1. Three decades of heat stress exposure in Caribbean coral reefs: a new regional delineation to enhance conservation
- Author
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Iliana Chollett, Luisa Andrade-Gómez, C. Mark Eakin, Aarón Israel Muñiz-Castillo, Andrea Rivera-Sosa, Melanie McField, and Jesús Ernesto Arias-González
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,Conservation of Natural Resources ,Climate Change ,lcsh:Medicine ,Structural basin ,Article ,Environmental impact ,Attribution ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Animals ,Temporal change ,lcsh:Science ,Baseline (configuration management) ,El Nino-Southern Oscillation ,Marine biology ,geography ,Multidisciplinary ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Coral Reefs ,Conservation biology ,Physical oceanography ,Spatiotemporal Analysis ,lcsh:R ,Global warming ,Coral reef ,Anthozoa ,Heat stress ,030104 developmental biology ,El Niño Southern Oscillation ,Caribbean Region ,Environmental science ,lcsh:Q ,Physical geography ,Heat-Shock Response ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery ,Environmental Monitoring - Abstract
Increasing heat stress due to global climate change is causing coral reef decline, and the Caribbean has been one of the most vulnerable regions. Here, we assessed three decades (1985–2017) of heat stress exposure in the wider Caribbean at ecoregional and local scales using remote sensing. We found a high spatial and temporal variability of heat stress, emphasizing an observed increase in heat exposure over time in most ecoregions, especially from 2003 identified as a temporal change point in heat stress. A spatiotemporal analysis classified the Caribbean into eight heat-stress regions offering a new regionalization scheme based on historical heat exposure patterns. The temporal analysis confirmed the years 1998, 2005, 2010–2011, 2015 and 2017 as severe and widespread Caribbean heat-stress events and recognized a change point in 2002–2004, after which heat exposure has been frequent in most subsequent years. Major heat-stress events may be associated with El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), but we highlight the relevance of the long-term increase in heat exposure in most ecoregions and in all ENSO phases. This work produced a new baseline and regionalization of heat stress in the basin that will enhance conservation and planning efforts underway.
- Published
- 2019
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