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Abstract: We derive a lace expansion for the survival probability for critical spread-out oriented percolation above dimensions, i.e., the probability that the origin is connected to the hyperplane at time n, at the critical threshold . Our lace expansion leads to a non-linear recursion relation for , with coefficients that we bound via diagrammatic estimates. This lace expansion is for point-to-plane connections and differs substantially from previous lace expansions for point-to-point connections. In particular, to be able to deduce the asymptotics of for large n, we need to derive the recursion relation up to quadratic order. The present paper is Part II in a series of two papers. In Part I, we use the recursion relation and the diagrammatic estimates to prove that , and also deduce consequences of this asymptotics for the geometry of large critical clusters and for the incipient infinite cluster. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

We consider critical spread-out oriented percolation above 4 + 1 dimensions. Our main result is that the extinction probability at time n (i.e., the probability for the origin to be connected to the hyperplane at time n but not to the hyperplane at time n + 1) decays like 1/ Bn 2 as $$n\to\infty$$ , where B is a finite positive constant. This in turn implies that the survival probability at time n (i.e., the probability that the origin is connected to the hyperplane at time n) decays like 1/ Bn as $$n\to\infty$$ . The latter has been shown in an earlier paper to have consequences for the geometry of large critical clusters and for the incipient infinite cluster. The present paper is Part I in a series of two papers. In Part II, we derive a lace expansion for the survival probability, adapted so as to deal with point-to-plane connections. This lace expansion leads to a nonlinear recursion relation for the survival probability. In Part I, we use this recursion relation to deduce the asymptotics via induction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]