Moradi M., Moradi-Lakeh M., Moradinazar M., Morrison S.D., Moschos M.M., Mousavi S.M., Murthy S., Musa K.I., Mustafa G., Naghavi M., Naik G., Najafi F., Nangia V., Nascimento B.R., Negoi I., Nguyen T.H., Nichols E., Ningrum D.N.A., Nirayo Y.L., Nyasulu P.S., Ogbo F.A., Oh I.-H., Okoro A., Olagunju A.T., Olagunju T.O., Olivares P.R., Otstavnov S.S., Owolabi M.O., P A M., Pakhale S., Pandey A.R., Pesudovs K., Pinilla-Monsalve G.D., Polinder S., Poustchi H., Prakash S., Qorbani M., Radfar A., Rafay A., Rafiei A., Rahimi-Movaghar A., Rahimi-Movaghar V., Rahman M., Rahman M.A., Rai R.K., Rajati F., Ram U., Rawaf D.L., Rawaf S., Reiner R.C., Reis C., Renzaho A.M.N., Resnikoff S., Rezaei S., Rezaeian S., Roever L., Ronfani L., Roshandel G., Roy N., Ruhago G.M., Saddik B., Safari H., Safiri S., Sahraian M.A., Salamati P., Saldanha R.D.F., Samy A.M., Sanabria J., Santos J.V., Santric Milicevic M.M.M., Sartorius B., Satpathy M., Savuon K., Schneider I.J.C., Schwebel D.C., Sepanlou S.G., Shabaninejad H., Shaikh M.A.A., Shams-Beyranvand M., Sharif M., Sharif-Alhoseini M., Shariful Islam S.M., She J., Sheikh A., Shen J., Sheth K.N., Shibuya K., Shiferaw M.S., Shigematsu M., Shiri R., Shiue I., Shoman H., Siabani S., Siddiqi T.J., Silva J.P., Silveira D.G.A., Sinha D.N., Smith M., Soares Filho A.M., Sobhani S., Soofi M., Soriano J.B., Soyiri I.N., Stein D.J., Stokes M.A., Sufiyan M.B., Sunguya B.F., Sunshine J.E., Sykes B.L., Szoeke C.E.I., Tabares-Seisdedos R., Te Ao B.J., Tehrani-Banihashemi A., Tekle M.G., Temsah M.-H., Temsah O., Topor-Madry R., Tortajada-Girbes M., Tran B.X., Tran K.B., Tudor Car L., Ukwaja K.N., Ullah I., Usman M.S., Uthman O.A., Valdez P.R., Vasankari T.J., Venketasubramanian N., Violante F.S., Wagnew F.W.S., Waheed Y., Wang Y.-P., Weldegwergs K.G., Werdecker A., Wijeratne T., Winkler A.S., Wyper G.M.A., Yano Y., Yaseri M., Yasin Y.J., Ye P., Yimer E.M., Yip P., Yisma E., Yonemoto N., Yoon S.-J., Yost M.G., Younis M.Z., Yousefifard M., Yu C., Zaidi Z., Zaman S.B., Zamani M., Zenebe Z.M., Zodpey S., Feigin V.L., Vos T., Murray C.J.L., and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Subjects: Science & Technology, Neurology & Neurosurgery, NEW-ZEALAND, Clinical Neurology, UNITED-STATES, 1103 Clinical Sciences, Epidemology, spinal cord injury, Global Burden of Disease, Traumatic brain injury, United-States, New-Zealand, Epidemology, Survival, GBD 2016 Traumatic Brain Injury and Spinal Cord Injury Collaborators, Brain Injuries, Traumatic, SURVIVAL, brain injury, spinal cord injury, EPIDEMIOLOGY, Global Burden Disease, Neurosciences & Neurology, 1109 Neurosciences, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Spinal Cord Injuries
Abstract: BACKGROUND: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) and spinal cord injury (SCI) are increasingly recognised as global health priorities in view of the preventability of most injuries and the complex and expensive medical care they necessitate. We aimed to measure the incidence, prevalence, and years of life lived with disability (YLDs) for TBI and SCI from all causes of injury in every country, to describe how these measures have changed between 1990 and 2016, and to estimate the proportion of TBI and SCI cases caused by different types of injury. METHODS: We used results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) Study 2016 to measure the global, regional, and national burden of TBI and SCI by age and sex. We measured the incidence and prevalence of all causes of injury requiring medical care in inpatient and outpatient records, literature studies, and survey data. By use of clinical record data, we estimated the proportion of each cause of injury that required medical care that would result in TBI or SCI being considered as the nature of injury. We used literature studies to establish standardised mortality ratios and applied differential equations to convert incidence to prevalence of long-term disability. Finally, we applied GBD disability weights to calculate YLDs. We used a Bayesian meta-regression tool for epidemiological modelling, used cause-specific mortality rates for non-fatal estimation, and adjusted our results for disability experienced with comorbid conditions. We also analysed results on the basis of the Socio-demographic Index, a compound measure of income per capita, education, and fertility. FINDINGS: In 2016, there were 27·08 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 24·30-30·30 million) new cases of TBI and 0·93 million (0·78-1·16 million) new cases of SCI, with age-standardised incidence rates of 369 (331-412) per 100 000 population for TBI and 13 (11-16) per 100 000 for SCI. In 2016, the number of prevalent cases of TBI was 55·50 million (53·40-57·62 million) and of SCI was 27·04 million (24·98-30·15 million). From 1990 to 2016, the age-standardised prevalence of TBI increased by 8·4% (95% UI 7·7 to 9·2), whereas that of SCI did not change significantly (-0·2% [-2·1 to 2·7]). Age-standardised incidence rates increased by 3·6% (1·8 to 5·5) for TBI, but did not change significantly for SCI (-3·6% [-7·4 to 4·0]). TBI caused 8·1 million (95% UI 6·0-10·4 million) YLDs and SCI caused 9·5 million (6·7-12·4 million) YLDs in 2016, corresponding to age-standardised rates of 111 (82-141) per 100 000 for TBI and 130 (90-170) per 100 000 for SCI. Falls and road injuries were the leading causes of new cases of TBI and SCI in most regions. INTERPRETATION: TBI and SCI constitute a considerable portion of the global injury burden and are caused primarily by falls and road injuries. The increase in incidence of TBI over time might continue in view of increases in population density, population ageing, and increasing use of motor vehicles, motorcycles, and bicycles. The number of individuals living with SCI is expected to increase in view of population growth, which is concerning because of the specialised care that people with SCI can require. Our study was limited by data sparsity in some regions, and it will be important to invest greater resources in collection of data for TBI and SCI to improve the accuracy of future assessments. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation We acknowledge the funding and support of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. AK was supported by the Miguel Servet contract, which was financed by the CP13/00150 and PI15/00862 projects integrated into the National Research, Development, and Implementation,and funded by the Instituto de Salud Carlos III General Branch Evaluation and Promotion of Health Research and the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF-FEDER). AMS is supported by the Egyptian Fulbright Mission Program. AF acknowledges the Federal University of Sergipe (Sergipe, Brazil). AA received financial assistance from the Indian Department of Science and Technology (New Delhi, India) through the INSPIRE faculty programme. AS is supported by Health Data Research UK. DJS is supported by the South African Medical Research Council. AB is supported by the Public Health Agency of Canada. SMSI received a senior research fellowship from the Institute for Physical Activity and Nutrition, Deakin University (Waurn Ponds, VIC, Australia), and a career transition grant from the High Blood Pressure Research Council of Australia. FP and CF acknowledge support from the European Union (FEDER funds POCI/01/0145/FEDER/007728 and POCI/01/0145/FEDER/007265) and National Funds (FCT/MEC, Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, and Ministério da Educação e Ciência) under the Partnership Agreements PT2020 UID/MULTI/04378/2013 and PT2020 UID/QUI/50006/2013. TB acknowledges financial support from the Institute of Medical Research and Medicinal Plant Studies, Yaoundé, Cameroon. AM of Imperial College London is grateful for support from the Northwest London National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research andCare and the Imperial NIHR Biomedical Research Centre. KD is funded by a Wellcome Trust Intermediate Fellowship in Public Health and Tropical Medicine (grant number 201900). PSA is supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Early Career Fellowship. RT-S was supported in part by grant number PROMETEOII/2015/021 from Generalitat Valenciana and the national grant PI17/00719 from ISCIII-FEDER. The Serbian part of this contribution (by MJ) has been co-financed with grant OI175014 from the Serbian Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development; publication of results was not contingent upon the Ministry’s approval. MMMSM acknowledges support from the Serbian Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development (contract 175087). MM’s research was supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre at Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust (London, UK) and King’s College London. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the UK National Health Service, the NIHR, or the UK Department of Health. TWB was supported by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt professor award, which was funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research Sí
Published: 2019

33. The global, regional, and national burden of colorectal cancer and its attributable risk factors in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: Safiri, Saeid, Sepanlou, Sadaf G., Ikuta, Kevin S., Bisignano, Catherine, Salimzadeh, Hamideh, Delavari, Alireza, Ansari, Reza, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Merat, Shahin, Fitzmaurice, Christina, Force, Lisa M., Nixon, Molly R., Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abegaz, Kedir Hussein, Afarideh, Mohsen, Ahmadi, Ayat, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Akinyemiju, Tomi, Alahdab, Fares, Ali, Raghib, Alikhani, Mahtab, Alipour, Vahid, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Almadi, Majid Abdulrahman Hamad, Almasi-Hashiani, Amir, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M., Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amini, Saeed, Anber, Nahla Hamed, Ansari-Moghaddam, Alireza, Arabloo, Jalal, Arefi, Zohreh, Jafarabadi, Mohammad Asghari, Azadmehr, Abbas, Badawi, Alaa, Baheiraei, Nafiseh, Barnighausen, Till Winfried, Basaleem, Huda, Behzadifar, Masoud, Behzadifar, Meysam, Belayneh, Yaschilal Muche, Berhe, Kidanemaryam, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Biadgo, Belete, Bijani, Ali, Biondi, Antonio, Bjorge, Tone, Borzi, Antonio M., Bosetti, Cristina, Bou-Orm, Ibrahim R., Brenner, Hermann, Briko, Andrey Nikolaevich, Briko, Nikolay Ivanovich, Carreras, Giulia, Carvalho, Felix, Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos A., Cerin, Ester, Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia, Chido-Amajuoyi, Onyema Greg, Daryani, Ahmad, Davitoiu, Dragos Virgil, Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam, Desai, Rupak, Nasab, Mostafa Dianati, Eftekhari, Aziz, El Sayed, Iman, Elbarazi, Iffat, Emamian, Mohammad Hassan, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Esmaeilzadeh, Firooz, Esteghamati, Alireza, Etemadi, Arash, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fernandes, Eduarda, Fernandes, Joao C., Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Foroutan, Masoud, Gad, Mohamed M., Gallus, Silvano, Ghaseni-Kebria, Fatemeh, Ghashghaee, Ahmad, Gorini, Giuseppe, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Haj-Mirzaian, Arya, Hasanpour-Heidari, Susan, Hasanzadeh, Amir, Hassanipour, Soheil, Hay, Simon, I, Hoang, Chi Linh, Hostiuc, Mihaela, Househ, Mowafa, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Ilic, Milena D., Innos, Kaire, Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi, Islami, Farhad, Jaca, Anelisa, Balalami, Nader Jafari, Delouei, Nastaran Jafari, Jafarinia, Morteza, Jahani, Mohammad Ali, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, James, Spencer L., Javanbakht, Mehdi, Jenabi, Ensiyeh, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Joukar, Farahnaz, Kasaeian, Amir, Kassa, Tesfaye Dessale, Kassaw, Mesfin Wudu, Kengne, Andre Pascal, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khaksarian, Mojtaba, Khalilov, Rovshan, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khayamzadeh, Maryam, Khazaee-Pool, Maryam, Khazaei, Salman, Shadmani, Fatemeh Khosravi, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Daniel, Kisa, Adnan, Kisa, Sezer, Kocarnik, Jonathan M., Komaki, Hamidreza, Kopec, Jacek A., Koyanagi, Ai, Kuipers, Ernst J., Kumar, Vivek, La Vecchia, Carlo, Lami, Faris Hasan, Lopez, Alan D., Lopukhov, Platon D., Lunevicius, Raimundas, Majeed, Azeem, Majidinia, Maryam, Manafi, Amir, Manafi, Navid, Manda, Ana-Laura, Mansour-Ghanaei, Fariborz, Mantovani, Lorenzo Giovanni, Mehta, Dhruv, Meier, Toni, Meles, Hagazi Gebre, Mendoza, Walter, Mestrovic, Tomislav, Miazgowski, Bartosz, Miazgowski, Tomasz, Mir, Seyed Mostafa, Mirzaei, Hamed, Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin, Mezerji, Naser Mohammad Gholi, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Abdollah, Mohammadoo-Khorasani, Milad, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mohebi, Farnam, Mokdad, Ali H., Monasta, Lorenzo, Moossavi, Maryam, Moradi, Ghobad, Moradpour, Farhad, Moradzadeh, Rahmatollah, Nahvijou, Azin, Naik, Gurudatta, Najafi, Farid, Nazari, Javad, Negoi, Ionut, Negru, Serban, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Trang Huyen Nguyen, Trang Huyen Nguyen, Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Olagunju, Andrew T., Olagunju, Tinuke O., Pana, Adrian, Pereira, David M., Pirestani, Majid, Pourshams, Akram, Poustchi, Hossein, Qorbani, Mostafa, Rabiee, Mohammad, Rabiee, Navid, Radfar, Amir, Rahmati, Marveh, Rajati, Fatemeh, Raoofi, Samira, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Reiner, Robert C., Jr., Renzaho, Andre M. N., Rezaei, Nima, Rezapour, Aziz, Saad, Anas M., Saadatagah, Seyedmohammad, Saddik, Basema, Salehi, Farkhonde, Zahabi, Saleh Salehi, Salz, Inbal, Samy, Abdallah M., Sanabria, Juan, Milicevic, Milena M. Santric, Sarveazad, Arash, Satpathy, Maheswar, Schneider, Ione J. C., Sekerija, Mario, Shaahmadi, Faramarz, Shabaninejad, Hosein, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Sharafi, Zeinab, Sharif, Mehdi, Sharifi, Amrollah, Sheikhbahaei, Sara, Shirkoohi, Reza, Malleshappa, Sudeep K. Siddappa, Silva, Diego Augusto Santos, Sisay, Mekonnen, Smarandache, Catalin-Gabriel, Soofi, Moslem, Soreide, Kjetil, Soshnikov, Sergey, Starodubov, Vladimir, I, Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael, Sullman, Mark, Taherkhani, Amir, Tesfay, Berhe Etsay, Topor-Madry, Roman, Traini, Eugenio, Bach Xuan Tran, Bach Xuan Tran, Khanh Bao Tran, Khanh Bao Tran, Ullah, Irfan, Uthman, Olalekan A., Vacante, Marco, Vahedian-Azimi, Amir, Valli, Alessandro, Varavikova, Elena, Vujcic, Isidora S., Westerman, Ronny, Yazdi-Feyzabadi, Vahid, Yisma, Engida, Yu, Chuanhua, Zadnik, Vesna, Moghadam, Telma Zahirian, Zaki, Leila, Zandian, Hamed, Zhang, Zhi-Jiang, Murray, Christopher J. L., Naghavi, Mohsen, Malekzadeh, Reza, Veritati - Repositório Institucional da Universidade Católica Portuguesa, Safiri, S, Sepanlou, S, Ikuta, K, Bisignano, C, Salimzadeh, H, Delavari, A, Ansari, R, Roshandel, G, Merat, S, Fitzmaurice, C, Force, L, Nixon, M, Abbastabar, H, Abegaz, K, Afarideh, M, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, M, Akinyemiju, T, Alahdab, F, Ali, R, Alikhani, M, Alipour, V, Aljunid, S, Almadi, M, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Al-Raddadi, R, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amini, S, Anber, N, Ansari-Moghaddam, A, Arabloo, J, Arefi, Z, Asghari Jafarabadi, M, Azadmehr, A, Badawi, A, Baheiraei, N, Barnighausen, T, Basaleem, H, Behzadifar, M, Belayneh, Y, Berhe, K, Bhattacharyya, K, Biadgo, B, Bijani, A, Biondi, A, Bjorge, T, Borzi, A, Bosetti, C, Bou-Orm, I, Brenner, H, Briko, A, Briko, N, Carreras, G, Carvalho, F, Castaneda-Orjuela, C, Cerin, E, Chiang, P, Chido-Amajuoyi, O, Daryani, A, Davitoiu, D, Demoz, G, Desai, R, Dianati Nasab, M, Eftekhari, A, El Sayed, I, Elbarazi, I, Emamian, M, Endries, A, Esmaeilzadeh, F, Esteghamati, A, Etemadi, A, Farzadfar, F, Fernandes, E, Fernandes, J, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Foroutan, M, Gad, M, Gallus, S, Ghaseni-Kebria, F, Ghashghaee, A, Gorini, G, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Hasanpour-Heidari, S, Hasanzadeh, A, Hassanipour, S, Hay, S, Hoang, C, Hostiuc, M, Househ, M, Ilesanmi, O, Ilic, M, Innos, K, Irvani, S, Islami, F, Jaca, A, Jafari Balalami, N, Jafari Delouei, N, Jafarinia, M, Jahani, M, Jakovljevic, M, James, S, Javanbakht, M, Jenabi, E, Jha, R, Joukar, F, Kasaeian, A, Kassa, T, Kassaw, M, Kengne, A, Khader, Y, Khaksarian, M, Khalilov, R, Khan, E, Khayamzadeh, M, Khazaee-Pool, M, Khazaei, S, Khosravi Shadmani, F, Khubchandani, J, Kim, D, Kisa, A, Kisa, S, Kocarnik, J, Komaki, H, Kopec, J, Koyanagi, A, Kuipers, E, Kumar, V, La Vecchia, C, Lami, F, Lopez, A, Lopukhov, P, Lunevicius, R, Majeed, A, Majidinia, M, Manafi, A, Manafi, N, Manda, A, Mansour-Ghanaei, F, Mantovani, L, Mehta, D, Meier, T, Meles, H, Mendoza, W, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Miazgowski, T, Mir, S, Mirzaei, H, Mohammad, K, Mohammad Gholi Mezerji, N, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammadoo-Khorasani, M, Mohammed, S, Mohebi, F, Mokdad, A, Monasta, L, Moossavi, M, Moradi, G, Moradpour, F, Moradzadeh, R, Nahvijou, A, Naik, G, Najafi, F, Nazari, J, Negoi, I, Negru, S, Nguyen, C, Nguyen, T, Ningrum, D, Ogbo, F, Olagunju, A, Olagunju, T, Pana, A, Pereira, D, Pirestani, M, Pourshams, A, Poustchi, H, Qorbani, M, Rabiee, M, Rabiee, N, Radfar, A, Rahmati, M, Rajati, F, Raoofi, S, Rawaf, D, Rawaf, S, Reiner, R, Renzaho, A, Rezaei, N, Rezapour, A, Saad, A, Saadatagah, S, Saddik, B, Salehi, F, Zahabi, S, Salz, I, Samy, A, Sanabria, J, Santric Milicevic, M, Sarveazad, A, Satpathy, M, Schneider, I, Sekerija, M, Shaahmadi, F, Shabaninejad, H, Shamsizadeh, M, Sharafi, Z, Sharif, M, Sharifi, A, Sheikhbahaei, S, Shirkoohi, R, Siddappa Malleshappa, S, Silva, D, Sisay, M, Smarandache, C, Soofi, M, Soreide, K, Soshnikov, S, Starodubov, V, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Sullman, M, Taherkhani, A, Tesfay, B, Topor-Madry, R, Traini, E, Tran, B, Tran, K, Ullah, I, Uthman, O, Vacante, M, Vahedian-Azimi, A, Valli, A, Varavikova, E, Vujcic, I, Westerman, R, Yazdi-Feyzabadi, V, Yisma, E, Yu, C, Zadnik, V, Zahirian Moghadam, T, Zaki, L, Zandian, H, Zhang, Z, Murray, C, Naghavi, M, Malekzadeh, R, Safiri, Saeid, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Ikuta, Kevin S, Bisignano, C., Yisma, Engida, Malekzadeh, Reza, GBD 2017 Colorectal Cancer Collaborators, and Gastroenterology & Hepatology
Subjects: Hepatology, Gastroenterology, global health, colorectal neoplasms, Global Health, Corrections, Article, Global Burden of Disease, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, Risk Factors, Humans, global disease burden, Colorectal Neoplasms, GBD 2017 Colorectal Cancer Collaborators, medicine (all), colorectal tumor
Abstract: Background Data about the global, regional, and country-specific variations in the levels and trends of colorectal cancer are required to understand the impact of this disease and the trends in its burden to help policy makers allocate resources. Here we provide a status report on the incidence, mortality, and disability caused by colorectal cancer in 195 countries and territories between 1990 and 2017. Methods Vital registration, sample vital registration, verbal autopsy, and cancer registry data were used to generate incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) estimates of colorectal cancer at the global, regional, and national levels. We also determined the association between development levels and colorectal cancer age-standardised DALY rates, and calculated DALYs attributable to risk factors that had evidence of causation with colorectal cancer. All of the estimates are reported as counts and age-standardised rates per 100 000 person-years, with some estimates also presented by sex and 5-year age groups. Findings In 2017, there were 1.8 million (95% UI 1.8-1.9) incident cases of colorectal cancer globally, with an age-standardised incidence rate of 23.2 (22.7-23.7) per 100 000 person-years that increased by 9.5% (4.5-13.5) between 1990 and 2017. Globally, colorectal cancer accounted for 896 000 (876 300-915 700) deaths in 2017, with an age-standardised death rate of 11.5 (11.3-11.8) per 100 000 person-years, which decreased between 1990 and 2017 (-13.5% [-18.4 to -10.0]). Colorectal cancer was also responsible for 19.0 million (18.5-19.5) DALYs globally in 2017, with an age-standardised rate of 235.7 (229.7-242.0) DALYs per 100 000 person-years, which decreased between 1990 and 2017 (-14.5% [-20.4 to -10.3]). Slovakia, the Netherlands, and New Zealand had the highest age-standardised incidence rates in 2017. Greenland, Hungary, and Slovakia had the highest age-standardised death rates in 2017. Numbers of incident cases and deaths were higher among males than females up to the ages of 80-84 years, with the highest rates observed in the oldest age group (>= 95 years) for both sexes in 2017. There was a non-linear association between the Socio-demographic Index and the Healthcare Access and Quality Index and age-standardised DALY rates. In 2017, the three largest contributors to DALYs at the global level, for both sexes, were diet low in calcium (20.5% [12.9-28.9]), alcohol use (15.2% [12.1-18.3]), and diet low in milk (14.3% [5.1-24.8]). Interpretation There is substantial global variation in the burden of colorectal cancer. Although the overall colorectal cancer age-standardised death rate has been decreasing at the global level, the increasing age-standardised incidence rate in most countries poses a major public health challenge across the world. The results of this study could be useful for policy makers to carry out cost-effective interventions and to reduce exposure to modifiable risk factors, particularly in countries with high incidence or increasing burden. Copyright (C) 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Published: 2019

34. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2017, and forecasts to 2030, for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017

Author: Ephrem Tsegay Asfaw, Irina Filip, Maciej Banach, Amjad Mohamadi-Bolbanabad, Girmay Teklay Weldesamuel, Joshua A. Salomon, Anemaw A Asrat, Zahra Jorjoran Shushtari, Hamidreza Komaki, Mekdes Tigistu Yilma, Reza Shirkoohi, Mostafa Qorbani, Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan, Don C. Des Jarlais, Adnan Kisa, Gebreamlak Gebremedhn Gebremeskel, Kidu Gidey Weldegwergs, Amir Kasaeian, Peter Memiah, Son Hoang Nguyen, Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye, Ali Kabir, Subash Thapa, Diego Augusto Santos Silva, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Alireza Rafiei, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Erlyn Rachelle King Macarayan, Kelali Kalaye Gebreyohannes, Khaled Khatab, Ghobad Moradi, Noore Alam, Aletta E. Schutte, Sharareh Eskandarieh, H. Dean Hosgood, Rakhi Dandona, Taye Abuhay Zewale, Sezer Kisa, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Hedayat Abbastabar, Ketema Bizuwork Gebremedhin, Smita Pakhale, Govinda Prasad Dhungana, Dina Nur Anggraini Ningrum, Bakhtiar Piroozi, Yaschilal Muche Belayneh, Tesfaye Dessale Kassa, Irfan Ullah, Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam, Jean Jacques Noubiap, Mojtaba Bagherzadeh, Akram Pourshams, Alberto L. García-Basteiro, Helen Bitew, Kindie Fentahun Muchie, Mehdi Sayyah, Kevin S Ikuta, Moses K. Muriithi, Aliasghar Ahmad Kiadaliri, Zerihun Menlkalew Zenebe, Cesar Reis, Themba G. Ginindza, Jagadish Rao Padubidri, Yoosik Youm, Saba Abraham Belay, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Neeraj Bedi, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Hamid Sharifi, Nefsu Awoke, Manasi Kumar, Carlos Magis-Rodriguez, Muhammad Shahdaat Bin Sayeed, Maheswar Satpathy, Andrew Blinov, Fiseha Wadilo Wada, Babak Moazen, Hadi Hassankhani, Jae Il Shin, Sanjay Basu, Aziz Eftekhari, Masood Ali Shaikh, Arya Haj-Mirzaian, Laura Dwyer-Lindgren, Haileab Fekadu Wolde, Habtamu Abera Areri, Krista M. Steuben, Lalit Dandona, Keivan Ahmadi, Aso Mohammad Darwesh, Belete Kassa, Keyghobad Ghadiri, Arash Ziapour, Raquel Crider, Alaa Badawi, Tahvi Frank, Amir Hasanzadeh, Marcel Yotebieng, Jemal Abdu Mohammed, Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone, Emmanuel Peprah, Mekonnen Sisay, Ghulam Mustafa, Oghenowede Eyawo, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Vahid Alipour, Reza Malekzadeh, Bereket Duko Adema, Direslgne Misker Abyu, Tinuke O Olagunju, Olatunde Aremu, Roghayeh Mohammadibakhsh, Linh Phuong Doan, Mihiretu Kebede, Aman Yesuf Endries, Amira Shaheen, Belete Biadgo, Ali Rostami, Marwa Rashad Salem, Getnet Gedefaw, Stein Emil Vollset, Gurudatta Naik, Veincent Christian Filipino Pepito, Duduzile Ndwandwe, Melese Abate Reta, Aleksandra Barac, Simon I. Hay, Vishnu Renjith, Seifadin Ahmed Shallo, Kebede Deribe, Malihe Nourollahpour Shiadeh, Tewodros Eshete Wonde, Nuno Taveira, Mohammad Ali Sahraian, Marilita M Moschos, Masoud Foroutan, Alebachew Fasil Ashagre, Félix Carvalho, Yun Jin Kim, Farid Najafi, Tukur Dahiru, Chinwe Juliana Iwu, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Varshil Mehta, Molly R Nixon, Nahla Anber, Seyedmojtaba Seyedmousavi, Mohammad Rabiee, Nauman Khalid, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Anselm Okoro, Sanjay Zodpey, Birhanu Geta, Kebede Embaye Gezae, Shirin Djalalinia, Amanda E. Smith, Naser Mohammad Gholi Mezerji, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Birkneh Tilahun Tadesse, Yared Belete Belay, Saeed Amini, Ziad A. Memish, Stephanie M. Topp, Eduarda Fernandes, Mohammed Suleiman Obsa, Junaid Khan, Andem Effiong, Jane Jean-Hee Lee, Emmanuel Ngassa Laurent Mayenga, Abdallah M. Samy, Anton Sokhan, Rajesh Sagar, Dawit Zewdu Wondafrash, Atalay Goshu Muluneh, Birhan Alemnew, Asmamaw Demis, Samer Hamidi, Getnet Mengistu, Michael Tamene Haile, Gbenga A. Kayode, Huyen Phuc Do, Yoshan Moodley, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Moslem Mohammadi, Dayane Gabriele Alves Silveira, Samad Azari, Gulfaraz Khan, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Emmanuel Ankrah Odame, Anusha Ganapati Bhat, Louisa Degenhardt, Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Harish Chander Gugnani, Sadaf G. Sepanlou, Ai Koyanagi, Ebrahim M Yimer, Maryam Adabi, Javad Nazari, Saravanan Muthupandian, Evanson Z. Sambala, Salman Khazaei, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Hunduma Amensisa Bojia, Anwar Rafay, Richard Ofori-Asenso, Ehsan Ahmadpour, José Neves, Desalegn Tadese Mengistu, Shafiu Mohammed, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Navid Rabiee, Dinh-Toi Chu, Zoubida Zaidi, Sajjad Ur Rahman, Tilahun Belete Mossie, Olanrewaju Oladimeji, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Gebrekiros Gebremichael Meles, Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek, Stanislav S. Otstavnov, Shaimaa I. El-Jaafary, Habtamu Temesgen, Lolemo Kelbiso Hanfore, Milad Mohammadoo-Khorasani, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Morteza Abdullatif Khafaie, Spencer L. James, Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan, Morteza Shamsizadeh, Kenean Getaneh Tlaye, Ziad El-Khatib, Zohreh Anbari, Aisha Elsharkawy, Nancy Fullman, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Chalachew Genet Akal, Chabila C Mapoma, Amir H. Pakpour, Rafael Alves Guimarães, Jalal Arabloo, Eyasu Ejeta Duken, Hailay Abrha Gesesew, Koku Sisay Tamirat, Batool Fatima, Tissa Wijeratne, Addisu Gize Yeshanew, Benn Sartorius, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Abdullah T Khoja, Morenike Oluwatoyin Folayan, Phetole Walter Mahasha, Takeshi Fukumoto, Maryam Moossavi, Bahram Mohajer, Ravi Prakash Jha, Oladimeji Adebayo, Farshad Farzadfar, Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo, Solomon Sisay, Ensiyeh Jenabi, Bach Xuan Tran, Eleonora Dubljanin, Farnam Mohebi, Jasvinder A. Singh, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Masoud Behzadifar, Yousef Mohammad, Feleke Mekonnen Demeke, G Anil Kumar, Jan-Walter De Neve, Afshin Zarghi, Hosein Shabaninejad, Trang Huyen Nguyen, Degena Bahrey Tadesse, Monika Sawhney, Eyal Oren, Bayu Begashaw Bekele, Saeed Safari, Salvatore Rubino, Kenji Shibuya, Daniel Diaz, Salman Rawaf, Demelash Woldeyohannes Handiso, Ted R. Miller, Fares Alahdab, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Seyyed Meysam Mousavi, Sonali Kochhar, Azeem Majeed, Till Bärnighausen, Zubair Kabir, Devasahayam J. Christopher, Malede Mequanent Sisay, Adane Teshome Kefale, Shishay Wahdey Tekelemedhin, Tsegaye Lolaso Lenjebo, Yousef Khader, Ali Bijani, Kebreab Paulos, Hagazi Gebre Meles, Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho, Alireza Ahmadi, Tuomo J. Meretoja, Padukudru Anand Mahesh, Florian Fischer, Mulugeta Melku, Fakher Rahim, Manisha Dubey, Cheru Tesema Leshargie, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Yasir Waheed, Mehdi Noroozi, Austin Carter, Chuanhua Yu, Ronny Westerman, Andualem Henok, Yousef Veisani, Sharath Burugina Nagaraja, Reta Tsegaye Gayesa, Mina Anjomshoa, Andrew T Olagunju, Getachew Mullu Kassa, Belayneh K Gelaw, Jost B. Jonas, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Adugnaw Berhane, Chukwudi A Nnaji, Daniel Asmelash, Tomislav Mestrovic, Addisu Melese, Stephen S Lim, Yahya Salimi, Chi Linh Hoang, Christopher J L Murray, Mohammad Sadegh Rezai, Bruno F. Sunguya, Herbert C. Duber, Senad Handanagic, Ashish Awasthi, Anthony Masaka, Megha Arora, Sergey Soshnikov, Sangram Kishor Patel, Kwaku Oppong Asante, Haidong Wang, Rajendra Kadel, Bryan L. Sykes, Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado, Afarin Rahimi-Movaghar, Deepa Jahagirdar, Manaye Yihune Teshale, Samantha Leigh Larson, Martin Amogre Ayanore, Sergey K Vladimirov, Gebre Teklemariam Demoz, Fisaha Haile Tesfay, Mohsen Naghavi, Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, Walter Mendoza, Kassawmar Angaw Bogale, Khanh Bao Tran, Berhanu Yazew Wondmagegn, Carlos Miguel Rios González, Ahmad Daryani, Ali H. Mokdad, Julio Cesar Campuzano Rincon, Alemayehu Toma Mena, Navid Manafi, Andre Pascal Kengne, Victor Adekanmbi, Netsanet Fentahun, Olalekan A. Uthman, Desmond Kuupiel, Olatunji O. Adetokunboh, Zahid A Butt, Mohamed Hsairi, Bulat Idrisov, Ranjani Somayaji, Dan J. Stein, Molly H Biehl, Samuel B. Albertson, Laith J. Abu-Raddad, Parvaiz A Koul, Elias Merdassa Roro, Marek Majdan, Dereje Bayissa Demissie, Emilie R Maddison, Naohiro Yonemoto, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Young-Ho Khang, Solomon Olum, Hmwe H Kyu, Amir Radfar, Dirk Douwes-Schultz, Elham Ahmadian, Graduate School, AII - Infectious diseases, APH - Global Health, APH - Methodology, GBD 2017 HIV Collaborators, Clinicum, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center, Staff Services, University of Helsinki, Department of Oncology, Adema, Bereket Duko, GBD 2017 HIV collaborators, and Public Health
Subjects: 0301 basic medicine, A300 Clinical Medicine, Epidemiology, CITIES, HIV Infections, Mortalities, Global Burden of Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, Risk Factors, Seroepidemiologic Studies, Cause of Death, Prevalences, Prevalence, Global health, LIFE EXPECTANCY, 030212 general & internal medicine, 10. No inequality, education.field_of_study, CHALLENGES, Incidence, Incidence (epidemiology), Incidences, 1. No poverty, MEN, 3. Good health, AIDS, Infectious Diseases, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, GBD 2017 HIV collaborators, medicine.medical_specialty, Forecasts, Immunology, Population, Cause of Death/trends, UNITED-STATES, Context (language use), History, 21st Century, 03 medical and health sciences, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), Virology, Environmental health, medicine, Humans, education, Global Burden of Disease/trends, Estimation, Science & Technology, SEX-SPECIFIC MORTALITY, business.industry, DISABILITY, Public health, HIV, coverage of antiretroviral therapy, History, 20th Century, medicine.disease, mortality, R1, PREVENTION, TRENDS, 030112 virology, HIV Infections/mortality, 3121 General medicine, internal medicine and other clinical medicine, Life expectancy, Human medicine, business, Forecasting
Abstract: BACKGROUND: Understanding the patterns of HIV/AIDS epidemics is crucial to tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts in countries. We provide a comprehensive assessment of the levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, mortality, and coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART) for 1980-2017 and forecast these estimates to 2030 for 195 countries and territories.METHODS: We determined a modelling strategy for each country on the basis of the availability and quality of data. For countries and territories with data from population-based seroprevalence surveys or antenatal care clinics, we estimated prevalence and incidence using an open-source version of the Estimation and Projection Package-a natural history model originally developed by the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling, and Projections. For countries with cause-specific vital registration data, we corrected data for garbage coding (ie, deaths coded to an intermediate, immediate, or poorly defined cause) and HIV misclassification. We developed a process of cohort incidence bias adjustment to use information on survival and deaths recorded in vital registration to back-calculate HIV incidence. For countries without any representative data on HIV, we produced incidence estimates by pulling information from observed bias in the geographical region. We used a re-coded version of the Spectrum model (a cohort component model that uses rates of disease progression and HIV mortality on and off ART) to produce age-sex-specific incidence, prevalence, and mortality, and treatment coverage results for all countries, and forecast these measures to 2030 using Spectrum with inputs that were extended on the basis of past trends in treatment scale-up and new infections.FINDINGS: Global HIV mortality peaked in 2006 with 1·95 million deaths (95% uncertainty interval 1·87-2·04) and has since decreased to 0·95 million deaths (0·91-1·01) in 2017. New cases of HIV globally peaked in 1999 (3·16 million, 2·79-3·67) and since then have gradually decreased to 1·94 million (1·63-2·29) in 2017. These trends, along with ART scale-up, have globally resulted in increased prevalence, with 36·8 million (34·8-39·2) people living with HIV in 2017. Prevalence of HIV was highest in southern sub-Saharan Africa in 2017, and countries in the region had ART coverage ranging from 65·7% in Lesotho to 85·7% in eSwatini. Our forecasts showed that 54 countries will meet the UNAIDS target of 81% ART coverage by 2020 and 12 countries are on track to meet 90% ART coverage by 2030. Forecasted results estimate that few countries will meet the UNAIDS 2020 and 2030 mortality and incidence targets.INTERPRETATION: Despite progress in reducing HIV-related mortality over the past decade, slow decreases in incidence, combined with the current context of stagnated funding for related interventions, mean that many countries are not on track to reach the 2020 and 2030 global targets for reduction in incidence and mortality. With a growing population of people living with HIV, it will continue to be a major threat to public health for years to come. The pace of progress needs to be hastened by continuing to expand access to ART and increasing investments in proven HIV prevention initiatives that can be scaled up to have population-level impact.FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, National Institute of Mental Health of the US National Institutes of Health (NIH), and the National Institute on Aging of the NIH.
Published: 2019

35. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 333 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abdulle, Abdishakur M, Abebo, Teshome Abuka, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Aboyans, Victor, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Ackerman, Ilana N, Adedeji, Isaac A, Adetokunboh, Olatunji, Afshin, Ashkan, Aggarwal, Rakesh, Agrawal, Sutapa, Agrawal, Anurag, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aiyar, Sneha, Akinyemiju, Tomi F, Akseer, Nadia, Al Lami, Faris Hasan, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore, Alam, Tahiya, Alasfoor, Deena, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Ali, Raghib, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkaabi, Juma M, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Allen, Christine, Al-Maskari, Fatma, AlMazroa, Mohammad AbdulAziz, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Alsowaidi, Shirina, Althouse, Benjamin M, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amini, Erfan, Ammar, Walid, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Ansha, Mustafa Geleto, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Ärnlöv, Johan, Arora, Megha, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna Kumar, Asgedom, Solomon W, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Atnafu, Niguse Tadele, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Awasthi, Ashish, Awasthi, Shally, Azarpazhooh, Mahmoud Reza, Azzopardi, Peter, Babalola, Tesleem Kayode, Bacha, Umar, Badawi, Alaa, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Bannick, Marlena S, Barac, Aleksandra, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Bärnighausen, Till, Barquera, Simon, Barrero, Lope H, Basu, Sanjay, Battista, Robert, Battle, Katherine E, Baune, Bernhard T, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, Neeraj, Béjot, Yannick, Bekele, Bayu Begashaw, Bell, Michelle L, Bennett, Derrick A, Bennett, James R, Bensenor, Isabela M, Benson, Jennifer, Berhane, Adugnaw, Berhe, Derbew Fikadu, Bernabé, Eduardo, Betsu, Balem Demtsu, Beuran, Mircea, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhansali, Anil, Bhatt, Samir, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Biadgilign, Sibhatu, Bicer, Burcu Kucuk, Bienhoff, Kelly, Bikbov, Boris, Birungi, Charles, Biryukov, Stan, Bisanzio, Donal, Bizuayehu, Habtamu Mellie, Blyth, Fiona M, Boneya, Dube Jara, Bose, Dipan, Bou-Orm, Ibrahim R, Bourne, Rupert R A, Brainin, Michael, Brayne, Carol, Brazinova, Alexandra, Breitborde, Nicholas J K, Briant, Paul S, Britton, Gabrielle, Brugha, Traolach S, Buchbinder, Rachelle, Bulto, Lemma Negesa Bulto, Bumgarner, Blair R, Butt, Zahid A, Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero, Cameron, Ewan, Campos-Nonato, Ismael Ricardo, Carabin, Hélène, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carpenter, David O, Carrero, Juan Jesus, Carter, Austin, Carvalho, Felix, Casey, Daniel, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Castle, Chris D, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Chang, Jung-Chen, Charlson, Fiona J, Chaturvedi, Pankaj, Chen, Honglei, Chibalabala, Mirriam, Chibueze, Chioma Ezinne, Chisumpa, Vesper Hichilombwe, Chitheer, Abdulaal A, Chowdhury, Rajiv, Christopher, Devasahayam Jesudas, Ciobanu, Liliana G, Cirillo, Massimo, Colombara, Danny, Cooper, Leslie Trumbull, 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Subjects: Male, Dánarmein, AUSTRALIA, GBD, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), Heilsufar, Lífslíkur, Epidemiology, Life expectancy, Diseases, Global Health, THERAPY, Global Burden of Disease, Residence Characteristics, Fullorðnir, Cause of Death, Medicine and Health Sciences, Psychology, Konur, Aged, 80 and over, Tölfræði, PLASMODIUM-FALCIPARUM, Aldraðir, Sjúkdómar, Medicine (all), Fatlaðir, Men, Þjóðir, 11 Medical And Health Sciences, ASSOCIATION, Middle Aged, Health policy, PREVALENCE, Sálfræði, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), Female, Lýðheilsa, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Global Health Metrics, Adult, AFRICA, Quality of life, People with disabilities, GBD, WEIGHTS, Social ecology, Lífsgæði, Communicable Diseases, World health/statistics, Age Distribution, Life Expectancy, Medicine, General & Internal, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, General & Internal Medicine, Heilbrigðisstefna, Humans, Adults, Disabled Persons, Women, Sex Distribution, Mortality, Noncommunicable Diseases, Aged, Science & Technology, Faraldsfræði, MORTALITY, Wounds and injuries, EPIDEMIOLOGIC TRANSITION, HIV, Áverkar, Karlar, Wounds and Injuries, Félagshagfræði, Older people
Abstract: Correction in: LANCET Volume: 390 Issue: 10106 Pages: E38-E38 Published: OCT 28 2017, Background Measurement of changes in health across locations is useful to compare and contrast changing epidemiological patterns against health system performance and identify specific needs for resource allocation in research, policy development, and programme decision making. Using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016, we drew from two widely used summary measures to monitor such changes in population health: disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and healthy life expectancy (HALE). We used these measures to track trends and benchmark progress compared with expected trends on the basis of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Methods We used results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 for all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, and non-fatal disease burden to derive HALE and DALYs by sex for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2016. We calculated DALYs by summing years of life lost and years of life lived with disability for each location, age group, sex, and year. We estimated HALE using age-specific death rates and years of life lived with disability per capita. We explored how DALYs and HALE differed from expected trends when compared with the SDI: the geometric mean of income per person, educational attainment in the population older than age 15 years, and total fertility rate. Findings The highest globally observed HALE at birth for both women and men was in Singapore, at 75.2 years (95% uncertainty interval 71.9-78.6) for females and 72.0 years (68.8-75.1) for males. The lowest for females was in the Central African Republic (45.6 years [42.0-49.5]) and for males was in Lesotho (41.5 years [39.0-44.0]). From 1990 to 2016, global HALE increased by an average of 6.24 years (5.97-6.48) for both sexes combined. Global HALE increased by 6.04 years (5.74-6.27) for males and 6.49 years (6.08-6.77) for females, whereas HALE at age 65 years increased by 1.78 years (1.61-1.93) for males and 1.96 years (1.69-2.13) for females. Total global DALYs remained largely unchanged from 1990 to 2016 (-2.3% [-5.9 to 0.9]), with decreases in communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) disease DALYs offset by increased DALYs due to non-communicable diseases (NCDs). The exemplars, calculated as the five lowest ratios of observed to expected age-standardised DALY rates in 2016, were Nicaragua, Costa Rica, the Maldives, Peru, and Israel. The leading three causes of DALYs globally were ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and lower respiratory infections, comprising 16.1% of all DALYs. Total DALYs and age-standardised DALY rates due to most CMNN causes decreased from 1990 to 2016. Conversely, the total DALY burden rose for most NCDs; however, age-standardised DALY rates due to NCDs declined globally. Interpretation At a global level, DALYs and HALE continue to show improvements. At the same time, we observe that many populations are facing growing functional health loss. Rising SDI was associated with increases in cumulative years of life lived with disability and decreases in CMNN DALYs offset by increased NCD DALYs. Relative compression of morbidity highlights the importance of continued health interventions, which has changed in most locations in pace with the gross domestic product per person, education, and family planning. The analysis of DALYs and HALE and their relationship to SDI represents a robust framework with which to benchmark location-specific health performance. Country-specific drivers of disease burden, particularly for causes with higher-than-expected DALYs, should inform health policies, health system improvement initiatives, targeted prevention efforts, and development assistance for health, including financial and research investments for all countries, regardless of their level of sociodemographic development. The presence of countries that substantially outperform others suggests the need for increased scrutiny for proven examples of best practices, which can help to extend gains, whereas the presence of underperforming countries suggests the need for devotion of extra attention to health systems that need more robust support., Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Published: 2017

36. Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

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Kumar, Degenhardt, Louisa, McAlinden, Colm, Tandon, Nikhil, Kinfu, Yohannes, Tao, Tianchan, Schwendicke, Falk, Tarekegn, Yihunie L, Giref, Ababi Zergaw, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Tavakkoli, Mohammad, Taveira, Nuno, Tegegne, Teketo Kassaw, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa, Alla, François, Seedat, Soraya, Tessema, Gizachew Assefa, Thakur, JS, Alam, Khurshid, Rajsic, Sasa, Nguyen, Minh, Deiparine, Selina, Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Raman, Thrift, Amanda G, Tiruye, Tenaw Yimer, Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan, Martin, Randall V, Topor-Madry, Roman, Torre, Anna, McGaughey, Madeline, Tortajada, Miguel, Ram, Usha, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Nichols, Emma, Awasthi, Ashish, Fürst, Thomas, Tran, Bach Xuan, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Troeger, Christopher, Deribe, Kebede, Truelsen, Thomas, Tsoi, Derrick, Tuem, Kald Beshir, Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal, McGrath, John J, Tuzcu, Emin Murat, Majeed, Azeem, Tyrovolas, Stefanos, Servan-Mori, Edson E, Ukwaja, Kingsley N, Hammami, Mouhanad, 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Szoeke, Cassandra E.I., Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tadakamadla, Santosh Kumar, Tandon, Nikhil, Tao, Tianchan, Tarekegn, Yihunie L., Tavakkoli, Mohammad, Taveira, Nuno, Tegegne, Teketo Kassaw, Shifa, Girma Temam, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Tessema, Gizachew Assefa, Thakur, J.S., Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Raman, Thrift, Amanda G., Tiruye, Tenaw Yimer, Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan, Topor-Madry, Roman, Torre, Anna, Tortajada, Miguel, Tran, Bach Xuan, Troeger, Christopher, Truelsen, Thoma, Tsoi, Derrick, Tuem, Kald Beshir, Tuzcu, Emin Murat, Tyrovolas, Stefano, Ukwaja, Kingsley N., Uneke, Chigozie Jesse, Updike, Rachel, Uthman, Olalekan A., Van Boven, Job F.M., Van Donkelaar, Aaron, Varughese, Santosh, Vasankari, Tommi, Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy, Vidavalur, Ramesh, Violante, Francesco S., Vladimirov, Sergey K., Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich, Vollset, Stein Emil, Vos, Theo, Wadilo, Fiseha, Wakayo, Tolassa, Wallin, Mitchell T., Wang, Yuan-Pang, Weichenthal, Scott, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Weintraub, Robert G., Weiss, Daniel J., Werdecker, Andrea, Westerman, Ronny, Whiteford, Harvey A., Wijeratne, Tissa, Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Woldeyes, Belete Getahun, Wolfe, Charles D.A., Woodbrook, Rachel, Xavier, Deni, Xu, Gelin, Yadgir, Simon, Yakob, Bereket, Yan, Lijing L., Yano, Yuichiro, Yaseri, Mehdi, Ye, Pengpeng, Yimam, Hassen Hamid, Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Yotebieng, Marcel, Younis, Mustafa Z., Zaidi, Zoubida, El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa, Zavala-Arciniega, Lui, Zhang, Xueying, Zipkin, Ben, Zodpey, Sanjay, Lim, Stephen S., Murray, Christopher J.L., Fullman, N, Barber, R, Abajobir, A, Abate, K, Abbafati, C, Abbas, K, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, A, Abera, S, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, L, Abu-Rmeileh, N, Adedeji, I, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Kiadaliri, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, M, Aichour, A, Aichour, I, Aichour, M, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, R, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, K, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, K, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, A, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Antonio, C, Ansari, H, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, K, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, S, Assadi, R, Atey, T, Atre, S, Avila-Burgos, L, Arthur Avokpaho, E, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, M, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, S, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, L, Basu, S, Battle, K, Baune, B, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, M, Bennett, D, Bennett, J, Bensenor, I, Berhane, A, Berhe, D, Bernabé, E, Betsu, B, Beuran, M, Beyene, A, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, Z, Bikbov, B, Bilal, A, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, H, Blosser, C, Boneya, D, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, I, Brauer, M, Breitborde, N, Brugha, T, Bulto, L, Butt, Z, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Cameron, E, Campuzano, J, Carabin, H, Cárdenas, R, Carrero, J, Carter, A, Casey, D, Castañeda-Orjuela, C, Rivas, J, Castro, R, Catalá-López, F, Cercy, K, Chang, H, Chang, J, Charlson, F, Chew, A, Chisumpa, V, Chitheer, A, Christensen, H, Christopher, D, Cirillo, M, Cooper, C, Criqui, M, Cromwell, E, Crump, J, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dargan, P, Das Neves, J, Davitoiu, D, De Courten, B, De Steur, H, Degenhardt, L, Deiparine, S, Deribe, K, Deveber, G, Ding, E, Djalalinia, S, Do, H, Dokova, K, Doku, D, Dorsey, E, Driscoll, T, Dubey, M, Duncan, B, Ebel, B, Ebrahimi, H, El-Khatib, Z, Enayati, A, Endries, A, Ermakov, S, Erskine, H, Eshrati, B, Eskandarieh, S, Esteghamati, A, Estep, K, Faraon, E, Sofia E Sa Farinha, C, Faro, A, Farzadfar, F, Fazeli, M, Feigin, V, Feigl, A, Fereshtehnejad, S, Fernandes, J, Ferrari, A, Feyissa, T, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Fitzmaurice, C, Flaxman, A, Foigt, N, Foreman, K, Frank, T, Franklin, R, Friedman, J, Frostad, J, Fürst, T, Furtado, J, Gakidou, E, Garcia-Basteiro, A, Gebrehiwot, T, Geleijnse, J, Geleto, A, Gemechu, B, Gething, P, Gibney, K, Gill, P, Gillum, R, Giref, A, Gishu, M, Giussani, G, Glenn, S, Godwin, W, Goldberg, E, Gona, P, Goodridge, A, Gopalani, S, Goryakin, Y, Griswold, M, Gugnani, H, Gupta, R, Gupta, T, Gupta, V, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Bidgoli, H, Hailu, G, Hamadeh, R, Hammami, M, Hankey, G, Harb, H, Hareri, H, Hassanvand, M, Havmoeller, R, Hawley, C, Hay, S, He, J, Hendrie, D, Henry, N, Heredia-Pi, I, Hoek, H, Holmberg, M, Horita, N, Hosgood, H, Hostiuc, S, Hoy, D, Hsairi, M, Htet, A, Huang, H, Huang, J, Huynh, C, Iburg, K, Ikeda, C, Inoue, M, Irvine, C, Jacobsen, K, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, M, Jauregui, A, Javanbakht, M, Jeemon, P, Jha, V, John, D, Johnson, C, Johnson, S, Jonas, J, Jürisson, M, Kabir, Z, Kadel, R, Kahsay, A, Kamal, R, Karch, A, Karema, C, Kasaeian, A, Kassebaum, N, Kastor, A, Katikireddi, S, Kawakami, N, Keiyoro, P, Kelbore, S, Kemmer, L, Kengne, A, Kesavachandran, C, Khader, Y, Khalil, I, Khan, E, Khang, Y, Khosravi, A, Khubchandani, J, Kieling, C, Kim, D, Kim, J, Kim, Y, Kimokoti, R, Kinfu, Y, Kisa, A, Kissimova-Skarbek, K, Kivimaki, M, Kokubo, Y, Kopec, J, Kosen, S, Koul, P, Koyanagi, A, Kravchenko, M, Krohn, K, Defo, B, Bicer, B, Kulikoff, X, Kumar, G, Kutz, M, Kyu, H, Lal, D, Lalloo, R, Lansingh, V, Larsson, A, Lazarus, J, Lee, P, Leigh, J, Leung, J, Leung, R, Levi, M, Li, Y, Liben, M, Linn, S, Liu, P, Liu, S, Lodha, R, Looker, K, Lopez, A, Lorkowski, S, Lotufo, P, Lozano, R, Lucas, T, Lunevicius, R, Mackay, M, Maddison, E, El Razek, H, El Razek, M, Majdan, M, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malhotra, R, Malta, D, Mamun, A, Manguerra, H, Mantovani, L, Manyazewal, T, Mapoma, C, Marks, G, Martin, R, Martinez-Raga, J, Martins-Melo, F, Martopullo, I, Mathur, M, Mazidi, M, Mcalinden, C, Mcgaughey, M, Mcgrath, J, Mckee, M, Mehata, S, Mehndiratta, M, Meier, T, Meles, K, Memish, Z, Mendoza, W, Mengesha, M, Mengistie, M, Mensah, G, Mensink, G, Mereta, S, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, T, Mezgebe, H, Micha, R, Millear, A, Miller, T, Minnig, S, Mirarefin, M, Mirrakhimov, E, Misganaw, A, Mishra, S, Mitchell, P, Mohammad, K, Mohammed, K, Mohammed, S, Mohan, M, Mokdad, A, Mollenkopf, S, Monasta, L, Hernandez, J, Montico, M, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moraga, P, Morawska, L, Morrison, S, Moses, M, Mountjoy-Venning, C, Mueller, U, Muller, K, Murthy, G, Musa, K, Naghavi, M, Naheed, A, Naidoo, K, Nangia, V, Natarajan, G, Negoi, I, Negoi, R, Nguyen, C, Nguyen, G, Nguyen, M, Nguyen, Q, Nguyen, T, Nichols, E, Ningrum, D, Nomura, M, Nong, V, Norheim, O, Noubiap, J, Obermeyer, C, Ogbo, F, Oh, I, Oladimeji, O, Olagunju, A, Olagunju, T, Olivares, P, Olsen, H, Olusanya, B, Olusanya, J, Ong, K, Oren, E, Ortiz, A, Owolabi, M, Mahesh, P, Pana, A, Panda, B, Panda-Jonas, S, Papachristou, C, Park, E, Patton, G, Paulson, K, Pereira, D, Perico, D, Pesudovs, K, Petzold, M, Phillips, M, Pigott, D, Pillay, J, Pinho, C, Piradov, M, Pishgar, F, Poulton, R, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rao, P, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Ur Rahman, M, Rai, R, Rajsic, S, Ram, U, Ranabhat, C, Rawaf, S, Reidy, P, Reiner, R, Reinig, N, Reitsma, M, Remuzzi, G, Renzaho, A, Resnikoff, S, Rezaei, S, Blancas, M, Roba, K, Rojas-Rueda, D, Rokni, M, Roshandel, G, Roth, G, Roy, A, Rubagotti, E, Sadat, N, Safdarian, M, Safi, S, Safiri, S, Sagar, R, Salama, J, Salomon, J, Samy, A, Sanabria, J, Santomauro, D, Santos, I, Santos, J, Santric Milicevic, M, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Saxena, S, Saylan, M, Shirude, S, Schmidt, M, Schneider, I, Schneider, M, Schöttker, B, Schutte, A, Schwebel, D, Schwendicke, F, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, S, Servan-Mori, E, Shackelford, K, Shaheen, A, Shahraz, S, Shaikh, M, Shamsipour, M, Shamsizadeh, M, Islam, S, Sharma, J, Sharma, R, She, J, Shi, P, Shibuya, K, Shields, C, Shiferaw, M, Shigematsu, M, Shin, M, Shiri, R, Shirkoohi, R, Shishani, K, Shoman, H, Shrime, M, Silberberg, D, Silva, D, Silva, J, Silveira, D, Singh, J, Singh, V, Sinha, D, Skiadaresi, E, Slepak, E, Sligar, A, Smith, A, Smith, D, Smith, M, Sobaih, B, Sobngwi, E, Soljak, M, Soneji, S, Sorensen, R, Sposato, L, Sreeramareddy, C, Srinivasan, V, Stanaway, J, Stein, D, Steiner, C, Steinke, S, Stokes, M, Strub, B, Sufiyan, M, Abdulkader, R, Sunguya, B, Sur, P, Swaminathan, S, Sykes, B, Sylte, D, Szoeke, C, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tadakamadla, S, Tandon, N, Tao, T, Tarekegn, Y, Tavakkoli, M, Taveira, N, Tegegne, T, Shifa, G, Terkawi, A, Tessema, G, Thakur, J, Thankappan, K, Thrift, A, Tiruye, T, Tobe-Gai, R, Topor-Madry, R, Torre, A, Tortajada, M, Tran, B, Troeger, C, Truelsen, T, Tsoi, D, Tuem, K, Tuzcu, E, Tyrovolas, S, Ukwaja, K, Uneke, C, Updike, R, Uthman, O, Van Boven, J, Van Donkelaar, A, Varughese, S, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Vidavalur, R, Violante, F, Vladimirov, S, Vlassov, V, Vollset, S, Vos, T, Wadilo, F, Wakayo, T, Wallin, M, Wang, Y, Weichenthal, S, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, R, Weiss, D, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Whiteford, H, Wijeratne, T, Wiysonge, C, Woldeyes, B, Wolfe, C, Woodbrook, R, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yadgir, S, Yakob, B, Yan, L, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Ye, P, Yimam, H, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S, Yotebieng, M, Younis, M, Zaidi, Z, El Sayed Zaki, M, Zavala-Arciniega, L, Zhang, X, Zipkin, B, Zodpey, S, Lim, S, and Murray, C
Subjects: Adult, Male, Adolescent, DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE, Global Health, projection indicators to 2030, CHINA, Global Burden of Disease, Health Statu, MEXICO, Noncommunicable Disease, Young Adult, SYSTEMS, Quality-Adjusted Life Year, General & Internal Medicine, Infant Mortality, Medicine and Health Sciences, Conservation of Natural Resource, gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs,annualized rates of change, projection indicators to 2030, Health Status Indicator, annualized rates of change, Child, Medicine (all), MORTALITY, Infant, Newborn, Infant, Child Abuse, Sexual, Middle Aged, PREPAID PRIVATE, CARE, COVERAGE, Sex Offense, Child, Preschool, Female, 40-PERCENT, GOVERNMENT, gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs, Human
Abstract: Background The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of "leaving no one behind". Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990-2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030. Methods We used standardised GBD 2016 methods to measure 37 health-related indicators from 1990 to 2016, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2015. We substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable diseases. We transformed each indicator on a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the 2.5th percentile estimated between 1990 and 2030, and 100 as the 97.5th percentile during that time. An index representing all 37 health-related SDG indicators was constructed by taking the geometric mean of scaled indicators by target. On the basis of past trends, we produced projections of indicator values, using a weighted average of the indicator and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2016 with weights for each annual rate of change based on out-of-sample validity. 24 of the currently measured health-related SDG indicators have defined SDG targets, against which we assessed attainment. Findings Globally, the median health-related SDG index was 56.7 (IQR 31.9-66.8) in 2016 and country-level performance markedly varied, with Singapore (86.8, 95% uncertainty interval 84.6-88.9), Iceland (86.0, 84.1-87.6), and Sweden (85.6, 81.8-87.8) having the highest levels in 2016 and Afghanistan (10.9, 9.6-11.9), the Central African Republic (11.0, 8.8-13.8), and Somalia (11.3, 9.5-13.1) recording the lowest. Between 2000 and 2016, notable improvements in the UHC index were achieved by several countries, including Cambodia, Rwanda, Equatorial Guinea, Laos, Turkey, and China; however, a number of countries, such as Lesotho and the Central African Republic, but also high-income countries, such as the USA, showed minimal gains. Based on projections of past trends, the median number of SDG targets attained in 2030 was five (IQR 2-8) of the 24 defined targets currently measured. Globally, projected target attainment considerably varied by SDG indicator, ranging from more than 60% of countries projected to reach targets for under-5 mortality, neonatal mortality, maternal mortality ratio, and malaria, to less than 5% of countries projected to achieve targets linked to 11 indicator targets, including those for childhood overweight, tuberculosis, and road injury mortality. For several of the health-related SDGs, meeting defined targets hinges upon substantially faster progress than what most countries have achieved in the past. Interpretation GBD 2016 provides an updated and expanded evidence base on where the world currently stands in terms of the health-related SDGs. Our improved measure of UHC offers a basis to monitor the expansion of health services necessary to meet the SDGs. Based on past rates of progress, many places are facing challenges in meeting defined health-related SDG targets, particularly among countries that are the worst off. In view of the early stages of SDG implementation, however, opportunity remains to take actions to accelerate progress, as shown by the catalytic effects of adopting the Millennium Development Goals after 2000. With the SDGs' broader, bolder development agenda, multisectoral commitments and investments are vital to make the health-related SDGs within reach of all populations. Copyright The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article published under the CC BY 4.0 license.
Published: 2017

37. Tuberculosis disease burden and attributable risk factors in Nigeria, 1990–2016

Author: Pascal Ogeleka, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Andrew Page, Akorede O. Awosemo, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, John Eastwood, Anselm Okoro, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, and Ifegwu K. Ifegwu
Subjects: lcsh:Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine, Tuberculosis, lcsh:RC955-962, Nigeria, Burden, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Environmental health, Medicine, 030212 general & internal medicine, Mortality, Disease burden, business.industry, Nigerians, Mortality rate, Incidence (epidemiology), Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, medicine.disease, Global burden of disease, Infectious Diseases, Years of potential life lost, 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis, Attributable risk, business, Risk assessment
Abstract: Background According to the World Health Organization, Nigeria is one of the countries with a high burden of tuberculosis (TB) worldwide. Improving the burden of TB among HIV-negative people would require comprehensive and up-to-date data to inform targeted policy actions in Nigeria. The study aimed to describe the incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and risk factors of tuberculosis in Nigeria between 1990 and 2016. Methods This study used the most recent data from the global burden of disease study 2016. TB deaths were estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model, while TB incidence, prevalence and DALYs, as well as years of life lost and years of life lived with disability were calculated in the DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool. Using a comparative risk assessment approach, TB burden attributable to risk factors was estimated in a spatial-temporal Gaussian Process Regression tool. Results In 2016, the prevalence of TB among HIV-negative people was 27% (95% uncertainty interval [95% UI] 23–31%) in Nigeria. TB incidence rate (new and relapse cases) was 158 per 100,000 people (95% UI; 128-193), while the total number of TB mortality was 39,933 deaths (95% UI; 30,488-55,039) in 2016. Between 2000 and 2016, the age-standardised prevalence and incidence rates of TB-HIV negative decreased by 20.0 and 87.6%, respectively. The age-standardised mortality rate also dropped by 191.6% over the same period. DALYs due to TB among HIV-negative Nigerians was high but varied across the age groups. Of the risk factors studied, alcohol use accounted for the highest number of TB deaths and DALYs, followed by diabetes and smoking in 2016. Conclusion The study shows an improving trend in TB disease burden among HIV-negative individuals in Nigeria from 1990 to 2016. Despite this progress, this study suggests that additional efforts are still needed to ensure that Nigeria is not left behind in the current global strategy to end TB disease. Reducing TB disease burden in the country will require a multipronged approach that includes increased funding, health system strengthening and improved TB surveillance, as well as preventive efforts for alcohol use, smoking and diabetes.
Published: 2018

38. Burden of obesity in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, Ali H, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Afshin, Ashkan, Charara, Raghid, Khalil, Ibrahim, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Collison, Michael, Daoud, Farah, Krohn, Kristopher J, Chew, Adrienne, Biryukov, Stan H, Cornaby, Leslie, Foreman, Kyle J, Kutz, Michael, Liu, Patrick, Reitsma, Marissa, Sur, Patrick, Wang, Haidong, Zipkin, Ben, Arnlov, Johan, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abdulle, Abdishakur M, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen ME, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Baune, Bernhard T, Bedi, Neeraj, Bennett, Derrick A, Beyene, Addisu S, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Birhanu, Mulugeta M, Danawi, Hadi, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fischer, Florian, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Gill, Paramjit Singh, Gona, Philimon N, Gupta, Vipin, Habtewold, Tesfa Dejenie, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hamidi, Samer, Hareri, Habtamu Abera, Horino, Masako, Hsairi, Mohamed, Javanbakht, Mehdi, John, Denny, Jonas, Jost B, Joshua, Vasna, Kasaeian, Amir, Ketema, Ezra B, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Daniel, Kim, Yun Jin, Kinfu, Yohannes, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Larson, Heidi J, Lee, Paul H, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Abd El Razek, Hassan Magdy, Abd El Razek, Mohammed Magdy, Malekzadeh, Reza, Mate, Kedar K, Memish, Ziad A, Mengistie, Mubarek Abera, Mensah, George A, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Pourmalek, Farshad, Rafay, Anwar, Qorbani, Mostafa, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rana, Saleem M, Rawaf, Salman, Renzaho, Andre MN, Rezaei, Satar, Rezai, Mohammad Sadegh, Safdarian, Mahdi, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Salamati, Payman, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan Ramon, Milicevic, Milena M Santric, Sartorius, Benn, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shiri, Rahman, Santos Silva, Diego Augusto, Singh, Jasvinder A, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Tiruye, Tenaw Yimer, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Vasankari, Tommi, Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich, Wakayo, Tolassa, Werdecker, Andrea, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Younis, Mustafa Z, Zein, Bassel, Jumaan, Aisha O, Vos, Theo, Hay, Simon I, Naghavi, Mohsen, Murray, Christopher JL, Reg, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean, Mokdad, Ali H, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Afshin, Ashkan, Charara, Raghid, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Tiruye, Tenaw Yimer, Murray, Christopher JL, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Obesity Collaborators, Department of Public Health, Clinicum, University of Helsinki, Bennett, D, and Hay, S
Subjects: Male, obesity, Health (social science), 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, Overweight, burden of disease, Obesity, Burden of disease, Eastern Mediterranean Region, Body Mass Index, Global Burden of Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, Epidemiology, 030212 general & internal medicine, Young adult, Child, 2. Zero hunger, Mediterranean Region, eastern mediterranean region, Middle Aged, 3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health, 3. Good health, PREVALENCE, 1117 Public Health And Health Services, Child, Preschool, Original Article, Female, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, SCHOOL-AGED CHILDREN, HEALTH, Public Health, medicine.symptom, Risk assessment, Adult, medicine.medical_specialty, Adolescent, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Risk Assessment, EGYPT, Middle East, Young Adult, 03 medical and health sciences, Environmental health, medicine, SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS, Humans, METAANALYSIS, Aged, ENVIRONMENT, OVERWEIGHT, business.industry, MORTALITY, Environmental and Occupational Health, Klinisk medicin, medicine.disease, TRENDS, Quality-adjusted life year, Clinical Medicine, business, Body mass index, RC
Abstract: Objectives We used the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2015 study results to explore the burden of high body mass index (BMI) in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR). Methods We estimated the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children (2–19 years) and adults (≥20 years) in 1980 and 2015. The burden of disease related to high BMI was calculated using the GBD comparative risk assessment approach. Results The prevalence of obesity increased for adults from 15.1% (95% UI 13.4–16.9) in 1980 to 20.7% (95% UI 18.8–22.8) in 2015. It increased from 4.1% (95% UI 2.9–5.5) to 4.9% (95% UI 3.6–6.4) for the same period among children. In 2015, there were 417,115 deaths and 14,448,548 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to high BMI in EMR, which constitute about 10 and 6.3% of total deaths and DALYs, respectively, for all ages. Conclusions This is the first study to estimate trends in obesity burden for the EMR from 1980 to 2015. We call for EMR countries to invest more resources in prevention and health promotion efforts to reduce this burden. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00038-017-1002-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Published: 2018

39. Intentional injuries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, Ali H, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Charara, Raghid, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Khalil, Ibrahim, Afshin, Ashkan, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Collison, Michael, Chew, Adrienne, Krohn, Kristopher J, Daoud, Farah, Colombara, Danny, Graetz, Nicholas, Kutz, Michael, Wang, Haidong, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Alam, Khurshid, Alghnam, Suliman, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Anber, Nahla, Anwari, Palwasha, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Awasthi, Ashish, Barac, Aleksandra, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Bedi, Neeraj, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Borschmann, Rohan, Boufous, Soufiane, Butt, Zahid A, Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Dalal, Koustuv, Danawi, Hadi, De Leo, Diego, Dharmaratne, Samath D, Djalalinia, Shirin, Doyle, Kerrie E, Esteghamati, Alireza, Faro, Andre, Farvid, Maryam S, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fischer, Florian, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Gutierrez, Reyna A, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hamidi, Samer, Haro, Josep Maria, Hendrie, Delia, Hu, Guoqing, Jonas, Jost B, Kasaeian, Amir, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kopec, Jacek A, Larson, Heidi J, Latif, Asma Abdul, Leshargie, Cheru Tesema, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Abd El Razek, Mohammed Magdy, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Memish, Ziad A, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Miller, Ted R, Mohammed, Shafiu, Obermeyer, Carla Makhlouf, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Phillips, Michael Robert, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qorbani, Mostafa, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rahimi-Movaghar, Afarin, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Rezaei, Satar, Rezai, Mohammad Sadegh, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safiri, Saeid, Salamati, Payman, Samy, Abdallah M, Sartorius, Benn, Seedat, Soraya, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Sobaih, Badr HA, Tabb, Karen M, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, RomanTopor-Madry, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Uthman, Olalekan A, Yaseri, Mehdi, NaohiroYonemoto, Younis, Mustafa Z, Jumaan, Aisha O, Vos, Theo, Hay, Simon I, Naghavi, Mohsen, Murray, Christopher JL, Reg, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean, Mokdad, AH, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Charara, R, Ahmed, M Beshir, Murray, C hristopher JL, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Intentional Injuries Collaborators, Department of Surgery, University of Helsinki, Clinicum, II kirurgian klinikka, Department of Oncology, and HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center
Subjects: Adult, Male, Burden of disease, SUICIDE, Health (social science), Adolescent, Scopus, Violence, Global Health, Global Burden of Disease, Middle East, Young Adult, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Cost of Illness, Environmental health, parasitic diseases, Global health, Cost of illness, Humans, 030212 general & internal medicine, Young adult, CONFLICT, MORTALITY, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Eastern mediterranean region, Intentional injuries, Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology, Middle Aged, 16. Peace & justice, 3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health, humanities, 3. Good health, Quality-adjusted life year, Eastern mediterranean, Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi, Geography, 1117 Public Health And Health Services, Female, Original Article, Public Health, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, HEALTH, Self-Injurious Behavior, 030217 neurology & neurosurgery
Abstract: Objectives: We used GBD 2015 findings to measure the burden of intentional injuries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) between 1990 and 2015. Methods: The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study defines intentional injuries as a combination of self-harm (including suicide), interpersonal violence, collective violence (war), and legal intervention. We estimated number of deaths, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for each type of intentional injuries. Results: In 2015, 28,695 individuals (95% UI: 25,474-37,832) died from self-harm, 35,626 (95% UI: 20,947-41,857) from interpersonal violence, and 143,858 (95% UI: 63,554-223,092) from collective violence and legal interventions. In 2015, collective violence and legal intervention was the fifth-leading cause of DALYs in the EMR and the leading cause in Syria, Yemen, Iraq, Afghanistan, and Libya; they account for 49.7% of total DALYs in Syria. Conclusions: Our findings call for increased efforts to stabilize the region and assist in rebuilding the health systems, as well as increasing transparency and employing preventive strategies to reduce self-harm and interpersonal injuries., Funding Agency:Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Published: 2018

40. Burden of diarrhea in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, Ali H, Khalil, Ibrahim, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Charara, Raghid, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Afshin, Ashkan, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Collison, Michael, Chew, Adrienne, Krohn, Kristopher J, Daoud, Farah, Colombara, Danny, Foreman, Kyle J, Godwin, William W, Kutz, Michael, Mirarefin, Mojde, Rao, Puja C, Jr, Reiner Robert, Troeger, Christopher, Wang, Haidong, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Abu-Elyazeed, Remon, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Alam, Khurshid, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Anber, Nahla, Anwari, Palwasha, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Bacha, Umar, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Geffen, David, Bedi, Neeraj, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhane, Adugnaw, Bessong, Pascal Obong, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Buckle, Geoffrey Colin, Butt, Zahid A, Danawi, Hadi, Deribew, Amare, Djalalinia, Shirin, Dubey, Manisha, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Eshrati, Babak, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fischer, Florian, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Gugnani, Harish Chander, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hamidi, Samer, Husseini, Abdullatif, James, Spencer Lewis, Jonas, Jost B, Kasaeian, Amir, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Gulfaraz, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kissoon, Niranjan, Kopec, Jacek A, Koyanagi, Ai, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Larson, Heidi J, Latif, Asma Abdul, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Abd El Razek, Hassan Magdy, Abd El Razek, Mohammed Magdy, Majdzadeh, Reza, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Memiah, Peter, Memish, Ziad A, Mendoza, Walter, Mengistu, Desalegn Tadese, Mohammed, Shafiu, Murthy, Srinivas, Ngunjiri, Josephine Wanjiku, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qorbani, Mostafa, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Ram, Usha, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Renzaho, Andre MN, Rezaei, Satar, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Safdarian, Mahdi, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Salamati, Payman, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan Ramon, Sartorius, Benn, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shigematsu, Mika, Sobaih, Badr HA, Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T, Sykes, Bryan L, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Tiruye, Tenaw Yimer, Topor-Madry, Roman, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wakayo, Tolassa, Werdecker, Andrea, Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Workicho, Abdulhalik, Yaghoubi, Mohsen, Yaseri, Mehdi, Yenesew, Muluken, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Younis, Mustafa Z, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Zodpey, Sanjay, Zein, Bassel, Jumaan, Aisha O, Vos, Theo, Hay, Simon I, Naghavi, Mohsen, Murray, Christopher JL, Reg, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean, Mokdad, AH, Khalil, I, El Bcheraoui, C, Beshir Ahmed, M, Tiruye, Tenaw Yimer, Murray, CJL, and GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Diarrhea Collaborators
Subjects: Male, Health (social science), Psychological intervention, Eastern Mediterranean region, burden of disease, Global Health, Global Burden of Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, Risk Factors, Prevalence, Global health, 030212 general & internal medicine, Child, Mediterranean Region, Health Policy, Mortality rate, Burden of disease, MEDITERRÂNEO, Middle Aged, 3. Good health, Diarrhea, 1117 Public Health And Health Services, Child, Preschool, Original Article, Female, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Public Health, medicine.symptom, Adult, medicine.medical_specialty, Adolescent, 030231 tropical medicine, Eastern Mediterranean Region, Middle East, Young Adult, 03 medical and health sciences, Environmental health, medicine, Humans, Diarrheal diseases, Poverty, Health policy, Disease burden, Aged, business.industry, Public health, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Infant, Years of potential life lost, business
Abstract: Objectives Diarrheal diseases (DD) are an important cause of disease burden, especially in children in low-income settings. DD can also impact children’s potential livelihood through growth faltering, cognitive impairment, and other sequelae. Methods As part of the Global Burden of Disease study, we estimated DD burden, and the burden attributable to specific risk factors and etiologies, in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) between 1990 and 2015. We calculated disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs)—the sum of years of life lost and years lived with disability—for both sexes and all ages. Results We estimate that over 103,692 diarrhea deaths occurred in the EMR in 2015 (95% uncertainty interval: 87,018–124,692), and the mortality rate was 16.0 deaths per 100,000 persons (95% UI: 13.4–19.2). The majority of these deaths occurred in children under 5 (63.3%) (65,670 deaths, 95% UI: 53,640–79,486). DALYs per 100,000 ranged from 304 (95% UI 228–400) in Kuwait to 38,900 (95% UI 25,900–54,300) in Somalia. Conclusions Our findings will guide evidence-based health policy decisions for interventions to achieve the ultimate goal of reducing the DD burden. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00038-017-1008-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Published: 2018

41. Burden of cancer in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 2005-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 Study

Author: Fitzmaurice, Christina, Alsharif, Ubai, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Khalil, Ibrahim, Charara, Raghid, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Afshin, Ashkan, Collison, Michael, Chew, Adrienne, Krohn, Kristopher J, Daoud, Farah, Dicker, Daniel, Foreman, Kyle J, Frostad, Joseph, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Kutz, Michael, Wang, Haidong, Abyu, Gebre Yitayih, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Alam, Khurshid, Alasfoor, Deena, Ali, Raghib, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amini, Erfan, Anber, Nahla, Anwari, Palwasha, Artaman, Al, Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Awasthi, Ashish, Saleem, Huda Omer Ba, Bacha, Umar, Barac, Aleksandra, Bedi, Neeraj, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Butt, Zahid A, Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Chitheer, Abdulaal A, Danawi, Hadi, das Neves, Jose, Davitoiu, Dragos V, Dey, Subhojit, Dharmaratne, Samath D, Djalalinia, Shirin, Do, Huyen Phuc, Dubey, Manisha, Ebrahimi, Hedyeh, Ekwueme, Donatus U, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Eshrati, Babak, Esteghamati, Alireza, Farvid, Maryam S, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fischer, Florian, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hamidi, Samer, Hareri, Habtamu Abera, Hay, Roderick J, Horita, Nobuyuki, Hsairi, Mohamed, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo B, Jonas, Jost B, Kasaeian, Amir, Kassaw, Nigussie Assefa, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Gulfaraz, Kim, Daniel, Kinfu, Yohannes, Larson, Heidi J, Latif, Asma Abdul, Linn, Shai, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Abd El Razek, Hassan Magdy, Abd El Razek, Mohammed Magdy, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Markos, Desalegn, Memiah, Peter, Memish, Ziad A, Mendoza, Walter, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Miller, Ted R, Mohammed, Shafiu, Nangia, Vinay, Nguyen, Quyen Le, Nguyen, Trang Huyen, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Mahesh, PA, Park, Eun-Kee, Patel, Tejas, Pereira, David M, Pishgar, Farhad, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qorbani, Mostafa, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rana, Saleem M, Rawaf, Salman, Renzaho, Andre MN, Rezaei, Satar, Roba, Kedir Teji, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safi, Sare, Safiri, Saeid, Salamati, Payman, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan Ramon, Milicevic, Milena M Santric, Sartorius, Benn, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shrime, Mark G, Stathopoulou, Vasiliki, Sufiyan, Muawiyyah Babale, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Tekelab, Tesfalidet, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Tran, Bach Xuan, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Uthman, Olalekan A, Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wakayo, Tolassa, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Werdecker, Andrea, Yaghoubi, Mohsen, Yaseri, Mehdi, Yimam, Hassen Hamid, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Zein, Bassel, Jumaan, Aisha O, Vos, Theo, Hay, Simon I, Naghavi, Mohsen, Murray, Christopher JL, Mokdad, Ali H, Reg, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean, Instituto de Investigação e Inovação em Saúde, Alsharif, U, El Bcheraoui, C, Khalil, I, Charara, R, Ahmed, MB, Fitzmaurice, C, Department of Surgery, University of Helsinki, II kirurgian klinikka, Clinicum, Department of Oncology, and HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center
Subjects: Health (social science), Palliative care, Global Health, Mediterranean Region / epidemiology, Eastern Mediterranean Region, Disability-adjusted life years, Global Burden of Disease, Middle East, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Breast cancer, Neoplasms / economics, Neoplasms, MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES, Environmental health, medicine, cancer, Humans, 030212 general & internal medicine, Mortality, Lung cancer, Disease burden, Global Burden of Disease / statistics & numerical data, Cancer, Cancer prevention, Mediterranean Region, business.industry, Incidence (epidemiology), Incidence, DEATH, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, CARE, medicine.disease, mortality, 3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health, Neoplasms / mortality, 3. Good health, Cancer registry, 1117 Public Health And Health Services, 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis, Original Article, Public Health, Neoplasms / epidemiology, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, business, Middle East / epidemiology
Abstract: Objectives: To estimate incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) caused by cancer in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) between 2005 and 2015. Methods: Vital registration system and cancer registry data from the EMR region were analyzed for 29 cancer groups in 22 EMR countries using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 methodology. Results: In 2015, cancer was responsible for 9.4% of all deaths and 5.1% of all DALYs. It accounted for 722,646 new cases, 379,093 deaths, and 11.7 million DALYs. Between 2005 and 2015, incident cases increased by 46%, deaths by 33%, and DALYs by 31%. The increase in cancer incidence was largely driven by population growth and population aging. Breast cancer, lung cancer, and leukemia were the most common cancers, while lung, breast, and stomach cancers caused most cancer deaths. Conclusions: Cancer is responsible for a substantial disease burden in the EMR, which is increasing. There is an urgent need to expand cancer prevention, screening, and awareness programs in EMR countries as well as to improve diagnosis, treatment, and palliative care services. The funding source played no role in the design of thestudy, the analysis and interpretation of data, and the writing of thepaper. GBD 2015 is funded by Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Published: 2018

42. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: Dicker, Daniel, Nguyen, Grant, Abate, Degu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abay, Solomon M, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbasi, Nooshin, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdela, Jemal, Abdelalim, Ahmed, Abdel-Rahman, Omar, Abdi, Alireza, Abdollahpour, Ibrahim, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abdurahman, Ahmed Abdulahi, Abebe, Haftom Temesgen, Abebe, Molla, Abebe, Zegeye, Abebo, Teshome Abuka, Aboyans, Victor, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Abrham, Aklilu Roba, Abu-Raddad, Laith Jamal, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen ME, Accrombessi, Manfred Mario Kokou, Acharya, Pawan, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Adedoyin, Rufus Adesoji, Adekanmbi, Victor, Adetokunboh, Olatunji O, Adhena, Beyene Meressa, Adhikari, Tara Ballav, Adib, Mina G, Adou, Ars&#232, ne Kouablan, Adsuar, Jose C, Afarideh, Mohsen, Afshin, Ashkan, Agarwal, Gina, Aggarwal, Rakesh, Aghayan, Sargis Aghasi, Agrawal, Sutapa, Agrawal, Anurag, Ahmadi, Mehdi, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmadieh, Hamid, Ahmed, Mohamed Lemine Cheikh brahim, Ahmed, Sayem, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Akanda, Ali S, Akbari, Mohammad Esmaeil, Akibu, Mohammed, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akinyemiju, Tomi, Akseer, Nadia, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alebel, Animut, Aleman, Alicia V, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Ali, Raghib, Alijanzadeh, Mehran, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Alkerwi, Ala&apos, a, Alla, Fran&#231, ois, Allebeck, Peter, Allen, Christine A, Alonso, Jordi, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amini, Erfan, Ammar, Walid, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Anber, Nahla Hamed, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Androudi, Sofia, Animut, Megbaru Debalkie, Anjomshoa, Mina, Anlay, Degefaye Zelalem, Ansari, Hossein, Ansariadi, Ansariadi, Ansha, Mustafa Geleto, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw, Aremu, Olatunde, Areri, Habtamu Abera, 196, rnl&#246, v, Johan, Arora, Megha, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna K, Asadi-Lari, Mohsen, Asayesh, Hamid, Asfaw, Ephrem Tsegay, Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Assadi, Reza, Ataro, Zerihun, Atey, Tesfay Mehari Mehari, Athari, Seyyed Shamsadin, Atique, Suleman, Atre, Sachin R, Atteraya, Madhu Sudhan, Attia, Engi F, Ausloos, Marcel, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide F G A, Awasthi, Ashish, Awuah, Baffour, Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina, Ayele, Henok Tadesse, Ayele, Yohanes, Ayer, Rakesh, Ayuk, Tambe B, Azzopardi, Peter S, Azzopardi-Muscat, Natasha, Badali, Hamid, Badawi, Alaa, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Bali, Ayele Geleto, Banach, Maciej, Banstola, Amrit, Barac, Aleksandra, Barboza, Miguel A, Barquera, Simon, Barrero, Lope H, Basaleem, Huda, Bassat, Quique, Basu, Arindam, Basu, Sanjay, Baune, Bernhard T, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Bedi, Neeraj, Beghi, Ettore, Behzadifar, Masoud, Behzadifar, Meysam, B&#233, jot, Yannick, Bekele, Bayu Begashaw, Belachew, Abate Bekele, Belay, Aregawi Gebreyesus, Belay, Ezra, Belay, Saba Abraham, Belay, Yihalem Abebe, Bell, Michelle L, Bello, Aminu K, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhane, Adugnaw, Berman, Adam E, Bernabe, Eduardo, Bernstein, Robert S, Bertolacci, Gregory J, Beuran, Mircea, Beyranvand, Tina, Bhala, Neeraj, Bhatia, Eesh, Bhatt, Samir, Bhattarai, Suraj, Bhaumik, Soumyadeeep, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Biadgo, Belete, Bijani, Ali, Bikbov, Boris, Bililign, Nigus, Bin Sayeed, Muhammad Shahdaat, Birlik, Sait Mentes, Birungi, Charles, Bisanzio, Donal, Biswas, Tuhin, Bj&#248, rge, Tone, Bleyer, Archie, Basara, Berrak Bora, Bose, Dipan, Bosetti, Cristina, Boufous, Soufiane, Bourne, Rupert, Brady, Oliver J, Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi, Brant, Luisa C, Brazinova, Alexandra, Breitborde, Nicholas J K, Brenner, Hermann, Britton, Gabrielle, Brugha, Traolach, Burke, Kristin E, Busse, Reinhard, Butt, Zahid A, Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero, Callender, Charlton S K H, Campos-Nonato, Ismael R, Campuzano Rincon, Julio Cesar, Cano, Jorge, Car, Mate, C&#225, rdenas, Rosario, Carreras, Giulia, Carrero, Juan J, Carter, Austin, Carvalho, F&#233, lix, Casta&#241, eda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Castillo Rivas, Jacqueline, Castro, Franz, Catal&#225, L&#243, pez, Ferr&#225, n, 199, avlin, Alanur, Cerin, Ester, Chaiah, Yazan, Champs, Ana Paula, Chang, Hsing-Yi, Chang, Jung-Chen, Chattopadhyay, Aparajita, Chaturvedi, Pankaj, Chen, Wanqing, Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia, Chimed-Ochir, Odgerel, Chin, Ken Lee, Chisumpa, Vesper Hichilombwe, Chitheer, Abdulaal, Choi, Jee-Young J, Christensen, Hanne, Christopher, Devasahayam J, Chung, Sheng-Chia, Cicuttini, Flavia M, Ciobanu, Liliana G, Cirillo, Massimo, Claro, Rafael M, Cohen, Aaron J, Collado-Mateo, Daniel, Constantin, Maria-Magdalena, Conti, Sara, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Leslie Trumbull, Cortesi, Paolo Angelo, Cortinovis, Monica, Cousin, Ewerton, Criqui, Michael H, Cromwell, Elizabeth A, Crowe, Christopher Stephen, Crump, John A, Cucu, Alexandra, Cunningham, Matthew, Daba, Alemneh Kabeta, Dachew, Berihun Assefa, Dadi, Abel Fekadu, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Dang, Anh Kim, Dargan, Paul I, Daryani, Ahmad, Das, Siddharth K, Das Gupta, Rajat, das Neves, Jos&#233, Dasa, Tamirat Tesfaye, Dash, Aditya Prasad, Weaver, Nicole Davis, Davitoiu, Dragos Virgil, Davletov, Kairat, Dayama, Anand, Courten, Barbora de, De la Hoz, Fernando Pio, De leo, Diego, De Neve, Jan-Walter, Degefa, Meaza Girma, Degenhardt, Louisa, Degfie, Tizta T, Deiparine, Selina, Dellavalle, Robert P, Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam, Demtsu, Balem Betsu, Denova-Guti&#233, rrez, Edgar, Deribe, Kebede, Dervenis, Nikolaos, Des Jarlais, Don C, Dessie, Getenet Ayalew, Dey, Subhojit, Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda, Dhimal, Meghnath, Ding, Eric L, Djalalinia, Shirin, Doku, David Teye, Dolan, Kate A, Donnelly, Christl A, Dorsey, E Ray, Douwes-Schultz, Dirk, Doyle, Kerrie E, Drake, Thomas M, Driscoll, Tim Robert, Dubey, Manisha, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Duken, Eyasu Ejeta, Duncan, Bruce B, Duraes, Andre R, Ebrahimi, Hedyeh, Ebrahimpour, Soheil, Edessa, Dumessa, Edvardsson, David, Eggen, Anne Elise, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa, Elfaramawi, Mohammed, El-Khatib, Ziad, Ellingsen, Christian Lycke, Elyazar, Iqbal R F, Enayati, Ahmadali, Endries, Aman Yesuf Yesuf, Benjamin, Er, Ermakov, Sergey Petrovich, Eshrati, Babak, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Esmaeili, Reza, Esteghamati, Alireza, Esteghamati, Sadaf, Fakhar, Mahdi, Fakhim, Hamed, Farag, Tamer, Faramarzi, Mahbobeh, Fareed, Mohammad, Farhadi, Farzaneh, Farid, Talha A, Farinha, Carla Sofia e S&#225, Farioli, Andrea, Faro, Andre, Farvid, Maryam S, Farzadfar, Farshad, Farzaei, Mohammad Hosein, Fazeli, Mir Sohail, Feigin, Valery L, Feigl, Andrea B, Feizy, Fariba, Fentahun, Netsanet, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fernandes, Eduarda, Fernandes, Joao C, Feyissa, Garumma Tolu, Fijabi, Daniel Obadare, Filip, Irina, Finegold, Samuel, Fischer, Florian, Flor, Luisa Sorio, Foigt, Nataliya A, Ford, John A, Foreman, Kyle J, Fornari, Carla, Frank, Tahvi D, Franklin, Richard Charles, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Fuller, John E, Fullman, Nancy, F&#252, rst, Thomas, Furtado, Jo&#227, o M, Futran, Neal D, Galan, Adriana, Gallus, Silvano, Gambashidze, Ketevan, Gamkrelidze, Amiran, Gankpe, Fortune Gbetoho, Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto L, Garcia-Gordillo, Miguel A, Gebre, Teshome, Gebre, Abadi Kahsu, Gebregergs, Gebremedhin Berhe, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Gebremedhin, Amanuel Tesfay, Gelano, Tilayie Feto, Gelaw, Yalemzewod Assefa, Geleijnse, Johanna M, Genova-Maleras, Ricard, Gessner, Bradford D, Getachew, Sefonias, Gething, Peter W, Gezae, Kebede Embaye, Ghadami, Mohammad Rasoul, Ghadimi, Reza, Ghasemi Falavarjani, Khalil, Ghasemi-Kasman, Maryam, Ghiasvand, Hesam, Ghimire, Mamata, Ghoshal, Aloke Gopal, Gill, Paramjit Singh, Gill, Tiffany K, Gillum, Richard F, Giussani, Giorgia, Goenka, Shifalika, Goli, Srinivas, Gomez, Ricardo Santiago, Gomez-Cabrera, Mari Carmen, G&#243, mez-Dant&#233, s, Hector, Gona, Philimon N, Goodridge, Amador, Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Goto, Atsushi, Goulart, Alessandra C, Goulart, B&#225, rbara Niegia Garcia, Grada, Ayman, Grosso, Giuseppe, Gugnani, Harish Chander, Guimaraes, Andre Luiz Sena, Guo, Yuming, Gupta, Prakash C, Gupta, Rahul, Gupta, Rajeev, Gupta, Tanush, Gyawali, Bishal, Haagsma, Juanita A, Hachinski, Vladimir, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Hagos, Tekleberhan B, Hailegiyorgis, Tewodros Tesfa, Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa, Haj-Mirzaian, Arya, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Hamadeh, Randah R, Hamidi, Samer, Handal, Alexis J, Hankey, Graeme J, Harb, Hilda L, Harikrishnan, Sivadasanpillai, Haririan, Hamidreza, Haro, Josep Maria, Hasan, Mehedi, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hay, Roderick J, Hay, Simon I, Yihua, He, Hedayatizadeh-Omran, Akbar, Hegazy, Mohamed I, Heibati, Behzad, Heidari, Mohsen, Hendrie, Delia, Henok, Andualem, Henry, Nathaniel J, Heredia-Pi, Ileana, Herteliu, Claudiu, Heydarpour, Fatemeh, Heydarpour, Pouria, Heydarpour, Sousan, Hibstu, Desalegn Tsegaw, Hoek, Hans W, Hole, Michael K, Homaie Rad, Enayatollah, Hoogar, Praveen, Horino, Masako, Hosgood, H Dean, Hosseini, Seyed Mostafa, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Hostiuc, Sorin, Hostiuc, Mihaela, Hotez, Peter J, Hoy, Damian G, Hsairi, Mohamed, Htet, Aung Soe, Guoqing, Hu, Huang, John J, Husseini, Abdullatif, Hussen, Mohammedaman Mama, Hutfless, Susan, Iburg, Kim Moesgaard, Igumbor, Ehimario U, Ikeda, Chad Thomas, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Iqbal, Usman, Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi, Isehunwa, Oluwaseyi Oluwakemi, Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful, Islami, Farhad, Jahangiry, Leila, Jahanmehr, Nader, Jain, Rajesh, Jain, Sudhir Kumar, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, James, Spencer L, Javanbakht, Mehdi, Jayaraman, Sudha, Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra, Jee, Sun Ha, Jeemon, Panniyammakal, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Jha, Vivekanand, John S, Ji, Johnson, Sarah Charlotte, Jonas, Jost B, Joshi, Ankur, Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Jungari, Suresh Banayya, J&#252, risson, Mikk, Madhanraj, K, Kabir, Zubair, Kadel, Rajendra, Kahsay, Amaha, Kahssay, Molla, Kalani, Rizwan, Kapil, Umesh, Karami, Manoochehr, Karami Matin, Behzad, Karch, Andr&#233, Karema, Corine, Karimi, Narges, Karimi, Seyed M, Karimi-Sari, Hamidreza, Kasaeian, Amir, Kassa, Getachew Mullu, Kassa, Tesfaye Dessale, Kassa, Zemenu Yohannes, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Katibeh, Marzieh, Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal, Kaul, Anil, Kawakami, Norito, Kazemeini, Hossein, Kazemi, Zhila, Karyani, Ali Kazemi, K C, Prakash, Kebede, Seifu, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Kemp, Grant Rodgers, Kengne, Andre Pascal, Keren, Andre, Kereselidze, Maia, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif, Khajavi, Alireza, Khalid, Nauman, Khalil, Ibrahim A, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Gulfaraz, Khan, Muhammad Shahzeb, Khan, Muhammad Ali, Khang, Young-Ho, Khanna, Tripti, Khater, Mona M, Khatony, Alireza, Khazaie, Habibolah, Khoja, Abdullah T, Khosravi, Ardeshir, Khosravi, Mohammad Hossein, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar A, Kibret, Getiye D Dejenu, Kim, Cho-il, Kim, Daniel, Kim, Jun Y, Kim, Young-Eun, Kimokoti, Ruth W, Kinfu, Yohannes, Kinra, Sanjay, Kisa, Adnan, Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna, Kissoon, Niranjan, Kivim&#228, ki, Mika, Kleber, Marcus E, Knibbs, Luke D, Knudsen, Ann Kristin Skrindo, Kochhar, Sonali, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Kolola, Tufa, Kopec, Jacek A, Kosek, Margaret N, Kosen, Soewarta, Koul, Parvaiz A, Koyanagi, Ai, Kravchenko, Michael A, Krishan, Kewal, Krishnaswami, Sanjay, Kuate Defo, Barthelemy, Kucuk Bicer, Burcu, Kudom, Andreas A, Kuipers, Ernst J, Kulikoff, Xie Rachel, Kumar, G Anil, Kumar, Manasi, Kumar, Pushpendra, Kumsa, Fekede Asefa, Kutz, Michael J, Lad, Sheetal D, Lafranconi, Alessandra, Lal, Dharmesh Kumar, Lalloo, Ratilal, Lam, Hilton, Lami, Faris Hasan, Lan, Qing, Langan, Sin&#233, ad M, Lansingh, Van C, Lansky, Sonia, Larson, Heidi Jane, Laryea, Dennis Odai, Lassi, Zohra S, Latifi, Arman, Lavados, Pablo M, Laxmaiah, Avula, Lazarus, Jeffrey V, Lebedev, Georgy, Lee, Paul H, Leigh, James, Leshargie, Cheru Tesema, Leta, Samson, Levi, Miriam, Shanshan, Li, Yichong, Li, Xiaohong, Li, Liang, Juan, Liang, Xiaofeng, Liben, Misgan Legesse, Lim, Lee-Ling, Lim, Stephen S, Limenih, Miteku Andualem, Linn, Shai, Liu, Shiwei, Liu, Yang, Lodha, Rakesh, Logroscino, Giancarlo, Lonsdale, Chris, Lorch, Scott A, Lorkowski, Stefan, Lotufo, Paulo A, Lozano, Rafael, Lucas, Tim C D, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Lyons, Ronan A, Stefan, Ma, Mabika, Crispin, Macarayan, Erlyn Rachelle King, Mackay, Mark T, Maddison, Emilie R, Maddison, Ralph, Madotto, Fabiana, Magdy Abd El Razek, Hassan, Magdy Abd El Razek, Muhammed, Maghavani, Dhaval P, Majdan, Marek, Majdzadeh, Reza, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Malik, Manzoor Ahmad, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Mamun, Abdullah A, Manamo, Wondimu Ayele, Manda, Ana-Laura, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Mantovani, Lorenzo Giovanni, Mapoma, Chabila Christopher, Marami, Dadi, Maravilla, Joemer C, Marcenes, Wagner, Marina, Shakhnazarova, Martinez-Raga, Jose, Martins, Sheila C O, Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerl&#226, ndio, M&#228, rz, Winfried, Marzan, Melvin B, Mashamba-Thompson, Tivani Phosa, Masiye, Felix, Massenburg, Benjamin Ballard, Maulik, Pallab K, Mazidi, Mohsen, McGrath, John J, McKee, Martin, Mehata, Suresh, Mehendale, Sanjay Madhav, Mehndiratta, Man Mohan, Mehrotra, Ravi, Mehta, Kala M, Mehta, Varshil, Mekonen, Tesfa, Mekonnen, Tefera Chane, Meles, Hagazi Gebre, Meles, Kidanu Gebremariam, Melese, Addisu, Melku, Mulugeta, Memiah, Peter T N, Memish, Ziad A, Mendoza, Walter, Mengistu, Desalegn Tadese, Mengistu, Getnet, Mensah, George A, Mereta, Seid Tiku, Meretoja, Atte, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Mestrovic, Tomislav, Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane, Miangotar, Yode, Miazgowski, Bartosz, Miazgowski, Tomasz, Miller, Ted R, Mini, G K, Mirica, Andreea, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M, Misganaw, Awoke Temesgen, Moazen, Babak, Moges, Nurilign Abebe, Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin, Mohammadi, Moslem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Mohammadi-Khanaposhtani, Maryam, Mohammadnia-Afrouzi, Mousa, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mohammed, Mohammed A, Mohan, Viswanathan, Mokdad, Ali H, Molokhia, Mariam, Monasta, Lorenzo, Moradi, Ghobad, 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Nirayo, Yirga Legesse, Nisar, Muhammad Imran, Nixon, Molly R, Nolutshungu, Nomonde, Nomura, Shuhei, Norheim, Ole F, Noroozi, Mehdi, Norrving, Bo, Noubiap, Jean Jacques, Nouri, Hamid Reza, Nourollahpour Shiadeh, Malihe, Nowroozi, Mohammad Reza, Nsoesie, Elaine O, Nyasulu, Peter S, Ofori-Asenso, Richard, Ogah, Okechukwu Samuel, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, In-Hwan, Oh, Okoro, Anselm, Oladimeji, Olanrewaju, Olagunju, Andrew T, Olagunju, Tinuke O, Olivares, Pedro R, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun, Ong, Sok King, Opio, John Nelson, Oren, Eyal, Ortiz, Justin R, Ortiz, Alberto, Ota, Erika, Otstavnov, Stanislav S, 216, verland, Simon, Owolabi, Mayowa Ojo, Oyekale, Abayomi Samuel, P A, Mahesh, Pacella, Rosana, Pakhale, Smita, Pakhare, Abhijit P, Pana, Adrian, Panda, Basant Kumar, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Pandey, Achyut Raj, Pandian, Jeyaraj Durai, Parisi, Andrea, Park, Eun-Kee, Parry, Charles D H, Parsian, Hadi, Patel, Shanti, Patle, Ajay, Patten, Scott B, Patton, George C, Paudel, Deepak, Pearce, Neil, Peprah, Emmanuel K, Pereira, Alexandre, Pereira, David M, Perez, Krystle M, Perico, Norberto, Pervaiz, Aslam, Pesudovs, Konrad, Petri, William A, Petzold, Max, Phillips, Michael R, Pigott, David M, Pillay, Julian David, Pirsaheb, Meghdad, Pishgar, Farhad, Plass, Dietrich, Polinder, Suzanne, Pond, Constance Dimity, Popova, Svetlana, Postma, Maarten J, Pourmalek, Farshad, Pourshams, Akram, Poustchi, Hossein, Prabhakaran, Dorairaj, Prakash, V, Prakash, Swayam, Prasad, Narayan, Qorbani, Mostafa, Quistberg, D Alex, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahim, Fakher, Rahimi, Kazem, Rahimi-Movaghar, Afarin, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Mahfuzar, Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rahman, Sajjad ur, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rajati, Fatemeh, Rajsic, Sasa, Raju, Sree Bhushan, Ram, Usha, Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal, Ranjan, Prabhat, Ranta, Anna, Rasella, Davide, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Ray, Sarah E, Razo-Garc&#237, a, Christian, Rego, Maria Albertina Santiago, Rehm, J&#252, rgen, Reiner, Robert C, Reinig, Nickolas, Reis, Cesar, Remuzzi, Giuseppe, Renzaho, Andre M N, Resnikoff, Serge, Rezaei, Satar, Rezaeian, Shahab, Rezai, Mohammad Sadegh, Riahi, Seyed Mohammad, Ribeiro, Antonio Luiz P, Riojas, Horacio, Rios-Blancas, Maria Jesus, Roba, Kedir Teji, Robinson, Stephen R, Roever, Leonardo, Ronfani, Luca, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Roshchin, Denis O, Rostami, Ali, Rothenbacher, Dietrich, Rubagotti, Enrico, Ruhago, George Mugambage, Saadat, Soheil, Sabde, Yogesh Damodar, Sachdev, Perminder S, Saddik, Basema, Sadeghi, Ehsan, Moghaddam, Sahar Saeedi, Safari, Hosein, Safari, Yahya, Safari-Faramani, Roya, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safi, Sare, Safiri, Saeid, Sagar, Rajesh, Sahebkar, Amirhossein, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Sajadi, Haniye Sadat, Salahshoor, Mohamadreza, Salam, Nasir, Salama, Joseph S, Salamati, Payman, Saldanha, Raphael de Freitas, Salimi, Yahya, Salimzadeh, Hamideh, Salz, Inbal, Sambala, Evanson Zondani, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan, Sanchez-Ni&#241, o, Maria Dolores, Santos, Itamar S, Santos, Jo&#227, o Vasco, Santric Milicevic, Milena M, Sao Jose, Bruno Piassi, Sardana, Mayank, Sarker, Abdur Razzaque, Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Sartorius, Benn, Sarvi, Shahabeddin, Sathian, Brijesh, Satpathy, Maheswar, Savic, Miloje, Sawant, Arundhati R, Sawhney, Monika, Saxena, Sonia, Sayyah, Mehdi, Scaria, Vinod, Schaeffner, Elke, Schelonka, Kathryn, Schmidt, Maria In&#234, s, Schneider, Ione J C, Sch&#246, ttker, Ben, Schutte, Aletta Elisabeth, Schwebel, David C, Schwendicke, Falk, Scott, James G, Sekerija, Mario, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Serv&#225, n-Mori, Edson, Shabaninejad, Hosein, Shackelford, Katya Anne, Shafieesabet, Azadeh, Shaheen, Amira A, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shakir, Raad A, Shams-Beyranvand, Mehran, Shamsi, MohammadBagher, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Sharafi, Heidar, Sharafi, Kiomars, Sharif, Mehdi, Sharif-Alhoseini, Mahdi, Sharma, Meenakshi, Sharma, Jayendra, Sharma, Rajesh, She, Jun, Sheikh, Aziz, Sheth, Kevin N, Shi, Peilin, 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Sutradhar, Ipsita, Sykes, Bryan L, Sylaja, P N, Sylte, Dillon O, Szoeke, Cassandra E I, Tabar&#233, s-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tabuchi, Takahiro, Tadakamadla, Santosh Kumar, Takahashi, Ken, Tandon, Nikhil, Tassew, Aberash Abay, Tassew, Segen Gebremeskel, Tavakkoli, Mohammad, Taveira, Nuno, Tawye, Nega Yimer, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Tekalign, Tigist Gashaw, Tekle, Merhawi Gebremedhin, Temesgen, Habtamu, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Temsah, Omar, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Teshale, Manaye Yihune, Tessema, Belay, Teweldemedhin, Mebrahtu, Thakur, Jarnail Singh, Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Raman, Thirunavukkarasu, Sathish, Thomas, Laura Anne, Thomas, Nihal, Thrift, Amanda G, Tilahun, Binyam, Quyen G, To, Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan, Tonelli, Marcello, Topor-Madry, Roman, Topouzis, Fotis, Torre, Anna E, Tortajada-Girb&#233, s, Miguel, Tovani-Palone, Marcos Roberto, Towbin, Jeffrey A, Tran, Bach Xuan, Tran, Khanh Bao, Tripathi, Suryakant, Tripathy, Srikanth Prasad, Truelsen, Thomas Clement, Truong, Nu Thi, Tsadik, Afewerki Gebremeskel, Tsilimparis, Nikolaos, Tudor Car, Lorainne, Tuzcu, E Murat, Tyrovolas, Stefanos, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Ullah, Irfan, Usman, Muhammad Shariq, Uthman, Olalekan A, Uzun, Selen Beg&#252, m, Vaduganathan, Muthiah, Vaezi, Afsane, Vaidya, Gaurang, Valdez, Pascual R, Varavikova, Elena, Varughese, Santosh, Vasankari, Tommi Juhani, Vasconcelos, Ana Maria Nogales, Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy, Vidavalur, Ramesh, Villafaina, Santos, Violante, Francesco S, Vladimirov, Sergey Konstantinovitch, Vlassov, Vasily, Vollset, Stein Emil, Vos, Theo, Vosoughi, Kia, Vujcic, Isidora S, Wagner, Gregory R, Wagnew, Fasil Wagnew Shiferaw, Waheed, Yasir, Wang, Yanping, Wang, Yuan-Pang, Wassie, Molla Mesele, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Weintraub, Robert G, Weiss, Daniel J, Weiss, Jordan, Weldegebreal, Fitsum, Weldegwergs, Kidu Gidey, Werdecker, Andrea, Westerman, Ronny, Whiteford, Harvey A, Widecka, Justyna, Widecka, Katarzyna, Wijeratne, Tissa, Winkler, Andrea Sylvia, Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Wolfe, Charles D A, Wondemagegn, Sintayehu Ambachew, Shouling, Wu, Wyper, Grant M A, Gelin, Xu, Yadav, Rajaram, Yakob, Bereket, Yamada, Tomohide, Yan, Lijing L, Yano, Yuichiro, Yaseri, Mehdi, Yasin, Yasin Jemal, Pengpeng, Ye, Yearwood, Jamal A, Yent&#252, r, G&#246, kalp Kadri, Yeshaneh, Alex, Yimer, Ebrahim M, Yip, Paul, Yisma, Engida, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, York, Hunter W, Yotebieng, Marcel, Younis, Mustafa Z, Yousefifard, Mahmoud, Chuanhua, Yu, Zachariah, Geevar, Zadnik, Vesna, Zafar, Shamsa, Zaidi, Zoubida, Zaman, Sojib Bin, Zamani, Mohammad, Zare, Zohreh, Zeeb, Hajo, Zeleke, Mulugeta Molla, Zenebe, Zerihun Menlkalew, Zerfu, Taddese Alemu, Zhang, Kai, Zhang, Xueying, Zhou, Maigeng, Zhu, Jun, Zodpey, Sanjay, Zucker, Inbar, Zuhlke, Liesl Joanna J, Lopez, Alan D, Gakidou, Emmanuela, and Murray, Christopher J L
Subjects: mortality, life expectancy, global burden of disease
Published: 2018

43. The global burden of tuberculosis: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015'

Author: Murray, Christopher J. L., Kyu, Hmwe H., Maddison, Emilie R., Henry, Nathaniel J., Mumford, John Everett, Barber, Ryan, Shields, Chloe, Brown, Jonathan C., Nguyen, Grant, Carter, Austin, Wolock, Timothy M., Wang, Haidong, Liu, Patrick Y., Reitsma, Marissa, Ross, Jennifer M., Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbas, Kaja, Abera, Mubarek, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Hareri, Habtamu Abera, Ahmed, Muktar, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amo-Adjei, Joshua, Andrews, Jason, Ansari, Hossein, Antonio, Carl Abelardo, Anwari, Palwasha, Asayesh, Hamid, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Atre, Sachin, Barac, Aleksandra, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, Neeraj, Bensenor, Isabela, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Butt, Zahid Ahmad, Cardona, Pere-Joan, Christopher, Devasahayam, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Deribe, Kebede, Deribew, Amare, Ehrenkranz, Rebecca, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Endries, Aman, Feyissa, Tesfaye R., Fischer, Florian, Gai, Ruoyan, Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto L., Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Gesesew, Hailay, Getahun, Belete, Gona, Philimon, Goodridge, Amador, Gugnani, Harish, Haghparast-Bidgoli, Hassan, Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Hilawe, Esayas, Horita, Nobuyuki, Jacobsen, Kathryn H., Jonas, Jost B., Kasaeian, Amir, Kedir, Muktar Sano, Kemmer, Laura, Khader, Yousef, Khan, Ejaz, Khang, Young-Ho, Khoja, Abdullah T., Kim, Yun Jin, Koul, Parvaiz, Koyanagi, Ai, Krohn, Kristopher J., Kumar, G. Anil, Kutz, Michael, Lodha, Rakesh, Magdy, Hassan, El Razek, Abd, Majdzadeh, Reza, Manyazewal, Tsegahun, Memish, Ziad, Mendoza, Walter, Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane, Mohammed, Shafiu, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In-Hwan, Oren, Eyal, Osgood-Zimmerman, Aaron, Pereira, David, Plass, Dietrich, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qorbani, Mostafa, Rafay, Anwar, Rahman, Mahfuzar, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rao, Puja C., Ray, Sarah E., Reiner, Robert, Reinig, Nickolas, Safiri, Saeid, Salomon, Joshua A., Sandar, Logan, Sartorius, Benn, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Shey, Muki, Shifti, Desalegn Markos, Shore, Hirbo, Singh, Jasvinder, Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T., Swaminathan, Soumya, Swartz, Scott J., Tadese, Fentaw, Tedla, Bemnet Amare, Tegegne, Balewgizie Sileshi, Tessema, Belay, Topor-Madry, Roman, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Uthman, Olalekan A., Vlassov, Vasiliy, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wakayo, Tolassa, Weldegebreal, Solomon, Westerman, Ronny, Workicho, Abdulhalik, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Yotebieng, Marcel, Naghavi, Mohsen, Hay, Simon I., and Vos, Theo
Subjects: Alcohol Drinking, Incidence, Smoking, HIV Infections, Smoking Prevention, Global Health, Article, Global Burden of Disease, Risk Factors, Diabetes Mellitus, Prevalence, Humans, Tuberculosis, Investments
Abstract: Background An understanding of the trends in tuberculosis incidence, prevalence, and mortality is crucial to tracking of the success of tuberculosis control programmes and identification of remaining challenges. We assessed trends in the fatal and non-fatal burden of tuberculosis over the past 25 years for 195 countries and territories. Methods We analysed 10 691 site-years of vital registration data, 768 site-years of verbal autopsy data, and 361 site-years of mortality surveillance data using the Cause of Death Ensemble model to estimate tuberculosis mortality rates. We analysed all available age-specific and sex-specific data sources, including annual case notifications, prevalence surveys, and estimated cause-specific mortality, to generate internally consistent estimates of incidence, prevalence, and mortality using DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool. We assessed how observed tuberculosis incidence, prevalence, and mortality differed from expected trends as predicted by the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator based on income per capita, average years of schooling, and total fertility rate. We also estimated tuberculosis mortality and disability-adjusted life-years attributable to the independent effects of risk factors including smoking, alcohol use, and diabetes. Findings Globally, in 2015, the number of tuberculosis incident cases (including new and relapse cases) was 10.2 million (95% uncertainty interval 9.2 million to 11.5 million), the number of prevalent cases was 10.1 million (9.2 million to 11.1 million), and the number of deaths was 1.3 million (1.1 million to 1.6 million). Among individuals who were HIV negative, the number of incident cases was 8.8 million (8.0 million to 9.9 million), the number of prevalent cases was 8.9 million (8.1 million to 9.7 million), and the number of deaths was 1.1 million (0.9 million to 1.4 million). Annualised rates of change from 2005 to 2015 showed a faster decline in mortality (-4.1% [-5.0 to -3.4]) than in incidence (-1.6% [-1.9 to -1.2]) and prevalence (-0.7% [-1.0 to -0.5]) among HIV-negative individuals. The SDI was inversely associated with HIV-negative mortality rates but did not show a clear gradient for incidence and prevalence. Most of Asia, eastern Europe, and sub-Saharan Africa had higher rates of HIV-negative tuberculosis burden than expected given their SDI. Alcohol use accounted for 11.4% (9.3-13.0) of global tuberculosis deaths among HIV-negative individuals in 2015, diabetes accounted for 10.6% (6.8-14.8), and smoking accounted for 7.8% (3.8-12.0). Interpretation Despite a concerted global effort to reduce the burden of tuberculosis, it still causes a large disease burden globally. Strengthening of health systems for early detection of tuberculosis and improvement of the quality of tuberculosis care, including prompt and accurate diagnosis, early initiation of treatment, and regular follow-up, are priorities. Countries with higher than expected tuberculosis rates for their level of sociodemographic development should investigate the reasons for lagging behind and take remedial action. Efforts to prevent smoking, alcohol use, and diabetes could also substantially reduce the burden of tuberculosis. Copyright (c) The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license.
Published: 2018

44. Maternal mortality and morbidity burden in the Eastern Mediterranean Region : findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, Ali H, Khalil, Ibrahim, Collison, Michael, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Charara, Raghid, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Afshin, Ashkan, Chew, Adrienne, Daoud, Farah, Krohn, Kristopher J, Colombara, Danny, Ehrenkranz, Rebecca, Kutz, Michael, Wang, Haidong, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmed, Kedir Yimam, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Al Lami, Faris Hasan, Alam, Khurshid, Alasfoor, Deena, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkaabi, Juma M, Al-Maskari, Fatma, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Anber, Nahla, Ansari, Hossein, Asayesh, Hamid, Asghar, Rana Jawad, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Ayele, Tadesse Awoke, Baernighausen, Till, Bacha, Umar, Barac, Aleksandra, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Baune, Bernhard T, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Geffen, David, Bedi, Neeraj, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhane, Adugnaw, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Boneya, Dube Jara, Borschmann, Rohan, Breitborde, Nicholas JK, Butt, Zahid A, Catala-Lopez, Ferran, Ciobanu, Liliana G, Danawi, Hadi, Deribew, Amare, Dharmaratne, Samath D, Doyle, Kerrie E, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Faraon, Emerito Jose Aquino, Faro, Andre, Farvid, Maryam S, Fekadu, Wubalem, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fischer, Florian, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Giref, Ababi Zergaw, Gishu, Melkamu Dedefo, Goulart, Alessandra Carvalho, Habtewold, Tesfa Dejenie, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hambisa, Mitiku Teshome, Hamidi, Samer, Maria Haro, Josep, Hassanvand, Mohammad Sadegh, Horita, Nobuyuki, Hsairi, Mohamed, Huang, Hsiang, Husseini, Abdullatif, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo B, James, Spencer Lewis, Jonas, Jost B, Kasaeian, Amir, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khoja, Abdullah Tawfih Abdullah, Khosravi, Ardeshir, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Daniel, Kim, Yun Jin, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Koyanagi, Ai, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Larson, Heidi J, Latif, Asma Abdul, Lee, Paul H, Leshargie, Cheru Tesema, Leung, Ricky, Lo, Loon-Tzian, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Abd El Razek, Hassan Magdy, Abd El Razek, Mohammed Magdy, Majdzadeh, Reza, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Martinez-Raga, Jose, Farid, Habibolah Masoudi, Mazidi, Mohsen, McGrath, John J, Memish, Ziad A, Mendoza, Walter, Mengesha, Melkamu Merid, Mengistie, Mubarek Abera, Mensah, George A, Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane, Miller, Ted R, Mitchell, Philip B, Mohammadi, Alireza, Mohammed, Shafiu, Obermeyer, Carla Makhlouf, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Palomares Castillo, Elizabeth, Papachristou, Christina, Patten, Scott B, Patton, George C, Pereira, David M, Pervaiz, Aslam, Phillips, Michael Robert, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qorbani, Mostafa, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Refaat, Amany H, Rezaei, Satar, Rezai, Mohammad Sadegh, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safiabadi, Mahdi, Safiri, Saeid, Sagar, Rajesh, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Salamati, Payman, Samy, Abdallah M, Sartorius, Benn, Saylan, Mete I, Seedat, Soraya, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Santos Silva, Diego Augusto, Singh, Jasvinder A, Sobaih, Badr HA, Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T, Stein, Dan J, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Sykes, Bryan L, Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael, Sufiyan, Muawiyyah, Tabb, Karen M, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Topor-Madry, Roman, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Uthman, Olalekan A, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wakayo, Tolassa, Wang, Yuan-Pang, Werdecker, Andrea, Westerman, Ronny, Workicho, Abdulhalik, Yaghoubi, Mohsen, Yimam, Hassen Hamid, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Younis, Mustafa Z, Yu, Chuanhua, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Jumaan, Aisha O, Vos, Theo, Hay, Simon I, Naghavi, Mohsen, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Murray, Christopher JL, Reg, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean, UCH. Departamento de Farmacia, Producción Científica UCH 2018, Mokdad, Ali H, Khalil, Ibrahim, Collison, Michael, El Bcheraou, Charbel, Ciobanu, Liliana G, and Murray, Christopher JL
Subjects: Adult, Burden of disease, Maternal mortality, medicine.medical_specialty, Health (social science), Psychological intervention, SAÚDE DA MULHER, Global Health, maternal health, Eastern Mediterranean Region, Global Burden of Disease, Middle East, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Environmental health, medicine, Global health, Journal Article, Humans, 030212 general & internal medicine, 030219 obstetrics & reproductive medicine, Mediterranean Region, maternal mortality, business.industry, Public health, Age Factors, 1. No poverty, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Reproductive life, 3. Good health, Eastern mediterranean, Pregnant women - Mortality - Eastern Mediterranean, Standardized mortality ratio, 1117 Public Health And Health Services, Life expectancy, Mujeres embarazadas - Mortalidad - Mediterráneo oriental (Región), Original Article, Female, Public Health, Maternal health, Morbidity, business
Abstract: Este artículo se encuentra disponible en la página web de la revista en la siguiente URL: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00038-017-1004-3 Este artículo forma parte del suplemento titulado "The state of health in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990-2015". Objectives Assessing the burden of maternal mortality is important for tracking progress and identifying public health gaps. This paper provides an overview of the burden of maternal mortality in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) by underlying cause and age from 1990 to 2015. Methods We used the results of the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to explore maternal mortality in the EMR countries. Results The maternal mortality ratio in the EMR decreased 16.3% from 283 (241–328) maternal deaths per 100,000 live births in 1990 to 237 (188–293) in 2015. Maternal mortality ratio was strongly correlated with socio-demographic status, where the lowest-income countries contributed the most to the burden of maternal mortality in the region. Conclusion Progress in reducing maternal mortality in the EMR has accelerated in the past 15 years, but the burden remains high. Coordinated and rigorous efforts are needed to make sure that adequate and timely services and interventions are available for women at each stage of reproductive life.
Published: 2018

45. Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2016: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study

Author: Christina, Fitzmaurice, Tomi F, Akinyemiju, Faris Hasan, Al Lami, Tahiya, Alam, Reza, Alizadeh-Navaei, Christine, Allen, Ubai, Alsharif, Nelson, Alvis-Guzman, Erfan, Amini, Benjamin O, Anderson, Olatunde, Aremu, Al, Artaman, Solomon Weldegebreal, Asgedom, Reza, Assadi, Tesfay Mehari, Atey, Leticia, Avila-Burgos, Ashish, Awasthi, Huda Omer, Ba Saleem, Aleksandra, Barac, James R, Bennett, Isabela M, Bensenor, Nickhill, Bhakta, Hermann, Brenner, Lucero, Cahuana-Hurtado, Carlos A, Castañeda-Orjuela, Ferrán, Catalá-López, Jee-Young Jasmine, Choi, Devasahayam Jesudas, Christopher, Sheng-Chia, Chung, Maria Paula, Curado, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Dandona, José, das Neves, Subhojit, Dey, Samath D, Dharmaratne, David Teye, Doku, Tim R, Driscoll, Manisha, Dubey, Hedyeh, Ebrahimi, Dumessa, Edessa, Ziad, El-Khatib, Aman Yesuf, Endries, Florian, Fischer, Lisa M, Force, Kyle J, Foreman, Solomon Weldemariam, Gebrehiwot, Sameer Vali, Gopalani, Giuseppe, Grosso, Rahul, Gupta, Bishal, Gyawali, Randah Ribhi, Hamadeh, Samer, Hamidi, James, Harvey, Hamid Yimam, Hassen, Roderick J, Hay, Simon I, Hay, Behzad, Heibati, Molla Kahssay, Hiluf, Nobuyuki, Horita, H Dean, Hosgood, Olayinka S, Ilesanmi, Kaire, Innos, Farhad, Islami, Mihajlo B, Jakovljevic, Sarah Charlotte, Johnson, Jost B, Jonas, Amir, Kasaeian, Tesfaye Dessale, Kassa, Yousef Saleh, Khader, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Gulfaraz, Khan, Young-Ho, Khang, Mohammad Hossein, Khosravi, Jagdish, Khubchandani, Jacek A, Kopec, G Anil, Kumar, Michael, Kutz, Deepesh Pravinkumar, Lad, Alessandra, Lafranconi, Qing, Lan, Yirga, Legesse, James, Leigh, Shai, Linn, Raimundas, Lunevicius, Azeem, Majeed, Reza, Malekzadeh, Deborah Carvalho, Malta, Lorenzo G, Mantovani, Brian J, McMahon, Toni, Meier, Yohannes Adama, Melaku, Mulugeta, Melku, Peter, Memiah, Walter, Mendoza, Tuomo J, Meretoja, Haftay Berhane, Mezgebe, Ted R, Miller, Shafiu, Mohammed, Ali H, Mokdad, Mahmood, Moosazadeh, Paula, Moraga, Seyyed Meysam, Mousavi, Vinay, Nangia, Cuong Tat, Nguyen, Vuong Minh, Nong, Felix Akpojene, Ogbo, Andrew Toyin, Olagunju, Mahesh, Pa, Eun-Kee, Park, Tejas, Patel, David M, Pereira, Farhad, Pishgar, Maarten J, Postma, Farshad, Pourmalek, Mostafa, Qorbani, Anwar, Rafay, Salman, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Gholamreza, Roshandel, Saeid, Safiri, Hamideh, Salimzadeh, Juan Ramon, Sanabria, Milena M, Santric Milicevic, Benn, Sartorius, Maheswar, Satpathy, Sadaf G, Sepanlou, Katya Anne, Shackelford, Masood Ali, Shaikh, Mahdi, Sharif-Alhoseini, Jun, She, Min-Jeong, Shin, Ivy, Shiue, Mark G, Shrime, Abiy Hiruye, Sinke, Mekonnen, Sisay, Amber, Sligar, Muawiyyah Babale, Sufiyan, Bryan L, Sykes, Rafael, Tabarés-Seisdedos, Gizachew Assefa, Tessema, Roman, Topor-Madry, Tung Thanh, Tran, Bach Xuan, Tran, Kingsley Nnanna, Ukwaja, Vasiliy Victorovich, Vlassov, Stein Emil, Vollset, Elisabete, Weiderpass, Hywel C, Williams, Nigus Bililign, Yimer, Naohiro, Yonemoto, Mustafa Z, Younis, Christopher J L, Murray, and Mohsen, Naghavi
Subjects: Male, Cancer Research, Incidence, Research, History, 20th Century, Global Health, History, 21st Century, Survival Analysis, Global Burden of Disease, Oncology, Neoplasms, Humans, Online First, Female, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Original Investigation
Abstract: This systematic analysis evaluates the cancer burden over time at the global and national levels measured in incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life-years., Key Points Question What is the cancer burden over time at the global and national levels measured in incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs)? Findings In this systematic analysis, in 2016 there were 17.2 million incident cancer cases, 8.9 million deaths, and 213.2 million DALYs due to cancer worldwide. Between 2006 and 2016, incident cases increased by 28%, with the largest increase occurring in the least developed countries. Meaning To achieve the Sustainable Development Goals as well as targets set in the World Health Organization Global Action Plan on noncommunicable diseases, cancer control planning and implementation as well as strategic investments are urgently needed., Importance The increasing burden due to cancer and other noncommunicable diseases poses a threat to human development, which has resulted in global political commitments reflected in the Sustainable Development Goals as well as the World Health Organization (WHO) Global Action Plan on Non-Communicable Diseases. To determine if these commitments have resulted in improved cancer control, quantitative assessments of the cancer burden are required. Objective To assess the burden for 29 cancer groups over time to provide a framework for policy discussion, resource allocation, and research focus. Evidence Review Cancer incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were evaluated for 195 countries and territories by age and sex using the Global Burden of Disease study estimation methods. Levels and trends were analyzed over time, as well as by the Sociodemographic Index (SDI). Changes in incident cases were categorized by changes due to epidemiological vs demographic transition. Findings In 2016, there were 17.2 million cancer cases worldwide and 8.9 million deaths. Cancer cases increased by 28% between 2006 and 2016. The smallest increase was seen in high SDI countries. Globally, population aging contributed 17%; population growth, 12%; and changes in age-specific rates, −1% to this change. The most common incident cancer globally for men was prostate cancer (1.4 million cases). The leading cause of cancer deaths and DALYs was tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer (1.2 million deaths and 25.4 million DALYs). For women, the most common incident cancer and the leading cause of cancer deaths and DALYs was breast cancer (1.7 million incident cases, 535 000 deaths, and 14.9 million DALYs). In 2016, cancer caused 213.2 million DALYs globally for both sexes combined. Between 2006 and 2016, the average annual age-standardized incidence rates for all cancers combined increased in 130 of 195 countries or territories, and the average annual age-standardized death rates decreased within that timeframe in 143 of 195 countries or territories. Conclusions and Relevance Large disparities exist between countries in cancer incidence, deaths, and associated disability. Scaling up cancer prevention and ensuring universal access to cancer care are required for health equity and to fulfill the global commitments for noncommunicable disease and cancer control.
Published: 2018

46. The burden of mental disorders in the Eastern Mediterranean region, 1990-2015 : findings from the global burden of disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, Ali H, Charara, Raghid, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Khalil, Ibrahim, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Afshin, Ashkan, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Collison, Michael, Krohn, Kristopher J, Chew, Adrienne, Daoud, Farah, Charlson, Fiona J, Colombara, Danny, Degenhardt, Louisa, Ehrenkranz, Rebecca, Erskine, Holly E, Ferrari, Alize J, Kutz, Michael, Leung, Janni, Santomauro, Damian, Wang, Haidong, Whiteford, Harvey A, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad, Ahmadi, Alireza, Yimam, Kedir, Beshir, Muktar, Al Lami, Faris Hasan, Alam, Khurshid, Alasfoor, Deena, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkaabi, Juma M, Al-Maskari, Fatma, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Anber, Nahla, Ansari, Hossein, Asayesh, Hamid, Asghar, Rana Jawad, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Ayele, Tadesse Awoke, Baernighausen, Till, Bacha, Umar, Barac, Aleksandra, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Baune, Bernhard T, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Drew, Charles R, Geffen, David, Bedi, Neeraj, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhane, Adugnaw, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Boneya, Dube Jara, Borschmann, Rohan, Breitborde, Nicholas JK, Butt, Zahid A, Catala-Lopez, Ferran, Ciobanu, Liliana G, Danawi, Hadi, Deribew, Amare, Dharmaratne, Samath D, Doyle, Kerrie E, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Faraon, Emerito Jose Aquino, Faro, Andre, Farvid, Maryam S, Fekadu, Wubalem, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fischer, Florian, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Giref, Ababi Zergaw, Gishu, Melkamu Dedefo, Carvalho, Alessandra, Habtewold, Tesfa Dejenie, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hambisa, Mitiku Teshome, Hamidi, Samer, Haro, Josep Maria, Hassanvand, Mohammad Sadegh, Horita, Nobuyuki, Hsairi, Mohamed, Huang, Hsiang, Husseini, Abdullatif, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo B, James, Spencer Lewis, Jonas, Jost B, Kasaeian, Amir, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khoja, Abdullah Tawfih Abdullah, Khosravi, Ardeshir, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Daniel, Kim, Yun Jin, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Koyanagi, Ai, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Larson, Heidi J, Latif, Asma Abdul, Lee, Paul H, Leshargie, Cheru Tesema, Leung, Ricky, Lo, Loon-Tzian, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Abd El Razek, Hassan Magdy, Abd El Razek, Mohammed Magdy, Majdzadeh, Reza, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Martinez-Raga, Jose, Farid, Habibolah Masoudi, Mazidi, Mohsen, McGrath, John J, Memish, Ziad A, Mendoza, Walter, Mengesha, Melkamu Merid, Mengistie, Mubarek Abera, Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane, Miller, Ted R, Mitchell, Philip B, Mohammadi, Alireza, Mohammed, Shafiu, Obermeyer, Carla Makhlouf, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Castillo, Elizabeth Palomares, Papachristou, Christina, Patten, Scott B, Patton, George C, Pervaiz, Aslam, Phillips, Michael Robert, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qorbani, Mostafa, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Refaat, Amany H, Rezaei, Satar, Rezai, Mohammad Sadegh, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safiabadi, Mahdi, Safiri, Saeid, Sagar, Rajesh, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Salamati, Payman, Samy, Abdallah M, Sartorius, Benn, Saylan, Mete I, Seedat, Soraya, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Silva, Diego Augusto Santos, Singh, Jasvinder A, Sobaih, Badr HA, Stein, Dan J, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Sykes, Bryan L, Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tabb, Karen M, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Topor-Madry, Roman, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Uthman, Olalekan A, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wakayo, Tolassa, Wang, Yuan-Pang, Werdecker, Andrea, Westerman, Ronny, Workicho, Abdulhalik, Yaghoubi, Mohsen, Yimam, Hassen Hamid, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Younis, Mustafa Z, Yu, Chuanhua, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Zein, Bassel, Jumaan, Aisha O, Vos, Theo, Hay, Simon I, Naghavi, Mohsen, Murray, Christopher JL, Reg, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean, UCH. Departamento de Farmacia, Producción Científica UCH 2018, Hay, S, Mokdad, Ali H, Charara, Raghid, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Khalil, Ibrahim, Ciobanu, Liliana G, and Murray, Christopher JL
Subjects: Male, Health (social science), Eastern Mediterranean region, Poison control, burden of disease, Global Health, Global Burden of Disease, Depression, Mental - Eastern Mediterranean, 0302 clinical medicine, Risk Factors, Global health, Medicine, 030212 general & internal medicine, Mental illness - Eastern Mediterranean, Mediterranean Region, Mental Disorders, Epidemiología psiquiátrica, Burden of disease, Middle Aged, 3. Good health, 1117 Public Health And Health Services, Anxiety, Original Article, Mental health, Female, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Public Health, medicine.symptom, mental health, Adult, Depressive disorders, medicine.medical_specialty, Adolescent, Anxiety - Eastern Mediterranean, Mental health - Eastern Mediterranean, Middle East, Young Adult, 03 medical and health sciences, anxiety disorders, Injury prevention, Journal Article, Humans, Depresión mental - Mediterráneo oriental (Región), Psychiatry, Disease burden, Aged, DEPRESSÃO, business.industry, Public health, Enfermedades mentales - Mediterráneo oriental (Región), Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Salud mental - Mediterráneo oriental (Región), Ansiedad - Mediterráneo oriental (Región), 030227 psychiatry, Quality-adjusted life year, Psychiatric epidemiology, depressive disorders, business, Anxiety disorders
Abstract: Este artículo se encuentra disponible en la página web de la revista en la siguiente URL: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00038-017-1006-1 Este artículo forma parte del suplemento titulado "The state of health in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990-2015". Objectives. Mental disorders are among the leading causes of nonfatal burden of disease globally. Methods. We used the global burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors study 2015 to examine the burden of mental disorders in the Eastern Mediterranean region (EMR). We defined mental disorders according to criteria proposed in the diagnostic and statistical manual of mental disorders IV and the 10th International Classification of Diseases. Results Mental disorders contributed to 4.7% (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 3.7–5.6%) of total disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), ranking as the ninth leading cause of disease burden. Depressive disorders and anxiety disorders were the third and ninth leading causes of nonfatal burden, respectively. Almost all countries in the EMR had higher age-standardized mental disorder DALYs rates compared to the global level, and in half of the EMR countries, observed mental disorder rates exceeded the expected values. Conclusions The burden of mental disorders in the EMR is higher than global levels, particularly for women. To properly address this burden, EMR governments should implement nationwide quality epidemiological surveillance of mental disorders and provide adequate prevention and treatment services.
Published: 2018

47. Diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, Ali H, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Khalil, Ibrahim, Charara, Raghid, Afshin, Ashkan, Wang, Haidong, Collison, Michael, Krohn, Kristopher J, Chew, Adrienne, Daoud, Farah, Blosser, Christopher D, Cornaby, Leslie, Foreman, Kyle J, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Kemmer, Laura, Kutz, Michael, Liu, Patrick, Zipkin, Ben, Arnlov, Johan, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmadieh, Hamid, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alasfoor, Deena, Ali, Raghib, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkaabi, Juma M, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amini, Erfan, Anber, Nahla, Anwari, Palwasha, Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Awasthi, Ashish, Azzopardi, Peter, Baernighausen, Till, Bacha, Umar, Barac, Aleksandra, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Drew, Charles R, Geffen, David, Bedi, Neeraj, Berhe, Derbew Fikadu, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Bikbov, Boris, Birhanu, Mulugeta M, Butt, Zahid A, Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero, Carpenter, David O, Carrero, Juan Jesus, Choi, Jee-Young Jasmine J, Danawi, Hadi, Dharmaratne, Samath D, Ding, Eric L, Djalalinia, Shirin, Doyle, Kerrie E, Ebrahimi, Hedyeh, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Esteghamati, Alireza, Farvid, Maryam S, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Feyissa, Tesfaye Regassa, Fischer, Florian, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Gona, Philimon N, Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Gyawali, Bishal, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hamidi, Samer, Horino, Masako, Hsairi, Mohamed, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo B, Jimenez-Corona, Aida, John, Denny, Jonas, Jost B, Kasaeian, Amir, Kengne, Andre Pascal, Ketema, Ezra Belay, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Kim, Daniel, Kim, Yun Jin, Kinfu, Yohannes, Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna A, Koyanagi, Ai, Larson, Heidi J, Larsson, Anders, Li, Yongmei, Lotufo, Paulo A, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Mazidi, Mohsen, Memish, Ziad A, Mendoza, Walter, Mengistie, Mubarek Abera, Mensah, George A, Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane, Miller, Ted R, Mohammed, Muktar Sano Kedir, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mueller, Ulrich O, Nagel, Gabriele, Nguyen, Cuong Tat, Nguyen, Quyen Le, Nong, Vuong Minh, Noubiap, Jean Jacques N, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Ortiz, Alberto, Ota, Erika, Patel, Tejas, Pearson-Stuttard, Jonathan, Perico, Norberto, Petzold, Max, Pishgar, Farhad, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qorbani, Mostafa, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rana, Saleem M, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Remuzzi, Giuseppe, Renzaho, Andre MNN, Rezaei, Satar, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Bacher, Dietrich Rothen, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safi, Sare, Safiri, Saeid, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Salamati, Payman, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan Ramon, Dolores Sanchez-Nino, Maria, Milicevic, Milena M Santric, Sartorius, Benn, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Santos Silva, Diego Augusto, Alves Silveira, Dayane Gabriele, Sobaih, Badr HA, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Topor-Madry, Roman, Tran, Bach Xuan, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Uthman, Olalekan A, van Boven, Job FM, Wakayo, Tolassa, Werdecker, Andrea, Workicho, Abdulhalik, Yaghoubi, Mohsen, Yano, Yuichiro, Yaseri, Mehdi, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Younis, Mustafa Z, Zhang, Anthony Lin, Jumaan, Aisha O, Vos, Theo, Naghavi, Mohsen, Hay, Simon I, Murray, Christopher JL, Reg, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean, Moradi-Lakeh, M, El Bcheraoui, C, Khalil, I, Ahmed, MB, Mokdad, AH, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Diabetes, Chronic Kidney Disease Collaborators, Real World Studies in PharmacoEpidemiology, -Genetics, -Economics and -Therapy (PEGET), and Value, Affordability and Sustainability (VALUE)
Subjects: Diabetes, Chronic kidney disease, Burden of disease, Eastern Mediterranean Region, Health (social science), Mediterranean Region/epidemiology, Psychological intervention, Eastern Mediterranean region, Eastern, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, burden of disease, Global Health, Global Burden of Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, SAUDI-ARABIA, WORLD, Health care, Global health, Prevalence, 030212 general & internal medicine, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/economics, diabetes, Mediterranean Region, Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology, MORTALIDADE, Diabetes Complications/economics, 1117 Public Health And Health Services, Original Article, Public Health, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, INTERVENTIONS, KINGDOM, medicine.medical_specialty, Middle East/epidemiology, Global Burden of Disease/statistics & numerical data, Diabetes Complications, Middle East, 03 medical and health sciences, DIETARY, Diabetes mellitus, Diabetes Mellitus, medicine, Humans, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic, Diabetes Mellitus/economics, Intensive care medicine, METAANALYSIS, business.industry, MORTALITY, Klinisk medicin, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, medicine.disease, PREVENTION, Quality-adjusted life year, Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi, Eastern mediterranean, HEALTH-CARE, RISK-FACTORS, Physical therapy, Clinical Medicine, business, chronic kidney disease, Kidney disease
Abstract: Objectives We used findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to update our previous publication on the burden of diabetes and chronic kidney disease due to diabetes (CKD-DM) during 1990–2015. Methods We extracted GBD 2015 estimates for prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of diabetes (including burden of low vision due to diabetes, neuropathy, and amputations and CKD-DM for 22 countries of the EMR from the GBD visualization tools. Results In 2015, 135,230 (95% UI 123,034–148,184) individuals died from diabetes and 16,470 (95% UI 13,977–18,961) from CKD-DM, 216 and 179% increases, respectively, compared to 1990. The total number of people with diabetes was 42.3 million (95% UI 38.6–46.4 million) in 2015. DALY rates of diabetes in 2015 were significantly higher than the expected rates based on Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Conclusions Our study showed a large and increasing burden of diabetes in the region. There is an urgency in dealing with diabetes and its consequences, and these efforts should be at the forefront of health prevention and promotion. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00038-017-1014-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Published: 2018

48. International Journal of Public Health

Author: Mokdad, Ali H, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Wang, Haidong, Charara, Raghid, Khalil, Ibrahim, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Afshin, Ashkan, Collison, Michael, Daoud, Farah, Chew, Adrienne, Krohn, Kristopher J, Carter, Austin, Foreman, Kyle J, He, Fei, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Kutz, Michael, Mirarefin, Mojde, Nguyen, Grant, Silpakit, Naris, Sligar, Amber, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Adane, Kelemework, Agarwal, Arnav, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Al Lami, Faris Hasan, Alam, Khurshid, Alasfoor, Deena, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Al-Maskari, Fatma, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Ammar, Walid, Anber, Nahla, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Asayesh, Hamid, Asghar, Rana Jawad, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Ayele, Tadesse Awoke, Azzopardi, Peter, Bacha, Umar, Barac, Aleksandra, Baernighausen, Till, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Geffen, David, Bedi, Neeraj, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhane, Adugnaw, Bessong, Pascal Obong, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Birungi, Charles, Butt, Zahid A, Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero, Danawi, Hadi, das Neves, Jose, Deribe, Kebede, Deribew, Amare, Jarlais, Don C Des, Dharmaratne, Samath D, Djalalinia, Shirin, Doyle, Kerrie E, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Eshrati, Babak, Faraon, Emerito Jose Aquino, Farvid, Maryam S, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Feyissa, Tesfaye Regassa, Fischer, Florian, Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto L, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Gesesew, Hailay Abrha, Gishu, Melkamu Dedefo, Glaser, Elizabeth, Gona, Philimon N, Gugnani, Harish Chander, Gupta, Rahul, Bidgoli, Hassan Haghparast, Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hambisa, Mitiku Teshome, Hamidi, Samer, Harb, Hilda L, Hareri, Habtamu Abera, Horita, Nobuyuki, Husseini, Abdullatif, Ibrahim, Ahmed, James, Spencer Lewis, Jonas, Jost B, Kasaeian, Amir, Kassaw, Nigussie Assefa, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Gulfaraz, Khoja, Abdullah Tawfih Abdullah, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Yun Jin, Koyanagi, Ai, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Larson, Heidi J, Latif, Asma Abdul, Leshargie, Cheru Tesema, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Abd El Razek, Mohammed Magdy, Majdzadeh, Reza, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Manyazewal, Tsegahun, Markos, Desalegn, Farid, Habibolah Masoudi, Mehari, Alem, Mekonnen, Alemayehu B, Memiah, Peter, Memish, Ziad A, Mendoza, Walter, Mengesha, Melkamu Merid, Mengistu, Desalegn Tadese, Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane, Mhimbira, Francis Apolinary, Miller, Ted R, Moore, Ami R, Mumtaz, Ghina R, Natarajan, Gopalakrishnan, Negin, Joel, Obermeyer, Carla Makhlouf, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In-Hwan, Ota, Erika, Pereira, David M, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qorbani, Mostafa, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Ram, Usha, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Renzaho, Andre MN, Rezaei, Satar, Rezai, Mohammad Sadegh, Roba, Hirbo Shore, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safiri, Saeid, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Salamati, Payman, Samy, Abdallah M, Sartorius, Benn, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Sibamo, Ephrem Lejore Sibamo, Singh, Jasvinder A, Sobaih, Badr HA, Soshnikov, Sergey, Sufiyan, Muawiyyah Babale, Sykes, Bryan L, Taveira, Nuno, Tegegne, Teketo Kassaw, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Tekelab, Tesfalidet, Shifa, Girma Temam, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Tesssema, Belay, Topor-Madry, Roman, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Uthman, Olalekan A, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wadilo, Fiseha, Wakayo, Tolassa, Alebachew, Minyahil, Workicho, Abdulhalik, Workie, Shimelash Bitew, Yaghoubi, Mohsen, Yalew, Ayalnesh Zemene, Yimam, Hassen Hamid, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Yotebieng, Marcel, Younis, Mustafa Z, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Jumaan, Aisha O, Vos, Theo, Hay, Simon I, Naghavi, Mohsen, Murray, Christopher JL, Reg, GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean, and Instituto de Investigação e Inovação em Saúde
Subjects: Health (social science), HIV Infections, Global Health, Mediterranean Region / epidemiology, Global Burden of Disease, HIV Infections / epidemiology, 0302 clinical medicine, Prevalence, 030212 general & internal medicine, Global Burden of Disease / statistics & numerical data, education.field_of_study, HIV mortality, Mediterranean Region, Mortality rate, Burden of disease, MEDITERRÂNEO, 3. Good health, 1117 Public Health And Health Services, Original Article, Public Health, Life Expectancy / trends, 0305 other medical science, medicine.medical_specialty, Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome / epidemiology, Population, Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome / economics, Eastern Mediterranean Region, 03 medical and health sciences, Middle East, Life Expectancy, Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), medicine, Humans, Mortality, education, Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome, 030505 public health, business.industry, Public health, Body Weight, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, HIV, Sequela, medicine.disease, Years of potential life lost, Life expectancy, Morbidity, business, HIV Infections / economics, Demography, Middle East / epidemiology
Abstract: Objectives We used the results of the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to estimate trends of HIV/AIDS burden in Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) countries between 1990 and 2015. Methods Tailored estimation methods were used to produce final estimates of mortality. Years of life lost (YLLs) were calculated by multiplying the mortality rate by population by age-specific life expectancy. Years lived with disability (YLDs) were computed as the prevalence of a sequela multiplied by its disability weight. Results In 2015, the rate of HIV/AIDS deaths in the EMR was 1.8 (1.4–2.5) per 100,000 population, a 43% increase from 1990 (0.3; 0.2–0.8). Consequently, the rate of YLLs due to HIV/AIDS increased from 15.3 (7.6–36.2) per 100,000 in 1990 to 81.9 (65.3–114.4) in 2015. The rate of YLDs increased from 1.3 (0.6–3.1) in 1990 to 4.4 (2.7–6.6) in 2015. Conclusions HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality increased in the EMR since 1990. To reverse this trend and achieve epidemic control, EMR countries should strengthen HIV surveillance, and scale up HIV antiretroviral therapy and comprehensive prevention services. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00038-017-1023-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Published: 2017

49. Incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years and risk factors of cancer in Australia and comparison with OECD countries, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Author: Robert J. Adams, Yohannes Adama Melaku, Christina Fitzmaurice, Sarah Appleton, Zumin Shi, Tiffany K. Gill, Elizabeth Buckley, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Benjamin C Cowie, Tim Driscoll, Melaku, Yohannes Adama, Appleton, Sarah L, Gill, Tiffany K, Ogbo, Felix A, Buckley, Elizabeth, Shi, Zumin, Driscoll, Tim, Adams, Robert, Cowie, Benjamin C, and Fitzmaurice, Christina
Subjects: Male, Cancer Research, Time Factors, Epidemiology, Cost effectiveness, burden of disease, Global Health, Global Burden of Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, cancer risk factors, Risk Factors, burden of cancer, Neoplasms, Prevalence, Medicine, 030212 general & internal medicine, Child, Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development, Aged, 80 and over, Incidence (epidemiology), Incidence, Age Factors, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Survival Rate, Oncology, 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis, Child, Preschool, Female, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Risk assessment, Adult, Adolescent, Causes of cancer, 03 medical and health sciences, Young Adult, Sex Factors, Oecd, cancer, Humans, Disabled Persons, Mortality, Survival rate, Aged, Cancer Death Rate, business.industry, Australia, Cancer, medicine.disease, Attributable risk, business, Demography
Abstract: Background Comparative evidence on the burden, trend, and risk factors of cancer is limited. Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, we aimed to assess cancer burden – incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) – and attributable risk factors for Australia between 1990 and 2015, and to compare them with those of 34 members of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Methods The general GBD cancer estimation methods were used with data input from vital registration systems and cancer registries. A comparative risk assessment approach was used to estimate the population-attributable fractions due to risk factors. Results In 2015 there were 198,880 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 183,908–217,365) estimated incident cancer cases and 47,562 (95% UI: 46,061–49,004) cancer deaths in Australia. Twenty-nine percent (95% UI: 28.2–29.8) of total deaths and 17.0% (95% UI: 15.0–19.1) of DALYs were caused by cancer in Australia in 2015. Cancers of the trachea, bronchus and lung, colon and rectum, and prostate were the most common causes of cancer deaths. Thirty-six percent (95% UI: 33.1–37.9) of all cancer deaths were attributable to behavioral risks. The age-standardized cancer incidence rate (ASIR) increased between 1990 and 2015, while the age-standardized cancer death rate (ASDR) decreased over the same period. In 2015, compared to 34 other OECD countries Australia ranked first (highest) and 24th based on ASIR and ASDR, respectively. Conclusion The incidence of cancer has increased over 25 years, and behavioral risks are responsible for a large proportion of cancer deaths. Scaling up of prevention (using strategies targeting cancer risk factors), early detection, and treatment of cancer is required to effectively address this growing health challenge.
Published: 2017

50. Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Author: Wang, Haidong, Wolock, Tim M, Carter, Austin, Nguyen, Grant, Kyu, Hmwe Hmwe, Gakidou, Emmanuela, Hay, Simon I, Mills, Edward J, Trickey, Adam, Msemburi, William, Coates, Matthew M, Mooney, Meghan D, Fraser, Maya S, Sligar, Amber, Salomon, Joshua, Larson, Heidi J, Friedman, Joseph, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbas, Kaja M, Razek, Mohamed Magdy Abd El, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdulle, Abdishakur M, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Abubakar, Ibrahim, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M E, Abyu, Gebre Yitayih, Adebiyi, Akindele Olupelumi, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Adelekan, Ademola Lukman, Adofo, Koranteng, Adou, Arsène Kouablan, Ajala, Oluremi N, Akinyemiju, Tomi F, Akseer, Nadia, Lami, Faris Hasan Al, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore K M, Alasfoor, Deena, Aldhahri, Saleh Fahed S, Aldridge, Robert William, Alegretti, Miguel Angel, Aleman, Alicia V, Alemu, Zewdie Aderaw, Alfonso-Cristancho, Rafael, Ali, Raghib, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Mohammad, Rajaa, Al-Raddadi, Salem, Alsharif, Ubai, Alvarez, Elena, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amberbir, Alemayehu, Amegah, Adeladza Kofi, Ammar, Walid, Amrock, Stephen Marc, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Ärnlöv, Johan, Artaman, Al, Asayesh, Hamid, Asghar, Rana Jawad, Assadi, Reza, Atique, Suleman, Atkins, Lydia S, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Awasthi, Ashish, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Bacha, Umar, Badawi, Alaa, Barac, Aleksandra, Bärnighausen, Till, Basu, Arindam, Bayou, Tigist Assefa, Bayou, Yibeltal Tebekaw, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, Neeraj, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Betsu, Balem Demtsu, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhatia, Eesh, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Biadgilign, Sibhatu, Bikbov, Boris, Birlik, Sait Mentes, Bisanzio, Donal, Brainin, Michael, Brazinova, Alexandra, Breitborde, Nicholas J K, Brown, Alexandria, Burch, Michael, Butt, Zahid A, Campuzano, Julio Cesar, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carrero, Juan Jesus, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Rivas, Jacqueline Castillo, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Chang, Hsing-Yi, Chang, Jung-chen, Chavan, Laxmikant, Chen, Wanqing, Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia, Chibalabala, Mirriam, Chisumpa, Vesper Hichilombwe, Choi, Jee-Young Jasmine, Christopher, Devasahayam Jesudas, Ciobanu, Liliana G, Cooper, Cyrus, Dahiru, Tukur, Damtew, Solomon Abrha, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, das Neves, José, de Jager, Pieter, De Leo, Diego, Degenhardt, Louisa, Dellavalle, Robert P, Deribe, Kebede, Deribew, Amare, Des Jarlais, Don C, Dharmaratne, Samath D, Ding, Eric L, Doshi, Pratik Pinal, Doyle, Kerrie E, Driscoll, Tim R, Dubey, Manisha, Elshrek, Yousef Mohamed, Elyazar, Iqbal, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Ermakov, Sergey Petrovich, Eshrati, Babak, Esteghamati, Alireza, Faghmous, Imad D A, Farinha, Carla Sofia e Sa, Faro, Andre, Farvid, Maryam S, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fernandes, Joao C, Fischer, Florian, Fitchett, Joseph Robert Anderson, Foigt, Nataliya, Fullman, Nancy, Fürst, Thomas, Gankpé, Fortuné Gbètoho, Gebre, Teshome, Gebremedhin, Amanuel Tesfay, Gebru, Alemseged Aregay, Geleijnse, Johanna M, Gessner, Bradford D, Gething, Peter W, Ghiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Giroud, Maurice, Gishu, Melkamu Dedefo, Glaser, Elizabeth, Goenka, Shifalika, Goodridge, Amador, Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Goto, Atsushi, Gugnani, Harish Chander, Guimaraes, Mark D C, Gupta, Rahul, Gupta, Rajeev, Gupta, Vipin, Haagsma, Juanita, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Hagan, Holly, Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hamidi, Samer, Hammami, Mouhanad, Hankey, Graeme J, Hao, Yuantao, Harb, Hilda L, Harikrishnan, Sivadasanpillai, Haro, Josep Maria, Harun, Kimani M, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hedayati, Mohammad T, Heredia-Pi, Ileana Beatriz, Hoek, Hans W, Horino, Masako, Horita, Nobuyuki, Hosgood, H Dean, Hoy, Damian G, Hsairi, Mohamed, Hu, Guoqing, Huang, Hsiang, Huang, John J, Iburg, Kim Moesgaard, Idrisov, Bulat T, Innos, Kaire, Iyer, Veena J, Jacobsen, Kathryn H, Jahanmehr, Nader, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo B, Javanbakht, Mehdi, Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra, Jeemon, Panniyammakal, Jha, Vivekanand, Jiang, Guohong, Jiang, Ying, Jibat, Tariku, Jonas, Jost B, Kabir, Zubair, Kamal, Ritul, Kan, Haidong, Karch, André, Karema, Corine Kakizi, Karletsos, Dimitris, Kasaeian, Amir, Kaul, Anil, Kawakami, Norito, Kayibanda, Jeanne Françoise, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Kemp, Andrew Haddon, Kengne, Andre Pascal, Kesavachandran, Chandrasekharan Nair, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalil, Ibrahim, Khan, Abdur Rahman, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khang, Young-Ho, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Yun Jin, Kinfu, Yohannes, Kivipelto, Miia, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Kosen, Soewarta, Koul, Parvaiz A, Koyanagi, Ai, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Bicer, Burcu Kucuk, Kulkarni, Veena S, Kumar, G Anil, Lal, Dharmesh Kumar, Lam, Hilton, Lam, Jennifer O, Langan, Sinead M, Lansingh, Van C, Larsson, Anders, Leigh, James, Leung, Ricky, Li, Yongmei, Lim, Stephen S, Lipshultz, Steven E, Liu, Shiwei, Lloyd, Belinda K, Logroscino, Giancarlo, Lotufo, Paulo A, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Razek, Hassan Magdy Abd El, Mahdavi, Mahdi, Mahesh, P A, Majdan, Marek, Majeed, Azeem, Makhlouf, Carla, Malekzadeh, Reza, Mapoma, Chabila C, Marcenes, Wagner, Martinez-Raga, Jose, Marzan, Melvin Barrientos, Masiye, Felix, Mason-Jones, Amanda J, Mayosi, Bongani M, McKee, Martin, Meaney, Peter A, Mehndiratta, Man Mohan, Mekonnen, Alemayehu B, Melaku, Yohannes Adama, Memiah, Peter, Memish, Ziad A, Mendoza, Walter, Meretoja, Atte, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Mhimbira, Francis Apolinary, Miller, Ted R, Mikesell, Joseph, Mirarefin, Mojde, Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mokdad, Ali H, Monasta, Lorenzo, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Mori, Rintaro, Mueller, Ulrich O, Murimira, Brighton, Murthy, Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana, Naheed, Aliya, Naldi, Luigi, Nangia, Vinay, Nash, Denis, Nawaz, Haseeb, Nejjari, Chakib, Ngalesoni, Frida Namnyak, de Dieu Ngirabega, Jean, Nguyen, Quyen Le, Nisar, Muhammad Imran, Norheim, Ole F, Norman, Rosana E, Nyakarahuka, Luke, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In-Hwan, Ojelabi, Foluke Adetola, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun, Opio, John Nelson, Oren, Eyal, Ota, Erika, Park, Hye-Youn, Park, Jae-Hyun, Patil, Snehal T, Patten, Scott B, Paul, Vinod K, Pearson, Katherine, Peprah, Emmanuel Kwame, Pereira, David M, Perico, Norberto, Pesudovs, Konrad, Petzold, Max, Phillips, Michael Robert, Pillay, Julian David, Plass, Dietrich, Polinder, Suzanne, Pourmalek, Farshad, Prokop, David M, Qorbani, Mostafa, Rafay, Anwar, Rahimi, Kazem, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Mahfuzar, Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur, Rahman, Sajjad Ur, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rajsic, Sasa, Ram, Usha, Rana, Saleem M, Rao, Paturi Vishnupriya, Remuzzi, Giuseppe, Rojas-Rueda, David, Ronfani, Luca, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Roy, Ambuj, Ruhago, George Mugambage, Saeedi, Mohammad Yahya, Sagar, Rajesh, Saleh, Muhammad Muhammad, Sanabria, Juan R, Santos, Itamar S, Sarmiento-Suarez, Rodrigo, Sartorius, Benn, Sawhney, Monika, Schutte, Aletta E, Schwebel, David C, Seedat, Soraya, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Servan-Mori, Edson E, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Sharma, Rajesh, She, Jun, Sheikhbahaei, Sara, Shen, Jiabin, Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Hwashin Hyun, Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora, Silpakit, Naris, Silva, Diego Augusto Santos, Silveira, Dayane Gabriele Alves, Simard, Edgar P, Sindi, Shireen, Singh, Jasvinder A, Singh, Om Prakash, Singh, Prashant Kumar, Skirbekk, Vegard, Sliwa, Karen, Soneji, Samir, Sorensen, Reed J D, Soriano, Joan B, Soti, David O, Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T, Stathopoulou, Vasiliki, Steel, Nicholas, Sunguya, Bruno F, Swaminathan, Soumya, Sykes, Bryan L, Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Talongwa, Roberto Tchio, Tavakkoli, Mohammad, Taye, Bineyam, Tedla, Bemnet Amare, Tekle, Tesfaye, Shifa, Girma Temam, Temesgen, Awoke Misganaw, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Tesfay, Fisaha Haile, Tessema, Gizachew Assefa, Thapa, Kiran, Thomson, Alan J, Thorne-Lyman, Andrew L, Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan, Topor-Madry, Roman, Towbin, Jeffrey Allen, Tran, Bach Xuan, Dimbuene, Zacharie Tsala, Tsilimparis, Nikolaos, Tura, Abera Kenay, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Uneke, Chigozie Jesse, Uthman, Olalekan A, Venketasubramanian, N, Vladimirov, Sergey K, Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wang, Linhong, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Weintraub, Robert G, Werdecker, Andrea, Westerman, Ronny, Wijeratne, Tissa, Wilkinson, James D, Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Wolfe, Charles D A, Won, Sungho, Wong, John Q, Xu, Gelin, Yadav, Ajit Kumar, Yakob, Bereket, Yalew, Ayalnesh Zemene, Yano, Yuichiro, Yaseri, Mehdi, Yebyo, Henock Gebremedhin, Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Younis, Mustafa Z, Yu, Chuanhua, Yu, Shicheng, Zaidi, Zoubida, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Zeeb, Hajo, Zhang, Hao, Zhao, Yong, Zodpey, Sanjay, Zoeckler, Leo, Zuhlke, Liesl Joanna, Lopez, Alan D, Murray, Christopher J L, Health Services Management & Organisation (HSMO), Public Health, and İç Hastalıkları
Subjects: Time Factors, Incidence, Immunology, HIV Infections, Articles, Global Health, Article, CD4 Lymphocyte Count, Global Burden of Disease, Young Adult, Infectious Diseases, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, Seroepidemiologic Studies, Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active, Prevalence, Humans
Abstract: Background: timely assessment of the burden of HIV/AIDS is essential for policy setting and programme evaluation. In this report from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we provide national estimates of levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART), and mortality for 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015.Methods: for countries without high-quality vital registration data, we estimated prevalence and incidence with data from antenatal care clinics and population-based seroprevalence surveys, and with assumptions by age and sex on initial CD4 distribution at infection, CD4 progression rates (probability of progression from higher to lower CD4 cell-count category), on and off antiretroviral therapy (ART) mortality, and mortality from all other causes. Our estimation strategy links the GBD 2015 assessment of all-cause mortality and estimation of incidence and prevalence so that for each draw from the uncertainty distribution all assumptions used in each step are internally consistent. We estimated incidence, prevalence, and death with GBD versions of the Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) and Spectrum software originally developed by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS). We used an open-source version of EPP and recoded Spectrum for speed, and used updated assumptions from systematic reviews of the literature and GBD demographic data. For countries with high-quality vital registration data, we developed the cohort incidence bias adjustment model to estimate HIV incidence and prevalence largely from the number of deaths caused by HIV recorded in cause-of-death statistics. We corrected these statistics for garbage coding and HIV misclassification.Findings: global HIV incidence reached its peak in 1997, at 3·3 million new infections (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3·1–3·4 million). Annual incidence has stayed relatively constant at about 2·6 million per year (range 2·5–2·8 million) since 2005, after a period of fast decline between 1997 and 2005. The number of people living with HIV/AIDS has been steadily increasing and reached 38·8 million (95% UI 37·6–40·4 million) in 2015. At the same time, HIV/AIDS mortality has been declining at a steady pace, from a peak of 1·8 million deaths (95% UI 1·7–1·9 million) in 2005, to 1·2 million deaths (1·1–1·3 million) in 2015. We recorded substantial heterogeneity in the levels and trends of HIV/AIDS across countries. Although many countries have experienced decreases in HIV/AIDS mortality and in annual new infections, other countries have had slowdowns or increases in rates of change in annual new infections.Interpretation: scale-up of ART and prevention of mother-to-child transmission has been one of the great successes of global health in the past two decades. However, in the past decade, progress in reducing new infections has been slow, development assistance for health devoted to HIV has stagnated, and resources for health in low-income countries have grown slowly. Achievement of the new ambitious goals for HIV enshrined in Sustainable Development Goal 3 and the 90-90-90 UNAIDS targets will be challenging, and will need continued efforts from governments and international agencies in the next 15 years to end AIDS by 2030.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and National Institute of Mental Health and National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health
Published: 2016

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