58 results on '"Panza, Giuliano"'
Search Results
2. Realistic Modeling of Seismic Wave Ground Motion in Beijing City
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Ding, Z., Romanelli, F., Chen, Y. T., Panza Giuliano, Ding, Z., Romanelli, Fabio, Chen, Y. T., and Panza, Giuliano
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Geophysics ,Site effect ,Beijing ,Site effects ,Earthquake scenario ,Geochemistry and Petrology - Abstract
Algorithms for the calculation of synthetic seismograms in laterally heterogeneous anelastic media have been applied to model the ground motion in Beijing City. The synthetic signals are compared with the few available seismic recordings (1998, Zhangbei earthquake) and with the distribution of observed macroseismic intensity (1976, Tangshan earthquake). The synthetic three-component seismograms have been computed for the Xiji area and Beijing City. The numerical results show that the thick Tertiary and Quaternary sediments are responsible for the severe amplification of the seismic ground motion. Such a result is well correlated with the abnormally high macroseismic intensity zone in the Xiji area associated with the 1976 Tangshan earthquake as well as with the ground motion recorded in Beijing city in the wake of the 1998 Zhangbei earthquake.
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- 2004
3. Seismic characterization of neapolitan soils
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Nunziata, C., Natale, M., Panza Giuliano, Nunziata, Concettina, Natale, M., G. F., Panza, Nunziata, C., and Panza, Giuliano
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Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Napoli, Pyroclastic materials, Shear-wave velocities, Inversion - Abstract
Detailed shear-wave velocity profiles versus depth have been obtained in typical lithostratigraphies of Napoli. FTAN and hedgehog methods have been applied to Rayleigh surface waves recorded in refraction seismic surveys. The comparison with literature measurements shows good agreement with nearby down- and cross-hole tests. The pumiceous and lapilli content, and the different welding and alteration degree of the Neapolitan pyroclastic soils cause a strong scattering of the shear-wave velocities (VS) bore-hole measurements, even for the same formation. Surface measurements, based on FTAN-hedgehog methods, determine average VS along travel paths of about 100 m, give results that are comparable with down- and cross-hole velocity profiles, and have the additional advantage of being less scattered, and thus more representative of average properties than bore-hole measurements. The results of surface measurements should be preferred in the computation of realistic seismograms and are particularly suitable in urban areas, as they are not destructive and need just one receiver.
- Published
- 2004
4. Modelling of block structure dynamics for the Vrancea Region: Source mechanisms of the synthetic earthquakes
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Soloviev, A. A., Vorobieva, I. A., and Panza Giuliano
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Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology
5. Time-Dependent Seismic Hazard Assessment Based on the Annual Consultation: A Case from the China Seismic Experimental Site (CSES)
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Yan Zhang, Zhongliang Wu, Fabio Romanelli, Franco Vaccari, Antonella Peresan, Shengfeng Zhang, Changsheng Jiang, Giuliano F. Panza, Zhang, Yan, Wu, Zhongliang, Romanelli, Fabio, Vaccari, Franco, Peresan, Antonella, Zhang, Shengfeng, Jiang, Changsheng, and Panza, Giuliano F.
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Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Time-dependent neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment (T-NDSHA) ,China Seismic Experimental Site (CSES) ,Annual Consultation - Abstract
We propose an interdisciplinary approach to time-dependent neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment (T-NDSHA) for the China Seismic Experimental Site (CSES) at a 1-year time scale. The approach is based on the neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment (NDSHA), with the “controlling” earthquakes (or “scenario” earthquakes) as defined by the Annual Consultation on the Likelihood of Earthquakes. The Annual Consultation, organized by the China Earthquake Administration (CEA), has been an interdisciplinary practice since 1972, with the output of “alert regions” with increased probabilities of strong earthquakes, featured by real forward forecasting characteristics. We take the year 2014, in which there were four strong earthquakes in the CSES region, as a showcase example to illustrate how the T-NDSHA may be conducted and evaluated. Considering the alert regions provided by the Annual Consultation, the expected strong ground motion parameters and the macroseismic intensities are mapped by the NDSHA algorithms considering the regional Earth structures and the focal mechanisms of historical earthquakes. The estimated intensities are then subjected to comparison with the intensities produced by the actual earthquakes. Evaluation of the performance of such annual seismic hazard assessment is performed using a confusion matrix and Molchan error diagram, respectively, indicating that the combination of the NDSHA and the annual forecasting provides the emergency preparation with a ready-to-use mapping of expected intensities which outperforms random forecasting. The proposed approach provides a substantial improvement to the Annual Consultation, and it can naturally be applied to other regions where intermediate-term middle-range earthquake forecasts are available and where the need for emergency preparation are duly considered.
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- 2022
6. Neo-deterministic seismic hazard scenarios for India—a preventive tool for disaster mitigation
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Giuliano F. Panza, Ramees R. Mir, Andrea Magrin, Imtiyaz A. Parvez, Ashish, Franco Vaccari, Antonella Peresan, Parvez, Imtiyaz A., Magrin, Andrea, Vaccari, Franco, Ashish, Mir, Ramees R., Peresan, Antonella, and Panza, Giuliano Francesco
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Peak ground acceleration ,Seismic microzonation ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Ground motion ,India ,Disaster mitigation ,010502 geochemistry & geophysics ,01 natural sciences ,Incremental Dynamic Analysis ,NDSHA ,Seismic hazard ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Seismic wave ,Earthquake scenario ,Earthquake simulation ,Geophysic ,Seismogram ,Seismology ,Geology ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
Current computational resources and physical knowledge of the seismic wave generation and propagation processes allow for reliable numerical and analytical models of waveform generation and propagation. From the simulation of ground motion, it is easy to extract the desired earthquake hazard parameters. Accordingly, a scenario-based approach to seismic hazard assessment has been developed, namely the neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment (NDSHA), which allows for a wide range of possible seismic sources to be used in the definition of reliable scenarios by means of realistic waveforms modelling. Such reli- able and comprehensive characterization of expected earthquake ground motion is essential to improve building codes, particularly for the protection of critical infrastructures and for land use planning. Parvez et al. (Geophys J Int 155:489–508, 2003) published the first ever neo-deterministic seismic hazard map of India by computing synthetic seismograms with input data set consisting of structural models, seismogenic zones, focal mechanisms and earthquake catalogues. As described in Panza et al. (Adv Geophys 53:93–165, 2012), the NDSHA methodology evolved with respect to the original formulation used by Parvez et al. (Geophys J Int 155:489–508, 2003): the computer codes were improved to better fit the need of producing real- istic ground shaking maps and ground shaking scenar- ios, at different scale levels, exploiting the most significant pertinent progresses in data acquisition and modelling. Accordingly, the present study supplies a revised NDSHA map for India. The seismic hazard, expressed in terms of maximum displacement (Dmax), maximum velocity (Vmax) and design ground acceleration (DGA), has been extracted from the synthetic signals and mapped on a regular grid over the studied territory.
- Published
- 2017
7. Advanced Seismic Hazard Assessment
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Antonella Peresan, Zhenming Wang, Rodolfo Saragoni, M. Kouteva, Kojiro Irikura, Giuliano F. Panza, Panza, Giuliano, Irikura, K., Kouteva, Mihaela, Peresan, Antonella, Wang, Z., and Saragoni, R.
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Earthquake scenario ,Neo-deterministic and probabilistic seismic hazard ,Geophysics ,Seismic hazard assessment ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Seismology ,Geology - Abstract
Issues pertaining to urban risks are a pressing concern for people involved in disaster mitigation. With the progressing urban sprawl and the emergence of mega-cities around the world, disasters of all kinds become an inevitable consequence of uncontrolled urbanization. Growing environmental and social (purely scientific and practical disaster mitigation and preparedness) concerns, both on the part of decisionmakers and public opinion, have brought a new perspective to the perception of hazard assessment as a valid alternative in the long-term (e.g. retrofitting), and an effective complement in short and medium terms, to traditional design procedure for a resistant and safe environment. Recent earthquakes, Haiti earthquake of 12 January 2010 and Chile earthquake of 27 February 2010, in particular, exemplify the urgent need for society to develop the effective strategies and policies to reduce seismic risk and to mitigate earthquake disasters.
- Published
- 2010
8. Some Contributions of the Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment Approach to Earthquake Risk Assessment for the City of Sofia
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Franco Vaccari, Mihaela Kouteva-Guentcheva, Giuliano Panza, I. Paskaleva, Paskaleva, I., Kouteva Guentcheva, M., Vaccari, Franco, and Panza, Giuliano
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Peak ground acceleration ,Seismic microzonation ,Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment ,Sofia City ,Incremental Dynamic Analysis ,Earthquake scenario ,Geophysics ,Seismic hazard ,Earthquake simulation ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Urban seismic risk ,Seismic risk ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
This paper describes the outcome of the advanced seismic hazard and seismic risk estimates recently performed for the city of Sofia, based on the state-of-the-art of knowledge for this site. Some major results of the neo-deterministic, scenario-based, seismic hazard assessment approach (NDSHA) to the earthquake hazard assessment for the city of Sofia are considered. Further validations of the recently constructed synthetic strong motion database, containing site and seismic source-specific ground motion time histories are performed and discussed. Displacement and acceleration response spectra are considered. The elastic displacement response spectra and displacement demand are discussed with regard to earthquake magnitude, seismic source-to-site distance, seismic source mechanism, and local geological site conditions. The elastic response design spectrum from the standard pseudo-acceleration, versus natural period, T n, format, converted to a capacity diagram in S a − S d format is discussed in the perspective of the Eurocode 8 provisions. A brief overview of the engineering applications of the seismic demand obtained making use of the NDSHA is supplied. Some applications of the outcome of NDSHA procedure for engineering purposes are shown. The obtained database of ground shaking waveforms and time-histories, computed for city of Sofia is used to: (1) extract maximum particle velocities; (2) calculate the space distribution of the horizontal strain factor Log10 e; (3) estimate liquefaction susceptibility in terms of standard penetration test, N values, and initial over burden stress; (4) estimate damage index distribution; and (5) map the distribution of the expected pipe breaks and red-tagged buildings for given scenario earthquakes, etc. The theoretically obtained database, based on the simultaneous treatment of the data from many disciplines, contains data fully suitable for practical use. The proper use of this database can lead to a significant seismic vulnerability reduction and thus contributes to earthquake preparedness.
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- 2010
9. Carbonate metasomatism and CO2 lithosphere–asthenosphere degassing beneath the Western Mediterranean: An integrated model arising from petrological and geophysical data
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Angelo Peccerillo, Giuliano F. Panza, Maria Luce Frezzotti, Frezzotti, M, Peccerillo, A, Panza, G, FREZZOTTI M., L, and Panza, Giuliano
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Carbonate melts ,Western Mediterranean ,Mantle metasomatism ,Carbonate melts, Magmatism, Mantle metasomatism, Surface-wave tomography, Western Mediterranean ,Mantle wedge ,Magmatism ,Geochemistry ,Geology ,Geophysics ,CO2 Earth degassing ,Surface-wave tomography ,Mantle (geology) ,Mantle convection ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Asthenosphere ,Lithosphere ,Transition zone ,Hotspot (geology) ,Adakite ,Carbonate melt ,CO2 earth degassing ,mantle metasomatism - Abstract
We present an integrated petrological, geochemical, and geophysical model that offers an explanation for the present-day anomalously high non-volcanic deep (mantle derived) CO2 emission in the Tyrrhenian region. We investigate how decarbonation or melting of carbonate-rich lithologies from a subducted lithosphere may affect the efficiency of carbon release in the lithosphere-asthenosphere system. We propose that melting of sediments and/or continental crust of the subducted Adriatic-Ionian (African) lithosphere at pressure greater than 4 GPa (130 km) may represent an efficient mean for carbon cycling into the upper mantle and into the exosphere in the Western Mediterranean area. Melting of carbonated lithologies, induced by the progressive rise of mantle temperatures behind the eastward retreating Adriatic-Ionian subducting plate, generates low fractions of carbonate-rich (hydrous-silicate) melts. Due to their low density and viscosity, such melts can migrate upward through the mantle, forming a carbonated partially molten CO2-rich mantle recorded by tomographic images in the depth range from 130 to 60 km. Upwelling in the mantle of carbonate-rich melts to depths less than 60-70 km, induces massive outgassing Of CO2. Buoyancy forces, probably favored by fluid overpressures, are able to allow migration Of CO2 from the mantle to the surface, through deep lithospheric faults, and its accumulation beneath the Moho and within the lower crust. The present model may also explain CO2 enrichment of the Etna active volcano. Deep CO2 cycling is tentatively quantified in terms of conservative carbon mantle flux in the investigated area. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
- Published
- 2009
10. Microzonation of Bucharest: State-of-the-Art
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C. L. Moldoveanu, Gh. Marmureanu, Giuliano F. Panza, Mircea Radulian, Moldoveanu, C. L., Radulian, M., Marmureanu, G. H., and Panza, Giuliano
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Seismic microzonation ,Engineering geology ,Instrumental observation ,Numerical modeling ,Numerical models ,Induced seismicity ,Microzonation ,Vrancea earthquake ,Damage ,Geophysics ,Antiseismic code ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Urban planning ,Preparedness ,Bucharest ,Bucharest, Vrancea earthquake, Damage, Microzonation, Antiseismic code ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
The 1940 (Mw 1⁄4 7.7) and 1977 (Mw 1⁄4 7.4) Vrancea earthquakes (Romania) inflicted heavy damage and casualties in Bucharest and the statistics indicate a recurrence interval of 25 years for Mw ‡ 7.0 events. Under these circumstances, the seismic microzonation represents important information for detailed urban planning that establishes an appropriate level of preparedness to the earthquake threat. This paper reviews the main studies concerning the seismicity of the Vrancea region, the site conditions of the city, the characterization of the building stock, and the codes of practice that regulate the antiseismic design. The first-order microzonation of Bucharest was performed starting from the existing database of structural and geotechnical parameters. New insights originating from direct instrumental observation and interpretation of the local effects as well as realistic numerical modeling that update and improve the input data necessary for a detailed microzoning map of the city are also discussed.
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- 2004
11. Shape Analysis of Isoseismals Based on Empirical and Synthetic Data
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G. Molchan, Giuliano F. Panza, Tatiana Kronrod, Molchan, G, Kronrod, T, and Panza, Giuliano
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Ground motion ,Focal mechanism ,Seismic intensity ,macroseismic data ,isoseismals ,focal mechanism ,Point source ,Geodesy ,Synthetic data ,Physics::Geophysics ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Isoseismal map ,isoseismal ,Geology ,Smoothing ,Shape analysis (digital geometry) - Abstract
— We present an attempt to compare modeled ground-motion acceleration fields with macroseismic observations. Two techniques for the representation of the observed intensities by isoseismals, a smoothing technique and one which visualizes the local uncertainty of an isoseismal, are tested with synthetic and observed data. We show how noise in the data and irregularities in the distribution of observation sites affect the resolution of the isoseismal's shape. In addition to “standard” elongated shapes, we identify cross-like patterns in the macroseismic observations for two Italian earthquakes of strike-slip type; similar patterns are displayed by the theoretical peak acceleration fields calculated assuming the point source models given in the literature.
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- 2002
12. Shear-Wave Velocity Tomography of the Lithosphere–Asthenosphere System beneath the Iranian Plateau
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Franco Vaccari, Giuliano F. Panza, H. Hamzehloo, Habib Rahimi, Rahimi, H., Hamzehloo, H., Vaccari, Franco, and Panza, Giuliano
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Iranian plateau ,Iranian plateau, tomography ,Structural basin ,tomography ,symbols.namesake ,Geophysics ,Shear (geology) ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Lithosphere ,Asthenosphere ,Oceanic crust ,symbols ,Group velocity ,Tomography ,Rayleigh wave ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
We conducted a tomographic inversion of Rayleigh-wave dispersion to obtain 2D phase and group velocity tomographic images in the 10-100 s period range and shear-wave velocity structures for the Iranian plateau. For this purpose, the fun- damental mode of Rayleigh waves, recorded along 1586 paths by 29 broadband sta- tions, was identified by applying the frequency time analysis (FTAN) to each epicenter-station path which simultaneously satisfies the two-station method condi- tions. The fundamental modes identified by FTAN have been used to determine the path-average interstation phase and group velocities at selected periods. With this pro- cedure, 243 group and phase velocity dispersion curves were processed to obtain to- mographic maps by applying the Yanovskaya-Ditmar formulation for periods in the 10-100 s range. Averaged dispersion curves of phase and group velocities, which represent six rather homogeneous regions, are computed. Finally, we used a fully non- linear inversion procedure to derive tomographic images of the elastic structure of the lithosphere and asthenosphere of the six main structural and seismotectonic features of the Iranian plateau. The dense path coverage in the Iranian plateau permits us to pro- duce images that have substantially higher lateral resolution compared to images cur- rently available from global and regional group velocity studies. Tomographic maps at high frequencies are well correlated with the upper crust structure, especially with sediment layers thickness. Estimated shear-wave velocity structures are well corre- lated with the shield-like lithosphere structure in Zagros. A low-velocity zone (LVZ) is not detected in Alborz or the south Caspian basin, which can imply thrusting of the oceanic crust of the southern Caspian Sea under the Alborz to the south. LVZs are derived for the region east of Iran, central Iran, and Kopeh Dagh.
- Published
- 2014
13. Deterministic seismic hazard in Egypt
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Giuliano F. Panza, Franco Vaccari, A. El-Sayed, El Sayed, A., Vaccari, Franco, and Panza, Giuliano
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Peak ground acceleration ,Seismic microzonation ,Synthetic seismogram ,Environmental Seismic Intensity scale ,synthetic seismogram ,Incremental Dynamic Analysis ,Physics::Geophysics ,Geophysics ,Seismic hazard ,Earthquake simulation ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Deterministic seismic hazard ,Egypt ,Seismogram ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
SUMMARY The regional seismic hazard in Egypt is assessed using a deterministic approach based on the computation of synthetic seismograms at a set of gridpoints located at distances of 0.2u from each other. The main input for this computation are earthquake sources and structural models. The earthquake sources are parametrized using focal mechanisms, seismogenic areas and regional seismicity. A number of deep seismic profiles have been used to define the crustal structures. Similar sets of gravity profiles have been used to define the density of the layers. The peak displacement (DMAX), peak velocity (VMAX) and design ground acceleration (DGA) are chosen and plotted to construct the seismic hazard maps. There are similarities between computed and observed amplitudes of ground motion in terms of their values and spatial distributions. The results obtained from the deterministic and probabilistic approaches are comparable. The areas of high seismic hazard level are of great socio-economic importance.
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- 2001
14. Deterministic Seismic Zoning of Eastern Cuba
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Giuliano F. Panza, Franco Vaccari, Leonardo Alvarez, Alvarez, L., Vaccari, Franco, and Panza, Giuliano
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Cuba ,Focal mechanism ,Peak ground acceleration ,Magnitude (mathematics) ,Induced seismicity ,Seismic hazard ,Physics::Geophysics ,Acceleration ,synthetic seismogram ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Epicenter ,Seismic risk ,deterministic modelling ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
—A deterministic seismic zoning of Cuba is performed by modelling, with modal summation, the complete P-SV and SH waves fields generated by point-source earthquakes buried in flat-layered anelastic media. The results of the computation, performed for periods greater than 1 second, are presented in two sets of maps of maximum displacement (d max), maximum velocity (v max) and design ground acceleration (DGA), obtained by using two different criteria in the definition of the input magnitude: (1) values reported in the earthquake catalogue (M obs) and (2) values determined from seismotectonic considerations (M max). A comparison with the results of a previous probabilistic seismic zoning is made to test the possibility of making intensity — ground motion conversion with the aid of log-linear regressions.
- Published
- 1999
15. S -wave Velocity Models in the Scotia Sea Region, Antarctica, from Nonlinear Inversion of Rayleigh Waves Dispersion
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Alessandro Vuan, Giuliano F. Panza, Giovanni Costa, M. Russi, R. Cazzaro, Vuan, A, Cazzaro, R, Costa, Giovanni, Russi, M, and Panza, Giuliano
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geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Velocity gradient ,Crust ,Tectonics ,symbols.namesake ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Peninsula ,Ridge ,S-wave ,symbols ,Rayleigh wave ,Dispersion (water waves) ,Antarctica, Scotia Sea, lithosphere structure, surface waves ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
More than 60 events recorded by four recently deployed seismic broadband stations around Scotia Sea, Antarctica, have been collected and processed to obtain a general overview of the crust and upper mantle seismic velocities. Group velocity of the fundamental mode of Rayleigh waves in the period between 10 s to 30–40 s is used to obtain the S-wave velocity versus depth along ten different paths crossing the Scotia Sea region. Data recorded by two IRIS (Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology) stations (PMSA, EFI) and the two stations of the OGS-IAA (Osservatorio Geofisico Sperimentale—Instituto Antarctico Argentino) network (ESPZ, USHU) are used. The Frequency-Time Analysis (FTAN) technique is applied to the data set to measure the dispersion properties. A nonlinear inversion procedure, ‘‘Hedgehog,’’ is performed to retrieve the S-wave velocity models consistent with the dispersion data. The average Moho depth variation on a section North to South is consistent with the topography, geological observations and Scotia Sea tectonic models. North Scotia Ridge and South Scotia Ridge models are characterised by similar S-wave velocities ranging between 2.0 km/s at the surface to 3.2 km/s to depths of 8 km/s. In the lower crust the S-wave velocity increases slowly to reach a value of 3.8 km/s. The average Moho depth is estimated between 17 km to 20 km and 16 km to 19 km, respectively, for the North Scotia Ridge and South Scotia Ridge, while the Scotia Sea, bounded by the two ridges, has a faster and thinner crust, with an average Moho depth between 9 km and 12 km. On other paths crossing from east to west the southern part of the Scotia plate and the Antarctic plate south of South Scotia Ridge, we observe an average Moho depth between 14 km and 18 km and a very fast upper crust, compared to that of the ridge. The S-wave velocity ranges between 3.0 and 3.6 km/s in the thin (9–13 km) and fast crust of the Drake Passage channel. In contrast the models for the tip of the Antarctic Peninsula consist of two layers with a large velocity gradient (2.3–3.0 km/s) in the upper crust (6-km thick) and a small velocity gradient (3.0–4.0) in the lower crust (14-km thick).
- Published
- 1999
16. Analytical computation of coupling coefficients in non-Poissonian media
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J. Bekkevold, Fabio Romanelli, Giuliano F. Panza, Romanelli, Fabio, Bekkevold, J., and Panza, Giuliano
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Coupling ,business.industry ,Computation ,symbols.namesake ,Geophysics ,Modal ,Optics ,Transmission (telecommunications) ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Normal mode ,Reflection (physics) ,symbols ,Statistical physics ,Rayleigh wave ,business ,Seismogram ,Mathematics - Abstract
SUMMARY As indicated by numerical tests, the computation of synthetic seismograms based on the modal summation technique, for 2-D or 3-D media, requires the computation of the transmission and reflection coupling coefficients, at sharp lateral heterogeneities, with a formulation that takes into account the possible non-Poissonian character of the media.
- Published
- 1997
17. Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment in North Africa
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Djillali Benouar, Mustapha Meghraoui, M. Hfaiedh, Franco Vaccari, Antonella Peresan, Farida Ousadou, Assia Harbi, K. M. Abou Elenean, Giuliano F. Panza, Said Maouche, Mourad Bezzeghoud, A. Ben Suleman, N. Romdhane, Hassan A. Hussein, J. Kacem, Taoufik Mourabit, A. Ksentini, Nacer Jabour, E. Zuccolo, Mohamed N. ElGabry, Andrea Magrin, A. Ayadi, M. Chourak, A. Cheddadi, Mourabit, T., Abou Elenean, K. M., Ayadi, A., Benouar, D., Ben Suleman, A., Bezzeghoud, M., Cheddadi, A., Chourak, M., Elgabry, M. N., Harbi, A., Hfaiedh, M., Hussein, H. M., Kacem, J., Ksentini, A., Jabour, N., Magrin, A., Maouche, S., Meghraoui, M., Ousadou, F., Panza, Giuliano, Peresan, Antonella, Romdhane, N., Vaccari, Franco, and Zuccolo, Elisa
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Peak ground acceleration ,Focal mechanism ,Hydrogeology ,Seismotectonics ,North Africa ,seismotectonics ,Deterministic seismic hazard ,seismogenic zone ,design ground acceleration ,Earthquake scenario ,seismotectonic ,Geophysics ,Seismic hazard ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Structural geology ,Seismogram ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
North Africa is one of the most earthquake-prone areas of the Mediterranean. Many devastating earthquakes, some of them tsunami-triggering, inflicted heavy loss of life and considerable economic damage to the region. In order to mitigate the destructive impact of the earthquakes, the regional seismic hazard in North Africa is assessed using the neo-deterministic, multi-scenario methodology (NDSHA) based on the computation of synthetic seismograms, using the modal summation technique, at a regular grid of 0.2 × 0.2°. This is the first study aimed at producing NDSHA maps of North Africa including five countries: Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, and Egypt. The key input data for the NDSHA algorithm are earthquake sources, seismotectonic zonation, and structural models. In the preparation of the input data, it has been really important to go beyond the national borders and to adopt a coherent strategy all over the area. Thanks to the collaborative efforts of the teams involved, it has been possible to properly merge the earthquake catalogues available for each country to define with homogeneous criteria the seismogenic zones, the characteristic focal mechanism associated with each of them, and the structural models used to model wave propagation from the sources to the sites. As a result, reliable seismic hazard maps are produced in terms of maximum displacement (D max), maximum velocity (V max), and design ground acceleration.
- Published
- 2013
18. S-Wave Velocities of the Lithosphere–Asthenosphere System in the Caribbean Region
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O'Leary González, José Leonardo Alvarez, Giuliano F. Panza, Bladimir Moreno, Gonzalez, O. F., Alvarez, J. L., Moreno, B., and Panza, Giuliano
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geography ,Group velocities dispersion curves ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Subduction ,Mantle wedge ,Group velocities dispersion curve ,S-wave velocity models ,Crust ,Geophysics ,Caribbean region ,Local smoothness optimization ,S-wave velocity model ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Ridge ,Oceanic crust ,Asthenosphere ,Lithosphere ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
An overview of the S-wave velocity (V s) structural model of the Caribbean with a resolution of 2° × 2° is presented. New tomographic maps of Rayleigh wave group velocity dispersion at periods ranging from 10 to 40 s were obtained as a result of the frequency time analysis of seismic signals of more than 400 ray-paths in the region. For each cell of 2° × 2°, group velocity dispersion curves were determined and extended to 150 s by adding data from a larger scale tomographic study (Vdovin et al., Geophys. J. Int 136:324–340, 1999). Using, as independent a priori information, the available geological and geophysical data of the region, each dispersion curve has been inverted by the “hedgehog” non-linear procedure (Valyus, Determining seismic profiles from a set of observations (in Russian), Vychislitielnaya Seismologiya 4, 3–14. English translation: Computational Seismology (V.I. Keylis-Borok, ed.) 4:114–118, 1968), in order to compute a set of V s versus depth models up to 300 km of depth. Because of the non-uniqueness of the solutions for each cell, a local smoothness optimization has been applied to the whole region in order to choose a three-dimensional model of V s, satisfying this way the Occam's razor concept. Several known and some new main features of the Caribbean lithosphere and asthenosphere are shown on these models such as: the west directed subduction zone of the eastern Caribbean region with a clear mantle wedge between the Caribbean lithosphere and the subducted slab; the complex and asymmetric behavior of the crustal and lithospheric thickness in the Cayman ridge; the predominant oceanic crust in the region; the presence of continental type crust in Central America, and the South and North America plates; as well as the fact that the bottom of the upper asthenosphere gets shallower going from west to east.
- Published
- 2012
19. Neo-deterministic and probabilistic seismic hazard assessments: a comparison over the Italian territory
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Franco Vaccari, Giuliano F. Panza, Antonella Peresan, E. Zuccolo, Zuccolo, Elisa, Vaccari, Franco, Peresan, Antonella, and Panza, Giuliano
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Ground motion ,Estimation ,neo-deterministic method ,ground motion ,Probabilistic logic ,Seismic hazard ,probabilistic method ,Italy ,Geophysics ,Probabilistic method ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Large earthquakes ,Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
Estimates of seismic hazard obtained using the neo-deterministic approach (NDSHA) and the probabilistic approach (PSHA) are compared for the Italian territory. The NDSHA provides values larger than those given by the PSHA in areas where large earthquakes are observed and in areas identified as prone to large earthquakes, but lower values in low-seismicity areas. These differences suggest the adoption of the flexible, robust and physically sound NDSHA approach to overcome the proven shortcomings of PSHA, thus allowing for a reliable seismic hazard estimation, especially for those areas characterized by a prolonged quiescence, i.e. in tectonically active sites where events of only moderate size have occurred in historical times.
- Published
- 2011
20. Site-Specific Modeling of SH and P-SV Waves for Microzonation Study of Kolkata Metropolitan City, India
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Akhilesh K. Verma, Sankar Kumar Nath, M. Yanger Walling, Aniruddha Sengupta, Franco Vaccari, William K. Mohanty, Giuliano F. Panza, Vaccari, Franco, Walling, M. Y., Mohanty, W. K., Nath, S. K., Verma, A. K., Sengupta, A., and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
geography ,Peak ground acceleration ,Focal mechanism ,Seismic microzonation ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,AMAX ,synthetic seismograms ,Bedrock ,Magnitude (mathematics) ,Kolkata ,Geophysics ,synthetic seismogram ,Neodeterministic seismic hazard assessment ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,seismic microzonation ,Alluvium ,Seismogram ,Seismology ,Geology - Abstract
Kolkata, one of the oldest cities of India, is situated over the thick alluvium of the Bengal Basin, where it lies at the boundary of the zone III and zone IV of the seismic zonation map of India. An example of the study of site effects of the metropolitan Kolkata is presented based on theoretical modeling. Full synthetic strong motion waveforms have been computed using a hybrid method that combines the modal summation and finite difference techniques. The 1964 Calcutta earthquake, which was located at the southern part of Kolkata, is taken as the source region, with the focal mechanism parameters of dip = 32°, strike = 232° and rake = 56°. Four profiles are considered for the computation of the synthetic seismograms from which the maximum ground acceleration (AMAX) is obtained. Response spectra ratios (RSR) are then computed using a bedrock reference model to estimate local amplifications effects. The AMAX varies from 0.05 to 0.17 g and the comparison of the AMAX with the different intensity scales (MM, MSK, RF and MCS) shows that the expected intensity is in the range from VII to X (MCS) for an earthquake of magnitude 6.5 at an epicentral distance of about 100 km. This theoretical result matches with the empirical (historical and recent) intensity observations in Kolkata. The RSR, as a function of frequency, reaches the largest values (largest amplification) in the frequency range from 1.0 to 2.0 Hz. The largest site amplification is observed at the top of loose soil.
- Published
- 2011
21. Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard and Pattern Recognition Techniques: Time-Dependent Scenarios for North-Eastern Italy
- Author
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E. Zuccolo, Franco Vaccari, Alexander Gorshkov, Antonella Peresan, Giuliano F. Panza, Peresan, Antonella, Zuccolo, E., Vaccari, Franco, Gorshkov, A., and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Earthquake prediction ,Magnitude (mathematics) ,Earthquake scenario ,Set (abstract data type) ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Ground motion scenarios ,pattern recognition ,earthquake prediction ,morphostructural zonation ,seismic hazard ,site effects ,Italy ,business.industry ,Pattern recognition ,Identification (information) ,Geophysics ,Seismic hazard ,Ground motion scenario ,Pattern recognition (psychology) ,site effect ,Artificial intelligence ,Zoning ,business ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
An integrated neo-deterministic approach to seismic hazard assessment has been developed that combines different pattern recognition techniques, designed for the space–time iden- tification of impending strong earthquakes, with algorithms for the realistic modeling of seismic ground motion. The integrated approach allows for a time-dependent definition of the seismic input, through the routine updating of earthquake predictions. The scenarios of expected ground motion, associated with the alarmed areas, are defined by means of full waveform modeling. A set of neo-deterministic scenarios of ground motion is defined at regional and local scales, thus providing a prioritization tool for timely preparedness and mitigation actions. Constraints about the space and time of occurrence of the impending strong earthquakes are provided by three formally defined and globally tested algorithms, which have been developed according to a pattern recognition scheme. Two algorithms, namely CN and M8, are routinely used for intermediate-term middle-range earthquake predictions, while a third algorithm allows for the identification of the areas prone to large events. These independent procedures have been combined to better constrain the alarmed area. The pattern recognition of earthquake-prone areas does not belong to the family of earthquake prediction algorithms since it does not provide any information about the time of occurrence of the expected earthquakes. Never- theless, it can be considered as the termless zero-approximation, which restrains the alerted areas (e.g. defined by CN or M8) to the more precise potential location of large events. Italy is the only region of moderate seismic activity where the two different pre- diction algorithms, CN and M8S (i.e. a spatially stabilized variant of M8), are applied simultaneously and a real-time test of predic- tions, for earthquakes with magnitude larger than a given threshold (namely 5.4 and 5.6 for CN algorithm, and 5.5 for M8S algorithm) has been ongoing since 2003. The application of the CN to the Adriatic region, which is relevant for seismic hazard assessment in the northeastern part of the Italian territory, is also discussed. Examples of neo-deterministic scenarios are provided, at regional and local scale and for the cities of Trieste and Nimis (Friuli Venezia Giulia region), where the knowledge of the local geological conditions permitted a detailed evaluation of the expected ground motion.
- Published
- 2011
22. Long Period Ground Motion at Bedrock Level in Delhi City from Himalayan Earthquake Scenarios
- Author
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Giuliano F. Panza, Fabio Romanelli, Imtiyaz A. Parvez, Parvez, I. A., Romanelli, Fabio, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Seismic gap ,Peak ground acceleration ,Seismic microzonation ,Earthquake ,Point source ,Ground motion ,Earthquake scenario ,Geophysics ,Seismic hazard ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Long period ground motion ,Delhi ,Earthquake, Ground motion, Delhi ,Response spectrum ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
Delhi, the capital of India, is prone to severe seismic hazards, not only from local events but also from Himalayan earthquakes at distances of 250–300 km. Standard techniques are not sufficiently reliable to completely characterize the seismic hazards in this case due to the difficulty of predicting the occur- rence of earthquakes (frequency–magnitude relations) and of properly treating the propagation of their effects (attenuation laws), especially their long-period components. In order to give a sound description of the seismic ground motion due to an earthquake in such a given range of distances (and magnitudes), we use model- ling techniques developed from physics of the seismic source generation and propagation processes. Such models take into account the directivity effect of rupture propagation and the attenuation of (long-period) ground motions. The generated ground motion scenarios permit us to build a very important knowledge base to be fruitfully used by civil engineers, since long period ground motions, especially if amplified by deep sedimentary basins, can represent a severe threat for large scale structures (e.g. lifelines and bridges) and tall buildings, which are widespread in fast-growing megacities. In this study, we simulate the ground motion, at bedrock level, in Delhi city, for an earthquake scenario corresponding to a source of Mw = 8.0 located in the central seismic gap of Himalayas, at an epicentral distance of about 300 km from Delhi city. By means of several parametric studies, we simulate the time histories using Size Scaled Point Source, Space and Time Scaled Point Source and Extended Source models. Together with the complete time histories (displacements, veloci- ties and accelerations, from which the peak amplitudes have been extracted), we have also used the displacement response spectrum to characterize the seismic input at Delhi. Not only is the dis- placement response spectrum of great significance to modern displacement-based design engineering approaches, but it is probably the best parameter by which to characterize the destruc- tiveness potential of earthquakes located at such great distances from the target sites (of the order of 300 km), since the energy of the seismic input is mainly concentrated at long periods (in general, greater than 1 s) and it cannot be determined by straightforward integration of velocity or acceleration response spectra.
- Published
- 2011
23. Modeling of Ground Motion at Napoli for the 1688 Scenario Earthquake
- Author
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Giuliano F. Panza, C. Sacco, Concettina Nunziata, Nunziata, Concettina, Sacco, C., Panza, Giuliano, C., Sacco, and G. F., Panza
- Subjects
Peak ground acceleration ,Seismic microzonation ,Synthetic seismogram ,Mode (statistics) ,Magnitude (mathematics) ,ground motion modeling ,hybrid methods ,Geophysics ,Earthquake simulation ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Response spectrum ,Seismogram ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
The Sannio seismogenic area turns out to be responsible for the highest peak ground accelerations (PGA) and seismic response spectra (SRS) at Napoli. The 1688 earthquake is considered representative of the area, and realistic synthetic seis- mograms have been computed for this scenario earthquake at the historical center and the eastern sector of Napoli. The use of a hybrid technique based on mode summation and finite-difference methods is fully justified by the available detailed knowledge about the geological and geophysical properties of the Neapolitan subsoil. This modeling makes it possible to recognize that amplifications of *2 for PGA and [3 for SRS are to be expected because of the pyroclastic soil cover. Based on the information contained in the available catalogs, different magnitudes have been considered. Taking into account the correlation, valid for the Italian territory, between synthetic PGA and observed intensities, it turns out that the most probable magnitude (M) of the 1688 earthquake is 6.7, while M = 7.3 should be assigned to a conservative scenario earthquake. Comparison of the computed response spectra for the 1688 scenario earthquake with the Italian seismic building code shows that the code is adequate with respect to the expected effects at the historical center of Napoli, but that it underestimates the possible ground motion at the eastern sector, in particular at the newly developed area built after the 1980 earthquake.
- Published
- 2011
24. Hot-Cold Spots in Italian Macroseismic Data
- Author
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T. Kronrod, Giuliano F. Panza, G. Molchan, Molchan, G., Kronrod, T., and Panza, Giuliano
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Standard sample ,geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Cold spot ,Site effect seismic intensity macroseismic data seismic hazard ,Seismotectonics ,FOS: Physical sciences ,Hazard analysis ,Fault (geology) ,Geophysics (physics.geo-ph) ,Physics - Geophysics ,Condensed Matter - Other Condensed Matter ,Geophysics ,Seismic hazard ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Soil water ,Geology ,Seismology ,Other Condensed Matter (cond-mat.other) - Abstract
Site effect is usually associated with local geologi- cal conditions, which increase or decrease the level of shaking compared with standard attenuation relations. We made an attempt to see in the macroseismic data of Italy some other effects, namely, hot/cold spots in the terminology of OLSEN (in Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 90, 6B, 577–594, 2000), which are related to local fault geometry rather than to soil conditions. We give a list of towns and villages liable to amplify (?) or to reduce (–) the level of shaking in comparison with the nearby settlements. Relief and soil condi- tions cannot always account for the anomalous sites. Further, there are sites where both (?) and (–) effects are observed depending on the earthquake. The opposite effects can be generated by events from the same seismotectonic zone and along the same direction to the site. Anomalous sites may group themselves into clusters of different scales. All isolated anomalous patterns presented in this paper can be used in hazard analysis, in particular, for the modeling and testing of seismic effects.
- Published
- 2010
25. High resolution Rayleigh wave group velocity tomography in North China from ambient seismic noise
- Author
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Lihua Fang, Giuliano F. Panza, Jianping Wu, Zhifeng Ding, Fang, L., Wu, J., Ding, Z., and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
geography ,Seismic tomography ,Asia ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Velocity gradient ,Interferometry ,Surface waves and free oscillations ,Crustal structure ,Fault (geology) ,Seismic noise ,Geodesy ,Tectonics ,symbols.namesake ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Seismic array ,symbols ,Group velocity ,Rayleigh wave ,Surface waves and free oscillation ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
This study presents the results of the Rayleigh wave group velocity tomography in North China performed using ambient seismic noise observed at 190 broadband and 10 very broadband stations of the North China Seismic Array. All available vertical component time-series for the 14 months between 2007 January and 2008 February are cross-correlated to obtain empirical Rayleigh wave Green’s functions that are subsequently processed, with the multiple filter method, to isolate the group velocity dispersion curves of the fundamental mode of the Rayleigh wave. Tomographic maps, with a grid spacing of 0.25◦ × 0.25◦, are computed at periods of 4.5, 12, 20 and 28 s. The maps at short periods reveal lateral heterogeneity in the crust of North China, in good agreement with known geological and tectonic features. The North China Basin is imaged as a broad low velocity area, while the Taihangshan and Yanshan uplifts and Ordos block are imaged as high velocity zones, and the Quaternary intermountain basins show up as small low-velocity anomalies. A well-defined low velocity zone in the Beijing–Tianjin–Tangshan region is observed at 28 s period. The low velocity zone may be associated with the upwelling of hot mantle material. The group velocity maps at 4.5, 12 and 20 s are consistent with Bouguer gravity anomalies measured in the area of the Taihangshan fault, that cuts through the lower crust at least.
- Published
- 2010
26. The dynamics of the 2001 Etna eruption as seen by full moment tensor analysis
- Author
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Eugenio Privitera, Giuliano F. Panza, Ornella Cocina, Angela Saraò, Sarao, A., Cocina, O., Privitera, E., and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Volcano monitoring ,Lateral eruption ,Earthquake source observations ,Volcano seismology ,Moment tensor ,Time series analysis ,Time series analysis, Earthquake source observations, Volcano seismology, Eruption mechanisms and flow emplacement, Volcano monitoring ,Strike-slip tectonics ,Below sea level ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Magma ,Seismic moment ,Normal fault ,Eruption mechanisms and flow emplacement ,Geology ,Sea level ,Seismology - Abstract
SUMMARY The Mt. Etna eruption of July 2001 was announced by severe seismic activity and by the opening of a 7-km-long zone of densely distributed fractures. The large amount of data collected gave a unique opportunity to study the magma migration process and to infer the position and geometry of the uprising dyke. Results from multidisciplinary approaches suggest that the observed phenomenology was the result of the rapid intrusion of a vertical dyke, oriented roughly N–S and located a few km south of the summit region. To add new constraints to the dynamics of the eruption process, in this study we determine the full seismic moment tensors of 61 earthquakes, selected among those occurring between July 12 and July 18 (Md≥ 2.2), located in a depth ranging from 1 km above sea level (a.s.l.) to 3 km below sea level (b.s.l.). At the beginning of the seismic swarm, the dominant component of the seismic source tensor is double-couple percentage (around 65 per cent on average) statistical significant at 95 per cent confidence level and in the following hours the non-double-couple components increase at the expenses of the double-couple. Such observations are related well with the system of fractures formed just before the eruption, whereas the increasing non-double-couple components can be explained as the response of the confining rocks to the rising magma and degassing processes. The type of focal mechanisms retrieved are predominantly of normal fault type (44 per cent), strike slip (30 per cent) and thrust mechanisms (9 per cent), and outline a scenario that concurs with the stress regime induced by a dyke injection. The space–time analysis of seismic source locations and source moment tensors (1) confirms the evidence of a vertical dyke emplacement that fed the 2001 lateral eruption and (2) adds new insights to support the hypothesis of the injection of a second aborted dyke, 2 km SE from the fractures zone.
- Published
- 2010
27. The lithosphere in Italy: structure and seismicity
- Author
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Enrico, Brandmayr, Reneta Blagoeva Raykova, Marco, Zuri, Fabio, Romanelli, Doglioni, Carlo, Giuliano Francesco Panza, Brandmayr, E., Raykova, RENETA BLAGOEVA, Zuri, Marco, Romanelli, Fabio, Doglioni, C., and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Geophysics ,Italy ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,non-linear inversion ,lithosphere-asthenosphere ,surface wave ,Geology ,geodynamics ,tomography ,seismicity ,surface waves - Abstract
We propose a structural model for the lithosphere-asthenosphere system for the Italic region by means of the S-wave velocity (VS) distribution with depth. To obtain the velocity structure the following methods are used in the sequence: frequency-time analysis (FTAN); 2D tomography (plotted on a grid 1°×1°); non-linear inversion; smoothing optimization method. The 3D VS structure (and its uncertainties) of the study region is assembled as a juxtaposition of the selected representative cellular models. The distribution of seismicity and heat flow is used as an independent constraint for the definition of the crustal and lithospheric thickness. The moment tensor inversion of recent damaging earthquakes which occurred in the Italic region is performed through a powerful non-linear technique and it is related to the different rheologic-mechanic properties of the crust and uppermost mantle. The obtained picture of the lithosphere-asthenosphere system for the Italic region confirms a mantle extremely vertically stratified and laterally strongly heterogeneous. The lateral variability in the mantle is interpreted in terms of subduction zones, slab dehydration, inherited mantle chemical anisotropies, asthenospheric upwellings, and so on. The western Alps and the Dinarides have slabs with low dip, whereas the Apennines show a steeper subduction. No evidence for any type of mantle plume are observed. The asymmetric expansion of the Tyrrhenian Sea, which may be interpreted as related to a relative eastward mantle flow with respect to the overlying lithosphere, is confirmed. Keywords: Italy, surface waves, tomography, non-linear inversion, seismicity, lithosphere-asthenosphere, geodynamics
- Published
- 2010
28. Viscoelastic relaxation and long-lasting after-slip following the 1997 Umbria-Marche (Central Italy) earthquakes
- Author
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Alessandra Borghi, Giuliano F. Panza, Abdelkrim Aoudia, Riccardo Barzaghi, Roberto Sabadini, Riccardo Riva, RIVA R. E., M, Borghi, A, Aoudia, A, Barzaghi, R, Sabadini, R, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,crustal deformation ,Slip (materials science) ,Fault (geology) ,Viscoelasticity ,Geophysics ,Discontinuity (geotechnical engineering) ,Creep ,Shear (geology) ,earthquakes ,Global Positioning System (GPS) ,rheology ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,earthquake ,Transition zone ,Shear zone ,Seismology ,Geology - Abstract
SUMMARY We combine Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements with forward modelling of vis- coelastic relaxation and after-slip to study the post-seismic deformation of the 1997 Umbria- Marche (Central Apennines) moderate shallow earthquake sequence. Campaign GPS mea- surements spanning the time period 1999-2003 are depicting a clear post-seismic deformation signal. Our results favour a normal faulting rupture model where most of the slip is located in the lower part of the seismogenic upper crust, consistent with the rupture models obtained from the inversion of strong motion data. The preferred rheological model, obtained from viscoelastic relaxation modelling, consists of an elastic upper crust, underlain by a transition zone with a viscosity of 10 18 Pa s, while the rheology of deeper layers is not relevant for the observed time-span. Shallow fault creep and after-slip at the base of the seismogenic upper crust are the first order processes behind the observed post-seismic deformation. The deep after-slip, below the fault zone at about 8 km depth, acting as a basal shear through localized time-dependent deformation, identifies a rheological discontinuity decoupling the seismogenic upper crust from the low-viscosity transition zone.
- Published
- 2007
29. Size and duration of the high-frequency radiator in the source of the 2004 December 26 Sumatra earthquake
- Author
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Giuliano F. Panza, E. M. Guseva, A. A. Gusev, GUSEV A., A, GUSEVA E., M, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
seismic coda ,rupture propagation ,earthquake-source mechanism ,source time functions ,subduction zone ,waveform analysis ,Inverse filter ,Centroid ,source time function ,Radiation ,Coda ,Geophysics ,Amplitude ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Epicenter ,Stopping time ,Seismology ,Geology ,Aftershock - Abstract
SUMMARY We recover the gross space–time characteristics of high-frequency (HF) radiator of the great Sumatra-Andaman islands earthquake of 2004 December 26 (Mw= 9.1–9.3) using the time histories of the power of radiated HF P waves. To determine these time histories we process teleseismic P waves at 36 BB stations, using, in sequence: (1) bandpass filtering (four bands: 0.4–1.2, 1.2–2, 2–3 and 3–4 Hz); (2) squaring wave amplitudes, making ‘power signals’ for each band and (3) stripping the propagation-related distortion (P coda, etc.) from the power signal and thus recovering source time function for HF power. In step (3) we employ an inverse filter constructed from an empirical Green's function, which is estimated as the power signal from an aftershock. For each ray we thus obtain signals with relatively well-defined end and no coda. From these signals we extract: total duration (joint estimate for all four bands) and temporal centroid of signal power for each band. Through linear inversion, the set of duration values for a set of rays delivers estimates of the rupture stopping point and stopping time. Similarly, the set of temporal centroids can be inverted to obtain the position of the space–time centroid of HF energy radiator. The quality of inversion for centroid is acceptable for lower-frequency bands but deteriorates for higher-frequency bands where only a fraction of stations provide useful data. For the source length and duration the following joint estimates were obtained: 1241 ± 224 km, 550 ± 10 s. The estimated stopping point position corresponds to the northern extremity of the aftershock zone. Spatial HF radiation centroids are located at distances 350–700 km from the epicentre, in a systematic way: the higher is the frequency, the farther is the centroid from the epicentre. Average rupture propagation velocity is estimated as 2.25 km s–1.
- Published
- 2007
30. Simulation of Seismicity in the Block-structure Model of Italy and its Surroundings
- Author
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Alexander Soloviev, I. A. Vorobieva, Antonella Peresan, Giuliano F. Panza, Peresan, Antonella, Vorobieva, I, Soloviev, A, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Lithosphere dynamic ,Focal mechanism ,geography ,Block-model ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Subduction ,Seismicity ,Lithosphere dynamics ,Numerical simulation ,Induced seismicity ,Fault (geology) ,Geodynamics ,Tectonics ,synthetic catalog ,Geophysics ,Mediterranean sea ,Italy ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Lithosphere ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
The numerical block-model of the lithosphere dynamics is used to simulate seismicity in Italy and its surroundings, based on the available structural and geodynamics information. The purpose of the study is to understand which are the tectonic processes that control the main features of the observed seismicity and the kinematics of the region. The influence of the rheology of the fault systems is studied as well. The model we use differs from other modeling approaches in that it simulates earthquakes and hence it possibly relates to seismicity and geodynamics. The model provides an effective capability to include the set of documented constraints supplied by widely available earthquake catalogs. This is done by means of the comparison of the GR relation, of the focal mechanisms and of the space distribution for observed and computed seismicity. The region is modeled as a system of perfectly rigid blocks, separated by infinitely thin fault planes, in viscoelastic interaction between themselves and with the underlying medium. The movement of the boundary blocks and of the underlying medium determines the motion of the blocks. The synthetic seismicity obtained with the defined block-model is similar to the observed one for the most seismically active areas. A linear frequency-magnitude (FM) relation (Gutenberg-Richter law) is obtained for synthetic earthquakes; the slope (b-value) of the FM plot appears larger for the synthetic seismicity than for the observed one. Nevertheless, the b-value is essentially larger in northern and central Italy than that in southern Italy, both in the model and in the observations. The analysis of the source mechanisms of the synthetic earthquakes shows a good agreement with the observations. In the model normal faulting is typical for the Apennines, the eastern edge of Sicily and the Calabrian arc, while reverse faulting takes place at the northwestern boundary of the Adriatic Sea, in the southern Alps and along the eastern edge of the Adria, along the Dinarides. The model correctly reproduces the extension zone along the Apennines and the contraction zone along the northwestern boundary of the Adriatic Sea; the counter-clockwise rotation of the Adria is mimed. The resulting movements of the blocks are in overall agreement with GPS (Global Positioning System) observations. The results of the modeling experiments suggest that the main features of dynamics and seismicity in the central Mediterranean region cannot be satisfactorily explained as a consequence of Africa and Eurasia convergence only; the passive subduction in the Calabrian arc and the different rheology of faults are essential as well.
- Published
- 2007
31. Crust and Upper Mantle Structure in the Caribbean Region by Group Velocity Tomography and Regionalization
- Author
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O'Leary González, Leonardo Alvarez, Mariangela Guidarelli, Giuliano F. Panza, Gonzalez, O, Alvarez, L, Guidarelli, Mariangela, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Geophysics ,Surface waves tomography ,group velocities dispersion curves ,S-wave velocity models ,Caribbean region ,regionalization ,S-wave velocity model ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,group velocities dispersion curve - Abstract
An overview of the crust and upper mantle structure of Central America and the Caribbean region is presented as a result of the processing of more than 200 seismograms recorded by digital broadband stations from SSSN and GSN seismic networks. Group velocity dispersion curves are obtained in the period range from 10s to 40s by FTAN analysis of the fundamental mode of the Rayleigh waves; the error of these measurements varies from 0.06 and 0.09 km/s.From the dispersion curve, seven tomographic maps at different periods and with average spatial resolution of 500 km are obtained. Using the logical combinatorial classification techniques, eight main groups of dispersion curves are determined from the tomographic maps and eleven main regions, each one characterized by one kind of dispersion curves, are identified. The average dispersion curves obtained for each region are extended to 150s by adding data from a larger-scale tomographic study (VDOVIN et al., 1999) and inverted using a nonlinear procedure. A set of models of the S-wave velocity vs. depth in the crust and upper mantle is found as a result of the inversion process.In six regions we identify a typically oceanic crust and upper mantle structure, while in the other two the models are consistent with the presence of a continental structure. Two regions, located over the major geological zones of the accretionary crust of the Caribbean region, are characterized by a peculiar crust and upper mantle structure, indicating the presence of lithospheric roots reaching, at least, about 200 km of depth.
- Published
- 2007
32. Upper mantle flow in the western Mediterranean
- Author
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Giuliano F. Panza, Eugenio Carminati, R. Raykova, Carlo Doglioni, Panza, Giuliano, Raykova, R, Carminati, E, and Doglioni, C.
- Subjects
Mediterranean climate ,Mediterranean geodynamic ,Mantle flow ,Mediterranean geodynamics ,Shear-wave velocity model ,Back-arc basin ,Mantle stratification ,Structural basin ,Paleontology ,Geophysics ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Asthenosphere ,Transition zone ,back-arc basin ,mantle flow ,mantle stratification ,mediterranean geodynamics ,shear-wave velocity model ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
Two cross-sections of the western Mediterranean Neogene-to-present back-arc basin are presented, in which geological and geophysical data of the TRANSMED Project are tied to a new shear-wave tomography. Major results are i) the presence of a well stratified upper mantle beneath the older African continent, with a marked low-velocity layer between 130-200 km of depth; ii) the dilution of this layer within the younger western Mediterranean back-arc basin to the north, and iii) the easterly raising of a shallower low-velocity layer from about 140 km to about 30 km in the Tyrrhenian active part of the back-arc basin. These findings suggest upper mantle circulation in the western Mediterranean back-arc basin, mostly easterly-directed and affecting the boundary between upper asthenosphere (LVZ) and lower asthenosphere, which undulates between about 180 km and 280 km. © 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
- Published
- 2007
33. Caveats in Multi-modal Inversion of Seismic Surface Wavefields
- Author
-
Anatoli L. Levshin, Giuliano F. Panza, LEVSHIN A., L, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Mathematical analysis ,phase and group velocity ,Mineralogy ,Observable ,Inversion (meteorology) ,Inverse problem ,waveguides ,Surface waves ,Seismic wave ,Physics::Geophysics ,law.invention ,inversion ,Geophysics ,Modal ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Surface wave ,law ,Surface waves, waveguides, phase and group velocity, inversion ,Group velocity ,Waveguide ,Mathematics - Abstract
We consider several examples demonstrating that the formal modal representation of surface wavefields often does not describe adequately observable wave parameters, such as the phase and group velocity dispersion of higher modes. The main reason for this is the existence in the medium of several waveguides or weakly coupled wavefields in the same waveguide. In such cases the separation of neighboring higher modes may be impossible, and observed dispersion curves may significantly differ from the ones predicted by the theory. From the example related to the studies of the crustal and upper mantle structure we found that the difficulty in the separation of first and second crustal higher modes can be overcome by applying a special inversion procedure. This procedure ignores the existence of a low velocity layer in the upper mantle when fitting the observable higher-mode dispersion curve to the one predicted by the model.
- Published
- 2006
34. Correlation Between Local Slip Rate and Local High-frequency Seismic Radiation in an Earthquake Fault
- Author
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Eugenia M. Guseva, A. A. Gusev, Giuliano F. Panza, Gusev, A, Guseva, E, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Correlation coefficient ,Mathematical model ,Seismic energy ,Non- coherent ,Fault (geology) ,Geodesy ,Seismic wave ,High-frequency radiation ,Physics::Geophysics ,Coda ,Stochastic ,Strong ground motion ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Envelope ,Strong motion simulation ,Earthquake fault, Stochastic, High-frequency radiation, Envelope, Seismic energy, Non- coherent, Strong motion simulation ,Earthquake fault ,Slipping ,Decorrelation ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
For any earthquake, the slipping fault and the source of high-frequency seismic waves, by and large, coincide. On a more local scale, however, the areas of high seismic slip rate and of increased high-frequency radiation output (seismic luminosity) need not match. To study in some detail how slip rate and seismic luminosity are interrelated, a systematic study is performed that uses 251 records of teleseismic P waves from 23 intermediate-depth earthquakes of magnitude 6.8 and above. From a broadband trace we extract two time histories: (1) displacement and (2) 0.5–2.5 Hz band-passed and squared velocity, or ``HF power'', and calculate correlation coefficient, ρ between the two. To reduce the bias related to formation of P coda, a special procedure is applied to data. We estimated the average value ρ = 0.52 (range of event averages 0.35 to 0.65) for the correlation coefficient between the radiated time histories for displacement and ``HF power'', which is considerably below the ``ideal'' value of unity. We argue that the same or even lower value characterizes the degree of slip rate - seismic luminosity correlation at the fault. Two factors may contribute to the revealed decorrelation: (1) random fluctuations of observed HF power (inevitable for a signal with a limited bandwidth), and (2) the genuine mismatch of slip rate and mean luminosity. We show that these factors, acting separately, would result in the ρ values equal to, correspondingly, 0.72 and 0.80. We also show that genuine decorrelation is statistically significant. We conclude that the observed values of ρ indicate genuine differences between the distributions of the slip rate and the seismic luminosity over the fault area. These results provide important constraints both for the accurate wide-band simulation of strong ground motion and for theoretical dynamic source models.
- Published
- 2006
35. Determination of the seismic moment tensor for local events in the South Shetland Islands and Bransfield Strait
- Author
-
Giuliano F. Panza, Mariangela Guidarelli, Guidarelli, Mariangela, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Shetland ,Seismic moment tensor ,moment tensor ,Moment tensor ,Inversion (meteorology) ,Seismic noise ,Bransfield Strait ,earthquake-source mechanism ,Small magnitude ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Seismology ,Geology - Abstract
Six events with magnitude between 3 and 5.6 have been analysed based on regional waveforms recorded by the temporal Seismic Experiment in Patagonia and Antarctica seismic broad-band network in the Bransfield Strait and the South Shetland Islands in the period 1997–1998. The source parameters have been retrieved using a robust methodology (INDirect PARametrization) to stabilize the inversion of a limited number of noisy records. This methodology is particularly important in oceanic environments, where the presence of seismic noise and the small number of stations makes it difficult to analyse small magnitude events. The source mechanisms obtained are quite variable but consistent with the active tectonic processes and the complicated structure of the South Shetland Island region.
- Published
- 2006
36. The Lithosphere-Asthenosphere System in the Calabrian Arc and Surrounding Seas - Southern Italy
- Author
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Giuliano F. Panza, A. Pontevivo, Pontevivo, A, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Subduction ,nonlinear inversion ,Continental crust ,Tyrrhenian ,Crust ,shallow mantle magma source ,Surface-wave tomography ,lithosphere-asthenosphere system ,shallow mantle magma sources ,Ionian and Adriatic Seas ,Mantle (geology) ,Paleontology ,Geophysics ,Mediterranean sea ,Volcano ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Asthenosphere ,Lithosphere ,Seismology ,Geology - Abstract
A fairly detailed structural model of the lithosphere-asthenosphere system (thickness, S- and P-wave velocities of the crust and of the uppermost mantle layers) has been defined in the Calabrian Arc region (Southern Tyrrhenian Sea, Calabria and the northwestern part of the Ionian Sea) in Southern Italy using seismic data from literature as a priori constraints of the nonlinear inversion of surface-wave data. The main features identified by this study are: (1) A very shallow (less then 10 km deep) crust-mantle transition in the Southern Tyrrhenian Sea and a very low vs just below a very thin lid, in correspondence of the submarine volcanic bodies Magnaghi, Marsili and Vavilov, while the vs in the lid is quite high in the area that separates Marsili from Magnaghi-Vavilov; (2) a shallow and very low vs layer in the uppermost mantle in the areas of the Aeolian Islands, Vesuvius, Phlegraean Fields and Ischia, which represents their shallow-mantle magma source; (3) a thickened continental crust and lithospheric doubling in Calabria; (4) a crust about 25-km thick and a mantle velocity profile versus depth consistent with the presence of a continental rifted lithosphere, now thermally relaxed, in the investigated part of the Ionian Sea; (5) the subduction towards northwest of the Ionian lithosphere below the Southern Tyrrhenian Sea; (6) the subduction of the Adriatic/Ionian lithosphere underneath the Vesuvius and Phlegraean Fields.
- Published
- 2006
37. Magma reservoir at Mt. Vesuvius: Size of the hot, partially molten, crust material detected deeper than 8 km
- Author
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M. Natale, Giuliano F. Panza, Concettina Nunziata, Giuseppe Luongo, Nunziata, C, Natale, M, Luongo, G, Panza, Giuliano, Nunziata, Concettina, Natale, M., Luongo, Giuseppe, and Panza, G. F.
- Subjects
geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Drop (liquid) ,Velocity reduction ,Rayleigh group velocity, shear velocity models, crustal system, Somma-Vesuvius volcanic complex ,Crust ,Magma chamber ,symbols.namesake ,Geophysics ,Amplitude ,Discontinuity (geotechnical engineering) ,Volcano ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,symbols ,Rayleigh wave ,Petrology ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
One- and two-dimensional VP models were obtained by TomoVes experiment, all characterized by low VP in the uppermost 500 m and a sharp discontinuity at about 2–3 km beneath the volcano. Large amplitude late arrivals were identified as P- to S- phases converted at the top, between 8 and 10 km deep, of a low-velocity layer with a dramatic drop of VS, from approximately 3.6 km/s to less than 1.0 km/s. Here, we synthesize the interpretation of Rayleigh wave dispersion measurements, made by several authors, to delineate the extent of such anomalous layer of hot, partially molten, crust material. Our non-linear inversion of broad-band dispersion measurements evidences a main feature of Somma-Vesuvius deep structure consisting of low VS layers at about 8–10 and 20 km of depth. The depth of the shallower low-velocity layer and the VS value above it are in agreement with TomoVes results, but the VS velocity reduction is of about 10%. If we assume VS equal to 1.0 km/s in our non-linear inversion, a thickness not greater than 0.35 km results. The volume occupied by this very low-velocity layer, sill-shaped, is compatible with the size of Mt. Vesuvius cone, but it develops above a much larger hot mass, which could be the parental source as the erupted products are only few percent of magma chamber. © 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
- Published
- 2006
38. Source Parameters of Weak Crustal Earthquakes of the Vrancea Region from Short-period Waveform Inversion
- Author
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Luminita Ardeleanu, Giuliano F. Panza, Jan Šílený, Mircea Radulian, Ardeleanu, L., Radulian, M., Sileny, J., and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Focal mechanism ,Point source approximation ,seismic moment tensor ,source time function ,scalar moment ,horizontally layered models ,Crust ,Inverse problem ,Geodesy ,Seismic wave ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Waveform ,Seismic moment ,Tensor ,Seismogram ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
High-frequency records of nine low magnitude shallow earthquakes of the Vrancea (Romania) seismic region are inverted for the seismic moment tensor (MT). An approach is suggested regarding how to obtain at least a rough estimate of the MT when the information on the structure of the crust is poor. Here simple 1-D layered models are used in the Green’s function synthesis despite the fact that the structure of the region is undoubtedly very complex. Different 1-D models were used for different source-station paths to approximate lateral variations. Record of a station located on a ray path which crosses a structure differing substantially from a 1-D model may however bias the retrieved MT essentially. Therefore, we did not collectively process all records, but subsets of stations separately. We check the consistency of the MTs resulting from these individual ‘‘bootstrap’’ solutions, and reject those which differ substantially, assuming that this is due to the oversimplification of the forward modeling. Thereafter, the averaged moment tensor yielded by the consistent subsets is accepted. Moreover, the distribution of the T, N and P axes from the moment tensors used for averaging provides a rough estimate of their reliability. Following this simplistic procedure, we found seven acceptably constrained solutions among nine events processed. Their P axes are compared with the general trend of the stress in the area: three comply with it, the others should be attributed to the complex stress field active in the region.
- Published
- 2005
39. Tomographic Study of the Adriatic Plate
- Author
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A. Pontevivo, N. Venisti, Giuliano F. Panza, G. Calcagnile, Venisti, N., Calcagnile, G., Pontevivo, A., and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
body wave ,Anomaly (natural sciences) ,Phase (waves) ,body waves ,surface waves ,Crust ,Geophysics ,Adriatic plate ,Mantle (geology) ,Physics::Geophysics ,Local tomography ,lithosphere ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Lithosphere ,Transition zone ,Tomography ,Dispersion (water waves) ,Seismology ,Geology - Abstract
Two well-known methodologies have been used, for the first time, to derive a detailed and reliable lithospheric model of the Adriatic Plate, consistent with the thus far available data: non linear inversion of phase and group velocity dispersion curve obtained from surface-wave tomography, and body-waves tomography. To carry out the body-waves tomography, about 16500 P phases and 2000 S phases from 1219 seismic events, 73 seismic stations located at the border of the investigated region and a vertically heterogeneous starting model derived from the nonlinear inversion of average dispersion measurements, are used. The 3-D velocity model of the upper lithosphere, obtained from the combined analysis, shows a rather clear structural anomaly on the northeastern side, where the crust is thicker, and an uprising of the top of the lid in the northern part of the plate with a very thin, if any, transition zone from crust to mantle.
- Published
- 2005
40. Full moment tensor retrieval for two earthquake swarms at the Alps-Dinarides junction
- Author
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S. Kravanja, Giuliano F. Panza, Kravanja, S, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Orientation (computer vision) ,Moment tensor ,Source time function ,Swarm behaviour ,Fault plane solution, Moment tensor, Source time function ,Geodesy ,Earthquake swarm ,Stress field ,Sequence (geology) ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Tensor ,Seismic risk ,Fault plane solution ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
SUMMARY We present the results of the analysis for the seismic source tensor of all events with M d ≥ 3.0 belonging to the Moggio Udinese swarm (1988 February, eight events analysed), and of the three events of the swarm that occurred between 1993 July 22 and 26 in the Tricesimo area. The latter sequence is particularly relevant for the assessment of seismic risk of Friuli (northeast Italy), since it is close to the densely populated area of Udine. We use a waveform inversion algorithm which allows us to retrieve the moment tensor rate functions (MTRFs) that can be factored into a moment tensor and a source time function (STF). From the orientation of the P-axis and of the nodal planes we can hypothesize that the Moggio Udinese swarm (P-axis orientated globally between southeast‐northwest and east‐west) reflects the influence of both the southeastern Alpine and external Dinaric stress field, while in the Tricesimo swarm (in which the P-axis orientations varies between southeast‐northwest and north‐south) the southeastern Alpine stress field seems to act on faults oriented southeast‐northwest, belonging to the external Dinaric system.
- Published
- 2005
41. Shape of Empirical and Synthetic Isoseismals: Comparison for Italian M<=6 Earthquakes
- Author
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Giuliano F. Panza, G. Molchan, Tatiana Kronrod, Molchan, G. M., KRONROD T., L, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Intensity ,Scale (ratio) ,Point source ,Earth structure ,Boundary (topology) ,Intensity, Macroseismic data, Synthetic isoseismals, Focal mechanism ,engineering.material ,Macroseismic data ,Earth model ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Focal mechanism ,Range (statistics) ,engineering ,Seismogram ,Seismology ,Intensity (heat transfer) ,Geology ,Synthetic isoseismals - Abstract
We present results from a comparative analysis of empirical and synthetic shapes for isoseismals of low intensity (I = IV–VI on the MCS scale) for six Italian earthquakes of ML = 4.5–6. Our modeling of isoseismals is based on a plane-stratified earth model and on the double–couple point source approximation to calculate seismograms in the frequency range f ≤ 1 Hz. With a minimum of parameter variation we demonstrate that the low intensity isoseismals provide information on source geometry. We strive to avoid subjectivity in isoseismal constructions by using the new Diffuse Boundary method, which visualizes isoseismals with their uncertainty. Similar results in this direction are known for large earthquakes (M L ≈ 6 or greater) with extended sources and for the higher isoseismals (I ≥ VI on the MM scale). The latter studies disregard the earth structure, use a greater number of parameters, and therefore have greater possibilities for fitting the data than our approach.
- Published
- 2004
42. Linear Amplification of Horizontal Strong Ground Motion in Zagreb (Croatia) for a Realistic Range of Scaled Point Sources
- Author
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Franco Vaccari, Giuliano F. Panza, Ivan Lokmer, Marijan Herak, Herak, M., Lokmer, I., Vaccari, Franco, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Amplification of strong motion ,geography ,Peak ground acceleration ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Amplification of strong motion, Source mechanism, Zagreb, Microzonation ,Bedrock ,Source mechanism ,Rake ,Zagreb ,Induced seismicity ,Fault (geology) ,Microzonation ,Strong ground motion ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Range (statistics) ,Waveform ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
The linear amplification of the larger horizontal component of strong ground motion along a selected profile in the city of Zagreb is estimated by examining the synthetic waveforms corresponding to a suite of 16 realistically chosen scaled point sources. The accelerograms, computed for the average bedrock model by modal summation, are propagated through local laterally heterogeneous anelastic models by the finite-difference algorithm. The ratio of peak ground acceleration (PGA) and of the response spectra (RS), obtained by using local and bedrock models, define the PGA and RS amplification AMP(PGA) and AMP(RS), respectively. Even variations of the order of commonly observed uncertainties of only dip and rake angles of the causative fault show that both AMP(PGA) and AMP(RS) vary at some sites by more than a factor of two. It follows that, especially for strongly laterally heterogeneous structures, local effects must be determined for each of the relevant sources considering all associated uncertainties as completely as possible. Such a conclusion certainly holds for the case of the microzonation of Zagreb, where the local geology is quite complex, and the seismicity is not confined to a single seismic source zone.
- Published
- 2004
43. Source scaling of intermediate-depth Vrancea earthquakes
- Author
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M. Rizescu, Giuliano F. Panza, A. Gusev, Mircea Radulian, Gusev, A, Radulian, M, Rizescu, M, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Intermediate depth ,Magnitude (mathematics) ,Digital records ,Geophysics ,Seismic hazard ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,source scaling ,Static stress ,Range (statistics) ,Time domain ,Vrancea earthquakes ,Scaling ,source parameter ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
SUMMARY Source scaling properties are studied for the intermediate-depth seismic nest in the Vrancea region, Romania, which has been the source of many destructive earthquakes. We investigate spectral and time-domain scaling properties using wide-band digital records from 16 earthquakes (3.7 ≤ MW ≤ 7.4). All processing variants (P or S waves, spectral or time domain, etc.) produce consistent results. The observed corner-frequency versus MW trend generally follows the constant-stress-drop model, with typical stress-drop values of 1‐10 MPa. This kind of scaling, seen over the entire magnitude range analysed, is similar to that observed for shallow events. However, this trend seems to be violated for the largest earthquakes (MW > 6.5). They show a clear tendency for higher static stress drops than shallow events, and for magnitudes above 7, average stress drops exceeding 10 MPa may be expected. These results are of particular significance for seismic hazard studies, and specifically for the estimation of future strong motions.
- Published
- 2002
44. Deterministic earthquake scenarios for the city of Sofia
- Author
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Giuliano F. Panza, Franco Vaccari, I. Paskaleva, M. Kouteva, S. Slavov, Slavov, S., Paskaleva, I., Kouteva, M., Vaccari, Franco, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Peak ground acceleration ,Ground-motion modelling ,Seismic microzonation ,Environmental Seismic Intensity scale ,Sofia ,Hybrid approach ,Seismic hazard ,Earthquake scenario ,Geophysics ,Earthquake simulation ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Urban seismic risk ,Seismic risk ,Seismic hazard, Ground-motion modelling, Hybrid approach, Sofia ,Geology ,Seismology ,General Theoretical Physics - Abstract
— The city of Sofia is exposed to a high seismic risk. Macroseismic intensities in the range of VIII – X (MSK) can be expected in the city. The earthquakes that can influence the hazard in Sofia originate either beneath the city or are caused by seismic sources located within a radius of 40 km. The city of Sofia is also prone to the remote Vrancea seismic zone in Romania, and particularly vulnerable are the long-period elements of the built environment. The high seismic risk and the lack of instrumental recordings of the regional seismicity make the use of appropriate credible earthquake scenarios and ground-motion modelling approaches for defining the seismic input for the city of Sofia necessary. Complete synthetic seismic signals, due to several earthquake scenarios, were computed along chosen geological profiles crossing the city, applying a hybrid technique, which combines the modal summation technique and finite differences. The modelling takes into account simultaneously the geotechnical properties of the site, the position and geometry of the seismic source and the mechanical properties of the propagation medium. Acceleration, velocity and displacement time histories and related quantities of earthquake engineering interest (e.g., response spectra, ground-motion amplification along the profiles) have been supplied. The approach applied in this study allows us to obtain the definition of the seismic input at low cost, exploiting large quantities of existing data (e.g. geotechnical, geological, seismological). It may be efficiently used to estimate the ground motion for the purposes of microzonation, urban planning, retrofitting or insurance of the built environment, etc.
- Published
- 2002
45. Modelling of Seismic Ground Motion in Santiago de Cuba City from Earthquakes in Oriente Fault Seismic Zone
- Author
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Leonardo Alvarez, Franco Vaccari, Giuliano F. Panza, Bertha E. Gonzalez, Alvarez, L., Panza, Giuliano, Vaccari, Franco, and Gonzalez, B. E.
- Subjects
Ground motion ,geography ,microzoning ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Outcrop ,Finite difference ,Synthetic seismogram ,Fault (geology) ,Geophysics ,Santiago de Cuba ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Surface wave ,Range (statistics) ,surface wave ,Sedimentary rock ,Deconvolution ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
— We present the results of complete P-SV and SH waves modelling, up to a maximum frequency of 1 Hz, along two profiles in Santiago de Cuba city. The seismic sources are located in the depth range from 10 to 40 km on the Oriente fault zone at distances of several tens of kilometres from the city. The calculation has been made by a hybrid method: Modal summation in the regional anelastic model (one-dimensional) where the source is buried, and finite differences in the local sedimentary anelastic models (two-dimensional). The analysis of the influence of the depth and of the distance of the source on the site effects shows that standard traditional methods, based on the deconvolution analysis of the rock outcrop motion, can lead to erroneous results.
- Published
- 2001
46. Seismotectonic model and CN earthquake prediction in Italy
- Author
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Antonella Peresan, Giovanni Costa, Giuliano F. Panza, Peresan, Antonella, Costa, Giovanni, and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Earthquake prediction ,Seismotectonics ,CN algorithm ,earthquake prediction ,Italy ,seismotectonic model ,Other Fields of Physics ,Regionalisation ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Peninsula ,Geology ,Aftershock ,Seismology - Abstract
—The choice of the regions is essential in the application of the algorithm CN, therefore a seismotectonic criterion for their definition is tested. In order to take into account the geodynamic complexity characterising the Italian peninsula, we established to strictly follow the seismotectonic zones, including in each region only zones with similar seismogenic behaviour and the transitional zones connected to them. Three regions have been successfully defined in this way, corresponding approximately to the North, Centre and South of Italy. The reduction of the space-time uncertainty and the increase of the stability of prediction results obtained with this regionalisation, with respect to the previous applications of CN in Italy (Keilis-Borok et al., 1990; Costa et al., 1995, 1996), can be interpreted as a validation of the seismotectonic model.
- Published
- 1999
47. Upper mantle domains beneath Central-Southern Italy: Petrological, geochemical and geophysical constraints
- Author
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A. Peccerillo, Giuliano F. Panza, Peccerillo, A., and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Peridotite ,Subduction ,Mantle wedge ,metasomatism ,Crust ,Geophysics ,potassic magmatism ,Upper mantle ,central-southern Italy ,Mantle (geology) ,geophysical-geochemical model ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Lithosphere ,Transition zone ,Metasomatism ,Geology - Abstract
—The Italian peninsula shows high complexity of the mantle-crust system and of the Plio-Quaternary magmatism. The lithospheric thickness has remarkable lateral variations from about 110 km to about 30 km. Intermediate and deep-focus earthquakes indicate the presence of a lithospheric slab under the Aeolian-Calabrian area and at the southern end of Campania. Much less extensive intermediate-depth seismicity characterizes the Roman-Tuscany region, where the existence of a relic slab has been hypothesized. The deep seismicity in the southern Tyrrhenian Sea is associated with active calcalkaline to shoshonitic volcanism in the Aeolian arc. Alkaline potassic volcanism occurs in central Italy, and potassic lamproitic magmatism coexists with crustal anatectic and various types of hybrid rocks in the Tuscany area.¶The parallelism between changing magmatism and variation of the structure of the crust-mantle system makes central-southern Italy a key place where petrological and geophysical data can be used to work out an integrated model of the structure and composition of the upper mantle. Beneath Tuscany the upper mantle has been affected by intensive subduction-related metasomatism. This caused the formation of phlogopite-rich veins that cut through residual spinel-harzburgite and dunite. These veins, possibly partially molten, may explain the unusually soft mechanical properties that are detected just below the Moho. In the Roman Province, the upper mantle is formed by a relatively thin lid (the mantle part of the lithosphere) and by metasomatic fertile peridotite, probably connected with the upraise of an asthenospheric mantle wedge above the Apennines subduction zone. Geochemical data indicate that metasomatism, though still related to subduction, had different characteristics and age than in Tuscany. In the eastern sector of the Aeolian arc and in the Neapolitan area, the upper mantle appears to be distinct from the Roman and Tuscany areas and is probably formed by fertile peridotite contaminated by the presently active subduction of the Ionian Sea floor.¶The overall picture is that of a mosaic of various mantle domains that have undergone different evolutionary history in terms of both metasomatism and pre-metasomatic events. The coexistence side by side of these sectors is a key factor that has to be considered by models of the geodynamic evolution of the Central Mediterranean area.
- Published
- 1999
48. Comment on 'Analytical Model for Gravity and Rayleigh Wave Investigation in the Layered Ocean-Earth Structure,' by T. Novikova, K.-L. Wen, and B.-S. Huang
- Author
-
Giuliano F. Panza, T. B. Yanovskaya, Fabio Romanelli, Yanovskaya, T., Panza, Giuliano, and Romanelli, Fabio
- Subjects
Gravity (chemistry) ,Rayleigh wave ,Rayleigh waves ,Layered Ocean-Earth structures ,Earth structure ,Geophysics ,engineering.material ,symbols.namesake ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Homogeneous ,symbols ,engineering ,Geology ,Seismology - Abstract
In a recent article, Novikova et al. (2002) presented an analytical approach to tsunami and Rayleigh waves in a flat-layered laterally homogeneous model of the Earth. The same approach was already developed by Panza et al. (2000), who extended the procedure to laterally heterogeneous oceanic models and who corrected a mistake that was present in the paper by Yakson (now Novikova) and Yanovskaya (1996). This mistake was still present in the formulation of Novikova …
- Published
- 2003
49. Synthetic seismograms in laterally heterogeneous, anelastic media by modal summation of P-SV-waves
- Author
-
S. Gregersen, M. Furlan, Franco Vaccari, Giuliano F. Panza, Vaccari, Franco, Gregersen, S., Furlan, M., and Panza, Giuliano
- Subjects
Coupling coefficients ,higher modes ,lateral heterogeneities ,surface waves ,synthetic seismograms ,Computation ,lateral heterogeneitie ,Optics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Elementary function ,Coupling coefficient ,surface wave ,Time domain ,Seismogram ,Physics ,business.industry ,Mathematical analysis ,Mode (statistics) ,Discontinuity (linguistics) ,Geophysics ,Modal ,business ,Coupling coefficient of resonators ,higher mode - Abstract
Summary In the computation of synthetic seismograms by modal summation, when a medium with a sharp lateral discontinuity is considered, a fundamental role is played by a coupling coefficient Γjj,. The coefficient Γjj, is defined via an integral relation involving products between displacements and stresses and can be evaluated both numerically and analytically. The calculation of Γjj can be reduced to the analytical computation of a sum of integrals of elementary functions. The analytical method proved to be particularly convenient for its speed and precision of the results obtained. The energy redistribution within the different modes is illustrated, both in the frequency and in the time domain. Mode conversion cannot be neglected when dealing with higher modes.
- Published
- 1989
50. Seismicity and tectonic structures in the site of Algiers and its surroundings: A step towards microzonation
- Author
-
Assia Harbi, Maouche, S., Ayadi, A., Benouar, D., Panza, G. F., Benhallou, H., Harbi, A., Maouche, S., Ayadi, A., Benouar, D., Panza, Giuliano, and Benhallou, H.
- Subjects
Algiers, Seismicity, Tectonics, Earthquakes catalogue ,Geophysics ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Seismicity ,Tectonics ,Earthquakes catalogue ,Algiers - Abstract
We intend to reappraise the seismogenic potential of the geologic structures in the site of Algiers and its surroundings. A compilation of a working earthquake catalogue is first made using all events reported in all previous documentation available. However for the sake of homogeneity and a certain degree of reliability of the data, only revised seismic events with epicenter coordinates, magnitude and/or intensity are included. A tectonic setting of the zone under investigation and available fault plane solutions are presented. The results obtained in previous seismological studies of the most recent earthquakes of the area are also discussed. The findings highlight the great interest to be taken in the detailed and timely assessment of the seismic hazard of Algiers and its surroundings which is made possible by the realistic modelling of the scenario seismic input.
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